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Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 91 (2016) 516–521
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Chaos, Solitons and Fractals Nonlinear Science, and Nonequilibrium and Complex Phenomena
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/chaos
Optimal consumption—portfolio problem with CVaR constraints
Qingye Zhang ∗, Yan Gao School of Management, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 20 0 093, China
a r t i c l e i n f o
Article history:
Received 8 May 2016
Revised 25 July 2016
Accepted 29 July 2016
Keywords:
Dynamic portfolio selection
Conditional value-at-risk (CVaR)
Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation
Logarithmic utility function
a b s t r a c t
The optimal portfolio selection is a fundamental issue in finance, and its two most important ingredi-
ents are risk and return. Merton’s pioneering work in dynamic portfolio selection emphasized only the
expected utility of the consumption and the terminal wealth. To make the optimal portfolio strategy be
achievable, risk control over bankruptcy during the investment horizon is an indispensable ingredient. So,
in this paper, we consider the consumption-portfolio problem coupled with a dynamic risk control. More
specifically, different from the existing literature, we impose a dynamic relative CVaR constraint on it. By
the stochastic dynamic programming techniques, we derive the corresponding Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman
(HJB) equation. Moreover, by the Lagrange multiplier method, the closed form solution is provided when
the utility function is a logarithmic one. At last, an illustrative empirical study is given. The results show
the distinct difference of the portfolio strategies with and without the CVaR constraints: the proportion
invested in the risky assets is reduced over time with CVaR constraint instead of being constant without
CVaR constraints. This can provide a good decision-making reference for the investors.
© 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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1. Introduction
Portfolio selection is an interesting and important issue in fi-
nance. It studies how to allocate an investor’s wealth among a bas-
ket of securities to maximize the return and minimize the risk.
In 1952, Markowitz firstly used variance to measure the risk and
proposed the so-called mean-variance (MV) model for the static
portfolio selection problem [1] , which laid the foundation of mod-
ern portfolio theory and inspired a great number of extensions and
applications. However, the MV model was criticized for its inappli-
cability. On the one hand, besides the difficulty of the covariance
matrix’s computation, variance, which takes the deviation both up
and down from the mean without discrimination as the risk, is in-
compatible with the actual portfolio situations. On the other hand,
the static buy-and-hold portfolio strategy which makes a one-off
decision at the beginning of the period and holds on until the
end of the period is usually inappropriate for a long investment
horizon. To overcome the classical MV model’s shortcomings, mea-
sures measuring the downside risk were proposed, such as semi-
variance, value-at-risk (VaR) [2] , conditional value-at-risk (CVaR)
[3] , etc. Meanwhile, the extension to the dynamic case is an issue
which has been extensively studied as well.
Among all downside risk measures, VaR is popular in practice
of risk management by virtue of its simplicity. It is defined as the
∗ Corresponding author. E-mail address: [email protected] (Q. Zhang).
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2016.07.015
0960-0779/© 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
uantile of the loss at a certain confidence level. But it has been
riticized for its lose of subadditivity. And as its modification, CVaR,
hich is defined as the average value of the loss greater than VaR,
as attracted increasing attention in recent years on the fact that
t is a coherent risk measure [4] and mean-risk model based on it
an be solved easily by linear programming method.
As for extensions from single-period portfolio to dynamic cases,
ulti-period setting and continuous-time circumstances are in-
luded. Merton [5] and Samuelson [6] extended the static model
o a continuous-time setting by utility functions and stochastic
ontrol theory respectively. Since then, the literature on dynamic
ortfolio selection has been dominated by expected utility maxi-
ization model. Moreover, multi-period and continuous-time MV
odel have been tackled by embedding technique [7] and linear
uadratic approach [8] respectively in 20 0 0. Afterwards, dynamic
V model became another hot research topic. From existing lit-
rature, it is easy to find that the optimal consumption-portfolio
roblem in continuous time is an interesting and appealing issue
9–13] . And in this paper, we intend to study this problem further.
As we know, in continuous-time setting, the movement of risky
ssets is always assumed to follow some stochastic process, and
ased on this assumption, stochastic control theory as well as the
artingale method is the main solving method. Among all stochas-
ic processes, geometric Brownian motion is used widely. But as
hown by empirical analysis, the actual return distribution of the
isky assets has the properties of aiguilles and fat tails. Scholars
ngaged in econophysics have carried out many studies on this
ssue and proposed several more appropriate models, e.g. [14–19] .
