28
POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents only.

October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

POLL

October 19-22, 2008

N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046

All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents only.

Page 2: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 2 -

Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the precinct or election district where you now live, or aren't you?

es No /N

10/19-22/08 88 12 - Y DK A

1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2008 presidential campaign — a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far?

A lot Some Not much None at all DK/NA 2/8-11/07 CBS 26 42 22 10 3/7-11/07 23 50 20 7 - 3/26-27/07 CBS 21 51 21 8 4/9-12/07 CBS 23 48 22 7 5/18-23/07 20 46 23 11 - 6/26-28/07* CBS 25 46 23 6 - 7/9-17/07 22 46 22 10 - 8/8-12/07 CBS 19 44 27 9 1 9/4-9/07 19 42 28 10 - 10/12-16/07 CBS 22 48 21 9 - 12/5-9/07 30 42 21 7 - 1/9-12/08 33 44 19 4 - 1/30-2/2/08* CBS 36 44 12 4 2/20-24/08* 47 35 15 3 3/15-18/08* CBS 52 35 10 2 - 3/28-4/2/08* 60 30 6 4 - 4/25-29/08* 55 37 6 2 5/1-3/08* 55 34 7 4 - 5/30-6/3/08* CBS 53 39 6 2 7/7-14/08* 53 37 8 2 - 7/31-8/5/08* CBS 53 36 9 2 8/15-19/08* 51 36 10 2 - 9/12-16/08* 63 30 6 1 9/21-24/08* 63 28 7 2 9/27-30/08* CBS 59 35 4 2 - 10/3-5/08* CBS 60 33 5 1 1 10/10-13/08* 65 29 5 1 - 10/19-22/08* 69 26 5 1

Page 3: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 3 -

2. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Barack Obama yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 2-3 WERE ROTATED Not Haven’t Favorable Fav Undecided heard enough Refused 1/1-3/07 CBS 28 10 14 47 1 1/18-21/07* CBS 29 9 20 41 3/7-11/07 39 18 20 23 - 3/26-27/07 CBS 31 17 21 30 4/9-12/07* CBS 36 18 25 21 - 5/18-23/07* 34 21 25 20 - 6/26-28/07* CBS 40 22 22 15 1 7/9-17/07 36 20 25 19 7/9-17/07* 37 21 24 18 8/8-12/07* CBS 36 20 27 17 9/4-9/07* 35 21 29 14 2/20-24/08* 45 23 23 9 1 3/15-18/08* CBS 44 28 20 8 3/28-4/2/08* 43 24 25 8 1 4/25-29/08* 39 34 21 5 1 5/1-3/08* 44 30 20 6 1 5/30-6/3/08* CBS 41 31 22 5 1 7/7-14/08* 39 31 24 4 1 7/31-8/5/08* CBS 37 32 25 5 1 8/15-19/08* 39 32 25 4 1 9/12-16/08* 45 35 16 3 1 9/21-24/08* 43 30 22 4 1 9/27-30/08* CBS 48 32 17 3 1 10/3-5/08* CBS 46 34 16 3 1 10/10-13/08* 50 32 15 2 - 10/19-22/08* 52 31 15 2 1

Page 4: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 4 -

3. Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about John McCain yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 2-3 WERE ROTATED . Not Haven’t heard Favorable Favorable Undecided enough Refused 4/99 11 6 14 69 6/99* CBS 11 7 15 66 1 10/99*CBS 13 8 16 62 11/99* 16 11 16 57 - 12/99*CBS 22 11 22 45 - 2/00* 36 14 24 26 1 3/00* CBS 38 26 19 15 2 5/00* 46 14 17 22 1 6/14-18/01 36 12 23 28 - 5/20-23/03 CBS 46 9 22 22 1 1/20-25/06 34 12 24 29 - 5/4-8/06 31 15 25 28 1 7/21-25/06 28 13 29 29 1 9/15-18/06 28 14 28 28 1 1/1-3/07 CBS 39 20 28 13 2/8-11/07* CBS 31 20 28 21 - 3/7-11/07 24 21 26 29 - 4/9-12/07* CBS 28 29 27 16 - 5/18-23/07* 23 30 26 20 1 6/26-28/07* CBS 27 29 25 19 - 7/9-17/07 28 30 24 17 - 7/9-17/07* 29 33 24 14 - 8/8-12/07* CBS 26 31 25 17 1 9/4-9/07* 26 28 29 16 1 2/20-24/08* 36 32 22 9 1 3/15-18/08* CBS 38 31 21 10 3/28-4/2/08* 35 29 24 11 1 4/25-29/08* 33 34 20 12 1 5/1-3/08* 32 35 19 14 - 5/30-6/3/08* CBS 34 37 21 8 7/7-14/08* 31 32 27 10 1 7/31-8/5/08* CBS 33 34 26 7 8/15-19/08* 34 33 28 4 1 9/12-16/08* 44 37 16 3 1 9/21-24/08* 38 35 23 4 1 9/27-30/08* CBS 39 42 15 4 1 10/3-5/08* CBS 40 38 17 4 1 10/10-13/08* 36 41 20 2 1 10/19-22/08* 39 46 13 1 1 4. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2008 election for President this November - would you say you will definitely vote, probably vote, probably not vote, or definitely not vote in the election for President, or have you already voted?

Definitely Probably Probably Definitely Already vote vote not vote not vote voted(vol.) DK/NA

10/19-22/08* 88 6 1 - 5 -

Page 5: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 5 -

5. If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, the Democrats, and John McCain for President and Sarah Palin for Vice President, the Republicans, would you vote for Barack Obama and Joe Biden or John McCain and Sarah Palin? CANDIDATE NAMES WERE ROTATED. Obama/ McCain/ Other Won't Depends(vol.)/ Biden Palin (vol.) vote(vol.) Undecided Refused 9/12-16/08* 48 43 1 1 7 1 Probable electorate 49 44 1 - 6 1 9/21-24/08* 47 42 1 1 8 2 Probable electorate 48 43 1 - 6 2 9/27-30/08* CBS 49 40 1 - 7 2 Probable electorate 50 41 1 - 6 2 10/3-5/08* CBS 47 43 - 1 7 2 Probable electorate 48 45 - - 5 2 10/10-13/08* 53 36 1 1 7 2 Probable electorate 53 39 1 - 6 2 10/19-22/08* 51 38 2 1 6 2 Probable electorate 52 39 2 - 5 2 VARIED WORDING: IF THE 2008 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY AND THE CANDIDATES WERE BARACK OBAMA, THE DEMOCRAT, AND JOHN MCCAIN, THE REPUBLICAN, WOULD YOU VOTE FOR BARACK OBAMA OR JOHN MCCAIN? CANDIDATE NAMES WERE ROTATED. OBAMA MCCAIN OTHER(VOL.) WON'T VOTE(VOL.) DEPENDS(VOL.) DK/NA 2/20-24/08* 50 38 1 2 2 7 3/28-4/2/08* 47 42 1 3 2 5 4/25-29/08* 45 45 1 3 1 4 5/1-3/08* 51 40 - 4 1 3 5/30-6/3/08* CBS 48 42 1 3 2 4 7/7-14/08* 45 39 2 2 3 9 7/31-8/5/08* CBS 45 39 1 2 4 9 8/15-19/08* 45 42 1 2 6 5 6. IF DEPENDS/UNDECIDED IN Q.5: Well as of today, do you lean more toward Barack Obama and Joe Biden or more toward John McCain and Sarah Palin? RESULTS FOR QUESTION 6 INCLUDE RESPONSES FROM QUESTION 5 Obama/ McCain/ Other Won't Biden Palin (vol.) vote(vol.) Refused 9/12-16/08* 50 45 1 1 4 Probable electorate 50 46 - 1 3 9/21-24/08* 49 44 1 1 6 Probable electorate 50 44 - 1 5 9/27-30/08* CBS 51 42 1 1 6 Probable electorate 51 42 - 1 5 10/3-5/08* CBS 49 45 1 - 5 Probable electorate 49 47 - - 4 10/10-13/08* 54 38 2 1 4 Probable elec at 54 41 1 1 4 10/19-22/08* 53 40 1 2 4

tor e

Probable electorate 54 41 1 2 3 VARIED WORDING: WELL AS OF TODAY, DO YOU LEAN MORE TOWARD BARACK OBAMA OR MORE TOWARD JOHN MCCAIN? OBAMA MCCAIN OTHER WON’T VOTE DK/NA 8/15-19/08* 47 45 1 2 4

Page 6: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 6 -

7. IF MADE A CHOICE IN Q.5: Is your mind made up or is it still too early to say for sure?

Mind made up Too early to say for sure DK/NA 7/7-14/08* 72 28 1 7/31-8/5/08* CBS 70 29 1 8/15-19/08* 72 27 - 9/12-16/08* 80 19 2 Obama supporters* 79 18 3 McCain supporters* 81 19 - 9/21-24/08* 75 25 Obama supporters* 77 23 McCain supporters* 74 26 9/27-30/08* CBS 81 19 Obama supporters* 86 14 - McCain supporters* 78 21 - 10/3-5/08* CBS 81 19 Obama supporters* 82 18 McCain supporters* 81 19 10/10-13/08* 83 17 - Obama supporters* 81 19 McCain supporters* 85 15 - 10/19-22/08* 89 11 1 Obama supporters* 89 11 - McCain supporters* 89 11 1

9. IF OBAMA OR McCAIN IN Q.5: How would you describe your feelings about (Barack Obama/John McCain) as the (Democratic/Republican) nominee – would you say you enthusiastically support him; support him but have reservations about him; support him only because he is the likely party nominee; or support him because you dislike the (John McCain/Barack Obama)?

