7
Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 91 (2016) 516–521 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Chaos, Solitons and Fractals Nonlinear Science, and Nonequilibrium and Complex Phenomena journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/chaos Optimal consumption—portfolio problem with CVaR constraints Qingye Zhang , Yan Gao School of Management, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 8 May 2016 Revised 25 July 2016 Accepted 29 July 2016 Keywords: Dynamic portfolio selection Conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation Logarithmic utility function a b s t r a c t The optimal portfolio selection is a fundamental issue in finance, and its two most important ingredi- ents are risk and return. Merton’s pioneering work in dynamic portfolio selection emphasized only the expected utility of the consumption and the terminal wealth. To make the optimal portfolio strategy be achievable, risk control over bankruptcy during the investment horizon is an indispensable ingredient. So, in this paper, we consider the consumption-portfolio problem coupled with a dynamic risk control. More specifically, different from the existing literature, we impose a dynamic relative CVaR constraint on it. By the stochastic dynamic programming techniques, we derive the corresponding Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation. Moreover, by the Lagrange multiplier method, the closed form solution is provided when the utility function is a logarithmic one. At last, an illustrative empirical study is given. The results show the distinct difference of the portfolio strategies with and without the CVaR constraints: the proportion invested in the risky assets is reduced over time with CVaR constraint instead of being constant without CVaR constraints. This can provide a good decision-making reference for the investors. © 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction Portfolio selection is an interesting and important issue in fi- nance. It studies how to allocate an investor’s wealth among a bas- ket of securities to maximize the return and minimize the risk. In 1952, Markowitz firstly used variance to measure the risk and proposed the so-called mean-variance (MV) model for the static portfolio selection problem [1], which laid the foundation of mod- ern portfolio theory and inspired a great number of extensions and applications. However, the MV model was criticized for its inappli- cability. On the one hand, besides the difficulty of the covariance matrix’s computation, variance, which takes the deviation both up and down from the mean without discrimination as the risk, is in- compatible with the actual portfolio situations. On the other hand, the static buy-and-hold portfolio strategy which makes a one-off decision at the beginning of the period and holds on until the end of the period is usually inappropriate for a long investment horizon. To overcome the classical MV model’s shortcomings, mea- sures measuring the downside risk were proposed, such as semi- variance, value-at-risk (VaR) [2], conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) [3], etc. Meanwhile, the extension to the dynamic case is an issue which has been extensively studied as well. Among all downside risk measures, VaR is popular in practice of risk management by virtue of its simplicity. It is defined as the Corresponding author. E-mail address: [email protected] (Q. Zhang). quantile of the loss at a certain confidence level. But it has been criticized for its lose of subadditivity. And as its modification, CVaR, which is defined as the average value of the loss greater than VaR, has attracted increasing attention in recent years on the fact that it is a coherent risk measure [4] and mean-risk model based on it can be solved easily by linear programming method. As for extensions from single-period portfolio to dynamic cases, multi-period setting and continuous-time circumstances are in- cluded. Merton [5] and Samuelson [6] extended the static model to a continuous-time setting by utility functions and stochastic control theory respectively. Since then, the literature on dynamic portfolio selection has been dominated by expected utility maxi- mization model. Moreover, multi-period and continuous-time MV model have been tackled by embedding technique [7] and linear quadratic approach [8] respectively in 2000. Afterwards, dynamic MV model became another hot research topic. From existing lit- erature, it is easy to find that the optimal consumption-portfolio problem in continuous time is an interesting and appealing issue [9–13]. And in this paper, we intend to study this problem further. As we know, in continuous-time setting, the movement of risky assets is always assumed to follow some stochastic process, and based on this assumption, stochastic control theory as well as the martingale method is the main solving method. Among all stochas- tic processes, geometric Brownian motion is used widely. But as shown by empirical analysis, the actual return distribution of the risky assets has the properties of aiguilles and fat tails. Scholars engaged in econophysics have carried out many studies on this issue and proposed several more appropriate models, e.g. [14–19]. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2016.07.015 0960-0779/© 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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  • Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 91 (2016) 516–521

    Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

    Chaos, Solitons and Fractals Nonlinear Science, and Nonequilibrium and Complex Phenomena

    journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/chaos

    Optimal consumption—portfolio problem with CVaR constraints

    Qingye Zhang ∗, Yan Gao School of Management, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 20 0 093, China

    a r t i c l e i n f o

    Article history:

    Received 8 May 2016

    Revised 25 July 2016

    Accepted 29 July 2016

    Keywords:

    Dynamic portfolio selection

    Conditional value-at-risk (CVaR)

    Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation

    Logarithmic utility function

    a b s t r a c t

    The optimal portfolio selection is a fundamental issue in finance, and its two most important ingredi-

    ents are risk and return. Merton’s pioneering work in dynamic portfolio selection emphasized only the

    expected utility of the consumption and the terminal wealth. To make the optimal portfolio strategy be

    achievable, risk control over bankruptcy during the investment horizon is an indispensable ingredient. So,

    in this paper, we consider the consumption-portfolio problem coupled with a dynamic risk control. More

    specifically, different from the existing literature, we impose a dynamic relative CVaR constraint on it. By

    the stochastic dynamic programming techniques, we derive the corresponding Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman

    (HJB) equation. Moreover, by the Lagrange multiplier method, the closed form solution is provided when

    the utility function is a logarithmic one. At last, an illustrative empirical study is given. The results show

    the distinct difference of the portfolio strategies with and without the CVaR constraints: the proportion

    invested in the risky assets is reduced over time with CVaR constraint instead of being constant without

    CVaR constraints. This can provide a good decision-making reference for the investors.

    © 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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    1. Introduction

    Portfolio selection is an interesting and important issue in fi-

    nance. It studies how to allocate an investor’s wealth among a bas-

    ket of securities to maximize the return and minimize the risk.

    In 1952, Markowitz firstly used variance to measure the risk and

    proposed the so-called mean-variance (MV) model for the static

    portfolio selection problem [1] , which laid the foundation of mod-

    ern portfolio theory and inspired a great number of extensions and

    applications. However, the MV model was criticized for its inappli-

    cability. On the one hand, besides the difficulty of the covariance

    matrix’s computation, variance, which takes the deviation both up

    and down from the mean without discrimination as the risk, is in-

    compatible with the actual portfolio situations. On the other hand,

    the static buy-and-hold portfolio strategy which makes a one-off

    decision at the beginning of the period and holds on until the

    end of the period is usually inappropriate for a long investment

    horizon. To overcome the classical MV model’s shortcomings, mea-

    sures measuring the downside risk were proposed, such as semi-

    variance, value-at-risk (VaR) [2] , conditional value-at-risk (CVaR)

    [3] , etc. Meanwhile, the extension to the dynamic case is an issue

    which has been extensively studied as well.

    Among all downside risk measures, VaR is popular in practice

    of risk management by virtue of its simplicity. It is defined as the

    ∗ Corresponding author. E-mail address: [email protected] (Q. Zhang).

    s

    r

    e

    i

    http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2016.07.015

    0960-0779/© 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

    uantile of the loss at a certain confidence level. But it has been

    riticized for its lose of subadditivity. And as its modification, CVaR,

    hich is defined as the average value of the loss greater than VaR,

    as attracted increasing attention in recent years on the fact that

    t is a coherent risk measure [4] and mean-risk model based on it

    an be solved easily by linear programming method.

    As for extensions from single-period portfolio to dynamic cases,

    ulti-period setting and continuous-time circumstances are in-

    luded. Merton [5] and Samuelson [6] extended the static model

    o a continuous-time setting by utility functions and stochastic

    ontrol theory respectively. Since then, the literature on dynamic

    ortfolio selection has been dominated by expected utility maxi-

    ization model. Moreover, multi-period and continuous-time MV

    odel have been tackled by embedding technique [7] and linear

    uadratic approach [8] respectively in 20 0 0. Afterwards, dynamic

    V model became another hot research topic. From existing lit-

    rature, it is easy to find that the optimal consumption-portfolio

    roblem in continuous time is an interesting and appealing issue

    9–13] . And in this paper, we intend to study this problem further.

    As we know, in continuous-time setting, the movement of risky

    ssets is always assumed to follow some stochastic process, and

    ased on this assumption, stochastic control theory as well as the

    artingale method is the main solving method. Among all stochas-

    ic processes, geometric Brownian motion is used widely. But as

    hown by empirical analysis, the actual return distribution of the

    isky assets has the properties of aiguilles and fat tails. Scholars

    ngaged in econophysics have carried out many studies on this

    ssue and proposed several more appropriate models, e.g. [14–19] .

    http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2016.07.015http://www.ScienceDirect.comhttp://www.elsevier.com/locate/chaoshttp://crossmark.crossref.org/dialog/?doi=10.1016/j.chaos.2016.07.015&domain=pdfmailto:[email protected]://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2016.07.015