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2016.07.015http://www.ScienceDirect.comhttp://www.elsevier.com/locate/chaoshttp://crossmark.crossref.org/dialog/?doi=10.1016/j.chaos.2016.07.015&domain=pdfmailto:[email protected]://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2016.07.015
Q. Zhang, Y. Gao / Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 91 (2016) 516–521 517
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he martingale method decomposes the dynamic optimization
roblem into two sub-problems [20,21] , while stochastic control
ethod [22–24] obtains the optimal control by introducing an
ptimal value function and is more intuitively. It should be noticed
hat a bankruptcy occurs when the wealth falls below a predefined
isaster level at any moment during the investment horizon. And
hen an investor is in bankruptcy, he is unable to pursue further
nvestment due to his high liability and low credit. To control the
isk of bankruptcy and execute the investment strategy, imposing
dynamic risk constraint on the instantaneous wealth throughout
he investment is obviously needed. Fortunately, the optimal
ortfolio model coupled with a dynamic VaR constraint, which
as proposed by Yiu recently [25] , provides a new perspective on
he risk management and gives us some inspiration. But, to our
nowledge, literature on the dynamic risk constraint is still scarce
24,26,27] . So, in this paper, we study the optimal consumption
nd portfolio problem further. More specifically, we study the
roblem of maximization the expected discounted utility of both
onsumption and the terminal wealth by imposing a dynamic rel-
tive CVaR constraint on it, which is more appropriate in practice.
The rest of this paper is organized as follows. In Section 2 , we
resent the market setting and problem formulation, where in-
lude the analytical expression of CVaR. In Section 3 , we derive the
amilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation for general utility func-
ions using the dynamic programming technique. In Section 4 , we
mploy the Lagrange multiplier method to tackle the CVaR con-
traint and present the closed-form solutions for logarithmic util-
ty function. In Section 5 , we give an illustrative empirical study.
t last, we summarize the paper.
. Market setting and problem formulation
Consider a financial market with n + 1 assets: one risk-free as-et and n risky assets. The price process S 0 ( t ) of the risk-free asset
ollows the following ordinary differential equation
d S 0 (t) = S 0 (t ) rdt , t ∈ [0 , T ] S 0 (0) = s 0 here r > 0 is the risk-free rate, T > 0 is the terminal time of the
nvestment. The price processes of the n risky assets satisfy the
ollowing stochastic differential equations
d S i (t) = S i (t) [ μi d t +
n ∑ j=1
σi j d B j (t)
]
S i (0) = s i , i = 1 , . . . , n here μ = ( μ1 , . . . , μn ) ′ is the appreciation rate of returns, σ = σi j , i, j = 1 , . . . , n } is the volatility rate of returns satisfies the non-egenerate condition, B (t) = ( B 1 (t ) , . . . , B n (t )) ′ is an n dimensionaltandard Brownian motion with B i (t) and B j (t) mutually indepen-
ent for i � = j . Let ( �, F, P , { F t } t ≥ 0 ) be a filtered complete proba-ility space, where F = { F t ; t ≥ 0 } is the natural filtration generatedy the n dimensional Brownian motion B ( t ), F t = σ { B (s ) ; 0 ≤ s ≤ t}
s a σ -field representing the information available up to time t .et L 2 F (0 , T ; R n ) be the set of all R n valued, { F t ; t ≥ 0}-adapted andquare integrable stochastic processes.