Enthusiastic Reservations Party nominee Dislike other DK/NA 8/15-19/08* 37 42 11 9 1 Obama supporters* 48 38 9 4 1 McCain supporters* 24 47 14 14 1 9/12-16/08* 54 30 7 7 2 Obama supporters* 60 23 8 5 3 McCain supporters* 47 37 6 10 1 9/21-24/08* 45 41 7 6 1 Obama supporters* 53 33 8 4 1 McCain supporters* 36 49 6 7 2 9/27-30/08* CBS 50 37 5 6 2 Obama supporters* 61 29 5 4 1 McCain supporters* 36 47 6 10 2 10/3-5/08* CBS 49 37 8 5 1 Obama supporters* 58 31 8 2 1 McCain supporters* 39 44 9 7 2 10/10-13/08* 49 38 6 7 1 Obama supporters* 54 35 6 5 - McCain supporters* 42 42 5 9 2 10/19-22/08* 53 33 5 8 1 Obama supporters* 63 27 5 4 1 McCain supporters* 41 42 5 12 1

Page 7: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 7 -

11. Regardless of how you intend to vote for President in 2008, who do you expect to finally win the 2008 presidential election — John McCain or Barack Obama? CANDIDATE NAMES WERE ROTATED.

McCain Obama Depends(vol.) DK/NA 7/7-14/08* 30 53 4 13 8/15-19/08* 34 48 2 16 9/12-16/08* 38 45 3 14 10/19-22/08* 20 65 2 14 12. If the 2008 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?

Republican Democratic Other(vol.) Won’t vote(vol.) Depends(vol.) DK/NA 4/25-29/08* 32 50 - - 7 10 9/12-16/08* 31 51 - - 10 7 10/10-13/08* 33 47 - 2 9 9 Probable elect. 34 48 - 2 9 8 10/19-22/08* 36 47 1 - 8 8 Probable elect. 36 48 1 - 8 8 13. In deciding who you would like to see elected President this year, which one of the following issues will be most important to you – 1. terrorism and national security, 2. the economy and jobs, 3. health care, 4. the war in Iraq, 5. gas prices and energy policy, 6. illegal immigration, or 7. something else? ISSUES WERE ROTATED. 8/15- 9/12- 9/21- 9/27- 10/10- 10/19- 19/08* 16/08* 24/08* 30/08*CBS 13/08* 22/08* Terrorism and national security 9 14 11 11 9 11 The economy and jobs 40 48 52 59 57 55 Health care 9 10 9 8 8 8 The war in Iraq 15 8 9 6 7 11 Gas prices and energy policy 15 10 10 6 7 3 Illegal immigration 6 3 3 3 2 2 Something else 4 5 5 4 6 8 DK/NA 2 2 2 2 3 2

Page 8: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 8 -

16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? Dis- Dis-

Approve approve DK/NA Approve approve DK/NA 2/10-12/01 CBS 53 21 26 11/18-21/04 51 44 5 3/8-12/01 60 22 18 1/14-18/05 49 46 5 4/4-5/01 CBS 53 35 12 2/24-28/05 49 44 7 5/10-12/01 CBS 57 30 13 3/9-14/05 NYT 46 45 10 6/14-18/01 53 34 13 4/13-16/05 CBS 44 51 5 8/28-31/01 CBS 50 38 12 5/20-24/05 CBS 46 48 6 9/11-12/01 CBS 72 15 13 6/10-15/05 42 51 7 9/13-14/01 84 9 8 7/13-14/05 CBS 45 50 5 9/20-23/01 89 7 5 7/29-8/2/05 CBS 45 46 9 10/25-28/01 87 8 5 8/29-31/05 CBS 41 51 8 12/7-10/01 86 9 4 9/6-7/05 CBS 42 52 6 1/5-6/02 CBS 84 10 6 9/9-13/05 41 53 6 1/15-17/02 CBS 82 11 7 10/3-5/05 CBS 37 58 5 1/21-24/02 82 12 6 10/30-11/1/05 CBS 35 57 8 2/24-26/02 CBS 78 14 8 12/2-6/05 40 53 7 4/1-2/02 CBS 77 17 6 1/5-8/06 CBS 41 52 7 4/28-5/1/02 73 18 9 1/20-25/06 42 51 7 5/13-14/02 CBS 77 16 7 2/22-26/06 CBS 34 59 7 5/19-20/02 CBS 71 18 11 3/9-12/06 CBS 34 57 9 6/18-20/02 CBS 70 20 10 4/6-9/06 CBS 37 56 7 7/8-9/02 CBS 74 19 6 4/28-30/06 CBS 33 58 2 7/13-16/02 70 20 9 5/4-8/06 31 63 6 7/22-23/02 CBS 65 27 8 6/10-11/06 CBS 33 60 7 8/6-7/02 CBS 66 25 9 7/21-25/06 36 55 9 9/2-5/02 63 28 9 8/11-13/06 CBS 36 57 7 9/22-23/02 CBS 66 27 7 8/17-21/06 36 57 7 10/3-6/02 63 29 8 9/15-19/06 37 56 7 10/27-31/02 62 28 10 10/5-8/06 34 60 5 11/20-24/02 65 27 9 10/27-31/06 34 58 7 1/4-6/03 CBS 64 28 8 11/12-13/06 CBS 34 61 5 1/19-22/03 59 35 6 12/8-10/06 CBS 31 63 6 2/5-6/03 CBS 63 28 9 1/1-3/07 CBS 30 63 7 2/10-12/03 54 38 8 1/18-21/07 CBS 28 64 8 2/24-25/03 CBS 56 35 9 2/8-11/07 CBS 32 59 9 3/4-5/03 CBS 58 32 10 2/23-27/07 29 61 10 3/7-9/03 56 37 6 3/7-11/07 34 58 8 3/15-16/03 CBS 59 34 7 3/26-27/07 CBS 30 64 6 3/17/03 CBS 64 31 5 4/9-12/07 CBS 31 61 8 3/20/03 PANEL 67 31 2 4/20-24/07 32 61 7 3/20-21/03 67 26 7 5/18-23/07 30 63 7 3/22/03 68 26 6 6/26-28/07 CBS 27 65 8 3/23/03 71 23 6 7/9-17/07 29 64 8 3/24/03 70 26 5 7/20-22/07 30 62 8 3/20-24/03 69 25 6 8/8-12/07 CBS 29 65 6 3/26-27/03 CBS 68 26 6 9/4-8/07 30 64 6 4/2-3/03 CBS 67 26 7 10/12-16/07 CBS 30 61 9 4/11-13/03 73 21 6 12/5-9/07 28 65 8 4/26-27/03 CBS 67 24 9 1/9-12/08 29 62 8 5/9-12/03 67 26 7 1/30-2/2/08 CBS 27 65 8 7/13-27/03 54 41 5 2/20-24/08 30 64 6 8/26-28/03 CBS 55 37 8 3/15-18/08 CBS 29 64 7 9/15-16/03 CBS 52 39 9 3/28-4/2/08 28 64 8 9/28-10/1/03 51 42 7 4/25-4/29/08 28 65 8 10/20-21/03 CBS 54 36 10 5/1-3/08 28 63 9 11/10-12/03 CBS 50 42 8 5/30-6/3/08 CBS 25 67 12/14-15/03 58 33 9 7/7-14/08 28 65 8 1/12-15/04 50 45 5 7/31-8/5/08 CBS 25 66 7 2/12-15/04 CBS 50 42 8 8/15-20/08 28 65 9 2/24-27/04 CBS 47 44 9 9/12-16/08 27 68 5 3/10-14/04 51 42 6 9/21-24/08 26 66 8 3/30-4/1/04 CBS 49 44 7 9/27-30/08 CBS 22 70 8 4/23-27/04 46 47 8 10/3-5/08 CBS 22 70 8 5/20-23/04 CBS 41 52 7 10/10-13/08 24 66 106/23-27/04 42 51 7 10/19-22/08 22 72 6 7/11-15/04 45 48 7 8/15-18/04 CBS 46 45 9 9/12-16/04 50 42 8 9/20-22/04 CBS 48 44 8 10/1-3/04 47 43 10 10/14-17/04 44 48 8 10/28-30/04 49 44 7

