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PRESIDENTIAL
ELECTIONAndrés Manuel López Obrador is the projected winner of the Presidentialelection. This situation would respond to a candidate that was able tocapitalize on the high social discontent and an 18 year political effort. TheAMLO effect is reflected at the national level, since the Coalition that heleads will obtain different strategic positions, such as the Head ofGovernment of Mexico City, at least 3 governorships, first minority in theFederal Congress, among other local posts.
This electoral process will result in a substantial change in the national political order.
ELECTION 2018
Andrés Manuel López ObradorJuntos Haremos Historia
President-Electprojected
53.7%
ANDRÉS MANUEL LÓPEZ OBRADORRESULTS
PARTICIPATION62.7%
% PREP
41.8% 11:30 am
CUT OF THISEDITION
November 13, 1953 (64 years). BA in Political Science and PublicAdministration from the National Autonomous University of Mexico(UNAM).
Founder of the National Regeneration Movement (MORENA) party andvirtual candidate elected to the Presidency of the Republic by the CoalitionJuntos Haremos Historia, formed by MORENA, the Workers Party (PT) and theSocial Encounter Party (PES). He was a presidential candidate in the 2006 and2012 elections.
Before founding of MORENA (2014) he served as President of the DemocraticRevolution Party (PRD) from 1996 to 1999. He was elected as Head ofGovernment of Mexico City from 2000 to 2005, obtaining 37.5% of the votesin the elections against 24.5% of the second place (Santiago Creel - PAN). Theadministration was distinguished by the construction of the second floor ofthe Periférico (the most important road in the city); the expansion of socialprograms aimed for single mothers; students, unemployed, rural producers,micro-entrepreneurs, senior-citizens and people with disabilities.
Some social rights were inserted into the Law, among them, the UniversalAlimony Pension for Older Adults, the delivery of school supplies to studentsof public basic education, the Support Program for Persons with Disabilitiesand Comprehensive Care for Single Mothers. The Medical Care and FreeMedicines Program is worth noting, ever since 725 families, who did not havesocial security, were given access to health services. In addition, theAutonomous University of Mexico City was founded.
The management of Mr. López Obrador of Mexico’s City finances obtainedthe maximum positive rating of triple A (Fitch, Moody's and Standard &Poors).
Since the beginning of the 2018 electoral process, he remained at front of allthe electoral polls. The reason is that he was the only candidate who managedto yield the high social discontent, condition that was reflected in a historicalparticipation of voters in his favor.
Total votes: 12, 756, 525
53.7
22.7
15.2
5.6
AMLO ANAYA MEADE BRONCO
5, 448, 298
12, 756, 525
3, 652, 263
1, 349, 183
PRESIDENCY
ELECTION 2018
PRESIDENCY
GOVERNMENT PROPOSALS
During his campaign, Andrés Manuel López Obrador presented the National Project 2018-2024, in which, his main proposals to address the main issues of thecountry are detailed.
GOVERNMENT AND POLITICS EDUCATION, VALUES, CULTURE AND SCIENCE
ECONOMY AND DEVELOPMENT SECURITY
Turn the State into a promoter of the political, economic and socialdevelopment of the country.
Republican Austerity that complements the fight againstcorruption, as main axes of the nation’s project,
True and efficient open government; Reform the Constitution inorder to expand the scope of popular demands.
Reduce the size of the federal administration without sacrificing thequality of government.
Education for everyone; gratuity at all educational levels.
Review the Educational Reform.
Assure admission to every citizen who desires university education.
Inclusive education plan in coordination with: teachers, parents andpedagogues.
Zero debt policy.
Reduce income tax to 20% in the border area.
Autonoumy of the Bank of Mexico and macroeconomic equilibrium.
Reorient public spending.
Tax Policy 2019-2024; not increase nor creation of new taxes inorder to generate macroeconomic stability, with balanced publicfinances.
Create the Ministry of Public Security and remove the attributionsfrom the Ministry of the Interior.
Public Prosecutors Professionalization.
The security cabinet will be integrated by the Attorney General'sOffice and the Ministry of the Interior, National Defense and theNavy.
Establish a single police command with 32 state corporations
ELECTION 2018
PRESIDENCY
GOVERNMENT PROPOSALS
HEALTH SUSTAINABILITY
SOCIAL DEVELOPMENTFOREIGN AFFAIRS
Strengthen and expand the public health system (IMSS, ISSSTE,SSA).
Free access to health services and medicines for population withoutsocial security.
Public policies for national production and procurement ofmedicines and vaccines as a national security issue.
Promote the national production of medicines.
Multilateral Foreign Policy; create a new dialogue with NorthAmerica, maintaining cooperation for development.
International collaboration for the fight against tax havens.
Promote the integral development of the areas with the highestmigration rates.
Sign an "Alliance for Progress" with Canada, the US and CentralAmerican countries in order to boost employment.
Enactment of a General Water Law establishing the resource as ahuman right.
National program for climate change adaptation.