  • Q. Zhang, Y. Gao / Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 91 (2016) 516–521 517

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    he martingale method decomposes the dynamic optimization

    roblem into two sub-problems [20,21] , while stochastic control

    ethod [22–24] obtains the optimal control by introducing an

    ptimal value function and is more intuitively. It should be noticed

    hat a bankruptcy occurs when the wealth falls below a predefined

    isaster level at any moment during the investment horizon. And

    hen an investor is in bankruptcy, he is unable to pursue further

    nvestment due to his high liability and low credit. To control the

    isk of bankruptcy and execute the investment strategy, imposing

    dynamic risk constraint on the instantaneous wealth throughout

    he investment is obviously needed. Fortunately, the optimal

    ortfolio model coupled with a dynamic VaR constraint, which

    as proposed by Yiu recently [25] , provides a new perspective on

    he risk management and gives us some inspiration. But, to our

    nowledge, literature on the dynamic risk constraint is still scarce

    24,26,27] . So, in this paper, we study the optimal consumption

    nd portfolio problem further. More specifically, we study the

    roblem of maximization the expected discounted utility of both

    onsumption and the terminal wealth by imposing a dynamic rel-

    tive CVaR constraint on it, which is more appropriate in practice.

    The rest of this paper is organized as follows. In Section 2 , we

    resent the market setting and problem formulation, where in-

    lude the analytical expression of CVaR. In Section 3 , we derive the

    amilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation for general utility func-

    ions using the dynamic programming technique. In Section 4 , we

    mploy the Lagrange multiplier method to tackle the CVaR con-

    traint and present the closed-form solutions for logarithmic util-

    ty function. In Section 5 , we give an illustrative empirical study.

    t last, we summarize the paper.

    . Market setting and problem formulation

    Consider a financial market with n + 1 assets: one risk-free as-et and n risky assets. The price process S 0 ( t ) of the risk-free asset

    ollows the following ordinary differential equation

    d S 0 (t) = S 0 (t ) rdt , t ∈ [0 , T ] S 0 (0) = s 0 here r > 0 is the risk-free rate, T > 0 is the terminal time of the

    nvestment. The price processes of the n risky assets satisfy the

    ollowing stochastic differential equations

    d S i (t) = S i (t) [ μi d t +

    n ∑ j=1

    σi j d B j (t)

    ]

    S i (0) = s i , i = 1 , . . . , n here μ = ( μ1 , . . . , μn ) ′ is the appreciation rate of returns, σ = σi j , i, j = 1 , . . . , n } is the volatility rate of returns satisfies the non-egenerate condition, B (t) = ( B 1 (t ) , . . . , B n (t )) ′ is an n dimensionaltandard Brownian motion with B i (t) and B j (t) mutually indepen-

    ent for i � = j . Let ( �, F, P , { F t } t ≥ 0 ) be a filtered complete proba-ility space, where F = { F t ; t ≥ 0 } is the natural filtration generatedy the n dimensional Brownian motion B ( t ), F t = σ { B (s ) ; 0 ≤ s ≤ t}

    s a σ -field representing the information available up to time t .et L 2 F (0 , T ; R n ) be the set of all R n valued, { F t ; t ≥ 0}-adapted andquare integrable stochastic processes.

    In what follows, we consider an investor entering the market

    ith initial wealth w 0 . The investor allocates his wealth in these

    + 1 assets continuously and withdraws some funds out of theortfolio for consumption within the time horizon [0, T ], where

    he investor’s objective is to maximize his expected discounted

    tility of consumption and terminal wealth. Denote the consump-

    ion process as { c ( t )} and the control process as { π ′ (t) , c(t) } = π1 (t) , . . . , πn (t) , c ( t )}, where the components of π ( t ) are propor-ions of the investor’s wealth invested in the risky assets, c ( t ) is

    he consumption rate. A control strategy { π ′ ( t ), c ( t )} is admissiblef { π ′ (t) , c(t) } ∈ L 2

    F (0 , T ; R n +1 ) is F t progressively measurable. Let

    π , c ( t ) be the investor’s wealth at time t . Then the wealth pro-

    ess satisfies the following stochastic differentiable equation

    W π,c (t) = W π,c (t) {

    n ∑ i =1

    πi (t)

    [ μi d t +

    n ∑ j=1

    σi j d B j (t)

    ]

    + [

    1 −n ∑

    i =1 πi (t)

