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Population Change in Texas and Houston Steve H. Murdock, Director Hobby Center for the Study of Texas and Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology Rice University Implications for Education, the Labor Force, and Economic Development Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

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Implications for Education, the Labor Force, and Economic Development . Population Change in Texas and Houston. Steve H. Murdock, Director Hobby Center for the Study of Texas and Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology Rice University. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Population Change in Texas and Houston

Steve H. Murdock, DirectorHobby Center for the Study of Texas

and Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology

Rice University

Implications for Education, the Labor Force, and Economic Development

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Page 2: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Total Population and Percent Population Changein Texas and the United States, 1850-2010

  Total Population   Percent Change

Year Texas U.S.   Texas U.S.1850 212,592 23,191,876 --- ---1860 604,215 31,443,321 184.2 35.61870 818,579 39,818,449 35.5 26.61880 1,591,749 50,155,783 94.5 26.01890 2,235,527 62,947,714 40.4 25.51900 3,048,710 75,994,575 36.4 20.71910 3,896,542 91,972,266 27.8 21.01920 4,663,228 105,710,620 19.7 14.91930 5,824,715 122,775,046 24.9 16.11940 6,414,824 131,669,275 10.1 7.21950 7,711,194 150,697,361 20.2 14.51960 9,579,677 179,323,175 24.2 19.01970 11,196,730 203,302,031 16.9 13.41980 14,229,191 226,545,805 27.1 11.41990 16,986,510 248,709,873 19.4 9.82000 20,851,820 281,421,906 22.8 13.22010 25,145,561 308,745,538 20.6 9.7

 

Source: Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census April 1 of reported year.

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Page 3: Population Change in Texas and Houston

  Change 2000-2010

State2000

Population2010

Population Numeric Percent

United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7

Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6

California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382,308 10.0

Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6

Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3

North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5

Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6

Virginia 7,078,515 8,001,024 922,509 13.0

Washington 5,894,121 6,724,540 830,419 14.1

Colorado 4,301,261 5,029,196 727,935 16.9

Nevada 1,998,257 2,700,551 702,294 35.1

Ten States in the United States with theLargest Numeric Population Increase 2000-2010

Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Page 4: Population Change in Texas and Houston

PlacePopulation Change

2000 2010 Number Percent

New York , NY 8,008,278 8,175,133 166,855 2.1Los Angeles , CA 3,694,820 3,792,621 97,801 2.6Chicago , IL 2,896,016 2,695,598 -200,418 -6.9Houston , TX 1,953,631 2,099,451 145,820 7.5Philadelphia , PA 1,517,550 1,526,006 8,456 0.6Phoenix , AZ 1,321,045 1,445,632 124,587 9.4San Antonio , TX 1,144,646 1,327,407 182,761 16.0San Diego , CA 1,223,400 1,307,402 84,002 6.9Dallas , TX 1,188,580 1,197,816 9,236 0.8San Jose , CA 894,943 945,942 50,999 5.7

Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171.

Population 2000 and 2010 and Population Change 2000-2010 for the Ten Most Populous Incorporated Places in the United States

Page 5: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Councils of Governments in Texas Ranked by Total Population in 2010: Total Population in 2000 and 2010; Numeric and Percent Change, 2000-2010;

and Percent of the State Population (2010) and State Population Change

Total Population Population Change Percent of State

Council of Government 2000 2010 Numeric %Population

2010Change, 2000-10

North Central Texas 5,309,277 6,539,950 1,230,673 23.2 26.0 28.7Houston-Galveston 4,854,454 6,087,133 1,232,679 25.4 24.2 28.7Alamo Area 1,807,868 2,249,011 441,143 24.4 8.9 10.3Capital Area 1,346,833 1,830,003 483,170 35.9 7.3 11.3Lower Rio Grande Valley 924,772 1,203,123 278,351 30.1 4.8 6.5East Texas 745,180 829,749 84,569 11.3 3.3 2.0Rio Grande 704,318 825,913 121,595 17.3 3.3 2.8Coastal Bend 549,012 571,987 22,975 4.2 2.3 0.5Central Texas 374,518 449,641 75,123 20.1 1.8 1.7Panhandle 402,862 427,927 25,065 6.2 1.7 0.6Permian Basin 376,672 417,679 41,007 10.9 1.7 1.0South Plains 377,871 411,659 33,788 8.9 1.6 0.8South East Texas 385,090 388,745 3,655 0.9 1.5 0.1Deep East Texas 355,862 378,477 22,615 6.4 1.5 0.5Heart of Texas 321,536 349,273 27,737 8.6 1.4 0.6South Texas 264,177 330,590 66,413 25.1 1.3 1.5West Central Texas 324,901 327,390 2,489 0.8 1.3 0.1Brazos Valley 267,085 319,447 52,362 19.6 1.3 1.2Ark-Tex 270,468 281,947 11,479 4.2 1.1 0.3Nortex 224,366 222,860 -1,506 -0.7 0.9 0.0Texoma 178,200 193,229 15,029 8.4 0.8 0.4Golden Crescent 183,905 188,626 4,721 2.6 0.8 0.1Middle Rio Grande 154,381 167,010 12,629 8.2 0.7 0.3Concho Valley 148,212 154,192 5,980 4.0 0.6 0.1State of Texas 20,851,818 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6 100.0 100.0