Page 9: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 9 -

17. Do you feel things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right Wrong DK/NA Right Wrong DK/NA 1/27-28/91 CBS 51 39 10 9/20-22/04 CBS 41 54 5 3/4-6/91 51 42 7 10/1-3/04 40 51 9 10/15-18/91 33 60 7 10/14-17/04 37 59 4 11/27-28/94 CBS 30 65 5 10/28-30/04 43 55 2 12/3-6/95 NYT 25 64 10 11/18-21/04 40 54 6 12/8-11/96 NYT 39 51 11 1/14-18/05 39 56 5 9/16-18/96 CBS 41 48 11 2/24-28/05 42 52 6 2/19-21/98 54 36 9 3/9-14/05 NYT 37 56 7 9/8-10/98 49 42 10 1/5-8/06 CBS 31 62 7 10/12-13/98 46 47 7 4/13-16/05 CBS 32 62 6 10/26-28/98 52 42 7 5/20-24/05 CBS 34 60 6 5/10-13/00 48 44 7 6/10-15/05 33 61 6 3/8-12/01 40 54 6 7/29-8/2/05 CBS 37 57 6 4/23-25/01 CBS 37 58 5 9/9-13/05 31 63 6 6/14-18/01 42 53 5 5/4-8/06 23 70 7 10/25-28/01 61 29 10 10/3-5/05 CBS 37 58 5 12/7-10/01 64 27 10 10/30-11/1/05 CBS 27 68 5 1/24-27/02 52 35 12 12/2-6/05 31 60 9 7/13-16/02 42 48 10 1/20-25/06 32 61 7 7/22-23/02 CBS 39 53 8 3/9-12/06 CBS 28 66 9 8/6-7/02 CBS 41 51 8 4/28-30/06 CBS 24 71 5 9/2-5/02 43 49 8 6/10-11/06 CBS 27 69 4 10/3-6/02 42 48 10 7/21-25/06 28 66 6 10/27-31/02 41 52 8 8/17-21/06 29 67 4 11/20-24/02 41 49 10 10/27-31/06 29 64 7 2/10-12/03 35 56 9 12/8-10/06 CBS 24 70 6 3/22/03 50 40 10 1/1-3/07 CBS 27 68 5 4/11-13/03 56 36 9 1/18-21/07 CBS 26 69 5 9/28-10/1/03 37 56 7 2/8-11/07 CBS 26 68 6 7/13-27/03 46 49 5 2/23-27/07 23 68 9 11/10-12/03 CBS 39 53 8 3/7-11/07 25 69 6 12/10-13/03 39 56 5 5/18-23/07 24 72 4 12/14-15/03 49 43 8 6/26-28/07 CBS 19 75 6 1/12-15/04 42 53 5 7/9-17/07 22 72 6 2/12-15/04 CBS 41 51 8 9/4-8/07 24 71 4 3/10-14/04 38 54 8 12/5-9/07 21 71 8 3/30-4/1/04 CBS 36 57 7 1/9-12/08 18 76 6 4/23-27/04 36 55 9 3/28-4/2/08 14 81 5 5/20-23/04 CBS 30 65 5 5/30-6/3/08 CBS 14 83 3 6/23-27/04 36 57 6 7/7-14/08 14 81 5 7/11-15/04 36 56 8 9/12-16/08 14 81 5 8/15-18/04 CBS 39 55 6 10/10-13/08 7 89 4 9/12-16/04 41 51 7 10/19-22/08 11 85 4

Page 10: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 10 -

18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? App Disapp DK/NA App Disapp DK/NA 7/19-25/77 31 49 20 4/5-6/99 43 45 12 10/23-26/77 31 50 19 6/5-6/99 CBS 41 46 13 1/8-12/78 29 50 21 7/13-14/99 CBS 41 41 18 4/3-7/78 31 50 19 8/1-3/99 CBS 43 41 16 6/19-23/78 30 53 17 8/15/99 CBS 42 44 14 9/25-29/78 29 51 20 10/3-4/99 CBS 38 48 14 8/2-7/80 32 51 18 10/25-30/99 CBS 36 52 12 10/23-28/82 33 50 17 11/4-7/99 37 50 13 1/13-15/90 42 47 11 2/12-14/00 39 47 13 8/16-19/90 40 44 16 5/10-13/00 38 45 18 10/8-10/90 27 60 13 7/20-23/00 45 41 14 10/28-31/90 23 69 8 9/27-10/1/00 49 38 13 1/27-28/91 49 41 10 2/10-12/01 CBS 48 31 21 3/4-6/91 39 47 14 3/8-12/01 50 33 17 8/18-22/91 30 57 13 4/23-25/01 CBS 44 37 19 10/5-7/91 27 57 16 5/10-12/01 CBS 45 36 19 10/15-18/91 29 57 14 6/14-18/01 45 39 16 1/22-25/92 17 71 11 10/25-28/01 67 24 9 2/26-3/1/92 21 67 12 12/07-10/01 57 31 12 3/26-29/92 17 75 7 1/21-24/02 47 37 15 7/8-11/92 20 71 9 2/24-26/02 CBS 50 34 16 3/28-31/93 35 52 13 6/18-20/02 CBS 43 40 17 5/27-29/93 27 61 12 7/13-16/02 49 38 14 6/1-3/93 27 60 13 9/22-23/02 CBS 48 36 16 8/2-3/93 CBS 21 68 11 10/3-6/02 42 45 13 9/16-19/93 23 64 13 10/27-31/02 45 40 15 11/11-14/93 25 63 12 5/9-12/03 35 48 16 12/5-7/93 CBS 27 60 13 7/13-27/03 39 46 15 1/15-17/94 30 58 13 9/28-10/1/03 37 47 16 8/16-17/94 22 67 11 1/12-15/04 45 42 13 9/8-11/94 25 63 12 10/14-17/04 38 46 16 10/29-11/1/94 20 73 7 1/14-18/05 44 39 17 1/10-20/95 CBS 35 44 21 2/24-28/05 41 44 15 2/22-25/95 36 51 13 3/21-22/05 CBS 34 49 17 3/12-14/95 31 54 15 4/13-16/05 CBS 35 51 14 4/1-4/95 30 60 10 5/20-23/05 CBS 29 55 16 5/4-6/95 CBS 33 55 12 6/10-15/05 33 53 14 8/5-9/95 31 56 13 7/13-14/05 CBS 33 50 17 10/22-25/95 32 55 13 9/9-13/05 34 54 12 12/9-11/95 26 64 10 10/3-5/05 CBS 31 57 12 1/18-20/96 CBS 31 60 9 10/30-11/1/05 CBS 34 53 13 2/22-24/96 22 70 8 12/2-6/05 33 53 14 3/10-11/96 CBS 26 64 10 1/5-8/06 CBS 27 57 16 3/31-4/2/96 23 66 11 1/20-25/06 29 61 11 5/31-6/3/96 19 71 10 2/22-26/06 CBS 28 61 11 6/20-23/96 NYT 29 61 9 3/9-12/06 CBS 32 54 14 7/11-13/96 27 58 15 4/6-9/06 CBS 27 61 12 8/3-5/96 32 52 16 5/4-8/06 23 64 13 9/2-4/96 32 55 13 6/10-11/06 CBS 26 60 14 1/14-17/97 45 45 10 7/21-25/06 28 58 14 4/2-5/97 32 59 9 8/17-21/06 29 60 11 5/6-8/97 CBS 42 44 14 9/15-19/06 25 61 14 7/13-14/97 CBS 34 55 11 10/5-8/06 27 64 9 11/2-3/97 CBS 36 53 11 10/27-31/06 29 56 15 12/6-8/97 34 52 14 1/18-21/07 CBS 33 49 18 1/10-12/98 44 40 16 2/8-11/07 CBS 32 52 16 1/18-21/98 CBS 42 41 17 2/23-27/07 33 50 17 1/24-25/98 47 43 10 3/7-11/07 31 53 16 2/19-21/98 50 30 20 4/9-12/07 CBS 34 54 12 5/19-21/98 CBS 41 42 17 5/18-23/07 35 52 13 7/19-21/98 40 42 18 6/26-28/07 CBS 27 60 13 9/8-10/98 CBS 49 38 13 7/9-17/07 29 59 12 9/12-15/98 CBS 55 34 12 7/20-22/07 26 61 13 9/22-23/98 48 41 10 8/8-12/07 CBS 25 63 12 10/3-4/98 CBS 47 38 15 9/4-8/07 23 66 11 10/7-8/98 CBS 46 44 10 10/12-16/07 CBS 27 59 14 10/12-13/98 43 48 9 12/5-9/07 21 64 15 10/26-28/98 41 49 10 4/25-29/08 21 68 11 10/31-11/1/98 CBS 41 48 11 9/27-30/08 CBS 15 72 13 12/13-17/98 44 49 6 10/10-13/08 12 74 14 12/19-20/98 42 53 5 10/19-22/08 17 70 13 1/3-4/99 CBS 41 51 8 1/10-13/99 CBS 43 46 11 1/30-2/1/99 45 46 9 2/12/99 CBS 46 46 8 3/24/99 CBS 43 47 10 3 /28/99 CBS 41 47 12

Page 11: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 11 -

19. How about the Representative in Congress from your district? Do you approve or disapprove of the way your Representative is handling his or her job? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 6/78 60 22 18 9/78 CBS 60 20 20 8/80 61 18 21 1/90 64 21 15 8/90 60 21 19 10/90 51 30 19 10/91 56 27 17 2/92 55 28 17 3/92 54 30 16 7/92 52 30 18 11/93 59 23 18 9/94 56 17 27 11/94 56 33 11 2/95 60 22 18 10/96 61 22 17 2/98 62 9 28 10/98 61 22 17 10/98 64 19 17 4/13-16/05 CBS 57 23 20 12/2-6/05 60 24 16 1/20-25/06 57 25 17 4/6-9/06 CBS 60 23 17 5/4-8/06 53 31 16 7/21-25/06 57 27 16 9/15-19/06 53 29 17 10/5-8/06 56 27 16 10/27-31/06 58 26 16 10/10-13/08 43 31 26 10/19-22/08 51 28 22