In what follows, we consider an investor entering the market
ith initial wealth w 0 . The investor allocates his wealth in these
+ 1 assets continuously and withdraws some funds out of theortfolio for consumption within the time horizon [0, T ], where
he investor’s objective is to maximize his expected discounted
tility of consumption and terminal wealth. Denote the consump-
ion process as { c ( t )} and the control process as { π ′ (t) , c(t) } = π1 (t) , . . . , πn (t) , c ( t )}, where the components of π ( t ) are propor-ions of the investor’s wealth invested in the risky assets, c ( t ) is
he consumption rate. A control strategy { π ′ ( t ), c ( t )} is admissiblef { π ′ (t) , c(t) } ∈ L 2
F (0 , T ; R n +1 ) is F t progressively measurable. Let
π , c ( t ) be the investor’s wealth at time t . Then the wealth pro-
ess satisfies the following stochastic differentiable equation
W π,c (t) = W π,c (t) {
n ∑ i =1
πi (t)
[ μi d t +
n ∑ j=1
σi j d B j (t)
]
+ [
1 −n ∑
i =1 πi (t)
] rd t − c(t) d t
}
= W π,c (t) {
[ π ′ (t) ̄μ + r − c(t)] dt + π ′ (t) σdB (t) }
(2.1)
here μ̄ = ( μ1 − r, . . . , μn − r) ′ is the excess rate of return. By Itoemma, we can obtain the unique solution of ( 2.1 ) as
π,c (t) = w 0 exp {∫ t
0
Q(s, π ′ (s ) , c(s )) ds + ∫ t
0
π ′ (s ) σdB (s ) }(2.2)
here t ∈ [0, T ] and Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t)) = π ′ (t) ̄μ + r − c(t) − 1 / 2 ‖ π ′ (t) σ‖ 2 . For sufficiently small τ > 0, we may deem that the control
rocess { π ′ (s ) , c(s ) } s ∈ [ t ,t + τ ] is unchanged and stays at the presentalue all the time interval [ t, t + τ ] , which is reasonable in practice.hen,
π,c (t + τ ) = W π,c (t) exp { Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t)) τ + π ′ (t) σ [ B (t + τ ) − B (t)] } . So the loss of wealth on the time interval [ t, t + τ ] can be
xpressed as
(t) = W π,c (t) − W π,c (t + τ ) = W π,c (t) { 1 − exp [ Q(t , π ′ (t ) , c(t )) τ
+ π ′ (t) σ (B (t + τ ) − B (t))] } . For the given time t , the random variable π ′ (t) σ (B (t + τ ) −
(t)) follows a normal distribution with mean zero and standard
eviation ‖ π ′ (t) σ‖ √ τ . Hence, for the given confidence level β ∈0.5, 1], the CVaR of the loss can be written as
V a R β (L (t))
= W π,c (t) {
1 − c 2 (t ) exp [
Q(t , π ′ (t ) , c(t )) τ + 1 2 ‖ π ′ (t ) σ‖ 2 τ
] }(2.3)
here c 2 (t) = �[ c 1 − ‖ π ′ (t) σ‖ √ τ ] / (1 − β) , c 1 = �−1 (1 − β) , �nd �-1 are the cumulative distribution function and its inverse
unction of the standard normal distribution, respectively. The
erivation of (2.3) is given in the appendix. By introducing an-
ther parameter β̄ ∈ (0 , 1) to be a benchmark of CVaR constraint,e have the relative CVaR constraint as
− c 2 (t) exp (
Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t)) τ + 1 2 ‖ π ′ (t) σ‖ 2 τ
)≤ β̄. (2.4)
We call it relative CVaR since here CVaR β ( L ( t ))/ W π , c ( t ) is used
nstead of CVaR.
