Population & Employment Forecasts: 2003-2030webdocs.edmonton.ca/InfraPlan/Economic Information... · In the Base Case, only three age cohorts exhibit a decline over the forecast period

Population &Employment

Forecasts:2003-2030

City of Edmonton

Summary Report

Prepared by:

May 2005

Table of Contents

Executive Summary 1Scenarios 1

Economic Context 1

Population Growth 1

Geographic Allocation of Growth 2

Occupation 3

Employment 3

Employment by Industry 5

Work at Home Employment 5

Purpose and Scope of the Study 6Purpose of the Study 6

Scenarios 7

Summary & Technical Reports 7

Region Reports 7

Study Area 8The City of Edmonton 8

Economic Overview 10Provincial Outlook 10

Economic Growth and Migration 12

Employment Participation Rate 12

Population Forecasts & Allocation 13

Population & Employment Forecasts: 2003 to 2030 - City of Edmonton - Summary Report

Applications Management Consulting Ltd. - May 2005

Population Forecasts 13

Aging of the Population 14

Inner City and Suburban Areas 16

Inner City vs Suburban Population Growth 16

Inner City Population Growth 17

Suburban Population Growth 19

Neighbourhood Growth Cycles 26

Occupation 27

Employment Forecasts & Allocation 31Employment Forecasts 31

Employment Growth Areas 32

Change in Industry Employment 33

Work At Home Employment 34

AppendicesAppendix A: Base Case Population by Age Cohort 36

Appendix B: Base Case Population by Traffic District 37

Appendix C: Base Case Population by Aggregate Age Category and Traffic District 38

Appendix D: Base Case Occupation by Traffic District 39

Appendix E: Base Case Employment Allocation by Traffic District 42

Appendix F: Base Case Employment Allocation by Traffic District and Industry Sector 43

Appendix G: Base Case Employment by Traffic District and Industry 46

Appendix H: High Scenario Population by Age Cohort 49

Appendix I: High Scenario Population by Traffic District 50

Appendix J: High Scenario Population by Aggregate Age Category and Traffic District 51

Appendix K: High Scenario Occupation by Traffic District 52

Appendix L: High Scenario Employment Allocation by Traffic District 55

Appendix M: High Scenario Employment Allocation by Traffic District and Industry Sector 56

Appendix N: High Scenario Employment by Traffic District and Industry 59

Acknowledgments 62


Applications Management Consulting Ltd. - May 2005

Executive Summary

Executive Summary

Population and employment forecasts are an im-portant tool for social and economic planning. This study provides detailed projections for the City of Edmonton to the year 2030 for various population and employment categories and geo-graphic allocations.

ScenariosThe forecasts have been prepared for each of two scenarios:• Base Case: Economic and population growth

consistent with a conservative extrapolation of recent growth of the Edmonton CMA.

• High Scenario: More optimistic assumptions projecting stronger economic and population growth than the Base Case.

Economic ContextThe aggregate population and employment pro-jections have been developed in consideration of the provincial and regional factors that will be important in affecting the rate of economic growth in the Edmonton Region.

There is a strong relationship between the eco-nomic growth of a region and population growth. In a fast growing economy, net migration is re-quired to fuel economic growth.

To 2008, the City of Edmonton’s SocioEconomic Outlook has been used as the basis of the fore-casts for the Base Case and High Scenario. After 2008, the Base Case assumes an average annual net migration of 7,900 to the Edmonton CMA. In

the High Scenario, net migration is assumed to average 14,280 per year. These rates of net mi-gration are consistent with projected average an-nual GDP growth rates of 2.1 percent and 2.5 per-cent for the Base Case and High Scenario respec-tively.

Population GrowthIn the Base Case, the City of Edmonton popula-tion is projected to grow from an estimated 698,000 in 2003 to almost 876,000 by the year 2030. This growth represents an average annual growth rate of 0.85 percent.

In the High Scenario, Edmonton’s population is projected to grow by another 100,000 over the Base Case to almost 976,000. This growth repre-sents an average annual rate of 1.2 percent.

Figure RS1City of Edmonton Population Growth

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1991

1996

2001

2003

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

(thousands)

Base High Historical

Demographic Changes

The City’s population will age significantly over the forecast period. In the Base Case, the esti-mated average age will increase from 36 years to over 42 years of age. This is illustrated by the significant increase in all the age cohorts greater than 50 years of age. Because of the larger in-creases in the non-seniors age cohorts in the High Scenario, the average age is slightly lower for this


Applications Management Consulting Ltd. - May 2005 1

scenario in 2030 (41.4 years versus 42.3 years for the Base Case).

In the Base Case, only three age cohorts exhibit a decline over the forecast period. These are the 10-14 years (-1.7 percent), 15-19 years (-3.9 per-cent) and 20-24 years (-5.4 percent). In the High Scenario, the population increases in all age co-horts.

Figure RS2Population Growth by Age Cohort

- 20 40 60 80

0-4 yrs

5-9 yrs

10-14 yrs

15-19 yrs

20-24 yrs

25-29 yrs

30-34 yrs

35-39 yrs

40-44 yrs

45-49 yrs

50-54 yrs

55-59 yrs

60-64 yrs

65-69 yrs

70-74 yrs

75-79 yrs

80-84 yrs

85+ yrs

Number of Persons(thousands)

2003 Base 2030 High 2030

Geographic Allocation of GrowthSince 1981, all of the population growth in the City has occurred in suburban areas. There are significant signs that the inner city areas (defined as lands largely built out before the 1980’s) will contribute to the future growth of Edmonton. In both the Base Case and High Scenario, it has been assumed that the inner city areas will grow by 32,000 and 52,000 respectively.



Figure RS3Change in Population Density

Less than -1 10 to 15 -1 to 1 15 to 20 1 to 5 20 to 30 5 to 10 More than 30

Change in Density 2003 to 2030 (people per gross developable hectare)

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.003 0.003 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.002 0.002 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0.75 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 6E-04 6E-04 -0.02 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.06 -0.06 6E-04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.06 -0.06 -0.04 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 0.098 0.098 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 0.002 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 0.098 18.04 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 4.473 4.473 -0.01 0 0 0.002 0.002 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 24.76 11.37 18.04 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 4.473 17.23 17.23 0 2.424 -0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24.76 24.76 11.37 18.04 -4.98 -4.98 -4.98 0.864 18.35 27.54 31.25 4.473 4.473 17.23 17.23 -0.05 0 -0.02 1.05 -0.01 -0.02 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 15.33 12.44 -3.72 -3.72 -5.39 -5.39 -5.39 14.76 0.479 5.795 9.949 11.17 17.74 11.15 11.15 -0.05 -0.05 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 15.33 12.44 -3.72 -3.72 -1.73 -1.73 -1.73 14.76 0.479 5.795 9.949 11.17 17.74 11.15 11.15 -0.05 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 53.64 1.895 8.037 -5.35 46.83 46.83 46.83 0.467 0.467 0.636 0.636 -0.11 3.984 15.28 0 -0.86 2.194 2.194 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 15.92 15.92 8.037 -5.32 35.05 35.05 35.05 0.467 0.467 0.636 0.636 -0.11 5.249 15.28 0 -0.86 2.194 2.194 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 15.92 0 0 -5.32 35.05 35.05 35.05 -0.39 -0.39 -0.42 0 5.249 5.249 4.26 -1.26 -1.12 -1.12 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

3.677 3.677 7.144 7.144 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 -1.46 -1.46 -0.98 -0.98 -1.52 -1.52 -1.52 0 -0.55 -0.48 -0.48 3.723 3.723 4.26 -1.43 -1.43 -2.35 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 3.677 3.677 3.677 7.144 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 2.804 2.804 0.141 -2.63 -2.63 -1.82 -1.82 -0.55 -0.55 -0.48 -0.48 3.723 0 -1.16 -1.43 -1.43 -2.35 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 3.396 3.396 3.396 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 2.804 0.141 -2.63 -2.63 -1.82 -1.82 -0.12 -0.12 -0.09 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.92 -0.92 -1.65 3.761 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.012 0.012 3.396 3.396 3.396 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -0.07 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.07 -0.07 5.015 -0.11 -0.07 -0.07 -0.14 -0.14 -3.21 -2.2 -2.2 -1.65 3.761 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0.111 0 0 0 0 0.689 0.689 1.123 1.226 0 0 5.015 -3.35 2.291 -2.04 -3.08 -3.08 -3.21 -3.02 -3.02 -2.55 0.17 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 -0 0 0.111 0 0 0 0 -4.46 -4.46 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 2.118 1.215 2.291 0.006 0.055 0.347 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0.111 0 0 -1.72 0 -4.46 0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.14 0 2.118 1.215 5.301 0.891 0.055 0.347 -0.2 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.12 -0.11 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 0 0 1.323 -0.37 0.037 0.417 3.529 3.529 3.913 3.913 6.316 19.46 0.608 0.608 -0.1 -0.1 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.12 -0.11 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 0 1.673 1.673 2.038 0.751 0.03 0.03 3.529 3.913 3.913 6.316 6.316 2.295 2.295 1.287 1.287 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.11 -0.11 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 0 0 1.673 1.673 2.038 0.751 0.03 0.03 5.226 5.226 18.11 94.54 162 4.881 6.032 1.287 0.041 -0.1 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 0 0 0 0 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 5.226 11.92 26.5 75.39 0.957 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 11.74 11.74 -0.05 -0.68 -0.68 -0.68 -2.08 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 -0.09 1.962 4.625 0.957 1.537 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 17.93 17.93 -0.05 0.098 0.098 0.098 1.552 0.771 0.081 -0.22 -0.16 -0.16 -0.09 -0.05 12.94 7.798 4.625 1.085 1.085 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 14.02 14.02 17.93 17.93 14.57 -4.71 -4.71 -4.71 11.32 0.771 0.081 0.771 -0.16 -0.16 0.774 12.94 12.3 7.798 4.625 1.085 1.085 -0.24 1.065 1.065 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 23.43 10.79 14.57 14.57 -4.71 -4.71 -4.71 -1.38 0.797 0.797 -0.08 -0.08 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0.802 -0.08 2.281 2.281 2.524 2.524 2.524 3.755 -0.15 -0.15 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 18.48 20.03 20.03 -1.28 -1.28 -1.28 -0.15 -0.04 0 0.07 0.876 0 0 0.802 -0.06 -0.01 2.281 1.232 1.232 3.755 0 -0.15 -0.15 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 18.48 20.03 20.03 -3.41 -3.41 -3.41 -1.78 -0.04 -0.04 -0.08 0.181 0.181 0 -0.12 0 -0.06 -0.01 0.073 2.813 1.232 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 -0.05 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 13.42 6.386 6.386 -2.68 -2.68 0.462 -0.21 0.466 0.466 -2.15 -0.08 0.181 9.994 9.994 0.734 0.734 0.003 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 13.42 6.386 6.386 -2.68 -2.68 0.462 0.466 0.466 -2.15 -0.08 3.108 0 4.822 0.734 0.734 0.003 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 7.298 6.386 2.06 10.65 -2.23 0.466 -4.03 -0.08 0.005 5.324 5.324 0 0.293 0.006 0 0 0 -1.49 0 0 1.687 1.687 9.409 9.409 0 0 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 7.298 4.141 2.06 10.65 -2.23 -2.23 -4.03 -1.45 -1.45 0.044 -2.96 -2.96 -2.36 -2.36 0 -0.01 -0.01 -1.41 -1.49 0 0 1.687 -1.44 9.409 9.409 9.409 7.435 7.435 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 -0 4.141 4.141 4.701 4.701 -2.23 -2.23 -1.45 0.044 0.044 -2.96 -4.84 -4.64 -4.64 0 0 0 -1.41 -1.41 0 0 -1.44 -1.44 11.83 11.83 11.83 11.61 7.435 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 4.141 4.141 4.141 4.701 4.701 -1.51 -1.45 -1.45 -0.13 -0.13 -4.84 -4.84 -4.64 -2.88 0.85 -0.02 -0.02 -2.64 0 -2.69 -2.69 -2.16 -1.44 11.83 11.83 11.83 11.61 12.95 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 0 4.141 4.141 7.291 7.291 4.701 -1.51 -0.76 -1.54 -2.58 -0.13 -2.7 -2.7 -2.88 -2.88 0.85 -0 -0 -2.56 -2.56 0 3.551 -3.52 -2.51 12.31 12.31 12.31 11.61 12.95 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 4.141 7.291 7.291 7.291 12.64 12.64 12.64 19.74 19.74 18.62 0.214 -6.61 88.2 -4.58 -2.95 0 0 -2.58 -2.58 0 7.682 -3.25 -2.72 12.51 12.24 12.24 7.264 7.264 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 1.889 1.889 1.889 7.814 7.814 12.64 29.33 29.58 15.96 15.96 -0.8 -2.46 -2.95 -2.54 -2.54 0 0 -1.17 -2.48 -2.48 -2.31 -3.25 -2.72 12.51 12.24 12.24 7.264 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 1.889 1.889 7.814 7.814 7.814 12.64 7.484 12.78 6.296 6.296 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -2.54 -2.54 0 0 -1.17 -1.65 -1.9 -1.9 -1.64 -1.64 12.51 12.24 12.24 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 1.889 1.889 6.418 6.418 0 7.484 12.78 6.296 6.296 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 21.28 4.908 4.908 0 0 10.15 10.15 6.103 6.103 4.347 4.347 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 1.889 6.418 6.418 6.418 7.278 7.278 0 0 0 8.995 8.995 21.28 21.28 15.84 4.908 0 0 10.15 10.15 6.103 6.103 4.347 4.347 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 2.22 17.34 17.34 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 0 8.995 8.995 13.23 13.23 -1.44 7.422 0 0 34 34 12.72 12.72 5.925 5.925 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 2.22 12.69 12.69 10.94 10.94 1E-04 0 0 8.995 8.995 26.21 8.83 7.422 7.422 0 29.25 17.85 17.85 1.257 1.257 1.278 1.278 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 0 7E-05 7E-05 0.025 0.025 1E-04 0 4E-04 0 0 -0.02 8.83 2.662 0 0 12.54 5.753 5.753 5E-04 5E-04 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 6E-04 6E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6E-05 6E-05 0.025 1E-04 1E-04 0 4E-04 7E-04 7E-04 0.002 -0 2.662 0 0 12.54 5E-04 5E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.001 0.001 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.007 0.007 -0 -0 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.002 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.001 0.001 -0.01 -0.01 1.398 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0.003 0.003 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.05 -0.05 0.003 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.05 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.187 0.187 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 0.005 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.187 20.49 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 8.987 8.987 -0.01 0 0 0.005 0.005 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 25.01 26.92 20.49 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 8.987 23.95 23.95 0 3.376 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25.01 25.01 26.92 20.49 -3.38 -3.38 -3.38 1.785 21.18 29.15 33.66 8.987 8.987 23.95 23.95 -0.03 0 -0.02 1.586 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 31.79 12.05 -2.31 -2.31 -3.71 -3.71 -3.71 18.87 3.159 11.64 11.91 13.99 20.52 32.21 32.21 -0.03 -0.03 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 31.79 12.05 -2.31 -2.31 -1.15 -1.15 -1.15 18.87 3.159 11.64 11.91 13.99 20.52 32.21 32.21 -0.03 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0 53.06 4.911 9.141 -3.74 51.89 51.89 51.89 1.448 1.448 1.396 1.396 -0.11 3.941 17.53 0 -0.12 5.351 5.351 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0 -0 25.36 25.36 9.141 -3.53 40.76 40.76 40.76 1.448 1.448 1.396 1.396 -0.11 5.189 17.53 0 -0.12 5.351 5.351 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0 25.36 0 0 -3.53 40.76 40.76 40.76 -0.39 -0.39 -0.42 0 5.189 5.189 6.344 -0.26 -0.21 -0.21 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

6.189 6.189 7.062 7.062 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 -0.26 -0.26 -0.8 -0.8 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 0 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 3.88 3.88 6.344 -0.68 -0.68 -0.99 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 6.189 6.189 6.189 7.062 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 4.204 4.204 0.771 -0.15 -0.15 -0.1 -0.1 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 3.88 0 -0.17 -0.68 -0.68 -0.99 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 6.873 6.873 6.873 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 4.204 0.771 -0.15 -0.15 -0.1 -0.1 0.906 0.906 0.461 0.461 -0.04 -0.04 -0.26 -0.26 -0.65 5.318 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.012 0.012 6.873 6.873 6.873 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -0.07 -0.16 -0.16 -0.16 -0.05 -0.05 7.238 -0.08 -0.05 -0.05 -0.11 -0.11 -0.36 0.302 0.302 -0.65 5.318 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0.208 0 0 0 0 1.14 1.14 1.726 1.595 0 0 7.238 -1.95 3.25 -1.41 0.141 0.141 -0.36 -0.28 -0.28 0 0.816 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0 0 0.208 0 0 0 0 -4.09 -4.09 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 2.018 2.378 3.25 0.015 0.055 0.347 0.277 0.196 0.196 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0.208 0 0 -1.58 0 -4.09 0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.1 0 2.018 2.378 6.7 0.891 0.055 0.347 0.196 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.11 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 0 0 1.599 1.041 0.282 1.856 3.621 3.621 6.023 6.023 11.94 23.2 6.597 6.597 -0.1 -0.1 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.11 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 0 1.556 1.556 4.672 0.709 0.494 0.494 3.621 6.023 6.023 11.94 11.94 9.705 9.705 1.214 1.214 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.09 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0 0 0 0 1.556 1.556 4.672 0.709 0.494 0.494 12.83 12.83 18.29 133.3 295.9 16.37 9.96 1.214 0.041 -0.1 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 0 0 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 12.83 18.9 26.36 125 1.007 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 12.6 12.6 -0.04 -0.58 -0.58 -0.58 -1.31 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 -0.09 4.263 6.727 1.007 1.724 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 37.41 37.41 -0.04 0.098 0.098 0.098 1.552 1.094 0.798 -0.22 -0.16 -0.16 -0.09 -0.05 14.37 9.975 6.727 3.503 3.503 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 13.87 13.87 37.41 37.41 14.26 -2.58 -2.58 -2.58 11.63 1.094 0.798 0.734 -0.16 -0.16 1.322 14.37 15.7 9.975 6.727 3.503 3.503 3.098 1.077 1.077 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 24.53 11.09 14.26 14.26 -2.58 -2.58 -2.58 -1.26 0.802 0.802 0.999 0.999 -0.1 -0.1 0 3.769 1.767 -0.04 3.785 3.785 3.661 3.661 3.661 3.751 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.2 20.47 20.47 -1.17 -1.17 -1.17 -0.06 -0.04 0 0.07 0.876 0 3.769 1.767 -0.03 -0.01 3.785 2.238 2.238 3.751 0 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.2 20.47 20.47 -0.71 -0.71 -0.71 0.002 -0.04 -0.04 -0.08 1.638 1.638 0 2.957 0 -0.03 -0.01 0.222 4.48 2.238 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 -0.05 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.5 19.48 19.48 -1 -1 0.462 -0.21 0.494 0.494 -1.38 -0.08 1.638 19.49 19.49 0.985 0.985 0.009 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.5 19.48 19.48 -1 -1 0.462 0.494 0.494 -1.38 -0.08 3.507 0 6.064 0.985 0.985 0.009 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 11.96 19.48 2.775 23.14 -1.75 0.494 -2.7 -0.08 1.793 8.741 8.741 0 1.568 0.018 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 3.16 3.16 11.94 11.94 0 0 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 11.96 6.689 2.775 23.14 -1.75 -1.75 -2.7 -1.13 -1.13 0.044 -2.35 -2.35 -2.17 -2.17 0 -0.01 -0.01 -1.33 -1.4 0 0 3.16 0.148 11.94 11.94 11.94 12.2 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 -0 6.689 6.689 9.843 9.843 -1.75 -1.75 -1.13 0.044 0.044 -2.35 -3.14 -3.9 -3.9 0 0 0 -1.33 -1.33 0 0 0.148 0.148 14.8 14.8 14.8 17.42 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 6.689 6.689 6.689 9.843 9.843 -1.19 -1.13 -1.13 0.293 0.293 -3.14 -3.14 -3.9 -2.42 0.85 -0.01 -0.01 -1.82 0 -1.91 -1.91 -1.3 0.148 14.8 14.8 14.8 17.42 12.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 0 6.689 6.689 11.95 11.95 9.843 -1.19 -0.68 -1.44 -2.52 0.293 -2.03 -2.03 -2.42 -2.42 0.85 -0 -0 -1.67 -1.67 0 7.72 -2.68 -1.6 21.64 21.64 21.64 17.42 12.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 6.689 11.95 11.95 11.95 12.92 12.92 12.92 23.86 23.86 29.45 0.214 -3.12 99.36 -3.29 -2.54 0 0 -1.8 -1.8 0 9.707 -2.22 -1.78 19.31 12.76 12.76 7.81 7.81 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 5.653 5.653 5.653 13.16 13.16 12.92 29.58 34.71 15.98 15.98 -0.08 -1.63 -2.54 -2.24 -2.24 0 0 -1.1 -1.74 -1.74 -1.56 -2.22 -1.78 19.31 12.76 12.76 7.81 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 5.653 5.653 13.16 13.16 13.16 12.92 21.86 26.75 11.09 11.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -2.24 -2.24 0 0 -1.1 -1.11 -1.3 -1.3 -1.03 -1.03 19.31 12.76 12.76 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 5.653 5.653 10.25 10.25 0 21.86 26.75 11.09 11.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 28.08 5.769 5.769 0 0 21.14 21.14 9.67 9.67 12.74 12.74 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 5.653 10.25 10.25 10.25 16.94 16.94 0 0 5.952 11.1 11.1 28.08 28.08 16.71 5.769 0 0 21.14 21.14 9.67 9.67 12.74 12.74 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 8.571 17.22 17.22 11.19 11.19 11.19 11.19 5.952 11.1 11.1 37.91 37.91 0.154 7.822 0 0 42.83 42.83 13.68 13.68 6.142 6.142 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 8.571 12.65 12.65 14.9 14.9 1E-04 0 5.952 11.1 11.1 37.01 24.04 7.822 7.822 0 32.43 26.75 26.75 5.68 5.68 5.774 5.774 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 0 7E-05 7E-05 0.025 0.025 1E-04 0 4E-04 0 0 -0.02 24.04 8.046 0 0 13.49 5.942 5.942 5E-04 5E-04 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 6E-04 6E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6E-05 6E-05 0.025 1E-04 1E-04 0 4E-04 7E-04 7E-04 0.002 -0 8.046 0 0 13.49 5E-04 5E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Base Case

High Scenario

In spite of this significant growth projected for the inner city, the total population of suburban areas will exceed that of the inner city by 2010 in both the Base Case and High Scenario.

Suburban residential development will drive most of the growth in the City of Edmonton over the forecast period. In the both the Base Case and High Scenario, over 80 percent of the total popu-lation growth is projected to occur in suburban areas. Most of this growth will be the result of new subdivisions and associated housing devel-opment. As evident from the change in popula-tion density, this suburban growth is projected to occur in all the major suburban areas in the City.

OccupationAll persons in the population forecasts have been assigned a primary occupation. The determina-tion of occupations is largely based upon the age cohort analysis and also recognizes trends in occupation shifts.

The single largest occupation category is Adult Workers, which includes 322,000 residents of Edmonton and comprises an estimated 46 percent of the total 2003 population. The next largest occupation category is children in school (Kin-dergarten, Elementary, Junior High and High School) comprising almost 110,000 people and representing 16 percent of the total population. In 2003, all the other occupation categories comprise less than 15 percent of the total population.

Over the forecast period, the number of adult workers increases at a rate somewhat slower than the rate of increase for the population as a whole. However, because of the size of this occupation category, its increase is significant. In the Base Case, the number of Adult Workers increases by almost 47,000 and in the High Scenario by over 95,000.

The number of Post Secondary students is pro-jected to grow faster than the population as a whole. In the Base case, the increase in Post Sec-

ondary students between 2003 and 2030 is fore-cast to be 33 percent (compared to 26 percent for the population as a whole) and 49 percent in the High Scenario (compared to 40 percent for the population as a whole).

Each of the other occupation categories exhibits relatively modest growth, except seniors (persons 65 years and older). The number of seniors more than doubles in both the Base Case and High Sce-nario. Seniors go from the fourth largest occupa-tion category in 2003 to the second largest in both scenarios by 2030.

Figure RS4Change in Occupation

- 100 200 300 400 500

Pre-School

K/Elem/Jr High

Senior High

Post SecondaryStudents

Adult Workers

Adult Other

Adult Institution

Seniors 65+


2003 Base 2030 High 2030

EmploymentThe projections of job growth in the City of Ed-monton have been developed to be consistent with the number of workers available in the Edmonton region.



In the Base Case, total employment in the City of Edmonton is projected to increase from an esti-mated 363,000 in 2003 to 457,000 in 2030. This represents an increase of 26 percent over the base year figure. In the High Scenario, total employ-ment is projected to increase to 517,000, reflect-ing a total of 42 percent growth over the 2003 estimate.

Figure RS5City of Edmonton Employment Growth

200

300

400

500

600

1991

1996

2001

2003

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

(thousands)


Geographically, employment growth is expected to occur in most areas of the City. However, there are a number of areas where there is a significant increase in employment density, as measured by the change in the number of jobs per hectare.• Downtown (CBD - Traffic District 1)

• Industrial areas (Northwest Industrial - Traffic District 7, Mistatim - Traffic District 17, South Industrial - Traffic District 16 and Southeast Industrial - Traffic District 20)

• Around the major post secondary institutions (University - Traffic District 2, Southgate - Traffic District 1, and North Calder - Traffic District 8)

• Commercial areas in and adjacent to newly developing residential areas (e.g. Greisbach).



Figure RS6Change in Total Employment Density

Less than -0.01 8 to 12 -0.01 to 0.01 12 to 15 0.01 to 4 More than 15 4 to 8

Change in Density 2003 to 2030 (jobs per gross developable hectare)

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8E-05 0 0 2E-05 2E-05 0 0 0 0 1E-06 1E-06 1E-06 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8E-05 0 0 5E-05 5E-05 0 0 4E-05 4E-05 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2E-05 2E-05 0 0 0 0 2E-05 2E-05 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1E-05 1E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3E-04 3E-04 2E-05 2E-05 2E-04 2E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2E-04 2E-04 4E-05 4E-05 0 0 0 0 1E-05 1E-05 1E-05 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 1E-05 1E-05 1E-05 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2E-06 2E-06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2E-06 2E-06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.002 1E-16 1E-16 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.002 1E-16 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.206 1.291 1.291 0.237 1.982 2.04 2.356 0.576 0 0 0 0 0 -0 4E-04 0.002 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.971 1.206 1.291 1.291 0.237 1.982 2.04 2.356 0.576 0.576 0.576 0 0 0 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.023 1.292 1.971 1.206 1.291 1.291 0.237 1.982 2.04 2.356 0.576 0.576 2.147 2.147 0 3.85 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.023 3.023 1.292 1.971 0 0 0 0.237 1.982 3.43 3.669 0.576 0.576 2.147 2.147 3.226 0 0 0.111 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.327 2.327 1.687 1.565 -0 -0 0 0 0 1.665 0.226 0.786 1.724 1.721 1.977 1.26 1.26 3.226 3.226 5E-18 5E-18 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.327 2.327 2.327 1.687 1.565 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 1.665 0.226 0.786 1.724 1.721 1.977 1.26 1.26 3.226 0 5E-18 5E-18 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.303 2.327 4.654 4.654 5.969 0.411 0.246 0 5.182 5.182 5.182 0.067 0.067 0.072 0.072 0 0.49 1.599 0 -0.03 0.345 0.345 5E-18 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.303 1.303 9.829 4.654 4.654 1.753 1.753 0.246 0 4.116 4.116 4.116 0.067 0.067 0.072 0.072 0 0.623 1.599 0 -0.03 0.345 0.345 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 1.303 1.303 1.303 9.829 9.829 4.654 1.753 4.689 0 0 4.116 4.116 4.116 0 0 0 8.084 0.623 0.623 1.739 0.013 0.012 0.012 0.077 0.077 0 0 0 0

0.518 0.518 0.92 0.92 4.336 1.592 1.592 4.269 4.269 2.905 0 0 0.008 0.008 0 0 0 3.335 0 0 0 0.438 0.438 1.739 -0 -0 0.006 0.077 0.077 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.518 0.518 0.518 0.92 4.336 4.336 4.336 1.592 4.269 4.269 2.668 0.424 0.424 0.062 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.438 1.46 0.013 -0 -0 0.006 0.077 0.077 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.394 0.394 0.394 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.808 0.808 4.269 4.269 2.668 2.668 0.424 0.062 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.546 1.546 -0 -0 0.028 0.375 0.077 0.077 1.778 1.778 2.801 2.801 0 0

0 0.001 0.001 0.394 0.394 0.394 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.808 3.758 0.683 1.45 0 0 2.008 2.008 2.008 0.234 0.234 0.537 0 1.936 1.936 0.407 0.407 0 0.03 0.03 0.028 0.375 0.077 0.077 1.778 1.778 2.801 2.801 0 0

0 3.232 3.191 2.901 2.901 2.901 0.69 0.69 0.69 10.36 0.683 0.683 1.45 0.676 0.206 0.206 0.25 0.119 2.149 1.594 0.537 0.058 0.25 0 0.012 0.012 0 1E-15 1E-15 -0 0.016 0.077 0.077 1.778 1.778 2.801 2.801 0 0

0 3.232 3.191 2.901 2.901 2.901 2.108 4.849 6.662 10.36 2.447 2.763 2.296 1.432 0 0 0 0 2.149 39.05 2.731 0.132 0.25 0 0.006 0.035 0 0 0 0.016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 3.232 3.191 2.901 5.4 5.4 4.849 4.849 6.662 10.36 4.23 1.297 4.087 1.432 0 3.748 0 0 0.003 9.1 2.731 0.132 0.529 0.077 0.006 0.035 0 0.016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 3.781 0 5.4 5.4 5.4 4.849 4.849 7.54 2.158 1.015 0.153 0.013 0.038 0.046 0.338 0.338 0.415 0.415 0.718 89.02 0.063 0.063 0 0 0.016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 3.781 0 2.402 2.402 1.84 9.124 9.124 7.54 2.158 0.184 0.184 0.225 0.083 0.018 0.018 0.338 0.415 0.415 0.718 0.718 0.252 0.252 0.153 0.153 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 3.82 3.82 2.402 2.402 1.84 11.94 11.94 10.32 0.935 0.184 0.184 0.225 0.083 0.018 0.018 0.564 0.564 2.002 107.8 249 10.84 0.573 0.153 0.005 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 4.569 4.569 2.912 2.912 2.912 9.706 9.706 2.447 2.283 0.013 0.013 0.044 0 0 0.564 1.234 204.3 87.5 0.077 0.127 0 0 0 2.709 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.004 0.004 1.331 1.331 2.912 0 0 0 2.912 0.013 0.013 0.044 0 0 0 0 0.491 0.077 0.224 0.127 0 0 18.28 2.709 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.004 0.004 1.995 1.995 2.912 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.651 3.85 0.03 1E-15 0 0 0 10.25 1.29 0.775 0.491 0.122 0.122 0.127 0 0 18.28 2.709 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 1.802 1.802 1.995 1.995 1.607 0 0 0 20.04 3.85 0.03 0.107 0 0 13.6 1.29 1.315 0.775 0.491 0.122 0.122 0 0.134 0.134 4.796 12.75 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 2.92 1.482 1.607 1.607 0 0 0 0.004 0.09 0.09 0.016 0.016 0 0 0 0 0.067 1.381 0.234 0.234 0.27 0.27 0.27 1.549 1.307 1.307 4.302 4.302 2.213 4.657 4.657 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 2.071 2.064 2.064 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0 0.008 0.085 0 0 0.067 0 1.388 0.234 0.141 0.141 1.549 0.51 1.307 1.307 4.302 4.302 2.213 4.657 4.657 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 2.071 2.064 2.064 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.099 0 0 0 0.02 0.02 0 0 -0 0 1.388 0.008 0 0.141 0.51 10.43 11.7 11.7 4.302 4.302 2.213 4.432 4.657 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 1.517 0.719 0.719 0.063 0.063 0.04 0 0.051 0.051 0 0 0.02 12.46 12.46 0.109 0.109 2.764 1.865 1.865 0 1.774 10.43 10.43 5.748 5.748 5.775 5.775 3.853 7.056 7.056 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 1.517 0.719 0.719 0.063 0.063 0.04 0.051 0.051 0 0 0 7.5 0.616 0.109 0.109 2.764 2.523 2.393 1.774 1.979 4.752 4.752 5.748 5.748 5.775 5.775 5.775 7.056 7.056 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.827 0.827 0.719 0.356 1.183 0 0.051 0 0 -0 0.666 0.666 3.595 0.032 4.35 0 0 1.979 0 -0 -0 0.392 0.392 1.422 1.422 5.775 5.775 7.056 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.827 0.827 0.469 0.356 1.183 0 0 0 0.011 0.011 0.005 0 0 0 0 1.078 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.392 0.158 1.422 1.422 1.422 0.844 0.844 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.827 0 0.469 0.469 0.531 0.531 0 0 0.011 0.005 0.005 0 0 0 0 1.078 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.158 0.158 1.556 1.556 1.556 1.301 0.844 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0.469 0.469 0.469 0.531 0.531 -0 0.011 0.011 0.003 0.003 0 0 0 0 3.721 2.843 2.843 0 0 0 0 0.011 0.158 1.556 1.556 1.556 1.301 1.669 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0.469 0.469 0.827 0.827 0.531 -0 0.084 0 0 0.003 0.002 0.002 0 0 3.721 7.854 7.854 -0.01 -0.01 9.75 5.861 0 -0 1.387 1.387 1.387 1.301 1.669 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0.469 0.827 0.827 0.827 1.43 1.43 1.43 2.157 2.157 2.018 0.017 -0 9.842 0.071 0 15.16 8.256 -0 -0 0.419 2.721 -0 -0 1.403 1.372 1.372 0.826 0.826 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0.219 0.219 0.219 0.874 0.874 1.43 3.37 3.145 2.008 2.008 0.097 0.069 0 0.001 0.001 13.96 8.256 0.011 -0 -0 0.002 -0 -0 1.403 1.372 1.372 0.826 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0.219 0.219 0.874 0.874 0.874 1.43 0.871 1.443 0.714 0.714 0.097 0.097 0.097 0.001 0.001 13.96 8.256 0.011 0 0 0 0.003 0.003 1.403 1.372 1.372 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 8E-04 8E-04 0.219 0.219 0.719 0.719 17.25 0.871 1.443 0.714 0.714 0.097 0.097 0.097 2.214 0.851 0.851 8.165 8.165 1.099 1.099 0.698 0.698 0.506 0.506 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 8E-04 8E-04 0.219 0.719 0.719 0.719 0.827 0.827 5.752 5.752 0 1.098 1.098 2.214 2.214 1.82 0.851 8.165 8.165 1.099 1.099 0.698 0.698 0.506 0.506 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 6E-04 6E-04 6E-04 0.274 2.162 2.162 1.167 1.167 1.167 1.167 0 1.098 1.098 1.495 1.495 -0.04 0.791 10.21 10.21 3.694 3.694 1.437 1.437 0.689 0.689 2E-05 2E-05 2E-05 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 6E-04 6E-04 6E-04 0.274 1.634 1.634 1.24 1.24 1E-05 0 0 1.098 1.098 2.938 1.025 0.791 0.791 10.21 3.184 2 2 0.177 0.177 0.18 0.18 2E-05 2E-05 2E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 6E-04 6E-04 6E-04 0 7E-06 7E-06 0.002 0.002 1E-05 0 4E-05 0 0 7.33 1.025 0.043 9.087 9.087 1.417 0.666 0.666 2E-05 2E-05 -0 -0 8E-05 8E-05 8E-05 4E-05 4E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-06 7E-06 0.002 1E-05 1E-05 0 4E-05 6E-05 6E-05 2E-04 2E-17 0.043 9.087 9.087 1.417 4E-05 4E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3E-05 3E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1E-04 0 0 5E-05 5E-05 0 0 0 0 1E-06 1E-06 1E-06 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1E-04 0 0 5E-05 5E-05 0 0 1E-04 1E-04 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2E-05 2E-05 0 0 0 0 2E-05 2E-05 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1E-05 1E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 5E-05 5E-05 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 1E-04 1E-04 0 0 0 0 4E-05 4E-05 4E-05 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 4E-05 4E-05 4E-05 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2E-06 2E-06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2E-06 2E-06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.002 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.002 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.701 1.907 1.907 0.291 2.315 2.813 3.204 1.094 0 0 0 0 0 -0 6E-04 0.002 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.259 2.701 1.907 1.907 0.291 2.315 2.813 3.204 1.094 1.094 1.094 0 0 0 6E-04 6E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.045 3.277 2.259 2.701 1.907 1.907 0.291 2.315 2.813 3.204 1.094 1.094 2.916 2.916 0 11.71 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.045 3.045 3.277 2.259 0 0 0 0.291 2.315 3.31 3.831 1.094 1.094 2.916 2.916 3.693 0 0 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.782 2.782 3.514 1.571 -0 -0 0 0 0 2.179 0.434 1.228 1.745 1.782 2.305 3.86 3.86 3.693 3.693 2E-17 2E-17 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.782 2.782 2.782 3.514 1.571 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 2.179 0.434 1.228 1.745 1.782 2.305 3.86 3.86 3.693 0 2E-17 2E-17 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.825 2.782 5.564 5.564 5.954 0.411 1.277 0 5.784 5.784 5.784 0.205 0.205 0.156 0.156 0 0.496 1.78 0 -0.03 0.574 0.574 2E-17 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.825 1.825 12.71 5.564 5.564 2.787 2.787 1.277 0 4.862 4.862 4.862 0.205 0.205 0.156 0.156 0 0.642 1.78 0 -0.03 0.574 0.574 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 1.825 1.825 1.825 12.71 12.71 5.564 2.787 9.734 0 0 4.862 4.862 4.862 0 0 0 15.61 0.642 0.642 4.666 0.085 0.082 0.082 0.291 0.291 0 0 0 0

0.798 0.798 0.901 0.901 5.795 3.701 3.701 8.34 8.34 8.599 0 0 0.022 0.022 0 0 0 17.33 0.066 0.057 0.057 0.496 0.496 4.666 0.036 0.036 0.015 0.291 0.291 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.798 0.798 0.798 0.901 5.795 5.795 5.795 3.701 8.34 8.34 3.511 0.423 0.423 0.062 0 0 0 0 0.066 0.066 0.057 0.057 0.496 7.588 0.084 0.036 0.036 0.015 0.291 0.291 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.877 0.877 0.877 1.412 1.412 1.412 1.347 1.347 8.34 8.34 3.511 3.511 0.423 0.062 0 0 0 0 0.113 0.113 0.064 0.064 5.827 5.827 0.044 0.044 0.055 0.546 0.291 0.291 2.468 2.468 5.001 5.001 0 0

0 0.001 0.001 0.877 0.877 0.877 1.412 1.412 1.412 1.347 11.83 0.683 7.533 0 0 10.43 10.43 10.43 0.452 0.452 0.782 0 10.06 10.06 2.112 2.112 0 0.03 0.03 0.055 0.546 0.291 0.291 2.468 2.468 5.001 5.001 0 0

0 3.705 3.501 4.417 4.417 4.417 1.412 1.412 1.412 14.01 0.683 0.683 7.533 3.512 0.206 0.206 0.252 0.159 5.738 8.284 0.782 0.037 0.355 0 0.012 0.012 0 5E-16 5E-16 -0 0.107 0.291 0.291 2.468 2.468 5.001 5.001 0 0

0 3.705 3.501 4.417 4.417 4.417 3.568 7.537 12.98 14.01 4.725 8.059 4.433 1.41 0 0 0 0 5.738 65.24 7.812 0.26 0.355 0 0.006 0.035 0.042 0.056 0.056 0.107 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 3.705 3.501 4.417 8.277 8.277 7.537 7.537 12.98 14.01 13.61 1.297 13.07 1.41 0 19.47 0 0 0.007 34.04 7.812 0.26 0.683 0.077 0.006 0.035 0.056 0.107 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 4.946 0 8.277 8.277 8.277 7.537 7.537 8.492 4.165 1.015 0.179 0.126 0.04 0.222 0.354 0.354 0.692 0.692 1.386 188.3 0.791 0.791 0 0 0.107 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 4.946 0 4.184 4.184 3.064 12.25 12.25 8.492 4.165 0.164 0.164 0.548 0.089 0.059 0.059 0.354 0.692 0.692 1.386 1.386 1.204 1.204 0.167 0.167 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 5.094 5.094 4.184 4.184 3.064 15.64 15.64 14.25 0.935 0.164 0.164 0.548 0.089 0.059 0.059 1.467 1.467 1.941 194.8 500.4 32.64 1.071 0.167 0.005 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 5.285 5.285 3.32 3.32 3.32 12.58 12.58 7.367 11.86 0.013 0.013 0.044 0 0 1.467 2.03 250.4 181.1 0.077 0.146 0.112 0.112 0 7.856 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.004 0.004 1.43 1.43 3.32 0 0 0 4.191 0.013 0.013 0.044 0 0 0 0 0.722 0.077 0.207 0.146 0.112 0.112 24.84 7.856 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.004 0.004 4.156 4.156 3.32 0.009 0.009 0.009 3.38 7.138 0.081 0 0 0 0 10.25 1.446 1.014 0.722 0.421 0.421 0.146 0.112 0.112 24.84 7.856 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 1.767 1.767 4.156 4.156 1.642 0.011 0.011 0.011 34.86 7.138 0.081 0.113 0 0 13.6 1.446 1.689 1.014 0.722 0.421 0.421 0.4 0.123 0.123 12.58 18.13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 3.032 1.355 1.642 1.642 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.004 0.107 0.107 0.174 0.174 0 0 0 0.472 0.221 7.177 0.4 0.4 0.396 0.396 0.396 8.047 2.524 2.524 6.357 6.357 6.238 5.847 5.847 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 2.271 2.213 2.213 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0 0.008 0.085 0 0.472 0.221 0 7.209 0.4 0.252 0.252 8.047 2.651 2.524 2.524 6.357 6.357 6.238 5.847 5.847 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 2.271 2.213 2.213 0.093 0.093 0.093 0.099 0 0 0 0.211 0.211 0 0.338 -0 0 7.209 0.025 0 0.252 2.651 16.27 16.63 16.63 6.357 6.357 6.238 4.727 5.847 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 2.304 2.168 2.168 0.063 0.063 0.04 0 0.054 0.054 0 0 0.211 21.56 21.56 0.178 0.178 14.36 9.691 9.691 0 9.217 16.27 16.27 7.127 7.127 7.209 7.209 5.055 7.385 7.385 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 2.304 2.168 2.168 0.063 0.063 0.04 0.054 0.054 0 0 0 13.5 0.766 0.178 0.178 14.36 7.596 2.328 9.217 10.28 7.796 7.796 7.127 7.127 7.209 7.209 7.209 7.385 7.385 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 1.484 1.484 2.168 0.393 2.707 0 0.054 0 0 0.208 1.075 1.075 18.68 0.212 22.6 0 0 10.28 0 -0 -0 0.48 0.48 1.528 1.528 7.209 7.209 7.385 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 1.484 1.484 0.752 0.393 2.707 0 0 0 0.011 0.011 0.005 0 0 0 0 1.078 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.48 0.172 1.528 1.528 1.528 1.516 1.516 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 1.484 4E-18 0.752 0.752 1.101 1.101 0 0 0.011 0.005 0.005 0 0.071 0 0 1.078 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.172 0.172 1.734 1.734 1.734 1.949 1.516 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 4E-18 4E-18 0.752 0.752 0.752 1.101 1.101 -0 0.011 0.011 0.05 0.05 0.071 0.071 0 0 11.69 8.364 8.364 0 0 0 0 0.011 0.172 1.734 1.734 1.734 1.949 1.635 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 4E-18 0 0.752 0.752 1.484 1.484 1.101 -0 0.084 0 0 0.05 0.002 0.002 0 0 11.69 13.63 13.63 -0.01 -0.01 13.5 5.861 0 -0 2.338 2.338 2.338 1.949 1.635 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0.752 1.484 1.484 1.484 1.414 1.414 1.414 2.626 2.626 3.224 0.017 -0 11.15 0.084 0 21.32 10.62 -0 -0 2.179 5.253 -0 -0 2.351 1.436 1.436 0.888 0.888 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0.701 0.701 0.701 1.47 1.47 1.414 3.413 3.734 1.998 1.998 0.127 0.069 0 0.001 0.001 13.96 10.62 0.011 -0 -0 0.002 -0 -0 2.351 1.436 1.436 0.888 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0.701 0.701 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.414 2.715 2.992 1.371 1.371 0.127 0.127 0.127 0.001 0.001 13.96 10.62 0.011 0 0 0 0.003 0.003 2.351 1.436 1.436 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 8E-04 8E-04 0.701 0.701 1.134 1.134 21.41 2.715 2.992 1.371 1.371 0.127 0.127 0.127 2.985 0.859 0.859 11 11 2.32 2.32 1.094 1.094 1.582 1.582 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 8E-04 8E-04 0.701 1.134 1.134 1.134 2.022 2.022 7.14 7.14 0.839 1.34 1.34 2.985 2.985 1.848 0.859 11 11 2.32 2.32 1.094 1.094 1.582 1.582 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 6E-04 6E-04 6E-04 1.103 2.136 2.136 1.259 1.259 1.259 1.259 0.839 1.34 1.34 4.469 4.469 -0.04 1.119 13.75 13.75 4.87 4.87 1.548 1.548 0.711 0.711 2E-05 2E-05 2E-05 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 6E-04 6E-04 6E-04 1.103 1.624 1.624 1.78 1.78 1E-05 0 0.839 1.34 1.34 4.074 2.996 1.119 1.119 13.75 3.556 2.992 2.992 0.8 0.8 0.813 0.813 2E-05 2E-05 2E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 6E-04 6E-04 6E-04 0 7E-06 7E-06 0.002 0.002 1E-05 0 4E-05 0 0 8.515 2.996 0.222 10.51 10.51 1.526 0.686 0.686 2E-05 2E-05 -0 -0 8E-05 8E-05 8E-05 4E-05 4E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-06 7E-06 0.002 1E-05 1E-05 0 4E-05 6E-05 6E-05 2E-04 2E-17 0.222 10.51 10.51 1.526 4E-05 4E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3E-05 3E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Base Case

High Scenario

Employment by IndustryCommercial and non-commercial services are the largest industry categories, collectively repre-senting 46 percent of total employment in the City of Edmonton. These two industry sectors are also responsible for most of the growth in employ-ment. In the Base Case, Commercial and Non-Commercial Services account for a total of 44,000 new jobs in Edmonton - 47 percent of the total increase. In the High Scenario these industry sectors account for a total of almost 80,000 new jobs - 52 percent of the total increase.

