24
www.eia.gov U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation April 10, 2018 | Washington, DC An analysis of the factors that influence product prices, with chart data updated monthly, quarterly and annually

Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

  • Upload
    vumien

  • View
    222

  • Download
    6

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

www.eia.govU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis

Petroleum Product Price Formation

April 10, 2018 | Washington, DC

An analysis of the factors that influence product prices, with chart data updated monthly, quarterly and annually

Page 2: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Bloomberg L.P.

Note: CBOB is conventional blendstock for oxygenate blending. CARBOB is California reformulated gasoline blendstock for oxygenate blending.

April 10, 2018

Gasoline spot prices

2

Page 3: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Bloomberg L.P.

Note: ULSD is ultra-low sulfur diesel. 500 ppm is sulfur content in parts per million.

April 10, 2018

Distillate spot prices

3

Page 4: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Bloomberg L.P.

Note: RBOB is reformulated blendstock for oxygenate blending.

April 10, 2018

RBOB futures price and crack spread

4

Page 5: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Bloomberg L.P.

Note: ULSD is ultra-low sulfur diesel.

April 10, 2018

ULSD futures price and crack spread

5

Page 6: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Bloomberg L.P.

Note: RBOB is reformulated blendstock for oxygenate blending.

April 10, 2018

RBOB – Brent Crack Spread Range

6

Page 7: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Bloomberg L.P.

Note: Since the spring of 2013, the underlying commodity for the distillate futures contract has been ultra-low sulfur diesel (ULSD).

April 10, 2018

Distillate – Brent Crack Spread Ranges

7

Page 8: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration

April 10, 2018

Petroleum Product Consumption

8

Page 9: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration

April 10, 2018

U.S. consumption of gasoline and retail gasoline prices

9

Page 10: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration

April 10, 2018

U.S. consumption of distillate and retail heating oil prices

10

Page 11: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration

April 10, 2018

Gasoline refinery output

11

Page 12: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration

April 10, 2018

Distillate refinery output

12

Page 13: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration

April 10, 2018

Refinery output

13

Page 14: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Bloomberg L.P.

Note: Since 2006, the underlying commodity for the gasoline futures contract has been reformulated blendstock for oxygenate blending (RBOB). Since the spring of 2013, the underlying commodity for the distillate futures contract has been ultra-low sulfur diesel (ULSD).

April 10, 2018

Production and futures prices

14

Page 15: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration

Net Imports

Net Exports

April 10, 2018

U.S. total gasoline net imports

15

Page 16: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration

Net Imports

Net Exports

April 10, 2018

U.S. total gasoline net imports by PADD

16

Page 17: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration

Net Exports

Net Imports

April 10, 2018

U.S. distillate fuel net imports

17

Page 18: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Source : U.S. Energy Information Administration

Net Imports

Net Exports

April 10, 2018

U.S. distillate fuel oil net imports by PADD

18

Page 19: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Bloomberg L.P.

Note: Since 2006, the underlying commodity for the gasoline futures contract has been reformulated blendstock for oxygenate blending (RBOB).

April 10, 2018

Gasoline Inventories and RBOB 3rd minus 1st month futures contract

19

Page 20: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Bloomberg L.P.

Note: Since 2013, the underlying commodity for the distillate futures contract has been ulatra-low sulfur diesel (ULSD).

April 10, 2018

Distillate Inventories and ULSD 3rd minus 1st month futures contract

20

Page 21: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: Bloomberg L.P.

Note: Gasoline data prior to 2006 used the unleaded gasoline contract. After 2006 the contract changed to reformulated blendstockfor oxygenate blending (RBOB). Since the spring of 2013, the underlying commodity for the distillate futures contract has been ultra-low sulfur diesel (ULSD).

April 10, 2018

Average daily open interest of petroleum product futures contracts

21

Page 22: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

Sources: Bloomberg L.P.

Note: Gasoline data prior to 2006 used the unleaded gasoline contract. After 2006 the contract changed to reformulated blendstockfor oxygenate blending (RBOB). Since the spring of 2013, the underlying commodity for the distillate futures contract has been ultra-low sulfur diesel (ULSD).

April 10, 2018

Average daily volume of petroleum product futures contracts

22

Page 23: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

U.S. exchange-traded futures positions by money managers

Sources: CFTC Commitment of Traders.

Net long

Net short

Note: Since the spring of 2013, the underlying commodity for the distillate futures contract has been ultra-low sulfur diesel (ULSD).

April 10, 2018 23

Page 24: Petroleum Product Price Formation - U.S. Energy ... · PDF fileU.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Petroleum Product Price Formation January 9,

For more informationU.S. Energy Information Administration home page | www.eia.gov

Short-Term Energy Outlook | www.eia.gov/steo

Annual Energy Outlook | www.eia.gov/aeo

International Energy Outlook | www.eia.gov/ieo

Monthly Energy Review | www.eia.gov/mer

EIA Information Center(202) 586-8800 | email: [email protected]

April 10, 2018 24