Let U 1 and U 2 be utility functions of the consumption and fi-
al wealth respectively. Both U 1 and U 2 are twice differentiable,
ncreasing, concave functions and satisfying U ′ 1 ( 0 + ) = U ′
2 ( 0 + )
+ ∞ and U ′ 1 (+ ∞ ) = U ′ 2 (+ ∞ ) = 0 , where U ′ ( 0 + ) = lim x → 0 + U ′ (x ) ,
′ (+ ∞ ) = lim x → + ∞ U ′ (x ) . Let ρ > 0 be the discount factor. Thenhe expected discounted utility is
[α
∫ T 0
e −ρt U 1 (c(t)) dt + (1 − α) e −ρT U 2 ( W π,c (T )) ], (2.5)
here α ∈ [0, 1] is a trade-off factor indicating the investor’smphasis on consumption and terminal wealth. If T = + ∞ , then
518 Q. Zhang, Y. Gao / Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 91 (2016) 516–521
V
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(2.5) is an infinite time horizon problem (i.e. lifetime consumption
problem) and in this case it is sufficient to think about only con-
sumption utility, see [9] . But it is more realistic to analyze a finite
time horizon. So in this paper, we let T be a finite number. Sum
up, we can obtain our model as follows:
max { π(·) ,c(·) }∈ u [0 ,T ]
E
[α
∫ T 0
e −ρt U 1 (c(t)) dt + (1 − α) e −ρT U 2 ( W π,c (T )) ]
s . t . (2 . 1) , (2 . 4) (2.6)
3. Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation
In order to employ the optimal control techniques of dynamic
programming, we define the optimal function as
(t, w ) = max { π(·) ,c(·) }∈ u ([ t,T ])
E t
×[α
∫ T 0
e −ρs U 1 (c(s )) ds + (1 − α) e −ρT U 2 ( W π,c (T )) ]
(3.1)
where t ∈ [0, T ], u ([ t, T ]) represents all the admissible strategiesin the time interval [ t, T ], E t stands for the conditional expectation
and W π,c (t) = w is known. Obviously, we obtain the whole port-folio strategy on condition that t = 0 . By Ito lemma, we can obtainthe HJB equation of (3.1) as
t + max { π(t) ,c(t) } { α exp (−ρt) U 1 (c(t)) + V W [ π ′ (t) ̄μ(t) + r − c(t)] w
+ 1 2
V W W ∥∥π ′ (t) σ∥∥2 w 2 } = 0 (3.2)
with the boundary condition V (T , w ) = (1 − α) e −ρT U 2 (w ) . Theo-retically, once the utility function is given, the optimal control pro-
cess can be obtained by solving the HJB equation.
There are many risk-averse utility functions, such as exponen-
tial function, logarithmic function, power function and HARA util-
ity function, etc. In [5] , Merton chose a power function and de-
rived the analytical solution for the value function V ( t, w ) by a trial
function in the form of separable variables. And most existing lit-
erature employs power utility functions, see [26,27] . In the next
section, we choose the logarithmic utility function, which is fre-
quently used in economics, as our utility function and derive the
closed form solution.
4. Optimal control process under logarithmic utility function
For simplicity, here we let α = 0 . 5 . That is, the consumptionutility and the terminal wealth utility have equal importance. Then
we may delete α and (1 − α) in Problem (2.6) . Let U 1 (·) = U 2 (·) =log (·) . Problem (2.6) can be reduced to
max { π(·) ,c(·) }∈ u [0 ,T ]
(1 − e −ρT
ρ+ e −ρT
)log w 0
+ E {∫ T
0
e −ρt [
log c(t) + 1 ρ
(1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) )
× Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t)) ]
dt
}
s . t . 1 − c 2 (t) exp (
Qτ + 1 2 ‖ π ′ (t) σ‖ 2 τ
)≤ β̄.
The derivation is given in the appendix. It is not difficult to find
that the above problem is equivalent to the following one
max { π(t) ,c(t) }
log c(t) + 1 ρ
(1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) ) Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t))
s . t . 1 − c 2 (t) exp (
Qτ + 1 ∥∥π ′ (t) σ∥∥2 τ) ≤ β̄ (4.1)
2
heorem 1. The solution of the optimization problem (4.1) is
∗(t)
=
⎧ ⎪ ⎨ ⎪ ⎩
(σσ ′ ) −1 μ̄, i f 1 − c 2 (t) exp (
Qτ + 1 2
∥∥π ′ (t) σ∥∥2 τ)< β̄k ∗1 (σσ
′ ) −1 μ̄, i f 1 − c 2 (t) exp (
Qτ + 1 2
∥∥π ′ (t) σ∥∥2 τ)= β̄
∗(t)
=
⎧ ⎪ ⎪ ⎨ ⎪ ⎪ ⎩
ρ
1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T−t) , i f 1 − c 2 (t) exp (
Qτ + 1 2
∥∥π ′ (t) σ∥∥2 τ) < β̄k ∗2 ρ
1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T−t) , i f 1 − c 2 (t) exp (
Qτ + 1 2 ‖ π ′ (t) σ‖ 2 τ
)= β̄
,
here k ∗1
is the root of Eq. (4.4) in the variable x , k ∗2
is defined by
4.3) .