Figure RS7Change in Total Employment by Industry

- 50 100 150

Primary Industries

Manufacturing

Construction

Utilities

Transportation, Storage &Communications

Wholesale

Retail Trade

Finance, Insurance & Real Estate

Commercial Services

Non-Commercial Services

Public Administration & Defence

Number of Jobs(thousands)

2003 Base 2030 High 2030

Other industry sectors projected to grow at a rate above the average include: Manufacturing, Retail Trade and Construction.

Work at Home EmploymentOverall, persons working at home is expected to grow significantly faster than the rate of growth for total employment. Most work at home em-ployment is in the Commercial and Non-Commercial Services sectors and this is where the largest increases are forecast.

Figure RS8Change in Work at Home Employment by Industry

- 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Primary Industries

Manufacturing

Construction

Utilities


Wholesale

Retail Trade


Commercial Services




2003 Base 2030 High 2030



Chapter 1

Purpose and Scope of the Study

Population and employment forecasts are an im-portant tool for social and economic planning. Growth affects the spatial distribution of people and jobs, which in turn affects the demand for services provided by all levels of government.

Edmonton City Hall

Purpose of the StudyThe purpose of the study is to develop projections of population and employment for various geo-graphic areas in the Edmonton CMA as follows:

• Aggregate population and employment projec-tions for the Edmonton CMA, City of Edmon-ton and Edmonton Region.

• Population projections by 5 year age cohorts.

• Projections of occupation (8 categories).• Projections of employment by industry (11

categories).• Projections of work at home employment.

Each of these data sets are provided for two dif-ferent geographies: Traffic Zones (557 zones in the City of Edmonton and 491 in the Edmonton Region); and larger areas called Traffic Districts (which are aggregations of Traffic Zones).

In addition, because it is expected that this analy-sis will be updated in the future, the sources of information, assumptions made in the analysis and the analytical techniques have been docu-mented (see the discussion of Summary & Tech-nical Reports below). This will facilitate the im-provement of the forecasting techniques and use-fulness of the results of any future analysis.

Uses of the Data

These population and employment forecasts have been developed to guide the City of Edmonton in the planning and provision of services and infra-structure. This unique information is valuable in any context that depends on the type, magnitude and geographic location of future development:• Planning public facilities: schools, recreation

facilities, seniors centres, etc.• Planning municipal infrastructure: roads, wa-

ter, sewer, etc.

• Defining future demand for community serv-ices.

• Financial planning related to service delivery.1



1 These forecasts are currently used by the City of Edmonton Drainage Branch as the basis for projecting short and long term revenues that will be available for the Strategic Sanitary Sewer Fund (SSSF).

ScenariosThe forecasts have been prepared for each of two scenarios:• Base Case: This scenario represents projec-

tions of healthy economic and population growth consistent with a conservative extrapo-lation of the growth the Edmonton CMA has experienced over the past 5 years. The Base Case is considered to be the most likely or re-alistic scenario over the long term.

• High Scenario: This scenario represents pro-jections of stronger economic and population growth, higher than what has been experienced by the Edmonton CMA over the past 5 years.

Because of the difficulties inherent in making long term projections, especially at fine area geo-graphies, such as the “neighbourhood” level, it is unlikely that either the Base Case or High Sce-nario will be an accurate predictor of activity for each detailed geography in the City. However, having two scenarios of growth provides a range within which growth in each geography and for each group of variables can reasonably be ex-pected to vary.

Base Year - 2003

The base information used in this analysis is pri-marily from the 2001 Federal Census. This data has been adjusted as necessary to meet the pa-rameters of this study. In presenting the results of this analysis, 2003 has been used as the base year, which is the starting point for the forecasts.

Summary & Technical ReportsIn addition to this Summary Report, full docu-mentation of the project is provided in a com-

panion Technical Report.2 This Technical Report includes the following:• A description of the base year information used

in the developing the forecasts, including the necessary adjustments made to this data.

• The methodology and analytical approach used to make the projections and allocations.

• The final results of the analysis, including ta-bles at the traffic zone level.

Region ReportsAs the analysis was completed for the Edmonton CMA, which includes both the City of Edmonton and the Edmonton Region, two companion re-ports3 have been prepared that discuss the results, methodologies and data used to arrive at the re-sults for the Edmonton Region.

These reports provide a similar level of detail and information as that provided in the City of Ed-monton reports.



2 The Technical Report includes a more detailed treatment of the topics contained in the Summary Report, as well as a number of methodological issues and results which are not covered in the Summary Report.

3 Summary and Technical Reports have been prepared for the analysis and results for the Edmonton Region.

Chapter 2

Study Area

A unique feature of the forecasts developed in this analysis is the fine level of geographic detail for which the results are provided.

The entire study area for the population and em-ployment forecasts is the Edmonton CMA. These forecasts have been prepared and presented sepa-rately for the two geographic regions:

• The City of Edmonton• Edmonton Region (includes all areas in the

CMA outside the City of Edmonton including

Bruderheim and the west portion of Lamont County)

The City of EdmontonThe forecasts for the City of Edmonton have been prepared at two levels:• Traffic Districts

• Traffic Zones

Traffic Districts

The City of Edmonton is divided into 31 Traffic Districts as depicted in Figure 2. This is finest level of geography for the information presented in this Summary Report.

Traffic Zones

Within each Traffic District are a number of Traf-fic Zones. In total, there are 557 Traffic Zones in the City of Edmonton. Information at this level of geography can be found in the Technical Report (see Chapter 1).



Figure 1Edmonton CMA

Figure 2City of Edmonton Traffic Districts



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Chapter 3

Economic Overview

The Edmonton CMA operates as an integrated economic unit. As a result, any analysis of the location and magnitude of growth must take into account the broader economic forces that will have a significant impact on the economy of the Edmonton region.

Provincial OutlookThe prospects for economic growth and the asso-ciated change in the provincial population were considered in determining the potential for growth in the Edmonton CMA. Recognition of Edmon-ton’s ties and role in the broader provincial econ-omy is necessary to make realistic projections of economic and population growth for the Edmon-ton CMA.

Economic Output (GDP)

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a common measure of economic activity and output. The Alberta and Edmonton regional economy have experienced strong growth in the last 15 years, and this is expected to continue over the long term.

Between 1985 and 2001, the provincial GDP (real 1997 dollars) has grown at an average of 3.7 per-cent per year.4 While the Edmonton regional economy has not kept pace with the province since 1988, growth in the greater Edmonton GDP has also been strong and increased at an annual rate of 3.3 percent.

Figure 3Implied Provincial GDP Projections

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

1986199119962001200520102015202020252030

(millio

ns

$)

Historical High Base



4 Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 379-0025: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at Basic Prices.

The implied rate of growth for the Alberta econ-omy in the Base Case is 2.1 percent over the fore-cast period to the end of 2030. This represents a dampening of the recent historic rate of growth for the province, reflecting the likelihood of some downward cycles in Alberta’s economic growth over the forecast period.5

The High Scenario is more optimistic about growth and projects an increase in the average annual rate of real GDP growth of 2.5 percent. This rate is also lower than the recent historical rate of growth reflecting the long time frame for the forecast.

Regional Context

The Edmonton regional economy is strongly in-fluenced by economic activity and growth that occurs elsewhere in the province, in particular northern Alberta.6 While the economy has diver-sified, historic and future growth is expected to be largely tied to the fortunes of the oil and gas sector.7

In the short term, the Edmonton regional econ-omy will be boosted by investment in oil sands projects and related economic activity.8 Similarly the manufacturing and construction industries will be key drivers of growth to 2020.

In the longer term, over the last half of the fore-cast period, economic growth is expected to taper off somewhat. By 2020, most of the major pro-jects currently anticipated will be completed and in production. This will have the impact of slowing the demand for construction and trades workers. As well, there will be a continued de-cline in conventional oil and gas reserves that will result in some contraction in this sector. Offset-ting these trends will be some additional manu-facturing and service sector activity as a result of continued diversification of the regional economy.9

City of Edmonton Socio-Economic Outlook

The City of Edmonton prepares an economic forecast for the City and surrounding economic catchment area on a regular basis. The most re-



5 The provincial real GDP growth rates are “implied” as they have been estimated based on the historic relationship between population growth and economic output in Alberta.

6 It is generally assumed that the Edmonton Region economy will grow at a rate commensurate with the province.

7 Robert Roach, State of the West 2003, Western Canadian Demographic and Economic Trends, Canada West Foundation, May 2003, page 76.

8 “Oilsands projects give Edmonton high-octane boost”, The Edmonton Journal, December 22, 2003, page A18.

9 Terry Smith, “Innovating Alberta”, Commerce News, Vol 25, No. 10, November 4, 2003, page 1.

cent forecast available at the time of preparing the analysis used in this study was 2003-2008 and has been used as the basis for the projections in both the Base Case and High Scenario to 2008.

Economic Growth and MigrationThere is a strong relationship between the eco-nomic growth of a region and population growth. Economic growth can only be facilitated by a sufficient supply of qualified labour to meet the needs of business growth and expansion. In a fast growing economy, this is largely accomplished through in-migration of workers and their fami-lies.

In the development of the population and em-ployment projections for the Edmonton CMA, explicit consideration has been given to the fol-lowing factors:• The provincial population growth required to

meet the economic output targets.

• The required net migration necessary to provide a sufficient supply of labour to meet the needs of this growth.

• The Edmonton CMA’s share of provincial population captured as a result of expected economic activity in the region.

• Explicit assumptions regarding the net migra-tion to the Edmonton CMA to facilitate the anticipated economic growth of the region.

For the period after 2008, the Base Case popula-tion projections incorporate an average annual net migration of people to the Edmonton CMA of 7,900. In the High Scenario, annual net migration

to the Edmonton CMA is assumed to be 14,280 after 2008.10

Employment Participation RateVerification of the balance in projected economic activity and population growth is an estimation of the employment participation rate.11 For the pur-poses of this analysis, a simplified definition of participation rates has been used:12

Between 1991 and 2001, the participation rate has varied from 70.2 to 75.6 percent. The projected participation rates for the Base Case and High Scenario fall within this historical range.

Generally, the employment participation rates projected for both scenarios increase after 2020. This reflects the aging of the population and the need for a higher rate of participation in the work-force to maintain the growth projected for the economy.

Figure 4Employment Participation Rate

69%

70%

71%

72%

73%

74%

75%

76%

19901991199219931994199519961997199819992000

20012003200520102015202020252030




10 Net migration in the Edmonton region has averaged just over 8,000 per year since 1998. Over the same period, the Edmonton economy has experienced strong growth, with GDP averaging 3 percent annually since 1998, and as high as 5 percent per year since 2002.

11 For example, if the economic and population projections were out of balance, there would be a significant and unreasonable adjustment to the resulting employment participation rates.

12 Total persons employed divided by the population 15 years and older.

Chapter 4

Population Forecasts & Allocation

Population projections have been prepared for the Edmonton Census Metropolitan Area (CMA), City of Edmonton and the rest of the Edmonton Region that comprises the CMA. These aggregate forecasts have been prepared to the year 2030 and disaggregated by geography, age cohort and oc-cupation.

Population ForecastsThe population forecasts presented below are consistent with the economic context presented in the previous chapter. The process for developing these forecasts has been a “top down” analysis, looking first at the population growth for the Ed-monton CMA that would be consistent with the economic growth anticipated for the region. This total growth has subsequently been allocated to

the City of Edmonton and Edmonton Region, and then geographically within the City and the Re-gion.

Edmonton CMA

Over the ten years 1991 to 2001, the Edmonton CMA grew at an average annual rate of 1.2%. In the Base Case, the population of the Edmonton CMA is projected to grow from an estimated13 985,000 in 2003 to almost 1.3 million by the year 2030. This growth represents an average annual growth rate of 1.0 percent. In the High Scenario, the Edmonton CMA population is projected to grow to over 1.4 million. This growth represents an average annual rate of 1.4 percent.

Figure 52003-2030 Population Projections for the Edmonton CMA

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,400

1,500

1991

1996

2001

2003

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

(thousands)


Share of the CMA Growth

Over time, the City of Edmonton has been cap-turing a smaller portion of the total population growth of the CMA. Between 1971 and 2001, the City of Edmonton’s share of the regional popula-tion has declined from 76 percent to 71 percent.



13 The Base Year of the analysis (2003) is an estimate based on growth projected from the last federal census in 2001.

This trend has been incorporated in determining the population for the City of Edmonton and Ed-monton Region for the Base Case and High Sce-nario. However, it is projected that the rate of decline in the City of Edmonton’s share of the CMA’s population will slow, reaching 67 percent in 2030. This rate of decline is significantly less than the 62 percent City share of the CMA popu-lation implied by the trendline.14

Figure 6City of Edmonton Share of CMA Growth

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

1976

1981

1986

1991

1996

2001

2003

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

Edmonton Base/High

Edmonton Historial

Region Base/High

Region Historical

Linear (EdmontonHistorial)Linear (Region Historical)

Trendline

City of Edmonton Population Growth

The population growth projected for the City of Edmonton is based on the projected growth of the CMA and the share of this growth expected to be captured by the City of Edmonton.

Historically (between 1991 and 2001) the City of Edmonton’s population has grown at an average annual rate of 1.0 percent. Almost all of this growth occurred between 1996 and 2001.

In the Base Case, the City of Edmonton popula-tion is projected to grow from an estimated 698,000 in 2003 to almost 876,000 by the year 2030. This growth represents an average annual growth rate of 0.85 percent.

In the High Scenario, Edmonton’s population is projected to grow by another 100,000 over the Base Case to almost 976,000. This growth repre-sents an average annual rate of 1.2 percent.

Figure 72003-2030 Population Projections for the City of Edmonton

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1991

1996

2001

2003

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

(thousands)


Aging of the PopulationThe City’s population will age significantly over the forecast period. In the Base Case, the esti-mated average age will increase from 36 years to over 42 years of age. This is illustrated by the significant increase in all the age cohorts greater than 50 years of age.



14 The trendline is a linear extrapolation of the historical data. It is expected that as the Region grows, it will exhibit characteristics that are more similar to the city of Edmonton. As a result, the historic difference in population growth rates is expected to moderate over time.

Base Case

In the Base Case, the total population is projected to increase by almost 26% from 2003 to 2030. All of the age cohorts greater than 65 years of age more than double over this forecast period. For example, the number of persons 65-69 increases by 129% by 2030 as compared to the 2003 esti-mate. Persons 85 years and older exhibits the largest rate of growth of any age cohort, increas-ing by 158 percent.

In the Base Case, only three age cohorts exhibit a decline over the forecast period. These are the 10-14 years (-1.7 percent), 15-19 years (-3.9 per-cent) and 20-24 years (-5.4 percent).15

High Scenario

In the High Scenario, the population of Edmonton is projected to increase by over 40 percent over the forecast period to 2030. All the age cohorts increase in this scenario with the largest percent-age increases occurring for the 65 years and older age cohorts, as seen in the Base Case. There is substantially more growth of young adults, young children and middle age adult populations as compared to the Base Case. This is largely a re-sult of the increased migration assumptions incor-porated in the High Scenario.

Because of the larger increases in the non-seniors age cohorts, the average age in the City of Ed-monton in the High Scenario is slightly lower (41.4 years versus 42.3 years for the Base Case) in 2030. This is reflected in the proportion of the population which is 65 years and older. In 2030, the number of persons in the Base Case 65 years plus age cohorts represent 21.2 percent of the total population (856,000) which is higher than the High Scenario where persons 65 years and older represent 19.7 percent of the population (954,000).



15 This trend of declining populations of persons 10-24 years is in part due to an out migration of young families and adults to other locations in the Edmonton Region.

Figure 8Change in Age Composition 2003 to 2030

- 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

0-4 yrs

5-9 yrs

10-14 yrs

15-19 yrs

20-24 yrs

25-29 yrs

30-34 yrs

35-39 yrs

40-44 yrs

45-49 yrs

50-54 yrs

55-59 yrs

60-64 yrs

65-69 yrs

70-74 yrs

75-79 yrs

80-84 yrs

85+ yrs


2003 2030

- 20 40 60 80

0-4 yrs

5-9 yrs

10-14 yrs

15-19 yrs

20-24 yrs

25-29 yrs

30-34 yrs

35-39 yrs

40-44 yrs

45-49 yrs

50-54 yrs

55-59 yrs

60-64 yrs

65-69 yrs

70-74 yrs

75-79 yrs

80-84 yrs

85+ yrs


2003 2030High Scenario

Base Case

Inner City and Suburban AreasFor the purposes of the analysis, the City of Ed-monton has been further divided into three areas defined as follows:• Inner City:16 This includes those areas whose

residential lands were largely developed before the 1980’s, consisting of Traffic Districts sur-rounding the City’s inner core (i.e. 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 9, 10, 11, 13, 14 and 22).

• Suburban Residential Areas: The suburban areas include all residential lands in areas sur-rounding the Inner City and extending to the City boundaries. These lands typically contain residential development that has taken place since the 1980’s, or remain undeveloped.

• Suburban Non-Residential Areas: There are several Traffic Districts that are mostly indus-trial in nature.

- Northwest Industrial (District 7)- South Industrial (District 16)- Mistatim (District 17)- Southeast Industrial (District 20)

- Cloverbar (District 31)

Figure 9City of Edmonton - Inner City vs Suburban Areas

Inner City vs Suburban Population GrowthHistorically, the Inner City has had a larger population than the Suburban Areas. However, since 1982, the population of the Inner City has not changed significantly. As a result, all the population growth in the City has been in the sub-urbs.

Since 1982, the population in the Inner City has hovered around 350,000. Over the same time frame, the Suburban population has increased from 180,000 to a 2001 total of 325,000.

Based on the assumptions about the magnitude of population growth for the City and how it will be distributed, it is expected that the population of



16 For the purposes of this study, the definition of the Inner City has been modified to include only whole Traffic Districts. This definition varies somewhat from the City’s “official” definition of the Inner City.

the Suburban Areas will exceed that of the Inner City by 2010 in both the Base Case and High Scenario. This occurs even with the addition of population growth to the Inner City, reflecting a change from the historical pattern for this area.

Figure 10Inner City and Suburban Population Growth to 2030: Base & High Scenario

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

550,000

600,000

1991

1996

2001

2003

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

Suburban Historical Inner City HistoricalSuburban Base Inner City BaseSuburban High Inner City High

Inner City Population GrowthWhile historically, the population of the Inner City has not changed appreciably over the past 20 years, significant signs of growth in recent years in addition to City policy regarding future growth indicates that this is changing.

In the Base Case, it is projected that the Inner City will grow by almost 32,000 over the forecast period, reflecting a total increase of 8.9 percent over the estimated 2003 population. In the High Scenario, total Inner City growth is projected to be almost 52,000, reflecting a total increase of 14.5 percent over the forecast period.



Figure 11Change in Inner City Population Density

Less than -1 10 to 15-1 to 1 15 to 201 to 5 20 to 305 to 10 More than 30


0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.003 0.003 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.002 0.002 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0.75 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 6E-04 6E-04 -0.02 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.06 -0.06 6E-04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.06 -0.06 -0.04 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 0.098 0.098 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 0.002 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 0.098 18.04 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 4.473 4.473 -0.01 0 0 0.002 0.002 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 24.76 11.37 18.04 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 4.473 17.23 17.23 0 2.424 -0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24.76 24.76 11.37 18.04 -4.98 -4.98 -4.98 0.864 18.35 27.54 31.25 4.473 4.473 17.23 17.23 -0.05 0 -0.02 1.05 -0.01 -0.02 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 15.33 12.44 -3.72 -3.72 -5.39 -5.39 -5.39 14.76 0.479 5.795 9.949 11.17 17.74 11.15 11.15 -0.05 -0.05 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 15.33 12.44 -3.72 -3.72 -1.73 -1.73 -1.73 14.76 0.479 5.795 9.949 11.17 17.74 11.15 11.15 -0.05 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 53.64 1.895 8.037 -5.35 46.83 46.83 46.83 0.467 0.467 0.636 0.636 -0.11 3.984 15.28 0 -0.86 2.194 2.194 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 15.92 15.92 8.037 -5.32 35.05 35.05 35.05 0.467 0.467 0.636 0.636 -0.11 5.249 15.28 0 -0.86 2.194 2.194 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 15.92 0 0 -5.32 35.05 35.05 35.05 -0.39 -0.39 -0.42 0 5.249 5.249 4.26 -1.26 -1.12 -1.12 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

3.677 3.677 7.144 7.144 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 -1.46 -1.46 -0.98 -0.98 -1.52 -1.52 -1.52 0 -0.55 -0.48 -0.48 3.723 3.723 4.26 -1.43 -1.43 -2.35 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 3.677 3.677 3.677 7.144 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 2.804 2.804 0.141 -2.63 -2.63 -1.82 -1.82 -0.55 -0.55 -0.48 -0.48 3.723 0 -1.16 -1.43 -1.43 -2.35 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 3.396 3.396 3.396 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 2.804 0.141 -2.63 -2.63 -1.82 -1.82 -0.12 -0.12 -0.09 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.92 -0.92 -1.65 3.761 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.012 0.012 3.396 3.396 3.396 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -0.07 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.07 -0.07 5.015 -0.11 -0.07 -0.07 -0.14 -0.14 -3.21 -2.2 -2.2 -1.65 3.761 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0.111 0 0 0 0 0.689 0.689 1.123 1.226 0 0 5.015 -3.35 2.291 -2.04 -3.08 -3.08 -3.21 -3.02 -3.02 -2.55 0.17 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 -0 0 0.111 0 0 0 0 -4.46 -4.46 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 2.118 1.215 2.291 0.006 0.055 0.347 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0.111 0 0 -1.72 0 -4.46 0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.14 0 2.118 1.215 5.301 0.891 0.055 0.347 -0.2 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.12 -0.11 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 0 0 1.323 -0.37 0.037 0.417 3.529 3.529 3.913 3.913 6.316 19.46 0.608 0.608 -0.1 -0.1 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.12 -0.11 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 0 1.673 1.673 2.038 0.751 0.03 0.03 3.529 3.913 3.913 6.316 6.316 2.295 2.295 1.287 1.287 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.11 -0.11 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 0 0 1.673 1.673 2.038 0.751 0.03 0.03 5.226 5.226 18.11 94.54 162 4.881 6.032 1.287 0.041 -0.1 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 0 0 0 0 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 5.226 11.92 26.5 75.39 0.957 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 11.74 11.74 -0.05 -0.68 -0.68 -0.68 -2.08 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 -0.09 1.962 4.625 0.957 1.537 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 17.93 17.93 -0.05 0.098 0.098 0.098 1.552 0.771 0.081 -0.22 -0.16 -0.16 -0.09 -0.05 12.94 7.798 4.625 1.085 1.085 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 14.02 14.02 17.93 17.93 14.57 -4.71 -4.71 -4.71 11.32 0.771 0.081 0.771 -0.16 -0.16 0.774 12.94 12.3 7.798 4.625 1.085 1.085 -0.24 1.065 1.065 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 23.43 10.79 14.57 14.57 -4.71 -4.71 -4.71 -1.38 0.797 0.797 -0.08 -0.08 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0.802 -0.08 2.281 2.281 2.524 2.524 2.524 3.755 -0.15 -0.15 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 18.48 20.03 20.03 -1.28 -1.28 -1.28 -0.15 -0.04 0 0.07 0.876 0 0 0.802 -0.06 -0.01 2.281 1.232 1.232 3.755 0 -0.15 -0.15 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 18.48 20.03 20.03 -3.41 -3.41 -3.41 -1.78 -0.04 -0.04 -0.08 0.181 0.181 0 -0.12 0 -0.06 -0.01 0.073 2.813 1.232 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 -0.05 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 13.42 6.386 6.386 -2.68 -2.68 0.462 -0.21 0.466 0.466 -2.15 -0.08 0.181 9.994 9.994 0.734 0.734 0.003 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 13.42 6.386 6.386 -2.68 -2.68 0.462 0.466 0.466 -2.15 -0.08 3.108 0 4.822 0.734 0.734 0.003 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 7.298 6.386 2.06 10.65 -2.23 0.466 -4.03 -0.08 0.005 5.324 5.324 0 0.293 0.006 0 0 0 -1.49 0 0 1.687 1.687 9.409 9.409 0 0 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 7.298 4.141 2.06 10.65 -2.23 -2.23 -4.03 -1.45 -1.45 0.044 -2.96 -2.96 -2.36 -2.36 0 -0.01 -0.01 -1.41 -1.49 0 0 1.687 -1.44 9.409 9.409 9.409 7.435 7.435 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 -0 4.141 4.141 4.701 4.701 -2.23 -2.23 -1.45 0.044 0.044 -2.96 -4.84 -4.64 -4.64 0 0 0 -1.41 -1.41 0 0 -1.44 -1.44 11.83 11.83 11.83 11.61 7.435 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 4.141 4.141 4.141 4.701 4.701 -1.51 -1.45 -1.45 -0.13 -0.13 -4.84 -4.84 -4.64 -2.88 0.85 -0.02 -0.02 -2.64 0 -2.69 -2.69 -2.16 -1.44 11.83 11.83 11.83 11.61 12.95 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 0 4.141 4.141 7.291 7.291 4.701 -1.51 -0.76 -1.54 -2.58 -0.13 -2.7 -2.7 -2.88 -2.88 0.85 -0 -0 -2.56 -2.56 0 3.551 -3.52 -2.51 12.31 12.31 12.31 11.61 12.95 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 4.141 7.291 7.291 7.291 12.64 12.64 12.64 19.74 19.74 18.62 0.214 -6.61 88.2 -4.58 -2.95 0 0 -2.58 -2.58 0 7.682 -3.25 -2.72 12.51 12.24 12.24 7.264 7.264 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 1.889 1.889 1.889 7.814 7.814 12.64 29.33 29.58 15.96 15.96 -0.8 -2.46 -2.95 -2.54 -2.54 0 0 -1.17 -2.48 -2.48 -2.31 -3.25 -2.72 12.51 12.24 12.24 7.264 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 1.889 1.889 7.814 7.814 7.814 12.64 7.484 12.78 6.296 6.296 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -2.54 -2.54 0 0 -1.17 -1.65 -1.9 -1.9 -1.64 -1.64 12.51 12.24 12.24 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 1.889 1.889 6.418 6.418 0 7.484 12.78 6.296 6.296 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 21.28 4.908 4.908 0 0 10.15 10.15 6.103 6.103 4.347 4.347 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 1.889 6.418 6.418 6.418 7.278 7.278 0 0 0 8.995 8.995 21.28 21.28 15.84 4.908 0 0 10.15 10.15 6.103 6.103 4.347 4.347 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 2.22 17.34 17.34 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 0 8.995 8.995 13.23 13.23 -1.44 7.422 0 0 34 34 12.72 12.72 5.925 5.925 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 2.22 12.69 12.69 10.94 10.94 1E-04 0 0 8.995 8.995 26.21 8.83 7.422 7.422 0 29.25 17.85 17.85 1.257 1.257 1.278 1.278 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 0 7E-05 7E-05 0.025 0.025 1E-04 0 4E-04 0 0 -0.02 8.83 2.662 0 0 12.54 5.753 5.753 5E-04 5E-04 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 6E-04 6E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6E-05 6E-05 0.025 1E-04 1E-04 0 4E-04 7E-04 7E-04 0.002 -0 2.662 0 0 12.54 5E-04 5E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.001 0.001 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.007 0.007 -0 -0 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.002 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.001 0.001 -0.01 -0.01 1.398 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0.003 0.003 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.05 -0.05 0.003 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.05 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.187 0.187 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 0.005 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.187 20.49 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 8.987 8.987 -0.01 0 0 0.005 0.005 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 25.01 26.92 20.49 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 8.987 23.95 23.95 0 3.376 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25.01 25.01 26.92 20.49 -3.38 -3.38 -3.38 1.785 21.18 29.15 33.66 8.987 8.987 23.95 23.95 -0.03 0 -0.02 1.586 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 31.79 12.05 -2.31 -2.31 -3.71 -3.71 -3.71 18.87 3.159 11.64 11.91 13.99 20.52 32.21 32.21 -0.03 -0.03 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 31.79 12.05 -2.31 -2.31 -1.15 -1.15 -1.15 18.87 3.159 11.64 11.91 13.99 20.52 32.21 32.21 -0.03 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0 53.06 4.911 9.141 -3.74 51.89 51.89 51.89 1.448 1.448 1.396 1.396 -0.11 3.941 17.53 0 -0.12 5.351 5.351 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0 -0 25.36 25.36 9.141 -3.53 40.76 40.76 40.76 1.448 1.448 1.396 1.396 -0.11 5.189 17.53 0 -0.12 5.351 5.351 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0 25.36 0 0 -3.53 40.76 40.76 40.76 -0.39 -0.39 -0.42 0 5.189 5.189 6.344 -0.26 -0.21 -0.21 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

6.189 6.189 7.062 7.062 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 -0.26 -0.26 -0.8 -0.8 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 0 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 3.88 3.88 6.344 -0.68 -0.68 -0.99 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 6.189 6.189 6.189 7.062 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 4.204 4.204 0.771 -0.15 -0.15 -0.1 -0.1 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 3.88 0 -0.17 -0.68 -0.68 -0.99 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 6.873 6.873 6.873 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 4.204 0.771 -0.15 -0.15 -0.1 -0.1 0.906 0.906 0.461 0.461 -0.04 -0.04 -0.26 -0.26 -0.65 5.318 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.012 0.012 6.873 6.873 6.873 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -0.07 -0.16 -0.16 -0.16 -0.05 -0.05 7.238 -0.08 -0.05 -0.05 -0.11 -0.11 -0.36 0.302 0.302 -0.65 5.318 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0.208 0 0 0 0 1.14 1.14 1.726 1.595 0 0 7.238 -1.95 3.25 -1.41 0.141 0.141 -0.36 -0.28 -0.28 0 0.816 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0 0 0.208 0 0 0 0 -4.09 -4.09 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 2.018 2.378 3.25 0.015 0.055 0.347 0.277 0.196 0.196 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0.208 0 0 -1.58 0 -4.09 0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.1 0 2.018 2.378 6.7 0.891 0.055 0.347 0.196 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.11 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 0 0 1.599 1.041 0.282 1.856 3.621 3.621 6.023 6.023 11.94 23.2 6.597 6.597 -0.1 -0.1 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.11 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 0 1.556 1.556 4.672 0.709 0.494 0.494 3.621 6.023 6.023 11.94 11.94 9.705 9.705 1.214 1.214 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.09 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0 0 0 0 1.556 1.556 4.672 0.709 0.494 0.494 12.83 12.83 18.29 133.3 295.9 16.37 9.96 1.214 0.041 -0.1 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 0 0 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 12.83 18.9 26.36 125 1.007 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 12.6 12.6 -0.04 -0.58 -0.58 -0.58 -1.31 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 -0.09 4.263 6.727 1.007 1.724 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 37.41 37.41 -0.04 0.098 0.098 0.098 1.552 1.094 0.798 -0.22 -0.16 -0.16 -0.09 -0.05 14.37 9.975 6.727 3.503 3.503 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 13.87 13.87 37.41 37.41 14.26 -2.58 -2.58 -2.58 11.63 1.094 0.798 0.734 -0.16 -0.16 1.322 14.37 15.7 9.975 6.727 3.503 3.503 3.098 1.077 1.077 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 24.53 11.09 14.26 14.26 -2.58 -2.58 -2.58 -1.26 0.802 0.802 0.999 0.999 -0.1 -0.1 0 3.769 1.767 -0.04 3.785 3.785 3.661 3.661 3.661 3.751 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.2 20.47 20.47 -1.17 -1.17 -1.17 -0.06 -0.04 0 0.07 0.876 0 3.769 1.767 -0.03 -0.01 3.785 2.238 2.238 3.751 0 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.2 20.47 20.47 -0.71 -0.71 -0.71 0.002 -0.04 -0.04 -0.08 1.638 1.638 0 2.957 0 -0.03 -0.01 0.222 4.48 2.238 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 -0.05 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.5 19.48 19.48 -1 -1 0.462 -0.21 0.494 0.494 -1.38 -0.08 1.638 19.49 19.49 0.985 0.985 0.009 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.5 19.48 19.48 -1 -1 0.462 0.494 0.494 -1.38 -0.08 3.507 0 6.064 0.985 0.985 0.009 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 11.96 19.48 2.775 23.14 -1.75 0.494 -2.7 -0.08 1.793 8.741 8.741 0 1.568 0.018 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 3.16 3.16 11.94 11.94 0 0 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 11.96 6.689 2.775 23.14 -1.75 -1.75 -2.7 -1.13 -1.13 0.044 -2.35 -2.35 -2.17 -2.17 0 -0.01 -0.01 -1.33 -1.4 0 0 3.16 0.148 11.94 11.94 11.94 12.2 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 -0 6.689 6.689 9.843 9.843 -1.75 -1.75 -1.13 0.044 0.044 -2.35 -3.14 -3.9 -3.9 0 0 0 -1.33 -1.33 0 0 0.148 0.148 14.8 14.8 14.8 17.42 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 6.689 6.689 6.689 9.843 9.843 -1.19 -1.13 -1.13 0.293 0.293 -3.14 -3.14 -3.9 -2.42 0.85 -0.01 -0.01 -1.82 0 -1.91 -1.91 -1.3 0.148 14.8 14.8 14.8 17.42 12.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 0 6.689 6.689 11.95 11.95 9.843 -1.19 -0.68 -1.44 -2.52 0.293 -2.03 -2.03 -2.42 -2.42 0.85 -0 -0 -1.67 -1.67 0 7.72 -2.68 -1.6 21.64 21.64 21.64 17.42 12.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 6.689 11.95 11.95 11.95 12.92 12.92 12.92 23.86 23.86 29.45 0.214 -3.12 99.36 -3.29 -2.54 0 0 -1.8 -1.8 0 9.707 -2.22 -1.78 19.31 12.76 12.76 7.81 7.81 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 5.653 5.653 5.653 13.16 13.16 12.92 29.58 34.71 15.98 15.98 -0.08 -1.63 -2.54 -2.24 -2.24 0 0 -1.1 -1.74 -1.74 -1.56 -2.22 -1.78 19.31 12.76 12.76 7.81 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 5.653 5.653 13.16 13.16 13.16 12.92 21.86 26.75 11.09 11.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -2.24 -2.24 0 0 -1.1 -1.11 -1.3 -1.3 -1.03 -1.03 19.31 12.76 12.76 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 5.653 5.653 10.25 10.25 0 21.86 26.75 11.09 11.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 28.08 5.769 5.769 0 0 21.14 21.14 9.67 9.67 12.74 12.74 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 5.653 10.25 10.25 10.25 16.94 16.94 0 0 5.952 11.1 11.1 28.08 28.08 16.71 5.769 0 0 21.14 21.14 9.67 9.67 12.74 12.74 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 8.571 17.22 17.22 11.19 11.19 11.19 11.19 5.952 11.1 11.1 37.91 37.91 0.154 7.822 0 0 42.83 42.83 13.68 13.68 6.142 6.142 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 8.571 12.65 12.65 14.9 14.9 1E-04 0 5.952 11.1 11.1 37.01 24.04 7.822 7.822 0 32.43 26.75 26.75 5.68 5.68 5.774 5.774 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 0 7E-05 7E-05 0.025 0.025 1E-04 0 4E-04 0 0 -0.02 24.04 8.046 0 0 13.49 5.942 5.942 5E-04 5E-04 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 6E-04 6E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6E-05 6E-05 0.025 1E-04 1E-04 0 4E-04 7E-04 7E-04 0.002 -0 8.046 0 0 13.49 5E-04 5E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Base Case

High Scenario

As evidenced from the population density change figures17 for the Base Case and High Scenario, much of the growth in the Inner City is concen-trated in three areas: Greisbach, Downtown and the University of Alberta (including the proposed South Campus).

Development in Greisbach (Traffic District 9)

The development of the Department of National Defense lands (formerly the Greisbach army base) in Traffic District 9 re-flects a significant proportion of the population growth projected for the Inner City.18

Figure 12Greisbach Compared to Total Inner City Population Growth

Greisbach Other Inner City

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

Base Case High Scenario

In the Base Case, Greisbach is projected to grow by almost 11,000 by 2030. This represents ap-proximately one-third of the total growth pro-jected for the Inner City.

In the High Scenario, the population for Greis-bach is projected to grow by over 12,000. How-

ever, significantly more growth is projected else-where in the Inner City, resulting in population growth for Greisbach in this scenario representing approximately 20 percent of total Inner City population growth.

Downtown Area Development (Traffic Districts 1 & 22)

The downtown area encompasses two Traffic Districts: the CBD19 (Traffic District 1) and the CBD Fringe (Traffic District 22).

With recent residential development in the downtown area and the City of Edmonton's sup-port for policies that encourage redevelopment and densification of existing built up areas (i.e. Smart Choices), it can be expected that there will be growth in both the CBD and CBD Fringe ar-eas.

In the Base Case, the downtown area is projected to grow by almost 11,300 by 2030. In the High



17 All figures representing a change in population density reflects the change in population per hectare over the study period: 2003 to 2030. Generally, the higher the increase in population density the larger the increase in population in the area represented. The maps represent a schematic of the Traffic Zones that underly the Traffic Districts that are outlined in Figure 2.

18 While technically this area falls within the Inner City, the nature of the development approved for Greisbach is more akin to a suburban development.

19 CBD: Central Business District

Scenario, the population for the downtown area is projected to grow by over 19,000.

These projections include the continued develop-ment of new medium and high rise apartments, the development of the CN lands and building of the Grant McEwan student residences on 104 Avenue.

University of Alberta & U of A South Campus (Traffic Districts 2 & 3)

The University of Alberta (U of A) is a dominant factor in Traffic District 2, which also includes the development north of Whyte Avenue and south of the North Saskatchewan River. The U of A is also going to be a significant factor in Traffic District 3 (Southgate) with the development of the proposed South Campus.

University of Alberta

In the Base Case, the population of the University (District 2) & U of A South Campus (Southgate: District 3) are projected to grow by 5,700 by 2030. In the High Scenario this almost doubles to over 9,000. A significant portion of this growth20 is post secondary students, especially for the South Campus in Traffic District 3.

In the Base Case, the U of A South Campus is projected to be established before 2025 and add almost 2,500 to the population of Southgate by 2030. In the High Scenario, development of the South Campus is assumed to start 10 years earlier and total population growth - largely related to this development - is projected to be over 5,000 for Traffic District 3.