Page 6: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Total Population in 2000 and 2010 in Metropolitan Statistical Areas in Texas Ranked by Numerical Change Between 2000 and 2010

Total Population ChangeMetropolitan Statistical Area 2000 2010 Numeric %

Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 4,715,407 5,946,800 1,231,393 26.1Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 5,161,544 6,371,773 1,210,229 23.4Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos 1,249,763 1,716,289 466,526 37.3San Antonio-New Braunfels 1,711,703 2,142,508 430,805 25.2McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 569,463 774,769 205,306 36.1El Paso 679,622 800,647 121,025 17.8Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood 330,714 405,300 74,586 22.6Brownsville-Harlingen 335,227 406,220 70,993 21.2Laredo 193,117 250,304 57,187 29.6College Station-Bryan 184,885 228,660 43,775 23.7Lubbock 249,700 284,890 35,190 14.1Tyler 174,706 209,714 35,008 20.0Corpus Christi 403,280 428,185 24,905 6.2Amarillo 226,522 249,881 23,359 10.3Waco 213,517 234,906 21,389 10.0Midland 116,009 136,872 20,863 18.0Longview 194,042 214,369 20,327 10.5Odessa 121,123 137,130 16,007 13.2Sherman-Denison 110,595 120,877 10,282 9.3San Angelo 105,781 111,823 6,042 5.7Abilene 160,245 162,252 5,007 3.1Victoria 111,663 115,384 3,721 3.3Texarkana* 89,306 92,565 3,259 3.6Beaumont-Port Arthur 385,090 388,745 3,655 0.9Wichita Falls 151,524 151,306 -218 -0.1

Source: U.S. Census Bureau *Reflects total population for Texas portion of MSA only.

Page 7: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest NumericPopulation Increase Between 2000 and 2010

  Change 2000-2010County 2000 2010 Numeric Percent

Harris County 3,400,578 4,092,459 691,881 20.3Tarrant County 1,446,219 1,809,034 362,815 25.1Bexar County 1,392,931 1,714,773 321,842 23.1Collin County 491,675 782,341 290,666 59.1Fort Bend County 354,452 585,375 230,923 65.1Denton County 432,976 662,614 229,638 53.0Travis County 812,280 1,024,266 211,986 26.1Hidalgo County 569,463 774,769 205,306 36.1Williamson County 249,967 422,679 172,712 69.1Montgomery County 293,768 455,746 161,978 55.1Dallas County 2,218,899 2,368,139 149,240 6.7El Paso County 679,622 800,647 121,025 17.8Bell County 237,974 310,235 72,261 30.4Brazoria County 241,767 313,166 71,399 29.5Cameron County 335,227 406,220 70,993 21.2Hays County 97,589 157,107 59,518 61.0Webb County 193,117 250,304 57,187 29.6Guadalupe County 89,023 131,533 42,510 47.8Brazos County 152,415 194,851 42,436 27.8Galveston County 250,158 291,309 41,151 16.5________

Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.

Population Counts as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.

Page 8: Population Change in Texas and Houston

  ChangePercent ofPopulation

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010

NH White (Anglo) 10,933,313 11,397,345 464,032 4.2 52.4 45.3Hispanic 6,669,666 9,460,921 2,791,255 41.8 32.0 37.6NH Black 2,364,255 2,886,825 522,570 22.1 11.3 11.5NH American Indian 68,859 80,586 11,727 17.0 0.3 0.3NH Asian 554,445 948,426 393,981 71.1 2.7 3.8NH Hawaiian/Pac. Isldr. 10,757 17,920 7,163 66.6 0.1 0.1NH Some Other Race 19,958 33,980 14,022 70.3 0.1 0.1NH Two or More Races 230,567 319,558 88,991 38.6 1.1 1.3Total 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6 100.0 100.0________

Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.