roof. Obviously, the objective function is concave with respect
o π ( t ) and c ( t ). The feasible region is a convex set. So, Problem4.1) is a convex programming and its KKT point is the same as
he optimal point. Define its Lagrange function as
(t, π(t) , c(t) , λ(t)) = log c(t) + 1
ρ(1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) ) Q(t , π ′ (t ) , c(t ))
−λ(t) [
1 − c 2 (t) exp (
Qτ + 1 2
∥∥π ′ σ∥∥2 τ)− β̄] , here λ( t ) is the Lagrange multiplier. Let ( π∗, c ∗, λ∗) be its KKT
oint, then
∂
∂πL (t, π ∗, c ∗, λ∗) = 0
∂
∂c L (t, π ∗, c ∗, λ∗) = 0 [
1 − c 2 (t) exp (
Qτ + 1 2
∥∥π ′ σ∥∥2 τ)− β̄] ( π ′ ∗, c ∗, λ∗)
≤ 0 , λ∗ ≥ 0 { λ[
1 − c 2 (t) exp (
Qτ + 1 2
∥∥π ′ σ∥∥2 τ)− β̄] } ( π ′ ∗, c ∗, λ∗)
= 0
.
In what follows, we discuss Problem (4.1) in two different cases.
Case 1. If 1 − c 2 (t) exp (Qτ + 1 / 2 ‖ π ′ σ‖ 2 τ ) < β̄ , then the rela-ive CVaR constraint is inactive at the optimal solution. In this case,
roblem ( 4.1 ) is reduced to the following unconstrained problem
max (t) ,c(t)
log c(t) + 1 ρ
(1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) ) Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t)) .
According to first-order necessary conditions, the optimal solu-
ion { πM ( t ), c M ( t )} must satisfy
μ̄ − σσ ′ π(t) | { πM (t) , c M (t) } = 0 1
c(t) − 1 − (1 − ρ) e
−ρ(T −t)
ρ
∣∣∣∣{ πM (t) , c M (t) }
= 0 .
ence,
M (t) = (σσ ′ ) −1 μ̄, c M (t) = ρ1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) . (4.2)
Case 2 If 1 − c 2 (t) exp (Qτ + 1 / 2 ‖ π ′ σ‖ 2 τ ) = β̄ , then the rela-ive CVaR constraint is active. Let ∂
∂πL (t, π, c, λ) = 0 , that is
1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) ρ
[ ̄μ − σσ ′ π(t)]
+ λ{[
∂ c 2 (t)
∂π+ c 2 (t) ̄μτ
]exp
[(π ′ (t) ̄μ + r − c(t)) τ
]}= 0 .
Q. Zhang, Y. Gao / Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 91 (2016) 516–521 519
Fig. 1. The risk-free asset’s portfolio versus time.
p
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Fig. 2. The optimal consumption rate versus time.
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π
By calculating the above equation, we find that the optimal
ortfolio π∗( t ) is parallel to πM ( t ). So, we let π ∗(t) = k 1 πM ,
∗(t) = k 2 c M . Then, there must exist the unique (k ∗1 , k ∗2 ) be the op-imal solution of the following problem
ax k 1 , k 2
log k 2 c M (t) + 1 ρ
(1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) ) Q(t, k 1 π ′ M (t) , k 2 c M (t))
. t . 1 − c 2 (t) exp (
Qτ + 1 2
∥∥k 1 π ′ M (t) σ∥∥2 τ) = β̄. By first-order necessary conditions, there must exist a unique
agrange multiplier λ∗ such that
{ log k 2 c M (t) + 1 ρ
(1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) ) Q(t, k 1 π ′ M (t) , k 2 c M (t)) }
= λ∗∇ {
1 − c 2 (t) exp (
Qτ + 1 2 ‖ k 1 π ′ M (t) σ‖ 2 τ
)− β̄
} .
By eliminating λ∗, we obtain
∗2 = f (k ∗1 ) = 1 +
k ∗1 ‖ π ′ M σ‖ 2 − π ′ M μ̄ϕ( c 1 −k ∗1 ‖ π ′ M (t) σ‖
√ τ )
�( c 1 −k ∗1 ‖ π ′ M (t) σ‖ √
τ ) ‖ π ′ M σ‖ √
τ− k ∗
1 ‖ π ′ M σ‖ 2 , (4.3)
here k ∗1
is the root of the equation
(1 − β̄ )(1 − β) = �( c 1 − x ‖ π ′ M (t) σ‖ √ τ ) × exp [(x π ′ M (t) ̄μ + r − f (x ) c M (t)) τ ] (4.4)
n the variable of x .
