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OECD Centre for
Opportunity and EqualityEvidence-based, policy-oriented research on inequalities
What Does International Experience
Tell us about Inequality and Social
Insurance?
Mark Pearson, Deputy Director
Employment, Labour and Social Affairs, OECD
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
• “Rising income inequality is the defining challenge of our times”
(President Obama, US)
• “Inequality can no longer be treated as an afterthought. We need to
focus the debate on how the benefits of growth are distributed” (A.
Gurría, OECD)
• “Reducing excessive inequality is not just morally and politically correct,
but it is good economics” (C. Lagarde, IMF)
2008 2011 2015
Three Major OECD reports since 2008
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
The rise in non-standard workcontributed to higher inequality
33%
It is not only about poverty, it is about the bottom 40%
High wealth concentration limits investment opportunities
Rising inequality drags down economic growth.Social mobility is lowered
More women in the workforce means less household income inequality
Inequality has reached record highs in most OECD countries
“In It Together”: the bottom lines
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
Large country differences in levels of
income inequality
Source: OECD Income Distribution Database (www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm)Note: the Gini coefficient ranges from 0 (perfect equality) to 1 (perfect inequality). Income refers to cash disposable income adjusted for household size. Data refer to 2013 or latest year available.
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
It is not just about income: wealth is much
more unequally distributed
Share of income and wealth going to different parts of the income
and wealth distribution, respectively, around 2013
Source: OECD (2015), “In It Together”http://www.oecd.org/social/in-it-together-why-less-inequality-benefits-all-9789264235120-en.htmOECD wealth questionnaire and ECB-HFCS survey and OECD Income Distribution Database www.oecd.org/social/inequality.htmNote: Income refers to disposable household income, corrected for household size. Wealth refers to net household wealth.
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
Rather than continuous long-term trends,
“episodes” of inequality increases
Long-term trends in inequality of disposable income
Source: OECD (2015), “In It Together”, http://www.oecd.org/social/in-it-together-why-less-inequality-benefits-all-9789264235120-en.htm OECD Income Distribution Database, www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htmNote: Income refers to disposable income adjusted for household size.
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
At the same age, income inequality has
increased across cohorts
Gini coefficients by age group across cohorts
OECD average (left panel) versus USA (right panel)
Source: Generation Next: How to Prevent Ageing Unequally (forthcoming) based on Luxembourg Income Study (LIS)
0.24
0.26
0.28
0.30
0.32
0.34
0.36
0.38
0.40
0.42
20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80
Ave
rage
Gin
i co
eff
icie
nt*
Born 1920-1929
Born 1940-1949
Born 1960-1969
Born 1980-1989
0.24
0.26
0.28
0.30
0.32
0.34
0.36
0.38
0.40
0.42
20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80
Ave
rage
Gin
i co
eff
icie
nt*
Born 1920-1929
Born 1940-1949
Born 1960-1969
Born 1980-1989
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
Poverty rates fell for the elderly but remain
high in the USA, especially for the 75+
Poverty rates for each age group
OECD average (left panel) versus USA (right panel)
Source: OECD Income Distribution Database
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Mid-1980s Mid-1990s 2007 2013 or latest
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Mid-1980s Mid-1990s 2007 2013 or latest
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
Redistribution became weaker in most
countries until the onset of the crisis
Trends in market income inequality reduction, working age population
Source: OECD Income Distribution Database, www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
Cash transfers do more redistribution than
taxes, except in the United States
Respective redistributive effects of direct taxes and cash transfers,
2011
Source: OECD Income Distribution Database, www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm, preliminary data. Note: data refer to the working-age population
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
Full career workers might have above
average replacement rates, if they have
voluntary pensions
Net pension replacement rates for average earners,
% of individual earnings
Source: OECD pension models
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Voluntary Mandatory
OECD average
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
% of average earnings
Basic (residence) Safety-net
Safety nets for older people are low in the
US
Value of first-tier benefits as a percentage of average earnings
Source: Chapter 2, OECD Pensions at a Glance 2015
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
With voluntary pension at 47% low income
at old age may become a reality
Coverage of private pension schemes as a percentage of those aged
15-64, 2013
Source: Estimates from OECD Global Pension Statistics and OECD calculations using survey data
0
20
40
60
80
100
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
Survivors’ pension benefit levels are
generous
Survivors’ pensions as a % of primary pensions and public expenditure
on survivors’ pensions
Source: Whitehouse, E.R. (2013), “Adequacy and Sustainability of Pension Systems: Evidence from Europe”, OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Paper, OECD Publishing; James, E. (2009), “Rethinking Survivor Benefits”, World Bank, SocialProtection and Labor Discussion Paper, No. 928.
