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Prescription Behavior Surveillance Using PDMP Data. Len Paulozzi, MD, MPH NCIPC, CDC From Epi to Policy Atlanta, GA April 22-23, 2013. Outline of the Talk. Background on Prescription Drug Monitoring Programs (PDMPs or PMPs) PDMPs as surveillance tools Standard PDMP data elements - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention National Center for Injury Prevention and Control
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention National Center for Injury Prevention and Control
Prescription Behavior Surveillance Using PDMP Data
Prescription Behavior Surveillance Using PDMP Data
Len Paulozzi, MD, MPHNCIPC, CDC
From Epi to PolicyAtlanta, GA April 22-23, 2013
2
Outline of the Talk
• Background on Prescription Drug Monitoring Programs (PDMPs or PMPs)
• PDMPs as surveillance tools• Standard PDMP data elements• Descriptive measures to characterize
populations• Risk measures for populations or individuals
4
Information on Your State PDMP
• States page at the Alliance of States with PMPs website:– http://www.pmpalliance.org/content/state-profiles
• PMP parent agency, frequency of data collection, schedules monitored, access restrictions, and other information
5
PDMP Data Use on the Federal Level
• Support from CDC’s Injury Center and FDA, • Bureau of Justice Assistance funded the PMP
Center of Excellence at Brandeis University • COE established Prescription Behavior
Surveillance System• Independent, de-identified, longitudinal PDMP
database with data from selected states
6
PDMP Attributes As a Surveillance System
• Simplicity: single data source, few data elements, drug code (NDC) is complicated
• Flexibility: limited fields• Data quality: insurance and system error checks• Acceptability: mandatory
See: Lee et al, eds., Principles and Practice of Public Health Surveillance, 3rd edition, 2010.
7
PDMP Attributes As a Surveillance System
• Sensitivity: high, required by law• Predictive value positive: metrics untested• Representativeness: population-based• Timeliness: days to weeks• Stability: in most cases operating for years• Cost: support inadequate for most PDMPs
See: Lee et al, eds., Principles and Practice of Public Health Surveillance, 3rd edition, 2010.
8
Model Act 2010 RevisionData Elements for PDMPs
Prescription Number, Date issued by prescriber, Date filled, New or refill, Number of refills, State-issued serial number (optional)
Drug NDC code for drug, Quantity dispensed, Days’ supply dispensed
9
Model Act 2010 RevisionData Elements for PDMPs
Patient Identification number Name, Address, Date of birth, Sex Source of payment Name of person who receives prescription if other than patient
Prescriber Identification number
Dispenser Identification number
10
Descriptive Measures: Prescription Counts
• Specific compound, formulation• Drug class
– Opioids, benzodiazepines, stimulants, etc.– All extended-release formulations of opioids– Class within a schedule, e.g., Schedule II
opioids• Daily dosage of an opioid prescription
11
Descriptive Measures: Denominators
• Person, e.g., rx per 100,000 people (most common)
• Patient, e.g., rx per 100,000 patients• Prescriber, e.g., mean daily dose/prescriber• Pharmacy, e.g., rx/pharmacy
Time period is specified: e.g., in 2012, in past quarter
12
Descriptive Measures: “By” Variables
• Patient sex, age group • Patient/prescriber/pharmacy by county or zip
code• Month, year (prescribed or dispensed)• Prescriber specialty (requires linkage based on
prescriber number)• Source of payment (where collected)• Patient type, e.g., opioid-naive
13
Rates of Prescribed Opioids per 100 People by sex, Tennessee,2007–2011
Rate
per
10
0
pop
ula
tion
Baumblatt J. Prescription Opioid Use and Opioid-Related Overdose Death TN, 2009–2010, CDC EIS Tuesday Morning Seminar, 1/8/2013
14
Kentucky All Schedule Prescription Electronic Reporting System (KASPER)
