7
A Publication of RMLS , The Source for Real Estate Statistics in Your Community © Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved. Residential Review: Metro Portland, Oregon July 2011 Reporting Period July Residential Highlights Closed and pending sales were both up in July 2011 compared with July 2010. Additionally, the inventory level in July 2011 was down 3.8 months compared with the same month a year ago. Closed sales grew 21% in July 2011 compared to July 2010. Pending sales were up 18.4%, and new listings dropped 27%. See residential highlights table below. Comparing June 2011 with July 2011, closed sales decreased from 1,958 to 1,709 (-12.7%). Pending sales decreased from 2,001 to 1,928 (-3.7%). New listings went down from 3,143 to 2,942 (-6.4%). At the month’s rate of sales, the 11,970 active residential listings would last about 7 months. Sale Prices Average sale price for July 2011 declined 7.4% compared to July 2010. Median sale price also fell 7.6%. See residential highlights table below. Month to month, comparing June 2011 to July 2011, sale price activity rose slightly. Average sale price went up from $267,100 to $275,100 (3%) while median sale price increased from $222,900 to $227,200 (1.9%). Year-to-Date Comparing January-July 2010 with the same period in 2011, sales activity was down. Closed sales decreased by 4.3% (11,717 v. 11,209). Pending sales went down by 1.4% (12,733 v. 12,550), and new listings fell 26% (30,051 v. 22,245). New Listings Pending Sales Closed Sales Average Sale Price Median Sale Price Total Market Time July 2,942 1,928 1,709 275,100 227,200 132 Year-to-date 22,245 12,550 11,209 262,800 220,000 149 July 4,029 1,629 1,412 297,000 246,000 121 Year-to-date 30,051 12,733 11,717 282,900 240,000 130 July -27.0% 18.4% 21.0% -7.4% -7.6% 8.9% Year-to-date -26.0% -1.4% -4.3% -7.1% -8.3% 13.9% 2011 2010 Change Portland Metro Residential Highlights *Inventory in Months is calculated by dividing the Active Listings at the end of the month in question by the number of closed sales for that month. Inventory in Months* 2009 2010 2011 January 19.2 12.6 11.3 February 16.6 12.9 10.9 March 12.0 7.8 7.1 April 11.0 7.3 7.2 May 10.2 7.0 6.8 June 8.2 7.3 6.0 July 7.3 10.8 7.0 August 7.8 11.0 September 7.6 10.5 October 6.5 10.7 November 7.1 10.2 December 7.7 7.9 Percent Change of 12-Month Sale Price Compared With The Previous 12 Months Average Sale Price % Change: -5% ($269,900 v. $284,200) Median Sale Price % Change: -5.4% ($227,000 v. $240,000) *Total Market Time is the number of days from when a property is listed to when an offer is accepted on that same property. If a property is re-listed within 31 days, Total Market Time continues to accrue; however, it does not include the time that it was off the market. For further explanation of this measure, see the second footnote on page 2. NOTE: In August 2011 Farms listings (formerly separate) were merged, as appropriate, to either Residential or Land.

Portland Metro Market Action Update

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

The Market Action Report from RMLS. Area-by-area views of statistics, including year-over-year changes in the average sales price and months of inventory on the market.

Citation preview

Page 1: Portland Metro Market Action Update

A Publication of RMLS™, The Source for Real Estate Statistics in Your Community

© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.

Residential Review: Metro Portland, Oregon July 2011 Reporting Period

July Residential HighlightsClosed and pending sales were

both up in July 2011 compared with July 2010. Additionally, the inventory level in July 2011 was down 3.8 months compared with the same month a year ago.

Closed sales grew 21% in July 2011 compared to July 2010. Pending sales were up 18.4%, and new listings dropped 27%. See residential highlights table below.

Comparing June 2011 with July 2011, closed sales decreased from 1,958 to 1,709 (-12.7%). Pending sales decreased from 2,001 to 1,928 (-3.7%). New listings went down from 3,143 to 2,942 (-6.4%).

At the month’s rate of sales, the 11,970 active residential listings would last about 7 months.Sale Prices

Average sale price for July 2011 declined 7.4% compared to July

2010. Median sale price also fell 7.6%. See residential highlights table below.

Month to month, comparing June 2011 to July 2011, sale price activity rose slightly. Average sale price went up from $267,100 to $275,100 (3%) while median sale price increased from $222,900 to $227,200 (1.9%).Year-to-Date

Comparing January-July 2010 with the same period in 2011, sales activity was down. Closed sales decreased by 4.3% (11,717 v. 11,209). Pending sales went down by 1.4% (12,733 v. 12,550), and new listings fell 26% (30,051 v. 22,245).

