Oulu Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011 Ou Some ideas about analyzing research topics Heli Jantunen Microelectronics and Materials Physics Laboratories

Oulu

Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011

Ou

Some ideas about analyzing research topics

Heli JantunenMicroelectronics and Materials Physics Laboratories

Department of Electrical and Information EngineeringFaculty of Technology

University of OuluFinland

Oulu


Ou

?

• Is it already well-researched?

• Who is interested about results?

• What kind of new applications would be interesting?

• Are new innovations needed?

• When it is a correct time to patent?

• Where to find financing?

• Who are the key players?

• Where to publish?

ANY TOOLS TO EVALUATE THE RESEARCH AREA?

Oulu


Ou

S-CURVES AS A TOOL TO ANALYSE MARKET SITUATION OF A PRODUCT

S. Majaro: International Marketing; A Strategic Approach to World Markets

SA

LES

OR

PR

OFIT

(A

U)

TIME

Sales

Profit

• NORMALLY DIVIDED IN FIVE PERIODS

Satu

ration

Intr

oduct

ion

Grow

th

Mat

urity

Dec

line

Oulu


Ou

BASIC RESEARCH - PRODUCT

S. Majaro: International Marketing; A Strategic Approach to World Markets

SA

LES

OR

PR

OFIT

(A

U)

TIME

Sales

Profit

M. S. Slocum: Using S-Curves and Trends of Evolution in R&D Strategy Planning

BASIC RESEARCHCOOPERATION RESEARCH

DEVELOPMENT

Oulu


OuS-CURVES AS A TOOL TO ANALYSESITUATION OF A SPECIFIC RESEARCH

AREA? P

ER

FO

RM

AN

CE

TIME

I

NV

EN

TIO

NS

TIME

Level

Number

• HOW THESE CORRELATE WITH SOME ELECTRONICS MATERIALS?

• TREND OF PUBLICATIONS?

• CORRELATION WITH AVAILABLE MARKET FORECASTS?

• USABILITY WITH COMMON ”HUNTING” METHODS?

• HOW IT WORKS IN PRACTICE?

M. S. Slocum: Using S-Curves and Trends of Evolution in R&D Strategy Planning

Oulu


Ou

BRIEF TESTING OF S-CURVES ON SOME ELECTRONICS MATERIALS

• SELECTED MAIN TOPICS• LTCC (LOW TEMPERATURE COFIRED CERAMIC)

• METHODS

• www.uspto.gov WITH SELECTED YEARS (free access)• http://scholar.google.fi/ WITH SELECTED YEAR (free access)• ISI Web of Science (through your library; scientific jounral publications)• Scopus (through your library; also conference proceedings)• Science Direct• Market perdictions• etc.

Oulu


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LOW TEMPERATURE COFIRED CERAMIC

KNOWN BEFOREHAND

• VERY ACTIVE AREA ALREADY SEVERAL YEARS

• APPLICATION AREAS IN AUTOMOTIVE, TELECOMMUNICATION AND SENSOR TECHNOLOGIES

Space applicationModule (VCO) IMST

LTCC module,VTT

LTCC waveguide,Oulu University

Oulu


Ou

Oulu


Ou

LOW TEMPERATURE COFIRED CERAMIC

PATENTS / YEAR

020406080

100120140160180200

1990 1995 2000 2005

• 878 kpl (1990-2006)• GROWTH ~ 2003

STILL GROWING?

NEW INNOVATIONS OR APPLICATION AREAS NEEDED?

DEEPER ”HUNTING” NEEDED!

Oulu


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DEEPER “HUNTING” (LTCC, material, publications)

YEAR

AM

OU

NT

Dielectric

Piezoelectric ~ 450Ferrelectric ~ 330Magentic > 1100Dielectric > 2800

MagneticFerroelectricPiezoelectric

Oulu


Ou

POLYMER PRINTABLE ELECTRONICS

KNOWN BEFOREHAND

• LOT OF ACTIVITIES ONGOING

• WIDE APPLICATION AREAS LIKE OLEDS, DISPLAYS, PACKAGES,…

Printed OLED demonstrator,VTT

R2R printed circuits,VTT

Inkjet printed CNT ink,Oulu University

Oulu


Ou

POLYMER PRINTABLE ELECTRONICS

PATENTS / YEAR

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1990 1995 2000 2005

• 418 kpl (1990-2006)• GROWTH TO BE COME (should be updated)

Lighting, displays, packaging,Signage, poster, billboard (90 B$)

Logic, memory (120 B$)

Inorganic (50 B$)

Other organics (40 B$)

http://www.idtechex.com/products/en/articles/00000261.asp

FORECAST FOR ORGANIC AND INORGANIC PRINTABLE

ELECTRONICS300 BILLION $ GLOBALLY IN 2025

Oulu


Ou

CONCLUSIONS AND NOTES

• FAST METHOD• AVAILABLE TO ALL RESEARCHERS• GIVES INDICATIONS

• overall view• novelty of research area• competitive position• background work needed• new innovations needed• financing type

• FURTHER LIMITATION WHEN “HUNTING”

• find new applications• combinations possibilities

S-CURVES MIGHT BE ONE TOOL TO ANALYSE RESEACH AREA

AM

OU

NT O

F

PU

BLIC

ATIO

NS

TIME

Oulu


Ou

ADDITIONALLY YOU CAN FIND

• Who is Who – in this research topic• Most cited publications• Main journals – impact factor or the best audience• How your supervisor is doing !!!!

HOWEVER.................METHOD CAN EFFECT A LOT!

IT IS VERY SENSIVE AND IF NOT DONE CORRECTLY- RESULTS are MISLEADING!

Oulu


Ou

Thank you for your attention!

Documents

Oulu Oulu University GETA seminar 19.-21.01.2011 Ou Some ideas about analyzing research topics Heli Jantunen Microelectronics and Materials Physics Laboratories