36
[

Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

[

Page 2: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

Paul Rutishauser

Editor, Auto Market Intelligence

[email protected]

Page 3: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

Sophus3’s quarterly journal is now redesigned and split into two:

Quarterly overview of digital, campaign and registrations performance in each market.Objective is to provide clear and timely benchmark for each brand.

Whitepaper: focus on developments and concepts that are driving car brands’ digital strategy.

Page 4: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange
Page 5: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange
Page 6: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange
Page 7: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange
Page 8: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

Part 1: 2015 in numbersSector performance in the ‘Big 5’ markets

Part 2: Themes8 things that will occupy Automotive Digital Marketeers in 2016

2015/16 in review

Page 9: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

Where the numbers come from2015 data for ‘Big 5' MarketsGermany, France Italy, Spain and UK63% of EU population72% of the EU new car market

Sources digital: eDataXchangecars: ACEA / IHS automotivespend: Ebiquity

Part 1: 2015 in numbers

Page 10: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

Digital

Page 11: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange
Page 12: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange
Page 13: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange
Page 14: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange
Page 15: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange
Page 16: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

Social media

Page 17: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange
Page 18: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

Ca

mp

aig

n

Page 19: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange
Page 20: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

Ca

r Ma

rke

t

Page 21: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange
Page 22: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange
Page 23: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

Headline KPIs

Page 24: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

KPIs by market

Page 25: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

Part 2: Themes

8 things that will occupy

Automotive Digital

Marketeers in 2016

Page 26: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

#1 “Add to basket” the next new website feature?

Seen as one of the wilder fantasies of the dot-com boom era

Citroen and BMW have recently implemented buy-online functionality

35% of interviewees in Capgemini survey said they would purchase a car online

Objections are weakening? Third of buyers no longer test drive PCPs and other forms of purchase

define end value – ‘haggle factor’ reduced

Page 27: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

Audience for Car Brand YouTube channels is nearly double audience for Car Brands’ own websites

But no connection between YouTube success and share of website audience, or share of registrations

Much YouTube content is repurposed TV advertising – its use online not thought through

Many channels are an incoherent melange of ‘stuff’ with no drivers to further engagement

#2 Searching for a YouTube strategy

Page 28: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

-7% decline in visits from PCs in 2015 54% of visits in UK now on mobile or tablet 2015 Audit by Sophus3 of 21 Car Brand

sites found only one brand with a configurator functioning on all platforms

Most brochures are laughably unreadable on a mobile device

Contact forms needlessly complex for engagement by the keyboardless

Starting point to fixing this is to review and test all digital platforms using ‘real’ mobile devices, to use sites as they are being used

#3 Fixing mobile (again, finally!)

Page 29: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

Volkswagen is undertaking an 11 million vehicle recall as a consequence of ‘dieselgate’

Estimates that final cost to brand may be up to €78 billion

‘Reputation’ seen as one of the most seriously affected assets that could take years and be costly to rebuild

But all brands are at risk from recall crises and reputational damage. (e.g. Takata airbags)

Social media enables any crisis to be amplified into a catastrophe

Digital departments need to be prepared and to rehearse their action plan to respond to a reputational ‘event’.

#4 Rehearsing digital disaster recovery

Page 30: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

Car brand managers risk being swamped by the deluge of ‘big data’

Combining relevant data from different sources – both internal and external – to deliver reports that clarify the actions required is time consuming and distracting.

Sophus3 (other brands are available!) is working in partnership with more OEMs to support, or take on, critical parts of the data collation and reporting function.

#5 Dealing with Data overload

Page 31: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

Speculation about Google and Apple entering car market – both have grown sizable automotive divisions

Both technically capable with huge brand equity and billions of dollars in reserves.

But rate of return at present unlikely to prove attractive

Tech giants are biding their time awaiting the opportunity afforded by future technological disruption

#6 Threat of new market entrants

Page 32: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

Driverless technology will cause far greater disruption than emissions legislation and the search for alternative powertrains

It may be closer than we think: most of the technical building blocks are in place. There are many vehicle systems where driver already cedes control to a robotic system

First major threat is the reduction of the global car fleet. Likely that it will usher in a ‘sharing’ model reducing demand volume for vehicles eroding the status of vehicles to ‘pods’

Car brands therefore busy reinventing themselves as ‘mobility solutions providers’

#7 Disruptive new technologies

Page 33: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

As the mobility solutions market opens up, then we can expect the tech giants to enter

Their interest is to control, own and profit from the information network a fully autonomous vehicle fleet would depend on

Google and Apples’ battle to become the dominant provider of embedded infotainment systems is a Trojan horse exercise to control the car to network communications which is the value opportunity of this technology

Most car brands seem to be complacently surrendering ground to the tech giants to achieve their ambitions

#7 Disruptive new technologies

Page 34: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

The second threat stems from the ‘pod’ analogy – driverless technology demands an almost existential redefinition of the car

The proposition the car industry has offered since its birth is one of personal autonomy: the driver as individualist: pilot, knight even rebel

Driverless technology makes that proposition, and most of the rhetoric used to sell cars today suddenly meaningless

Those marketing cars need to start thinking about an entirely new rhetoric to make the car desirable, to execute a near 180 degree turn in the proposition they are making

#7 Disruptive new technologies

Page 35: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

Short term the major threat to the car market is clearly the economic climate

A ‘perfect storm’ is brewing that could drag the world economy back into a tailspin

Main factors are Collapse in oil prices and domino effect on

financial institutions European stock markets down 10% in the

year so far – another portent of recession China may be forced to devalue its currency

adding deflationary stress that will hit other emerging markets

EU car market has a distinct déjà vu: torrid growth, yet household disposable income remains lower than at time of 2007 crash?

#8 Enough futurology: “It’s the economy stupid!”

Page 36: Paul Rutishauser - sophus3 2016...2015 data for ‘Big 5' Markets Germany, France Italy, Spain and UK 63% of EU population 72% of the EU new car market Sources digital: eDataXchange

See you soon!

YOU

www.sophus3.com

THANK