    ] rd t − c(t) d t

    }

    = W π,c (t) {

    [ π ′ (t) ̄μ + r − c(t)] dt + π ′ (t) σdB (t) }

    (2.1)

    here μ̄ = ( μ1 − r, . . . , μn − r) ′ is the excess rate of return. By Itoemma, we can obtain the unique solution of ( 2.1 ) as

    π,c (t) = w 0 exp {∫ t

    0

    Q(s, π ′ (s ) , c(s )) ds + ∫ t

    0

    π ′ (s ) σdB (s ) }(2.2)

    here t ∈ [0, T ] and Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t)) = π ′ (t) ̄μ + r − c(t) − 1 / 2 ‖ π ′ (t) σ‖ 2 . For sufficiently small τ > 0, we may deem that the control

    rocess { π ′ (s ) , c(s ) } s ∈ [ t ,t + τ ] is unchanged and stays at the presentalue all the time interval [ t, t + τ ] , which is reasonable in practice.hen,

    π,c (t + τ ) = W π,c (t) exp { Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t)) τ + π ′ (t) σ [ B (t + τ ) − B (t)] } . So the loss of wealth on the time interval [ t, t + τ ] can be

    xpressed as

    (t) = W π,c (t) − W π,c (t + τ ) = W π,c (t) { 1 − exp [ Q(t , π ′ (t ) , c(t )) τ

    + π ′ (t) σ (B (t + τ ) − B (t))] } . For the given time t , the random variable π ′ (t) σ (B (t + τ ) −

    (t)) follows a normal distribution with mean zero and standard

    eviation ‖ π ′ (t) σ‖ √ τ . Hence, for the given confidence level β ∈0.5, 1], the CVaR of the loss can be written as

    V a R β (L (t))

    = W π,c (t) {

    1 − c 2 (t ) exp [

    Q(t , π ′ (t ) , c(t )) τ + 1 2 ‖ π ′ (t ) σ‖ 2 τ

    ] }(2.3)

    here c 2 (t) = �[ c 1 − ‖ π ′ (t) σ‖ √ τ ] / (1 − β) , c 1 = �−1 (1 − β) , �nd �-1 are the cumulative distribution function and its inverse

    unction of the standard normal distribution, respectively. The

    erivation of (2.3) is given in the appendix. By introducing an-

    ther parameter β̄ ∈ (0 , 1) to be a benchmark of CVaR constraint,e have the relative CVaR constraint as

    − c 2 (t) exp (

    Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t)) τ + 1 2 ‖ π ′ (t) σ‖ 2 τ

    )≤ β̄. (2.4)

    We call it relative CVaR since here CVaR β ( L ( t ))/ W π , c ( t ) is used

    nstead of CVaR.

    Let U 1 and U 2 be utility functions of the consumption and fi-

    al wealth respectively. Both U 1 and U 2 are twice differentiable,

    ncreasing, concave functions and satisfying U ′ 1 ( 0 + ) = U ′

    2 ( 0 + )

    + ∞ and U ′ 1 (+ ∞ ) = U ′ 2 (+ ∞ ) = 0 , where U ′ ( 0 + ) = lim x → 0 + U ′ (x ) ,

    ′ (+ ∞ ) = lim x → + ∞ U ′ (x ) . Let ρ > 0 be the discount factor. Thenhe expected discounted utility is

    ∫ T 0

    e −ρt U 1 (c(t)) dt + (1 − α) e −ρT U 2 ( W π,c (T )) ], (2.5)

    here α ∈ [0, 1] is a trade-off factor indicating the investor’smphasis on consumption and terminal wealth. If T = + ∞ , then

  • 518 Q. Zhang, Y. Gao / Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 91 (2016) 516–521

    V

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    t

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    t⎧⎪⎨⎪⎩H

    π

    t

    (2.5) is an infinite time horizon problem (i.e. lifetime consumption

    problem) and in this case it is sufficient to think about only con-

    sumption utility, see [9] . But it is more realistic to analyze a finite

    time horizon. So in this paper, we let T be a finite number. Sum

    up, we can obtain our model as follows:

    max { π(·) ,c(·) }∈ u [0 ,T ]

    E

    ∫ T 0

    e −ρt U 1 (c(t)) dt + (1 − α) e −ρT U 2 ( W π,c (T )) ]

    s . t . (2 . 1) , (2 . 4) (2.6)

    3. Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation

    In order to employ the optimal control techniques of dynamic

    programming, we define the optimal function as

    (t, w ) = max { π(·) ,c(·) }∈ u ([ t,T ])