Page 12: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 12 -

20. How would you rate the condition of the national economy these days? Is it very good, fairly good, fairly bad or very bad? Very Fairly Fairly Very Very Fairly Fairly Very Good good bad bad DK/NA good good bad bad DK/NA 1/92A - 17 47 35 1 7/22-23/02 CBS 3 42 39 14 2 1/92B 1 20 46 32 1 8/6-7/02 CBS 2 45 38 13 2 2/92A 1 16 38 42 2 9/2-5/02 3 47 36 14 1 2/92B 1 16 40 41 1 10/3-6/02 4 39 42 14 2 3/92 1 18 39 40 1 10/27-31/02 1 44 38 15 1 4/92 1 23 40 34 1 11/20-24/02 2 46 37 13 2 7/92 - 21 41 37 1 1/4-6/03 CBS 1 40 43 14 2 8/92A 1 20 40 38 1 1/19-22/03 1 42 43 12 1 9/92A 1 19 37 39 3 2/10-12/03 2 37 42 18 2 10/92A 1 18 42 37 2 3/20-24/03 3 47 33 15 2 10/92C 2 21 40 37 1 4/11-13/03 2 48 36 10 3 10/92D 2 21 40 36 2 5/9-12/03 2 42 41 14 1 10/92E 1 22 39 36 2 9/28-10/1/03 4 39 37 19 1 12/92 1 31 39 28 2 10/20-21/03 CBS 3 42 36 18 1 1/93 1 34 41 22 2 12/10-13/03 4 52 30 13 1 2/93 2 33 36 26 3 12/14-15/03 5 50 28 13 4 3/93 1 33 41 22 2 1/12-15/04 3 51 34 11 1 6/93A 1 29 43 25 2 3/10-14/04 2 47 34 15 2 6/93B 1 33 40 23 2 4/23-27/04 4 51 30 15 1 8/93 3 28 45 23 1 5/20-23/04 CBS 5 47 31 16 1 9/93 1 31 44 23 1 6/23-27/04 4 54 30 11 1 11/93 2 40 38 18 2 8/15-18/04 CBS 5 47 32 15 1 12/93 1 43 39 15 2 9/12-16/04 3 51 31 12 2 12/93 1 43 39 15 2 10/1-3/04 6 49 29 16 1 1/94 2 45 38 14 1 10/14-17/04 3 49 32 13 2 1/94 1 49 34 14 1 11/18-21/04 4 50 30 14 1 2/94 2 50 34 12 2 2/24-28/05 4 53 29 13 1 4/94 3 51 33 11 2 6/10-15/05 4 50 32 13 1 6/94 3 51 32 11 3 7/29-8/2/05 CBS 7 50 31 11 1 7/94 3 50 35 11 1 9/9-13/05 4 45 33 17 1 9/94 2 51 33 13 2 10/30-11/1/05 CBS 3 44 35 16 2 9/94 3 50 34 11 2 12/2-6/05 6 49 29 14 1 11/94 2 53 33 10 1 1/5-8/06 CBS 6 48 32 13 1 1/95 3 57 28 11 1 1/20-25/06 6 51 29 13 1 2/95 5 53 29 12 2 2/22-26/06 CBS 5 45 33 15 2 3/95 3 52 29 13 3 3/9-12/06 CBS 4 51 29 14 2 7/95 3 58 26 11 2 4/6-9/06 CBS 7 45 30 17 1 10/95 3 54 32 10 1 4/28-30/06 CBS 8 49 27 14 2 12/95 4 54 27 13 2 5/4-8/06 6 47 31 15 1 1/96 2 49 33 14 2 7/21-25/06 5 46 34 13 1 2/96 3 50 30 15 3 8/17-21/06 5 47 32 15 1 6/96 2 53 32 11 2 9/15-19/06 5 51 30 13 1 6/96B 4 56 30 9 1 10/5-8/06 7 53 28 11 1 7/96 5 56 27 10 10/27-31/06 9 50 26 13 3 8/96 5 58 23 10 3 12/8-10/06 CBS 8 50 26 13 3 9/96 5 64 23 7 1 1/1-3/07 CBS 8 50 26 14 2 10/96 6 66 19 6 2 1/18-21/07 CBS 7 51 31 10 1 10/96C 6 61 21 10 3 2/8-11/07 CBS 8 52 27 12 1 11/96 6 64 21 6 2 2/23-27/07 7 55 25 10 3 12/96 6 61 22 8 3 3/7-11/07 8 47 33 11 1 1/97 7 64 23 5 1 4/9-12/07 CBS 8 51 28 11 2 4/97 6 62 24 7 1 5/18-23/07 7 48 29 14 1 7/97 11 62 18 8 1 7/9-17/07 9 46 30 13 2 11/97 14 63 16 5 2 8/8-12/07 CBS 7 45 32 14 2 12/97 17 63 15 4 2 9/4-8/07 4 51 30 15 1 1/98 16 67 13 3 1 10/12-16/07 CBS 5 45 33 16 1 2/98 21 67 9 3 1 12/5-9/07 3 39 39 18 1 8/11-13/98 21 66 8 3 2 1/9-12/08 3 35 42 19 2 8/19-20/98 25 61 9 3 2 1/30-2/2/08 CBS 2 26 44 27 1 10/98A 16 65 15 3 2 2/20-24/08 2 27 45 25 1 10/98B 16 68 11 3 2 3/15-18/08 CBS 1 24 42 34 2/00 28 60 8 3 1 3/28-4/2/08 1 20 48 30 1 5/00 29 58 7 4 2 4/25-29/08 - 22 41 36 1 9/00D* 26 64 7 2 1 5/1-3/08 1 15 40 43 1 10/00 25 60 9 4 3 5/30-6/3/08 CBS 1 19 45 33 2 11/00 26 63 7 3 2 7/7-14/08 1 18 45 35 1 12/00 CBS 21 65 10 3 1 7/31-8/5/08 CBS 1 16 40 43 1/01 CBS 14 70 11 4 1 8/15-19/08 1 17 41 41 - 3/8-12/01 6 68 19 5 9/12-16/08 2 20 39 39 - 4/01B CBS 3 58 29 7 3 9/21-24/08 - 17 34 46 2 5/01 CBS 4 64 23 7 2 9/27-30/08 CBS - 10 37 52 1 6/14-18/01 3 67 22 6 2 10/3-5/08 CBS 1 10 34 55 - 9/20-23/01 3 50 33 11 2 10/10-13/08 - 11 38 50 -10/25-28/01 3 53 33 9 2 10/19-22/08 - 13 35 51 - 12/07-10/01 3 52 35 8 2 1/5-6/02 CBS 3 49 36 8 4 1/15-17/02CBS 2 49 36 11 2 1/21-24/02 2 50 36 10 1 2/24-26/02CBS 1 52 38 7 2 5/13-14/02CBS 4 62 27 7 - 6/18-20/02CBS 3 56 30 9 2 7/13-16/02 2 47 36 13 2

