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Ports of the future
A Vision
Indra Vonck, Deloitte Port Services, Baltic Ports Conference 2017
© 2017 Deloitte The Netherlands
“It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent that survives. It is the most adaptable to change.”
Charles Darwin
Ports of the future, a vision 2
© 2017 Deloitte Port Services
The Shipping and ports industry is under pressure and undergoing structural changes, driving the need for innovation
Ports of the future, a vision
Increased complexity Pressure on revenue and costs Energy transition
• Technology challenges
• Sustainability and social license
to operate
• Global trade flows
• Price volatility
• Operating costs
• Capital costs
• Energy demand growth
• Energy mix and carbon shift
• Energy efficiency
Big data analytics allow for a renewed vision on the complexity
of supply chains
Technologies like predictivemaintenance and automation allow for a reduction in opex
New players are targeted focused on renewable energies and
alternative fuels
3
© 2017 Deloitte Port Services
Digital is extending the range of innovation possibilities as IT and OT converge…
Ports of the future, a vision
1960 -1979 2020-…2000-20101980-1999 Today
OT: Operations Technologies
Source: Monitor Deloitte
OT
IT
OT
IT
OT
IT
OT Application
IT Application
Technology
Analog operational processes
Computer technologiesintroduced into
industrial operations
IP technologies introduced to
industrial controls along with network
connectivity
Prevalence of networks, sensor prices decrease,
cyber risk increases
Technology, Data, Platform
4
© 2017 Deloitte Port Services
…And Digital is providing opportunities across the entire value chain
Ports of the future, a vision
Seaside Port Landside
ProducerTransport
node
Maritime
transport
Approach
services
Loading/
unloadingStorage
Industrial
processing
Intermodal
transportDry port
Hinterland
transport
Virtual Reality
Commodity data analytics
Intelligent Asset Development
IoT enabled remote operations
Big data Analytics
Big data Analytics
Cross-functional and geographical
working
Drones/RoVs
Drones/RoVs
Smart Cities
Smart grids
Safety Analytics
Internet of Things
Drones/RoVs
Machine to machine
communication
Platform solutions
Smart energy management
Autonomous transport
Smart meteringSupply
analytics Demand analytics3D Printing
RFID for logistics and
transportation
RFID for logistics and
transportation
Intelligent risk and compliance
Intelligent risk and compliance
Robotics
Robotics
Robotics
OutsourcingOutsourcing
Predictive maintenance
Predictive maintenance
Autonomous transport
Autonomous transport
Collaborationtools
Collaborationtools
Supply chain and vendor optimization
Supply chain and vendor optimization
Single view of stock
Single view of stock
Real-time digital resource management Pricing analyticsRobotics
Intelligent Asset Development
Mobile Workforce
5
Note: Non exhaustive Source: Monitor Deloitte
© 2017 Deloitte Port Services
A port of the future has 3 defining characteristics which allow it to adapt to the changing environment because…
Ports of the future, a vision
Cooperation Innovation Sustainability
• Technological innovation will push ports to work together
• Cooperation will occur on a horizontal and vertical level along both the supply chain and across different
• All stakeholders will be cooperating with the port, for e.g. smart cities
• Ports will be forced to accept innovation through automation and digitization
• Ports of the future will harness the innovation for new insight driven business models
• Ports of the future will become “smart” and require different skills to operate
• Ports of the future will promote renewable energy sources and cleaner forms of industry
• The logistics fleet will use alternative fuels like electricity (cars/trucks) and LNG (ships)
• Ports will adhere to the triple Pvalue of People Planet Profit to grow in a sustainable manner
6
© 2017 Deloitte Port Services Ports of the future, a vision
Source: The Future of Port Logistics, ING/UA, 2017
15%
18%
21%
11%
13%
46%
62%
61%
22%
39%
18%
54%
48%
15%
33%
18%
17%
43%
34%
24%
35%
34%
40%
24%
15%
43%
13%
17%
7%
15%
9%
100%80%40%0% 60%20%
Autonomous trucks 5%
Autonomous vans
Autonomous terminal equipment
1%
Autonomous inland navigation
Automonous drones for regular logistics
5%
Autonomous drones for port services
5%
2%
Autonomous rail vehicles/applications
Autunomous drones for emergencies
6%
6%
Autonomous vessels (maritime)
6%
Long term (+10 years)No opinion Already happeningShort term (- 3 years)Mid to long term (+ 5 years)
13%
17%
39%
50%
39%
21%
8%
11%
8%
28% 67%
57% 23%
40% 60%20%0% 80% 100%
5%Operational expertise, efficiency andknowledge will be indispensible for supply chain descisions
Operational expertise, efficiency and knowledge will be digitized
Importance of conceptual and abstract capabilities will increase
10%
Different profiles will be required in the future
N=82, respondents include shipping companies, Maritime Transhipment, Port Logistics, Logistic service providers, Freight forwarders & customs, Shipping & industry, other
