Obama Lulled America Into False Confidence Over Terror Threat

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    Sunday 21 April 2013

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    HOME NEWS WORLD NEWS BARACK OBAMA

    ByPeter Foster, US Editor

    10:59PM BST 19 Apr 2013

    In his State of the Union address to the American people

    earlier this year, Barack Obama declared that he was

    "confident" of achieving "our objective of defeating the core of

    al-Qaeda".

    Although he acknowledged the need to pursue the "remnants"

    of the terrorist group and its affiliates, the overall message was

    clear al-Qaeda was badly degraded, the tides of war were

    receding and the US was winning this fight that was no longer

    even officially a war.

    The Boston bombings would appear to present a fundamental

    challenge to that assessment and once again bring the nagging

    uncertainty of terrorism back on to the American main street.

    It is too soon to be absolutely sure the attacks were motivated

    by jihadist ideology, but the Islamic videos on the website of the

    older of the two Tsarnaev brothers point very firmly in that

    direction.

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    false confidence over terror threatThe war on terror cannot be fought at an arm's length - and theattacks on Boston have brought uncertainty back to American streets,writes Peter Foster.

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    Boston Marathon bombs: capture as it happened20 Apr 2013How Boston awoke to a Hollywood battlezone19 Apr 2013Chechyna: war-raved region that fell under jihadist spell19 Apr 2013Dzhokhar Tsarnaev: a 'beautiful boy in a tux'19 Apr 2013Tamerlan Tsarnaev: Boston bomb suspect profile19 Apr 2013

    They bring home the complexity of the global Islamist threat

    and the fact that it cannot be confined to wars in distant lands,

    or fought at arm's length using drones, as the Obama

    administration has quietly yet insistently led America to believe.

    Mr Obama and his intelligence community know the threat fromal-Qaeda affiliates, but have chosen to downplay it to the US

    public.

    Even when that fight does directly touch on American lives, as

    it did last September when the US ambassador to Libya was

    murdered in Benghazi by an al-Qaeda linked group, the

    administration appears at pains to deny the connection.

    Indeed, next week, America's transportation authority is to relax

    rules on carrying knives on planes for the first time since theSeptember 11 attacks.

    But as many counter-terrorism experts have been saying

    their voices often drowned out or ignored in favour of the

    pleasing simplicity of the Obama administration's narrative

    the threat from al-Qaeda is too amorphous and shifting to ever

    have been discounted.

    "They've fallen into the same trap that the Bush administration

    did early on," says Tom Jocelyn, a senior fellow at the

    Foundation for Defense of Democracies think tank who tracksthe movements of high-value al-Qaeda targets.

    "They define al-Qaeda as a hierarchical terrorist organisation

    such that if you kill 'x' number of leaders then the whole thing

    falls apart."

    But the early information on the Tsarnaev brothers born in

    Kyrgyzstan to a Chechen family, but living in the US for up to a

    decade points to just how blurred, in reality, the distinctions

    between al-Qaeda and its affiliates can become.

    "It's a hybrid thing, that's the problem," says Aaron Zelin, a

    fellow at the Washington Institute forNear East Policy who has

    written extensively about the decentralisation of al-Qaeda. "It's

    a unique threat, there's nothing like it and that's why people

    have a hard time grasping what it is."

    Looked at that way, Mr Obama's "confidence" and that of the

    American public is likely to be badly shaken by what is

    emerging from Boston.

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