Conservation through the sustainable use of biodiversity.
Development of renewable energy sources; hydroelectric, solar andtidal plants.
Development of indigenous communities by conserving theirnatural heritage.
State Social Policy: Address poverty firstly by ensuring income andskills development.
Annually attend 2.6 million young citizens living in vulnerablesituations.
Incorporate physical activity into the citizenship.
Scholarships to young citizen that do not study nor work.
TRANSITION TEAM
Economic Policy
External Affairs
Internal Affairs
Media
Olga Sánchez Cordero
Tatiana Clouthier
Héctor Vasconcelos
Marcelo Ebrard Casaubón
César Yañez Centeno Cabrera
Andrés Manuel López Obrador announced the team that will be coordinating with the current Federal Government to promote the transition of the government inan orderly manner. Among other issues, the Transition Team would be in charge of designing the 2019 Economic Package.
ELECTION 2018
PRESIDENCY
Carlos Manuel Urzúa Macías
Alfonso Romo Garza
Gerardo Esquivel
Arturo Herrera Gutiérrez
ELECTION 2018
PRESIDENCY
PROPOSED CABINET
MINISTRY OF THE INTERIOROlga Sánchez Cordero
She has wide experience in public service, being the 9th woman who served as Judge in the Supreme Court and the first as a public notary in Mexico;since then, she has been recognized as one of the country’s most important lawyers. She has been a professor in different universities, as well as apanelist in law, constitutional law, health protection and commercial law.
MINISTRY OF PUBLIC SECURITYAlfonso Durazo Montaño
He has worked with AMLO since 2006 and has participated with former President Vicente Fox and with Luis Donaldo Colosio. He has a PhD in PublicPolicies from TEC of Monterrey. He worked in the Directions of Information and Radio, Television and Cinematography, of the Ministry of the Interior.In addition, he was coordinator of Social Communication of the Presidency in the Fox Administration.
PRESIDENT’S OFFICEAlfonso Romo Garza
MINISTRY OF FINANCE AND PUBLIC CREDITCarlos Manuel Urzúa Macías
Academic from from the Colegio de México. He served as Minister of Finance and Public Credit in Mexico City’s Government when AMLOserved as the City’s Head of government (2000-2003). On this position, he focused his efforts on improving the effectiveness of taxcollection, as well as the distribution of adequate income, aiming to allocate financial resources towards social programs.
AMLO’s National Project Coordinator and speaker with the business sector. Chair of the Board of the Plenus Group, dedicated to synthetic biology,agro-biotechnology, education and financial services. Owner of Synthetic Genomics, transplant research corporation Through his company NatureSource Improved Plants (NSIP), he is positioned as a leader in genetic improvement. He was the Executive President La Moderna, transforming it intothe most profitable cigar and tobacco company in Mexico, as well as diversifying into the packaging and corrugated industry. In 2000, he supportedVicente Fox’s Presidential Campaign.
ELECTION 2018
PRESIDENCY
PROPOSED CABINET
MINISTRY OF COMMUNICATIONS AND TRANSPORTJavier Jiménez Espriú
Former PEMEX’s General Director, while occupying this position, unleaded gasoline was introduced into the country and the Azcapotzalco refinerywas dismantled. In the private sector, he has worked as Counselor and Consultant of several mercantile companies of the aeronautical sector.Currently, he is Honorary President of the Board of Directors of NEC de México S.A. de C.V., Mexican subsidiary of the Japanese NEC Corporation.
MINISTRY OF THE ECONOMYGraciela Márquez Colín
MINISTRY OF WORK
Luisa María Alcalde Luján
Federal Congresswoman (2012-2015), where she served as Secretary of the Labor Commission. She joined MORENA in 2011 as NationalCoordinator of Youth and Students. Daughter of Arturo Alcalde Justiniani and Bertha Luján, who have worked with AMLO since he served as MexicoCity’s Head of Government.
Professor in different national and international universities, including: UNAM, Chicago University and Harvard. She is an active researcher in ElColegio de México, and belongs to the Researchers Nations System. Her academic work has focused on commercial policy, inequality and economicdevelopment.
MINISTRY OF HEALTHJorge Alcocer Varela
Surgeon, Specialty in Internal Medicine, Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology at the National Institute of Nutrition. Postgraduate at London’sUniversity Immunology at ICRF Tumor Immunology. Emeritus Researcher in Medical Sciences and Head of Intellectual Property Unit at the NationalInstitute of Medical Sciences and Nutrition Salvador Zubirán. He served as President of the Mexican Society of Rheumatology, member of theNational System of Researchers.
ELECTION 2018
PRESIDENCY
PROPOSED CABINET
MINISTRY OF TOURISMMiguel Ángel Torruco MárquesFormer Minister of Tourism of Mexico City (2012-2017). President of the National Tourist Confederation (CNT), business entity of the tourismsector in Mexico. Member of the experts’ group of the UNWTO, the Executive Commission of Tourism, the Tourism Advisory Council and theGoverning Board of the Tourism Promotion Council of Mexico (CPTM). He has been linked with the business sector in states such as Nuevo Leónand Coahuila. He is Tourism Vice President of the National Confederation of National Chambers of Commerce, Services and Tourism,CONCANACO-Servytur.
