12
PERSPECTIVES FROM THE COPERNICUS ATMOSPHERE MONITORING SERVICE Copernicus EU Copernicus EU www.copernicus.eu Copernicus EU [email protected]

PERSPECTIVES FROM THE COPERNICUS ATMOSPHERE … · Global System Regional System . Atmosphere Monitoring ... • About 75 European entities involved in ~35 contracts (several since

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    4

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • P E R S P E C T I V E S F R O M T H E C O P E R N I C U S A T M O S P H E R E M O N I T O R I N G S E R V I C E

    Copernicus EU

    Copernicus EU www.copernicus.eu

    Copernicus EU

    V i n c e n t - H e n r i . P e u c h @ e c m w f. i n t

  • Atmosphere Monitoring

    O U T L I N E

    • Copernicus and CAMS

    • 4 CAMS Assets

    • 4 Science Challenges (for supporting policy aspects)

  • Copernicus

    Sentinels

    C O P E R N I C U S

    Copernicus is the European Union’s operational Earth Observation and Monitoring programme, looking at our planet and its environment for the benefit of all citizens. User-driven with free + unrestricted data access

    Atmosphere

    Climate

    Land

    Marine

    Emergency

    Security

    Satellite and in-situ observations feeding into value-added Services

  • Atmosphere Monitoring

    A C C E S S I N G T H E C A M S P O R T F O L I O

    Solar radiation and UV index

    Ozone layer

    Emissions and surface fluxes Global analyses, forecasts and reanalyses

    NO2 European Air Quality and products in support of policy users

    http://atmosphere.copernicus.eu

    CAMS is operational since 2015 and follows 10 years of R&D

    Radiative forcings

  • Atmosphere Monitoring

    CAMS SERVICE CHAIN

    Space Agencies

    In-situ observations

    15

    A S S E T # 1 : C A M S O P E R AT I O N A L I N F R A S T R U C T U R E

    ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System (IFS)

    Regional multi-model ensemble (7 soon 9

    models)

    Users: Env. Agencies Academia SMEs Citizens ...

    ~75 different data streams (about 15 for atmospheric

    composition variables)

    EEA, GAW, EMEP, IAGOS, NDACC, ICOS, ACTRIS, EAN...

    Global System

    Regional System

  • Atmosphere Monitoring

    CAMS SERVICE CHAIN A S S E T # 2 : C A M S C O L L A B O R AT I V E D I M E N S I O N

    • About 75 European entities involved in ~35 contracts (several since 2005)

    • CAMS contributes to WMO/GAW activities and GEO

  • Atmosphere Monitoring

    A S S E T # 3 : C A M S C A PA C I T Y T O D E L I V E R CAMS NOx European emissions in 2015 (lead: TNO)

    CAMS delivers. An example: upcoming CAMS emissions inventories (0.1 global; ~8km Europe). Key aspects: recent (projection) and model oriented.

    CAMS CO2 shipping emissions in 2016 (lead: FMI)

    CAMS anthropogenic NH3 emissions in 2018 (lead: CNRS)

  • Atmosphere Monitoring

    A S S E T # 4 : C A M S P R O D U C T S

    Several CAMS products have little equivalent. Example: reanalyses.

  • Atmosphere Monitoring

    S C I E N C E C H A L L E N G E # 1 : D O W N S C A L I N G

    • Downscaling is a must for most CAMS applications (exposure...) • There are literally hundreds of applications downscaling today CAMS outputs

    (resolutions of main products are 10, 40 or 80km), with a range of methods: Model Output Statistics (points), regressions (using proxies, land use...), analogues, 3-D models...

    • Very few guidance about best practises “to run the last mile”, while this is not just an “engineering” issue but it ties in with fine scale variability, representativeness issues...

  • Atmosphere Monitoring

    S C I E N C E C H A L L E N G E # 2 : D E P O S I T I O N

    • Deposition of key constituents is a much needed information product, while reliable estimates are very challenging to derive from models.

    • Meeting in Feb 2017 at WMO: roadmap. How to use best the global observing system and downscale to relevant scales? How to operationalise the process?

    • Joint effort needed: observations, process-oriented studies, local-regional-global modelling...

    ECMWF/IFS

    Courtesy H. Elbern (EURAD-IM)

  • Atmosphere Monitoring

    S C I E N C E C H A L L E N G E # 3 : S O U R C E A P P O R T I O N M E N T

    • A type of product in high demand (and rightly so) both for real-time management and analysis of past period

    • Still somewhat challenging to interpret and “verify” • Presentation (including to general audiences, or to high-level decision makers) is

    also a challenge

    Met.no, TNO and INERIS

  • Atmosphere Monitoring

    S C I E N C E C H A L L E N G E # 4 : I N V E R S E M O D E L L I N G

    • The first satellite of the Copernicus series of atmospheric composition missions has been launched (Sentinel-5P)!

    • While inverse modelling applications (reactive gases, aerosol, greenhouse gases) have been around for some time, there is substantial new potential to harness.

    • It is crucial not to oppose bottom-up (inventories) and top-down (inversions): they need to work together.

    • Key capacity (not “product”) for air quality and climate policy support

    Preliminary images shared by EU, ESA, KNMI, SRON, DLR and others at the S-5P 1st light event (01/12/2017)

    Slide Number 1OUTLINECOPERNICUSACCESSING THE CAMS PORTFOLIOASSET #1: CAMS OPERATIONAL INFRASTRUCTUREASSET #2: CAMS COLLABORATIVE DIMENSIONASSET #3: CAMS CAPACITY TO DELIVERASSET #4: CAMS PRODUCTSSCIENCE CHALLENGE #1: DOWNSCALINGSCIENCE CHALLENGE #2: DEPOSITIONSCIENCE CHALLENGE #3: SOURCE APPORTIONMENTSCIENCE CHALLENGE #4: INVERSE MODELLING