New Listings

Pending Sales

ClosedSales

AverageSale Price

MedianSale Price

Total Market

Time

July 2,942 1,928 1,709 275,100 227,200 132

Year-to-date 22,245 12,550 11,209 262,800 220,000 149

July 4,029 1,629 1,412 297,000 246,000 121

Year-to-date 30,051 12,733 11,717 282,900 240,000 130

July -27.0% 18.4% 21.0% -7.4% -7.6% 8.9%

Year-to-date -26.0% -1.4% -4.3% -7.1% -8.3% 13.9%

2011

2010

Chan

ge

Portland Metro Residential Highlights

*Inventory in Months is calculated by dividing the Active Listings at the end of the month in question by the number of closed sales for that month.

Inventory in Months*2009 2010 2011

January 19.2 12.6 11.3February 16.6 12.9 10.9March 12.0 7.8 7.1April 11.0 7.3 7.2May 10.2 7.0 6.8June 8.2 7.3 6.0July 7.3 10.8 7.0August 7.8 11.0September 7.6 10.5October 6.5 10.7November 7.1 10.2December 7.7 7.9

Percent Change of 12-Month Sale Price Compared With The Previous 12 Months

Average Sale Price % Change: -5% ($269,900 v. $284,200)

Median Sale Price % Change: -5.4% ($227,000 v. $240,000)

*Total Market Time is the number of days from when a property is listed to when an offer is accepted on that same property. If a property is re-listed within 31 days, Total Market Time continues to accrue; however, it does not include the time that it was off the market.

For further explanation of this measure, see the second footnote on page 2.

NOTE: In August 2011 Farms listings (formerly separate) were merged, as appropriate, to either Residential or Land.

Page 2: Portland Metro Market Action Update

2© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.

AREA REPORT • 7/2011 Portland Metropolitan Area, Oregon

1 Percent change in number of pending sales this year compared to last year. The Current Month section compares July 2011 with July 2010. The Year-To-Date section compares year-to-date statistics from July 2011 with year-to-date statistics from July 2010.

2 % Change is based on a comparison of the rolling average sale price for the last 12 months (8/1/10-7/31/11) with 12 months before (8/1/09-7/31/10).3 Total Market Time is the number of days from when a property is listed to when an offer is accepted on that same property. If a property is re-listed within 31 days,

Total Market Time continues to accrue; however, it does not include the time that it was off the market.

Act

ive

Lis

tin

gs

New

Lis

tin

gs

Exp

ired

/Can

cele

d

Lis

tin

gs

Pen

din

g S

ales

201

1

Pen

din

g S

ales

201

1 v.

20

101

Clo

sed

Sal

es

Ave

rag

e S

ale

Pri

ce

To

tal M

arke

t T

ime

3

New

Lis

tin

gs

Pen

din

g S

ales

201

1

Pen

din

g S

ales

201

1 v.

20

10

Clo

sed

Sal

es

Ave

rag

e S

ale

Pri

ce

Med

ian

Sal

e P

rice

Avg

. Sal

e P

rice

%

Ch

ang

e2

Clo

sed

Sal

es

Ave

rag

e S

ale

Pri

ce

Clo

sed

Sal

es

Ave

rag

e S

ale

Pri

ce

Clo

sed

Sal

es

Ave

rag

e S

ale

Pri

ce

141

N Portland 382 109 49 68 15.3% 90 247,300 98 902 534 1.5% 495 217,300 205,000 -6.0% 3 327,200 15 88,500 10 262,100

142

NE Portland 880 283 120 193 12.9% 198 267,700 109 2,095 1,256 -6.3% 1,155 268,400 225,000 -3.7% 13 298,600 18 158,700 50 394,700

143

SE Portland 1,178 363 145 223 8.3% 231 220,600 102 2,646 1,564 -7.3% 1,414 211,400 178,800 -6.6% 21 355,700 22 146,100 61 336,800

144 Gresham/

Troutdale 772 194 87 127 24.5% 106 200,700 170 1,426 817 -2.7% 754 194,700 175,000 -7.4% 5 275,000 36 97,900 19 178,400

145 Milwaukie/

Clackamas 1,031 240 93 130 -0.8% 125 234,900 97 1,808 945 -2.6% 870 237,800 219,800 -10.1% 2 610,800 47 125,100 15 418,600

146 Oregon City/

Canby 716 154 71 109 51.4% 82 250,200 147 1,166 666 11.0% 571 229,300 208,500 -9.6% 2 65,000 30 152,500 5 174,200

147 Lake Oswego/

West Linn 870 173 93 109 6.9% 94 494,000 149 1,439 705 0.4% 622 423,500 371,800 -9.1% - - 3 317,700 1 399,000