Page 13: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 13 -

21. Do you think the economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? Better Worse Same DK/NA Better Worse Same DK/NA 1/92A 8 47 44 1 11/20-24/02 19 30 50 2 1/92B 9 45 44 1 1/19-22/03 17 39 44 1 2/92B 13 38 48 1 4/11-13/03 17 31 49 2 3/92 20 26 53 1 5/9-12/03 22 28 49 1 4/92 18 31 50 1 7/13-27/03 22 31 46 1 7/92 12 33 54 1 8/26-28/03 CBS 25 31 43 1 8/92A 10 36 53 1 9/28-10/1/03 24 29 46 1 9/92A 10 33 55 2 12/10-13/03 34 24 41 1 10/92A 9 38 51 1 12/14-15/03 39 19 39 2 10/92C 12 37 49 2 1/12-15/04 34 26 39 1 10/92D 17 33 48 2 2/12-15/04 CBS 33 27 39 1 10/92E 17 32 49 2 3/10-14/04 28 27 43 2 12/92 29 17 51 3 4/23-27/04 30 26 44 1 1/93 26 18 55 1 5/20-23/04 CBS 23 32 43 2 2/93 32 15 51 2 6/23-27/04 28 23 47 1 3/93 21 19 58 2 9/12-16/04 26 27 45 2 6/93A 13 26 60 1 9/12-16/04 26 27 45 2 8/93 CBS 12 30 56 2 10/14-17/04 24 33 42 1 9/93 14 26 58 1 11/18-21/04 26 29 44 1 11/93 19 24 57 1 1/14-18/05 25 29 45 1 1/94 31 17 57 1 2/24-28/05 23 30 46 1 4/94 24 25 50 1 6/10-15/05 18 36 45 2 7/94 22 21 56 1 7/29-8/2/05 CBS 20 32 47 1 9/94 23 27 50 1 9/9-13/05 13 47 38 2 11/94 20 26 53 1 10/30-11/1/05 CBS 16 40 44 1/95 CBS 24 22 53 1 12/2-6/05 19 35 45 1 2/95 27 20 53 1 1/5-8/06 CBS 20 37 43 3/95 18 27 53 2 1/20-25/06 17 38 44 1 8/95 14 27 58 1 3/9-12/06 13 39 47 1 10/95 13 27 57 2 5/4-8/06 14 47 39 1 2/95 16 26 56 2 7/21-25/06 12 47 41 1 1/96 13 31 54 2 9/15-19/06 17 36 46 1 2/96 14 29 55 2 10/5-8/06 19 31 49 1 4/96 14 32 53 2 10/27-31/06 16 38 44 6/96 13 29 57 1 2/8-11/07 CBS 15 34 49 2 6/96 NYT 18 22 58 1 2/23-27/07 11 35 51 2 9/96 23 21 54 2 4/9-12/07 CBS 11 44 44 1 7/96 16 27 55 2 5/18-23/07 11 43 44 2 8/96C 17 23 57 3 7/9-17/07 12 41 45 2 10/96 26 19 53 2 9/4-8/07 8 49 43 1 11/96 24 19 55 2 10/12-16/07 CBS 9 45 44 2 12/96 19 21 57 2 12/5-9/07 5 53 40 2 1/97 24 19 56 1 1/9-12/08 4 62 33 1 4/97 16 25 57 1 1/30-2/2/08 CBS 6 67 26 1 11/97 CBS 23 19 55 3 2/20-24/08 3 63 32 1 12/97 29 18 51 2 3/15-18/08 CBS 2 75 21 2 1/98 32 13 55 1 3/28-4/2/08 4 70 25 1 10/98A 20 26 53 2 4/25-29/08 4 70 24 1 10/98B 23 21 53 2 5/30-6/3/08 CBS 3 69 27 1 2/00 30 15 52 2 7/7-14/08 3 67 29 1 1/01 CBS 11 39 49 1 9/12-16/08 6 61 32 1 2/01 CBS 8 46 44 2 9/21-24/08 2 70 26 2 3/8-12/01 7 41 49 2 9/27-30/08 CBS 2 76 20 2 4/01 CBS 9 48 41 2 10/3-5/08 CBS 3 75 21 1 5/01 CBS 10 44 44 2 10/10-13/08 5 67 26 2 6/14-18/01 9 40 50 1 10/19-22/08 11 57 30 2 9/20-23/01 8 55 35 2 10/25-28/01 14 37 46 2 12/07-10/01 19 34 45 2 1/5-6/02 CBS 26 27 44 3 1/21-24/02 18 33 48 1 5/13-14/02CBS 31 18 51 - 7/13-16/02 14 41 44 2 10/3-5/02 13 39 46 2 10/27-31/02 17 34 48 1

Page 14: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 14 -

22. In general, how much confidence do you have in the ability of the U.S. government to improve the condition of the national economy -- a great deal, a fair amount, not very much, or none at all? A great deal A fair amount Not very much None at all DK/NA 10/19-22/08 12 47 29 11 2 23. In general, is your opinion of the Republican party favorable or not favorable? QUESTIONS 23-24 WERE ROTATED. Fav Not fav DK/NA Fav Not fav DK/NA 12/85 NYT 58 29 14 11/00L 49 44 7 11/88B 57 34 10 3/8-12/01 54 39 7 1/90 63 28 9 6/14-18/01 46 47 8 4/90 58 34 8 1/21-24/02 58 33 9 6/91 62 28 10 7/13-16/02 53 38 9 5/92 CBS 46 45 9 10/3-5/02 53 39 8 6/92 49 43 8 10/27-31/02 57 35 8 7/92* 46 47 7 11/20-24/02 51 39 10 8/92* 47 48 5 1/19-22/03 50 41 9 1/94 52 36 12 5/9-12/03 53 40 7 9/94 52 36 10 7/13-27/03 46 45 9 11/94 54 39 7 9/28-10/1/03 51 43 5 11/94 CBS 59 33 8 12/10-13/03 47 44 9 1/95 CBS 53 38 9 12/14-16/03 53 39 9 2/95 54 37 8 1/12-15/04 48 43 8 4/95 54 40 6 3/10-14/04 49 43 8 8/95 54 37 9 7/11-15/04 47 47 5 4/96* 43 51 7 10/14-17/04 47 46 7 8/96* 46 47 7 11/18-21/04 49 46 5 8/96B* CBS 47 43 10 1/14-18/05 49 44 7 8/96C* 52 42 6 12/2-6/05 42 50 8 8/96D* CBS 48 43 9 1/20-25/06 44 51 5 9/96* 48 44 7 3/9-12/06 CBS 36 58 6 1/97 50 41 9 4/6-9/06 CBS 40 53 7 12/98 42 51 8 5/4-8/06 37 57 6 12/17/98 33 57 10 7/21-25/06 43 51 6 12/19/98 36 59 5 9/15-19/06 41 52 8 12/20/98 36 58 6 10/5-8/06 39 54 7 1/99 CBS 38 55 7 10/27-31/06 36 56 7 1/99 41 52 8 2/23-27/07 34 56 10 2/99 CBS 40 49 11 3/7-11/07 34 58 8 6/99 CBS 41 47 12 5/18-23/07 38 56 5 9/99 CBS 43 45 12 7/9-17/07 38 56 5 11/99 48 43 9 12/5-9/07 33 59 7 2/00 49 41 10 4/25-29/08 33 58 9 5/00* 53 40 8 10/10-13/08 37 54 9 7/00B* 54 41 5 10/19-22/08 36 60 4 9/00D* 49 44 7

Page 15: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 15 -

24. In general, is your opinion of the Democratic party favorable or not favorable? QUESTIONS 23-24 WERE ROTATED. Fav Not fav DK/NA Fav Not fav DK/NA 12/85 NYT 59 27 14 11/00L 56 37 7 11/88B 54 36 10 3/8-12/01 55 38 7 1/90 58 32 10 6/14-18/01 56 36 9 4/90 54 35 11 1/21-24/02 58 34 8 6/91 52 34 13 7/13-16/02 53 36 11 5/92 CBS 46 43 10 10/3-5/02 53 39 8 6/92 49 40 11 10/27-31/02* 55 38 7 7/92* 49 43 8 11/20-24/02 45 44 11 8/92* 57 37 6 1/19-22/03 52 39 9 1/94 49 40 12 5/9-12/03 46 45 9 9/94 48 44 8 7/13-27/03 49 42 9 11/94 44 48 8 9/28-10/1/03 53 39 7 11/94 CBS 40 52 8 12/10-13/03 55 36 9 1/95 CBS 47 47 6 12/14-16/03 51 39 10 2/95 47 45 8 1/12-15/04 54 36 10 4/95 48 45 7 3/10-14/04 51 41 9 8/95 47 45 8 7/11-15/04 55 38 7 4/96* 46 47 6 10/14-17/04 52 40 8 8/96* 55 39 6 11/18-21/04 54 39 6 8/96B* CBS 52 39 9 1/14-18/05 51 41 8 8/96C* 53 40 6 12/2-6/05 46 43 10 8/96D* CBS 57 36 7 1/20-25/06 53 40 7 9/96* 56 39 5 3/9-12/06 CBS 47 46 7 1/97 55 39 7 4/6-9/06 CBS 48 43 9 12/98 56 36 8 5/4-8/06 55 37 8 12/17/98 56 35 8 7/21-25/06 52 41 7 12/19/98 65 31 5 9/15-16/06 52 40 8 12/20/98 60 34 5 10/5-8/06 52 40 8 1/99 CBS 61 32 7 10/27-31/06 49 40 10 1/99 56 37 6 2/23-27/07 48 41 11 2/99 57 32 11 3/7-11/07 47 43 9 6/99 51 36 13 5/18-23/07 53 42 5 9/99 53 37 10 7/9-17/07 52 41 7 11/99 52 39 9 12/5-9/07 48 44 8 2/00 61 31 9 4/25-29/08 52 41 8 5/00* 54 40 6 10/10-13/08 52 38 10 7/00B* 56 39 5 10/19-22/08 56 40 5 9/00D* 58 36 6

25. Many of the tax cuts passed in 2001 were temporary and are set to expire in a few years. Should those tax cuts be made permanent or should they be allowed to expire?

Made permanent Allowed to expire Depends(vol.) DK/NA 1/18-21/07 CBS 39 39 7 15 3/7-11/07 43 40 5 12 8/15-20/08 47 34 3 16 9/12-16/08 42 36 5 18 10/19-22/08 41 39 6 14 26. Do you think it is a good idea or a bad idea to raise income taxes on households and businesses that make MORE than $250,000 a year in order to help provide health insurance for people who are not covered by health insurance? Good idea Bad idea DK/10/19-22/08 62 33 5

NA

Page 16: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 16 -

27. Is your opinion of Colin Powell favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Colin Powell yet to have an opinion? Not Not heard Favorable Favorable Undecided enough Refused 3/4-6/91 56 2 9 32 - 10/29-11/1/94 51 5 20 23 1 3/12-14/95 41 5 17 38 1 8/5-9/95 41 5 17 36 1 10/22-25/95 41 9 25 25 3/31-4/2/96* 51 6 17 26 8/3-5/96* 55 5 20 19 1 8/16-18/96* 61 6 14 19 - 4/23-25/01 CBS 59 5 17 18 - 4/15-18/02 CBS 60 4 16 19 1 4/23-27/04 66 8 19 7 110/19-22/08 53 10 18 18 1

29. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Joe Biden yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 28-29 WERE ROTATED Not Haven’t Favorable Fav Undecided heard enough Refused 5/5-6/87 3 3 14 84 9/21-22/87 3 16 14 67 10/18-22/87 8 15 13 62 2 1/1-3/07 CBS 9 14 20 57 9/14-16/07 CBS 9 15 19 56 1 8/15-20/08 13 12 18 54 2 9/12-16/08* 38 17 17 28 - 9/21-24/08* 33 17 18 32 - 9/27-30/08* CBS 34 19 14 32 - 10/3-5/08* CBS 40 19 18 22 1 10/10-13/08* 43 21 16 19 - 10/19-22/08* 43 20 18 19 - 30. Is your opinion of Sarah Palin favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Sarah Palin yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 28-29 WERE ROTATED Not Haven’t Favorable Fav Undecided heard enough Refused 9/12-16/08* 40 30 15 15 - 9/21-24/08* 37 29 14 18 1 9/27-30/08* CBS 32 33 15 21 - 10/3-5/08* CBS 40 32 12 15 1 10/10-13/08* 32 41 16 10 -10/19-22/08* 31 40 17 12 -

Page 17: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 17 -

31. Do you think it is better for the country to have a President who comes from the same political party that controls Congress, or do you think it is better to have a President from one political party and the Congress controlled by another? Better when Better when same party different parties DK/NA 9/89 35 34 20 9/92* 47 31 22 8/95 41 38 21 1/96 43 37 20 1/96* 43 37 20 4/96 46 34 20 4/96* 50 31 19 6/96 44 33 23 6/96* 45 32 23 6/96B* 49 31 20 7/96* 43 34 22 10/3-5/02* 38 56 18 10/27-31/02* 38 44 18 11/20-24/02 36 41 24 1/12-15/04 33 44 23 9/9-13/05 32 41 27 1/20-25/06 32 44 24 5/4-8/06 29 49 22 2/8-11/07 CBS 33 47 20 10/19-22/08* 36 41 22 32. Is your opinion of Michelle Obama favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Michelle Obama yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 19 AND 20 WERE ROTATED. Not Haven’t Favorable Fav Undecided heard enough Refused 2/20-24/08 DPV* 32 6 13 48 1 4/25-29/08* 22 19 12 46 1 4/25-29/08 DPV* 34 10 14 41 1 7/7-14/08* 29 16 17 37 1 8/29-31/08* CB 41 21 16 22 10/19-22/08* 36 16 17 29 2

S

33. Is your opinion of Cindy McCain favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Cindy McCain yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 19 AND 20 WERE ROTATED. Not Haven’t Favorable Fav Undecided heard enough Refused 4/25-29/08* 18 7 14 61 1 4/25-29/08 RPV* 39 1 14 45 1 7/7-14/08* 18 8 17 55 2 10/19-22/08* 26 15 20 37 2

QUESTIONS 35-47 ROTATED WITH 51-63 35. Do you think Barack Obama has the right kind of temperament and personality to be a good president, or not?

Yes No DK/NA 10/10-13/08* 69 23 7 10/19-22/08* 75 19 6

Page 18: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 18 -

36. Do you think Barack Obama does or does not understand the needs and problems of people like yourself? Yes No DK/NA 9/12-16/08* 60 33 6 9/21-24/08* 66 27 7 9/27-30/08* CBS 67 28 4 10/10-13/08* 64 29 6 10/19-22/08* 68 28 5 37. Do you have confidence in Barack Obama's ability to deal wisely with a crisis or are you uneasy about his approach? Confidence Uneasy DK/10/19-22/08* 49 47 4

NA

38. Do you think Barack Obama has prepared himself well enough for the job of President, or hasn’t he? Has prepared Has not prepared DK/NA 8/15-19/08* 44 49 8 9/12-16/08* 48 46 6 9/27-30/08* CBS 52 43 5 10/10-13/08* 51 41 8 10/19-22/08* 56 38 6 39. How confident are you in Barack Obama's ability to make the right decisions about the economy — are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all confident confident confident confident DK/NA 2/20-24/08* 20 46 19 12 3 3/28-4/2/08* 17 45 21 15 2 7/31-8/5/08* CBS 12 40 24 21 3 8/15-19/08* 23 42 16 18 1 9/12-16/08* 23 37 22 17 1 9/21-24/08* 29 35 20 14 1 9/27-30/08* CBS 26 35 24 15 1 10/10-13/08* 22 38 20 19 1 10/19-22/08* 28 37 16 16 2

Page 19: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 19 -

40. How confident are you in Barack Obama's ability to make the right decisions about the war in Iraq — are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all Confident confident confident confident DK/NA 2/20-24/08* 20 37 21 19 3 9/12-16/08* 26 26 19 27 1 9/21-24/08* 26 30 24 18 2 9/27-30/08* CBS 25 28 20 26 1 10/3-5/08* CBS 25 27 18 27 3 10/19-22/08* 28 28 20 23 2 41. How confident are you in Barack Obama's ability to make the right decisions about health care — are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all confident confident confident confident DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* 17 44 19 16 4 10/10-13/08* 28 38 13 20 1 10/19-22/08* 36 33 13 16 2 42. If Barack Obama were elected President, how many of his campaign goals do you think he will be able to accomplish – all of them, most of them, just some of them or hardly any? All Most Some Hardly any None (vol) DK/NA10/19-22/08* 3 30 49 14 1 3

43. Do you think Barack Obama has a clear idea of what he wants to accomplish as President, or don't you think he has a clear idea? Clear idea Not clear DK/NA 10/19-22/08* 81 16 3 44. If Barack Obama is elected President, do you think the policies of his Administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same? Rich Middle Poor Treat all the same DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* 13 30 18 33 7 10/19-22/08* 8 38 22 24 7 45. Regardless of how you intend to vote, does Barack Obama make you feel mostly comfortable about him personally or mostly uneasy about him personally? Comfortable Uneasy DK/NA 10/19-22/08* 62 34 4 46. Does Barack Obama make you feel inspired about the future of the country, or not? Yes No Sometimes (vol.) DK/NA 2/20-24/08 DPV* 69 26 3 210/19-22/08* 53 42 2 2

Page 20: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 20 -

10/10-13/08* 12 36 29 23 110/19-22/08* 12 35 27 25 1

47. Do you think Barack Obama has more honesty and integrity than most people in public life? (If No, ask:) Do you think Barack Obama has less honesty and integrity than most people in public life or about the same honesty and integrity as most people in public life?

Yes, more Less Same DK/NA 1/18-21/07 CBS 41 2 15 42 4/25-29/08* 45 14 33 8 10/19-22/08* 53 12 27 8 51. Do you think John McCain has the right kind of temperament and personality to be a good president, or not?

Yes No DK/NA 10/10-13/08* 53 42 5 10/19-22/08* 50 45 5 52. Do you think John McCain does or does not understand the needs and problems of people like yourself? Yes No DK/NA 9/12-16/08* 48 47 5 9/21-24/08* 49 45 6 9/27-30/08* CBS 46 49 4 10/10-13/08* 43 53 4 10/19-22/08* 42 53 4 53. Do you have confidence in John McCain's ability to deal wisely with a crisis or are you uneasy about his approach? Confidence Uneasy DK/NA 10/19-22/08* 46 51 3 54. Do you think John McCain has prepared himself well enough for the job of President, or hasn’t he? Has prepared Has not prepared DK/NA 8/15-19/08* 68 25 6 9/12-16/08* 71 24 6 9/27-30/08* CBS 60 34 6 10/10-13/08* 64 33 410/19-22/08* 64 32 4

55. How confident are you in John McCain's ability to make the right decisions about the economy – are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all confident confident confident confident DK/NA 2/20-24/08* 11 47 24 14 4 3/28-4/2/08* 11 43 21 21 4 7/31-8/5/08* CBS 9 41 29 18 3 8/15-19/08* 11 43 28 16 1 9/12-16/08* 18 35 22 24 1 9/21-24/08* 17 38 25 20 1 9/27-30/08* CBS 15 34 26 24 1

Page 21: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 21 -

56. How confident are you in John McCain's ability to make the right decisions about the war in Iraq — are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all Confident confident confident confident DK/NA 2/20-24/08* 27 31 18 22 2 9/12-16/08* 36 20 17 26 1 9/21-24/08* 30 28 20 21 1 9/27-30/08* CBS 31 23 19 26 1 10/3-5/08* CBS 34 24 16 23 3 10/19-22/08* 32 21 19 26 2 57. How confident are you in John McCain's ability to make the right decisions about health care — are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all confident confident confident confident DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* 11 39 25 19 5 10/10-13/08* 10 34 27 27 2 10/19-22/08* 11 30 26 30 2 58. If John McCain were elected President, how many of his campaign goals do you think he will be able to accomplish – all of them, most of them, just some of them or hardly any? All Most Some Hardly any None (vol) DK/NA10/19-22/08* 2 19 50 23 2 4

59. Do you think John McCain has a clear idea of what he wants to accomplish as President, or don't you think he has a clear idea? Clear idea Not clear DK/NA 11/4-7/99* 37 23 40 10/19-22/08* 65 32 3 60. If John McCain is elected President, do you think the policies of his Administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same? Rich Middle Poor Treat all the same DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* 53 16 - 23 7 10/19-22/08* 59 11 3 21 6 61. Regardless of how you intend to vote, does John McCain make you feel mostly comfortable about him personally or mostly uneasy about him personally? fortable Uneasy DK/NA10/19-22/08* 47 49 3

Com

62. Does John McCain make you feel inspired about the future of the country, or not? Yes No Sometimes (vol.) DK/10/19-22/08* 27 68 2 3

NA

Page 22: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 22 -

63. Do you think John McCain has more honesty and integrity than most people in public life? (If No, ask:) Do you think John McCain has less honesty and integrity than most people in public life or about the same honesty and integrity as most people in public life?