*Hispanic includes Hispanic persons of all races.  All other race/ethnicity categoriesshown here are non-Hispanic (non-Hispanic White[Anglo], non-Hispanic Black, non-HispanicAmerican Indian, non-Hispanic Asian, non-Hispanic Hawaiian/Pacific Islander,non-Hispanic Some Other Race, non-Hispanic Two or More Races).

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the State of Texas, 2000 and 2010

Page 9: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Age 18+ Years of Age by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010

  Change Percent of Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010NH Whites (Anglo) 8,426,166 9,074,684 648,518 7.70 56.31 49.64Hispanic (All Races) 4,282,901 6,143,144 1,860,243 43.43 28.62 33.61NH Black 1,631,448 2,076,282 444,834 27.27 10.90 11.36NH Asian 415,219 716,968 301,749 72.67 2.77 3.92NH "Other" Races 70,612 95,973 25,361 33.05 0.47 0.53NH Two or More Races 138,715 172,686 33,971 24.49 0.93 0.94State of Texas 14,965,061 18,279,737 3,314,676 22.15 100.00 100.00

Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171 * “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race” as per the Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (e.g., non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)

Page 10: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Less than 18 Years of Age by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010

  Change Percent of Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010NH Whites (Anglo) 2,507,147 2,322,661 -184,486 -7.36 42.59 33.83Hispanic (All Races) 2,386,765 3,317,777 931,012 39.01 40.54 48.32NH Black 732,807 810,543 77,736 10.61 12.45 11.81NH Asian 139,226 231,458 92,232 66.25 2.37 3.37NH "Other" Races 28,962 36,513 7,551 33.05 0.49 0.53NH Two or More Races 91,852 146,872 55,020 59.90 1.56 2.14State of Texas 5,886,759 6,865,824 979,065 16.63 100.00 100.00

Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171 * “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race” as per the Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (e.g., non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)

Page 11: Population Change in Texas and Houston
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Page 14: Population Change in Texas and Houston
Page 15: Population Change in Texas and Houston

*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. 

Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171 

Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University  http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu 

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010

 Population Population Change Percent of Total

Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent

Percent of Total

Change 2000 2010

NH White 194,552,774 196,817,552 2,264,778 1.2 8.3 69.1 63.7

Hispanic (All Races) 35,305,818 50,477,594 15,171,776 43.0 55.5 12.5 16.3

NH Black 33,947,837 37,685,848 3,738,011 11.0 13.7 12.1 12.2

NH Asian 10,123,169 14,465,124 4,341,955 42.9 15.9 3.6 4.7

NH Other 7,492,308 9,299,420 1,807,112 24.1 6.6 2.7 3.0

Total 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7 100.0 100.0 100.0

Page 16: Population Change in Texas and Houston

*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.

Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171

Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010

 Population Population Change Percent of Total

Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent

Percent of Total

Change 2000 2010

NH White 44,027,087 39,716,562 -4,310,525 -9.8 -228.4 60.9 53.5

Hispanic (All Races) 12,342,259 17,130,891 4,788,632 38.8 253.7 17.1 23.1

NH Black 10,610,264 10,362,183 -248,081 -2.3 -13.1 14.7 14.0

NH Asian 2,420,274 3,176,129 755,855 31.2 40.0 3.3 4.3

NH Other 2,893,928 3,795,702 901,774 31.2 47.8 4.0 5.1

Total 72,293,812 74,181,467 1,887,655 2.6 100.0 100.0 100.0

Page 17: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, 2000 and 2010

  Change Percent of Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010NH Whites (Anglo) 2,274,829 2,360,472 85,643 3.76 48.24 39.69Hispanic (All Races) 1,353,477 2,099,412 745,935 55.11 28.70 35.30NH Black 783,955 998,883 214,928 27.42 16.63 16.80NH Asian 226,308 384,596 158,288 69.94 4.80 6.47NH "Other" Races 18,867 27,895 9,028 47.85 0.40 0.47NH Two or More Races 57,971 75,542 17,571 30.31 1.23 1.27Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA

4,715,407 5,946,800 1,231,393 26.11 100.00 100.00

Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171 * “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race” as per the Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (e.g., non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)

Page 18: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Less than 18 Years of Age by Race/Ethnicity for the Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, 2000 and 2010

  Change Percent of Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010NH Whites (Anglo) 546,716 498,328 -48,388 -8.85 39.96 29.98Hispanic (All Races) 489,912 745,414 255,502 52.15 35.81 44.84NH Black 245,599 283,635 38,036 15.49 17.95 17.06NH Asian 58,077 92,279 34,202 58.89 4.25 5.55NH "Other" Races 5,753 8,358 2,605 45.28 0.42 0.50NH Two or More Races 21,936 34,276 12,340 56.25 1.60 2.06Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA

1,367,993 1,662,290 294,297 21.51 100.00 100.00

Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171 * “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race” as per the Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (e.g., non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)

Page 19: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the City of Houston, 2000 and 2010

  Change Percent of Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010

Numeric Percent 2000 2010NH Whites (Anglo) 601,851 537,901 -63,950 -10.63 30.81 25.62Hispanic (All Races) 730,865 919,668 188,803 25.83 37.41 43.81NH Black 487,851 485,956 -1,895 -0.39 24.97 23.15NH Asian 102,706 124,859 22,153 21.57 5.26 5.95NH "Other" Races 6,528 8,367 1,839 28.17 0.00 0.40NH Two or More Races 23,830 22,700 -1,130 -4.74 1.22 1.08City Houston 1,953,631 2,099,451 145,820 7.46 100.00 100.00

Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171 * “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race” as per the Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (e.g., non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)

Page 20: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Less Than 18 Years of Age by Race/Ethnicity for the City of Houston, 2000 and 2010

  Change Percent of Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010

Numeric Percent 2000 2010NH Whites (Anglo) 102,378 79,042 -23,336 -22.79 19.08 14.56Hispanic (All Races) 254,414 306,315 51,901 20.40 47.41 56.41NH Black 147,819 124,600 -23,219 -15.71 27.54 22.95NH Asian 22,515 22,682 167 0.74 4.20 4.18NH "Other" Races 1,839 2,226 387 28.17 0.34 0.41NH Two or More Races 7,693 8,159 466 6.06 1.43 1.50Houston 536,658 543,024 6,366 1.19 100.00 100.00

Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171 * “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race” as per the Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (e.g., non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)

Page 21: Population Change in Texas and Houston

POPULATION  CHARACTERISTICS AND  SOCIOECONOMIC  CONDITIONS

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Page 22: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Total and Percent of the Texas Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, 1999 and 2009

  1999   2009

 Populationin Poverty %

Median Household

Income*  Population in Poverty %

Median Household

Income

Anglo 826,459 7.8 $60,839

1,010,170 9.0 $59,836

Hispanic

1,658,434 25.4 $38,536

2,364,407 26.4 $35,628

Black 525,082 23.4 $37,803

630,479 23.1 $35,438

Asian

65,048 11.9 $64,576

105,186 12.1 $63,692

Other 42,586 13.9 NA 40,000 11.9 NA

Total

3,117,609 15.4 $51,506  

4,150,242 17.2 $50,043

*In 2009 DollarsSource: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and American Community Survey, 2009

Page 23: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Educational Attainment for the Texas Population Age 25 and Older

by Race/Ethnicity, 2009

RaceEthnicity

Population Age 25 and

Older

Less than high

school

High school

diploma

Some college or associates

degreeBachelor or more

Non-Hispanic White 8,026,049 8.3 25.3 32.5 33.9Black 1,705,709 15.0 30.4 36.5 18.1Hispanic* 4,876,517 42.5 25.2 21.4 10.9Asian 580,159 14.2 15.4 17.2 53.2Total 15,361,557 20.1 25.4 28.9 25.5________

Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey, 2009.

*Includes Hispanic persons of all races.

Page 24: Population Change in Texas and Houston

PROJECTIONS

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Page 25: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Population in Harris County by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projectionsby Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040

Non-Hispanic Year White Black Hispanic Other Total 2000 1,456,811 630,184 1,119,751 193,832 3,400,578 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2010 1,485,825 680,221 1,371,386 217,206 3,754,638 2020 1,473,299 712,453 1,596,186 228,950 4,010,888 2030 1,420,469 720,269 1,821,194 233,480 4,195,412 2040 1,320,981 706,952 2,010,339 233,331 4,271,603 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 2010 1,378,978 690,111 1,610,819 267,819 3,947,727 2020 1,262,352 733,541 2,187,082 347,059 4,530,034 2030 1,112,363 749,805 2,868,663 430,585 5,161,416 2040 940,705 740,364 3,640,277 520,944 5,842,290 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 2010 1,269,539 695,257 1,896,257 324,554 4,185,607 2020 1,045,189 738,657 3,002,134 508,585 5,294,565 2030 805,709 742,932 4,421,715 750,950 6,721,306 2040 583,851 708,037 6,195,737 1,074,452 8,562,077 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007 2010 1,237,185 729,733 1,819,708 309,426 4,096,052 2020 989,512 808,414 2,692,893 454,342 4,945,161 2030 744,103 845,696 3,634,153 614,765 5,838,717 2040 525,522 835,223 4,633,766 787,125 6,781,636