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
AUS GBR CZE ESP FRA SWE DEU CAN ITA JPN POL MEX USA
Generosity (% of primary pension, left axis) Expenditure (%of GDP, right axis)
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
Main recent reforms in OECD countries
1. Half of all countries have raised the statutory retirement age: to
increase by 1.5 years on average
2. Direct cuts in pensions rare: Indirect cuts were more frequent via lessgenerous indexation, tighter targeting
3. Increase in targeted benefits (eg Ireland, Japan, Luxembourg) and
reduction in the impact of career breaks on pensions (eg France,
Germany, Canada)
4. More financial incentives to work longer and greater flexibility to
combine work and pensions (eg Australia, Austria, Canada, Norway,
Sweden)
5. Extend coverage through softer eligibility conditions (eg Japan), new targeted benefit (eg Korea), matching contributions/auto-enrolment
of voluntary schemes (eg New Zealand, Canada, UK), new scheme
(MyRA in the USA)
6. Higher contributions in DC schemes (eg Australia, Israel, Norway, UK)
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
Public investment in Children in the United
States starts late...
Note: The spending profile for the United States includes public spending on the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), which is largely paid to working families with childrenSource: OECD Family Database
Average social spending by age of child in USD PPP, 2011
Average social spending by age of child in USD PPP, 2011
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
The U.S. is the only OECD country without
national paid parental leave
Source: OECD Social Expenditure database
Public expenditure on maternity, parental and paternity leave, as a % of GDP, 2011
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
% of GDP
Public expenditure on maternity, parental and paternity leave, as a %
of GDP, 2011
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
Leave payment rates in California
compare well with maternity payment
rates in other Anglophone countries
Source: OECD Family Database and data provided by the State of California, Employment Development Department, the “Disability Insurance and Parent Leave Weekly Benefit Amounts” schedule for 2013
Proportion of previous gross earnings replaced by maternity benefit across paid maternity leave (Short-term disability insurance and paid family leave for California), by level of earnings, 2013
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Payment rate (%)
100% of average earnings ↘ 50% of average earnings 150% of average earnings
Proportion of previous gross earnings replaced by maternity benefit
across paid maternity leave (short-term disability insurance and paid
family leave for California), by level of earnings, 2013
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
In the past 15 years, about 1/3 of OECD
countries have increased fathers’ leave
Length of paid leave reserved for fathers, 1970, 1990, 2000 and 2014
In weeks
Source: OECD Family DatabaseNote: Information refers to entitlements to paternity leave, 'father quotas' or periods of parental leave that can be used only by the father and cannot be transferred to the mother, and any weeks of sharable leave that must be taken by the father in orderfor the family to qualify for 'bonus' weeks of parental leave.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
Weeks
2014 2000 1990 1970
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
Public long-term care systems do not
always protect people from poverty
Source: OECD Social Protection for Long-Term Care dataset (unpublished, provisional data)
Disposable income as a proportion of the poverty threshold
for over-65s with median income receiving home care for
moderate needs (2014 estimates)
The situation in the United States• People not protected from poverty risks
• Medicaid provides a safety net
guaranteeing a minimum level of
remaining income
• But in many states this is well below the
relative poverty threshold
What other countries are doing…Comprehensive coverage
• e.g. Netherlands and Sweden
• Out-of-pocket payments low for everyone
• No one pushed into poverty by care costs
• High public expenditure ~3-4% GDP
England
• Similar system to the US but higher income
guarantees just above poverty threshold
• People who qualify for social care are
protected from poverty risks
• Lower public expenditure ~1% GDP
Home care
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
People in institutional care can be left with
only a small amount of “pocket money”
Source: OECD Social Protection for Long-Term Care dataset (unpublished, provisional data)
Proportion of income remaining after care costs
for over-65s with median income receiving institutional care
for severe needs (2014 estimates)
Institutional care
$33 1.4%
$38 1.6%
kn 100 3%
£108 9%
Illinois
California
Croatia
England
€96 10%
€442 13%
France
Luxembourg
kr 74,696 26%Iceland
€662 39%Netherlands
% m
ed
ian
ov
er-
65
inc
om
e
Po
ck
et
mo
ne
y p
er
mo
nth
(20
14
)
A number of countries effectively set a level
of “pocket money” that people in
institutional care are allowed to keep – but
the US is the least generous.
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
Reforms aim to balance concerns about
cost and social protection
England: managing budgets cuts and
providing universal coverage
• Considering adding universal element to
safety net system
• Plans delayed due to tight fiscal climate
• Budget cuts have led to services being
restricted to those with most severe needs
Japan: managing rising costs in the world’s
oldest society
• Social insurance scheme introduced in
2000
• Comprehensive coverage: at least 80-
90% of the cost of care
• Cost have risen since introduction
• People with lower-level needs moved to
prevention scheme to try to contain costs
Netherlands: containing increasing public spending
• Very comprehensive coverage
• Public spending has risen quickly in recent years
and is the highest in the OECD
• Major reforms aim to contain costs without
undermining protection
• Focus on involving families more in care
Slovenia: simplifying the system and
providing more protection
• System currently fragmented with some
gaps in coverage
• Major reforms aim to simplify multiple
benefits and provide more
comprehensive coverage
• Public spending expected to increase
OECD/COPE
http://oe.cd/cope
Staying in touch with the OECD Centre for
Opportunity and Equality
Email me [email protected]
@OECD_socialFollow us on Twitter
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