Evolution of staff characteristicsSpeed of introduction of robotized and autonomous equipment
… the impact on work force and knowledge requirement will be extensive
7
© 2017 Deloitte Port Services Ports of the future, a vision
Source: Havenmonitor, Deloitte Digital Disruption Map, Deloitte analysis
Impact of digital disruption on port employment
Forecasts show at least a 25% drop in generated employment as a result of digitization
8
30%
50%
90%
70%
40%
60%
100%
80%
10%
0%
20%
1,3%
Shipping
1,8%
Ports
8,2%
OffshoreMarine
1,3%
1,9%3,5%
Maritime service
Fisheries
100%
Maritime suppliers
Total today
1,0%1,3%0,2%
Yachting and sport
1,2%75%
Aquaculture
3,4%
Inland navigation
-25%
Ship building
Forecasted total
Employment
Note: Impact calculated based on the Deloitte Digital Disruption map, multiplied with the total employment generated by each sector in 2015
© 2017 Deloitte Port Services 9FEPORTS | Proposal 'The changing face of ports'
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Jan-1
8
Jan-1
5
Jan-0
4
Jan-1
0
Jan-1
3
Jan-1
7
Jan-1
4
Jan-1
1
Jan-1
6
Jan-1
2
Jan-0
9
Jan-0
8
Jan-0
7
Jan-0
6
Jan-0
5
Cyber Security search
Threats to Cybersecurity in PortsAvailability of a large port could present a major economic incident for a state or country, and could bring 'just in time' supply chains to a grinding halt in a number of days.Source, PTI
Maritime cyber security awareness lowIncreased automation and the decrease of manual intervention in the maritime industry provides fertile ground for security breaches,Source, BPO interview Indra Vonck Deloitte
Container terminals APMT down through hackSeventeen APM container terminals in Rotterdam and other parts of the world were successfully attacked by hackers.Source, Lloyds
How hackers are targeting the shipping industryThe head of Europe's crime fighting agency has warned of the growing risk of organized crime groups using cyber-attacks to allow them to traffic drugs.Source, BBC News
Maersk revealed that the (hacking) incident could cost it as much as $300 million (£155 million) in profits
Search frequency of cyber security topics1
1Source: Google trends analysis
Security, both physical and digital is a growing concern, since the majority of goods, as well as strategic stockpiles are often stored and handled in local terminals
© 2017 Deloitte Port Services
Port authorities and regulators have the important role to support the industry and guide it in a proactive manner towards a sustainable future
Ports of the future, a vision
Role of the regulator Role of the port authority
• Accelerate the development of common standards
• Increase the attractiveness to investments in the production of digital products
• Increase the level of digital skills amongst the current working population
• Push our cybersecurity standards further
• Support the port cluster in a sustainable manner
• Facilitate the transition to a new digital workforce
• Be resilient and adapt to change in a successful manner
• Reward green initiatives
• Create awareness surrounding cybersecurity in the cluster
• Be prepare to cooperate and integrate
10
© 2017 Deloitte Port Services
• The future of the ports is challenging but bright since innovation will have a greater role to play and will enable the port to generate significant value for customers, shareholders and employees
• The regulator and port authority must strive to guide ports through these turbulent times as well as facilitate them in this process of change
• Collaboration is critical on both a horizontal and vertical level and nurturing an ecosystem where innovation can truly thrive is now essential
• Rethink how change is currently managed in your port and develop specific strategies for transformational innovations: be bold, set up a specific structure operating with protected funds, measure and incentivize with non-economic metrics
• We need to manage the risks of innovation in proactively and prepare our workforce and organizations for the impact of digitalization and automation
Some suggestions moving forward
Ports of the future, a vision 11
About Deloitte Port Services
As Centre of Expertise Deloitte Port Services offers a point of view on the port industry’s challenges and opportunities, with
pushing industries and businesses to transform themselves in
Indra Vonck
Indra Vonck is a senior subject matter expert in the Deloitte Port Services team. He has a PHD in Maritime economics (specialisation port development) from the university of Antwerp and Solvay Business School Brussels.
Tel: +31 8 82 88 62 18
Mob: +31 6 13 35 64 02
About Deloitte Port Services
Deloitte Port Services, part of Deloitte North West Europe, is exclusively focused on port-related organizations such as port authorities, shipping lines, terminal operators, service providers, lobby organizations, semipublic governments, etc. The group consists of a network of port experts with very broad expertise and uses an international network of port professionals within the global Deloitte organization.
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© 2017 Deloitte The Netherlands