    E t

    ×[α

    ∫ T 0

    e −ρs U 1 (c(s )) ds + (1 − α) e −ρT U 2 ( W π,c (T )) ]

    (3.1)

    where t ∈ [0, T ], u ([ t, T ]) represents all the admissible strategiesin the time interval [ t, T ], E t stands for the conditional expectation

    and W π,c (t) = w is known. Obviously, we obtain the whole port-folio strategy on condition that t = 0 . By Ito lemma, we can obtainthe HJB equation of (3.1) as

    t + max { π(t) ,c(t) } { α exp (−ρt) U 1 (c(t)) + V W [ π ′ (t) ̄μ(t) + r − c(t)] w

    + 1 2

    V W W ∥∥π ′ (t) σ∥∥2 w 2 } = 0 (3.2)

    with the boundary condition V (T , w ) = (1 − α) e −ρT U 2 (w ) . Theo-retically, once the utility function is given, the optimal control pro-

    cess can be obtained by solving the HJB equation.

    There are many risk-averse utility functions, such as exponen-

    tial function, logarithmic function, power function and HARA util-

    ity function, etc. In [5] , Merton chose a power function and de-

    rived the analytical solution for the value function V ( t, w ) by a trial

    function in the form of separable variables. And most existing lit-

    erature employs power utility functions, see [26,27] . In the next

    section, we choose the logarithmic utility function, which is fre-

    quently used in economics, as our utility function and derive the

    closed form solution.

    4. Optimal control process under logarithmic utility function

    For simplicity, here we let α = 0 . 5 . That is, the consumptionutility and the terminal wealth utility have equal importance. Then

    we may delete α and (1 − α) in Problem (2.6) . Let U 1 (·) = U 2 (·) =log (·) . Problem (2.6) can be reduced to

    max { π(·) ,c(·) }∈ u [0 ,T ]

    (1 − e −ρT

    ρ+ e −ρT

    )log w 0

    + E {∫ T

    0

    e −ρt [

    log c(t) + 1 ρ

    (1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) )

    × Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t)) ]

    dt

    }

    s . t . 1 − c 2 (t) exp (

    Qτ + 1 2 ‖ π ′ (t) σ‖ 2 τ

    )≤ β̄.

    The derivation is given in the appendix. It is not difficult to find

    that the above problem is equivalent to the following one

    max { π(t) ,c(t) }

    log c(t) + 1 ρ

    (1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) ) Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t))

    s . t . 1 − c 2 (t) exp (

    Qτ + 1 ∥∥π ′ (t) σ∥∥2 τ) ≤ β̄ (4.1)

    2

    heorem 1. The solution of the optimization problem (4.1) is

    ∗(t)

    =

    ⎧ ⎪ ⎨ ⎪ ⎩

    (σσ ′ ) −1 μ̄, i f 1 − c 2 (t) exp (

    Qτ + 1 2

    ∥∥π ′ (t) σ∥∥2 τ)< β̄k ∗1 (σσ

    ′ ) −1 μ̄, i f 1 − c 2 (t) exp (

    Qτ + 1 2

    ∥∥π ′ (t) σ∥∥2 τ)= β̄

    ∗(t)

    =

    ⎧ ⎪ ⎪ ⎨ ⎪ ⎪ ⎩

    ρ

    1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T−t) , i f 1 − c 2 (t) exp (

    Qτ + 1 2

    ∥∥π ′ (t) σ∥∥2 τ) < β̄k ∗2 ρ

    1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T−t) , i f 1 − c 2 (t) exp (

    Qτ + 1 2 ‖ π ′ (t) σ‖ 2 τ

    )= β̄

    ,

    here k ∗1

    is the root of Eq. (4.4) in the variable x , k ∗2

    is defined by

    4.3) .

    roof. Obviously, the objective function is concave with respect

    o π ( t ) and c ( t ). The feasible region is a convex set. So, Problem4.1) is a convex programming and its KKT point is the same as

    he optimal point. Define its Lagrange function as

    (t, π(t) , c(t) , λ(t)) = log c(t) + 1

    ρ(1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) ) Q(t , π ′ (t ) , c(t ))

    −λ(t) [

    1 − c 2 (t) exp (

    Qτ + 1 2

    ∥∥π ′ σ∥∥2 τ)− β̄] , here λ( t ) is the Lagrange multiplier. Let ( π∗, c ∗, λ∗) be its KKT

    oint, then

    ∂πL (t, π ∗, c ∗, λ∗) = 0

    ∂c L (t, π ∗, c ∗, λ∗) = 0 [

    1 − c 2 (t) exp (

    Qτ + 1 2

    ∥∥π ′ σ∥∥2 τ)− β̄] ( π ′ ∗, c ∗, λ∗)

    ≤ 0 , λ∗ ≥ 0 { λ[

    1 − c 2 (t) exp (

    Qτ + 1 2

    ∥∥π ′ σ∥∥2 τ)− β̄] } ( π ′ ∗, c ∗, λ∗)

    = 0

    .