Suburban Population GrowthSuburban residential development will drive most of the growth in the City of Edmonton over the forecast period. In the both the Base Case and High Scenario, over 80 percent of the total popu-lation growth is projected to occur in suburban areas. Most of this growth will be the result of new subdivisions and associated housing devel-opment.

In the Base Case, it is projected that the suburban areas will grow by 146,000 by 2030. This repre-sents an increase in the Suburban population of 43 percent.

In the High Scenario, suburban area growth is projected to be just over 226,000 by the end of the forecast period. This is equal to an increase of the existing Suburban population of 67 percent.

Population Growth by Sector

For the purposes of the analysis, the Suburban area has been broken down into five sectors.



20 In the University Traffic District (2), there is also residential growth and development associated with densifica-tion of existing areas through the addition of new high rises along the North Saskatchewan river and redevelop-ment of other residential areas.

Figure 13Suburban Sector Map

The projected population growth of each sector is significant. In both the Base Case and High Sce-nario, each sector is projected to exhibit substan-tial growth over the forecast period.

In the High Scenario, the rate of growth in each sector is substantially above the Base Case pro-jection. However, the Southwest is expected to grow at a somewhat higher rate than other sectors in the High Scenario. this reflects the relative development potential of this area relative to the other sectors as well as the expected timing of when full servicing will be available.



Figure 14Suburban Population Growth by Sector

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

Southeast Southwest NorthwestWest Northeast

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

Southeast Southwest NorthwestWest Northeast

High Scenario

Base Case

Northeast Sector

The Northeast Sector includes the following Traf-fic Districts:• Clareview (12)• Lake District/Pilot Sound (19)• Landbank (29)

• Northeast Edmonton (30)• Cloverbar (31)

In the Base Case, the Northeast Sector is pro-jected to grow by 25,500, reflecting an increase in this area’s total population of 44 percent. Almost all of this growth is expected to occur in the Lake District (Traffic District 19). The neighbourhoods that are expected to experience the most growth are: Pilot Sound, Crystallina Nera, and Joviz / Schonsee. Some areas in Clareview (Traffic Dis-trict 12) are expected to decline somewhat due to the maturation of neighbourhoods in this district.

In the High Scenario, growth is projected to be 38,600, reflecting an increase in this area’s total population of 66 percent. As with the Base Case, almost all of this growth is expected to occur in the Lake District (Traffic District 19), with some significant increase of the population in the neighbourhoods of Pilot Sound, Crystallina Nera, Hollick-Kenyon, Brintnell and Joviz / Schonsee.

Some areas in Clareview (Traffic District 12) are expected to decline slightly in the Base Case due to the maturation of neighbourhoods in this dis-trict.

No development of significance is projected for the Land Bank (District 29) or Northeast Edmon-ton (District 30). Cloverbar (District 31) is pri-marily a non-residential area.



Figure 15Change in the Northeast Sector Population Density



0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.003 0.003 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.002 0.002 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0.75 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 6E-04 6E-04 -0.02 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.06 -0.06 6E-04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.06 -0.06 -0.04 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 0.098 0.098 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 0.002 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 0.098 18.04 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 4.473 4.473 -0.01 0 0 0.002 0.002 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 24.76 11.37 18.04 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 4.473 17.23 17.23 0 2.424 -0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24.76 24.76 11.37 18.04 -4.98 -4.98 -4.98 0.864 18.35 27.54 31.25 4.473 4.473 17.23 17.23 -0.05 0 -0.02 1.05 -0.01 -0.02 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 15.33 12.44 -3.72 -3.72 -5.39 -5.39 -5.39 14.76 0.479 5.795 9.949 11.17 17.74 11.15 11.15 -0.05 -0.05 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 15.33 12.44 -3.72 -3.72 -1.73 -1.73 -1.73 14.76 0.479 5.795 9.949 11.17 17.74 11.15 11.15 -0.05 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 53.64 1.895 8.037 -5.35 46.83 46.83 46.83 0.467 0.467 0.636 0.636 -0.11 3.984 15.28 0 -0.86 2.194 2.194 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 15.92 15.92 8.037 -5.32 35.05 35.05 35.05 0.467 0.467 0.636 0.636 -0.11 5.249 15.28 0 -0.86 2.194 2.194 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 15.92 0 0 -5.32 35.05 35.05 35.05 -0.39 -0.39 -0.42 0 5.249 5.249 4.26 -1.26 -1.12 -1.12 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

3.677 3.677 7.144 7.144 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 -1.46 -1.46 -0.98 -0.98 -1.52 -1.52 -1.52 0 -0.55 -0.48 -0.48 3.723 3.723 4.26 -1.43 -1.43 -2.35 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 3.677 3.677 3.677 7.144 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 2.804 2.804 0.141 -2.63 -2.63 -1.82 -1.82 -0.55 -0.55 -0.48 -0.48 3.723 0 -1.16 -1.43 -1.43 -2.35 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 3.396 3.396 3.396 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 2.804 0.141 -2.63 -2.63 -1.82 -1.82 -0.12 -0.12 -0.09 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.92 -0.92 -1.65 3.761 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.012 0.012 3.396 3.396 3.396 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -0.07 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.07 -0.07 5.015 -0.11 -0.07 -0.07 -0.14 -0.14 -3.21 -2.2 -2.2 -1.65 3.761 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0.111 0 0 0 0 0.689 0.689 1.123 1.226 0 0 5.015 -3.35 2.291 -2.04 -3.08 -3.08 -3.21 -3.02 -3.02 -2.55 0.17 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 -0 0 0.111 0 0 0 0 -4.46 -4.46 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 2.118 1.215 2.291 0.006 0.055 0.347 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0.111 0 0 -1.72 0 -4.46 0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.14 0 2.118 1.215 5.301 0.891 0.055 0.347 -0.2 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.12 -0.11 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 0 0 1.323 -0.37 0.037 0.417 3.529 3.529 3.913 3.913 6.316 19.46 0.608 0.608 -0.1 -0.1 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.12 -0.11 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 0 1.673 1.673 2.038 0.751 0.03 0.03 3.529 3.913 3.913 6.316 6.316 2.295 2.295 1.287 1.287 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.11 -0.11 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 0 0 1.673 1.673 2.038 0.751 0.03 0.03 5.226 5.226 18.11 94.54 162 4.881 6.032 1.287 0.041 -0.1 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 0 0 0 0 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 5.226 11.92 26.5 75.39 0.957 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 11.74 11.74 -0.05 -0.68 -0.68 -0.68 -2.08 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 -0.09 1.962 4.625 0.957 1.537 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 17.93 17.93 -0.05 0.098 0.098 0.098 1.552 0.771 0.081 -0.22 -0.16 -0.16 -0.09 -0.05 12.94 7.798 4.625 1.085 1.085 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 14.02 14.02 17.93 17.93 14.57 -4.71 -4.71 -4.71 11.32 0.771 0.081 0.771 -0.16 -0.16 0.774 12.94 12.3 7.798 4.625 1.085 1.085 -0.24 1.065 1.065 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 23.43 10.79 14.57 14.57 -4.71 -4.71 -4.71 -1.38 0.797 0.797 -0.08 -0.08 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0.802 -0.08 2.281 2.281 2.524 2.524 2.524 3.755 -0.15 -0.15 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 18.48 20.03 20.03 -1.28 -1.28 -1.28 -0.15 -0.04 0 0.07 0.876 0 0 0.802 -0.06 -0.01 2.281 1.232 1.232 3.755 0 -0.15 -0.15 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 18.48 20.03 20.03 -3.41 -3.41 -3.41 -1.78 -0.04 -0.04 -0.08 0.181 0.181 0 -0.12 0 -0.06 -0.01 0.073 2.813 1.232 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 -0.05 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 13.42 6.386 6.386 -2.68 -2.68 0.462 -0.21 0.466 0.466 -2.15 -0.08 0.181 9.994 9.994 0.734 0.734 0.003 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 13.42 6.386 6.386 -2.68 -2.68 0.462 0.466 0.466 -2.15 -0.08 3.108 0 4.822 0.734 0.734 0.003 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 7.298 6.386 2.06 10.65 -2.23 0.466 -4.03 -0.08 0.005 5.324 5.324 0 0.293 0.006 0 0 0 -1.49 0 0 1.687 1.687 9.409 9.409 0 0 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 7.298 4.141 2.06 10.65 -2.23 -2.23 -4.03 -1.45 -1.45 0.044 -2.96 -2.96 -2.36 -2.36 0 -0.01 -0.01 -1.41 -1.49 0 0 1.687 -1.44 9.409 9.409 9.409 7.435 7.435 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 -0 4.141 4.141 4.701 4.701 -2.23 -2.23 -1.45 0.044 0.044 -2.96 -4.84 -4.64 -4.64 0 0 0 -1.41 -1.41 0 0 -1.44 -1.44 11.83 11.83 11.83 11.61 7.435 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 4.141 4.141 4.141 4.701 4.701 -1.51 -1.45 -1.45 -0.13 -0.13 -4.84 -4.84 -4.64 -2.88 0.85 -0.02 -0.02 -2.64 0 -2.69 -2.69 -2.16 -1.44 11.83 11.83 11.83 11.61 12.95 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 0 4.141 4.141 7.291 7.291 4.701 -1.51 -0.76 -1.54 -2.58 -0.13 -2.7 -2.7 -2.88 -2.88 0.85 -0 -0 -2.56 -2.56 0 3.551 -3.52 -2.51 12.31 12.31 12.31 11.61 12.95 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 4.141 7.291 7.291 7.291 12.64 12.64 12.64 19.74 19.74 18.62 0.214 -6.61 88.2 -4.58 -2.95 0 0 -2.58 -2.58 0 7.682 -3.25 -2.72 12.51 12.24 12.24 7.264 7.264 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 1.889 1.889 1.889 7.814 7.814 12.64 29.33 29.58 15.96 15.96 -0.8 -2.46 -2.95 -2.54 -2.54 0 0 -1.17 -2.48 -2.48 -2.31 -3.25 -2.72 12.51 12.24 12.24 7.264 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 1.889 1.889 7.814 7.814 7.814 12.64 7.484 12.78 6.296 6.296 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -2.54 -2.54 0 0 -1.17 -1.65 -1.9 -1.9 -1.64 -1.64 12.51 12.24 12.24 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 1.889 1.889 6.418 6.418 0 7.484 12.78 6.296 6.296 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 21.28 4.908 4.908 0 0 10.15 10.15 6.103 6.103 4.347 4.347 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 1.889 6.418 6.418 6.418 7.278 7.278 0 0 0 8.995 8.995 21.28 21.28 15.84 4.908 0 0 10.15 10.15 6.103 6.103 4.347 4.347 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 2.22 17.34 17.34 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 0 8.995 8.995 13.23 13.23 -1.44 7.422 0 0 34 34 12.72 12.72 5.925 5.925 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 2.22 12.69 12.69 10.94 10.94 1E-04 0 0 8.995 8.995 26.21 8.83 7.422 7.422 0 29.25 17.85 17.85 1.257 1.257 1.278 1.278 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 0 7E-05 7E-05 0.025 0.025 1E-04 0 4E-04 0 0 -0.02 8.83 2.662 0 0 12.54 5.753 5.753 5E-04 5E-04 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 6E-04 6E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6E-05 6E-05 0.025 1E-04 1E-04 0 4E-04 7E-04 7E-04 0.002 -0 2.662 0 0 12.54 5E-04 5E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.001 0.001 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.007 0.007 -0 -0 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.002 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.001 0.001 -0.01 -0.01 1.398 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0.003 0.003 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.05 -0.05 0.003 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.05 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.187 0.187 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 0.005 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.187 20.49 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 8.987 8.987 -0.01 0 0 0.005 0.005 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 25.01 26.92 20.49 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 8.987 23.95 23.95 0 3.376 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25.01 25.01 26.92 20.49 -3.38 -3.38 -3.38 1.785 21.18 29.15 33.66 8.987 8.987 23.95 23.95 -0.03 0 -0.02 1.586 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 31.79 12.05 -2.31 -2.31 -3.71 -3.71 -3.71 18.87 3.159 11.64 11.91 13.99 20.52 32.21 32.21 -0.03 -0.03 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 31.79 12.05 -2.31 -2.31 -1.15 -1.15 -1.15 18.87 3.159 11.64 11.91 13.99 20.52 32.21 32.21 -0.03 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0 53.06 4.911 9.141 -3.74 51.89 51.89 51.89 1.448 1.448 1.396 1.396 -0.11 3.941 17.53 0 -0.12 5.351 5.351 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0 -0 25.36 25.36 9.141 -3.53 40.76 40.76 40.76 1.448 1.448 1.396 1.396 -0.11 5.189 17.53 0 -0.12 5.351 5.351 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0 25.36 0 0 -3.53 40.76 40.76 40.76 -0.39 -0.39 -0.42 0 5.189 5.189 6.344 -0.26 -0.21 -0.21 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

6.189 6.189 7.062 7.062 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 -0.26 -0.26 -0.8 -0.8 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 0 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 3.88 3.88 6.344 -0.68 -0.68 -0.99 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 6.189 6.189 6.189 7.062 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 4.204 4.204 0.771 -0.15 -0.15 -0.1 -0.1 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 3.88 0 -0.17 -0.68 -0.68 -0.99 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 6.873 6.873 6.873 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 4.204 0.771 -0.15 -0.15 -0.1 -0.1 0.906 0.906 0.461 0.461 -0.04 -0.04 -0.26 -0.26 -0.65 5.318 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.012 0.012 6.873 6.873 6.873 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -0.07 -0.16 -0.16 -0.16 -0.05 -0.05 7.238 -0.08 -0.05 -0.05 -0.11 -0.11 -0.36 0.302 0.302 -0.65 5.318 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0.208 0 0 0 0 1.14 1.14 1.726 1.595 0 0 7.238 -1.95 3.25 -1.41 0.141 0.141 -0.36 -0.28 -0.28 0 0.816 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0 0 0.208 0 0 0 0 -4.09 -4.09 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 2.018 2.378 3.25 0.015 0.055 0.347 0.277 0.196 0.196 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0.208 0 0 -1.58 0 -4.09 0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.1 0 2.018 2.378 6.7 0.891 0.055 0.347 0.196 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.11 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 0 0 1.599 1.041 0.282 1.856 3.621 3.621 6.023 6.023 11.94 23.2 6.597 6.597 -0.1 -0.1 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.11 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 0 1.556 1.556 4.672 0.709 0.494 0.494 3.621 6.023 6.023 11.94 11.94 9.705 9.705 1.214 1.214 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.09 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0 0 0 0 1.556 1.556 4.672 0.709 0.494 0.494 12.83 12.83 18.29 133.3 295.9 16.37 9.96 1.214 0.041 -0.1 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 0 0 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 12.83 18.9 26.36 125 1.007 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 12.6 12.6 -0.04 -0.58 -0.58 -0.58 -1.31 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 -0.09 4.263 6.727 1.007 1.724 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 37.41 37.41 -0.04 0.098 0.098 0.098 1.552 1.094 0.798 -0.22 -0.16 -0.16 -0.09 -0.05 14.37 9.975 6.727 3.503 3.503 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 13.87 13.87 37.41 37.41 14.26 -2.58 -2.58 -2.58 11.63 1.094 0.798 0.734 -0.16 -0.16 1.322 14.37 15.7 9.975 6.727 3.503 3.503 3.098 1.077 1.077 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 24.53 11.09 14.26 14.26 -2.58 -2.58 -2.58 -1.26 0.802 0.802 0.999 0.999 -0.1 -0.1 0 3.769 1.767 -0.04 3.785 3.785 3.661 3.661 3.661 3.751 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.2 20.47 20.47 -1.17 -1.17 -1.17 -0.06 -0.04 0 0.07 0.876 0 3.769 1.767 -0.03 -0.01 3.785 2.238 2.238 3.751 0 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.2 20.47 20.47 -0.71 -0.71 -0.71 0.002 -0.04 -0.04 -0.08 1.638 1.638 0 2.957 0 -0.03 -0.01 0.222 4.48 2.238 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 -0.05 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.5 19.48 19.48 -1 -1 0.462 -0.21 0.494 0.494 -1.38 -0.08 1.638 19.49 19.49 0.985 0.985 0.009 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.5 19.48 19.48 -1 -1 0.462 0.494 0.494 -1.38 -0.08 3.507 0 6.064 0.985 0.985 0.009 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 11.96 19.48 2.775 23.14 -1.75 0.494 -2.7 -0.08 1.793 8.741 8.741 0 1.568 0.018 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 3.16 3.16 11.94 11.94 0 0 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 11.96 6.689 2.775 23.14 -1.75 -1.75 -2.7 -1.13 -1.13 0.044 -2.35 -2.35 -2.17 -2.17 0 -0.01 -0.01 -1.33 -1.4 0 0 3.16 0.148 11.94 11.94 11.94 12.2 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 -0 6.689 6.689 9.843 9.843 -1.75 -1.75 -1.13 0.044 0.044 -2.35 -3.14 -3.9 -3.9 0 0 0 -1.33 -1.33 0 0 0.148 0.148 14.8 14.8 14.8 17.42 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 6.689 6.689 6.689 9.843 9.843 -1.19 -1.13 -1.13 0.293 0.293 -3.14 -3.14 -3.9 -2.42 0.85 -0.01 -0.01 -1.82 0 -1.91 -1.91 -1.3 0.148 14.8 14.8 14.8 17.42 12.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 0 6.689 6.689 11.95 11.95 9.843 -1.19 -0.68 -1.44 -2.52 0.293 -2.03 -2.03 -2.42 -2.42 0.85 -0 -0 -1.67 -1.67 0 7.72 -2.68 -1.6 21.64 21.64 21.64 17.42 12.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 6.689 11.95 11.95 11.95 12.92 12.92 12.92 23.86 23.86 29.45 0.214 -3.12 99.36 -3.29 -2.54 0 0 -1.8 -1.8 0 9.707 -2.22 -1.78 19.31 12.76 12.76 7.81 7.81 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 5.653 5.653 5.653 13.16 13.16 12.92 29.58 34.71 15.98 15.98 -0.08 -1.63 -2.54 -2.24 -2.24 0 0 -1.1 -1.74 -1.74 -1.56 -2.22 -1.78 19.31 12.76 12.76 7.81 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 5.653 5.653 13.16 13.16 13.16 12.92 21.86 26.75 11.09 11.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -2.24 -2.24 0 0 -1.1 -1.11 -1.3 -1.3 -1.03 -1.03 19.31 12.76 12.76 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 5.653 5.653 10.25 10.25 0 21.86 26.75 11.09 11.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 28.08 5.769 5.769 0 0 21.14 21.14 9.67 9.67 12.74 12.74 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 5.653 10.25 10.25 10.25 16.94 16.94 0 0 5.952 11.1 11.1 28.08 28.08 16.71 5.769 0 0 21.14 21.14 9.67 9.67 12.74 12.74 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 8.571 17.22 17.22 11.19 11.19 11.19 11.19 5.952 11.1 11.1 37.91 37.91 0.154 7.822 0 0 42.83 42.83 13.68 13.68 6.142 6.142 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 8.571 12.65 12.65 14.9 14.9 1E-04 0 5.952 11.1 11.1 37.01 24.04 7.822 7.822 0 32.43 26.75 26.75 5.68 5.68 5.774 5.774 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 0 7E-05 7E-05 0.025 0.025 1E-04 0 4E-04 0 0 -0.02 24.04 8.046 0 0 13.49 5.942 5.942 5E-04 5E-04 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 6E-04 6E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6E-05 6E-05 0.025 1E-04 1E-04 0 4E-04 7E-04 7E-04 0.002 -0 8.046 0 0 13.49 5E-04 5E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Base Case

High Scenario

Northwest Sector

The Northwest Sector includes the following Traffic Districts:• Northwest Industrial (7)• Mistatim (17)• Castle Downs/Palisades (18)

• Winterburn (28)

In the Base Case, the Northwest Sector is pro-jected to grow by 17,400, reflecting an increase in this area’s total population of 45 percent. Most of this growth (14,100) is projected to occur in Cas-tle Downs/Palisades (District 18), with the re-mainder (3,300) in Winterburn (District 28). This includes the neighbourhoods of: Palisades, Carl-ton, Oxford, Cumberland, Hudson, Rapperswill, Canossa, Chambery, Elsinore, and Big Lake. The other two Traffic Districts in the Northwest Sector are primarily non-residential areas.

In the High Scenario, growth is projected to be 29,100, reflecting an increase in this area’s total population of almost 70 percent. As with the Base Case, almost all of this growth is expected to occur in Castle Downs/Palisades (Traffic District 18). The neighbourhoods experiencing the most significant growth include: Palisades, Carlton, Oxford, Cumberland, Hudson, Rapperswill, Ca-nossa, Chambery, and Elsinore. The Big Lake neighbourhood in Winterburn is also expected to grow at a higher rate in the High Scenario.

In both the Base Case and High Scenario, there is a small expected decline in population of the ma-ture neighbourhoods. The areas north of the transportation/utility corridor have been assumed to be non-residential.



Figure 16Change in the Northwest Sector Population Density



0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.003 0.003 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.002 0.002 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0.75 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 6E-04 6E-04 -0.02 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.06 -0.06 6E-04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.06 -0.06 -0.04 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 0.098 0.098 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 0.002 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 0.098 18.04 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 4.473 4.473 -0.01 0 0 0.002 0.002 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 24.76 11.37 18.04 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 4.473 17.23 17.23 0 2.424 -0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24.76 24.76 11.37 18.04 -4.98 -4.98 -4.98 0.864 18.35 27.54 31.25 4.473 4.473 17.23 17.23 -0.05 0 -0.02 1.05 -0.01 -0.02 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 15.33 12.44 -3.72 -3.72 -5.39 -5.39 -5.39 14.76 0.479 5.795 9.949 11.17 17.74 11.15 11.15 -0.05 -0.05 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 15.33 12.44 -3.72 -3.72 -1.73 -1.73 -1.73 14.76 0.479 5.795 9.949 11.17 17.74 11.15 11.15 -0.05 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 53.64 1.895 8.037 -5.35 46.83 46.83 46.83 0.467 0.467 0.636 0.636 -0.11 3.984 15.28 0 -0.86 2.194 2.194 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 15.92 15.92 8.037 -5.32 35.05 35.05 35.05 0.467 0.467 0.636 0.636 -0.11 5.249 15.28 0 -0.86 2.194 2.194 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 15.92 0 0 -5.32 35.05 35.05 35.05 -0.39 -0.39 -0.42 0 5.249 5.249 4.26 -1.26 -1.12 -1.12 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

3.677 3.677 7.144 7.144 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 -1.46 -1.46 -0.98 -0.98 -1.52 -1.52 -1.52 0 -0.55 -0.48 -0.48 3.723 3.723 4.26 -1.43 -1.43 -2.35 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 3.677 3.677 3.677 7.144 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 2.804 2.804 0.141 -2.63 -2.63 -1.82 -1.82 -0.55 -0.55 -0.48 -0.48 3.723 0 -1.16 -1.43 -1.43 -2.35 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 3.396 3.396 3.396 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 2.804 0.141 -2.63 -2.63 -1.82 -1.82 -0.12 -0.12 -0.09 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.92 -0.92 -1.65 3.761 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.012 0.012 3.396 3.396 3.396 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -0.07 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.07 -0.07 5.015 -0.11 -0.07 -0.07 -0.14 -0.14 -3.21 -2.2 -2.2 -1.65 3.761 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0.111 0 0 0 0 0.689 0.689 1.123 1.226 0 0 5.015 -3.35 2.291 -2.04 -3.08 -3.08 -3.21 -3.02 -3.02 -2.55 0.17 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 -0 0 0.111 0 0 0 0 -4.46 -4.46 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 2.118 1.215 2.291 0.006 0.055 0.347 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0.111 0 0 -1.72 0 -4.46 0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.14 0 2.118 1.215 5.301 0.891 0.055 0.347 -0.2 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.12 -0.11 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 0 0 1.323 -0.37 0.037 0.417 3.529 3.529 3.913 3.913 6.316 19.46 0.608 0.608 -0.1 -0.1 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.12 -0.11 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 0 1.673 1.673 2.038 0.751 0.03 0.03 3.529 3.913 3.913 6.316 6.316 2.295 2.295 1.287 1.287 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.11 -0.11 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 0 0 1.673 1.673 2.038 0.751 0.03 0.03 5.226 5.226 18.11 94.54 162 4.881 6.032 1.287 0.041 -0.1 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 0 0 0 0 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 5.226 11.92 26.5 75.39 0.957 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 11.74 11.74 -0.05 -0.68 -0.68 -0.68 -2.08 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 -0.09 1.962 4.625 0.957 1.537 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 17.93 17.93 -0.05 0.098 0.098 0.098 1.552 0.771 0.081 -0.22 -0.16 -0.16 -0.09 -0.05 12.94 7.798 4.625 1.085 1.085 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 14.02 14.02 17.93 17.93 14.57 -4.71 -4.71 -4.71 11.32 0.771 0.081 0.771 -0.16 -0.16 0.774 12.94 12.3 7.798 4.625 1.085 1.085 -0.24 1.065 1.065 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 23.43 10.79 14.57 14.57 -4.71 -4.71 -4.71 -1.38 0.797 0.797 -0.08 -0.08 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0.802 -0.08 2.281 2.281 2.524 2.524 2.524 3.755 -0.15 -0.15 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 18.48 20.03 20.03 -1.28 -1.28 -1.28 -0.15 -0.04 0 0.07 0.876 0 0 0.802 -0.06 -0.01 2.281 1.232 1.232 3.755 0 -0.15 -0.15 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 18.48 20.03 20.03 -3.41 -3.41 -3.41 -1.78 -0.04 -0.04 -0.08 0.181 0.181 0 -0.12 0 -0.06 -0.01 0.073 2.813 1.232 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 -0.05 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 13.42 6.386 6.386 -2.68 -2.68 0.462 -0.21 0.466 0.466 -2.15 -0.08 0.181 9.994 9.994 0.734 0.734 0.003 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 13.42 6.386 6.386 -2.68 -2.68 0.462 0.466 0.466 -2.15 -0.08 3.108 0 4.822 0.734 0.734 0.003 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 7.298 6.386 2.06 10.65 -2.23 0.466 -4.03 -0.08 0.005 5.324 5.324 0 0.293 0.006 0 0 0 -1.49 0 0 1.687 1.687 9.409 9.409 0 0 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 7.298 4.141 2.06 10.65 -2.23 -2.23 -4.03 -1.45 -1.45 0.044 -2.96 -2.96 -2.36 -2.36 0 -0.01 -0.01 -1.41 -1.49 0 0 1.687 -1.44 9.409 9.409 9.409 7.435 7.435 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 -0 4.141 4.141 4.701 4.701 -2.23 -2.23 -1.45 0.044 0.044 -2.96 -4.84 -4.64 -4.64 0 0 0 -1.41 -1.41 0 0 -1.44 -1.44 11.83 11.83 11.83 11.61 7.435 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 4.141 4.141 4.141 4.701 4.701 -1.51 -1.45 -1.45 -0.13 -0.13 -4.84 -4.84 -4.64 -2.88 0.85 -0.02 -0.02 -2.64 0 -2.69 -2.69 -2.16 -1.44 11.83 11.83 11.83 11.61 12.95 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 0 4.141 4.141 7.291 7.291 4.701 -1.51 -0.76 -1.54 -2.58 -0.13 -2.7 -2.7 -2.88 -2.88 0.85 -0 -0 -2.56 -2.56 0 3.551 -3.52 -2.51 12.31 12.31 12.31 11.61 12.95 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 4.141 7.291 7.291 7.291 12.64 12.64 12.64 19.74 19.74 18.62 0.214 -6.61 88.2 -4.58 -2.95 0 0 -2.58 -2.58 0 7.682 -3.25 -2.72 12.51 12.24 12.24 7.264 7.264 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 1.889 1.889 1.889 7.814 7.814 12.64 29.33 29.58 15.96 15.96 -0.8 -2.46 -2.95 -2.54 -2.54 0 0 -1.17 -2.48 -2.48 -2.31 -3.25 -2.72 12.51 12.24 12.24 7.264 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 1.889 1.889 7.814 7.814 7.814 12.64 7.484 12.78 6.296 6.296 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -2.54 -2.54 0 0 -1.17 -1.65 -1.9 -1.9 -1.64 -1.64 12.51 12.24 12.24 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 1.889 1.889 6.418 6.418 0 7.484 12.78 6.296 6.296 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 21.28 4.908 4.908 0 0 10.15 10.15 6.103 6.103 4.347 4.347 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 1.889 6.418 6.418 6.418 7.278 7.278 0 0 0 8.995 8.995 21.28 21.28 15.84 4.908 0 0 10.15 10.15 6.103 6.103 4.347 4.347 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 2.22 17.34 17.34 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 0 8.995 8.995 13.23 13.23 -1.44 7.422 0 0 34 34 12.72 12.72 5.925 5.925 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 2.22 12.69 12.69 10.94 10.94 1E-04 0 0 8.995 8.995 26.21 8.83 7.422 7.422 0 29.25 17.85 17.85 1.257 1.257 1.278 1.278 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 0 7E-05 7E-05 0.025 0.025 1E-04 0 4E-04 0 0 -0.02 8.83 2.662 0 0 12.54 5.753 5.753 5E-04 5E-04 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 6E-04 6E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6E-05 6E-05 0.025 1E-04 1E-04 0 4E-04 7E-04 7E-04 0.002 -0 2.662 0 0 12.54 5E-04 5E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.001 0.001 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.007 0.007 -0 -0 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.002 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.001 0.001 -0.01 -0.01 1.398 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0.003 0.003 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.05 -0.05 0.003 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.05 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.187 0.187 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 0.005 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.187 20.49 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 8.987 8.987 -0.01 0 0 0.005 0.005 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 25.01 26.92 20.49 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 8.987 23.95 23.95 0 3.376 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25.01 25.01 26.92 20.49 -3.38 -3.38 -3.38 1.785 21.18 29.15 33.66 8.987 8.987 23.95 23.95 -0.03 0 -0.02 1.586 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 31.79 12.05 -2.31 -2.31 -3.71 -3.71 -3.71 18.87 3.159 11.64 11.91 13.99 20.52 32.21 32.21 -0.03 -0.03 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 31.79 12.05 -2.31 -2.31 -1.15 -1.15 -1.15 18.87 3.159 11.64 11.91 13.99 20.52 32.21 32.21 -0.03 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0 53.06 4.911 9.141 -3.74 51.89 51.89 51.89 1.448 1.448 1.396 1.396 -0.11 3.941 17.53 0 -0.12 5.351 5.351 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0 -0 25.36 25.36 9.141 -3.53 40.76 40.76 40.76 1.448 1.448 1.396 1.396 -0.11 5.189 17.53 0 -0.12 5.351 5.351 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0 25.36 0 0 -3.53 40.76 40.76 40.76 -0.39 -0.39 -0.42 0 5.189 5.189 6.344 -0.26 -0.21 -0.21 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

6.189 6.189 7.062 7.062 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 -0.26 -0.26 -0.8 -0.8 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 0 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 3.88 3.88 6.344 -0.68 -0.68 -0.99 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 6.189 6.189 6.189 7.062 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 4.204 4.204 0.771 -0.15 -0.15 -0.1 -0.1 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 3.88 0 -0.17 -0.68 -0.68 -0.99 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 6.873 6.873 6.873 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 4.204 0.771 -0.15 -0.15 -0.1 -0.1 0.906 0.906 0.461 0.461 -0.04 -0.04 -0.26 -0.26 -0.65 5.318 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.012 0.012 6.873 6.873 6.873 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -0.07 -0.16 -0.16 -0.16 -0.05 -0.05 7.238 -0.08 -0.05 -0.05 -0.11 -0.11 -0.36 0.302 0.302 -0.65 5.318 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0.208 0 0 0 0 1.14 1.14 1.726 1.595 0 0 7.238 -1.95 3.25 -1.41 0.141 0.141 -0.36 -0.28 -0.28 0 0.816 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0 0 0.208 0 0 0 0 -4.09 -4.09 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 2.018 2.378 3.25 0.015 0.055 0.347 0.277 0.196 0.196 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0.208 0 0 -1.58 0 -4.09 0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.1 0 2.018 2.378 6.7 0.891 0.055 0.347 0.196 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.11 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 0 0 1.599 1.041 0.282 1.856 3.621 3.621 6.023 6.023 11.94 23.2 6.597 6.597 -0.1 -0.1 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.11 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 0 1.556 1.556 4.672 0.709 0.494 0.494 3.621 6.023 6.023 11.94 11.94 9.705 9.705 1.214 1.214 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.09 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0 0 0 0 1.556 1.556 4.672 0.709 0.494 0.494 12.83 12.83 18.29 133.3 295.9 16.37 9.96 1.214 0.041 -0.1 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 0 0 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 12.83 18.9 26.36 125 1.007 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 12.6 12.6 -0.04 -0.58 -0.58 -0.58 -1.31 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 -0.09 4.263 6.727 1.007 1.724 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 37.41 37.41 -0.04 0.098 0.098 0.098 1.552 1.094 0.798 -0.22 -0.16 -0.16 -0.09 -0.05 14.37 9.975 6.727 3.503 3.503 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 13.87 13.87 37.41 37.41 14.26 -2.58 -2.58 -2.58 11.63 1.094 0.798 0.734 -0.16 -0.16 1.322 14.37 15.7 9.975 6.727 3.503 3.503 3.098 1.077 1.077 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 24.53 11.09 14.26 14.26 -2.58 -2.58 -2.58 -1.26 0.802 0.802 0.999 0.999 -0.1 -0.1 0 3.769 1.767 -0.04 3.785 3.785 3.661 3.661 3.661 3.751 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.2 20.47 20.47 -1.17 -1.17 -1.17 -0.06 -0.04 0 0.07 0.876 0 3.769 1.767 -0.03 -0.01 3.785 2.238 2.238 3.751 0 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.2 20.47 20.47 -0.71 -0.71 -0.71 0.002 -0.04 -0.04 -0.08 1.638 1.638 0 2.957 0 -0.03 -0.01 0.222 4.48 2.238 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 -0.05 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.5 19.48 19.48 -1 -1 0.462 -0.21 0.494 0.494 -1.38 -0.08 1.638 19.49 19.49 0.985 0.985 0.009 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.5 19.48 19.48 -1 -1 0.462 0.494 0.494 -1.38 -0.08 3.507 0 6.064 0.985 0.985 0.009 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 11.96 19.48 2.775 23.14 -1.75 0.494 -2.7 -0.08 1.793 8.741 8.741 0 1.568 0.018 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 3.16 3.16 11.94 11.94 0 0 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 11.96 6.689 2.775 23.14 -1.75 -1.75 -2.7 -1.13 -1.13 0.044 -2.35 -2.35 -2.17 -2.17 0 -0.01 -0.01 -1.33 -1.4 0 0 3.16 0.148 11.94 11.94 11.94 12.2 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 -0 6.689 6.689 9.843 9.843 -1.75 -1.75 -1.13 0.044 0.044 -2.35 -3.14 -3.9 -3.9 0 0 0 -1.33 -1.33 0 0 0.148 0.148 14.8 14.8 14.8 17.42 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 6.689 6.689 6.689 9.843 9.843 -1.19 -1.13 -1.13 0.293 0.293 -3.14 -3.14 -3.9 -2.42 0.85 -0.01 -0.01 -1.82 0 -1.91 -1.91 -1.3 0.148 14.8 14.8 14.8 17.42 12.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 0 6.689 6.689 11.95 11.95 9.843 -1.19 -0.68 -1.44 -2.52 0.293 -2.03 -2.03 -2.42 -2.42 0.85 -0 -0 -1.67 -1.67 0 7.72 -2.68 -1.6 21.64 21.64 21.64 17.42 12.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 6.689 11.95 11.95 11.95 12.92 12.92 12.92 23.86 23.86 29.45 0.214 -3.12 99.36 -3.29 -2.54 0 0 -1.8 -1.8 0 9.707 -2.22 -1.78 19.31 12.76 12.76 7.81 7.81 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 5.653 5.653 5.653 13.16 13.16 12.92 29.58 34.71 15.98 15.98 -0.08 -1.63 -2.54 -2.24 -2.24 0 0 -1.1 -1.74 -1.74 -1.56 -2.22 -1.78 19.31 12.76 12.76 7.81 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 5.653 5.653 13.16 13.16 13.16 12.92 21.86 26.75 11.09 11.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -2.24 -2.24 0 0 -1.1 -1.11 -1.3 -1.3 -1.03 -1.03 19.31 12.76 12.76 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 5.653 5.653 10.25 10.25 0 21.86 26.75 11.09 11.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 28.08 5.769 5.769 0 0 21.14 21.14 9.67 9.67 12.74 12.74 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 5.653 10.25 10.25 10.25 16.94 16.94 0 0 5.952 11.1 11.1 28.08 28.08 16.71 5.769 0 0 21.14 21.14 9.67 9.67 12.74 12.74 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 8.571 17.22 17.22 11.19 11.19 11.19 11.19 5.952 11.1 11.1 37.91 37.91 0.154 7.822 0 0 42.83 42.83 13.68 13.68 6.142 6.142 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 8.571 12.65 12.65 14.9 14.9 1E-04 0 5.952 11.1 11.1 37.01 24.04 7.822 7.822 0 32.43 26.75 26.75 5.68 5.68 5.774 5.774 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 0 7E-05 7E-05 0.025 0.025 1E-04 0 4E-04 0 0 -0.02 24.04 8.046 0 0 13.49 5.942 5.942 5E-04 5E-04 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 6E-04 6E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6E-05 6E-05 0.025 1E-04 1E-04 0 4E-04 7E-04 7E-04 0.002 -0 8.046 0 0 13.49 5E-04 5E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Base Case

High Scenario

West Sector

The West Sector includes the following Traffic Districts:• West Jasper Place (6)• West Edmonton (27)

In the Base Case, the West Sector is projected to grow by 25,400, reflecting an increase in this area’s total population of 39 percent. The major-ity of this growth is projected to occur in West Edmonton (District 27). The neighbourhoods projected to grow most significantly are: Lewis Farms, Suder Greens, Potter Greens, The Grange and The Hamptons. Some new population is projected for West Jasper Place in Donsdale and Cameron Heights.

In the High Scenario, growth is projected to be 39,900, reflecting an increase in this area’s total population of 61 percent. As with the Base Case, almost all of this growth is expected to occur in the West Edmonton (District 27). In addition to the neighbourhoods identified above as experi-encing significant growth, the Rural West neigh-bourhoods in the southeast area of this Traffic District are expected to grow substantially in the High Scenario.

In both the Base Case and High Scenario, there is an expected decline in population of the mature neighbourhoods in the traffic zones that lie east of Anthony Henday Drive.