http://chfs.ky.gov/NR/rdonlyres/A4FA61AC-4399-40CD-9E02-13899AFB73E7/0/KASPERQuarterlyTrendReportQ12012.pdf
15
Risk Measures: Daily Dose for Opioids
• Converted to morphine milligram equivalents (MME)
• Handling of overlapping prescriptions: add?• Usually categorized, e.g.,
– High, e.g., >100 MME/day– Going beyond specific dosing guidelines
• e.g., more than 30 mg of methadone per day for an opioid-naïve person
• Also quantified by measures of central tendency: mean or median dose
• SAS coding to do MME conversions available from CDC
16
Number of Patients Receiving Opioid Dosages > 100 MME/day, Tennessee,
2007‒2011
Nu
mb
er
of
Pati
en
ts
Baumblatt J. Prescription Opioid Use and Opioid-Related Overdose Death TN, 2009–2010, CDC EIS Tuesday Morning Seminar, 1/8/2013
South Beach - Tottenville
Willowbrook
Stapleton - St. George
Port Richmond
-- Staten Island --
Rockaway
Southeast Queens
Jamaica
Southwest Queens
Fresh Meadows
Ridgewood - Forest Hills
Bayside - Little Neck
Flushing - Clearview
West Queens
Long Island City - Astoria
-- Brooklyn --
Lower Manhattan
Union Square - Lower East Side
Greenwich Village - Soho
Gramercy Park - Murray Hill
Chelsea - Clinton
Upper East Side
Upper West Side
East Harlem
Central Harlem - Morningside Heights
Washington Heights - Inwood
-- Manhattan --
Williamsburg - Bushwick
Coney Island - Sheepshead Bay
Bensonhurst - Bay Ridge
Canarsie - Flatlands
East Flatbush - Flatbush
Borough Park
Sunset Park
East New York
Bedford Stuyvesant - Crown Heights
Downtown - Heights - Slope
Greenpoint
-- Queens --
Hunts Point - Mott Haven
High Bridge - Morrisania
Crotona - Tremont
Pelham - Throgs Neck
Fordham - Bronx Park
Northeast Bronx
Kingsbridge - Riverdale
-- Bronx --
Rate per 1000
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130
Age Adjusted Rate per 1000 residents
6 - 13 14 - 1616 - 20 21 - 3737 - 128
High Dose Oxycodone Prescriptions per Neighborhood, NYC, 2010
17
18
Risk Measures: Prescription Drug Combinations
• Additive sedating effects• Opioids overlapping with benzodiazepines or
muscle relaxants or both• Regional specialties:
– Florida: oxycodone and alprazolam (a benzodiazepine)
– Texas: “Holy Trinity” or “Houston cocktail” of hydrocodone, alprazolam, and carisoprodol (a muscle relaxant)
19
Risk Measures: Distance
• Large distances– Patient residence to prescriber office compared with
nearest prescriber– Patient residence to pharmacy compared with
nearest pharmacy– Out-of-state prescription filled in-state– Non state-resident using state pharmacy
• Requires availability of patient residence, linkage to data on prescriber and pharmacy address, and GIS mapping.
20
Risk Measures: Multiples
• Multiple prescriptions from same class• Multiple classes of scheduled drugs• Multiple prescribers or pharmacies or both
21
Measures of “Shopping” or “Multiple Provider Episodes”
Author (year) Drug No. of Prescribers
No. of Pharmacies
Rx Overlap
TimePeriod
Hall (2008) Any CS 5+ NA NA 1 yr
Peirce (2012) Any CS 4+NA
NA4+
NANA
6 mo6 mo
Ohio DOH (2010)
Opioid Avg of 5+ NA NA Over 3 yrs
Gilson (2010, 2012)
“Same medication”
2+ 2+ NA 30 d
Katz (2010) Any CSII 4+ 4+ NA 1 yr
Cepeda (2012)
Opioid 2+ 3+ 1+ day 18 mo
BJA criteria CSII-IV 5+ 5+ NA 3 mo.
22
Multiple prescriber and pharmacy patients by drug type by age group, 2008
<25 25-40 41-64 65+0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
OpioidBenzodiazepineDiuretic
Age Group
Rate
per
1,0
00
pati
en
ts
Patients with 2+ overlapping rx by different prescribers dispensed in 3+ pharmacies over 18 months. IMS LRx database. Cepeda, Drug Safety 2012
23
Use of PMP Data by MA Dept. of Public Health“Shopping” as a
portion of all prescriptions Overdoses in ED Data
Slide provided courtesy of Peter Kreiner, PMP Center of Excellence at Brandeis. Doctor shopping, the questionable activity, was defined as 4+ prescriber s and 4+ pharmacies for CSII in six months.