    In what follows, we discuss Problem (4.1) in two different cases.

    Case 1. If 1 − c 2 (t) exp (Qτ + 1 / 2 ‖ π ′ σ‖ 2 τ ) < β̄ , then the rela-ive CVaR constraint is inactive at the optimal solution. In this case,

    roblem ( 4.1 ) is reduced to the following unconstrained problem

    max (t) ,c(t)

    log c(t) + 1 ρ

    (1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) ) Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t)) .

    According to first-order necessary conditions, the optimal solu-

    ion { πM ( t ), c M ( t )} must satisfy

    μ̄ − σσ ′ π(t) | { πM (t) , c M (t) } = 0 1

    c(t) − 1 − (1 − ρ) e

    −ρ(T −t)

    ρ

    ∣∣∣∣{ πM (t) , c M (t) }

    = 0 .

    ence,

    M (t) = (σσ ′ ) −1 μ̄, c M (t) = ρ1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) . (4.2)

    Case 2 If 1 − c 2 (t) exp (Qτ + 1 / 2 ‖ π ′ σ‖ 2 τ ) = β̄ , then the rela-ive CVaR constraint is active. Let ∂

    ∂πL (t, π, c, λ) = 0 , that is

    1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) ρ

    [ ̄μ − σσ ′ π(t)]

    + λ{[

    ∂ c 2 (t)

    ∂π+ c 2 (t) ̄μτ

    ]exp

    [(π ′ (t) ̄μ + r − c(t)) τ

    ]}= 0 .

  • Q. Zhang, Y. Gao / Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 91 (2016) 516–521 519

    Fig. 1. The risk-free asset’s portfolio versus time.

    p

    c

    t

    m

    s

    L

    k

    w

    i

    5

    m

    t

    p

    σ

    w

    f

    t

    e

    p

    c

    Fig. 2. The optimal consumption rate versus time.

    i

    a

    t

    r

    6

    C

    d

    A

    m

    f

    p

    t

    i

    t

    f

    C

    A

    p

    A

    h

    F

    A

    1

    w

    π

    By calculating the above equation, we find that the optimal

    ortfolio π∗( t ) is parallel to πM ( t ). So, we let π ∗(t) = k 1 πM ,

    ∗(t) = k 2 c M . Then, there must exist the unique (k ∗1 , k ∗2 ) be the op-imal solution of the following problem

    ax k 1 , k 2

    log k 2 c M (t) + 1 ρ

    (1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) ) Q(t, k 1 π ′ M (t) , k 2 c M (t))

    . t . 1 − c 2 (t) exp (

    Qτ + 1 2

    ∥∥k 1 π ′ M (t) σ∥∥2 τ) = β̄. By first-order necessary conditions, there must exist a unique

    agrange multiplier λ∗ such that

    { log k 2 c M (t) + 1 ρ

    (1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) ) Q(t, k 1 π ′ M (t) , k 2 c M (t)) }

    = λ∗∇ {

    1 − c 2 (t) exp (

    Qτ + 1 2 ‖ k 1 π ′ M (t) σ‖ 2 τ

    )− β̄

    } .

    By eliminating λ∗, we obtain

    ∗2 = f (k ∗1 ) = 1 +

    k ∗1 ‖ π ′ M σ‖ 2 − π ′ M μ̄ϕ( c 1 −k ∗1 ‖ π ′ M (t) σ‖

    √ τ )

    �( c 1 −k ∗1 ‖ π ′ M (t) σ‖ √

    τ ) ‖ π ′ M σ‖ √

    τ− k ∗

    1 ‖ π ′ M σ‖ 2 , (4.3)

    here k ∗1

    is the root of the equation

    (1 − β̄ )(1 − β) = �( c 1 − x ‖ π ′ M (t) σ‖ √ τ ) × exp [(x π ′ M (t) ̄μ + r − f (x ) c M (t)) τ ] (4.4)

    n the variable of x .