. Empirical analysis
In this section, we choose four stocks from Chinese financial
arket with codes 60 0611,60 0796,60 0 054 and 60 0118, and use
heir daily closing prices from 01/04/2010 to 01/04/2016. By com-
utation, we have μ = (0 . 0316 , 0 . 1013 , 0 . 0485 , 0 . 1291) ′ and
=
⎡ ⎢ ⎣
0 . 5812 0 0 0 0 . 3184 0 . 4915 0 0 0 . 2445 0 . 1258 0 . 3631 0 0 . 3392 0 . 1769 0 . 0967 0 . 6337
⎤ ⎥ ⎦ .
Let r = ρ = 0 . 017 , β= 0 . 95 , β̄ = 0 . 06 , T = 5 (year), τ = 0 . 02 ≈ aeek.
Fig. 1 presents the optimal portfolio of the risk-free asset at dif-
erent time. When there is no relative CVaR constraint, the propor-
ion of the wealth invested in the risk-free asset is constant. How-
ver, as the value of the Lagrange multiplier turns from zero to
ositive, the constraint becomes binding. And the investor will in-
rease the proportion of the wealth invested in the risk-free asset,
.e., the investor will reduce the proportion invested in the risky
ssets. Fig. 2 presents the optimal consumption rate at different
ime. Since k ∗2 is very close to 1, the optimal consumption rate withelative CVaR constraint and without it is almost the same.
. Conclusion
The optimal consumption-investment problem with a dynamic
VaR constraint has been studied. For general utility function, we
erived the HJB equation by the dynamic programming technique.
s for the logarithmic utility function, the method of Lagrange
ultiplier has been applied to tackle the constraint and the closed
orm solution is presented.
From the empirical study’s results, we find that the constrained
roblem invested less in the risky assets. This is due to the fact
he CVaR constraint is imposed all the time. How to extend the
dea of dynamic risk control to other portfolio problems, such as
he benchmark process, dynamic mean-variance model, etc, is our
uture interest.
ompeting interests
The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
uthors contributions
All authors contributed equally to the manuscript, read and ap-
roved the final manuscript.
cknowledgements
We would like to thank two anonymous reviewers for their
elpful comments and the support of the National Natural Science
oundation of China (Project No. 1171221 ).
ppendix
. The derivation of formula ( 2.3 )
We divide the derivation into three steps. Denote the loss ,
here = L (t) . For simplicity, we denote W π , c ( t ) by W, π ( t ) by, Q ( t, π ′ ( t ), c ( t )) by Q , B (t + τ ) − B (t) by B respectively.
(1) Derivation the probability density function (PDF) of the loss.
http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001809
520 Q. Zhang, Y. Gao / Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 91 (2016) 516–521
C
C
∫
∫
H∫
E
E
{
s
R
Since the cumulative distribution function of the loss is
F (x ) = P ( ≤ x ) = P (W − W e Qτ e π ′ σB ≤ x )
= P {
1
‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log W − x W e Qτ
≤ B √ τ
}
= 1 − �(
1
‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log W − x W e Qτ
).
So, the PDF of the loss is
f (x ) = F ′ (x )
= −φ(
1
‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log W − x W e Qτ
)· 1 ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ ·
W e Qτ
W − x ·−1
W e Qτ
= φ(
1
‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log W − x W e Qτ
)· 1 (W − x ) ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ ;
(2) Derivation the VaR.
By definition,
β = P ( ≤ V aR ) = P (W − W e Qτ e π ′ σB ≤ V aR ) = P (
W − V aR W e Qτ
≤ e π ′ σB )
= P (
1
‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log W − V aR
W e Qτ≤ π
′ σB ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ
)So, 1 − β = �( 1 ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log W −VaR W e Qτ ) ,
1 ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log
W −VaR W e Qτ
= �−1 (1 − β) ˆ = c 1 .
Therefore, V aR = W − W e Qτ e ‖ π ′ σ‖ √
τ c 1 = W ( 1 −e Qτ+ ‖ π′ σ‖ √ τ c 1 ) ,
where c 1 = �−1 (1 − β) ; (3) Derivation the CVaR.
