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OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality Evidence-based, policy-oriented research on inequalities What Does International Experience Tell us about Inequality and Social Insurance? Mark Pearson, Deputy Director Employment, Labour and Social Affairs, OECD

OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

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Page 1: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD Centre for

Opportunity and EqualityEvidence-based, policy-oriented research on inequalities

What Does International Experience

Tell us about Inequality and Social

Insurance?

Mark Pearson, Deputy Director

Employment, Labour and Social Affairs, OECD

Page 2: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

• “Rising income inequality is the defining challenge of our times”

(President Obama, US)

• “Inequality can no longer be treated as an afterthought. We need to

focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A.

Gurría, OECD)

• “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally and politically correct,

but it is good economics” (C. Lagarde, IMF)

2008 2011 2015

Three Major OECD reports since 2008

Page 3: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

The rise in non-standard workcontributed to higher inequality

33%

It is not only about poverty, it is about the bottom 40%

High wealth concentration limits investment opportunities

Rising inequality drags down economic growth.Social mobility is lowered

More women in the workforce means less household income inequality

Inequality has reached record highs in most OECD countries

“In It Together”: the bottom lines

Page 4: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

Large country differences in levels of

income inequality

Source: OECD Income Distribution Database (www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm)Note: the Gini coefficient ranges from 0 (perfect equality) to 1 (perfect inequality). Income refers to cash disposable income adjusted for household size. Data refer to 2013 or latest year available.

Page 5: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

It is not just about income: wealth is much

more unequally distributed

Share of income and wealth going to different parts of the income

and wealth distribution, respectively, around 2013

Source: OECD (2015), “In It Together”http://www.oecd.org/social/in-it-together-why-less-inequality-benefits-all-9789264235120-en.htmOECD wealth questionnaire and ECB-HFCS survey and OECD Income Distribution Database www.oecd.org/social/inequality.htmNote: Income refers to disposable household income, corrected for household size. Wealth refers to net household wealth.

Page 6: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

Rather than continuous long-term trends,

“episodes” of inequality increases

Long-term trends in inequality of disposable income

Source: OECD (2015), “In It Together”, http://www.oecd.org/social/in-it-together-why-less-inequality-benefits-all-9789264235120-en.htm OECD Income Distribution Database, www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htmNote: Income refers to disposable income adjusted for household size.

Page 7: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

At the same age, income inequality has

increased across cohorts

Gini coefficients by age group across cohorts

OECD average (left panel) versus USA (right panel)

Source: Generation Next: How to Prevent Ageing Unequally (forthcoming) based on Luxembourg Income Study (LIS)

0.24

0.26

0.28

0.30

0.32

0.34

0.36

0.38

0.40

0.42

20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80

Ave

rage

Gin

i co

eff

icie

nt*

Born 1920-1929

Born 1940-1949

Born 1960-1969

Born 1980-1989

0.24

0.26

0.28

0.30

0.32

0.34

0.36

0.38

0.40

0.42

20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80

Ave

rage

Gin

i co

eff

icie

nt*

Born 1920-1929

Born 1940-1949

Born 1960-1969

Born 1980-1989

Page 8: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

Poverty rates fell for the elderly but remain

high in the USA, especially for the 75+

Poverty rates for each age group

OECD average (left panel) versus USA (right panel)

Source: OECD Income Distribution Database

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Mid-1980s Mid-1990s 2007 2013 or latest

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Mid-1980s Mid-1990s 2007 2013 or latest

Page 9: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

Redistribution became weaker in most

countries until the onset of the crisis

Trends in market income inequality reduction, working age population

Source: OECD Income Distribution Database, www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm

Page 10: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

Cash transfers do more redistribution than

taxes, except in the United States

Respective redistributive effects of direct taxes and cash transfers,

2011

Source: OECD Income Distribution Database, www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm, preliminary data. Note: data refer to the working-age population

Page 11: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

Full career workers might have above

average replacement rates, if they have

voluntary pensions

Net pension replacement rates for average earners,

% of individual earnings

Source: OECD pension models

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Voluntary Mandatory

OECD average

Page 12: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

% of average earnings

Basic (residence) Safety-net

Safety nets for older people are low in the

US

Value of first-tier benefits as a percentage of average earnings

Source: Chapter 2, OECD Pensions at a Glance 2015

Page 13: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

With voluntary pension at 47% low income

at old age may become a reality

Coverage of private pension schemes as a percentage of those aged

15-64, 2013

Source: Estimates from OECD Global Pension Statistics and OECD calculations using survey data

0

20

40

60

80

100

Page 14: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

Survivors’ pension benefit levels are

generous

Survivors’ pensions as a % of primary pensions and public expenditure

on survivors’ pensions

Source: Whitehouse, E.R. (2013), “Adequacy and Sustainability of Pension Systems: Evidence from Europe”, OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Paper, OECD Publishing; James, E. (2009), “Rethinking Survivor Benefits”, World Bank, SocialProtection and Labor Discussion Paper, No. 928.