Figure 17Change in the West Sector Population Density



0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.003 0.003 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.002 0.002 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0.75 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 6E-04 6E-04 -0.02 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.06 -0.06 6E-04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.06 -0.06 -0.04 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 0.098 0.098 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 0.002 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 0.098 18.04 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 4.473 4.473 -0.01 0 0 0.002 0.002 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 24.76 11.37 18.04 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 4.473 17.23 17.23 0 2.424 -0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24.76 24.76 11.37 18.04 -4.98 -4.98 -4.98 0.864 18.35 27.54 31.25 4.473 4.473 17.23 17.23 -0.05 0 -0.02 1.05 -0.01 -0.02 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 15.33 12.44 -3.72 -3.72 -5.39 -5.39 -5.39 14.76 0.479 5.795 9.949 11.17 17.74 11.15 11.15 -0.05 -0.05 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 15.33 12.44 -3.72 -3.72 -1.73 -1.73 -1.73 14.76 0.479 5.795 9.949 11.17 17.74 11.15 11.15 -0.05 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 53.64 1.895 8.037 -5.35 46.83 46.83 46.83 0.467 0.467 0.636 0.636 -0.11 3.984 15.28 0 -0.86 2.194 2.194 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 15.92 15.92 8.037 -5.32 35.05 35.05 35.05 0.467 0.467 0.636 0.636 -0.11 5.249 15.28 0 -0.86 2.194 2.194 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 15.92 0 0 -5.32 35.05 35.05 35.05 -0.39 -0.39 -0.42 0 5.249 5.249 4.26 -1.26 -1.12 -1.12 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

3.677 3.677 7.144 7.144 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 -1.46 -1.46 -0.98 -0.98 -1.52 -1.52 -1.52 0 -0.55 -0.48 -0.48 3.723 3.723 4.26 -1.43 -1.43 -2.35 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 3.677 3.677 3.677 7.144 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 2.804 2.804 0.141 -2.63 -2.63 -1.82 -1.82 -0.55 -0.55 -0.48 -0.48 3.723 0 -1.16 -1.43 -1.43 -2.35 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 3.396 3.396 3.396 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 2.804 0.141 -2.63 -2.63 -1.82 -1.82 -0.12 -0.12 -0.09 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.92 -0.92 -1.65 3.761 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.012 0.012 3.396 3.396 3.396 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -0.07 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.07 -0.07 5.015 -0.11 -0.07 -0.07 -0.14 -0.14 -3.21 -2.2 -2.2 -1.65 3.761 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0.111 0 0 0 0 0.689 0.689 1.123 1.226 0 0 5.015 -3.35 2.291 -2.04 -3.08 -3.08 -3.21 -3.02 -3.02 -2.55 0.17 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 -0 0 0.111 0 0 0 0 -4.46 -4.46 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 2.118 1.215 2.291 0.006 0.055 0.347 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0.111 0 0 -1.72 0 -4.46 0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.14 0 2.118 1.215 5.301 0.891 0.055 0.347 -0.2 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.12 -0.11 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 0 0 1.323 -0.37 0.037 0.417 3.529 3.529 3.913 3.913 6.316 19.46 0.608 0.608 -0.1 -0.1 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.12 -0.11 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 0 1.673 1.673 2.038 0.751 0.03 0.03 3.529 3.913 3.913 6.316 6.316 2.295 2.295 1.287 1.287 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.11 -0.11 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 0 0 1.673 1.673 2.038 0.751 0.03 0.03 5.226 5.226 18.11 94.54 162 4.881 6.032 1.287 0.041 -0.1 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 0 0 0 0 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 5.226 11.92 26.5 75.39 0.957 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 11.74 11.74 -0.05 -0.68 -0.68 -0.68 -2.08 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 -0.09 1.962 4.625 0.957 1.537 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 17.93 17.93 -0.05 0.098 0.098 0.098 1.552 0.771 0.081 -0.22 -0.16 -0.16 -0.09 -0.05 12.94 7.798 4.625 1.085 1.085 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 14.02 14.02 17.93 17.93 14.57 -4.71 -4.71 -4.71 11.32 0.771 0.081 0.771 -0.16 -0.16 0.774 12.94 12.3 7.798 4.625 1.085 1.085 -0.24 1.065 1.065 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 23.43 10.79 14.57 14.57 -4.71 -4.71 -4.71 -1.38 0.797 0.797 -0.08 -0.08 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0.802 -0.08 2.281 2.281 2.524 2.524 2.524 3.755 -0.15 -0.15 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 18.48 20.03 20.03 -1.28 -1.28 -1.28 -0.15 -0.04 0 0.07 0.876 0 0 0.802 -0.06 -0.01 2.281 1.232 1.232 3.755 0 -0.15 -0.15 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 18.48 20.03 20.03 -3.41 -3.41 -3.41 -1.78 -0.04 -0.04 -0.08 0.181 0.181 0 -0.12 0 -0.06 -0.01 0.073 2.813 1.232 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 -0.05 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 13.42 6.386 6.386 -2.68 -2.68 0.462 -0.21 0.466 0.466 -2.15 -0.08 0.181 9.994 9.994 0.734 0.734 0.003 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 13.42 6.386 6.386 -2.68 -2.68 0.462 0.466 0.466 -2.15 -0.08 3.108 0 4.822 0.734 0.734 0.003 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 7.298 6.386 2.06 10.65 -2.23 0.466 -4.03 -0.08 0.005 5.324 5.324 0 0.293 0.006 0 0 0 -1.49 0 0 1.687 1.687 9.409 9.409 0 0 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 7.298 4.141 2.06 10.65 -2.23 -2.23 -4.03 -1.45 -1.45 0.044 -2.96 -2.96 -2.36 -2.36 0 -0.01 -0.01 -1.41 -1.49 0 0 1.687 -1.44 9.409 9.409 9.409 7.435 7.435 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 -0 4.141 4.141 4.701 4.701 -2.23 -2.23 -1.45 0.044 0.044 -2.96 -4.84 -4.64 -4.64 0 0 0 -1.41 -1.41 0 0 -1.44 -1.44 11.83 11.83 11.83 11.61 7.435 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 4.141 4.141 4.141 4.701 4.701 -1.51 -1.45 -1.45 -0.13 -0.13 -4.84 -4.84 -4.64 -2.88 0.85 -0.02 -0.02 -2.64 0 -2.69 -2.69 -2.16 -1.44 11.83 11.83 11.83 11.61 12.95 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 0 4.141 4.141 7.291 7.291 4.701 -1.51 -0.76 -1.54 -2.58 -0.13 -2.7 -2.7 -2.88 -2.88 0.85 -0 -0 -2.56 -2.56 0 3.551 -3.52 -2.51 12.31 12.31 12.31 11.61 12.95 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 4.141 7.291 7.291 7.291 12.64 12.64 12.64 19.74 19.74 18.62 0.214 -6.61 88.2 -4.58 -2.95 0 0 -2.58 -2.58 0 7.682 -3.25 -2.72 12.51 12.24 12.24 7.264 7.264 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 1.889 1.889 1.889 7.814 7.814 12.64 29.33 29.58 15.96 15.96 -0.8 -2.46 -2.95 -2.54 -2.54 0 0 -1.17 -2.48 -2.48 -2.31 -3.25 -2.72 12.51 12.24 12.24 7.264 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 1.889 1.889 7.814 7.814 7.814 12.64 7.484 12.78 6.296 6.296 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -2.54 -2.54 0 0 -1.17 -1.65 -1.9 -1.9 -1.64 -1.64 12.51 12.24 12.24 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 1.889 1.889 6.418 6.418 0 7.484 12.78 6.296 6.296 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 21.28 4.908 4.908 0 0 10.15 10.15 6.103 6.103 4.347 4.347 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 1.889 6.418 6.418 6.418 7.278 7.278 0 0 0 8.995 8.995 21.28 21.28 15.84 4.908 0 0 10.15 10.15 6.103 6.103 4.347 4.347 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 2.22 17.34 17.34 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 0 8.995 8.995 13.23 13.23 -1.44 7.422 0 0 34 34 12.72 12.72 5.925 5.925 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 2.22 12.69 12.69 10.94 10.94 1E-04 0 0 8.995 8.995 26.21 8.83 7.422 7.422 0 29.25 17.85 17.85 1.257 1.257 1.278 1.278 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 0 7E-05 7E-05 0.025 0.025 1E-04 0 4E-04 0 0 -0.02 8.83 2.662 0 0 12.54 5.753 5.753 5E-04 5E-04 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 6E-04 6E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6E-05 6E-05 0.025 1E-04 1E-04 0 4E-04 7E-04 7E-04 0.002 -0 2.662 0 0 12.54 5E-04 5E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.001 0.001 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.007 0.007 -0 -0 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.002 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.001 0.001 -0.01 -0.01 1.398 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0.003 0.003 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.05 -0.05 0.003 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.05 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.187 0.187 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 0.005 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.187 20.49 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 8.987 8.987 -0.01 0 0 0.005 0.005 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 25.01 26.92 20.49 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 8.987 23.95 23.95 0 3.376 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25.01 25.01 26.92 20.49 -3.38 -3.38 -3.38 1.785 21.18 29.15 33.66 8.987 8.987 23.95 23.95 -0.03 0 -0.02 1.586 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 31.79 12.05 -2.31 -2.31 -3.71 -3.71 -3.71 18.87 3.159 11.64 11.91 13.99 20.52 32.21 32.21 -0.03 -0.03 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 31.79 12.05 -2.31 -2.31 -1.15 -1.15 -1.15 18.87 3.159 11.64 11.91 13.99 20.52 32.21 32.21 -0.03 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0 53.06 4.911 9.141 -3.74 51.89 51.89 51.89 1.448 1.448 1.396 1.396 -0.11 3.941 17.53 0 -0.12 5.351 5.351 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0 -0 25.36 25.36 9.141 -3.53 40.76 40.76 40.76 1.448 1.448 1.396 1.396 -0.11 5.189 17.53 0 -0.12 5.351 5.351 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0 25.36 0 0 -3.53 40.76 40.76 40.76 -0.39 -0.39 -0.42 0 5.189 5.189 6.344 -0.26 -0.21 -0.21 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

6.189 6.189 7.062 7.062 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 -0.26 -0.26 -0.8 -0.8 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 0 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 3.88 3.88 6.344 -0.68 -0.68 -0.99 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 6.189 6.189 6.189 7.062 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 4.204 4.204 0.771 -0.15 -0.15 -0.1 -0.1 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 3.88 0 -0.17 -0.68 -0.68 -0.99 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 6.873 6.873 6.873 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 4.204 0.771 -0.15 -0.15 -0.1 -0.1 0.906 0.906 0.461 0.461 -0.04 -0.04 -0.26 -0.26 -0.65 5.318 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.012 0.012 6.873 6.873 6.873 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -0.07 -0.16 -0.16 -0.16 -0.05 -0.05 7.238 -0.08 -0.05 -0.05 -0.11 -0.11 -0.36 0.302 0.302 -0.65 5.318 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0.208 0 0 0 0 1.14 1.14 1.726 1.595 0 0 7.238 -1.95 3.25 -1.41 0.141 0.141 -0.36 -0.28 -0.28 0 0.816 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0 0 0.208 0 0 0 0 -4.09 -4.09 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 2.018 2.378 3.25 0.015 0.055 0.347 0.277 0.196 0.196 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0.208 0 0 -1.58 0 -4.09 0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.1 0 2.018 2.378 6.7 0.891 0.055 0.347 0.196 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.11 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 0 0 1.599 1.041 0.282 1.856 3.621 3.621 6.023 6.023 11.94 23.2 6.597 6.597 -0.1 -0.1 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.11 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 0 1.556 1.556 4.672 0.709 0.494 0.494 3.621 6.023 6.023 11.94 11.94 9.705 9.705 1.214 1.214 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.09 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0 0 0 0 1.556 1.556 4.672 0.709 0.494 0.494 12.83 12.83 18.29 133.3 295.9 16.37 9.96 1.214 0.041 -0.1 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 0 0 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 12.83 18.9 26.36 125 1.007 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 12.6 12.6 -0.04 -0.58 -0.58 -0.58 -1.31 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 -0.09 4.263 6.727 1.007 1.724 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 37.41 37.41 -0.04 0.098 0.098 0.098 1.552 1.094 0.798 -0.22 -0.16 -0.16 -0.09 -0.05 14.37 9.975 6.727 3.503 3.503 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 13.87 13.87 37.41 37.41 14.26 -2.58 -2.58 -2.58 11.63 1.094 0.798 0.734 -0.16 -0.16 1.322 14.37 15.7 9.975 6.727 3.503 3.503 3.098 1.077 1.077 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 24.53 11.09 14.26 14.26 -2.58 -2.58 -2.58 -1.26 0.802 0.802 0.999 0.999 -0.1 -0.1 0 3.769 1.767 -0.04 3.785 3.785 3.661 3.661 3.661 3.751 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.2 20.47 20.47 -1.17 -1.17 -1.17 -0.06 -0.04 0 0.07 0.876 0 3.769 1.767 -0.03 -0.01 3.785 2.238 2.238 3.751 0 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.2 20.47 20.47 -0.71 -0.71 -0.71 0.002 -0.04 -0.04 -0.08 1.638 1.638 0 2.957 0 -0.03 -0.01 0.222 4.48 2.238 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 -0.05 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.5 19.48 19.48 -1 -1 0.462 -0.21 0.494 0.494 -1.38 -0.08 1.638 19.49 19.49 0.985 0.985 0.009 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.5 19.48 19.48 -1 -1 0.462 0.494 0.494 -1.38 -0.08 3.507 0 6.064 0.985 0.985 0.009 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 11.96 19.48 2.775 23.14 -1.75 0.494 -2.7 -0.08 1.793 8.741 8.741 0 1.568 0.018 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 3.16 3.16 11.94 11.94 0 0 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 11.96 6.689 2.775 23.14 -1.75 -1.75 -2.7 -1.13 -1.13 0.044 -2.35 -2.35 -2.17 -2.17 0 -0.01 -0.01 -1.33 -1.4 0 0 3.16 0.148 11.94 11.94 11.94 12.2 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 -0 6.689 6.689 9.843 9.843 -1.75 -1.75 -1.13 0.044 0.044 -2.35 -3.14 -3.9 -3.9 0 0 0 -1.33 -1.33 0 0 0.148 0.148 14.8 14.8 14.8 17.42 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 6.689 6.689 6.689 9.843 9.843 -1.19 -1.13 -1.13 0.293 0.293 -3.14 -3.14 -3.9 -2.42 0.85 -0.01 -0.01 -1.82 0 -1.91 -1.91 -1.3 0.148 14.8 14.8 14.8 17.42 12.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 0 6.689 6.689 11.95 11.95 9.843 -1.19 -0.68 -1.44 -2.52 0.293 -2.03 -2.03 -2.42 -2.42 0.85 -0 -0 -1.67 -1.67 0 7.72 -2.68 -1.6 21.64 21.64 21.64 17.42 12.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 6.689 11.95 11.95 11.95 12.92 12.92 12.92 23.86 23.86 29.45 0.214 -3.12 99.36 -3.29 -2.54 0 0 -1.8 -1.8 0 9.707 -2.22 -1.78 19.31 12.76 12.76 7.81 7.81 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 5.653 5.653 5.653 13.16 13.16 12.92 29.58 34.71 15.98 15.98 -0.08 -1.63 -2.54 -2.24 -2.24 0 0 -1.1 -1.74 -1.74 -1.56 -2.22 -1.78 19.31 12.76 12.76 7.81 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 5.653 5.653 13.16 13.16 13.16 12.92 21.86 26.75 11.09 11.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -2.24 -2.24 0 0 -1.1 -1.11 -1.3 -1.3 -1.03 -1.03 19.31 12.76 12.76 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 5.653 5.653 10.25 10.25 0 21.86 26.75 11.09 11.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 28.08 5.769 5.769 0 0 21.14 21.14 9.67 9.67 12.74 12.74 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 5.653 10.25 10.25 10.25 16.94 16.94 0 0 5.952 11.1 11.1 28.08 28.08 16.71 5.769 0 0 21.14 21.14 9.67 9.67 12.74 12.74 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 8.571 17.22 17.22 11.19 11.19 11.19 11.19 5.952 11.1 11.1 37.91 37.91 0.154 7.822 0 0 42.83 42.83 13.68 13.68 6.142 6.142 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 8.571 12.65 12.65 14.9 14.9 1E-04 0 5.952 11.1 11.1 37.01 24.04 7.822 7.822 0 32.43 26.75 26.75 5.68 5.68 5.774 5.774 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 0 7E-05 7E-05 0.025 0.025 1E-04 0 4E-04 0 0 -0.02 24.04 8.046 0 0 13.49 5.942 5.942 5E-04 5E-04 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 6E-04 6E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6E-05 6E-05 0.025 1E-04 1E-04 0 4E-04 7E-04 7E-04 0.002 -0 8.046 0 0 13.49 5E-04 5E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Base Case

High Scenario

Southwest Sector

The Southwest Sector includes the following Traffic Districts:• Riverbend (4)• Kaskitayo (23)• Heritage Valley (25)

• Windermere (26)

The Southwest is projected to be the fastest growing sector in the City of Edmonton. In the Base Case, this sector is projected to grow by 42,900, reflecting an increase in this area’s total population of 55 percent. This growth is roughly split between three districts: Windermere (Traffic District 26); Riverbend (Traffic District 4); and, Heritage Valley (Traffic District 25).

In the High Scenario, growth is projected to be 67,700, reflecting an increase in this area’s total population of 87 percent. This is over twice the increase projected for the Suburban Areas in total (40 percent). As with the Base Case, this growth is roughly split between three districts: Winder-mere (Traffic District 26); Riverbend (Traffic District 4); and, Heritage Valley (Traffic District 25).

In both the Base Case and High Scenario, there is an expected decline in population of the mature neighbourhoods that are primarily located north (Kaskitayo) and east of the Whitemud (Riv-erbend). The major exception to this is the former Heritage Mall site in Kaskitayo (District 23) where there is a significant increase in population density projected due to redevelopment at this location in both the Base Case and High Scenario.



Figure 18Change in the Southwest Sector Population Density



0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.003 0.003 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.002 0.002 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0.75 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 6E-04 6E-04 -0.02 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.06 -0.06 6E-04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.06 -0.06 -0.04 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 0.098 0.098 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 0.002 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 0.098 18.04 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 4.473 4.473 -0.01 0 0 0.002 0.002 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 24.76 11.37 18.04 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 4.473 17.23 17.23 0 2.424 -0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24.76 24.76 11.37 18.04 -4.98 -4.98 -4.98 0.864 18.35 27.54 31.25 4.473 4.473 17.23 17.23 -0.05 0 -0.02 1.05 -0.01 -0.02 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 15.33 12.44 -3.72 -3.72 -5.39 -5.39 -5.39 14.76 0.479 5.795 9.949 11.17 17.74 11.15 11.15 -0.05 -0.05 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 15.33 12.44 -3.72 -3.72 -1.73 -1.73 -1.73 14.76 0.479 5.795 9.949 11.17 17.74 11.15 11.15 -0.05 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 53.64 1.895 8.037 -5.35 46.83 46.83 46.83 0.467 0.467 0.636 0.636 -0.11 3.984 15.28 0 -0.86 2.194 2.194 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 15.92 15.92 8.037 -5.32 35.05 35.05 35.05 0.467 0.467 0.636 0.636 -0.11 5.249 15.28 0 -0.86 2.194 2.194 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 15.92 0 0 -5.32 35.05 35.05 35.05 -0.39 -0.39 -0.42 0 5.249 5.249 4.26 -1.26 -1.12 -1.12 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

3.677 3.677 7.144 7.144 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 -1.46 -1.46 -0.98 -0.98 -1.52 -1.52 -1.52 0 -0.55 -0.48 -0.48 3.723 3.723 4.26 -1.43 -1.43 -2.35 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 3.677 3.677 3.677 7.144 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 2.804 2.804 0.141 -2.63 -2.63 -1.82 -1.82 -0.55 -0.55 -0.48 -0.48 3.723 0 -1.16 -1.43 -1.43 -2.35 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 3.396 3.396 3.396 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 2.804 0.141 -2.63 -2.63 -1.82 -1.82 -0.12 -0.12 -0.09 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.92 -0.92 -1.65 3.761 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.012 0.012 3.396 3.396 3.396 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -0.07 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.07 -0.07 5.015 -0.11 -0.07 -0.07 -0.14 -0.14 -3.21 -2.2 -2.2 -1.65 3.761 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0.111 0 0 0 0 0.689 0.689 1.123 1.226 0 0 5.015 -3.35 2.291 -2.04 -3.08 -3.08 -3.21 -3.02 -3.02 -2.55 0.17 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 -0 0 0.111 0 0 0 0 -4.46 -4.46 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 2.118 1.215 2.291 0.006 0.055 0.347 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0.111 0 0 -1.72 0 -4.46 0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.14 0 2.118 1.215 5.301 0.891 0.055 0.347 -0.2 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.12 -0.11 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 0 0 1.323 -0.37 0.037 0.417 3.529 3.529 3.913 3.913 6.316 19.46 0.608 0.608 -0.1 -0.1 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.12 -0.11 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 0 1.673 1.673 2.038 0.751 0.03 0.03 3.529 3.913 3.913 6.316 6.316 2.295 2.295 1.287 1.287 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.11 -0.11 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 0 0 1.673 1.673 2.038 0.751 0.03 0.03 5.226 5.226 18.11 94.54 162 4.881 6.032 1.287 0.041 -0.1 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 0 0 0 0 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 5.226 11.92 26.5 75.39 0.957 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 11.74 11.74 -0.05 -0.68 -0.68 -0.68 -2.08 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 -0.09 1.962 4.625 0.957 1.537 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 17.93 17.93 -0.05 0.098 0.098 0.098 1.552 0.771 0.081 -0.22 -0.16 -0.16 -0.09 -0.05 12.94 7.798 4.625 1.085 1.085 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 14.02 14.02 17.93 17.93 14.57 -4.71 -4.71 -4.71 11.32 0.771 0.081 0.771 -0.16 -0.16 0.774 12.94 12.3 7.798 4.625 1.085 1.085 -0.24 1.065 1.065 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 23.43 10.79 14.57 14.57 -4.71 -4.71 -4.71 -1.38 0.797 0.797 -0.08 -0.08 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0.802 -0.08 2.281 2.281 2.524 2.524 2.524 3.755 -0.15 -0.15 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 18.48 20.03 20.03 -1.28 -1.28 -1.28 -0.15 -0.04 0 0.07 0.876 0 0 0.802 -0.06 -0.01 2.281 1.232 1.232 3.755 0 -0.15 -0.15 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 18.48 20.03 20.03 -3.41 -3.41 -3.41 -1.78 -0.04 -0.04 -0.08 0.181 0.181 0 -0.12 0 -0.06 -0.01 0.073 2.813 1.232 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 -0.05 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 13.42 6.386 6.386 -2.68 -2.68 0.462 -0.21 0.466 0.466 -2.15 -0.08 0.181 9.994 9.994 0.734 0.734 0.003 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 13.42 6.386 6.386 -2.68 -2.68 0.462 0.466 0.466 -2.15 -0.08 3.108 0 4.822 0.734 0.734 0.003 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 7.298 6.386 2.06 10.65 -2.23 0.466 -4.03 -0.08 0.005 5.324 5.324 0 0.293 0.006 0 0 0 -1.49 0 0 1.687 1.687 9.409 9.409 0 0 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 7.298 4.141 2.06 10.65 -2.23 -2.23 -4.03 -1.45 -1.45 0.044 -2.96 -2.96 -2.36 -2.36 0 -0.01 -0.01 -1.41 -1.49 0 0 1.687 -1.44 9.409 9.409 9.409 7.435 7.435 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 -0 4.141 4.141 4.701 4.701 -2.23 -2.23 -1.45 0.044 0.044 -2.96 -4.84 -4.64 -4.64 0 0 0 -1.41 -1.41 0 0 -1.44 -1.44 11.83 11.83 11.83 11.61 7.435 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 4.141 4.141 4.141 4.701 4.701 -1.51 -1.45 -1.45 -0.13 -0.13 -4.84 -4.84 -4.64 -2.88 0.85 -0.02 -0.02 -2.64 0 -2.69 -2.69 -2.16 -1.44 11.83 11.83 11.83 11.61 12.95 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 0 4.141 4.141 7.291 7.291 4.701 -1.51 -0.76 -1.54 -2.58 -0.13 -2.7 -2.7 -2.88 -2.88 0.85 -0 -0 -2.56 -2.56 0 3.551 -3.52 -2.51 12.31 12.31 12.31 11.61 12.95 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 4.141 7.291 7.291 7.291 12.64 12.64 12.64 19.74 19.74 18.62 0.214 -6.61 88.2 -4.58 -2.95 0 0 -2.58 -2.58 0 7.682 -3.25 -2.72 12.51 12.24 12.24 7.264 7.264 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 1.889 1.889 1.889 7.814 7.814 12.64 29.33 29.58 15.96 15.96 -0.8 -2.46 -2.95 -2.54 -2.54 0 0 -1.17 -2.48 -2.48 -2.31 -3.25 -2.72 12.51 12.24 12.24 7.264 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 1.889 1.889 7.814 7.814 7.814 12.64 7.484 12.78 6.296 6.296 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -2.54 -2.54 0 0 -1.17 -1.65 -1.9 -1.9 -1.64 -1.64 12.51 12.24 12.24 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 1.889 1.889 6.418 6.418 0 7.484 12.78 6.296 6.296 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 21.28 4.908 4.908 0 0 10.15 10.15 6.103 6.103 4.347 4.347 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 1.889 6.418 6.418 6.418 7.278 7.278 0 0 0 8.995 8.995 21.28 21.28 15.84 4.908 0 0 10.15 10.15 6.103 6.103 4.347 4.347 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 2.22 17.34 17.34 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 0 8.995 8.995 13.23 13.23 -1.44 7.422 0 0 34 34 12.72 12.72 5.925 5.925 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 2.22 12.69 12.69 10.94 10.94 1E-04 0 0 8.995 8.995 26.21 8.83 7.422 7.422 0 29.25 17.85 17.85 1.257 1.257 1.278 1.278 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 0 7E-05 7E-05 0.025 0.025 1E-04 0 4E-04 0 0 -0.02 8.83 2.662 0 0 12.54 5.753 5.753 5E-04 5E-04 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 6E-04 6E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6E-05 6E-05 0.025 1E-04 1E-04 0 4E-04 7E-04 7E-04 0.002 -0 2.662 0 0 12.54 5E-04 5E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.001 0.001 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.007 0.007 -0 -0 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.002 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.001 0.001 -0.01 -0.01 1.398 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0.003 0.003 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.05 -0.05 0.003 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.05 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.187 0.187 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 0.005 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.187 20.49 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 8.987 8.987 -0.01 0 0 0.005 0.005 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 25.01 26.92 20.49 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 8.987 23.95 23.95 0 3.376 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25.01 25.01 26.92 20.49 -3.38 -3.38 -3.38 1.785 21.18 29.15 33.66 8.987 8.987 23.95 23.95 -0.03 0 -0.02 1.586 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 31.79 12.05 -2.31 -2.31 -3.71 -3.71 -3.71 18.87 3.159 11.64 11.91 13.99 20.52 32.21 32.21 -0.03 -0.03 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 31.79 12.05 -2.31 -2.31 -1.15 -1.15 -1.15 18.87 3.159 11.64 11.91 13.99 20.52 32.21 32.21 -0.03 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0 53.06 4.911 9.141 -3.74 51.89 51.89 51.89 1.448 1.448 1.396 1.396 -0.11 3.941 17.53 0 -0.12 5.351 5.351 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0 -0 25.36 25.36 9.141 -3.53 40.76 40.76 40.76 1.448 1.448 1.396 1.396 -0.11 5.189 17.53 0 -0.12 5.351 5.351 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0 25.36 0 0 -3.53 40.76 40.76 40.76 -0.39 -0.39 -0.42 0 5.189 5.189 6.344 -0.26 -0.21 -0.21 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

6.189 6.189 7.062 7.062 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 -0.26 -0.26 -0.8 -0.8 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 0 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 3.88 3.88 6.344 -0.68 -0.68 -0.99 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 6.189 6.189 6.189 7.062 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 4.204 4.204 0.771 -0.15 -0.15 -0.1 -0.1 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 3.88 0 -0.17 -0.68 -0.68 -0.99 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 6.873 6.873 6.873 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 4.204 0.771 -0.15 -0.15 -0.1 -0.1 0.906 0.906 0.461 0.461 -0.04 -0.04 -0.26 -0.26 -0.65 5.318 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.012 0.012 6.873 6.873 6.873 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -0.07 -0.16 -0.16 -0.16 -0.05 -0.05 7.238 -0.08 -0.05 -0.05 -0.11 -0.11 -0.36 0.302 0.302 -0.65 5.318 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0.208 0 0 0 0 1.14 1.14 1.726 1.595 0 0 7.238 -1.95 3.25 -1.41 0.141 0.141 -0.36 -0.28 -0.28 0 0.816 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0 0 0.208 0 0 0 0 -4.09 -4.09 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 2.018 2.378 3.25 0.015 0.055 0.347 0.277 0.196 0.196 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0.208 0 0 -1.58 0 -4.09 0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.1 0 2.018 2.378 6.7 0.891 0.055 0.347 0.196 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.11 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 0 0 1.599 1.041 0.282 1.856 3.621 3.621 6.023 6.023 11.94 23.2 6.597 6.597 -0.1 -0.1 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.11 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 0 1.556 1.556 4.672 0.709 0.494 0.494 3.621 6.023 6.023 11.94 11.94 9.705 9.705 1.214 1.214 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.09 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0 0 0 0 1.556 1.556 4.672 0.709 0.494 0.494 12.83 12.83 18.29 133.3 295.9 16.37 9.96 1.214 0.041 -0.1 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 0 0 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 12.83 18.9 26.36 125 1.007 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 12.6 12.6 -0.04 -0.58 -0.58 -0.58 -1.31 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 -0.09 4.263 6.727 1.007 1.724 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 37.41 37.41 -0.04 0.098 0.098 0.098 1.552 1.094 0.798 -0.22 -0.16 -0.16 -0.09 -0.05 14.37 9.975 6.727 3.503 3.503 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 13.87 13.87 37.41 37.41 14.26 -2.58 -2.58 -2.58 11.63 1.094 0.798 0.734 -0.16 -0.16 1.322 14.37 15.7 9.975 6.727 3.503 3.503 3.098 1.077 1.077 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 24.53 11.09 14.26 14.26 -2.58 -2.58 -2.58 -1.26 0.802 0.802 0.999 0.999 -0.1 -0.1 0 3.769 1.767 -0.04 3.785 3.785 3.661 3.661 3.661 3.751 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.2 20.47 20.47 -1.17 -1.17 -1.17 -0.06 -0.04 0 0.07 0.876 0 3.769 1.767 -0.03 -0.01 3.785 2.238 2.238 3.751 0 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.2 20.47 20.47 -0.71 -0.71 -0.71 0.002 -0.04 -0.04 -0.08 1.638 1.638 0 2.957 0 -0.03 -0.01 0.222 4.48 2.238 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 -0.05 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.5 19.48 19.48 -1 -1 0.462 -0.21 0.494 0.494 -1.38 -0.08 1.638 19.49 19.49 0.985 0.985 0.009 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.5 19.48 19.48 -1 -1 0.462 0.494 0.494 -1.38 -0.08 3.507 0 6.064 0.985 0.985 0.009 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 11.96 19.48 2.775 23.14 -1.75 0.494 -2.7 -0.08 1.793 8.741 8.741 0 1.568 0.018 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 3.16 3.16 11.94 11.94 0 0 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 11.96 6.689 2.775 23.14 -1.75 -1.75 -2.7 -1.13 -1.13 0.044 -2.35 -2.35 -2.17 -2.17 0 -0.01 -0.01 -1.33 -1.4 0 0 3.16 0.148 11.94 11.94 11.94 12.2 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 -0 6.689 6.689 9.843 9.843 -1.75 -1.75 -1.13 0.044 0.044 -2.35 -3.14 -3.9 -3.9 0 0 0 -1.33 -1.33 0 0 0.148 0.148 14.8 14.8 14.8 17.42 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 6.689 6.689 6.689 9.843 9.843 -1.19 -1.13 -1.13 0.293 0.293 -3.14 -3.14 -3.9 -2.42 0.85 -0.01 -0.01 -1.82 0 -1.91 -1.91 -1.3 0.148 14.8 14.8 14.8 17.42 12.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 0 6.689 6.689 11.95 11.95 9.843 -1.19 -0.68 -1.44 -2.52 0.293 -2.03 -2.03 -2.42 -2.42 0.85 -0 -0 -1.67 -1.67 0 7.72 -2.68 -1.6 21.64 21.64 21.64 17.42 12.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 6.689 11.95 11.95 11.95 12.92 12.92 12.92 23.86 23.86 29.45 0.214 -3.12 99.36 -3.29 -2.54 0 0 -1.8 -1.8 0 9.707 -2.22 -1.78 19.31 12.76 12.76 7.81 7.81 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 5.653 5.653 5.653 13.16 13.16 12.92 29.58 34.71 15.98 15.98 -0.08 -1.63 -2.54 -2.24 -2.24 0 0 -1.1 -1.74 -1.74 -1.56 -2.22 -1.78 19.31 12.76 12.76 7.81 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 5.653 5.653 13.16 13.16 13.16 12.92 21.86 26.75 11.09 11.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -2.24 -2.24 0 0 -1.1 -1.11 -1.3 -1.3 -1.03 -1.03 19.31 12.76 12.76 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 5.653 5.653 10.25 10.25 0 21.86 26.75 11.09 11.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 28.08 5.769 5.769 0 0 21.14 21.14 9.67 9.67 12.74 12.74 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 5.653 10.25 10.25 10.25 16.94 16.94 0 0 5.952 11.1 11.1 28.08 28.08 16.71 5.769 0 0 21.14 21.14 9.67 9.67 12.74 12.74 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 8.571 17.22 17.22 11.19 11.19 11.19 11.19 5.952 11.1 11.1 37.91 37.91 0.154 7.822 0 0 42.83 42.83 13.68 13.68 6.142 6.142 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 8.571 12.65 12.65 14.9 14.9 1E-04 0 5.952 11.1 11.1 37.01 24.04 7.822 7.822 0 32.43 26.75 26.75 5.68 5.68 5.774 5.774 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 0 7E-05 7E-05 0.025 0.025 1E-04 0 4E-04 0 0 -0.02 24.04 8.046 0 0 13.49 5.942 5.942 5E-04 5E-04 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 6E-04 6E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6E-05 6E-05 0.025 1E-04 1E-04 0 4E-04 7E-04 7E-04 0.002 -0 8.046 0 0 13.49 5E-04 5E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Base Case

High Scenario

Southeast Sector

The Southeast Sector includes the following Traf-fic Districts:• Mill Woods (15)• South Industrial (16)• Southeast Industrial (20)

• Meadows (21)• Ellerslie (24)

In the Base Case, the Southeast Sector is pro-jected to grow by 33,800, reflecting an increase in this area’s total population of 35 percent. Growth in this sector will be dominated by Ellerslie (Dis-trict 24) and Meadows (District 21).

In the High Scenario, growth is projected to be 51,000, reflecting an increase in this area’s total population of 53 percent. As with the Base Case, this growth is split between Ellerslie (District 24) and Meadows (District 21).

In both the Base Case and High Scenario, there is an expected decline in population of the mature neighbourhoods in Mill Woods (District 15). The other two Traffic Districts in the Southeast Sector (South Industrial and Southeast Industrial) are primarily non-residential areas.

While this growth is substantial, on a percentage basis, the Southeast Sector is will be the slowest growing Suburban area. This is in part due to the maturation of Mill Woods.



Figure 19Change in the Southeast Sector Population Density



0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0 -0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.003 0.003 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.002 0.002 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0.75 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 6E-04 6E-04 -0.02 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.06 -0.06 6E-04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.06 -0.06 -0.04 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 0.098 0.098 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 0.002 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 0.098 18.04 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 4.473 4.473 -0.01 0 0 0.002 0.002 -0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 24.76 11.37 18.04 10.96 11.64 11.64 0.864 18.35 16.62 18.9 4.473 4.473 17.23 17.23 0 2.424 -0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.02 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24.76 24.76 11.37 18.04 -4.98 -4.98 -4.98 0.864 18.35 27.54 31.25 4.473 4.473 17.23 17.23 -0.05 0 -0.02 1.05 -0.01 -0.02 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 15.33 12.44 -3.72 -3.72 -5.39 -5.39 -5.39 14.76 0.479 5.795 9.949 11.17 17.74 11.15 11.15 -0.05 -0.05 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 15.33 12.44 -3.72 -3.72 -1.73 -1.73 -1.73 14.76 0.479 5.795 9.949 11.17 17.74 11.15 11.15 -0.05 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 53.64 1.895 8.037 -5.35 46.83 46.83 46.83 0.467 0.467 0.636 0.636 -0.11 3.984 15.28 0 -0.86 2.194 2.194 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 15.92 15.92 8.037 -5.32 35.05 35.05 35.05 0.467 0.467 0.636 0.636 -0.11 5.249 15.28 0 -0.86 2.194 2.194 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 15.92 0 0 -5.32 35.05 35.05 35.05 -0.39 -0.39 -0.42 0 5.249 5.249 4.26 -1.26 -1.12 -1.12 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

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0 0.012 0.012 3.396 3.396 3.396 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -0.07 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.07 -0.07 5.015 -0.11 -0.07 -0.07 -0.14 -0.14 -3.21 -2.2 -2.2 -1.65 3.761 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 0.111 0 0 0 0 0.689 0.689 1.123 1.226 0 0 5.015 -3.35 2.291 -2.04 -3.08 -3.08 -3.21 -3.02 -3.02 -2.55 0.17 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0 -0 0 0.111 0 0 0 0 -4.46 -4.46 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 2.118 1.215 2.291 0.006 0.055 0.347 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0.111 0 0 -1.72 0 -4.46 0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.14 0 2.118 1.215 5.301 0.891 0.055 0.347 -0.2 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.12 -0.11 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 0 0 1.323 -0.37 0.037 0.417 3.529 3.529 3.913 3.913 6.316 19.46 0.608 0.608 -0.1 -0.1 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.12 -0.11 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 0 1.673 1.673 2.038 0.751 0.03 0.03 3.529 3.913 3.913 6.316 6.316 2.295 2.295 1.287 1.287 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.11 -0.11 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 0 0 1.673 1.673 2.038 0.751 0.03 0.03 5.226 5.226 18.11 94.54 162 4.881 6.032 1.287 0.041 -0.1 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 0 0 0 0 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 5.226 11.92 26.5 75.39 0.957 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 11.74 11.74 -0.05 -0.68 -0.68 -0.68 -2.08 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 -0.09 1.962 4.625 0.957 1.537 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 17.93 17.93 -0.05 0.098 0.098 0.098 1.552 0.771 0.081 -0.22 -0.16 -0.16 -0.09 -0.05 12.94 7.798 4.625 1.085 1.085 1.11 -0.96 -0.96 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 14.02 14.02 17.93 17.93 14.57 -4.71 -4.71 -4.71 11.32 0.771 0.081 0.771 -0.16 -0.16 0.774 12.94 12.3 7.798 4.625 1.085 1.085 -0.24 1.065 1.065 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 23.43 10.79 14.57 14.57 -4.71 -4.71 -4.71 -1.38 0.797 0.797 -0.08 -0.08 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0.802 -0.08 2.281 2.281 2.524 2.524 2.524 3.755 -0.15 -0.15 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 18.48 20.03 20.03 -1.28 -1.28 -1.28 -0.15 -0.04 0 0.07 0.876 0 0 0.802 -0.06 -0.01 2.281 1.232 1.232 3.755 0 -0.15 -0.15 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 18.48 20.03 20.03 -3.41 -3.41 -3.41 -1.78 -0.04 -0.04 -0.08 0.181 0.181 0 -0.12 0 -0.06 -0.01 0.073 2.813 1.232 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 -0.05 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 13.42 6.386 6.386 -2.68 -2.68 0.462 -0.21 0.466 0.466 -2.15 -0.08 0.181 9.994 9.994 0.734 0.734 0.003 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 13.42 6.386 6.386 -2.68 -2.68 0.462 0.466 0.466 -2.15 -0.08 3.108 0 4.822 0.734 0.734 0.003 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 7.298 6.386 2.06 10.65 -2.23 0.466 -4.03 -0.08 0.005 5.324 5.324 0 0.293 0.006 0 0 0 -1.49 0 0 1.687 1.687 9.409 9.409 0 0 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 7.298 4.141 2.06 10.65 -2.23 -2.23 -4.03 -1.45 -1.45 0.044 -2.96 -2.96 -2.36 -2.36 0 -0.01 -0.01 -1.41 -1.49 0 0 1.687 -1.44 9.409 9.409 9.409 7.435 7.435 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 7.298 -0 4.141 4.141 4.701 4.701 -2.23 -2.23 -1.45 0.044 0.044 -2.96 -4.84 -4.64 -4.64 0 0 0 -1.41 -1.41 0 0 -1.44 -1.44 11.83 11.83 11.83 11.61 7.435 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 4.141 4.141 4.141 4.701 4.701 -1.51 -1.45 -1.45 -0.13 -0.13 -4.84 -4.84 -4.64 -2.88 0.85 -0.02 -0.02 -2.64 0 -2.69 -2.69 -2.16 -1.44 11.83 11.83 11.83 11.61 12.95 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 0 4.141 4.141 7.291 7.291 4.701 -1.51 -0.76 -1.54 -2.58 -0.13 -2.7 -2.7 -2.88 -2.88 0.85 -0 -0 -2.56 -2.56 0 3.551 -3.52 -2.51 12.31 12.31 12.31 11.61 12.95 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 4.141 7.291 7.291 7.291 12.64 12.64 12.64 19.74 19.74 18.62 0.214 -6.61 88.2 -4.58 -2.95 0 0 -2.58 -2.58 0 7.682 -3.25 -2.72 12.51 12.24 12.24 7.264 7.264 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 1.889 1.889 1.889 7.814 7.814 12.64 29.33 29.58 15.96 15.96 -0.8 -2.46 -2.95 -2.54 -2.54 0 0 -1.17 -2.48 -2.48 -2.31 -3.25 -2.72 12.51 12.24 12.24 7.264 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 1.889 1.889 7.814 7.814 7.814 12.64 7.484 12.78 6.296 6.296 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -2.54 -2.54 0 0 -1.17 -1.65 -1.9 -1.9 -1.64 -1.64 12.51 12.24 12.24 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 1.889 1.889 6.418 6.418 0 7.484 12.78 6.296 6.296 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 21.28 4.908 4.908 0 0 10.15 10.15 6.103 6.103 4.347 4.347 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 1.889 6.418 6.418 6.418 7.278 7.278 0 0 0 8.995 8.995 21.28 21.28 15.84 4.908 0 0 10.15 10.15 6.103 6.103 4.347 4.347 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 2.22 17.34 17.34 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 0 8.995 8.995 13.23 13.23 -1.44 7.422 0 0 34 34 12.72 12.72 5.925 5.925 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 2.22 12.69 12.69 10.94 10.94 1E-04 0 0 8.995 8.995 26.21 8.83 7.422 7.422 0 29.25 17.85 17.85 1.257 1.257 1.278 1.278 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 0 7E-05 7E-05 0.025 0.025 1E-04 0 4E-04 0 0 -0.02 8.83 2.662 0 0 12.54 5.753 5.753 5E-04 5E-04 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 6E-04 6E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6E-05 6E-05 0.025 1E-04 1E-04 0 4E-04 7E-04 7E-04 0.002 -0 2.662 0 0 12.54 5E-04 5E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

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0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.001 0.001 -0.01 -0.01 1.398 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 0.003 0.003 -0.01 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.05 -0.05 0.003 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.05 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.187 0.187 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 -0.01 0.005 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.187 20.49 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 8.987 8.987 -0.01 0 0 0.005 0.005 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 25.01 26.92 20.49 24.43 15.07 15.07 1.785 21.18 23.36 26.32 8.987 8.987 23.95 23.95 0 3.376 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25.01 25.01 26.92 20.49 -3.38 -3.38 -3.38 1.785 21.18 29.15 33.66 8.987 8.987 23.95 23.95 -0.03 0 -0.02 1.586 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 31.79 12.05 -2.31 -2.31 -3.71 -3.71 -3.71 18.87 3.159 11.64 11.91 13.99 20.52 32.21 32.21 -0.03 -0.03 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 31.79 12.05 -2.31 -2.31 -1.15 -1.15 -1.15 18.87 3.159 11.64 11.91 13.99 20.52 32.21 32.21 -0.03 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0 53.06 4.911 9.141 -3.74 51.89 51.89 51.89 1.448 1.448 1.396 1.396 -0.11 3.941 17.53 0 -0.12 5.351 5.351 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0 -0 25.36 25.36 9.141 -3.53 40.76 40.76 40.76 1.448 1.448 1.396 1.396 -0.11 5.189 17.53 0 -0.12 5.351 5.351 -0.01 -0.01 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0 25.36 0 0 -3.53 40.76 40.76 40.76 -0.39 -0.39 -0.42 0 5.189 5.189 6.344 -0.26 -0.21 -0.21 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0

6.189 6.189 7.062 7.062 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 -0.26 -0.26 -0.8 -0.8 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 0 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 3.88 3.88 6.344 -0.68 -0.68 -0.99 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 6.189 6.189 6.189 7.062 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 4.204 4.204 0.771 -0.15 -0.15 -0.1 -0.1 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 3.88 0 -0.17 -0.68 -0.68 -0.99 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0 0 6.873 6.873 6.873 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 4.204 0.771 -0.15 -0.15 -0.1 -0.1 0.906 0.906 0.461 0.461 -0.04 -0.04 -0.26 -0.26 -0.65 5.318 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.012 0.012 6.873 6.873 6.873 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 -0.07 -0.07 -0.16 -0.16 -0.16 -0.05 -0.05 7.238 -0.08 -0.05 -0.05 -0.11 -0.11 -0.36 0.302 0.302 -0.65 5.318 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0.208 0 0 0 0 1.14 1.14 1.726 1.595 0 0 7.238 -1.95 3.25 -1.41 0.141 0.141 -0.36 -0.28 -0.28 0 0.816 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0 -0 0 0.208 0 0 0 0 -4.09 -4.09 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 2.018 2.378 3.25 0.015 0.055 0.347 0.277 0.196 0.196 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 -0 -0.01 -0 -0 -0 -0 0 0.208 0 0 -1.58 0 -4.09 0 -0.04 -0.04 -0.1 0 2.018 2.378 6.7 0.891 0.055 0.347 0.196 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.11 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0.02 0 0 1.599 1.041 0.282 1.856 3.621 3.621 6.023 6.023 11.94 23.2 6.597 6.597 -0.1 -0.1 0.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.11 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 0 1.556 1.556 4.672 0.709 0.494 0.494 3.621 6.023 6.023 11.94 11.94 9.705 9.705 1.214 1.214 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.09 -0.09 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0 0 0 0 1.556 1.556 4.672 0.709 0.494 0.494 12.83 12.83 18.29 133.3 295.9 16.37 9.96 1.214 0.041 -0.1 -0.06 -0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 0 0 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 12.83 18.9 26.36 125 1.007 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 12.6 12.6 -0.04 -0.58 -0.58 -0.58 -1.31 0.124 0.124 0.51 -0.13 -0.13 -0.09 4.263 6.727 1.007 1.724 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.044 0.044 37.41 37.41 -0.04 0.098 0.098 0.098 1.552 1.094 0.798 -0.22 -0.16 -0.16 -0.09 -0.05 14.37 9.975 6.727 3.503 3.503 1.012 0.538 0.538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 13.87 13.87 37.41 37.41 14.26 -2.58 -2.58 -2.58 11.63 1.094 0.798 0.734 -0.16 -0.16 1.322 14.37 15.7 9.975 6.727 3.503 3.503 3.098 1.077 1.077 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 24.53 11.09 14.26 14.26 -2.58 -2.58 -2.58 -1.26 0.802 0.802 0.999 0.999 -0.1 -0.1 0 3.769 1.767 -0.04 3.785 3.785 3.661 3.661 3.661 3.751 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.2 20.47 20.47 -1.17 -1.17 -1.17 -0.06 -0.04 0 0.07 0.876 0 3.769 1.767 -0.03 -0.01 3.785 2.238 2.238 3.751 0 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.2 20.47 20.47 -0.71 -0.71 -0.71 0.002 -0.04 -0.04 -0.08 1.638 1.638 0 2.957 0 -0.03 -0.01 0.222 4.48 2.238 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 -0.05 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.5 19.48 19.48 -1 -1 0.462 -0.21 0.494 0.494 -1.38 -0.08 1.638 19.49 19.49 0.985 0.985 0.009 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 20.5 19.48 19.48 -1 -1 0.462 0.494 0.494 -1.38 -0.08 3.507 0 6.064 0.985 0.985 0.009 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.01 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 11.96 19.48 2.775 23.14 -1.75 0.494 -2.7 -0.08 1.793 8.741 8.741 0 1.568 0.018 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0 3.16 3.16 11.94 11.94 0 0 -0.01 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 11.96 6.689 2.775 23.14 -1.75 -1.75 -2.7 -1.13 -1.13 0.044 -2.35 -2.35 -2.17 -2.17 0 -0.01 -0.01 -1.33 -1.4 0 0 3.16 0.148 11.94 11.94 11.94 12.2 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 11.96 -0 6.689 6.689 9.843 9.843 -1.75 -1.75 -1.13 0.044 0.044 -2.35 -3.14 -3.9 -3.9 0 0 0 -1.33 -1.33 0 0 0.148 0.148 14.8 14.8 14.8 17.42 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 6.689 6.689 6.689 9.843 9.843 -1.19 -1.13 -1.13 0.293 0.293 -3.14 -3.14 -3.9 -2.42 0.85 -0.01 -0.01 -1.82 0 -1.91 -1.91 -1.3 0.148 14.8 14.8 14.8 17.42 12.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 0 6.689 6.689 11.95 11.95 9.843 -1.19 -0.68 -1.44 -2.52 0.293 -2.03 -2.03 -2.42 -2.42 0.85 -0 -0 -1.67 -1.67 0 7.72 -2.68 -1.6 21.64 21.64 21.64 17.42 12.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 6.689 11.95 11.95 11.95 12.92 12.92 12.92 23.86 23.86 29.45 0.214 -3.12 99.36 -3.29 -2.54 0 0 -1.8 -1.8 0 9.707 -2.22 -1.78 19.31 12.76 12.76 7.81 7.81 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -0 -0 5.653 5.653 5.653 13.16 13.16 12.92 29.58 34.71 15.98 15.98 -0.08 -1.63 -2.54 -2.24 -2.24 0 0 -1.1 -1.74 -1.74 -1.56 -2.22 -1.78 19.31 12.76 12.76 7.81 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 5.653 5.653 13.16 13.16 13.16 12.92 21.86 26.75 11.09 11.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -2.24 -2.24 0 0 -1.1 -1.11 -1.3 -1.3 -1.03 -1.03 19.31 12.76 12.76 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 5.653 5.653 10.25 10.25 0 21.86 26.75 11.09 11.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 28.08 5.769 5.769 0 0 21.14 21.14 9.67 9.67 12.74 12.74 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.01 0.01 5.653 10.25 10.25 10.25 16.94 16.94 0 0 5.952 11.1 11.1 28.08 28.08 16.71 5.769 0 0 21.14 21.14 9.67 9.67 12.74 12.74 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 8.571 17.22 17.22 11.19 11.19 11.19 11.19 5.952 11.1 11.1 37.91 37.91 0.154 7.822 0 0 42.83 42.83 13.68 13.68 6.142 6.142 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 8.571 12.65 12.65 14.9 14.9 1E-04 0 5.952 11.1 11.1 37.01 24.04 7.822 7.822 0 32.43 26.75 26.75 5.68 5.68 5.774 5.774 4E-04 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.007 0.007 0.007 0 7E-05 7E-05 0.025 0.025 1E-04 0 4E-04 0 0 -0.02 24.04 8.046 0 0 13.49 5.942 5.942 5E-04 5E-04 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 6E-04 6E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6E-05 6E-05 0.025 1E-04 1E-04 0 4E-04 7E-04 7E-04 0.002 -0 8.046 0 0 13.49 5E-04 5E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Base Case

High Scenario

Neighbourhood Growth CyclesAs evidenced from the preceding discussion, there are a number of Traffic Districts where there is a projected decline in total population. This result reflects assumptions built into the analysis that reflect the stage of each neighbourhood in the City.