148

W Portland 1,454 346 134 222 18.1% 198 388,500 161 2,619 1,482 6.2% 1,331 389,900 329,900 -1.3% 8 423,000 36 177,700 12 586,800

149

NW Wash Co. 499 130 53 95 18.8% 84 440,500 112 1,052 642 2.7% 585 362,000 320,000 -0.7% 2 430,800 21 262,100 2 298,800

150 Beaverton/

Aloha 919 246 117 189 26.8% 131 219,800 135 1,851 1,147 -3.5% 996 208,000 190,000 -11.2% 3 191,000 10 213,300 12 262,800

151 Tigard/

Wilsonville 1,063 271 113 170 20.6% 138 274,700 146 1,953 1,038 -1.4% 885 278,700 258,900 -6.0% 3 34,600 21 224,300 11 203,400

152 Hillsboro/

Forest Grove 763 191 67 138 24.3% 112 208,700 136 1,423 861 -5.0% 748 204,200 190,000 -10.8% 9 218,700 18 171,400 26 233,600

153

Mt. Hood 165 27 11 6 -45.5% 10 209,500 157 180 50 -18.0% 49 202,100 172,500 -11.1% - - 4 133,000 - -

155

Columbia Co. 448 75 37 52 57.6% 43 159,400 142 582 290 4.3% 265 160,900 145,000 -12.7% 3 91,800 15 194,100 2 140,800

156

Yamhill Co. 830 140 93 97 32.9% 67 200,500 188 1,103 553 -1.3% 469 193,900 172,300 -6.7% 4 738,900 25 239,500 10 215,400 Grand Total ##### #### #### #### -0.1% #### 275,100 132 ##### ##### -45.7% ##### 262,800 220,000 -5.0% 78 ## 167,000 236 319,400

Year-To-Date

COMMERCIAL LAND MULTIFAMILYRESIDENTIAL

Year-To-Date Year-To-DateCurrent Month Year-To-Date

Note: Data for Polk and Marion Counties is now reported in the monthly “Polk & Marion Counties” Market Action Report.

Note: Data for the North Coastal Counties is now reported in the monthly “North Coastal Counties” Market Action Report.

Page 3: Portland Metro Market Action Update

3© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.

NEW LISTINGS PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

new residential listings

over the past three

calendar years in the

greater Portland, Oregon

metropolitan area.

TOTAL ACTIVE LISTINGS

PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

total active listings over

the past three calendar

years in the greater

Portland, Oregon

metropolitan area.

ACTIVE RESIDENTIAL

LISTINGSPORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the active

residential listings over the

past three calendar years in

the greater Portland, Or-

egon metropolitan area.4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

Active Residential Listings

2009 2010 2011

5000

7500

10000

12500

15000

17500

20000

Total Active Listings

2009 2010 2011

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

New Listings

2009 2010 2011

Page 4: Portland Metro Market Action Update

© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.4

This graph represents

monthly accepted offers

in the Portland, Oregon

metropolitan area over

the past three calendar

years.

PENDING LISTINGS PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

closed sales over the past

five calendar years in the

greater Portland, Oregon

metropolitan area.

CLOSED SALES PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

average market time for

sales in the Portland,

Oregon metropolitan area

over the past three calendar

years.

DAYS ON MARKETPORTLAND, OR

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Pending Sales

2009 2010 2011

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Closed Sales

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

020406080

100120140160180200

Average Market Time

2009 TMT 2010 TMT 2011 TMT

Page 5: Portland Metro Market Action Update

© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.5

This graph represents the average sale price for all homes sold in the Portland,

Oregon metropolitan area.

AVERAGE SALE PRICE

PORTLAND, OR

$175,000

$195,000

$215,000

$235,000

$255,000

$275,000

$295,000

$315,000

$335,000

$355,000

$375,000

Jul-0

1

Jan-

02

Jul-0

2

Jan-

03

Jul-0

3

Jan-

04

Jul-0

4

Jan-

05

Jul-0

5

Jan-

06

Jul-0

6

Jan-

07

Jul-0

7

Jan-

08

Jul-0

8

Jan-

09

Jul-0

9

Jan-

10

Jul-1

0

Jan-

11

Jul-1

1

Average Sale Price

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

220,000

240,000

260,000

JULY AUG SEPT OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUNE JULY

Median Sale Price: Portland, OR & Clark Co., WA

Clark County Metro Portland, OR

This graph shows the

median sale price over

the past 12 months in

the greater Portland,

Oregon, metropolitan

area and Clark

County.

