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Role of Advanced ICT for Hyper Aged Society The University of Tokyo Michitaka Hirose

· PDF file4 PolesocietybecomeReal " *HiroyaMasuda’sList Thelistshows896localgovernmentswhosepopulaonwillbecomeless than20,000unl2040.Thesegovernmentsarecalled“cityofpossible"

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Page 1: · PDF file4 PolesocietybecomeReal " *HiroyaMasuda’sList Thelistshows896localgovernmentswhosepopulaonwillbecomeless than20,000unl2040.Thesegovernmentsarecalled“cityofpossible"

Role  of  Advanced  ICT  for  Hyper  Aged  Society

The  University  of  Tokyo

Michitaka  Hirose

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1. Japan  Has  Entered  Hyper  Aged  Society

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4  

Pole  society  become  Real    

*Hiroya  Masuda’s  List  The  list  shows    896  local  governments  whose  popula/on  will  become  less  

than  20,000  un/l  2040.  These  governments  are  called  “city  of  possible  

disappearance”.    

Moreover,  527  local  governments  will  become  less  than  10,000.                        

Causes  of  the  popula/on  decreasement  are:  

(1)    Decrease  of  younger  females  of  20-­‐39  years  old  

(2)    ShiT  of  Young  people  from  Local  area  to  Urban  area.  

*          Mr.  Hiroya  Masuda  is  a  former  minister    of                          internal  affairs  and  communica/on.

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6  

PopulaGon  Pyramid  of  Japan  in  2055

Younger genera/on  will  not  be  able  to  support  elder  genera/on  any  more.

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Page 9: · PDF file4 PolesocietybecomeReal " *HiroyaMasuda’sList Thelistshows896localgovernmentswhosepopulaonwillbecomeless than20,000unl2040.Thesegovernmentsarecalled“cityofpossible"

First  Person  View  of  the  Hyper  Aged  Society    

Age  of  High  Economic  Growth      (1954-­‐1961)

Working

Re/red  but  Healthy

Not  Healthy

Working

Re/red  but  Healthy

Not  Healthy

Age  of  Hyper  Aged  Society    (2010-­‐      )

Care  Technology

Care  Technology

Novel  Technology  Required

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2.  What  Advanced  ICT  Can  Do

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11  

x + yi

Real                              Imaginary      

i   

Complex  Number:

x 2 = -1

x = ±

i = √‐1

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14  

On-­‐line  Adver/sement

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Digital  Makes  Impossible  Possible.    Computer  is  an  entropy  machine. It  has  a  poten/al  to  decrease  entropy.  

In  the  real  world,  it  is  impossible  to  decrease  entropy,  because  there  is  an  entropy  law.  

But  in  the  cyber  world,  we  can  use  computer  to  break  entropy  law.

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3.  Current  InformaGon  Technology

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3-­‐1    Virtual  Reality

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20  

In  1989,    the  term  “Virtual  Reality  (VR)”  became  popular.    VR  is  a  technology  to  enter  a  space  which  is  synthesized  by  computers.  By  entering  this  space,  we  can    experience  different  sensa/ons.  

USAF  VCASS  (1982)  

NASA  VIEW  (1987)  VPL  RB2  (1989)    

Jaron  Laniar:

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22  

PlaySta/onVR

FOVE

Oculus  RiT

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23  

Growth  of  GPU  power

1995   2000   2005   2010   2015  

10billion

1billion

5billion

Maxwell  (8billion)

Kepler

Fermi

GeForce  8

GeForce  GTX200

NV1    (1million) GeForce  7

GeForce  4

Transistors

NVIDIA  GPU

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3-­‐2  Mobile,  Wearable,  Life-­‐Log,  IOT

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28  

   Ins/tu/onal  Technology                      →    Personal  Technology   → In/mate  Technology 

Our  body  will  be  augmented  by  wearable  computers  equipped  with  micro  sensors  and  displays.  

Wearable  computer  is  a  “NewType”.  

 Wearable  computer  technology  is    different  from    the  conven/onal  computer  technology  …..  

Wearable  Computers:

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29  

Huge  data  generated  by  computers            Huge  data  generated  by  sensors          Huge  data  generated  by  people    

Age  of  Big  Data

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31  

If  you  record  mpeg  image  every  16hours  per  day  for  70years,  required  capacity  is  just  10T  bytes.        It  is  not  a  too  large  capacity  today.  Within  several  years,  this  size  of  file  server  will  be  available  even  in  our  home.  

Emo/on  

Loca/on  

Vision  

Audio  

Ambience  

GPSで位置を取得PDAで記録保存ビデオ・カメラで画像取得

“Life  Log”  Technology  became  real  

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32  

Silent  Log  Rei  Fron/er

This   applica/on   system   records  people’s  movement  history  with  minimum  basery  consump/on.

User  can  see  in  which  place  people  is  gathering  now  in  real  /me. User  can  also  see  from  where  they  came  because  the  data  can  be  rewinded.

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3-­‐3    Affec/veCompu/ng

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34  

OKAO  Vision

This  system  recognizes  the  age,  gender,  and  emo/on  of  the  face.

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35

“Jibo”:  Pet  Robot   

This  robot  can  recognize  emo/on  of  the  users  and  respond  them.

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4.    Several  on-­‐Going  Related  Projects

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4-­‐1    Senior  Cloud

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標準的労働者レベル

分野Aの経験・スキル

運動機能 認知機能 運動機能運動機能分野Bの経験・スキル

シニア A

分野Aの経験・スキル

運動機能 認知機能 運動機能運動機能分野Bの経験・スキル

シニア B

分野Aの経験・スキル

運動機能 認知機能 運動機能分野Bの経験・スキル

若者

仮想労働者 X

分野Aの経験・スキル

分野Bの経験・スキル

運動機能

認知機能

仮想労働者X

分野

分野分野

運動機能

認知機能

労働力合成

53*,$R<":*6,

5;6##R<":*6,

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43  

有業者 -­‐  仕事が主な者 100  有業者 -­‐  仕事は従な者 -­‐  通学が主な者 50  無業者 -­‐  通学している者 50  有業者 -­‐  仕事は従な者 -­‐  家事が主な者 20  有業者 -­‐  仕事は従な者 -­‐  家事・通学以外が主な者 20  無業者 -­‐  家事をしている者 10  無業者 -­‐  その他 5  

就業状態別社会参加指数の仮定値

15~64year  old(83  Million people) Over  65  years  old(27  Million  people)

Senior  Cloud/Crowd  Increases    Social  AcGvity  

※From  Sta/s/cs  by  Ministry  of  General  Affairs  

100  

%  of  popula/on   100  0  

100  

0   %  of  popula/on   100  

Worker  

Student  

Housekeeping  

No  Job  

If  40%  of  non-­‐working  senior  go  back  to  work,  there  will  be  22600  billion  yen  economical  effect.  

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2.  Health  Management  System

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4-­‐3      Digital  Museum

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Window  to  the  Past

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5.    At  the  End  of  My  Talk

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2015 2025 2035 2045 2055

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