All residential neighbourhoods go through socio-economic and demographic cycles. The nature of changes in these parameters for a neighbourhood depend upon its stage of maturation. • New Development (A): The population of the

neighbourhood is increasing through the devel-opment of vacant lands. New housing gener-ally attracts young families with young chil-dren.

• Growth (B): After the neighbourhood has been fully built out, additional growth occurs as families grow and the number of individuals per dwelling unit increases. Net migration is not a significant factor affecting the population of the area.

• Decline (C): Generally, the families who moved into the neighbourhood continue to live in the neighbourhood and the composition of the neighbourhood is fairly stable; however there is a general decline in population as the children in the area mature and move out of the family home. There is an increasing number of “empty nesters” as children have moved out of the neighbourhood.

• Mature (D, E, F): Generally, the population of the neighbourhood is stable (D), however the extent of net migration will determine if the population of the area increases, decreases or stays the same. Generally, if the area attracts young families (replacing the “empty nesters”) there can be an increase in neighbourhood population (E). In later years this will be rein-forced as families grow. Net in-migration can also be encouraged through redevelopment, especially if density increases (replacing single family units with multi-family units). Where net migration is negative (F), the neighbour-hood will continue to decline in population.



1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46Time

Population

New Development Growth Decline Mature-Decline Mature-Stable Mature-Growth

A B

E

C

FD

Growth to full build out. Growth

primarily due to in-

migration.

After build out, continued growth as young families

have children. Migration not significant.

Decline due primarily to out-

migration of young adults.

Insufficient net in-migration to

maintain population levels.

Positive net in-migration increases

population.

Sufficient net in-migration to

maintain population.

Figure 20Neighbourhood Cycle

G

This is sometimes reinforced by less desirable economic and social conditions in the area.

• Mature Growth (G): A mature neighbourhood which is seen by the market place to be a desir-able location, it can be expected there will be more aggressive in-migration. These areas will increase in population as a result of redevelop-ment and densification activities.

For each traffic zone in the City, an analysis was conducted to identify the stages of each neigh-bourhood over the forecast period. In projecting the various demographic cycles, assumptions were made about where each neighbourhood currently is on the neighbourhood cycle and how it will evolve over the forecast period.

OccupationThe population projections have been further analyzed and allocated to an occupation category.21 The determination of occupation is largely based upon the age cohort analysis. The relationship between age and occupation applied in the analysis as follows:

• Pre-School: Includes all persons aged 0-4 years and a small portion (5%) of persons aged 5-9.

• Kindergarten, Elementary and Junior High School: Includes most (95%) of persons aged 5-9, all persons aged 10-14 and a small propor-tion (7%) of persons aged 15-19.

• Senior High School: Includes over half (57%) of persons aged 15-19.

• Adults: Includes a little over a third (36%) of persons aged 15-19 years and all persons aged 20-64 years.

• Seniors: Includes all persons 65 years and older.

Figure 21Occupation Allocations by Age Cohort

0 - 4 Years

5 - 9 Years

10 - 14 Years

15 - 19 Years

20 - 24 Years

25 - 29 Years

30 - 34 Years

35 - 39 Years

40 - 44 Years

45 - 49 Years

50 - 54 Years

55 - 59 Years

60 - 64 Years

65+ Years

Pre-School

Kindergarten /Elementary /Junior High

High School

Adults:• Post-Secondary

• Workers (at home & not athome)

• Adult Institutional• Adult Other

Seniors Workers

NotWorking /Retired

OccupationAge Category

Adults can be allocated to one of four categories:22

• Post Secondary

• Employed (Workers)• Institutional• Other

Similarly, Seniors can also be employed or not working (i.e. retired).

Occupation Projections

The single largest occupation category is adult workers, which includes 322,000 residents of Edmonton and comprises an estimated 46 percent



21 Some occupation categories do not conform to the typical definition of occupation, however, for consistency of analysis, the entire population has been incorporated into an “occupation” category.

22 It is recognized that Adults, Seniors and some persons in their teens may be actively engaged in multiple occupa-tions (e.g. going to university and working). Each person in the analysis is assigned a single occupation that re-flects their primary or predominant activity.

of the total 2003 population. The next largest occupation category is children in school (Kin-dergarten, Elementary, Junior High and High School) comprising almost 110,000 people and representing 16 percent of the total population. In 2003, all the other occupation categories comprise less than 15 percent of the total population.

Change in Occupation

There are a number of significant changes in the occupation of City of Edmonton residents over the forecast period.• Seniors: The number of seniors more than

doubles in both the Base Case and High Sce-nario. Seniors change from being the fourth largest occupation category in 2003 to the sec-ond largest in both scenarios by 2030.

• Adult Workers:23 Over the forecast period, the number of adult workers increases at a rate somewhat slower than the population as a whole. However, because of the size of this occupation category, its increase is significant. In the Base Case, the number of Adult Workers increases by almost 47,000 and in the High Scenario by over 95,000.

• Post Secondary Students: The number of Post Secondary students is projected to grow faster than the population as a whole.24 In the Base case, the increase in Post Secondary stu-dents between 2003 and 2030 is forecast to be 33 percent (compared to 26 percent for the population as a whole) and 49 percent in the High Scenario (compared to 40 percent for the population as a whole).

• Pre-School: The number of Pre-School chil-dren increases in both scenarios, but at a rate significantly below that for the population as a whole.



23 Adult workers only includes persons engaged in the work force between the ages 15 to 64. The analysis provides a projection of the number of Seniors working which is documented in the Technical Report.

24 Alberta Learning, Alberta’s Post Secondary Education System: Issues and Considerations, September, 2001.

Figure 22Change in Occupation 2003 to 2030

- 100 200 300 400 500

Pre-School

K/Elem/Jr High

Senior High


Adult Workers

Adult Other

AdultInstitution

Seniors 65+


2003 2030

- 100 200 300 400 500

Pre-School

K/Elem/Jr High

Senior High


Adult Workers

Adult Other

Adult Institution

Seniors 65+



Base Case

• Kindergarten, Elementary and Junior High School: As with Pre-School children, this oc-cupation group increases in both scenarios, but at a rate significantly below that for the popula-tion as a whole.

• Senior High School: In the Base Case, the number of Senior High School students de-creases by 3.9 percent. In the High Scenario, this is reversed, with the number of High School students increasing by 3.8 percent.

• Adult Institution: This includes the number of adults residing in institutions (e.g. hospitals, jail, etc.). It has been assumed that Adult In-stitutional populations increase proportionally with the change in the total size of the adult population (persons aged 15 to 64 years).

• Adult Other: This category includes Adults not otherwise engaged in work, employment or residing in an institution. It is expected to in-crease modestly over the forecast period for both the Base and High Scenarios.

School Age Children

Of particular interest to those engaged in the de-livery of primary education is not only how many children there are of school age, but where they reside.

The geographic location of changes in school age children exhibits a strong pattern which parallels the neighbourhood cycle. Based on this analysis, it is projected that there will be an increase in school age children in the inner core areas of the



Figure 23Change in the Population of School Age Children (K-12)

Less than -250 250 to 500 -250 to -10 500 to 750 -10 to 10 750 to 1000 10 to 250 More than 1000

Change in Population 2003 to 2030

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.328 0 0 -0.52 -0.52 -0.89 -0.89 0 0 -0.63 -0.63 -0.63 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.328 -0.3 -0.3 -0.63 -0.63 0.261 0.261 -0.48 -0.48 -1.24 -1.24 -1.24 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.42 -0.42 -1.24 -1.24 -0.89 -0.89 -0.42 -0.42 -0.11 -0.11 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.3 -0.3 -0.8 -0.8 0.191 0.191 -0.3 -0.3 -0.11 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.13 -1.13 -0.52 -0.52 0.328 0.328 -0.4 -0.4 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.54 -0.54 -0.48 -0.48 0.004 0.004 0 7E-04 -0.52 -0.52 -0.52 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.12 -0.89 -0.89 -0.63 -0.63 -0.61 -0.61 7E-04 2.648 -0.52 -0.52 -0.52 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.12 -0.05 -0.05 -1.54 -1.54 -0.61 0.022 7E-04 2.648 -0.7 -0.7 -2.51 -2.51

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.12 -0.05 -0.05 -1.54 -1.54 0.022 0.022 2.648 2.648 -0.7 -0.7 -2.51 -2.51

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.63 -0.63 -0.89 -0.89 0 0.163 0.163 0.023 2.092 2.092 -4.18 -4.58 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.63 -0.63 -0.89 0 0 0.163 0.163 0.023 2.092 -4.18 -4.18 -4.58 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.57 -2.57 0 0 208 137.8 137.8 -416 382.8 334.3 292.6 194.3 -0.63 -0.89 -0.89 0 0 0.163 0.519 0.023 -4.18 -4.18 -4.18 -4.58 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.57 -2.57 0 342.7 208 137.8 137.8 -416 382.8 334.3 292.6 194.3 194.3 194.3 -0.89 0 0 0.519 0.519 -4.58 -4.18 -4.18 -4.18 -4.58 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.57 418.5 196.8 342.7 208 137.8 137.8 -416 382.8 334.3 292.6 194.3 194.3 292.3 292.3 0 0 0.023 -4.58 -4.58 -4.18 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 418.5 418.5 196.8 342.7 -498 -498 -498 -416 382.8 277.2 215.7 194.3 194.3 292.3 292.3 -6.9 0 0.023 -40 -8.9 -4.18 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.24 -1.24 305.7 106.4 -700 -700 -439 -439 -439 271.6 -244 -60.1 -44 -14.5 242 245.7 245.7 -6.9 -6.9 -15.4 -15.4 -8.9 -8.9 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.24 -1.24 -1.24 305.7 106.4 -700 -700 -190 -190 -190 271.6 -244 -60.1 -44 -14.5 242 245.7 245.7 -6.9 0 -15.4 -15.4 -8.9 -8.9 -8.9 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.27 -1.24 -1.24 -1.24 469.5 -85.3 73.6 -371 605.4 605.4 605.4 -401 -401 -452 -452 -126 -128 186.2 0 -226 -275 -275 -15.4 -8.9 -8.9 -8.9 -8.9 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.27 -1.27 -1.27 -1.24 -1.24 204.1 204.1 73.6 -362 697.3 697.3 697.3 -401 -401 -452 -452 -126 -70.7 186.2 0 -226 -275 -275 -8.9 -8.9 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 -1.27 -1.27 -1.27 -1.27 -1.27 -1.24 204.1 0 0 -362 697.3 697.3 697.3 -113 -113 11.87 0 -70.7 -70.7 92.97 -232 -315 -315 -7.23 -7.23 0 0 0 0

98.93 98.93 195.2 195.2 0.239 -1.24 -1.24 -1.24 -1.24 0 -109 -109 -98.2 -98.2 -63.9 -63.9 -63.9 0 -84 -72 -72 -81.8 -81.8 92.97 -456 -456 -317 -7.23 -7.23 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -3.21 0 98.93 98.93 98.93 195.2 0.239 0.239 0.239 -1.24 -1.24 -1.24 0 -53.6 -53.6 -131 -210 -210 -198 -198 -84 -84 -72 -72 -81.8 0 -179 -456 -456 -317 -7.23 -7.23 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -3.21 0 99.24 99.24 99.24 -7.58 -7.58 -7.58 0 0 -1.24 -1.24 0 0 -53.6 -131 -210 -210 -198 -198 -187 -187 -231 -231 -4.4 -4.4 -272 -272 -167 3.435 -7.23 -7.23 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -9.32 -9.32 99.24 99.24 99.24 -7.58 -7.58 -7.58 0 0 0 0 0.023 0.023 -1.95 -1.95 -1.95 -0.9 -0.9 173.4 -0.72 -1.03 -1.03 -2.27 -2.27 -134 -119 -119 -167 3.435 -7.23 -7.23 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0.188 -1.14 -1.14 -1.14 -7.58 -7.58 -7.58 0 0 0 0 0 -59.8 -59.8 -64.9 -54.8 0 0 173.4 -118 -98.7 -60.7 -195 -195 -134 -159 -159 -213 -286 -7.23 -7.23 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0.188 -1.14 -1.14 -1.14 0 -0.63 0 0 0 0 0 0 -127 -127 116.1 116.1 0 0 15.02 -228 -98.7 -0.68 48.55 -18.8 -39.2 -38.1 -38.1 -286 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0.188 -1.14 -1.32 -1.32 -0.63 -0.63 0 0 0 0 -15.2 0 -127 0 116.1 116.1 18.81 0 15.02 -228 -40.4 16.97 48.55 -18.8 -38.1 -286 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -3.03 -71.7 -1.32 -1.32 -1.32 -0.63 -0.63 0.023 0 0 -72.9 2.123 -47.9 -39.6 132.3 132.3 305.5 305.5 145.9 0 -5.04 -5.04 -95.8 -95.8 -286 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -3.03 -71.7 -1.22 -1.22 -1.23 -1.37 -1.37 0.023 0 -65.5 -65.5 -63.6 -52.5 -133 -133 132.3 305.5 305.5 145.9 145.9 170.1 170.1 70.79 70.79 -95.8 -95.8 -95.8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -4.69 -4.69 -1.22 -1.22 -1.23 0 0 0 0 -65.5 -65.5 -63.6 -52.5 -133 -133 793.5 793.5 398 225.4 411.1 83.26 19.66 70.79 14.79 -65 -113 -113 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -2.11 -2.11 -3.17 -3.17 -3.17 0 0 -5.96 0 -28 -28 -114 -110 -110 793.5 506.6 179 481.7 7.83 -44.7 -152 -152 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.743 0.743 199.8 199.8 -3.17 -492 -492 -492 90.6 -28 -28 -114 -110 -110 -18 59.71 449.6 7.83 55.9 -44.7 -152 -152 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.743 0.743 277 277 -3.17 -352 -352 -352 -28.7 -48.2 -71.7 -48.5 -133 -133 -18 -2.45 449.9 171.7 449.6 13.78 13.78 -44.7 -152 -152 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 196.3 196.3 277 277 280.1 -525 -525 -525 82.27 -48.2 -71.7 -8.49 -133 -133 0 449.9 358.5 171.7 449.6 13.78 13.78 36.38 -23.5 -23.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 292.5 89.07 280.1 280.1 -525 -525 -525 -204 -128 -128 -28.5 -28.5 -180 -180 -48.9 109.8 287.4 -0.95 108.6 108.6 75.05 75.05 75.05 52.58 -12.6 -12.6 0 0 0 -1.24 -1.24 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 341.4 752.7 752.7 -617 -617 -617 -35.6 -110 -49.3 -68.7 -36.6 -48.9 109.8 287.4 -1.08 0 108.6 -9.31 -9.31 52.58 0 -12.6 -12.6 0 0 0 -1.24 -1.24 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 341.4 752.7 752.7 -556 -556 -556 -12 -110 -110 -100 -26.3 -26.3 0 -18.5 35.16 -1.08 0 -86.8 0.245 -9.31 0 0 0.069 0.069 0 0 0 -124 -1.24 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 245.5 180.2 180.2 -391 -391 -213 -142 -233 -233 -151 -100 -26.3 0 0 3.583 3.583 0.328 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.24 -1.24 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 245.5 180.2 180.2 -391 -391 -213 -233 -233 -151 -100 39.87 0 13.96 3.583 3.583 0.328 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.24 -1.24 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 183.9 183.9 180.2 -177 104.8 -425 -233 -176 -100 -29.3 -75.6 -75.6 0 -32.6 0.328 0 0 0 -147 -305 -305 -295 -295 -141 -141 0 0 -1.24 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 183.9 183.9 191.4 -177 104.8 -425 -425 -176 -449 -449 -71.3 -226 -226 0.325 0.325 -0.43 0.026 0.026 -250 -147 -305 -305 -295 -797 -141 -141 -141 182.2 182.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 183.9 -2.38 191.4 191.4 245.5 245.5 -425 -425 -449 -71.3 -71.3 -226 -277 -248 -248 -0.43 0 0 -250 -250 -305 -305 -797 -797 220.4 220.4 220.4 341.8 182.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -2.38 -2.38 191.4 191.4 191.4 245.5 245.5 -214 -449 -449 -32.3 -32.3 -277 -277 -248 -95.3 5.653 0.139 0.139 -388 -125 -343 -343 -381 -797 220.4 220.4 220.4 341.8 194.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -2.38 0 191.4 191.4 182.5 182.5 245.5 -214 -120 -152 -100 -32.3 -217 -217 -95.3 -95.3 5.653 0.026 0.026 -218 -218 -260 -28.4 -344 -319 414.1 414.1 414.1 341.8 194.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 191.4 182.5 182.5 182.5 407.6 407.6 407.6 318.9 318.9 233.1 -48.3 -287 440.3 -67.6 -244 0 0 -289 -289 0 104.3 -381 -448 291 291.2 291.2 197.5 197.5 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -1.26 -1.26 87.59 87.59 87.59 354.7 354.7 407.6 464.5 451.2 259.7 259.7 -500 -6.51 -244 -197 -197 0 0 -249 -249 -249 -306 -381 -448 291 291.2 291.2 197.5 -0.74 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 87.59 87.59 354.7 354.7 354.7 407.6 104.8 245.5 182.5 182.5 -500 -500 -500 -197 -197 0 0 -249 -317 -486 -486 -583 -583 291 291.2 291.2 -0.74 -0.74 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -22.2 -22.2 87.59 87.59 345.5 345.5 0 104.8 245.5 182.5 182.5 -500 -500 -500 567.3 73.27 73.27 0 0 362.6 362.6 161 161 104.3 104.3 0 0 0 -0.74 -0.74 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -22.2 -22.2 87.59 345.5 345.5 345.5 197 197 0 0 0 421.4 421.4 567.3 567.3 148.5 73.27 0 0 362.6 362.6 161 161 104.3 104.3 0 0 0 -0.74 -0.74 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -3.56 -3.56 -3.56 48.43 292.5 292.5 290.8 290.8 290.8 290.8 0 421.4 421.4 246.5 246.5 -2.05 211 0 0 658.9 658.9 245.7 245.7 103.3 103.3 -0.78 -0.78 -0.78 -0.74 -0.74 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -3.56 -3.56 -3.56 48.43 194.5 194.5 181.9 181.9 -0.91 0 0 421.4 421.4 341.4 98.56 211 211 0 472.2 341.4 341.4 19.21 19.21 19.21 19.21 -0.78 -0.78 -0.78 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -3.56 -3.56 -3.56 0 -0.91 -0.91 -0.84 -0.84 -0.91 0 -0.81 0 0 -0.41 98.56 33.39 0 0 245.5 124.8 124.8 -0.78 -0.78 -0.66 -0.66 -4.55 -4.55 -4.55 -0.88 -0.88 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.91 -0.91 -0.84 -0.91 -0.91 0 -0.81 -0.2 -0.2 -0.27 -0.8 33.39 0 0 245.5 -1.09 -1.09 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.09 -1.09 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.382 0 0 -0.48 -0.48 -0.78 -0.78 0 0 -0.48 -0.48 -0.48 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.382 -0.24 -0.24 -0.48 -0.48 0.304 0.304 -0.42 -0.42 -1.07 -1.07 -1.07 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.37 -0.37 -1.07 -1.07 -0.78 -0.78 -0.37 -0.37 -0.02 -0.02 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.24 -0.24 -0.74 -0.74 0.222 0.222 -0.24 -0.24 -0.02 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.03 -1.03 -0.48 -0.48 0.382 0.382 -0.32 -0.32 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.44 -0.44 -0.42 -0.42 0.005 0.005 0 0.265 -0.48 -0.48 -0.48 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.19 -0.78 -0.78 -0.48 -0.48 -0.52 -0.52 0.265 2.898 -0.48 -0.48 -0.48 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.19 -0.01 -0.01 -1.3 -1.3 -0.52 0.077 0.265 2.898 -0.41 -0.41 -2.27 -2.27

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.19 -0.01 -0.01 -1.3 -1.3 0.077 0.077 2.898 2.898 -0.41 -0.41 -2.27 -2.27

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.48 -0.48 -0.78 -0.78 0 0.191 0.191 0.342 2.284 2.284 -3.84 -4.17 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.48 -0.48 -0.78 0 0 0.191 0.191 0.342 2.284 -3.84 -3.84 -4.17 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.55 -2.55 0 0 468.5 252.3 252.3 -370 480.6 473.4 413.4 412 -0.48 -0.78 -0.78 0 0 0.191 0.604 0.342 -3.84 -3.84 -3.84 -4.17 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.55 -2.55 0 411.1 468.5 252.3 252.3 -370 480.6 473.4 413.4 412 412 412 -0.78 0 0 0.604 0.604 -4.17 -3.84 -3.84 -3.84 -4.17 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.55 412 412 411.1 468.5 252.3 252.3 -370 480.6 473.4 413.4 412 412 412 412 0 0 0.027 -4.17 -4.17 -3.84 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 412 412 412 411.1 -451 -451 -451 -370 480.6 300.4 240.4 412 412 412 412 -5.93 0 0.027 -29.9 -8.17 -3.84 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.07 -1.07 601.2 120.8 -634 -634 -396 -396 -396 378.7 -180 43.37 4.406 53.96 319.5 635.9 635.9 -5.93 -5.93 -15 -15 -8.17 -8.17 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.07 -1.07 -1.07 601.2 120.8 -634 -634 -163 -163 -163 378.7 -180 43.37 4.406 53.96 319.5 635.9 635.9 -5.93 0 -15 -15 -8.17 -8.17 -8.17 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.12 -1.07 -1.07 -1.07 476.8 -37.2 79.57 -329 690.7 690.7 690.7 -363 -363 -413 -413 -118 -113 219.5 0 -203 -188 -188 -15 -8.17 -8.17 -8.17 -8.17 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.12 -1.12 -1.12 -1.07 -1.07 344.7 344.7 79.57 -326 797.7 797.7 797.7 -363 -363 -413 -413 -118 -50.7 219.5 0 -203 -188 -188 -8.17 -8.17 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 -1.12 -1.12 -1.12 -1.12 -1.12 -1.07 344.7 0 0 -326 797.7 797.7 797.7 -103 -103 20.64 0 -50.7 -50.7 142.4 -211 -289 -289 -6.61 -6.61 0 0 0 0

161.8 161.8 182.8 182.8 0.278 -1.07 -1.07 -1.07 -1.07 0 -75.9 -75.9 -85.4 -85.4 -24.1 -24.1 -24.1 0 -68.9 -56.2 -56.2 -51.3 -51.3 142.4 -420 -420 -274 -6.61 -6.61 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -3.04 0 161.8 161.8 161.8 182.8 0.278 0.278 0.278 -1.07 -1.07 -1.07 0 -37.5 -37.5 -115 -143 -143 -151 -151 -68.9 -68.9 -56.2 -56.2 -51.3 0 -161 -420 -420 -274 -6.61 -6.61 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -3.04 0 182.4 182.4 182.4 -6.75 -6.75 -6.75 0 0 -1.07 -1.07 0 0 -37.5 -115 -143 -143 -151 -151 -150 -150 -205 -205 -3.79 -3.79 -242 -242 -144 35.41 -6.61 -6.61 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -8.78 -8.78 182.4 182.4 182.4 -6.75 -6.75 -6.75 0 0 0 0 0.027 0.027 -1.83 -1.83 -1.83 -0.68 -0.68 220.2 -0.47 -0.81 -0.81 -1.88 -1.88 -82.2 -86.7 -86.7 -144 35.41 -6.61 -6.61 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0.269 -1.02 -1.02 -1.02 -6.75 -6.75 -6.75 0 0 0 0 0 -44.9 -44.9 -46.5 -45.3 0 0 220.2 -98.9 -64.1 -51.9 -127 -127 -82.2 -105 -105 -187 -255 -6.61 -6.61 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0.269 -1.02 -1.02 -1.02 0 -0.59 0 0 0 0 0 0 -114 -114 137.4 137.4 0 0 20.76 -181 -64.1 -0.6 51.09 -15.6 -23 -20.9 -20.9 -255 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0.269 -1.02 -1.26 -1.26 -0.59 -0.59 0 0 0 0 -14.2 0 -114 0 137.4 137.4 23.36 0 20.76 -181 -3.09 23.3 51.09 -15.6 -20.9 -255 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -2.68 -65.4 -1.26 -1.26 -1.26 -0.59 -0.59 0.027 0 0 -63.3 19.03 -39.3 -18.3 159.6 159.6 396.3 396.3 237.4 0 107.9 107.9 -87.6 -87.6 -255 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -2.68 -65.4 -1.04 -1.04 -1.05 -1.28 -1.28 0.027 0 -49 -49 -24.3 -44.6 -110 -110 159.6 396.3 396.3 237.4 237.4 245.1 245.1 83.79 83.79 -87.6 -87.6 -87.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -4.18 -4.18 -1.04 -1.04 -1.05 0 0 0 0 -49 -49 -24.3 -44.6 -110 -110 959.4 959.4 417.5 344.5 626.3 134.6 70.89 83.79 21.69 -58.5 -104 -104 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 -1.88 -1.88 -2.68 -2.68 -2.68 0 0 -5.59 0 -13.2 -13.2 -103 -102 -102 959.4 598.4 186.6 565.7 11.01 -34.4 -90.6 -90.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.85 0.85 216.7 216.7 -2.68 -470 -470 -470 103.4 -13.2 -13.2 -103 -102 -102 -14.2 84.62 531.9 11.01 67.09 -34.4 -90.6 -90.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.85 0.85 552.5 552.5 -2.68 -334 -334 -334 -21.9 -36.1 -60.3 -44.2 -123 -123 -14.2 -1.91 491.6 200.2 531.9 80.36 80.36 -34.4 -90.6 -90.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 184.2 184.2 552.5 552.5 294.9 -444 -444 -444 86.39 -36.1 -60.3 -0.9 -123 -123 0 491.6 407.5 200.2 531.9 80.36 80.36 74.57 -12.4 -12.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 297.4 100.7 294.9 294.9 -444 -444 -444 -189 -116 -116 -0.87 -0.87 -172 -172 -42 161 319.6 -0.73 158.4 158.4 118.8 118.8 118.8 54.88 -11.1 -11.1 0 0 0 -1.07 -1.07 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 378.7 813 813 -592 -592 -592 -25.8 -106 -42.9 -64.7 -35.1 -42 161 319.6 -0.89 0 158.4 14.05 14.05 54.88 0 -11.1 -11.1 0 0 0 -1.07 -1.07 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 378.7 813 813 -471 -471 -471 28.59 -106 -106 -93.7 -6.09 -6.09 0 23.37 44.45 -0.89 0 -76.7 15.85 14.05 0 0 0.081 0.081 0 0 0 -119 -1.07 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 378.7 539.6 539.6 -337 -337 -206 -135 -221 -221 -123 -93.7 -6.09 0 0 17.45 17.45 0.382 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.07 -1.07 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 378.7 539.6 539.6 -337 -337 -206 -221 -221 -123 -93.7 42.05 0 28.92 17.45 17.45 0.382 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.07 -1.07 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 272.8 272.8 539.6 -159 258.1 -393 -221 -141 -93.7 -6.34 -26.8 -26.8 0 -3.17 0.382 0 0 0 -138 -293 -293 -249 -249 -51.8 -51.8 0 0 -1.07 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 272.8 272.8 305.3 -159 258.1 -393 -393 -141 -428 -428 -65.9 -204 -204 6.961 6.961 -0.38 0.031 0.031 -238 -138 -293 -293 -249 -722 -51.8 -51.8 -51.8 270.9 270.9 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 272.8 -2.31 305.3 305.3 497 497 -393 -393 -428 -65.9 -65.9 -204 -236 -218 -218 -0.38 0 0 -238 -238 -293 -293 -722 -722 331 331 331 498 270.9 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -2.31 -2.31 305.3 305.3 305.3 497 497 -203 -428 -428 -19.2 -19.2 -236 -236 -218 -83.4 5.943 0.183 0.183 -363 -115 -317 -317 -356 -722 331 331 331 498 182.4 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -2.31 0 305.3 305.3 271 271 497 -203 -114 -144 -96.1 -19.2 -198 -198 -83.4 -83.4 5.943 0.031 0.031 -196 -196 -248 20.52 -320 -292 684.6 684.6 684.6 498 182.4 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 305.3 271 271 271 435.3 435.3 435.3 399.1 399.1 370 -44.3 -218 506.4 -42.7 -228 0 0 -267 -267 0 126 -347 -419 412.2 303.2 303.2 214.7 214.7 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -1.24 -1.24 269 269 269 593.5 593.5 435.3 501.9 533.9 261 261 -420 7.153 -228 -186 -186 0 0 -236 -230 -230 -283 -347 -419 412.2 303.2 303.2 214.7 -0.69 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 269 269 593.5 593.5 593.5 435.3 271 497 293.5 293.5 -420 -420 -420 -186 -186 0 0 -236 -298 -454 -454 -549 -549 412.2 303.2 303.2 -0.69 -0.69 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -21.6 -21.6 269 269 551.6 551.6 0 271 497 293.5 293.5 -420 -420 -420 768.5 100.5 100.5 0 0 714.7 714.7 269.5 269.5 272.3 272.3 0 0 0 -0.69 -0.69 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -21.6 -21.6 269 551.6 551.6 551.6 420.5 420.5 0 0 78.03 506.9 506.9 768.5 768.5 161 100.5 0 0 714.7 714.7 269.5 269.5 272.3 272.3 0 0 0 -0.69 -0.69 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -3.39 -3.39 -3.39 174.7 290.1 290.1 312.5 312.5 312.5 312.5 78.03 506.9 506.9 638.7 638.7 22.46 231.1 0 0 804.2 804.2 269.8 269.8 106.7 106.7 -0.73 -0.73 -0.73 -0.69 -0.69 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -3.39 -3.39 -3.39 174.7 192.5 192.5 235 235 -0.86 0 78.03 506.9 506.9 476.1 253.7 231.1 231.1 0 530 497 497 78.03 78.03 78.03 78.03 -0.73 -0.73 -0.73 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 -3.39 -3.39 -3.39 0 -0.86 -0.86 -0.75 -0.75 -0.86 0 -0.8 0 0 -0.32 253.7 103.3 0 0 269.5 130.9 130.9 -0.73 -0.73 -0.61 -0.61 -4.25 -4.25 -4.25 -0.83 -0.83 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.86 -0.86 -0.75 -0.86 -0.86 0 -0.8 -0.17 -0.17 -0.25 -0.76 103.3 0 0 269.5 -1.05 -1.05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.05 -1.05 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Base Case

High Scenario

City, and more importantly, in the suburban areas which are projected to exhibit strong growth.

There are also areas where there is a projected decline in school age children, which includes the mature neighbourhoods and reflects a pattern between the inner core and newly developing suburban areas. It should be noted that while the projected increase in school age children in the Inner City areas reflects City of Edmonton policy initiatives (i.e. Smart Choices), the “regenera-tion” of mature neighbourhoods with young families carries with it an assumption of comple-mentary changes to the existing housing stock in these areas.

Seniors

As discussed earlier, the number of seniors (per-sons 65 years and older) is projected to increase dramatically over the forecast period in both the Base Case and High Scenario.

As seen from the spatial distribution of growth in seniors population, it is expected to occur in all areas of the City. In existing neighbourhoods the growth in the number of seniors is a result of the aging “in place” of the population as well as the new adult and senior residential developments. In newly developing areas, the increase in seniors is due to the migration of seniors to these areas.