24
Effect of eliminating triplicate prescription forms in Jan. 2005 on
multiple provider episodes involving short-acting oxycodone, CA
Gilson. J Pain 2012;13:103
Senate bill 151 goes into effect
MM.YY
25
Patient vs. Provider Metrics?
• Top 1% of prescribers based on number of prescriptions might account for 33% of the morphine equivalents (MME) in your state.(1)
• Top 1% of patients might account for 40% of MME.(2)
1. Swedlow 2011; 2. Edlund 2010
26
Distribution of CS II-IV prescriptions to prescribers, Oregon, 1/12 to 9/12
% of Prescribers
44
92
% of CS Prescriptions
6019
21
Oregon Health Authority. Prescription Drug Dispensing in Oregon, October 1, 2011 – March 31, 2012
27
Percent of CS II-V prescriptions prescribed by prescriber decile by year, KY, 2009
20090
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
8.4
17.9
64.3
Top decile
9th
8th
7th
6th
5th
4th
3rd
2nd
Lowest decile
Perc
en
t of
pre
scri
pti
on
s
Blumenschein, K, et al. Independent Evaluation of the Impact and Effectiveness of the Kentucky All Schedule Prescription Electronic Reporting Program (KASPER) Institute for Pharmaceutical Outcomes and Policy , Univ of Kentucky, 2010
28
Distribution of opioid prescribers by volume of patients and multiple-
provider patients, 2008 (IMS LRx data)
1-17 18-35 36-65 66-149 150-227
228-457
458-915
916-1831
1832-2936
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Pct Prescribers Pct MPPs
Number of patients per prescriber
Perc
en
t
5% prescribers, 42% multiple-provider patients
Source: Cepeda et al. J Opioid Manage 2012;8 (5):285-291
29
Patient vs. Provider Metrics?
• 100 patients in the PMP for every prescriber • It takes roughly 100 times more effort to
address the same fraction of problematic prescriptions.
• For interventions, provider case-finding is preferred based on efficiency.
30
References Cited
• Cepeda, M., D. Fife, et al. (2012). "Assessing opioid shopping behavior." Drug Safety. • Edlund, M. J., B. C. Martin, et al. (2010). "Risks for opioid abuse and dependence among
recipients of chronic opioid therapy: results from the TROUP study." Drug Alcohol Depend 112(1-2): 90-98.
• Forrester, M. B. (2011). "Ingestions of hydrocodone, carisoprodol, and alprazolam in combination reported to Texas poison centers." Journal of Addictive Diseases 30: 110-115.
• Hall, A. J., J. E. Logan, et al. (2008). "Patterns of abuse among unintentional pharmaceutical overdose fatalities." JAMA 300: 2613-2620.
• Katz, N., L. Panas, et al. (2010). "Usefulness of prescription monitoring programs for surveillance---analysis of Schedule II opioid prescription data in Massachusetts, 1996--2006." Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Safety 19: 115-123.
• Ohio Department of Health. (2010). "Epidemic of prescription drug overdoses in Ohio." Retrieved September 1, 2010, from http://www.healthyohioprogram.org/diseaseprevention/dpoison/drugdata.aspx.
• Peirce, G., M. Smith, et al. (2012). "Doctor and pharmacy shopping for controlled substances." Med Care.
• Swedlow, A., J. Ireland, et al. (2011). Prescribing patterns of schedule II opioids in California Workers' Compensation, California Workers' Compensation Institute.
• White, A. G., H. G. Birnbaum, et al. (2009). "Analytic models to identify patients at risk for prescription opioid abuse." Am J Manag Care 15(12): 897-906.
• Wilsey, B. L., S. M. Fishman, et al. (2010). "Profiling multiple provider prescribing of opioids, benzodiazepines, stimulants, and anorectics." Drug Alcohol Depend 112: 99-106.
Len Paulozzi, MD, MPH
The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the official position of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention/the Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry.
Thank You