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

AUS GBR CZE ESP FRA SWE DEU CAN ITA JPN POL MEX USA

Generosity (% of primary pension, left axis) Expenditure (%of GDP, right axis)

Page 15: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

Main recent reforms in OECD countries

1. Half of all countries have raised the statutory retirement age: to

increase by 1.5 years on average

2. Direct cuts in pensions rare: Indirect cuts were more frequent via lessgenerous indexation, tighter targeting

3. Increase in targeted benefits (eg Ireland, Japan, Luxembourg) and

reduction in the impact of career breaks on pensions (eg France,

Germany, Canada)

4. More financial incentives to work longer and greater flexibility to

combine work and pensions (eg Australia, Austria, Canada, Norway,

Sweden)

5. Extend coverage through softer eligibility conditions (eg Japan), new targeted benefit (eg Korea), matching contributions/auto-enrolment

of voluntary schemes (eg New Zealand, Canada, UK), new scheme

(MyRA in the USA)

6. Higher contributions in DC schemes (eg Australia, Israel, Norway, UK)

Page 16: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

Public investment in Children in the United

States starts late...

Note: The spending profile for the United States includes public spending on the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), which is largely paid to working families with childrenSource: OECD Family Database

Average social spending by age of child in USD PPP, 2011

Average social spending by age of child in USD PPP, 2011

Page 17: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

The U.S. is the only OECD country without

national paid parental leave

Source: OECD Social Expenditure database

Public expenditure on maternity, parental and paternity leave, as a % of GDP, 2011

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

% of GDP

Public expenditure on maternity, parental and paternity leave, as a %

of GDP, 2011

Page 18: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

Leave payment rates in California

compare well with maternity payment

rates in other Anglophone countries

Source: OECD Family Database and data provided by the State of California, Employment Development Department, the “Disability Insurance and Parent Leave Weekly Benefit Amounts” schedule for 2013

Proportion of previous gross earnings replaced by maternity benefit across paid maternity leave (Short-term disability insurance and paid family leave for California), by level of earnings, 2013

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Payment rate (%)

100% of average earnings ↘ 50% of average earnings 150% of average earnings

Proportion of previous gross earnings replaced by maternity benefit

across paid maternity leave (short-term disability insurance and paid

family leave for California), by level of earnings, 2013

Page 19: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

In the past 15 years, about 1/3 of OECD

countries have increased fathers’ leave

Length of paid leave reserved for fathers, 1970, 1990, 2000 and 2014

In weeks

Source: OECD Family DatabaseNote: Information refers to entitlements to paternity leave, 'father quotas' or periods of parental leave that can be used only by the father and cannot be transferred to the mother, and any weeks of sharable leave that must be taken by the father in orderfor the family to qualify for 'bonus' weeks of parental leave.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

Weeks

2014 2000 1990 1970

Page 20: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

Public long-term care systems do not

always protect people from poverty

Source: OECD Social Protection for Long-Term Care dataset (unpublished, provisional data)

Disposable income as a proportion of the poverty threshold

for over-65s with median income receiving home care for

moderate needs (2014 estimates)

The situation in the United States• People not protected from poverty risks

• Medicaid provides a safety net

guaranteeing a minimum level of

remaining income

• But in many states this is well below the

relative poverty threshold

What other countries are doing…Comprehensive coverage

• e.g. Netherlands and Sweden

• Out-of-pocket payments low for everyone

• No one pushed into poverty by care costs

• High public expenditure ~3-4% GDP

England

• Similar system to the US but higher income

guarantees just above poverty threshold

• People who qualify for social care are

protected from poverty risks

• Lower public expenditure ~1% GDP

Home care

Page 21: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

People in institutional care can be left with

only a small amount of “pocket money”

Source: OECD Social Protection for Long-Term Care dataset (unpublished, provisional data)

Proportion of income remaining after care costs

for over-65s with median income receiving institutional care

for severe needs (2014 estimates)

Institutional care

$33 1.4%

$38 1.6%

kn 100 3%

£108 9%

Illinois

California

Croatia

England

€96 10%

€442 13%

France

Luxembourg

kr 74,696 26%Iceland

€662 39%Netherlands

% m

ed

ian

ov

er-

65

inc

om

e

Po

ck

et

mo

ne

y p

er

mo

nth

(20

14

)

A number of countries effectively set a level

of “pocket money” that people in

institutional care are allowed to keep – but

the US is the least generous.

Page 22: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

Reforms aim to balance concerns about

cost and social protection

England: managing budgets cuts and

providing universal coverage

• Considering adding universal element to

safety net system

• Plans delayed due to tight fiscal climate

• Budget cuts have led to services being

restricted to those with most severe needs

Japan: managing rising costs in the world’s

oldest society

• Social insurance scheme introduced in

2000

• Comprehensive coverage: at least 80-

90% of the cost of care

• Cost have risen since introduction

• People with lower-level needs moved to

prevention scheme to try to contain costs

Netherlands: containing increasing public spending

• Very comprehensive coverage

• Public spending has risen quickly in recent years

and is the highest in the OECD

• Major reforms aim to contain costs without

undermining protection

• Focus on involving families more in care

Slovenia: simplifying the system and

providing more protection

• System currently fragmented with some

gaps in coverage

• Major reforms aim to simplify multiple

benefits and provide more

comprehensive coverage

• Public spending expected to increase

Page 23: OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality · focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A. Gurría, OECD) • “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally

OECD/COPE

http://oe.cd/cope

Staying in touch with the OECD Centre for

Opportunity and Equality

Email me [email protected]

@OECD_socialFollow us on Twitter

http://oe.cd/copeVisit our website