    . Empirical analysis

    In this section, we choose four stocks from Chinese financial

    arket with codes 60 0611,60 0796,60 0 054 and 60 0118, and use

    heir daily closing prices from 01/04/2010 to 01/04/2016. By com-

    utation, we have μ = (0 . 0316 , 0 . 1013 , 0 . 0485 , 0 . 1291) ′ and

    =

    ⎡ ⎢ ⎣

    0 . 5812 0 0 0 0 . 3184 0 . 4915 0 0 0 . 2445 0 . 1258 0 . 3631 0 0 . 3392 0 . 1769 0 . 0967 0 . 6337

    ⎤ ⎥ ⎦ .

    Let r = ρ = 0 . 017 , β= 0 . 95 , β̄ = 0 . 06 , T = 5 (year), τ = 0 . 02 ≈ aeek.

    Fig. 1 presents the optimal portfolio of the risk-free asset at dif-

    erent time. When there is no relative CVaR constraint, the propor-

    ion of the wealth invested in the risk-free asset is constant. How-

    ver, as the value of the Lagrange multiplier turns from zero to

    ositive, the constraint becomes binding. And the investor will in-

    rease the proportion of the wealth invested in the risk-free asset,

    .e., the investor will reduce the proportion invested in the risky

    ssets. Fig. 2 presents the optimal consumption rate at different

    ime. Since k ∗2 is very close to 1, the optimal consumption rate withelative CVaR constraint and without it is almost the same.

    . Conclusion

    The optimal consumption-investment problem with a dynamic

    VaR constraint has been studied. For general utility function, we

    erived the HJB equation by the dynamic programming technique.

    s for the logarithmic utility function, the method of Lagrange

    ultiplier has been applied to tackle the constraint and the closed

    orm solution is presented.

    From the empirical study’s results, we find that the constrained

    roblem invested less in the risky assets. This is due to the fact

    he CVaR constraint is imposed all the time. How to extend the

    dea of dynamic risk control to other portfolio problems, such as

    he benchmark process, dynamic mean-variance model, etc, is our

    uture interest.

    ompeting interests

    The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

    uthors contributions

    All authors contributed equally to the manuscript, read and ap-

    roved the final manuscript.

    cknowledgements

    We would like to thank two anonymous reviewers for their

    elpful comments and the support of the National Natural Science

    oundation of China (Project No. 1171221 ).

    ppendix

    . The derivation of formula ( 2.3 )

    We divide the derivation into three steps. Denote the loss ,

    here = L (t) . For simplicity, we denote W π , c ( t ) by W, π ( t ) by, Q ( t, π ′ ( t ), c ( t )) by Q , B (t + τ ) − B (t) by B respectively.

    (1) Derivation the probability density function (PDF) of the loss.

    http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001809

  • 520 Q. Zhang, Y. Gao / Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 91 (2016) 516–521

    C

    C

    H∫

    E

    E

    {

    s

    R

    Since the cumulative distribution function of the loss is

    F (x ) = P ( ≤ x ) = P (W − W e Qτ e π ′ σB ≤ x )

    = P {

    1

    ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log W − x W e Qτ

    ≤ B √ τ

    }

    = 1 − �(

    1

    ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log W − x W e Qτ

    ).

    So, the PDF of the loss is

    f (x ) = F ′ (x )

    = −φ(

    1

    ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log W − x W e Qτ

    )· 1 ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ ·

    W e Qτ

    W − x ·−1

    W e Qτ

    = φ(

    1

    ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log W − x W e Qτ

    )· 1 (W − x ) ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ ;

    (2) Derivation the VaR.

    By definition,

    β = P ( ≤ V aR ) = P (W − W e Qτ e π ′ σB ≤ V aR ) = P (

    W − V aR W e Qτ

    ≤ e π ′ σB )

    = P (

    1

    ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log W − V aR

    W e Qτ≤ π

    ′ σB ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ

    )So, 1 − β = �( 1 ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log W −VaR W e Qτ ) ,

    1 ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log

    W −VaR W e Qτ

    = �−1 (1 − β) ˆ = c 1 .

    Therefore, V aR = W − W e Qτ e ‖ π ′ σ‖ √

    τ c 1 = W ( 1 −e Qτ+ ‖ π′ σ‖ √ τ c 1 ) ,

    where c 1 = �−1 (1 − β) ; (3) Derivation the CVaR.