Figure 24Change in the Population of Seniors (65 years plus)

Less than -250 250 to 500 -250 to -10 500 to 750 -10 to 10 750 to 1000 10 to 250 More than 1000

Change in Population 2003 to 2030

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.959 0.68 0.68 0.537 0.537 0.424 0.424 0 0 1.067 1.067 1.067 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.959 0.073 0.073 1.528 1.528 0.14 0.14 0.438 0.438 0.498 0.498 0.498 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.641 0.641 0.689 0.689 0.424 0.424 0.641 0.641 -0.07 -0.07 0.557 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.073 0.073 -0.09 -0.09 0.627 0.627 0.073 0.073 -0.07 0.557 0.557 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.21 0.21 0.537 0.537 0.2 0.2 0.624 0.624 0.557 0.557 0.557 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.206 0.206 0.438 0.438 1.583 1.583 0 1.227 0.537 0.537 0.537 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.703 0.424 0.424 0.627 0.627 0.289 0.289 1.227 11.43 0.537 0.537 0.537 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.703 0.524 0.524 0.762 0.762 0.289 0.123 1.227 11.43 1.358 1.358 0.095 0.095

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.703 0.524 0.524 0.762 0.762 0.123 0.123 11.43 11.43 1.358 1.358 0.095 0.095

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.484 0.484 0.424 0.424 0 0.364 0.364 0.829 8.987 8.987 -0.73 -0.82 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.484 0.484 0.424 0 0 0.364 0.364 0.829 8.987 -0.73 -0.73 -0.82 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.086 3.086 0 0 257.9 509 509 802.4 904.2 670.3 612.6 450.5 0.484 0.424 0.424 0 0 0.364 0.27 0.829 -0.73 -0.73 -0.73 -0.82 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.086 3.086 0 642.1 257.9 509 509 802.4 904.2 670.3 612.6 450.5 450.5 450.5 0.424 0 0 0.27 0.27 -0.82 -0.73 -0.73 -0.73 -0.82 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.086 777.1 264 642.1 257.9 509 509 802.4 904.2 670.3 612.6 450.5 450.5 607.6 607.6 0 0 0.868 -0.82 -0.82 -0.73 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 777.1 777.1 264 642.1 621.3 621.3 621.3 802.4 904.2 276.9 216.5 450.5 450.5 607.6 607.6 4.8 0 0.868 179.1 -1.21 -0.73 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.941 1.941 345.9 441.5 905.6 905.6 531.3 531.3 531.3 368.3 582 505 566.4 655.4 785.3 293.9 293.9 4.8 4.8 2.363 2.363 -1.21 -1.21 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.941 1.941 1.941 345.9 441.5 905.6 905.6 281.1 281.1 281.1 368.3 582 505 566.4 655.4 785.3 293.9 293.9 4.8 0 2.363 2.363 -1.21 -1.21 -1.21 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.905 1.941 1.941 1.941 679.7 463.2 120.7 552.5 1163 1163 1163 677.3 677.3 730.4 730.4 383.5 547 268.4 0 489.5 592.8 592.8 2.363 -1.21 -1.21 -1.21 -1.21 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.905 1.905 1.905 1.941 1.941 289.7 289.7 120.7 444.2 1309 1309 1309 677.3 677.3 730.4 730.4 383.5 429.5 268.4 0 489.5 592.8 592.8 -1.21 -1.21 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 1.905 1.905 1.905 1.905 1.905 1.941 289.7 0 0 444.2 1309 1309 1309 123.3 123.3 108.4 0 429.5 429.5 186.8 443.2 600.8 600.8 -0.78 -0.78 0 0 0 0

257.3 257.3 455.1 455.1 1.082 1.941 1.941 1.941 1.941 0 127.1 127.1 -247 -247 -52.6 -52.6 -52.6 0 -65.1 37.09 37.09 490.7 490.7 186.8 743.9 743.9 555.2 -0.78 -0.78 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 7.131 0 257.3 257.3 257.3 455.1 1.082 1.082 1.082 1.941 1.941 1.941 0 168.9 168.9 259.3 298.7 298.7 131.4 131.4 -65.1 -65.1 37.09 37.09 490.7 0 271.2 743.9 743.9 555.2 -0.78 -0.78 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 7.131 0 205.4 205.4 205.4 5.032 5.032 5.032 0 0 1.941 1.941 0 0 168.9 259.3 298.7 298.7 131.4 131.4 289.8 289.8 283.8 283.8 5.84 5.84 626.3 626.3 421.5 183 -0.78 -0.78 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 23.24 23.24 205.4 205.4 205.4 5.032 5.032 5.032 0 0 0 0 0.749 0.749 2.346 2.346 2.346 -0.08 -0.08 429.9 1.17 1.263 1.263 0.371 0.371 44.73 139.5 139.5 421.5 183 -0.78 -0.78 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0.703 0.787 0.787 0.787 5.032 5.032 5.032 0 0 0 0 0 131.1 131.1 237.9 176.4 0 0 429.9 144.1 459.8 106.3 378.8 378.8 44.73 174.2 174.2 200.9 416.7 -0.78 -0.78 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0.703 0.787 0.787 0.787 0 0.933 0 0 0 0 0 0 -253 -253 462.1 462.1 0 0 197.5 963 459.8 0.077 -39.7 121.7 190.2 91.44 91.44 416.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0.703 0.787 0.735 0.735 0.933 0.933 0 0 0 0 18.1 0 -253 0 462.1 462.1 82.64 0 197.5 963 505.3 312.3 -39.7 121.7 91.44 416.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 2.18 284.2 0.735 0.735 0.735 0.933 0.933 0.749 0 0 219.3 51.69 13.67 148.2 871.1 871.1 1086 1086 846.3 0 413.1 413.1 111.2 111.2 416.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 2.18 284.2 1.79 1.79 1.384 0.778 0.778 0.749 0 593.2 593.2 487.8 288.4 354.7 354.7 871.1 1086 1086 846.3 846.3 298.7 298.7 230.9 230.9 111.2 111.2 111.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 3.016 3.016 1.79 1.79 1.384 0 0 0 0 593.2 593.2 487.8 288.4 354.7 354.7 687.8 687.8 394.5 264.7 490 131.4 321.9 230.9 133.5 19.53 99.95 99.95 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 1.322 1.322 3.836 3.836 3.836 0 0 31.19 0 297.5 297.5 370.3 48.7 48.7 687.8 445.5 219.6 558.3 108.5 251.3 11.68 11.68 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 3.238 3.238 269 269 3.836 713.6 713.6 713.6 -38.6 297.5 297.5 370.3 48.7 48.7 90.2 226.8 1114 108.5 133 251.3 11.68 11.68 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 3.238 3.238 323.8 323.8 3.836 746.4 746.4 746.4 126.9 306.1 22.85 119.1 152 152 90.2 12.57 479.8 355.4 1114 304.6 304.6 251.3 11.68 11.68 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 456.6 456.6 323.8 323.8 533.6 637.9 637.9 637.9 110.2 306.1 22.85 211 152 152 0 479.8 413.2 355.4 1114 304.6 304.6 -30.3 112.4 112.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 611.5 307.2 533.6 533.6 637.9 637.9 637.9 462.7 260.9 260.9 52.29 52.29 157.6 157.6 94.47 388.3 541.5 0.524 470.1 470.1 565.5 565.5 565.5 52.48 14.72 14.72 0 0 0 1.96 1.96 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 421.4 834.1 834.1 1086 1086 1086 307.5 155.9 154.6 62.21 13.84 94.47 388.3 541.5 0.398 -0.9 470.1 130.8 130.8 52.48 0 14.72 14.72 0 0 0 1.96 1.96 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 421.4 834.1 834.1 805.9 805.9 805.9 331 155.9 155.9 217.2 38.12 38.12 0 317.9 299.3 0.398 -0.9 258.3 27.95 130.8 0 0 0.212 0.212 0 0 0 268.9 1.96 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 293.5 230.4 230.4 405.1 405.1 317.4 345.2 561.6 561.6 160.7 217.2 38.12 0 0 86.76 86.76 0.2 -0.9 -0.9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.96 1.96 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 293.5 230.4 230.4 405.1 405.1 317.4 561.6 561.6 160.7 217.2 88.82 0 175.8 86.76 86.76 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.96 1.96 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 322.9 322.9 230.4 383 203.9 372.5 561.6 389.8 217.2 87.67 374.6 374.6 0 315.3 0.2 0 0 0 346.1 570.8 570.8 722 722 859.7 859.7 0 0 1.96 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 322.9 322.9 284.8 383 203.9 372.5 372.5 389.8 604.6 604.6 92.23 258.9 258.9 103.1 103.1 2.604 0.716 0.716 425.6 346.1 570.8 570.8 722 1160 859.7 859.7 859.7 321.2 321.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 322.9 2.204 284.8 284.8 293.5 293.5 372.5 372.5 604.6 92.23 92.23 258.9 136.9 343.9 343.9 2.604 0 0 425.6 425.6 570.8 570.8 1160 1160 665.8 665.8 665.8 421.6 321.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 2.204 2.204 284.8 284.8 284.8 293.5 293.5 313.6 604.6 604.6 53 53 136.9 136.9 343.9 268.1 5.847 1.013 1.013 453 357 583.5 583.5 602 1160 665.8 665.8 665.8 421.6 452.3 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 2.204 0 284.8 284.8 321.4 321.4 293.5 313.6 176.4 377 130.1 53 358.7 358.7 268.1 268.1 5.847 0.716 0.716 500.7 500.7 355.6 231.4 430.2 634.8 364.1 364.1 364.1 421.6 452.3 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 284.8 321.4 321.4 321.4 634 634 634 451.2 451.2 275.3 196.7 464.6 596.9 201.5 164 0 0 531.3 531.3 0 26.27 622.6 612.5 444.4 444.9 444.9 264.2 264.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.168 0.168 196.2 196.2 196.2 470.8 470.8 634 594.5 496.2 543.8 543.8 920.9 349.1 164 190.4 190.4 0 0 450.4 429.9 429.9 509.1 622.6 612.5 444.4 444.9 444.9 264.2 2.418 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 196.2 196.2 470.8 470.8 470.8 634 172.3 293.5 321.4 321.4 920.9 920.9 920.9 190.4 190.4 0 0 450.4 478.9 657 657 793.7 793.7 444.4 444.9 444.9 2.418 2.418 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 19.06 19.06 196.2 196.2 437.8 437.8 0 172.3 293.5 321.4 321.4 920.9 920.9 920.9 715.1 290.9 290.9 0 0 417.2 417.2 214.7 214.7 176 176 0 0 0 2.418 2.418 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 19.06 19.06 196.2 437.8 437.8 437.8 264.5 264.5 0 0 0 787.8 787.8 715.1 715.1 142.3 290.9 0 0 417.2 417.2 214.7 214.7 176 176 0 0 0 2.418 2.418 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 4.684 4.684 4.684 97.67 608.2 608.2 444.3 444.3 444.3 444.3 0 787.8 787.8 299.4 299.4 14.09 206.3 0 0 877.7 877.7 294.3 294.3 180.7 180.7 2.187 2.187 2.187 2.418 2.418 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 4.684 4.684 4.684 97.67 453.9 453.9 325.6 325.6 2.107 0 0 787.8 787.8 421.4 205.3 206.3 206.3 0 548.7 421.4 421.4 49.65 49.65 49.65 49.65 2.187 2.187 2.187 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 4.684 4.684 4.684 0 2.107 2.107 3.148 3.148 2.107 0 0.466 0 0 1.966 205.3 81.53 0 0 293.5 170 170 2.187 2.187 1.432 1.432 11.25 11.25 11.25 1.823 1.823 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.107 2.107 3.148 2.107 2.107 0 0.466 2.406 2.406 1.943 2.065 81.53 0 0 293.5 0.687 0.687 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.687 0.687 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.962 0.677 0.677 0.541 0.541 0.427 0.427 0 0 1.073 1.073 1.073 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.962 0.074 0.074 1.535 1.535 0.143 0.143 0.443 0.443 0.505 0.505 0.505 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.642 0.642 0.695 0.695 0.427 0.427 0.642 0.642 -0.06 -0.06 0.554 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.074 0.074 -0.09 -0.09 0.627 0.627 0.074 0.074 -0.06 0.554 0.554 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.216 0.216 0.541 0.541 0.205 0.205 0.628 0.628 0.554 0.554 0.554 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.212 0.212 0.443 0.443 1.579 1.579 0 1.241 0.541 0.541 0.541 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.706 0.427 0.427 0.635 0.635 0.294 0.294 1.241 9.999 0.541 0.541 0.541 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.706 0.528 0.528 0.769 0.769 0.294 0.124 1.241 9.999 1.369 1.369 0.107 0.107

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.706 0.528 0.528 0.769 0.769 0.124 0.124 9.999 9.999 1.369 1.369 0.107 0.107

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.49 0.49 0.427 0.427 0 0.367 0.367 0.845 7.877 7.877 -0.72 -0.8 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.49 0.49 0.427 0 0 0.367 0.367 0.845 7.877 -0.72 -0.72 -0.8 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.67 2.67 0 0 511.6 434.5 434.5 749.3 914 826.9 748.6 742.2 0.49 0.427 0.427 0 0 0.367 0.278 0.845 -0.72 -0.72 -0.72 -0.8 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.67 2.67 0 645.7 511.6 434.5 434.5 749.3 914 826.9 748.6 742.2 742.2 742.2 0.427 0 0 0.278 0.278 -0.8 -0.72 -0.72 -0.72 -0.8 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.67 742.2 742.2 645.7 511.6 434.5 434.5 749.3 914 826.9 748.6 742.2 742.2 742.2 742.2 0 0 0.866 -0.8 -0.8 -0.72 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 742.2 742.2 742.2 645.7 600.9 600.9 600.9 749.3 914 274 209 742.2 742.2 742.2 742.2 4.847 0 0.866 159 -1.18 -0.72 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.95 1.95 762.8 357.9 876.4 876.4 512.6 512.6 512.6 348.4 556.5 622.7 532.6 632.2 790.5 1042 1042 4.847 4.847 0.454 0.454 -1.18 -1.18 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.95 1.95 1.95 762.8 357.9 876.4 876.4 221.4 221.4 221.4 348.4 556.5 622.7 532.6 632.2 790.5 1042 1042 4.847 0 0.454 0.454 -1.18 -1.18 -1.18 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.892 1.95 1.95 1.95 601.2 452.3 131.5 534.6 1186 1186 1186 618.2 618.2 655 655 341.4 475.4 260.7 0 444.6 613 613 0.454 -1.18 -1.18 -1.18 -1.18 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.892 1.892 1.892 1.95 1.95 368.3 368.3 131.5 428.5 1467 1467 1467 618.2 618.2 655 655 341.4 338.7 260.7 0 444.6 613 613 -1.18 -1.18 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 1.892 1.892 1.892 1.892 1.892 1.95 368.3 0 0 428.5 1467 1467 1467 71.26 71.26 63.08 0 338.7 338.7 205.7 406 552.9 552.9 -0.75 -0.75 0 0 0 0

387.2 387.2 423.2 423.2 1.084 1.95 1.95 1.95 1.95 0 101.4 101.4 -302 -302 -70.4 -70.4 -70.4 0 -96.4 -1.3 -1.3 385.3 385.3 205.7 677.5 677.5 533.1 -0.75 -0.75 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 6.263 0 387.2 387.2 387.2 423.2 1.084 1.084 1.084 1.95 1.95 1.95 0 153 153 230.2 311.5 311.5 138.8 138.8 -96.4 -96.4 -1.3 -1.3 385.3 0 238.6 677.5 677.5 533.1 -0.75 -0.75 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 6.263 0 422.5 422.5 422.5 5.053 5.053 5.053 0 0 1.95 1.95 0 0 153 230.2 311.5 311.5 138.8 138.8 253.6 253.6 231.2 231.2 5.868 5.868 573.6 573.6 381.7 190.3 -0.75 -0.75 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 20.49 20.49 422.5 422.5 422.5 5.053 5.053 5.053 0 0 0 0 0.747 0.747 2.344 2.344 2.344 -0.07 -0.07 403.1 1.187 1.274 1.274 0.391 0.391 54.55 163.8 163.8 381.7 190.3 -0.75 -0.75 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0.708 0.791 0.791 0.791 5.053 5.053 5.053 0 0 0 0 0 98.61 98.61 199.1 156.9 0 0 403.1 133.8 395.8 89.19 427.9 427.9 54.55 188 188 191.2 398.6 -0.75 -0.75 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0.708 0.791 0.791 0.791 0 0.936 0 0 0 0 0 0 -280 -280 355.9 355.9 0 0 156.4 895.1 395.8 0.08 -53.2 105.3 160.2 53.91 53.91 398.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0.708 0.791 0.737 0.737 0.936 0.936 0 0 0 0 18.08 0 -280 0 355.9 355.9 64.27 0 156.4 895.1 456.3 279.9 -53.2 105.3 53.91 398.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 2.189 252.1 0.737 0.737 0.737 0.936 0.936 0.747 0 0 189.6 51.4 -11.2 147.6 758.4 758.4 1007 1007 903 0 551.7 551.7 68.29 68.29 398.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 2.189 252.1 1.798 1.798 1.393 0.778 0.778 0.747 0 500.7 500.7 486.6 246.1 318.8 318.8 758.4 1007 1007 903 903 371.6 371.6 150.4 150.4 68.29 68.29 68.29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 3.028 3.028 1.798 1.798 1.393 0 0 0 0 500.7 500.7 486.6 246.1 318.8 318.8 782.7 782.7 305.4 368.5 709.5 192.8 364.8 150.4 98.6 -13.5 54.56 54.56 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 1.329 1.329 3.855 3.855 3.855 0 0 29.14 0 224.4 224.4 316 10.7 10.7 782.7 451.4 193 573.7 96.95 191.2 11.02 11.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 2.74 2.74 272.4 272.4 3.855 624.8 624.8 624.8 -54.4 224.4 224.4 316 10.7 10.7 70.05 253.2 1033 96.95 89.63 191.2 11.02 11.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 2.74 2.74 714.9 714.9 3.855 662.9 662.9 662.9 92.89 259.5 -18.8 97.47 99.89 99.89 70.05 9.695 411.1 333 1033 341 341 191.2 11.02 11.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 424.8 424.8 714.9 714.9 455.1 644.8 644.8 644.8 105.8 259.5 -18.8 173.8 99.89 99.89 0 411.1 377 333 1033 341 341 -17 60.29 60.29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 597.4 269.7 455.1 455.1 644.8 644.8 644.8 403.7 207.6 207.6 17.26 17.26 114.5 114.5 58.33 408.3 482.7 0.537 428.4 428.4 511.2 511.2 511.2 44.79 14.78 14.78 0 0 0 1.968 1.968 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 429.2 690.6 690.6 985.2 985.2 985.2 269.4 130.9 124.5 40.49 6.088 58.33 408.3 482.7 0.409 -0.9 428.4 112.3 112.3 44.79 0 14.78 14.78 0 0 0 1.968 1.968 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 429.2 690.6 690.6 812.6 812.6 812.6 262.9 130.9 130.9 185.6 60.78 60.78 0 341.6 253.7 0.409 -0.9 208.6 36.28 112.3 0 0 0.214 0.214 0 0 0 243.2 1.968 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 429.2 697.6 697.6 409.3 409.3 284.3 310.2 508.3 508.3 156.5 185.6 60.78 0 0 27.64 27.64 0.205 -0.9 -0.9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.968 1.968 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 429.2 697.6 697.6 409.3 409.3 284.3 508.3 508.3 156.5 185.6 95.68 0 168.3 27.64 27.64 0.205 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.968 1.968 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 562.2 562.2 697.6 360.2 283.6 360.4 508.3 384.2 185.6 104.3 388.5 388.5 0 261.5 0.205 0 0 0 311 515.1 515.1 672.4 672.4 818.6 818.6 0 0 1.968 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 562.2 562.2 468.5 360.2 283.6 360.4 360.4 384.2 558.3 558.3 65.08 217.1 217.1 89.55 89.55 2.331 0.717 0.717 375.5 311 515.1 515.1 672.4 1080 818.6 818.6 818.6 560.2 560.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 562.2 1.901 468.5 468.5 653.4 653.4 360.4 360.4 558.3 65.08 65.08 217.1 145.6 284.8 284.8 2.331 0 0 375.5 375.5 515.1 515.1 1080 1080 670.9 670.9 670.9 654.4 560.2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 1.901 1.901 468.5 468.5 468.5 653.4 653.4 289.8 558.3 558.3 52.72 52.72 145.6 145.6 284.8 242.8 4.542 1.017 1.017 406 309.2 531.7 531.7 554.2 1080 670.9 670.9 670.9 654.4 420 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 1.901 0 468.5 468.5 559.9 559.9 653.4 289.8 149.3 345.6 110.7 52.72 323 323 242.8 242.8 4.542 0.717 0.717 460.1 460.1 306 244 383.2 584.4 694.3 694.3 694.3 654.4 420 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 468.5 559.9 559.9 559.9 568.8 568.8 568.8 472.6 472.6 386.1 174.7 470.5 614.7 156.5 129.2 0 0 489.8 489.8 0 19.31 560.5 558.4 742.6 437.7 437.7 267.7 267.7 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.049 0.049 613.6 613.6 613.6 785.1 785.1 568.8 489.9 527.5 478.8 478.8 882.2 323.8 129.2 163.6 163.6 0 0 392.2 393.5 393.5 465.7 560.5 558.4 742.6 437.7 437.7 267.7 2.13 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 613.6 613.6 785.1 785.1 785.1 568.8 559.9 653.4 595.7 595.7 882.2 882.2 882.2 163.6 163.6 0 0 392.2 439.7 597.2 597.2 728.1 728.1 742.6 437.7 437.7 2.13 2.13 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 15.84 15.84 613.6 613.6 682.4 682.4 0 559.9 653.4 595.7 595.7 882.2 882.2 882.2 775.2 266.5 266.5 0 0 907.9 907.9 287.1 287.1 567.2 567.2 0 0 0 2.13 2.13 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 15.84 15.84 613.6 682.4 682.4 682.4 687.2 687.2 0 0 217.7 912.3 912.3 775.2 775.2 131.1 266.5 0 0 907.9 907.9 287.1 287.1 567.2 567.2 0 0 0 2.13 2.13 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 3.882 3.882 3.882 371 539 539 450.6 450.6 450.6 450.6 217.7 912.3 912.3 1025 1025 40.43 192 0 0 1102 1102 287.9 287.9 176.6 176.6 1.957 1.957 1.957 2.13 2.13 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 3.882 3.882 3.882 371 404.3 404.3 443.3 443.3 1.892 0 217.7 912.3 912.3 592.4 543.6 192 192 0 563.5 653.4 653.4 217.7 217.7 217.7 217.7 1.957 1.957 1.957 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 3.882 3.882 3.882 0 1.892 1.892 2.725 2.725 1.892 0 0.404 0 0 1.948 543.6 212.8 0 0 287.1 162 162 1.957 1.957 1.188 1.188 9.77 9.77 9.77 1.604 1.604 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.892 1.892 2.725 1.892 1.892 0 0.404 2.262 2.262 1.807 1.84 212.8 0 0 287.1 0.496 0.496 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.496 0.496 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Base Case

High Scenario

Chapter 5

Employment Forecasts & Allocation

As with population, projections of the number of jobs have been prepared for the Edmonton CMA, City of Edmonton and the rest of the Edmonton Region that comprises the CMA. These forecasts extend to the year 2030 and are disaggregated by industry and work at home employment.

The forecasts and allocation of employment differ in this chapter from the forecast of workers pre-sented in the previous chapter under occupation. All the results for employment presented here refer to jobs and the geographic location of that job.

Employment ForecastsThe employment forecasts have been prepared at the CMA level based on the projected number of workers from the occupation analysis results pre-sented in the previous chapter. This ensures that

there is internal consistency between the popula-tion and employment projections.

Edmonton CMA

Employment in the Edmonton CMA has been growing with the growth in the regional economy. Over forecast period, this growth is expected to continue.

Figure 252003-2030 Employment Projections for the Edmonton CMA

300

400

500

600

700

800

1991

1996

2001

2003

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

(thousands)


In the Base Case, employment in the Edmonton CMA is projected to grow from an estimated25 468,000 in 2003 to 593,000 by 2030. This repre-sents an average annual increase of 0.9 percent. This is slightly higher than the average annual increase in population, reflecting the modest in-crease in labour force participation projected in the analysis.

In the High Scenario, employment in the Ed-monton CMA is projected to increase to 666,000 by 2030. This reflects an average annual increase of 1.3 percent.



25 The Base Year data for the employment analysis (2003) is an estimate based on growth projected from the last federal census in 2001.

City of Edmonton

Currently, the City of Edmonton is home to ap-proximately 79 percent of all jobs in the Edmon-ton CMA. This share is projected to remain rela-tively stable over the forecast period. As a result, the average annual rates of growth of employment for the City of Edmonton are essentially the same as those for the CMA.

Figure 262003-2030 Employment Projections for the City of Edmonton

200

300

400

500

600

1991

1996

2001

2003

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

(thousands)


In the Base Case, total employment in the City of Edmonton is projected to increase from an esti-mated 363,000 in 2003 to 457,000 in 2030. This represents an increase of 26 percent over the base year figure. In the High Scenario, total employ-ment is projected to increase to 517,000, reflect-ing a total of 42 percent growth over the 2003 estimate.

Employment Growth AreasGeographically, employment growth is expected to occur in most areas of the City. There are a number of areas, however, that are projected to see a significant increase in employment density, as measured by the change in the number of jobs per hectare.



Figure 27Change in Total Employment Density

Less than -0.01 8 to 12 -0.01 to 0.01 12 to 15 0.01 to 4 More than 15 4 to 8

Change in Density 2003 to 2030 (jobs per gross developable hectare)

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8E-05 0 0 2E-05 2E-05 0 0 0 0 1E-06 1E-06 1E-06 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8E-05 0 0 5E-05 5E-05 0 0 4E-05 4E-05 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2E-05 2E-05 0 0 0 0 2E-05 2E-05 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1E-05 1E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3E-04 3E-04 2E-05 2E-05 2E-04 2E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2E-04 2E-04 4E-05 4E-05 0 0 0 0 1E-05 1E-05 1E-05 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 1E-05 1E-05 1E-05 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2E-06 2E-06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2E-06 2E-06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.002 1E-16 1E-16 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.002 1E-16 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.206 1.291 1.291 0.237 1.982 2.04 2.356 0.576 0 0 0 0 0 -0 4E-04 0.002 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.971 1.206 1.291 1.291 0.237 1.982 2.04 2.356 0.576 0.576 0.576 0 0 0 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.023 1.292 1.971 1.206 1.291 1.291 0.237 1.982 2.04 2.356 0.576 0.576 2.147 2.147 0 3.85 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.023 3.023 1.292 1.971 0 0 0 0.237 1.982 3.43 3.669 0.576 0.576 2.147 2.147 3.226 0 0 0.111 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.327 2.327 1.687 1.565 -0 -0 0 0 0 1.665 0.226 0.786 1.724 1.721 1.977 1.26 1.26 3.226 3.226 5E-18 5E-18 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.327 2.327 2.327 1.687 1.565 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 1.665 0.226 0.786 1.724 1.721 1.977 1.26 1.26 3.226 0 5E-18 5E-18 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.303 2.327 4.654 4.654 5.969 0.411 0.246 0 5.182 5.182 5.182 0.067 0.067 0.072 0.072 0 0.49 1.599 0 -0.03 0.345 0.345 5E-18 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.303 1.303 9.829 4.654 4.654 1.753 1.753 0.246 0 4.116 4.116 4.116 0.067 0.067 0.072 0.072 0 0.623 1.599 0 -0.03 0.345 0.345 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 1.303 1.303 1.303 9.829 9.829 4.654 1.753 4.689 0 0 4.116 4.116 4.116 0 0 0 8.084 0.623 0.623 1.739 0.013 0.012 0.012 0.077 0.077 0 0 0 0

0.518 0.518 0.92 0.92 4.336 1.592 1.592 4.269 4.269 2.905 0 0 0.008 0.008 0 0 0 3.335 0 0 0 0.438 0.438 1.739 -0 -0 0.006 0.077 0.077 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.518 0.518 0.518 0.92 4.336 4.336 4.336 1.592 4.269 4.269 2.668 0.424 0.424 0.062 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.438 1.46 0.013 -0 -0 0.006 0.077 0.077 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.394 0.394 0.394 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.808 0.808 4.269 4.269 2.668 2.668 0.424 0.062 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.546 1.546 -0 -0 0.028 0.375 0.077 0.077 1.778 1.778 2.801 2.801 0 0

0 0.001 0.001 0.394 0.394 0.394 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.808 3.758 0.683 1.45 0 0 2.008 2.008 2.008 0.234 0.234 0.537 0 1.936 1.936 0.407 0.407 0 0.03 0.03 0.028 0.375 0.077 0.077 1.778 1.778 2.801 2.801 0 0

0 3.232 3.191 2.901 2.901 2.901 0.69 0.69 0.69 10.36 0.683 0.683 1.45 0.676 0.206 0.206 0.25 0.119 2.149 1.594 0.537 0.058 0.25 0 0.012 0.012 0 1E-15 1E-15 -0 0.016 0.077 0.077 1.778 1.778 2.801 2.801 0 0

0 3.232 3.191 2.901 2.901 2.901 2.108 4.849 6.662 10.36 2.447 2.763 2.296 1.432 0 0 0 0 2.149 39.05 2.731 0.132 0.25 0 0.006 0.035 0 0 0 0.016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 3.232 3.191 2.901 5.4 5.4 4.849 4.849 6.662 10.36 4.23 1.297 4.087 1.432 0 3.748 0 0 0.003 9.1 2.731 0.132 0.529 0.077 0.006 0.035 0 0.016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 3.781 0 5.4 5.4 5.4 4.849 4.849 7.54 2.158 1.015 0.153 0.013 0.038 0.046 0.338 0.338 0.415 0.415 0.718 89.02 0.063 0.063 0 0 0.016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 3.781 0 2.402 2.402 1.84 9.124 9.124 7.54 2.158 0.184 0.184 0.225 0.083 0.018 0.018 0.338 0.415 0.415 0.718 0.718 0.252 0.252 0.153 0.153 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 3.82 3.82 2.402 2.402 1.84 11.94 11.94 10.32 0.935 0.184 0.184 0.225 0.083 0.018 0.018 0.564 0.564 2.002 107.8 249 10.84 0.573 0.153 0.005 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 4.569 4.569 2.912 2.912 2.912 9.706 9.706 2.447 2.283 0.013 0.013 0.044 0 0 0.564 1.234 204.3 87.5 0.077 0.127 0 0 0 2.709 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.004 0.004 1.331 1.331 2.912 0 0 0 2.912 0.013 0.013 0.044 0 0 0 0 0.491 0.077 0.224 0.127 0 0 18.28 2.709 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.004 0.004 1.995 1.995 2.912 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.651 3.85 0.03 1E-15 0 0 0 10.25 1.29 0.775 0.491 0.122 0.122 0.127 0 0 18.28 2.709 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 1.802 1.802 1.995 1.995 1.607 0 0 0 20.04 3.85 0.03 0.107 0 0 13.6 1.29 1.315 0.775 0.491 0.122 0.122 0 0.134 0.134 4.796 12.75 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 2.92 1.482 1.607 1.607 0 0 0 0.004 0.09 0.09 0.016 0.016 0 0 0 0 0.067 1.381 0.234 0.234 0.27 0.27 0.27 1.549 1.307 1.307 4.302 4.302 2.213 4.657 4.657 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 2.071 2.064 2.064 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0 0.008 0.085 0 0 0.067 0 1.388 0.234 0.141 0.141 1.549 0.51 1.307 1.307 4.302 4.302 2.213 4.657 4.657 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 2.071 2.064 2.064 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.099 0 0 0 0.02 0.02 0 0 -0 0 1.388 0.008 0 0.141 0.51 10.43 11.7 11.7 4.302 4.302 2.213 4.432 4.657 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 1.517 0.719 0.719 0.063 0.063 0.04 0 0.051 0.051 0 0 0.02 12.46 12.46 0.109 0.109 2.764 1.865 1.865 0 1.774 10.43 10.43 5.748 5.748 5.775 5.775 3.853 7.056 7.056 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 1.517 0.719 0.719 0.063 0.063 0.04 0.051 0.051 0 0 0 7.5 0.616 0.109 0.109 2.764 2.523 2.393 1.774 1.979 4.752 4.752 5.748 5.748 5.775 5.775 5.775 7.056 7.056 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.827 0.827 0.719 0.356 1.183 0 0.051 0 0 -0 0.666 0.666 3.595 0.032 4.35 0 0 1.979 0 -0 -0 0.392 0.392 1.422 1.422 5.775 5.775 7.056 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.827 0.827 0.469 0.356 1.183 0 0 0 0.011 0.011 0.005 0 0 0 0 1.078 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.392 0.158 1.422 1.422 1.422 0.844 0.844 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.827 0 0.469 0.469 0.531 0.531 0 0 0.011 0.005 0.005 0 0 0 0 1.078 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.158 0.158 1.556 1.556 1.556 1.301 0.844 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0.469 0.469 0.469 0.531 0.531 -0 0.011 0.011 0.003 0.003 0 0 0 0 3.721 2.843 2.843 0 0 0 0 0.011 0.158 1.556 1.556 1.556 1.301 1.669 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0.469 0.469 0.827 0.827 0.531 -0 0.084 0 0 0.003 0.002 0.002 0 0 3.721 7.854 7.854 -0.01 -0.01 9.75 5.861 0 -0 1.387 1.387 1.387 1.301 1.669 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0.469 0.827 0.827 0.827 1.43 1.43 1.43 2.157 2.157 2.018 0.017 -0 9.842 0.071 0 15.16 8.256 -0 -0 0.419 2.721 -0 -0 1.403 1.372 1.372 0.826 0.826 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0.219 0.219 0.219 0.874 0.874 1.43 3.37 3.145 2.008 2.008 0.097 0.069 0 0.001 0.001 13.96 8.256 0.011 -0 -0 0.002 -0 -0 1.403 1.372 1.372 0.826 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0.219 0.219 0.874 0.874 0.874 1.43 0.871 1.443 0.714 0.714 0.097 0.097 0.097 0.001 0.001 13.96 8.256 0.011 0 0 0 0.003 0.003 1.403 1.372 1.372 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 8E-04 8E-04 0.219 0.219 0.719 0.719 17.25 0.871 1.443 0.714 0.714 0.097 0.097 0.097 2.214 0.851 0.851 8.165 8.165 1.099 1.099 0.698 0.698 0.506 0.506 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 8E-04 8E-04 0.219 0.719 0.719 0.719 0.827 0.827 5.752 5.752 0 1.098 1.098 2.214 2.214 1.82 0.851 8.165 8.165 1.099 1.099 0.698 0.698 0.506 0.506 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 6E-04 6E-04 6E-04 0.274 2.162 2.162 1.167 1.167 1.167 1.167 0 1.098 1.098 1.495 1.495 -0.04 0.791 10.21 10.21 3.694 3.694 1.437 1.437 0.689 0.689 2E-05 2E-05 2E-05 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 6E-04 6E-04 6E-04 0.274 1.634 1.634 1.24 1.24 1E-05 0 0 1.098 1.098 2.938 1.025 0.791 0.791 10.21 3.184 2 2 0.177 0.177 0.18 0.18 2E-05 2E-05 2E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 6E-04 6E-04 6E-04 0 7E-06 7E-06 0.002 0.002 1E-05 0 4E-05 0 0 7.33 1.025 0.043 9.087 9.087 1.417 0.666 0.666 2E-05 2E-05 -0 -0 8E-05 8E-05 8E-05 4E-05 4E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-06 7E-06 0.002 1E-05 1E-05 0 4E-05 6E-05 6E-05 2E-04 2E-17 0.043 9.087 9.087 1.417 4E-05 4E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3E-05 3E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1E-04 0 0 5E-05 5E-05 0 0 0 0 1E-06 1E-06 1E-06 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1E-04 0 0 5E-05 5E-05 0 0 1E-04 1E-04 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2E-05 2E-05 0 0 0 0 2E-05 2E-05 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1E-05 1E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 5E-05 5E-05 4E-04 4E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-04 7E-04 1E-04 1E-04 0 0 0 0 4E-05 4E-05 4E-05 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 4E-05 4E-05 4E-05 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2E-06 2E-06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2E-06 2E-06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.002 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.002 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.701 1.907 1.907 0.291 2.315 2.813 3.204 1.094 0 0 0 0 0 -0 6E-04 0.002 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.259 2.701 1.907 1.907 0.291 2.315 2.813 3.204 1.094 1.094 1.094 0 0 0 6E-04 6E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.045 3.277 2.259 2.701 1.907 1.907 0.291 2.315 2.813 3.204 1.094 1.094 2.916 2.916 0 11.71 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.045 3.045 3.277 2.259 0 0 0 0.291 2.315 3.31 3.831 1.094 1.094 2.916 2.916 3.693 0 0 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.782 2.782 3.514 1.571 -0 -0 0 0 0 2.179 0.434 1.228 1.745 1.782 2.305 3.86 3.86 3.693 3.693 2E-17 2E-17 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.782 2.782 2.782 3.514 1.571 -0 -0 0.001 0.001 0.001 2.179 0.434 1.228 1.745 1.782 2.305 3.86 3.86 3.693 0 2E-17 2E-17 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.825 2.782 5.564 5.564 5.954 0.411 1.277 0 5.784 5.784 5.784 0.205 0.205 0.156 0.156 0 0.496 1.78 0 -0.03 0.574 0.574 2E-17 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.825 1.825 12.71 5.564 5.564 2.787 2.787 1.277 0 4.862 4.862 4.862 0.205 0.205 0.156 0.156 0 0.642 1.78 0 -0.03 0.574 0.574 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 1.825 1.825 1.825 12.71 12.71 5.564 2.787 9.734 0 0 4.862 4.862 4.862 0 0 0 15.61 0.642 0.642 4.666 0.085 0.082 0.082 0.291 0.291 0 0 0 0

0.798 0.798 0.901 0.901 5.795 3.701 3.701 8.34 8.34 8.599 0 0 0.022 0.022 0 0 0 17.33 0.066 0.057 0.057 0.496 0.496 4.666 0.036 0.036 0.015 0.291 0.291 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.798 0.798 0.798 0.901 5.795 5.795 5.795 3.701 8.34 8.34 3.511 0.423 0.423 0.062 0 0 0 0 0.066 0.066 0.057 0.057 0.496 7.588 0.084 0.036 0.036 0.015 0.291 0.291 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.877 0.877 0.877 1.412 1.412 1.412 1.347 1.347 8.34 8.34 3.511 3.511 0.423 0.062 0 0 0 0 0.113 0.113 0.064 0.064 5.827 5.827 0.044 0.044 0.055 0.546 0.291 0.291 2.468 2.468 5.001 5.001 0 0

0 0.001 0.001 0.877 0.877 0.877 1.412 1.412 1.412 1.347 11.83 0.683 7.533 0 0 10.43 10.43 10.43 0.452 0.452 0.782 0 10.06 10.06 2.112 2.112 0 0.03 0.03 0.055 0.546 0.291 0.291 2.468 2.468 5.001 5.001 0 0

0 3.705 3.501 4.417 4.417 4.417 1.412 1.412 1.412 14.01 0.683 0.683 7.533 3.512 0.206 0.206 0.252 0.159 5.738 8.284 0.782 0.037 0.355 0 0.012 0.012 0 5E-16 5E-16 -0 0.107 0.291 0.291 2.468 2.468 5.001 5.001 0 0

0 3.705 3.501 4.417 4.417 4.417 3.568 7.537 12.98 14.01 4.725 8.059 4.433 1.41 0 0 0 0 5.738 65.24 7.812 0.26 0.355 0 0.006 0.035 0.042 0.056 0.056 0.107 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 3.705 3.501 4.417 8.277 8.277 7.537 7.537 12.98 14.01 13.61 1.297 13.07 1.41 0 19.47 0 0 0.007 34.04 7.812 0.26 0.683 0.077 0.006 0.035 0.056 0.107 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 4.946 0 8.277 8.277 8.277 7.537 7.537 8.492 4.165 1.015 0.179 0.126 0.04 0.222 0.354 0.354 0.692 0.692 1.386 188.3 0.791 0.791 0 0 0.107 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 4.946 0 4.184 4.184 3.064 12.25 12.25 8.492 4.165 0.164 0.164 0.548 0.089 0.059 0.059 0.354 0.692 0.692 1.386 1.386 1.204 1.204 0.167 0.167 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 5.094 5.094 4.184 4.184 3.064 15.64 15.64 14.25 0.935 0.164 0.164 0.548 0.089 0.059 0.059 1.467 1.467 1.941 194.8 500.4 32.64 1.071 0.167 0.005 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 5.285 5.285 3.32 3.32 3.32 12.58 12.58 7.367 11.86 0.013 0.013 0.044 0 0 1.467 2.03 250.4 181.1 0.077 0.146 0.112 0.112 0 7.856 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.004 0.004 1.43 1.43 3.32 0 0 0 4.191 0.013 0.013 0.044 0 0 0 0 0.722 0.077 0.207 0.146 0.112 0.112 24.84 7.856 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.004 0.004 4.156 4.156 3.32 0.009 0.009 0.009 3.38 7.138 0.081 0 0 0 0 10.25 1.446 1.014 0.722 0.421 0.421 0.146 0.112 0.112 24.84 7.856 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 1.767 1.767 4.156 4.156 1.642 0.011 0.011 0.011 34.86 7.138 0.081 0.113 0 0 13.6 1.446 1.689 1.014 0.722 0.421 0.421 0.4 0.123 0.123 12.58 18.13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 3.032 1.355 1.642 1.642 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.004 0.107 0.107 0.174 0.174 0 0 0 0.472 0.221 7.177 0.4 0.4 0.396 0.396 0.396 8.047 2.524 2.524 6.357 6.357 6.238 5.847 5.847 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 2.271 2.213 2.213 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0 0.008 0.085 0 0.472 0.221 0 7.209 0.4 0.252 0.252 8.047 2.651 2.524 2.524 6.357 6.357 6.238 5.847 5.847 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 2.271 2.213 2.213 0.093 0.093 0.093 0.099 0 0 0 0.211 0.211 0 0.338 -0 0 7.209 0.025 0 0.252 2.651 16.27 16.63 16.63 6.357 6.357 6.238 4.727 5.847 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 2.304 2.168 2.168 0.063 0.063 0.04 0 0.054 0.054 0 0 0.211 21.56 21.56 0.178 0.178 14.36 9.691 9.691 0 9.217 16.27 16.27 7.127 7.127 7.209 7.209 5.055 7.385 7.385 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 2.304 2.168 2.168 0.063 0.063 0.04 0.054 0.054 0 0 0 13.5 0.766 0.178 0.178 14.36 7.596 2.328 9.217 10.28 7.796 7.796 7.127 7.127 7.209 7.209 7.209 7.385 7.385 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 1.484 1.484 2.168 0.393 2.707 0 0.054 0 0 0.208 1.075 1.075 18.68 0.212 22.6 0 0 10.28 0 -0 -0 0.48 0.48 1.528 1.528 7.209 7.209 7.385 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 1.484 1.484 0.752 0.393 2.707 0 0 0 0.011 0.011 0.005 0 0 0 0 1.078 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.48 0.172 1.528 1.528 1.528 1.516 1.516 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 1.484 4E-18 0.752 0.752 1.101 1.101 0 0 0.011 0.005 0.005 0 0.071 0 0 1.078 0 0 0 0 -0 -0 0.172 0.172 1.734 1.734 1.734 1.949 1.516 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 4E-18 4E-18 0.752 0.752 0.752 1.101 1.101 -0 0.011 0.011 0.05 0.05 0.071 0.071 0 0 11.69 8.364 8.364 0 0 0 0 0.011 0.172 1.734 1.734 1.734 1.949 1.635 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 4E-18 0 0.752 0.752 1.484 1.484 1.101 -0 0.084 0 0 0.05 0.002 0.002 0 0 11.69 13.63 13.63 -0.01 -0.01 13.5 5.861 0 -0 2.338 2.338 2.338 1.949 1.635 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0.752 1.484 1.484 1.484 1.414 1.414 1.414 2.626 2.626 3.224 0.017 -0 11.15 0.084 0 21.32 10.62 -0 -0 2.179 5.253 -0 -0 2.351 1.436 1.436 0.888 0.888 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0.701 0.701 0.701 1.47 1.47 1.414 3.413 3.734 1.998 1.998 0.127 0.069 0 0.001 0.001 13.96 10.62 0.011 -0 -0 0.002 -0 -0 2.351 1.436 1.436 0.888 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0.701 0.701 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.414 2.715 2.992 1.371 1.371 0.127 0.127 0.127 0.001 0.001 13.96 10.62 0.011 0 0 0 0.003 0.003 2.351 1.436 1.436 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 8E-04 8E-04 0.701 0.701 1.134 1.134 21.41 2.715 2.992 1.371 1.371 0.127 0.127 0.127 2.985 0.859 0.859 11 11 2.32 2.32 1.094 1.094 1.582 1.582 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 8E-04 8E-04 0.701 1.134 1.134 1.134 2.022 2.022 7.14 7.14 0.839 1.34 1.34 2.985 2.985 1.848 0.859 11 11 2.32 2.32 1.094 1.094 1.582 1.582 0 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 6E-04 6E-04 6E-04 1.103 2.136 2.136 1.259 1.259 1.259 1.259 0.839 1.34 1.34 4.469 4.469 -0.04 1.119 13.75 13.75 4.87 4.87 1.548 1.548 0.711 0.711 2E-05 2E-05 2E-05 -0 -0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 6E-04 6E-04 6E-04 1.103 1.624 1.624 1.78 1.78 1E-05 0 0.839 1.34 1.34 4.074 2.996 1.119 1.119 13.75 3.556 2.992 2.992 0.8 0.8 0.813 0.813 2E-05 2E-05 2E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 6E-04 6E-04 6E-04 0 7E-06 7E-06 0.002 0.002 1E-05 0 4E-05 0 0 8.515 2.996 0.222 10.51 10.51 1.526 0.686 0.686 2E-05 2E-05 -0 -0 8E-05 8E-05 8E-05 4E-05 4E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7E-06 7E-06 0.002 1E-05 1E-05 0 4E-05 6E-05 6E-05 2E-04 2E-17 0.222 10.51 10.51 1.526 4E-05 4E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3E-05 3E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Base Case

High Scenario

In both the Base Case and High Scenario, large increases in employment are projected for a num-ber of areas, including: • Downtown (CBD - District 1)• Industrial areas (Northwest Industrial - District

7, Mistatim - District 17, South Industrial - District 16 and Southeast Industrial - District 20)

• Around the major post secondary institutions (University - District 2, Southgate - District 3, and North Central - District 8)

• Commercial areas in and adjacent to newly developing residential areas (e.g. Greisbach).

Change in Industry EmploymentCommercial and non-commercial26 services are the largest industry categories, collectively repre-senting 46 percent of total employment in the City of Edmonton in 2003. These two industry sectors are also responsible for most of the growth in em-ployment in the forecast period. In the Base Case, Commercial and Non-Commercial services ac-count for a total of 44,000 new jobs in Edmonton - 47 percent of the total employment increase. In the High Scenario these industry sectors account for a total of almost 80,000 new jobs - 52 percent of the total increase.