Page 26: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Percent of Population in Harris County by Race/Ethnicity in 2000and Projections of the Population in Harris County by

Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040 Non-Hispanic Year White Black Hispanic Other 2000 42.9 18.5 32.9 5.7 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2010 39.6 18.1 36.5 5.8 2020 36.7 17.8 39.8 5.7 2030 33.8 17.2 43.4 5.6 2040 30.8 16.6 47.1 5.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 2010 34.9 17.5 40.8 6.8 2020 27.8 16.2 48.3 7.7 2030 21.6 14.5 55.6 8.3 2040 16.1 12.7 62.3 8.9 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 2010 30.3 16.6 45.3 7.8 2020 19.7 14.0 56.7 9.6 2030 11.9 11.1 65.8 11.2 2040 6.8 8.3 72.4 12.5 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007 2010 30.2 17.8 44.4 7.6 2020 20.0 16.3 54.5 9.2 2030 12.8 14.5 62.2 10.5 2040 7.8 12.3 68.3 11.6

Page 27: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Harris County, Population by Age Group, continued

Age Non-Hispanic Group White Black Hispanic Other Total Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007 2020 <18 208,004 205,676 750,116 76,973 1,240,769 18-24 74,797 77,202 223,683 26,695 402,377 25-44 259,528 243,875 1,096,344 131,733 1,731,480 45-64 250,203 192,239 507,977 153,452 1,103,871 65+ 196,980 89,422 114,773 65,489 466,664 2040 <18 101,836 172,947 1,025,214 89,577 1,389,574 18-24 38,200 70,809 356,007 36,644 501,660 25-44 148,959 241,628 1,635,503 180,076 2,206,166 45-64 113,304 210,784 1,210,097 250,538 1,784,723 65+ 123,223 139,055 406,945 230,290 899,513

Page 28: Population Change in Texas and Houston

District/County/School Year White (%)African

American (%) Hispanic (%)

Asian/Pacific Islander (%)

Native American (%)

Total Enrollment

Houston ISD (Harris)2000-2001 10.0 32.1 54.9 2.9 0.1 208,4622010-2011 7.8 26.2 61.9 3.2 0.2 204,245

Dallas ISD (Dallas)2000-2001 7.8 35.9 54.5 1.4 0.4 161,5482010-2011 4.6 25.0 68.2 1.2 0.4 157,162

Cypress-Fairbanks ISD (Harris)2000-2001 58.5 10.0 23.4 7.9 0.2 63,4972010-2011 31.0 15.5 42.5 8.0 0.2 106,097

Northside ISD (Bexar)2000-2001 36.7 6.6 54.3 2.2 0.2 63,7392010-2011 20.1 6.2 67.8 3.1 0.2 95,581

Austin ISD (Travis)2000-2001 33.7 15.7 47.8 2.5 0.3 77,8162010-2011 24.3 9.5 60.3 3.4 0.3 85,697

Fort Worth ISD ( Tarrant)2000-2001 21.4 30.9 45.4 2.1 0.2 79,6612010-2011 14.3 23.4 59.2 1.8 0.3 81,651

Fort Bend ISD (Fort Bend)2000-2001 37.8 28.0 18.1 16.0 0.1 53,9992010-2011 20.3 29.4 25.9 21.4 0.6 68,948

North East ISD (Bexar)2000-2001 49.1 9.4 38.8 2.5 0.2 50,8752010-2011 32.0 7.3 54.1 3.6 0.3 66,604

Arlington ISD (Tarrant)2000-2001 47.3 21.3 24.0 6.8 0.6 58,8662010-2011 26.2 23.2 41.8 6.8 0.4 64,484

El Paso ISD (El Paso)2000-2001 15.2 4.8 78.5 1.2 0.3 62,3252010-2011 10.7 4.1 82.8 1.2 0.3 64,330

Total Public School Students by Race/Ethnicity in the 10 Largest* School Districts in Texas, 2000-2001 and 2010-2011

*Largest enrollment based on 2010-2011 school yearSource: Data compiled by the Texas State Data Center from Texas Education Agency, Academic Excellence Indicator System (AEIS) District Profiles

Page 29: Population Change in Texas and Houston

The mark of a truly educated man is to be 

moved deeply by statistics.

George Bernard Shaw

Page 30: Population Change in Texas and Houston

Steve MurdockPhone: 210-867-4385

E-mail: [email protected]: http://hobbycenter.rice.edu