    By definition,

    V aR = E(| ≥ V aR ) = 1 1 − β

    ∫ + ∞ VaR

    x f (x ) dx

    = 1 1 − β

    ∫ + ∞ VaR

    x

    (W − x ) ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ· 1 √

    2 πe

    − 1 2 ( 1 ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log W−x W e Qτ ) 2

    dx (∗)

    Let 1 ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ log W −x W e Qτ

    = t , then x = W − W e Qτ+ ‖ π ′ σ‖ √

    τ t , dx =−W e Qτ+ ‖ π ′ σ‖

    √ τ t · ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τdt . Therefore, ( ∗) can be rewritten as

    follows

    V aR = 1 1 − β

    ∫ −∞ c 1

    −W (1 − e Qτ · e ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ t ) · 1 √ 2 π

    e −t 2

    2

    dt

    = W 1 − β

    ∫ c 1 −∞

    (1 − e Qτ · e ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ t ) · 1 √ 2 π

    e −t 2

    2

    dt

    = W 1 − β [ �( c 1 ) − e

    Qτ+ 1 2 ‖ π ′ σ‖ 2 τ · �( c 1 − ‖ π ′ σ‖ √ τ ) ]

    = W [

    1 − e Qτ+ 1 2 ‖ π ′ σ‖ 2 τ · �( c 1 − ‖ π′ σ‖ √ τ )

    1 − β

    ]= W [ 1 − c 2 e Qτ+ 1 2 ‖ π ′ σ‖

    2 τ ]

    where c 2 = �( c 1 −‖ π′ σ‖ √ τ )

    1 −β . �

    2. The simplification of ( 2.6 )

    Taking the log on both sides of ( 2.2 ), we have

    log ( W π,c (t)) = log w 0 + ∫ t

    0

    Q(s, π ′ (s ) , c(s )) ds + ∫ t

    0

    π ′ (s ) σdB (s ).

    Then the utility of the consumption is T

    0

    e −ρt log (c(t) W π,c (t)) dt

    = ∫ T

    0

    e −ρt log c(t) dt + 1 − e −ρT

    ρlog w 0

    + ∫ T

    0

    e −ρt dt ∫ t

    0

    Q(s, π ′ (s ) , c(s )) ds

    + ∫ T

    0

    e −ρt dt ∫ t

    0

    π ′ (s ) σdB (s )

    Exchanging the order of integral by Fubini’s theorem, we have T

    0

    e −ρt dt ∫ t

    0

    Q(s, π ′ (s ) , c(s )) ds

    = ∫ T

    0

    Q(s, π ′ (s ) , c(s )) ds ∫ T

    s

    e −ρt dt

    = ∫ T

    0

    e −ρs − e −ρT ρ

    Q(s, π ′ (s ) , c(s )) ds

    ence, T

    0

    e −ρt log (c(t) W π,c (t)) dt

    = 1 − e −ρT

    ρlog w 0

    + ∫ T

    0

    e −ρt [

    log c(t) + 1 ρ

    (1 − e −ρ(T −t) ) Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t)) ]

    dt

    + ∫ T

    0

    e −ρt dt ∫ t

    0

    π ′ (s ) σdB (s ) .

    By taking mathematical expectation on both sides, we have

    ∫ T 0

    e −ρt log (c(t) W π,c (t)) dt

    = 1 − e −ρT

    ρlog w 0

    + E {∫ T

    0

    e −ρt [ log c(t) + 1

    ρ(1 − e −ρ(T −t) ) Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t))

    ] dt

    }.

    Similarly, we can get

    [e −ρT U 2 ( W π,c (T ))

    ]= e −ρT log w 0 + e −ρT E

    ∫ T 0

    Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t)) dt .

    Problem (2.6) can be reduced to

    max π(·) ,c(·) }∈ u [0 ,T ]

    (1 − e −ρT

    ρ+ e −ρT

    )log w 0

    + E {∫ T

    0

    e −ρt

    ×[

    log c(t) + 1 ρ

    (1 − (1 − ρ) e −ρ(T −t) ) Q(t, π ′ (t) , c(t)) ]

    dt

    } . t . 1 − c 2 (t) exp

    (Qτ + 1

    2

    ∥∥π ′ (t) σ∥∥2 τ) ≤ β̄. �eferences

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    Optimal consumption-portfolio problem with CVaR constraints1 Introduction2 Market setting and problem formulation3 Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation4 Optimal control process under logarithmic utility function5 Empirical analysis6 Conclusion Competing interests Authors contributions Acknowledgements Appendix1 The derivation of formula (2.3)2 The simplification of (2.6)

    References