26 Non-commercial services include the education and health care sectors.

Figure 28Change in Total Employment by Industry 2003 to 2030

- 50 100 150

Primary Industries

Manufacturing

Construction

Utilities


Wholesale

Retail Trade


Commercial Services




2003 2030

- 50 100 150

Primary Industries

Manufacturing

Construction

Utilities


Wholesale

Retail Trade


Commercial Services





Base Case

Three other industry sectors are projected to grow at a rate above the average:• Manufacturing: Manufacturing is the fastest

growing industry sector in both the Base Case (35 percent growth) and High Scenario (58 percent growth).

• Retail Trade: Retail Trade is projected to grow by 29 percent and 47 percent in the Base Case and High Scenario respectively.

• Construction: Construction is projected grow to by 29 percent and 50 percent in the Base Case and High Scenario respectively.

All other industrial sectors are projected to grow at a rate below the average for total employ-ment.

Work At Home EmploymentWork at home is a special category of employ-ment, where the place of work is the worker’s residence.

Currently, work at home employment comprises approximately 4.8 percent of total employment. Overall, the number of persons working at home is expected to grow significantly faster than the total rate of employment. By 2030, work at home employment in the Base Case is projected to grow to 5.6 percent of total employment, and in the High Scenario, it is 6.2 percent of total employment.



Figure 29Change in Work at Home by Industry 2003 to 2030

- 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Primary Industries

Manufacturing

Construction

Utilities


Wholesale

Retail Trade


Commercial Services




2003 2030

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Primary Industries

Manufacturing

Construction

Utilities


Wholesale

Retail Trade


Commercial Services





Base Case

Most work at home employment is in the Com-mercial and Non-Commercial Services sectors and this is where the largest increases in work at home employment is projected to occur.

In absolute terms, work at home in Commercial Services is projected to create the most employ-ment: over 3,700 new jobs in the Base Case and over 6,000 new jobs in the High Scenario. Non-Commercial Services is projected to create 2,000 new work at home jobs in the Base Case and al-most 3,900 new jobs in the High Scenario.

In percentage terms, the fastest growing work at home sector is Retail Trade, where the increase in work at home employment is projected to be 68 percent in the Base Case. This represents an in-crease of work at home employment of just over 750 workers. In the High Scenario the increase is just over 1,300 workers, representing an increase of 121 percent over the 2003 figures of 1,100 workers.



Appendix A: Base Case Population by Age Cohort

City of Edmonton

2003 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 20300-4 39,219 39,667 42,175 44,037 44,494 43,782 42,601 5-9 39,630 38,762 38,537 40,496 42,129 42,760 42,075 10-14 42,656 41,620 38,333 37,767 39,548 41,319 41,913 15-19 45,817 45,804 44,758 41,084 40,327 42,252 44,037 20-24 56,230 57,619 58,186 56,571 52,067 50,911 53,182 25-29 57,932 60,102 64,817 65,276 63,270 58,721 58,054 30-34 52,466 53,524 59,261 63,240 63,465 61,871 57,980 35-39 52,343 50,781 52,512 57,419 60,978 61,495 60,035 40-44 57,718 56,623 50,528 51,754 56,309 60,015 60,502 45-49 54,692 56,815 56,916 50,517 51,616 56,400 60,036 50-54 43,128 46,923 54,648 54,308 48,193 49,520 54,035 55-59 34,222 37,973 45,537 52,651 52,357 46,739 47,970 60-64 26,527 28,727 38,948 46,304 53,512 53,523 47,798 65-69 23,099 23,775 28,712 38,480 45,668 52,944 52,902 70-74 20,793 21,490 22,983 27,454 36,494 43,387 50,119 75-79 15,630 17,196 18,669 19,854 23,680 31,610 37,538 80-84 10,422 11,848 13,399 14,437 15,369 18,477 24,623 85 + 7,961 9,660 12,576 14,809 16,425 17,825 20,506 Other 17,160 17,584 18,943 19,071 19,078 20,077 20,078 Total 697,644 716,493 760,437 795,530 824,980 853,625 875,983

Edmonton Region

2003 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 20300-4 17,384 17,696 19,341 21,135 22,305 22,551 22,5365-9 20,673 20,412 20,780 22,742 24,607 25,598 25,81710-14 24,156 23,823 22,476 22,998 25,002 26,730 27,75815-19 23,695 24,047 24,077 23,056 23,671 25,429 27,14120-24 16,576 17,415 18,355 18,953 18,620 19,122 20,64525-29 16,271 17,235 19,344 20,779 21,464 20,845 21,35530-34 19,591 20,184 23,025 25,825 27,246 27,462 26,55735-39 23,163 22,755 24,181 27,605 30,587 31,706 31,84940-44 27,025 26,840 24,670 26,379 29,902 32,674 33,81245-49 25,300 26,595 27,382 25,454 27,137 30,388 33,16750-54 21,525 23,764 28,399 29,495 27,313 28,735 32,09955-59 17,514 19,708 24,182 29,032 29,995 27,521 28,98160-64 11,033 12,154 16,911 21,053 25,306 25,945 23,91165-69 7,788 8,209 10,218 14,399 17,989 21,429 22,03870-74 5,987 6,179 6,862 8,689 12,251 15,087 18,01075-79 4,236 4,575 5,170 5,861 7,413 10,221 12,60080-84 2,879 3,165 3,718 4,270 4,828 5,986 8,22085 + 2,183 2,464 3,316 4,161 4,913 5,530 6,578Other 450 450 488 541 582 597 622Total 287,429 297,672 322,895 352,425 381,132 403,556 423,695



Appendix B: Base Case Population by Traffic District

District 2003 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 20301 CBD 10,970 12,110 13,641 14,418 15,098 15,946 16,484 2 University 20,977 21,781 23,137 24,058 24,247 24,247 24,247 3 Southgate 32,545 32,704 32,717 32,852 32,851 34,350 34,993 5 Jasper Place 56,801 57,074 57,103 57,121 57,414 57,666 57,690 8 North Central 41,309 41,569 42,007 42,210 42,405 42,478 42,359 9 Calder/Griesbach 22,217 22,311 23,691 25,306 27,632 30,334 31,885

10 Londonderry 49,738 50,264 51,441 51,616 51,978 52,248 52,512 11 Beverly 27,257 27,319 27,130 26,846 26,602 26,271 25,928 13 Capilano 29,374 29,325 29,661 29,841 29,887 29,979 29,930 14 Bonnie Doon 20,314 20,448 20,835 21,173 21,320 21,498 21,512 22 CBD Fringe 45,888 47,716 48,531 49,571 50,363 51,144 51,771

Inner City Total 357,390 362,619 369,895 375,011 379,798 386,161 389,3117 Northwest Industrial 838 843 835 824 809 792 777

16 South Industrial 9 9 9 8 8 7 6 17 Mistatim 246 246 242 238 233 226 219 20 Southeast Industrial 2,100 2,096 2,284 2,436 2,430 2,423 2,415 31 Cloverbar 44 44 42 40 38 37 35

Suburban Non-Residential Total 3,237 3,238 3,412 3,547 3,517 3,485 3,4524 Riverbend 26,992 29,045 33,682 37,911 39,819 41,129 42,667 6 West Jasper Place 59,114 59,820 59,931 60,315 60,429 60,122 59,768

12 Clareview 32,528 33,188 32,983 33,042 32,693 32,688 32,683 15 Mill Woods 85,431 85,986 84,351 82,554 81,970 81,970 81,970 18 Castle Downs 39,272 40,730 45,697 49,375 52,009 53,856 54,848 19 Lake District 22,755 24,967 33,382 38,479 41,421 44,384 47,958 21 Meadows 7,992 9,743 14,605 18,173 21,267 24,090 25,275 23 Kaskitayo 47,226 47,436 46,483 45,626 46,132 45,589 45,503 24 Ellerslie 1,420 2,332 7,241 12,277 16,626 19,142 21,045 25 Heritage Valley 3,467 4,622 9,217 11,773 13,415 16,497 18,328 26 Windermere 310 317 1,644 3,972 7,921 11,417 14,444 27 West Edmonton 5,165 6,958 12,389 17,927 22,446 26,342 30,005 28 Winterburn 2,531 2,527 2,521 2,515 2,508 3,774 5,772 29 Land Bank 478 499 501 499 487 473 459 30 Northeast Edmonton 2,334 2,466 2,502 2,532 2,522 2,508 2,496

Suburban Residential Total 337,016 350,636 387,130 416,972 441,664 463,979 483,219Total 697,643 716,493 760,437 795,530 824,980 853,625 875,983



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Univ

ersi

ty825

803

357

7,3

19

7,0

20

181

2,8

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124

1,4

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20

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73

South

gat

e1,7

77

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4,4

29

14,9

85

337

2,9

67

330

3,9

04

32

,54

55

Jasp

er P

lace

3,0

41

6,5

45

2,0

68

2,6

51

26,7

71

523

6,3

65

689

8,1

48

56

,80

18

Nort

h C

entr

al2,3

78

4,3

42

1,3

22

2,5

61

18,8

30

197

6,2

32

425

5,0

22

41

,30

99

Cal

der

/Gries

bac

h1,3

85

2,8

98

776

626

9,9

16

338

2,5

84

288

3,4

06

22

,21

710

Londonder

ry3,0

85

6,4

74

1,9

14

2,3

60

20,6

60

286

7,8

46

555

6,5

58

49

,73

811

Bev

erly

1,6

21

3,3

58

968

1,3

07

12,2

23

03,9

75

297

3,5

08

27

,25

713

Cap

ilano

1,4

63

3,0

84

915

1,2

71

13,3

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03,3

83

458

5,4

15

29

,37

414

Bonnie

Doon

1,0

96

1,9

12

570

1,2

75

9,7

35

208

2,3

54

247

2,9

19

20

,31

422

CBD

Fringe

2,1

91

2,6

38

989

3,8

76

21,2

64

1,1

35

7,6

87

476

5,6

31

45

,88

8In

ner

Cit

y T

ota

l1

9,2

67

35

,07

21

1,0

04

29

,33

81

60

,01

03

,20

54

8,5

44

3,9

74

46

,97

73

57

,39

07

Nort

hw

est

Indust

rial

923

38

232

81

463

218

83

816

South

Indust

rial

00

01

50

30

09

17

Mis

tatim

820

47

88

0113

17

24

620

South

east

Indust

rial

89

285

66

32

981

0488

12

146

2,1

00

31

Clo

verb

ar3

10

21

20

01

16

44

Su

bu

rban

No

n-R

esi

den

tial

To

tal

10

83

38

76

49

1,3

25

81

1,0

68

15

17

83

,23

84

Riv

erben

d1,5

04

3,6

23

1,2

20

2,1

55

13,1

15

02,7

31

206

2,4

36

26

,99

26

Wes

t Ja

sper

Pla

ce3,6

06

8,3

79

2,6

36

2,9

87

28,2

14

08,5

43

370

4,3

78

59

,11

412

Cla

revi

ew2,3

26

5,0

17

1,5

52

1,9

93

16,1

21

03,9

53

122

1,4

45

32

,52

815

Mill

Woods

5,9

17

13,5

40

4,2

71

4,8

27

41,5

45

15

10,1

88

400

4,7

27

85

,43

218

Cas

tle

Dow

ns

2,4

83

5,6

01

1,8

12

2,4

46

18,9

10

64

4,7

30

252

2,9

75

39

,27

219

Lake

Dis

tric

t1,5

33

3,4

20

1,0

40

1,4

98

10,1

50

03,6

63

113

1,3

37

22

,75

521

Mea

dow

s617

1,1

92

314

595

4,1

79

0525

44

525

7,9

92

23

Kas

kita

yo2,6

88

5,7

78

1,9

01

3,7

24

22,1

69

313

5,0

39

438

5,1

78

47

,22

624

Elle

rslie

81

100

44

105

670

0211

16

192

1,4

20

25

Her

itag

e Val

ley

241

277

106

234

1,8

75

0287

35

412

3,4

67

26

Win

der

mer

e17

40

16

22

154

035

225

31

027

Wes

t Edm

onto

n372

508

164

387

2,6

81

0504

43

507

5,1

65

28

Win

terb

urn

171

325

65

105

697

0892

22

255

2,5

31

29

Land B

ank

18

29

813

116

225

44

223

47

830

Nort

hea

st E

dm

onto

n132

254

68

13

275

314

998

22

258

2,3

34

Su

bu

rban

Resi

den

tial

To

tal

21

,70

74

8,0

84

15

,21

92

1,1

03

16

0,8

71

93

04

2,3

43

2,0

87

24

,67

33

37

,01

7To

tal

41

,08

18

3,4

94

26

,29

95

0,4

89

32

2,2

06

4,2

16

91

,95

46

,07

77

1,8

28

69

7,6

44



App

endi

x D

: Ba

se C

ase

Occ

upat

ion

by T

raffi

c D

istric

t

2003

Dis

tric

tP

re-

Sch

oo

lK

/Ele

m/

Jr

Hig

hS

en

ior

Hig

hP

ost

-S

eco

nd

ary

Ad

ult

W

ork

ers

No

t at

Ho

me

Ad

ult

in

stit

uti

on

Ad

ult

Oth

er

Sen

iors

Em

plo

yed

Sen

iors

R

eti

red

To

tal

1CBD

738

1,1

15

213

2,7

28

5,8

21

02,2

92

141

1,3

71

14

,41

82

Univ

ersi

ty1,3

44

2,1

11

441

7,7

43

7,8

78

209

1,9

87

218

2,1

27

24

,05

83

South

gat

e1,8

69

3,2

62

879

4,4

09

14,6

89

368

2,8

68

419

4,0

88

32

,85

25

Jasp

er P

lace

3,0

42

5,4

34

1,6

98

2,8

25

27,3

48

572

6,4

60

906

8,8

37

57

,12

18

Nort

h C

entr

al2,3

33

4,1

89

1,2

25

2,6

82

19,2

50

216

6,2

81

561

5,4

73

42

,21

09

Cal

der

/Gries

bac

h1,4

54

2,5

54

793

1,0

20

12,0

47

369

2,9

97

379

3,6

93

25

,30

610

Londonder

ry2,8

41

5,2

05

1,6

62

2,5

93

21,8

24

312

8,3

18

824

8,0

37

51

,61

611

Bev

erly

1,4

35

2,6

79

851

1,3

61

12,2

38

03,9

29

405

3,9

47

26

,84

613

Cap

ilano

1,5

47

2,7

26

837

1,3

97

14,1

00

03,5

34

530

5,1

70

29

,84

114

Bonnie

Doon

1,1

72

2,0

59

578

1,3

71

10,1

07

227

2,3

83

305

2,9

71

21

,17

322

CBD

Fringe

2,8

54

4,7

16

1,1

02

3,9

30

20,6

80

1,2

46

7,5

92

693

6,7

58

49

,57

1In

ner

Cit

y T

ota

l2

0,6

29

36

,04

91

0,2

79

32

,05

91

65

,98

33

,51

74

8,6

43

5,3

80

52

,47

33

75

,01

17

Nort

hw

est

Indust

rial

410

46

205

94

454

442

82

416

South

Indust

rial

00

00

40

20

18

17

Mis

tatim

612

46

82

0111

217

23

820

South

east

Indust

rial

114

198

67

48

1,1

25

0528

33

322

2,4

36

31

Clo

verb

ar2

52

223

02

04

40

Su

bu

rban

No

n-R

esi

den

tial To

tal

12

72

25

78

62

1,4

39

94

1,0

97

40

38

63

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74

Riv

erben

d2,3

10

3,6

36

1,0

86

3,0

32

18,0

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73

557

5,4

28

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16

Wes

t Ja

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ce3,3

53

6,1

48

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15

3,2

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28,8

66

08,5

61

758

7,3

89

60

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512

Cla

revi

ew1,9

66

3,7

14

1,2

09

2,1

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16,4

31

03,9

60

340

3,3

13

33

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215

Mill

Woods

4,6

47

9,0

30

3,1

01

4,9

44

40,9

52

16

9,8

56

931

9,0

79

82

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418

Cas

tle

Dow

ns

3,0

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5,0

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1,5

58

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23,7

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75

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98

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26

49

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Dis

tric

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3,9

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921

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dow

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1,9

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88

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209

2,0

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3,6

72

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4,6

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6,7

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5,8

54

01,3

44

164

1,5

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12

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Her

itag

e Val

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861

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273

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11

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der

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1,8

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57

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1,7

56

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1,3

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03

01,8

21

237

2,3

07

17

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Win

terb

urn

121

244

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104

641

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42

411

2,5

16

29

Land B

ank

11

23

711

100

246

62

435

50

030

Nort

hea

st E

dm

onto

n105

199

65

13

301

343

1,1

38

34

335

2,5

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Su

bu

rban

Resi

den

tial To

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25

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54

2,8

38

13

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52

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15

19

9,4

67

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21

50

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55

,27

85

1,4

77

41

6,9

73

To

tal

45

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07

9,1

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23

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0,3

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36

6,8

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4,6

32

10

0,0

05

10

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81

04

,33

67

95

,53

1



App

endi

x D

: Ba

se C

ase

Occ

upat

ion

by T

raffi

c D

istric

t

2015

Pre

- S

cho

ol

K/

Ele

m/

Jr

Hig

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en

ior

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ost

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eco

nd

ary

Ad

ult

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ork

ers

No

t at

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me

Ad

ult

in

stit

uti

on

Ad

ult

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er

Sen

iors

Em

plo

yed

Sen

iors

R

eti

red

To

tal

1CBD

649

1,2

90

392

2,9

44

6,1

36

02,2

27

308

2,5

40

16

,48

42

Univ

ersi

ty960

1,9

58

612

7,7

57

6,9

70

210

1,7

28

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3,6

14

24

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73

South

gat

e1,6

03

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16

957

5,4

63

13,9

11

370

2,5

29

761

6,2

83

34

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er P

lace

2,8

67

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54

1,6

33

2,8

33

25,3

68

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5,7

36

1,4

28

11,7

95

57

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08

Nort

h C

entr

al2,0

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3,9

33

1,1

98

2,6

46

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33

217

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97

982

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12

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Cal

der

/Gries

bac

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3,1

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929

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32

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85

371

3,2

20

740

6,1

12

31

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510

Londonder

ry2,6

97

5,1

09

1,5

31

2,6

96

20,8

75

314

7,8

72

1,2

33

10,1

84

52

,51

211

Bev

erly

1,2

84

2,4

45

742

1,3

30

10,8

36

03,4

56

630

5,2

06

25

,92

813

Cap

ilano

1,4

80

2,8

15

840

1,4

07

13,1

28

03,1

75

765

6,3

20

29

,93

014

Bonnie

Doon

1,0

41

2,0

09

611

1,3

64

9,2

78

228

2,0

91

528

4,3

62

21

,51

222

CBD

Fringe

2,3

92

4,7

23

1,4

53

4,0

20

19,3

18

1,2

54

7,0

06

1,2

53

10,3

51

51

,77

11

8,7

24

36

,03

81

0,8

97

33

,99

21

57

,43

63

,54

04

4,7

38

9,0

66

74

,88

03

89

,31

17

Nort

hw

est

Indust

rial

47

24

181

95

444

436

77

716

South

Indust

rial

00

00

20

10

26

17

Mis

tatim

59

35

70

0106

219

21

920

South

east

Indust

rial

109

205

60

46

1,0

09

0488

54

445

2,4

16

31

Clo

verb

ar2

41

220

01

15

35

11

92

25

66

57

1,2

82

95

1,0

39

62

50

83

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34

Riv

erben

d2,2

84

4,3

58

1,2

67

3,3

50

18,6

03

03,6

38

990

8,1

77

42

,66

76

Wes

t Ja

sper

Pla

ce3,0

08

5,7

22

1,7

23

3,1

63

25,9

88

07,4

28

1,3

75

11,3

60

59

,76

812

Cla

revi

ew1,6

94

3,2

28

986

2,0

49

14,6

54

03,3

79

723

5,9

70

32

,68

315

Mill

Woods

4,2

41

7,9

84

2,4

22

4,7

85

36,5

00

16

8,4

10

1,9

02

15,7

09

81

,97

018

Cas

tle

Dow

ns

2,9

32

5,5

84

1,6

43

3,7

61

24,0

87

75

5,4

06

1,2

27

10,1

33

54

,84

819

Lake

Dis

tric

t2,6

24

4,9

83

1,4

48

3,4

75

20,1

88

05,4

94

1,0

53

8,6

94

47

,95

821

Mea

dow

s1,4

30

2,7

20

778

1,9

76

11,6

10

01,9

53

519

4,2

89

25

,27

523

Kas

kita

yo2,2

64

4,3

08

1,2

98

3,6

25

19,2

23

344

4,1

17

1,1

15

9,2

09

45

,50

324

Elle

rslie

1,2

34

2,3

41

648

1,6

24

9,3

35

01,9

32

425

3,5

07

21

,04

625

Her

itag

e Val

ley

1,0

35

1,9

61

558

1,3

89

8,2

42

01,5

21

391

3,2

31

18

,32

826

Win

der

mer

e858

1,5

42

417

1,0

68

6,2

13

01,2

09

339

2,7

98

14

,44

427

Wes

t Edm

onto

n1,7

15

3,2

29

909

2,2

98

13,3

00

02,5

63

647

5,3

44

30

,00

528

Win

terb

urn

306

532

155

331

1,8

49

01,0

81

164

1,3

55

5,7

72

29

Land B

ank

816

59

77

248

55

537

46

030

Nort

hea

st E

dm

onto

n101

190

57

11

228

345

1,0

80

52

432

2,4

96

25

,73

54

8,6

98

14

,31

43

2,9

13

21

0,0

98

1,0

28

49

,26

51

0,9

26

90

,24

54

83

,22

24

4,5

78

84

,96

12

5,2

77

66

,96

13

68

,81

64

,66

39

5,0

43

20

,05

41

65

,63

38

75

,98

6

Dis

tric

t

Inn

er

Cit

y T

ota

l

Su

bu

rban

No

n-R

esi

den

tial To

tal

Su

bu

rban

Resi

den

tial To

tal

To

tal



App

endi

x D

: Ba

se C

ase

Occ

upat

ion

by T

raffi

c D

istric

t

2030

Appendix E: Base Case Employment Allocation by Traffic District

All IndustriesDistrict 2003 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

1 CBD 53,765 55,381 58,360 60,100 60,759 61,434 62,0502 University 21,885 22,194 22,579 22,886 23,105 23,320 23,5403 Southgate 17,330 17,354 17,967 18,568 19,045 19,383 19,7205 Jasper Place 16,948 17,028 17,095 17,173 17,301 17,408 17,4908 North Central 23,872 24,435 25,258 25,869 26,182 26,395 26,7389 Calder/Griesbach 3,352 3,378 3,639 3,853 4,121 4,480 4,605

10 Londonderry 9,681 9,778 10,031 10,136 10,206 10,239 10,27111 Beverly 6,031 6,054 6,061 6,070 6,073 6,074 6,07413 Capilano 13,607 14,335 15,256 16,049 16,562 17,024 17,45214 Bonnie Doon 24,341 24,370 24,951 25,400 25,504 25,550 25,55822 CBD Fringe 32,702 33,102 33,725 34,177 34,377 34,516 34,605

Inner City Total 223,515 227,409 234,923 240,281 243,236 245,824 248,1067 Northwest Industrial 38,474 40,687 42,917 44,561 45,751 46,582 47,376

16 South Industrial 14,288 15,199 16,219 17,006 17,695 18,339 18,98017 Mistatim 8,673 9,697 11,108 12,029 12,581 13,061 13,52420 Southeast Industrial 12,617 13,872 15,532 16,919 18,933 21,421 23,91831 Cloverbar 2,410 2,722 2,835 2,923 2,960 3,285 3,612

Suburban Non-Residential Total 76,461 82,178 88,612 93,439 97,919 102,688 107,4114 Riverbend 3,603 3,840 4,537 4,998 5,204 5,423 5,6566 West Jasper Place 16,426 17,052 17,851 18,498 18,657 18,803 18,949

12 Clareview 5,556 5,705 5,884 6,024 6,774 6,809 6,83215 Mill Woods 11,273 11,524 11,822 12,067 12,254 12,431 12,60518 Castle Downs 4,955 5,148 6,350 7,141 7,769 8,436 9,03819 Lake District 1,924 2,167 3,298 3,782 4,077 4,498 5,06421 Meadows 886 1,079 1,707 2,062 2,432 2,822 2,96223 Kaskitayo 9,705 9,832 10,007 10,159 10,293 10,282 10,29924 Ellerslie 1,627 2,973 4,074 5,933 7,973 8,815 9,63125 Heritage Valley 795 911 1,671 1,950 2,240 2,726 3,00226 Windermere 467 703 1,144 1,694 2,434 3,058 3,63227 West Edmonton 759 956 1,868 2,576 3,272 3,896 4,51228 Winterburn 2,869 3,721 5,251 5,438 5,678 6,373 7,12829 Land Bank 529 529 529 529 529 529 52930 Northeast Edmonton 1,555 1,580 1,631 1,681 1,727 1,774 1,821




Appendix F: Base Case Employment Allocation by Traffic District and Industry Sector

RetailDistrict 2003 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

1 CBD 1,912 2,010 2,133 2,192 2,212 2,228 2,2392 University 552 565 586 601 605 607 6083 Southgate 4,015 4,019 4,079 4,128 4,146 4,156 4,1675 Jasper Place 3,024 3,030 3,031 3,032 3,038 3,043 3,0458 North Central 3,294 3,307 3,408 3,489 3,518 3,528 3,5349 Calder/Griesbach 458 462 489 517 550 594 617

10 Londonderry 2,636 2,650 2,739 2,802 2,826 2,834 2,84011 Beverly 837 839 842 844 845 845 84513 Capilano 1,092 1,168 1,271 1,358 1,429 1,494 1,55714 Bonnie Doon 2,355 2,358 2,404 2,441 2,450 2,455 2,45622 CBD Fringe 2,778 2,802 2,821 2,841 2,852 2,864 2,873


16 South Industrial 2,395 2,591 2,798 2,939 3,067 3,189 3,31017 Mistatim 641 767 914 1,031 1,114 1,191 1,26720 Southeast Industrial 913 1,092 1,326 1,503 1,789 2,222 2,65831 Cloverbar 33 57 64 69 71 95 120

Suburban Non-Residential Total 8,292 9,137 10,029 10,686 11,343 12,101 12,8554 Riverbend 322 353 431 495 530 560 5906 West Jasper Place 5,530 5,767 6,067 6,310 6,362 6,399 6,432

12 Clareview 1,729 1,765 1,801 1,829 1,986 1,993 1,99815 Mill Woods 1,465 1,479 1,518 1,549 1,566 1,577 1,58818 Castle Downs 1,080 1,110 1,282 1,427 1,542 1,655 1,76319 Lake District 322 354 477 553 599 653 72221 Meadows 165 191 261 312 361 411 43623 Kaskitayo 2,350 2,385 2,411 2,435 2,454 2,457 2,45924 Ellerslie 264 532 693 1,031 1,417 1,580 1,73525 Heritage Valley 146 163 281 339 392 463 51826 Windermere 106 167 253 354 477 593 70227 West Edmonton 51 77 208 310 432 544 65328 Winterburn 257 431 743 782 826 939 1,06229 Land Bank 0 0 0 0 0 0 030 Northeast Edmonton 40 41 42 43 43 44 45





ServiceDistrict 2003 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030




16 South Industrial 3,984 4,259 4,566 4,807 5,019 5,219 5,41817 Mistatim 1,350 1,603 1,892 2,118 2,268 2,405 2,53920 Southeast Industrial 2,763 3,099 3,549 3,921 4,495 5,332 6,17431 Cloverbar 224 278 295 309 314 371 428


12 Clareview 1,675 1,730 1,794 1,845 2,137 2,151 2,15915 Mill Woods 3,860 3,888 3,954 4,005 4,030 4,047 4,06418 Castle Downs 1,752 1,819 2,191 2,494 2,733 2,972 3,19519 Lake District 717 797 1,109 1,301 1,418 1,553 1,72821 Meadows 309 373 550 680 803 931 99523 Kaskitayo 4,502 4,558 4,610 4,661 4,705 4,711 4,71724 Ellerslie 561 1,073 1,422 2,106 2,872 3,203 3,51225 Heritage Valley 320 362 591 706 807 957 1,06326 Windermere 179 263 403 582 817 1,034 1,23527 West Edmonton 321 386 658 891 1,137 1,356 1,56728 Winterburn 808 1,136 1,725 1,797 1,876 2,095 2,33829 Land Bank 15 15 15 15 15 15 1530 Northeast Edmonton 177 179 183 187 191 194 197





Other Industries2003 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



122,903 125,225 129,612 132,895 134,919 136,644 138,2277 Northwest Industrial 23,865 25,057 26,323 27,256 27,925 28,402 28,858


49,551 52,801 56,613 59,438 61,956 64,485 66,9784 Riverbend 1,581 1,708 2,129 2,364 2,447 2,561 2,6876 West Jasper Place 3,324 3,454 3,628 3,762 3,803 3,861 3,924

12 Clareview 2,152 2,210 2,289 2,349 2,651 2,665 2,67415 Mill Woods 5,948 6,157 6,350 6,513 6,659 6,806 6,95318 Castle Downs 2,124 2,219 2,876 3,221 3,494 3,808 4,08019 Lake District 884 1,015 1,712 1,928 2,059 2,293 2,61521 Meadows 411 515 897 1,071 1,268 1,480 1,53123 Kaskitayo 2,853 2,889 2,986 3,064 3,134 3,114 3,12324 Ellerslie 802 1,367 1,959 2,797 3,684 4,033 4,38425 Heritage Valley 329 386 799 905 1,041 1,306 1,42126 Windermere 182 272 489 758 1,140 1,431 1,69527 West Edmonton 386 492 1,002 1,375 1,703 1,997 2,29228 Winterburn 1,805 2,154 2,783 2,859 2,977 3,340 3,72829 Land Bank 514 514 514 514 514 514 51430 Northeast Edmonton 1,338 1,360 1,405 1,451 1,493 1,536 1,580

24,634 26,715 31,817 34,931 38,067 40,745 43,201197,087 204,741 218,041 227,264 234,942 241,874 248,406

Suburban Residential TotalTotal

District

Inner City Total

Suburban Non-Residential Total



Dis

tric

t

Primary Industries

Manufacturing

Construction

Utilities

Transportation, Storage & Communications

Wholesale

Retail Trade


commercial Services

Non-commercial Services

Public Admin & Defence

Total Employment

1C

BD

34

03

27

38

31

,58

37

,33

95

71

1,9

12

7,7

07

17

,78

24

,66

71

1,1

53

53

,76

52

Univ

ers

ity

40

13

63

35

04

05

11

05

52

40

53

,37

61

6,3

49

17

72

1,8

85

3S

outh

gate

12

58

61

38

90

86

15

66

4,0

15

1,0

47

5,3

50

2,4

77

1,6

40

17

,33

05

Jasp

er

Pla

ce6

51

65

39

91

02

91

19

03

,02

41

,23

75

,11

55

,85

55

96

16

,94

88

Nort

h C

entr

al

27

32

,23

86

83

82

2,2

87

89

43

,29

49

95

5,6

23

5,6

49

1,8

54

23

,87

29

Cald

er/

Gri

esb

ach

15

85

87

01

96

85

45

82

76

78

71

,22

71

35

3,3

52

10

Londonderr

y6

51

61

16

51

01

58

16

52

,63

64

65

2,3

47

3,1

72

33

79

,68

11

1B

everl

y7

02

45

25

82

01

95

20

58

37

13

62

,61

41

,21

12

40

6,0

31

13

Cap

ilan

o2

61

2,1

41

58

91

08

1,0

65

95

51

,09

28

68

3,3

71

2,4

81

67

61

3,6

07

14

Bonnie

D

oon

68

15

,31

51

,83

21

85

1,8

54

3,3

86

2,3

55

1,2

13

5,5

17

1,5

47

45

62

4,3

41

22

CB

D Fr

inge

11

11

,56

76

12

25

08

21

63

12

,77

81

,70

99

,72

01

0,0

73

4,4

31

32

,70

2In

ner

Cit

y T

ota

l2

,04

61

3,2

41

5,7

32

2,2

49

15

,47

37

,76

02

2,9

54

16

,05

76

1,6

01

54

,70

72

1,6

95

22

3,5

15

7N

ort

hw

est

In

dust

rial

19

76

,36

52

,98

71

30

4,8

51

7,8

42

4,3

11

1,7

71

8,5

28

87

26

20

38

,47

41

6S

outh

In

dust

rial

59

52

,95

79

22

12

76

11

,88

12

,39

55

93

3,3

91

27

35

10

14

,28

81

7M

ista

tim

75

2,5

63

60

11

41

1,2

37

1,9

18

64

13

47

1,0

03

10

73

98

,67

32

0S

outh

east

In

dust

rial

55

84

,06

51

,33

31

96

1,3

07

1,3

52

91

32

35

2,5

27

57

73

12

,61

73

1C

loverb

ar

12

11

,27

42

63

78

33

16

93

31

42

10

11

62

,41

0S

ub

urb

an

Non

-Resi

den

tial Tota

l1

,54

71

7,2

24

6,1

06

55

68

,48

71

3,0

62

8,2

92

2,9

60

15

,65

81

,31

11

,25

97

6,4

61

4R

iverb

end

61

92

15

20

53

11

63

22

44

21

,25

81

,02

38

53

,60

36

West

Ja

sper

Pla

ce7

92

73

28

90

48

43

29

5,5

30

1,0

06

6,5

66

1,7

78

92

16

,42

61

2C

lare

vie

w1

22

37

21

76

52

02

18

61

,72

92

97

1,3

77

1,0

80

15

25

,55

61

5M

ill

Woods

70

10

02

27

03

91

11

61

,46

55

88

3,2

73

4,8

69

17

61

1,2

73

18

Cast

le D

ow

ns

36

10

62

49

10

22

31

49

1,0

80

32

61

,42

61

,11

02

40

4,9

55

19

Lake D

istr

ict

11

12

15

30

28

36

13

22

17

25

45

35

01

51

,92

42

1M

eadow

s4

11

78

80

41

11

65

60

25

02

20

48

86

23

Kask

itayo

56

96

15

71

09

81

35

2,3

50

68

23

,82

02

,13

31

68

9,7

05

24

Ellers

lie

54

22

91

40

31

97

10

92

64

70

49

11

10

32

1,6

27

25

Heri

tage V

alley

56

44

78

75

71

46

32

28

81

21

10

79

52

6W

inderm

ere

33

52

19

31

02

31

06

15

16

42

61

54

67

27

West

Edm

onto

n3

14

28

01

03

13

15

13

02

91

15

84

75

92

8W

inte

rburn

77

50

45

30

72

96

33

32

57

11

46

94

47

10

2,8

69

29

Land

Bank

96

27

00

10

10

00

15

03

71

52

93

0N

ort

heast

Edm

onto

n1

52

01

50

25

04

01

01

67

1,0

85

61

1,5

55

Su

bu

rban

Resi

den

tial Tota

l8

66

1,8

32

2,3

95

14

32

,25

01

,60

41

3,8

27

3,8

43

20

,62

51

4,1

10

1,4

34

62

,92

9Tota

l4

,45

93

2,2

97

14

,23

32

,94

82

6,2

10

22

,42

64

5,0

74

22

,86

09

7,8

84

70

,12

72

4,3

88

36

2,9

05



App

endi

x G

: Ba

se C

ase

Empl

oym

ent b

y Tr

affic

Dist

rict a

nd In

dust

ry

2003

Dis

tric

t

Primary Industries

Manufacturing

Construction

Utilities


Wholesale

Retail Trade


commercial Services



Total Employment

1C

BD

35

13

70

43

41

,69

28

,27

76

90

2,1

92

8,4

58

20

,10

45

,79

01

1,7

41

60

,10

02

Univ

ers

ity

42

14

03

49

04

27

11

26

01

42

33

,50

81

7,0

97

18

92

2,8

86

3S

outh

gate

12

68

81

39

90

88

75

78

4,1

28

1,0

64

5,5

65

3,2

86

1,6

53

18

,56

85

Jasp

er

Pla

ce6

51

66

39

21

02

94

19

03

,03

21

,23

95

,13

56

,05

15

98

17

,17

38

Nort

h C

entr

al

29

22

,39

87

33

97

2,4

47

93

13

,48

91

,05

06

,00

16

,53

51

,89

72

5,8

69

9C

ald

er/

Gri

esb

ach

17

89

14

20

21

08

75

17

29

99

13

1,4

35

14

43

,85

31

0Londonderr

y6

61

65

15

51

01

71

16

72

,80

24

85

2,4

72

3,2

99

34

51

0,1

36

11

Beverl

y7

02

49

25

72

01

97

20

78

44

13

82

,62

71

,22

02

41

6,0

70

13

Cap

ilan

o2

97

2,5

79

72

01

20

1,2

93

1,1

91

1,3

58

97

54

,06

52

,60

88

44

16

,04

91

4B

onnie

D

oon

71

65

,56

51

,91

81

99

1,9

51

3,5

20

2,4

41

1,2

75

5,7

29

1,6

06

48

02

5,4

00

22

CB

D Fr

inge

11

31

,57

36

04

25

18

39

63

42

,84

11

,73

49

,88

41

1,0

38

4,6

66

34

,17

7In

ner

Cit

y T

ota

l2

,15

51

4,1

74

6,1

03

2,3

99

16

,99

38

,30

72

4,2

44

17

,14

06

6,0

02

59

,96

62

2,7

97

24

0,2

81

7N

ort

hw

est

In

dust

rial

24

87

,47

93

,39

31

60

5,4

82

8,8

12

5,1

45

2,1

10

10

,05

09

58

72

54

4,5

61

16

South

In

dust

rial

67

73

,45

41

,05

11

79

36

2,1

79

2,9

39

68

04

,12

73

08

63

71

7,0

06

17

Mis

tati

m1

22

3,5

08

82

81

86

1,6

24

2,4

32

1,0

31

43

11

,68

61

28

53

12

,02

92

0S

outh

east

In

dust

rial

69

15

,31

81

,74

92

23

1,5

47

1,7

56

1,5

03

37

13

,55

09

71

15

16

,91

93

1C

loverb

ar

14

11

,49

33

10

91

39

29

86

92

02

89

31

92

,92

3S

ub

urb

an

Non

-Resi

den

tial Tota

l1

,87

82

1,2

51

7,3

30

67

89

,98

21

5,2

77

10

,68

63

,61

21

9,7

02

1,4

93

1,5

49

93

,43

94

Riv

erb

end

65

10

42

33

09

51

21

49

55

08

1,6

30

1,6

37

11

04

,99

86

West

Ja

sper

Pla

ce9

23

52

32

80

54

43

82

6,3

10

1,0

92

7,3

34

1,9

38

12

61

8,4

98

12

Cla

revie

w1

92

90

22

96

62

24

21

61

,82

93

18

1,5

27

1,1

38

16

76

,02

41

5M

ill

Woods

71

10

52

30

04

02

12

01

,54

96

17

3,3

88

5,4

01

18

41

2,0

67

18

Cast

le D

ow

ns

53

25

33

74

16

31

22

23

1,4

27

43

12

,06

31

,71

02

81

7,1

41

19

Lake D

istr

ict

16

27

26

20

33

96

85

53

26

11

,04

01

,16

84

83

,78

22

1M

eadow

s4

42

61

54

07

75

31

21

16

56

47

39

25

2,0

62

23

Kask

itayo

59

11

41

87

10

11

21

46

2,4

35

70

23

,95

92

,25

61

79

10

,15

92

4Ellers

lie

10

27

34

43

65

63

16

35

51

,03

12

86

1,8

20

70

79

15

,93

32

5H

eri

tage V

alley

65

96

11

77

45

40

33

98

36

23

49

44

21

,95

02

6W

inderm

ere

48

15

41

25

35

58

83

54

60

52

22

24

61

1,6

94

27

West

Edm

onto

n4

09

12

22

10

88

60

31

01

10

78

18

18

45

2,5

76

28

Win

terb

urn

11

59

29

66

92

94

52

54

07

82

24

91

,54

88

44

25

,43

82

9La

nd

Bank

96

27

00

10

10

00

15

03

71

52

93

0N

ort

heast

Edm

onto

n1

60

01

60

25

04

31

01

77

1,1

83

67

1,6

81

Su

bu

rban

Resi

den

tial Tota

l1

,04

53

,30

23

,58

21

97

3,0

95

2,3

73

17

,77

04

,84

22

6,9

91

19

,49

81

,83

88

4,5

34

Tota

l5

,07

83

8,7

28

17

,01

63

,27

43

0,0

70

25

,95

85

2,7

01

25

,59

41

12

,69

58

0,9

57

26

,18

44

18

,25

5



App

endi

x G

: Ba

se C

ase

Empl

oym

ent b

y Tr

affic

Dist

rict a

nd In

dust

ry

2015

Dis

tric

t

Primary Industries

Manufacturing

Construction

Utilities


Wholesale

Retail Trade


commercial Services



Total Employment

1C

BD

35

33

81

44

81

,71

38

,84

77

17

2,2

39

8,6

22

20

,63

56

,22

31

1,8

72

62

,05

02

Univ

ers

ity

42

14

23

28

04

39

11

36

08

42

53

,55

11

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7



App

endi

x G

: Ba

se C

ase

Empl

oym

ent b

y Tr

affic

Dist

rict a

nd In

dust

ry

2030

Appendix H: High Scenario Population by Age Cohort

City of Edmonton

2003 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 20300-4 39,219 39,667 42,355 45,674 48,157 49,257 49,443 5-9 39,630 38,762 38,734 42,039 45,134 47,691 48,713 10-14 42,656 41,620 38,489 39,087 42,223 45,411 47,858 15-19 45,817 45,804 44,962 42,419 42,897 46,189 49,419 20-24 56,230 57,619 58,747 59,731 56,632 56,707 60,585 25-29 57,932 60,102 65,272 69,309 70,101 66,813 67,572 30-34 52,466 53,524 59,619 66,256 69,946 70,887 68,315 35-39 52,343 50,781 52,785 59,805 65,881 69,612 70,600 40-44 57,718 56,623 50,728 53,521 60,187 66,316 69,954 45-49 54,692 56,815 57,058 51,773 54,514 61,354 67,425 50-54 43,128 46,923 54,738 55,144 50,174 53,016 59,591 55-59 34,222 37,973 45,599 53,216 53,699 49,184 51,912 60-64 26,527 28,727 39,003 46,731 54,465 55,267 50,700 65-69 23,099 23,775 28,761 38,872 46,455 54,246 55,009 70-74 20,793 21,490 23,024 27,826 37,192 44,459 51,710 75-79 15,630 17,196 18,700 20,104 24,235 32,434 38,713 80-84 10,422 11,848 13,419 14,599 15,718 19,043 25,412 85 + 7,961 9,660 12,593 14,936 16,705 18,277 21,227 Other 17,160 17,584 18,969 19,196 19,467 21,546 21,660 Total 697,644 716,493 763,557 820,239 873,782 927,709 975,819

Edmonton Region

2003 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 20300-4 17,386 17,696 19,431 21,942 24,161 25,354 26,0895-9 20,673 20,412 20,886 23,618 26,361 28,505 29,78610-14 24,156 23,824 22,570 23,806 26,690 29,334 31,59015-19 23,695 24,047 24,183 23,822 25,163 27,750 30,34820-24 16,576 17,411 18,525 19,959 20,160 21,177 23,27125-29 16,272 17,235 19,474 22,024 23,690 23,578 24,61430-34 19,592 20,184 23,167 27,013 29,924 31,304 31,03135-39 23,163 22,755 24,308 28,740 33,010 35,787 37,24740-44 27,025 26,841 24,764 27,282 31,937 36,033 38,91145-49 25,300 26,595 27,453 26,100 28,626 32,980 37,09050-54 21,525 23,764 28,452 29,976 28,422 30,714 35,23255-59 17,514 19,708 24,219 29,369 30,777 28,912 31,25860-64 11,034 12,156 16,939 21,277 25,797 26,786 25,27865-69 7,788 8,209 10,240 14,584 18,314 21,942 22,85570-74 5,987 6,179 6,874 8,817 12,494 15,443 18,51575-79 4,236 4,575 5,179 5,941 7,585 10,477 12,94080-84 2,879 3,164 3,724 4,321 4,935 6,161 8,45485 + 2,183 2,464 3,321 4,202 5,000 5,667 6,779Other 450 450 505 576 632 674 694Total 287,433 297,671 324,215 363,369 403,678 438,579 471,983



Appendix I: High Scenario Population by Traffic District

District 2003 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 20301 CBD 10,970 12,110 13,824 15,609 17,366 18,291 19,5392 University 20,977 21,781 23,173 24,730 25,092 25,099 25,1073 Southgate 32,545 32,703 32,896 33,013 33,316 36,259 37,5995 Jasper Place 56,801 57,074 57,106 57,327 58,035 58,228 58,4818 North Central 41,309 41,569 42,048 42,775 43,074 43,403 43,3139 Calder/Griesbach 22,217 22,311 24,176 26,252 28,877 32,177 34,512


Inner City Total 357,390 362,619 371,115 381,266 390,786 401,359 409,2687 Northwest Industrial 838 843 835 829 818 807 796

16 South Industrial 9 9 9 8 8 7 617 Mistatim 246 246 243 241 237 232 22720 Southeast Industrial 2,100 2,096 2,278 2,439 2,435 2,430 2,42531 Cloverbar 44 44 42 41 40 39 38


12 Clareview 32,528 33,188 33,068 33,902 34,417 34,414 34,41115 Mill Woods 85,431 85,986 84,573 84,254 84,019 84,019 84,01918 Castle Downs 39,272 40,730 45,827 52,430 57,140 61,291 63,75219 Lake District 22,755 24,967 33,848 42,420 47,370 52,440 59,13721 Meadows 7,992 9,743 14,655 18,647 23,636 27,729 31,52423 Kaskitayo 47,226 47,436 46,604 46,548 47,467 47,309 47,51924 Ellerslie 1,420 2,332 7,270 13,157 19,128 24,824 29,94925 Heritage Valley East 3,467 4,622 9,425 13,196 16,514 22,566 27,49626 Windermere 310 317 1,852 5,370 10,892 16,192 21,15327 West Edmonton 5,165 6,958 12,396 19,033 26,631 34,066 40,21928 Winterburn 2,531 2,527 2,522 2,518 2,707 4,449 7,16329 Land Bank 478 499 504 513 514 512 51230 Northeast Edmonton 2,334 2,466 2,509 2,585 2,595 2,601 2,609




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6,1

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3,8

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10

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9,9

54

5,2

04

11

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3,9

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7,1

93

12

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83

5,9

27

9,0

03

13

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73

7,2

25

10

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41

3,4

11

38

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51

2,1

57

19

Lake D

istr

ict

6,6

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14

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11

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06

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6,2

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2,0

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7,7

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7,9

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5,4

12

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83

0,2

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6,9

37

11

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53

2,1

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8,8

56

12

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33

5,3

44

11

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02

1M

eadow

s2

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05

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25

70

2,5

30

6,2

70

94

23

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29

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01

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2,3

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2,2

48

5,1

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15

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73

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46

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41

7,0

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4,6

24

6,8

22

18

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11

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62

9,4

36

5,6

16

11

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72

9,6

64

5,9

86

10

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9,1

97

6,6

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9,5

60

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52

8,7

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8,5

71

9,4

13

27

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69

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59

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12

7,6

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9,9

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24

Ellers

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59

20

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98

1,5

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5,0

51

4,3

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6,5

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17

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5H

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tage V

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69

12

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54

47

87

33

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47

01

1,8

69

6,3

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1,2

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2,7

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3,5

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3,6

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93

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54

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81

2,2

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4,3

96

27

West

Edm

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n1

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63

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95

50

1,4

17

4,6

02

93

92

,52

68

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41

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53

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2,5

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2,6

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5,6

14

16

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64

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17

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52

0,6

05

6,0

56

8,7

13

23

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17

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52

8W

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rburn

60

21

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42

76

59

51

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13

12

54

81

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83

88

50

31

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47

51

41

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65

39

83

72

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81

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28

53

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13

44

81

35

39

44

12

64

14

01

18

43

37

11

14

23

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heast

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1,2

29

28

04

84

1,2

34

29

94

43

1,2

61

33

14

21

1,2

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37

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10

1,2

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Resi

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24

35

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77

7,9

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5,8

53

44

9,0

86

83

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6,4

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16

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5,4

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11

6,3

37

17

8,4

10

53

5,5

99

14

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18

8,5

48

54

9,1

55

16

8,4

60

19

5,4

33

56

6,6

55

19

2,0

71

No

te:

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e c

oh

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s d

o n

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incl

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e H

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nt,

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ult

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stit

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on

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Seco

nd

ary

Ed

uca

tio

n f

or

wh

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th

ere

is

no

ag

e i

nfo

rmati

on

.