MEDIAN SALE PRICE

PORTLAND, OR

Page 6: Portland Metro Market Action Update

$174,500

Yamhill County

$234,100 N Portland

$230,000 NEPortland

$184,200 SEPortland

$185,000 GreshamTroutdale

SandyCorbettFairview $158,200

Mt. Hood:Zigzag

WelchesRhododendron

WemmeBrightwood

Government Camp

$215,000 Milwaukie/Gladstone/Boring/ClackamasEstacada

$227,500 Oregon City

CanbyMolalla

Beavercreek

$422,000 Lake Oswego

West Linn

$326,300 West Portland

$367,500 North Washington County

Sauvie Island

$196,900 Beaverton

Aloha

$255,000 Tigard/Tualatin

SherwoodWilsonville

$200,000 Hillsboro

Forest Grove

$ 150,000Columbia County

$170,000 Heights

$121,500 Cent. Vancouver

$168,000Cascade Park

$150,0005 Corners

Orch.

$165,000HazelDell

Minnehaha

$211,800Felida

$236,000Salmon Creek

$288,000Camas/Washougal

$240,000

Brush Prairie

Hockinson

$262,000

Ridge�eld/La Center

$182,900

Battle Ground

$210,500

N/NE Clark County$239,500

Woodland

MEDIAN SALE PRICE July 2011

PORTLANDMETRO

6© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.

SW WAShINGTON

Page 7: Portland Metro Market Action Update

MULTIPLE LISTING SERVICE

The statistics presented in Market Action are compiled monthly based on figures generated by RMLS™.

Market Action Reports are compiled for the following areas: Portland metropolitan area, Southwest Washington, Mid-Columbia, Columbia Basin, Baker County, Coos County, Curry County, Douglas County, Grant County, Lane County, North Coastal Counties, Polk & Marion Counties, Union County, and Wallowa County.

RMLS™ was formed by area Boards and Associations of REALTORS® in 1991.

E-mail subscriptions are available for $45 per year by contacting RMLS™, (503) 236-7657. Reproduction of any portion of this copyrighted material is prohibited without prior approval of RMLS™.

Cory Neu, Chairman of the BoardKurt von Wasmuth, President/CEOKelsey Brunson, EditorDanny Gottleib, Assistant Editor

© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.

Lane County: FlorencePO Box 414

Florence, OR 97439(541) 902-2560

Fax: (541) 902-1341

Curry CountyPO Box 6307

Brookings, OR 97415(541) 469-0219

Fax: (541) 469-9695

Lane County: Eugene2139 Centennial Plaza

Eugene, OR 97401(541) 686-2885

Fax: (541) 484-3854

Southwest Washington1514 Broadway, Suite 101

Vancouver, WA 98663(360) 696-0718

Fax: (360) 696-9342

Douglas County3510 NE EdenbowerRoseburg, OR 97470

(541) 673-3571Fax: (541) 673-6581

Corporate825 NE Multnomah, Suite 270

Portland, OR 97232(503) 236-7657

Fax: (503) 230-0689

Mid-ColumbiaPO Box 1088

Hood River, OR 97031(541) 436-2956

Fax: (541) 387-6657

Eastern OregonPO Box 751

Hermiston, OR 97838(541) 567-5186

Fax: (541) 289-7320

Coos County1946 Sherman Ave., Suite 101

North Bend, OR 97459(541) 751-1070

Fax: (541) 751-1083

Salem2110 Mission St. SE, Suite 305

Salem, OR 97302(503) 587-8810

Fax: (503) 585-3817

This graph represents the median sale price for all

condos sold in the last three calendar years in the

Portland, Oregon metropolitan area.

MEDIAN SALE PRICE CONDOS

PORTLAND, OR

$120,000

$145,000

$170,000

$195,000

$220,000

$245,000

Median Condo Sale Price

2009 2010 2011

020406080

100120140160180

Sep-

03D

ec-0

3M

ar-0

4Ju

n-04

Sep-

04D

ec-0

4M

ar-0

5Ju

n-05

Sep-

05D

ec-0

5M

ar-0

6Ju

n-06

Sep-

06D

ec-0

6M

ar-0

7Ju

n-07

Sep-

07D

ec-0

7M

ar-0

8Ju

n-08

Sep-

08D

ec-0

8M

ar-0

9Ju

n-09

Sep-

09D

ec-0

9M

ar-1

0Ju

n-10

Sep-

10D

ec-1

0M

ar-1

1Ju

n-11

Affordability Index

AFFORDABILITYPORTLAND, OR

AFFORDABILITY - According to a formula from the National Association of Realtors®, buying a house in the Portland metro area is affordable for a family earning the median income. A family earning the median income ($72,000 in 2011, per HUD) can afford 166% of a monthly mortgage payment on a median priced home ($222,900 in June). The formula assumes that the buyer has a 20% down payment and a 30 year fixed rate of 4.84% (per Freddie Mac).

This graph shows affordability for housing in the

Portland, Oregon metropolitan area in June 2011.