Yes, more Less Same DK/NA 2/22-26/06 CBS 41 5 19 35 4/25-29/08* 47 12 31 10 10/19-22/08* 46 13 34 7 66. If John McCain were elected president, do you think he would generally continue George W. Bush's policies, or not? Continue policies Not continue policies Some/not others (vol) DK/NA 10/19-22/08* 54 38 3 5 67. What do you think Barack Obama has been spending more time doing in his campaign — explaining what he would do as president or attacking John McCain? QUESTIONS 67-68 WERE ROTATED. Explaining Attacking DK/NA 7/7-14/08* 73 17 10 8/15-19/08* 61 26 13 9/21-24/08* 56 35 9 10/10-13/08* 63 27 10 10/19-22/08* 69 22 9 68. What do you think John McCain has been spending more time doing in his campaign — explaining what he would do as president or attacking Barack Obama? QUESTIONS 67-68 WERE ROTATED. Explaining Attacking DK/NA 7/7-14/08* 63 26 11 8/15-19/08* 38 52 10 9/21-24/08* 38 53 9 10/10-13/08* 31 61 8 10/19-22/08* 27 64 8 69. If Barack Obama is elected President, do you think the policies of his administration would favor whites over blacks, favor blacks over whites, or would they treat both groups the same? QUESTIONS 69-70 WERE ROTATED.

Favor whites Favor blacks Treat both over blacks over whites the same DK/NA

7/7-14/08* 1 13 81 4 10/10-13/08* - 15 79 6 10/19-22/08* - 11 84 5 70. If John McCain is elected President, do you think the policies of his administration would favor whites over blacks, favor blacks over whites, or would they treat both groups the same? QUESTIONS 69-70 WERE ROTATED.

Favor whites Favor blacks Treat both over blacks over whites the same DK/NA

7/7-14/08* 16 1 77 6 10/10-13/08* 20 - 74 6 10/19-22/08* 19 - 74 7

Page 23: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 23 -

73. Do you approve or disapprove of the economic bailout plan that was passed by Congress and signed into law by the President? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 10/10-13/08 28 53 19 10/19-22/08 32 53 15 RELATED TREND: DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF THE ECONOMIC BAILOUT PLAN THAT WAS VOTED ON BY CONGRESS THIS PAST WEEK? APPROVE DISAPPROVE DK/NA 10

/3-5/08 CBS 31 51 18

74. Do you approve or disapprove of the federal government buying direct ownership into some of the country's largest banks in an effort to encourage lending? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 10/19-22/08 39 48 13 75. From what you know, do you think that the recent government actions to lessen the current economic crisis will make things better, make things worse, or will it have no impact? Better Worse No impact DK/NA 10/19-22/08 42 17 31 10 RELATED TREND: From what you know, do you think the economic bailout plan passed by Congress in an effort to lessen the current economic crisis will make things better, make things worse, or will it have no impact? Better Worse No impact DK/NA 10/10-13/08 34 15 38 13 76. How concerned are you that in the next 12 months you or someone else in your household might be out of work and looking for a job — very concerned, somewhat concerned, or not concerned at all?

Very Somewhat Not at all DK/NA 3/31-4/2/96 37 25 37 1 9/2-4/96 21 26 51 2 10/3-5/02 31 20 48 1 4/23-27/04 33 25 41 1 5/20-23/04 CBS 31 29 40 6/23-27/04 28 27 45 - 9/12-16/04 30 26 44 - 10/14-15/04* 20 26 54 6/10-15/05 20 18 61 1 9/12-16/08 21 23 56 - 10/10-13/08 23 28 49 1 10/19-22/08 35 26 38 1

Page 24: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 24 -

77. Think about your household income, would you say that it is more than enough so that you can save and buy some extras, just enough to meet your bills and obligations, or it is not enough to meet your bills and obligations? Can save and Just enough to pay Not enough to buy extras bills and obligations pay bills etc. DK/NA 3/31-4/2/96 27 55 16 2 5/31-6/3/96 24 57 19 1 1/14-18/05 33 48 17 2 7/21-25/06 35 52 12 - 9/15-19/06 34 51 15 - 10/5-8/06 36 46 17 1 10/27-31/06 38 44 17 1 2/24-27/07 37 49 13 1 4/20-24/07 41 48 11 1 12/5-9/07 35 51 13 1 1/30-2/2/08 CBS 33 46 21 2/20-24/08 38 46 13 2 4/25-29/08 27 48 23 1 5/30-6/3/08 CBS 33 47 18 2 9/12-16/08 37 44 17 2 9/21-24/08 36 44 19 1 10/10-13/08 30 51 18 1 10/19-22/08 29 51 20 1 78. Thinking about your household's financial future — do you feel very secure about your household's financial future, somewhat secure, not very secure, or do you feel not at all secure about your household's financial future? Very Somewhat Not very Not at all DK/NA 1/14-18/05 24 54 12 9 1 8/15-19/08 22 52 19 7 1 10/19-22/08 19 49 18 12 1 79. Is there anyone you know who SUPPORTS Barack Obama mainly because Obama is black? Yes No DK/10/19-22/08* 21 78 2

NA

80. Is there anyone you know who DOES NOT support Barack Obama mainly because Obama is black? Yes No DK/10/19-22/08* 33 65 2

NA

81. If you do vote in the November 4th election, will you vote by mail or by turning in an absentee ballot, OR will you vote at your precinct polling place on Election Day? IF ABSENTEE ASK: As of today, have you already returned your absentee ballot or are you still planning to vote absentee? 10/19-22/08* Mail/absentee ballot - already returned 4 Mail/absentee - planning to vote 9 Precinct voter 76 Early voter - already voted(vol.) 1 Early voter - planning to vote(vol.) 8 DK/NA 2

Page 25: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 25 -

Did you vote in the 2004 presidential election, did something prevent you from voting, or did you choose not to vote? IF VOTED, ASK: Did you vote for John Kerry, George W. Bush, or Ralph Nader? Voted, won’t

Kerry Bush Nader say whom(vol.) Didn't vote DK/NA 10/19-22/08* 38 40 2 2 16 2 Did you vote in a Democratic primary or caucus this year, or not? IF VOTED IN DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY OR CAUCUS, ASK: Did you vote for Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, or someone else? IF VOTED IN A DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY OR CAUCUS, ASK: Did you vote for Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, or someone else? 10/19-22/08* Obama 16 Clinton 16 Someone else 2 Republican primary 18 Didn't vote 46 Never vote(vol.) 1 DK/NA 2 83. If you were asked to use one of these five names for your social class, which would you say you belong in — upper class, upper-middle class, middle class, working class, or lower class?

Upper -middle ddle king wer DK/NA 10/19-22/08 2 12 47 32 7 -

Upper Mi Wor Lo

84. Would you say you attend religious services every week, almost every week, once or twice a month, a few times a year, or never? Every week Almost every week Once/twice month Few times a year Never DK/NA 10/19-22/08 25 7 14 30 22 1 Some people think of themselves as evangelical or born again Christians. Do you ever think of yourself in either of these ways? Yes No DK/NA 10/19-22/08 26 73 1 What is your religious preference today? Protestant Catholic Jewish Other None DK/NA 10/19-22/08 50 26 2 6 12 4 Are you now married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married? Never Married Widowed Divorced Separated married DK/NA 10/19-22/08 57 7 10 2 24 -