App

endi

x J:

Hig

h Sc

enar

io P

opul

atio

n by

Agg

rega

te A

ge C

ateg

ory

and

Traf

fic D

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t

Pre

- S

cho

ol

K/

Ele

m/

Jr

Hig

hS

en

ior

Hig

hP

ost

-S

eco

nd

ary

Ad

ult

W

ork

ers

No

t at

Ho

me

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ult

in

stit

uti

on

Ad

ult

Oth

er

Sen

iors

Em

plo

yed

Sen

iors

R

eti

red

To

tal

1CBD

405

185

140

1,6

62

5,2

23

02,2

66

85

1,0

03

10

,97

02

Univ

ersi

ty825

803

357

7,3

19

7,0

20

181

2,8

85

124

1,4

63

20

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73

South

gat

e1,7

77

2,8

30

985

4,4

29

14,9

85

337

2,9

67

330

3,9

04

32

,54

55

Jasp

er P

lace

3,0

41

6,5

45

2,0

68

2,6

51

26,7

71

523

6,3

65

689

8,1

48

56

,80

18

Nort

h C

entr

al2,3

78

4,3

42

1,3

22

2,5

61

18,8

30

197

6,2

32

425

5,0

22

41

,30

99

Cal

der

/Gries

bac

h1,3

85

2,8

98

776

626

9,9

16

338

2,5

84

288

3,4

06

22

,21

710

Londonder

ry3,0

85

6,4

74

1,9

14

2,3

60

20,6

60

286

7,8

46

555

6,5

58

49

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811

Bev

erly

1,6

21

3,3

58

968

1,3

07

12,2

23

03,9

75

297

3,5

08

27

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Cap

ilano

1,4

63

3,0

84

915

1,2

71

13,3

85

03,3

83

458

5,4

15

29

,37

414

Bonnie

Doon

1,0

96

1,9

12

570

1,2

75

9,7

35

208

2,3

54

247

2,9

19

20

,31

422

CBD

Fringe

2,1

91

2,6

38

989

3,8

76

21,2

64

1,1

35

7,6

87

476

5,6

31

45

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81

9,2

67

35

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21

1,0

04

29

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81

60

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03

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54

8,5

44

3,9

74

46

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73

57

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07

Nort

hw

est

Indust

rial

923

38

232

81

463

218

83

816

South

Indust

rial

00

01

50

30

09

17

Mis

tatim

820

47

88

0113

17

24

620

South

east

Indust

rial

89

285

66

32

981

0488

12

146

2,1

00

31

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verb

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10

21

20

01

16

44

10

83

38

76

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1,0

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15

17

83

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55

13,1

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02,7

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206

2,4

36

26

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26

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ce3,6

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8,3

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2,6

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2,9

87

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14

08,5

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370

4,3

78

59

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412

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5,0

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1,5

52

1,9

93

16,1

21

03,9

53

122

1,4

45

32

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815

Mill

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5,9

17

13,5

40

4,2

71

4,8

27

41,5

45

15

10,1

88

400

4,7

27

85

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218

Cas

tle

Dow

ns

2,4

83

5,6

01

1,8

12

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46

18,9

10

64

4,7

30

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2,9

75

39

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219

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3,4

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63

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1,3

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314

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69

313

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39

438

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47

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100

44

105

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16

192

1,4

20

25

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ley

241

277

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35

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3,4

67

26

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40

16

22

154

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225

31

027

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t Edm

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164

387

2,6

81

0504

43

507

5,1

65

28

Win

terb

urn

171

325

65

105

697

0892

22

255

2,5

31

29

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ank

18

29

813

116

225

44

223

47

830

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hea

st E

dm

onto

n132

254

68

13

275

314

998

22

258

2,3

34

21

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74

8,0

84

15

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92

1,1

03

16

0,8

71

93

04

2,3

43

2,0

87

24

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33

37

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74

1,0

81

83

,49

42

6,2

99

50

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93

22

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64

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69

1,9

54

6,0

77

71

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86

97

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4

Dis

tric

t

Inn

er

Cit

y T

ota

l

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bu

rban

No

n-R

esi

den

tial To

tal

Su

bu

rban

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den

tial To

tal

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App

endi

x K:

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h Sc

enar

io O

ccup

atio

n by

Tra

ffic

Dist

rict

2003

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cho

ol

K/

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m/

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t at

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me

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ult

in

stit

uti

on

Ad

ult

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er

Sen

iors

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plo

yed

Sen

iors

R

eti

red

To

tal

1CBD

831

1,2

04

239

2,8

93

6,3

91

02,3

99

154

1,4

98

15

,60

92

Univ

ersi

ty1,3

89

2,1

84

457

7,9

75

7,6

77

216

2,4

64

220

2,1

48

24

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03

South

gat

e1,8

62

3,3

58

890

4,5

57

14,5

90

380

2,9

62

411

4,0

04

33

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35

Jasp

er P

lace

3,0

30

5,5

69

1,7

19

2,9

08

27,4

73

591

6,4

24

894

8,7

18

57

,32

78

Nort

h C

entr

al2,3

58

4,3

25

1,2

47

2,7

63

19,5

60

223

6,3

06

557

5,4

36

42

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59

Cal

der

/Gries

bac

h1,5

22

2,6

56

826

1,0

90

12,5

46

381

3,1

06

384

3,7

41

26

,25

210

Londonder

ry2,8

44

5,3

51

1,6

86

2,6

78

22,0

14

323

8,2

94

816

7,9

54

51

,95

911

Bev

erly

1,4

58

2,7

89

868

1,4

13

12,4

55

03,9

88

404

3,9

41

27

,31

613

Cap

ilano

1,5

56

2,7

87

852

1,4

49

14,2

45

03,5

37

526

5,1

32

30

,08

414

Bonnie

Doon

1,2

01

2,1

26

594

1,4

41

10,3

59

235

2,4

01

305

2,9

79

21

,63

922

CBD

Fringe

2,9

07

4,8

54

1,1

30

4,1

14

21,1

51

1,2

88

7,6

85

691

6,7

41

50

,56

12

0,9

58

37

,20

31

0,5

07

33

,28

11

68

,46

23

,63

64

9,5

66

5,3

62

52

,29

13

81

,26

67

Nort

hw

est

Indust

rial

411

46

206

97

454

442

82

916

South

Indust

rial

00

00

40

20

18

17

Mis

tatim

612

46

83

0111

217

24

120

South

east

Indust

rial

114

199

68

50

1,1

30

0528

32

317

2,4

39

31

Clo

verb

ar2

52

223

02

04

41

12

72

27

79

64

1,4

46

97

1,0

97

39

38

13

,55

84

Riv

erben

d2,4

21

3,7

31

1,1

33

3,2

47

18,8

74

03,8

56

565

5,5

09

39

,33

66

Wes

t Ja

sper

Pla

ce3,4

18

6,4

00

2,0

56

3,3

93

29,4

66

08,6

22

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7,3

94

61

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612

Cla

revi

ew2,0

15

3,8

94

1,2

35

2,2

15

16,8

53

04,0

14

342

3,3

35

33

,90

215

Mill

Woods

4,7

29

9,4

80

3,1

54

5,1

69

41,7

50

16

9,9

33

932

9,0

91

84

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418

Cas

tle

Dow

ns

3,2

51

5,3

16

1,6

39

3,6

83

25,3

20

77

5,9

52

669

6,5

24

52

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019

Lake

Dis

tric

t2,8

33

4,1

82

1,2

38

3,1

85

19,8

61

05,7

10

503

4,9

08

42

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021

Mea

dow

s1,3

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1,8

93

528

1,5

22

9,4

93

01,6

44

209

2,0

39

18

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723

Kas

kita

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94

4,6

91

1,4

62

3,8

49

21,4

46

353

4,7

45

698

6,8

11

46

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824

Elle

rslie

1,0

32

1,1

24

287

1,0

61

6,2

81

01,5

26

172

1,6

73

13

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725

Her

itag

e Val

ley

981

1,2

26

309

1,0

40

6,4

74

01,3

46

169

1,6

51

13

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626

Win

der

mer

e425

407

115

415

2,6

15

0581

76

737

5,3

70

27

Wes

t Edm

onto

n1,4

09

1,7

36

452

1,5

22

9,3

44

01,9

26

246

2,3

98

19

,03

328

Win

terb

urn

120

251

81

107

642

0869

42

406

2,5

18

29

Land B

ank

11

24

812

102

255

63

435

51

430

Nort

hea

st E

dm

onto

n107

206

67

13

320

354

1,1

49

34

336

2,5

86

26

,56

64

4,5

62

13

,76

33

0,4

31

20

8,8

40

1,0

56

51

,93

55

,41

95

2,8

46

43

5,4

17

47

,65

08

1,9

92

24

,34

96

3,7

76

37

8,7

48

4,7

89

10

2,5

99

10

,81

91

05

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88

20

,24

0

Dis

tric

t

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Cit

y T

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l

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bu

rban

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n-R

esi

den

tial To

tal

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bu

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den

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App

endi

x K:

Hig

h Sc

enar

io O

ccup

atio

n by

Tra

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Dist

rict

2015

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cho

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t at

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me

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ult

in

stit

uti

on

Ad

ult

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er

Sen

iors

Em

plo

yed

Sen

iors

R

eti

red

To

tal

1CBD

854

1,6

52

480

3,3

72

7,5

05

02,4

90

344

2,8

42

19

,53

92

Univ

ersi

ty1,0

15

2,1

23

653

8,1

69

6,8

44

238

2,2

45

413

3,4

08

25

,10

73

South

gat

e1,7

19

3,3

47

1,0

20

6,9

32

14,4

64

419

2,8

10

744

6,1

43

37

,59

95

Jasp

er P

lace

2,9

48

5,6

86

1,6

83

3,0

47

26,1

97

651

5,8

29

1,3

44

11,0

97

58

,48

18

Nort

h C

entr

al2,1

17

4,1

60

1,2

52

2,8

22

18,3

40

246

5,7

99

926

7,6

49

43

,31

39

Cal

der

/Gries

bac

h1,9

24

3,5

25

1,0

07

1,5

05

15,4

93

420

3,7

29

746

6,1

63

34

,51

210

Londonder

ry2,7

84

5,3

50

1,5

86

2,8

47

21,7

35

355

7,9

92

1,1

57

9,5

53

53

,35

911

Bev

erly

1,3

97

2,6

89

807

1,4

72

11,7

56

03,7

03

624

5,1

52

27

,59

813

Cap

ilano

1,5

25

2,9

32

864

1,5

13

13,5

46

03,2

21

721

5,9

59

30

,28

114

Bonnie

Doon

1,1

35

2,2

09

658

1,5

41

10,0

29

259

2,1

77

517

4,2

68

22

,79

322

CBD

Fringe

2,7

31

5,3

46

1,6

08

5,3

79

21,7

62

1,4

19

6,6

46

1,2

74

10,5

23

56

,68

72

0,1

48

39

,01

91

1,6

17

38

,59

81

67

,67

14

,00

74

6,6

41

8,8

09

72

,75

74

09

,26

87

Nort

hw

est

Indust

rial

48

24

184

107

445

436

79

616

South

Indust

rial

00

00

20

10

27

17

Mis

tatim

510

36

74

0108

219

22

720

South

east

Indust

rial

111

212

61

50

1,0

32

0492

50

415

2,4

25

31

Clo

verb

ar2

41

221

01

15

38

12

22

35

68

62

1,3

14

10

71

,04

75

84

79

3,4

92

4Riv

erben

d2,7

84

5,2

00

1,4

70

3,3

11

21,9

79

04,9

05

1,0

71

8,8

45

49

,56

66

Wes

t Ja

sper

Pla

ce3,3

03

6,3

89

1,8

83

3,6

62

28,4

31

07,8

33

1,3

53

11,1

75

64

,02

912

Cla

revi

ew1,8

09

3,5

38

1,0

66

2,3

39

15,7

64

03,4

98

691

5,7

05

34

,41

115

Mill

Woods

4,3

84

8,4

70

2,5

56

5,0

60

38,2

50

18

8,7

78

1,7

82

14,7

21

84

,01

918

Cas

tle

Dow

ns

3,5

63

6,7

36

1,9

14

4,1

25

28,5

08

85

6,6

63

1,3

13

10,8

44

63

,75

219

Lake

Dis

tric

t3,4

21

6,2

98

1,7

80

3,6

58

25,5

33

07,2

67

1,2

07

9,9

73

59

,13

721

Mea

dow

s1,8

81

3,4

09

942

1,8

87

14,4

88

03,0

81

630

5,2

06

31

,52

423

Kas

kita

yo2,4

12

4,6

57

1,3

86

3,7

41

20,4

92

389

4,4

84

1,0

76

8,8

83

47

,51

924

Elle

rslie

1,8

73

3,2

80

873

2,4

61

13,0

26

02,7

72

612

5,0

53

29

,95

025

Her

itag

e Val

ley

1,6

73

2,9

22

798

2,5

94

12,0

72

02,0

71

580

4,7

86

27

,49

626

Win

der

mer

e1,3

58

2,2

38

586

1,3

57

9,2

06

02,0

12

475

3,9

21

21

,15

327

Wes

t Edm

onto

n2,4

68

4,3

44

1,1

70

2,1

47

17,9

32

04,3

94

839

6,9

26

40

,21

928

Win

terb

urn

419

638

191

455

2,4

80

01,1

81

194

1,6

04

7,1

63

29

Land B

ank

918

611

85

280

61

538

51

330

Nort

hea

st E

dm

onto

n105

201

60

13

239

390

1,1

41

50

411

2,6

09

31

,46

25

8,3

38

16

,68

13

6,8

21

24

8,4

86

1,1

63

60

,14

11

1,8

77

98

,09

15

63

,06

15

1,7

32

97

,59

32

8,3

67

75

,48

14

17

,47

05

,27

81

07

,82

92

0,7

44

17

1,3

27

97

5,8

21

Dis

tric

t

Inn

er

Cit

y T

ota

l

Su

bu

rban

No

n-R

esi

den

tial To

tal

Su

bu

rban

Resi

den

tial To

tal

To

tal



App

endi

x K:

Hig

h Sc

enar

io O

ccup

atio

n by

Tra

ffic

Dist

rict

2030

Appendix L: High Scenario Employment Allocation by Traffic District

All IndustriesDistrict 2003 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030






12 Clareview 5,556 5,705 5,973 6,356 7,393 7,632 8,09815 Mill Woods 11,273 11,524 11,937 12,369 12,609 12,851 13,10718 Castle Downs 4,955 5,148 6,380 7,632 8,582 9,574 10,50819 Lake District 1,924 2,167 3,342 4,300 4,779 5,388 6,25421 Meadows 886 1,079 1,714 2,127 2,731 3,210 3,63923 Kaskitayo 9,705 9,832 10,035 10,267 10,491 10,547 10,68624 Ellerslie 1,627 2,972 4,152 6,312 8,872 10,428 12,30225 Heritage Valley East 795 911 1,703 2,159 2,664 3,487 4,15426 Windermere 467 702 1,187 1,943 2,942 3,841 4,79527 West Edmonton 759 956 1,869 2,738 3,850 4,921 5,88428 Winterburn 2,869 3,720 5,338 5,800 6,438 7,480 8,94929 Land Bank 529 529 529 529 529 529 52930 Northeast Edmonton 1,555 1,580 1,718 1,876 2,026 2,147 2,335




Appendix M: High Scenario Employment Allocation by Traffic District and Industry Sector

RetailDistrict 2003 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

1 CBD 1,912 2,010 2,173 2,325 2,441 2,483 2,5332 University 552 565 587 610 617 618 6203 Southgate 4,014 4,018 4,124 4,268 4,409 4,516 4,7155 Jasper Place 3,024 3,030 3,034 3,041 3,056 3,063 3,0688 North Central 3,294 3,307 3,476 3,706 3,919 4,067 4,1629 Calder/Griesbach 458 462 489 519 557 604 638

10 Londonderry 2,636 2,650 2,794 2,979 3,034 3,075 3,14411 Beverly 837 839 844 850 856 860 87213 Capilano 1,092 1,168 1,290 1,427 1,554 1,664 1,82514 Bonnie Doon 2,355 2,358 2,435 2,530 2,617 2,670 2,76822 CBD Fringe 2,778 2,802 2,826 2,870 2,917 2,942 2,968


16 South Industrial 2,395 2,591 2,817 3,004 3,196 3,370 3,60517 Mistatim 641 767 937 1,098 1,245 1,374 1,56020 Southeast Industrial 913 1,092 1,367 1,644 2,078 2,634 3,36131 Cloverbar 33 57 68 82 96 129 174

Suburban Non-Residential Total 8,292 9,136 10,208 11,263 12,377 13,476 14,9824 Riverbend 322 353 434 514 569 623 6806 West Jasper Place 5,530 5,767 6,223 6,821 7,327 7,401 7,469

12 Clareview 1,729 1,765 1,821 1,897 2,114 2,170 2,27315 Mill Woods 1,465 1,479 1,537 1,607 1,624 1,638 1,65618 Castle Downs 1,080 1,110 1,289 1,491 1,662 1,829 2,00619 Lake District 322 354 482 607 683 762 86721 Meadows 165 191 261 319 393 458 51623 Kaskitayo 2,350 2,385 2,418 2,458 2,498 2,517 2,54824 Ellerslie 264 532 708 1,096 1,570 1,844 2,18825 Heritage Valley 146 162 285 365 449 564 67826 Windermere 106 167 259 390 555 714 89327 West Edmonton 51 77 209 329 500 671 83928 Winterburn 257 431 761 856 978 1,156 1,41529 Land Bank 0 0 0 0 0 0 030 Northeast Edmonton 40 41 43 46 47 49 51





ServiceDistrict 2003 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030




16 South Industrial 3,984 4,259 4,607 4,946 5,297 5,609 6,05117 Mistatim 1,350 1,603 1,948 2,261 2,534 2,770 3,11820 Southeast Industrial 2,763 3,098 3,649 4,262 5,150 6,250 7,70731 Cloverbar 224 278 306 342 377 455 563


12 Clareview 1,675 1,730 1,827 1,963 2,361 2,456 2,63115 Mill Woods 3,860 3,888 3,985 4,101 4,128 4,152 4,18218 Castle Downs 1,752 1,819 2,202 2,632 2,990 3,342 3,69619 Lake District 717 797 1,120 1,438 1,630 1,829 2,09621 Meadows 309 373 552 697 885 1,049 1,19623 Kaskitayo 4,502 4,558 4,620 4,697 4,773 4,803 4,85124 Ellerslie 561 1,073 1,451 2,236 3,185 3,752 4,44925 Heritage Valley 320 362 600 764 934 1,186 1,42026 Windermere 179 263 416 654 973 1,280 1,61027 West Edmonton 321 386 658 935 1,298 1,659 1,99628 Winterburn 808 1,136 1,758 1,936 2,164 2,509 3,01429 Land Bank 15 15 15 15 15 15 1530 Northeast Edmonton 177 179 189 201 212 220 233





Other Industries2003 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



122,903 125,225 131,435 138,329 143,712 147,730 152,7907 Northwest Industrial 23,865 25,057 26,766 28,554 30,008 31,027 32,385


49,550 52,801 57,647 62,514 67,261 71,505 77,4754 Riverbend 1,581 1,708 2,146 2,474 2,654 2,870 3,1166 West Jasper Place 3,324 3,454 3,668 3,951 4,218 4,353 4,434

12 Clareview 2,152 2,210 2,325 2,495 2,918 3,007 3,19515 Mill Woods 5,948 6,157 6,415 6,661 6,858 7,060 7,26918 Castle Downs 2,124 2,219 2,889 3,509 3,929 4,403 4,80619 Lake District 884 1,015 1,740 2,255 2,466 2,797 3,29121 Meadows 411 515 901 1,111 1,454 1,703 1,92823 Kaskitayo 2,853 2,889 2,998 3,112 3,220 3,227 3,28724 Ellerslie 802 1,367 1,992 2,979 4,117 4,833 5,66525 Heritage Valley 329 386 818 1,030 1,281 1,737 2,05626 Windermere 182 272 513 900 1,415 1,847 2,29327 West Edmonton 386 492 1,003 1,474 2,052 2,591 3,04928 Winterburn 1,805 2,154 2,819 3,008 3,296 3,816 4,52029 Land Bank 514 514 514 514 514 514 51430 Northeast Edmonton 1,338 1,360 1,486 1,629 1,767 1,878 2,052

24,634 26,714 32,226 37,103 42,160 46,637 51,472197,087 204,740 221,308 237,946 253,134 265,872 281,737

Suburban Residential TotalTotal

District

Inner City Total

Suburban Non-Residential Total



Dis

tric

t

Primary Industries

Manufacturing

Construction

Utilities


Wholesale

Retail Trade


commercial Services



Total Employment

1CBD

340

327

383

1,5

83

7,3

39

571

1,9

12

7,7

07

17,7

82

4,6

67

11,1

53

53

,76

52

Univ

ersi

ty40

136

335

0405

110

552

405

3,3

76

16,3

49

177

21

,88

53

South

gat

e125

861

389

0861

566

4,0

14

1,0

47

5,3

49

2,4

77

1,6

40

17

,32

85

Jasp

er P

lace

65

165

399

10

291

190

3,0

24

1,2

37

5,1

15

5,8

55

596

16

,94

88

Nort

h C

entr

al273

2,2

38

683

82

2,2

87

894

3,2

94

995

5,6

23

5,6

49

1,8

54

23

,87

29

Cal

der

/Gries

bac

h15

85

87

0196

85

458

276

787

1,2

27

135

3,3

52

10

Londonder

ry65

161

165

10

158

165

2,6

36

465

2,3

47

3,1

72

337

9,6

81

11

Bev

erly

70

245

258

20

195

205

837

136

2,6

14

1,2

11

240

6,0

31

13

Cap

ilano

261

2,1

41

589

108

1,0

65

955

1,0

92

868

3,3

71

2,4

81

676

13

,60

714

Bonnie

Doon

681

5,3

15

1,8

32

185

1,8

54

3,3

86

2,3

55

1,2

13

5,5

17

1,5

47

456

24

,34

122

CBD

Fringe

111

1,5

67

612

250

821

631

2,7

78

1,7

09

9,7

20

10,0

73

4,4

31

32

,70

2In

ner

Cit

y T

ota

l2

,04

61

3,2

41

5,7

32

2,2

49

15

,47

37

,76

02

2,9

53

16

,05

76

1,6

00

54

,70

72

1,6

95

22

3,5

13

7N

ort

hw

est

Indust

rial

197

6,3

65

2,9

87

130

4,8

50

7,8

42

4,3

11

1,7

71

8,5

28

872

620

38

,47

416

South

Indust

rial

595

2,9

57

922

12

761

1,8

81

2,3

95

593

3,3

91

273

510

14

,28

817

Mis

tatim

75

2,5

63

603

141

1,2

35

1,9

18

641

347

1,0

03

107

39

8,6

73

20

South

east

Indust

rial

558

4,0

65

1,3

33

196

1,3

07

1,3

52

913

235

2,5

27

57

73

12

,61

731

Clo

verb

ar121

1,2

74

263

78

331

69

33

14

210

116

2,4

10

Su

bu

rban

No

n-R

esi

den

tial To

tal

1,5

47

17

,22

46

,10

85

56

8,4

85

13

,06

28

,29

22

,96

01

5,6

58

1,3

11

1,2

59

76

,46

14

Riv

erben

d61

92

152

053

116

322

442

1,2

58

1,0

23

85

3,6

03

6W

est

Jasp

er P

lace

79

273

289

0484

329

5,5

30

1,0

06

6,5

66

1,7

78

92

16

,42

612

Cla

revi

ew12

237

217

65

202

186

1,7

29

297

1,3

77

1,0

80

152

5,5

56

15

Mill

Woods

70

100

227

0391

116

1,4

65

588

3,2

73

4,8

69

176

11

,27

318

Cas

tle

Dow

ns

36

106

249

10

223

149

1,0

80

326

1,4

26

1,1

10

240

4,9

55

19

Lake

Dis

tric

t11

12

153

0283

61

322

172

545

350

15

1,9

24

21

Mea

dow

s41

17

88

041

1165

60

250

220

48

86

23

Kas

kita

yo56

96

157

10

98

135

2,3

50

682

3,8

20

2,1

33

168

9,7

05

24

Elle

rslie

54

229

140

31

97

109

264

70

491

110

32

1,6

27

25

Her

itag

e Val

ley

56

44

78

75

7146

32

288

121

10

79

526

Win

der

mer

e33

52

19

310

23

106

15

164

26

15

46

727

Wes

t Edm

onto

n31

42

80

10

31

31

51

30

291

158

47

59

28

Win

terb

urn

77

504

530

7296

333

257

114

694

47

10

2,8

69

29

Land B

ank

96

27

00

10

10

00

15

0371

52

930

Nort

hea

st E

dm

onto

n152

015

025

040

10

167

1,0

85

61

1,5

55

Su

bu

rban

Resi

den

tial To

tal

86

61

,83

22

,39

51

43

2,2

50

1,6

04

13

,82

73

,84

32

0,6

25

14

,11

01

,43

46

2,9

28

To

tal

4,4

59

32

,29

61

4,2

35

2,9

48

26

,20

82

2,4

26

45

,07

32

2,8

60

97

,88

37

0,1

27

24

,38

83

62

,90

2



App

endi

x N

: H

igh

Scen

ario

Em

ploy

men

t by

Traf

fic D

istric

t and

Indu

stry

2003

Dis

tric

t

Primary Industries

Manufacturing

Construction

Utilities


Wholesale

Retail Trade


commercial Services



Total Employment

1CBD

360

388

456

1,8

25

8,8

41

744

2,3

25

8,8

60

21,3

00

6,2

05

12,0

61

63

,36

52

Univ

ersi

ty42

141

368

0429

112

610

426

3,5

28

17,1

31

190

22

,97

93

South

gat

e127

907

407

1909

593

4,2

68

1,0

84

5,8

03

3,7

23

1,6

64

19

,48

65

Jasp

er P

lace

65

166

403

10

299

190

3,0

41

1,2

43

5,1

65

6,5

62

603

17

,74

68

Nort

h C

entr

al305

2,5

33

777

105

2,5

66

961

3,7

06

1,0

85

6,2

46

6,8

07

1,9

21

27

,01

29

Cal

der

/Gries

bac

h17

89

147

0211

87

519

300

918

1,4

43

144

3,8

74

10

Londonder

ry66

167

165

10

178

167

2,9

79

495

2,5

48

3,3

21

349

10

,44

811

Bev

erly

71

254

258

20

199

209

850

139

2,6

36

1,2

21

241

6,0

99

13

Cap

ilano

311

2,7

58

772

124

1,3

89

1,2

79

1,4

27

1,0

10

4,2

99

2,6

57

916

16

,94

314

Bonnie

Doon

748

5,7

96

2,0

02

216

2,0

55

3,6

67

2,5

30

1,3

41

5,9

57

1,6

47

502

26

,46

222

CBD

Fringe

116

1,5

77

636

252

848

638

2,8

70

1,7

46

9,9

73

11,5

23

4,9

66

35

,14

5In

ner

Cit

y T

ota

l2

,22

71

4,7

77

6,3

92

2,5

63

17

,92

58

,64

82

5,1

26

17

,73

06

8,3

74

62

,24

02

3,5

57

24

9,5

59

7N

ort

hw

est

Indust

rial

261

7,8

63

3,5

58

166

5,7

42

9,2

11

5,4

34

2,2

25

10,5

61

1,0

00

752

46

,77

516

South

Indust

rial

694

3,5

49

1,0

83

18

978

2,2

63

3,0

04

697

4,2

49

314

642

17

,49

117

Mis

tatim

130

3,7

19

881

196

1,7

15

2,5

59

1,0

98

451

1,8

10

132

56

12

,74

720

South

east

Indust

rial

734

5,7

04

1,8

69

240

1,6

62

1,8

79

1,6

44

404

3,8

58

106

124

18

,22

531

Clo

verb

ar149

1,5

86

330

97

418

109

82

22

320

320

3,1

36

Su

bu

rban

No

n-R

esi

den

tial To

tal

1,9

69

22

,42

27

,72

17

16

10

,51

41

6,0

22

11

,26

33

,79

92

0,7

98

1,5

56

1,5

94

98

,37

44

Riv

erben

d66

105

267

099

121

514

516

1,6

71

1,7

04

112

5,1

75

6W

est

Jasp

er P

lace

97

382

362

0575

402

6,8

21

1,1

43

7,8

03

1,9

95

139

19

,71

712

Cla

revi

ew23

333

255

68

240

239

1,8

97

333

1,6

31

1,1

62

175

6,3

56

15

Mill

Woods

71

109

235

0407

123

1,6

07

635

3,4

66

5,5

24

191

12

,36

918

Cas

tle

Dow

ns

56

269

465

16

326

232

1,4

91

450

2,1

82

1,8

55

290

7,6

32

19

Lake

Dis

tric

t18

31

369

0352

69

607

281

1,1

56

1,3

60

56

4,3

00

21

Mea

dow

s44

27

167

078

5319

118

579

764

26

2,1

27

23

Kas

kita

yo60

125

196

10

116

153

2,4

58

705

3,9

91

2,2

68

184

10

,26

724

Elle

rslie

106

777

476

58

335

376

1,0

96

304

1,9

32

755

96

6,3

12

25

Her

itag

e Val

ley

66

101

154

751

42

365

91

673

563

46

2,1

59

26

Win

der

mer

e49

163

165

462

94

390

69

584

296

67

1,9

43

27

Wes

t Edm

onto

n41

94

255

10

93

62

329

117

818

873

48

2,7

38

28

Win

terb

urn

120

989

688

32

474

570

856

268

1,6

68

89

46

5,8

00

29

Land B

ank

96

27

00

10

10

00

15

0371

52

930

Nort

hea

st E

dm

onto

n172

017

025

046

11

191

1,3

38

76

1,8

76

Su

bu

rban

Resi

den

tial To

tal

1,0

86

3,5

31

4,0

71

20

43

,24

42

,49

81

8,7

95

5,0

41

28

,36

02

0,5

46

1,9

22

89

,29

9To

tal

5,2

82

40

,73

11

8,1

85

3,4

83

31

,68

22

7,1

68

55

,18

42

6,5

71

11

7,5

32

84

,34

12

7,0

74

43

7,2

33



App

endi

x N

: H

igh

Scen

ario

Em

ploy

men

t by

Traf

fic D

istric

t and

Indu

stry

2015

Dis

tric

t

Primary Industries

Manufacturing

Construction

Utilities


Wholesale

Retail Trade


commercial Services



Total Employment

1CBD

365

430

491

1,8

52

9,9

93

829

2,5

33

9,3

70

23,0

38

7,3

28

12,4

17

68

,64

62

Univ

ersi

ty43

143

329

0442

113

620

429

3,5

76

17,7

41

196

23

,63

13

South

gat

e130

984

464

2990

639

4,7

15

1,1

55

6,5

92

5,5

83

1,7

04

22

,95

75

Jasp

er P

lace

66

167

412

10

309

191

3,0

68

1,2

52

5,2

38

7,3

21

611

18

,64

58

Nort

h C

entr

al345

2,9

45

860

128

2,9

31

1,0

57

4,1

62

1,1

78

6,9

91

8,3

97

1,9

97

30

,99

09

Cal

der

/Gries

bac

h20

97

165

0239

90

638

345

1,1

73

1,8

64

161

4,7

93

10

Londonder

ry67

170

161

10

190

169

3,1

44

513

2,6

78

3,4

06

353

10

,86

011

Bev

erly

72

268

270

21

205

216

872

145

2,6

74

1,2

37

243

6,2

24

13

Cap

ilano

362

3,4

48

920

141

1,6

93

1,5

47

1,8

25

1,1

38

5,1

77

2,7

51

1,0

37

20

,03

714

Bonnie

Doon

824

6,3

28

2,1

47

264

2,3

29

4,0

56

2,7

68

1,5

15

6,5

72

1,7

45

555

29

,10

322

CBD

Fringe

119

1,5

87

643

253

875

643

2,9

68

1,7

84

10,2

16

12,6

06

5,2

72

36

,96

6In

ner

Cit

y T

ota

l2

,41

31

6,5

66

6,8

62

2,6

80

20

,19

69

,54

92

7,3

12

18

,82

67

3,9

25

69

,97

82

4,5

46

27

2,8

53

7N

ort

hw

est

Indust

rial

314

9,2

02

3,9

68

194

6,4

80

10,2

50

6,2

82

2,6

15

12,2

42

1,1

19

858

53

,52

416

South

Indust

rial

805

4,2

55

1,2

87

26

1,2

51

2,7

66

3,6

05

828

5,2

23

358

740

21

,14

417

Mis

tatim

183

4,6

87

1,1

13

236

2,1

05

3,0

74

1,5

60

523

2,5

95

154

69

16

,29

920

South

east

Indust

rial

1,0

23

8,3

90

2,8

45

318

2,3

41

2,8

65

3,3

61

827

6,8

80

223

238

29

,31

131

Clo

verb

ar200

2,1

59

452

132

577

185

174

38

525

827

4,4

75

Su

bu

rban

No

n-R

esi

den

tial To

tal

2,5

24

28

,69

39

,66

69

05

12

,75

31

9,1

41

14

,98

24

,83

02

7,4

66

1,8

62

1,9

32

12

4,7

53

4Riv

erben

d70

116

235

0140

126

680

579

2,0

27

2,2

93

136

6,4

02

6W

est

Jasp

er P

lace

113

489

362

0639

471

7,4

69

1,2

16

8,5

13

2,1

74

186

21

,63

212

Cla

revi

ew49

607

323

80

340

379

2,2

73

419

2,2

12

1,2

06

209

8,0

98

15

Mill

Woods

72

119

234

1418

130

1,6

56

649

3,5

33

6,0

97

198

13

,10

718

Cas

tle

Dow

ns

84

534

459

28

463

365

2,0

06

599

3,0

97

2,5

30

343

10

,50

819

Lake

Dis

tric

t24

48

352

0415

77

867

381

1,7

15

2,2

82

93

6,2

54

21

Mea

dow

s49

40

186

0126

11

516

194

1,0

02

1,4

62

54

3,6

39

23

Kas

kita

yo65

159

180

10

133

175

2,5

48

724

4,1

28

2,3

65

200

10

,68

624

Elle

rslie

173

1,4

82

699

93

646

720

2,1

88

615

3,8

34

1,6

71

182

12

,30

225

Her

itag

e Val

ley

79

173

236

7118

86

678

181

1,2

39

1,2

61

98

4,1

54

26

Win

der

mer

e74

318

274

4163

191

893

192

1,4

18

1,1

17

154

4,7

95

27

Wes

t Edm

onto

n62

214

307

10

201

136

839

261

1,7

35

1,9

88

132

5,8

84

28

Win

terb

urn

159

1,4

80

919

58

665

801

1,4

15

402

2,6

12

359

78

8,9

49

29

Land B

ank

96

27

00

10

10

00

15

0371

52

930

Nort

hea

st E

dm

onto

n204

015

025

051

11

222

1,7

10

98

2,3

35

Su

bu

rban

Resi

den

tial To

tal

1,3

73

5,8

06

4,7

81

28

94

,50

13

,67

72

4,0

80

6,4

22

37

,30

22

8,5

14

2,5

32

11

9,2

75

To

tal

6,3

10

51

,06

42

1,3

09

3,8

75

37

,45

03

2,3

67

66

,37

33

0,0

77

13

8,6

93

10

0,3

54

29

,01

05

16

,88

1



App

endi

x N

: H

igh

Scen

ario

Em

ploy

men

t by

Traf

fic D

istric

t and

Indu

stry

2030

Acknowledgments

Acknowledgments

The consulting team would like to express its sincere appreciation for the help and guidance provided by the Project Steering Committee. Steering Committee members are:Alan Brownlee (Chair)Director of Evaluation & MonitoringTransportation and Streets Department Jong Huang (Project Manager)Chief EconomistPlanning and Development Department Bob IshaniTransportation Engineering SpecialistAlberta Infrastructure and Transportation Robert HigginsPrincipal PlannerPlanning and Development Department Paul HoffartSenior EngineerAsset Management and Public Works Department Stephanie McCabeTransportation EngineerTransportation and Streets Department Rod KeithStrategic Planning OfficerCommunity Services Department Steve CressyTransportation TechnicianTransportation and Streets Department



Documents

Population & Employment Forecasts: 2003-2030webdocs.edmonton.ca/InfraPlan/Economic Information... · In the Base Case, only three age cohorts exhibit a decline over the forecast period