By definition,
V aR = E(| ≥ V aR ) = 1 1 − β
∫ + ∞ VaR
x f (x ) dx
= 1 1 − β
∫ + ∞ VaR
x
(W − x ) ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ· 1 √
2 πe
− 1 2 ( 1 ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log W−x W e Qτ ) 2
dx (∗)
Let 1 ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log W −x W e Qτ
= t , then x = W − W e Qτ+ ‖ π ′ σ‖ √
τ t , dx =−W e Qτ+ ‖ π ′ σ‖
√ τ t · ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τdt . Therefore, ( ∗) can be rewritten as
follows
V aR = 1 1 − β
∫ −∞ c 1
−W (1 − e Qτ · e ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ t ) · 1 √ 2 π
e −t 2
2
dt
= W 1 − β
∫ c 1 −∞
(1 − e Qτ · e ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ t ) · 1 √ 2 π
e −t 2
2
dt
= W 1 − β [ �( c 1 ) − e
Qτ+ 1 2 ‖ π ′ σ‖ 2 τ · �( c 1 − ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ ) ]
= W [
1 − e Qτ+ 1 2 ‖ π ′ σ‖ 2 τ · �( c 1 − ‖ π′ σ‖ √ τ )
1 − β
]= W [ 1 − c 2 e Qτ+ 1 2 ‖ π ′ σ‖
2 τ ]
where c 2 = �( c 1 −‖ π′ σ‖ √ τ )
1 −β . �
2. The simplification of ( 2.6 )
Taking the log on both sides of ( 2.2 ), we have
log ( W π,c (t)) = log w 0 + ∫ t
0
Q(s, π ′ (s ) , c(s )) ds + ∫ t
0
π ′ (s ) σdB (s ).
Then the utility of the consumption is T
0
e −ρt log (c(t) W π,c (t)) dt
= ∫ T
0
e −ρt log c(t) dt + 1 − e −ρT
ρlog w 0
+ ∫ T
0
e −ρt dt ∫ t
0
Q(s, π ′ (s ) , c(s )) ds
+ ∫ T
0
e −ρt dt ∫ t
0
π ′ (s ) σdB (s )
Exchanging the order of integral by Fubini’s theorem, we have T
0
e −ρt dt ∫ t
0
Q(s, π ′ (s ) , c(s )) ds
= ∫ T
0
Q(s, π ′ (s ) , c(s )) ds ∫ T
s
e −ρt dt
= ∫ T
0
e −ρs − e −ρT ρ
Q(s, π ′ (s ) , c(s )) ds
ence, T
0
e −ρt log (c(t) W π,c (t)) dt
= 1 − e −ρT
ρlog w 0
+ ∫ T
0
e −ρt [
log c(t) + 1 ρ
(1 − e −ρ(T −t) ) Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t)) ]
dt
+ ∫ T
0
e −ρt dt ∫ t
0
π ′ (s ) σdB (s ) .
By taking mathematical expectation on both sides, we have
∫ T 0
e −ρt log (c(t) W π,c (t)) dt
= 1 − e −ρT
ρlog w 0
+ E {∫ T
0
e −ρt [ log c(t) + 1
ρ(1 − e −ρ(T −t) ) Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t))
] dt
}.
Similarly, we can get
[e −ρT U 2 ( W π,c (T ))
]= e −ρT log w 0 + e −ρT E
∫ T 0
Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t)) dt .
Problem (2.6) can be reduced to
max π(·) ,c(·) }∈ u [0 ,T ]
(1 − e −ρT
ρ+ e −ρT
)log w 0
+ E {∫ T
0
e −ρt
×[
log c(t) + 1 ρ
(1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) ) Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t)) ]
dt
} . t . 1 − c 2 (t) exp
(Qτ + 1
2
∥∥π ′ (t) σ∥∥2 τ) ≤ β̄. �eferences
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Optimal consumption-portfolio problem with CVaR constraints1 Introduction2 Market setting and problem formulation3 Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation4 Optimal control process under logarithmic utility function5 Empirical analysis6 Conclusion Competing interests Authors contributions Acknowledgements Appendix1 The derivation of formula (2.3)2 The simplification of (2.6)
References