Page 26: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 26 -

Generally speaking, do you usually consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what? Rep Dem Ind DK/NA Rep Dem Ind DK/NA 1/92A 29 35 31 5 7/00B 31 36 26 7 1/92B 28 32 35 5 9/00A 31 33 27 9 2/92A 32 37 27 4 9/00D 28 37 27 8 2/92B 30 33 32 5 10/00 29 35 30 7 3/92 30 38 27 5 11/00 27 36 29 9 4/92 30 38 27 5 11/00L 31 34 28 7 5/92A 30 33 31 6 3/8-12/01 31 35 29 5 6/92 33 33 29 5 6/14-18/01 27 36 30 7 7/92 29 34 32 5 10/25-28/01 32 37 23 8 7/92B 26 38 28 8 12/7-10/01 30 32 30 8 8/92A 28 33 33 5 1/21-24/02 28 34 31 7 8/92D 27 32 33 8 4/28-5/1/02 33 37 23 8 8/92E 28 35 29 8 7/13-16/02 28 34 33 5 9/92A 28 34 33 5 9/2-5/02 29 35 26 10 10/92A 29 35 31 5 10/3-5/02 27 38 28 7 10/92C 29 36 31 5 10/27-31/02 31 34 28 7 10/92D 28 37 31 4 11/20-24/02 29 32 31 8 10/92E 28 38 29 5 1/19-22/03 29 32 33 6 12/92 28 39 28 5 2/10-12/03 28 34 31 6 1/93 30 36 28 6 3/7-9/03 29 32 30 9 2/93 28 36 30 6 4/11-13/03 31 30 32 6 3/93 26 37 30 7 7/13-27/03 27 32 34 7 5/93A 29 34 29 8 9/28-10/1/03 31 35 30 4 6/93A 29 34 32 5 12/10-13/03 27 33 35 6 6/93B 31 37 27 5 12/14-15/03 28 31 35 6 9/93 26 36 32 6 1/12-15/04 28 32 33 8 11/93 29 38 29 4 3/10-14/04 31 30 32 7 1/94 30 30 34 6 4/23-27/04 29 35 29 7 2/94 28 33 32 7 6/23-27/04 29 35 29 7 3/94 30 34 29 7 7/11-15/04 29 37 30 4 4/94 32 32 30 6 9/12-16/04 33 31 29 7 7/94 27 35 31 6 10/1-3/04 29 34 28 10 9/94 28 36 34 3 10/14-17/04 30 34 29 7 11/94 31 34 29 6 10/28-30/04 30 35 30 6 12/94 31 32 29 7 11/18-21/04 29 36 30 5 2/95 30 33 32 5 1/14-18/05 31 34 28 8 4/95 30 30 34 6 2/24-28/05 29 36 29 6 8/95 30 35 29 6 6/10-15/05 28 34 31 6 9/95 28 33 30 9 9/9-13/05 26 36 28 9 10/95 31 35 27 7 12/2-6/05 28 32 33 7 12/95 32 35 26 6 1/20-25/06 29 34 33 4 12/95 27 33 33 7 5/4-8/06 25 37 34 4 1/96 29 35 31 5 7/21-25/06 31 33 30 5 2/96 30 35 31 4 8/17-21/06 30 35 27 8 4/96 31 36 28 5 9/15-19/06 30 32 32 5 6/96 27 39 29 5 10/5-8/06 30 35 30 6 6/96 NYT 26 37 32 5 10/27-31/06 28 35 31 7 7/96 31 34 29 6 2/24-27/07 25 35 33 6 8/96 32 41 24 3 3/7-11/07 27 35 33 6 8/96C 30 34 28 8 4/20-24/07 24 34 36 6 9/96 29 36 29 6 5/18-23/07 29 37 32 3 10/96 28 40 25 7 7/9-17/07 28 34 34 4 10/96C 28 37 27 7 7/20-22/07 24 32 36 9 11/96 28 38 28 7 9/4-8/07 31 32 33 5 12/96 28 39 24 9 12/5-9/07 26 35 31 8 1/97 29 32 33 6 1/9-12/08 28 40 27 5 4/97 29 36 26 8 2/20-24/08 27 38 29 6 1/98 27 34 30 8 3/28-4/2/08 26 41 27 6 1/98B 26 35 31 7 4/25-29/08 27 37 31 5 2/98 31 32 30 8 5/1-3/08 29 39 27 5 4/98 28 31 33 8 7/7-14/08 26 37 31 6 6/98 28 32 30 10 8/15-20/08 29 37 26 8 7/98 28 35 30 7 9/12-16/08 28 39 26 7 8/98 26 37 29 8 9/21-24/08 28 34 32 6 9/98B 26 35 31 7 10/10-13/08 28 36 29 7 9/98C 27 35 32 6 10/19-22/08 26 41 28 5 10/98A 24 37 32 7 10/98B 27 39 28 6 12/98 27 37 30 6 1/99 25 37 33 5 4/99 30 34 28 7 11/99 28 37 30 5 2/00 28 37 28 6 5/00 31 34 27 7

Page 27: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 27 -

7/00 22 38 33 7

How would you describe your views on most political matters? Generally, do you think of yourself as liberal, moderate, or conservative? Lib Mod Con DK/NA Lib Mod Con DK/NA 1/92A 19 41 34 6 7/00B 22 43 30 5 1/92B 21 43 30 5 9/00A 20 42 32 6 2/92A 19 39 36 6 9/00D 20 42 32 5 2/92B 20 43 31 6 12/7-10/01 23 39 33 4 3/92 20 47 30 4 1/21-24/02 22 44 29 5 4/92 18 44 33 4 4/28-5/1/02 22 38 35 6 5/92A 21 40 34 4 7/13-16/02 21 44 32 4 6/92 23 39 32 6 9/2-5/02 20 39 36 5 7/92 20 42 32 6 10/3-5/02 18 45 34 3 7/92B 21 41 30 8 10/27-31/02 20 38 37 5 8/92A 20 45 30 6 11/20-24/02 20 44 30 6 8/92D 22 44 27 7 1/19-22/03 19 45 32 3 9/92A 19 46 31 4 2/10-12/03 21 41 35 3 10/92C 22 39 34 5 3/7-9/03 18 45 35 3 10/92D 21 39 33 6 4/11-13/03 19 45 33 3 10/92E 21 40 33 6 7/13-27/03 22 40 34 5 2/92 20 41 34 5 9/28-10/1/03 19 42 34 5 1/93 18 45 32 6 12/10-13/03 20 45 31 4 2/93 23 41 31 5 12/14-15/03 19 39 37 5 3/93 22 39 34 5 1/12-15/04 20 43 31 5 5/93A 21 41 33 5 3/10-14/04 21 40 34 5 6/93A 19 43 32 6 4/23-27/04 22 42 30 6 6/93B 19 44 31 6 6/23-27/04 21 42 32 5 9/93 19 43 34 4 7/11-15/04 22 41 34 3 11/93 21 41 33 5 9/12-16/04 20 40 36 4 1/94 17 44 34 6 10/1-3/04 24 36 35 6 2/94 18 41 34 7 10/14-17/04 19 42 33 6 3/94 21 38 35 5 10/28-30/04 17 42 35 5 4/94 19 42 33 6 11/18-21/04 22 41 33 4 9/94 20 42 35 4 1/14-18/05 20 41 33 6 11/94 20 41 35 4 2/24-28/05 23 38 35 5 12/94 18 40 36 6 6/10-15/05 20 43 33 4 2/95 19 39 37 4 9/9-13/05 18 43 34 5 4/95 19 42 34 5 12/2-6/05 18 45 32 5 8/95 19 40 35 5 1/20-25/06 21 45 30 4 9/95 20 39 33 8 5/4-8/06 25 37 34 4 12/95 32 35 26 6 7/21-25/06 21 39 36 4 12/95 27 33 33 7 8/17-21/06 24 38 33 5 10/95 16 44 34 5 9/15-19/06 17 43 35 4 12/95 17 46 33 4 10/5-8/06 23 39 34 3 12/95 15 46 34 5 10/27-31/06 20 45 30 5 1/96 20 42 35 4 2/24-27/07 20 42 33 6 2/96 17 45 34 4 3/7-11/07 20 40 36 4 4/96 18 47 31 4 4/20-24/07 21 42 33 5 6/96 19 46 29 6 5/18-23/07 20 43 32 5 6/96 16 48 32 4 7/9-17/07 19 44 33 4 7/96 20 42 34 3 7/20-22/07 15 48 31 5 8/96 17 47 30 6 9/4-8/07 22 42 32 4 8/96C 18 43 33 6 12/5-9/07 22 43 31 4 9/96 16 44 34 6 1/9-12/08 25 39 32 4 10/96 16 47 31 7 2/20-24/08 23 41 29 6 10/96C 18 45 32 6 3/28-4/2/08 21 39 34 5 11/96 15 48 32 6 4/25-29/08 22 41 33 4 12/96 17 40 35 8 5/1-3/08 15 49 32 4 1/97 17 46 33 4 7/7-14/08 22 41 32 5 4/97 19 42 34 5 8/15-20/08 24 36 35 5 12/97 21 42 33 5 9/12-16/08 24 39 33 4 1/98 19 40 33 7 9/21-24/08 22 38 36 4 2/98 21 42 33 4 10/10-13/08 18 49 29 4 4/98 18 42 35 5 10/19-22/08 21 39 33 7 6/98 20 39 34 7 7/98 20 42 33 5 8/98 21 43 31 5 9/98 21 41 34 5 9/98C 21 41 31 6 10/98B 20 41 33 5 12/98 20 41 34 5 1/99 20 45 30 4 4/99 19 46 29 6 11/99 22 43 31 5 2/00 21 44 31 4 5/00 21 41 34 4

Page 28: October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/politics/oct08d.trn.pdf · POLL October 19-22, 2008 N= 1,152 Registered Voters= 1,046 All trends

- 28 -

What was the last grade in school you completed? Not a Some College H.S. grad H.S. grad college grad Post Grad Refused 10/19-22/08 7 34 31 18 9 - How old are you? -29 30-44 45-64 Over 6410/19-22/08 22 29 33 16

18

Are you of Hispanic origin or descent, or not? pan Hispanic DK/N10/19-22/08 8 91 1

His ic Not A

Are you white, black, Asian or some other race? White Black Asian Other Refused 10/19-22/08 79 11 2 7 1 Was your total family income in 2005 UNDER or OVER $50,000? IF UNDER, ASK: Was it under $15,000, between $15,000 and $30,000, or between $30,000 and $50,000? IF OVER, ASK: Was it between $50,000 and $75,000 or between $75,000 and $100,000 or was it over $100,000?

Under $15,000- $30,000- $50,000- $75,000- Over $15,000 $29,999 $49,999 $74,999 $100,000 $100,000 Refused 10/19-22/08 6 14 20 22 13 20 5 Male Female 10/19-22/08 48 52