MINISTRY OF ENVIRONMENT AND NATURAL RESOURCESJosefa González Blanco Ortíz Mena
BA in Law from the Universidad Anáhuac; MA from the John F. Kennedy University. In Chiapas, she has promoted projects to rescue species in LosAlushes Park in Palenque. Among other activities, she was the Administrative Secretary of the UNAM Postgraduate Law Course and Professor ofComparative Legal System. In England, she was part of various environmental and cultural organizations with local and international projects. She isdaughter of Patrocinio González Blanco, former governor of Chiapas and Minister of the Interior during Carlos Salinas’ Administration.
Esteban Moctezuma Barragán
MINISTRY OF SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
María Luisa Albores González
BA in Agronomy from the Autonomous University of Chapingo; MA in Pedagogy from the Central for Rural Development Studies. She has beeninvolved in programs of civil organizations that work for the agronomy and environmental sectors. Currently she is part of TAMAKEPALIS, aninitiative that aims to rebuild homes in the state of Puebla, after the damages of the 2017’s earthquakes.
Responsible for developing the Social Development policy of AMLO’s platform. The objective will be to rethink the sector’s policy, prioritizing themost vulnerable communities of the country. He is the current Executive President of Fundación Azteca. Former Minister of the Interior and ofSocial Development, both in President Ernesto Zedillo’s Administration. He holds a degree in Economics and Law from the National AutonomousUniversity of Mexico, a Masters in Political Economy from the University of Cambridge, and a Diploma in Regional Development from Tokyo, Japan.
MINISTRY OF EDUCATION
ELECTION 2018
PRESIDENCY
PROPOSED CABINET
MINISTRY OF THE PUBLIC FUNCTION
Irma Eréndira Sandoval Ballesteros
Full-time researcher at the Institute of Social Research of UNAM. She was Director of Documentation, Analysis, Corruption and Transparency of thesame University. She is an expert in taxes, corruption, transparency, responsibility and access to information.
MINISTRY OF FOREIGN AFFAIRSHéctor Vasconcelos
MINISTRY OF AGRARIAN, LAND AND URBAN DEVELOPMENTRomán Guillermo Meyer Falcón
He has developed projects regarding the recovery of public spaces, health, mobility, community integration, real estate and economicdevelopment. He has taught courses in social urbanism at the Ibero-American Univiersity. He is an specialist in crime prevention and improvementof public spaces. He is the son of the historian Lorenzo Meyer and sociologist Romana Falcón, both AMLO’s advisors.
BA in Political Science and International Relations from Harvard University; MA in Political History from the University of Cambridge, and a PhD fromthe University of Oxford. Currently he is an advisor of the UNAM. He has been a professor at the Faculty of Political and Social Sciences at the sameUniversity and researcher at the Center for Political Studies. As a diplomat, he has been Consul of Mexico in Boston and Ambassador of Mexico toDenmark, Norway and Iceland. He is the son of one of the most important intellectuals in Mexico, José Vasconcelos.
MINISTRY OF ENERGYRocío Nahle GarcíaChemical Engineer specialized in Petrochemistry, graduated from the Autonomous University of Zacatecas. BA in Chemical Processes’ Engineeringfrom UNAM and in Economic Engineering and Strategic Analysis from the Universidad Veracruzana. She serves as Federal Congresswoman in theLXIII Legislature (2015-2018) being the Coordinator of MORENA’s Parliamentary Group. She worked in PEMEX in different areas such as: ProcessesEngineer of Industrial Plants; Analysis and Quality control; Administration and Finance; and in the Petrochemical Zones of Cangrejera, Pajaritos andMorelos.
ELECTION 2018
PRESIDENCY
PROPOSED CABINET
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE, LIVESTOCK, RURAL DEVELOPMENT, FISHERIES AND FOODVíctor VillalobosGeneral Manager of the Inter-American Institute for Cooperation on Agriculture since 2010. He served as Undersecretary of Natural Resources at theMinistry of Environment and Natural Resources (SEMARNAT) and as Assistant Secretary of Agriculture at the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock, RuralDevelopment, Fisheries and Food (SAGARPA). Dr. Villalobos is an specialist in agriculture and natural and genetic resources. He was Director ofCINVESTAV in Irapuato.
MINISTRY OF CULTUREAlejandra Frausto GuerreroHer career in cultural promotion began in 1998 at the Universidad del Claustro de Sor Juana, where she served as Director of Cultural Diffusion. Shecreated the Festival Circuit Coordination in the Ministry of Culture of Mexico City, in order to grant cultural access to marginalized areas within the 16town-ships of Mexico City.
ELECTION 2018
PRESIDENCY
INNER CIRCLE
Alfonso Romo GarzaBusinessman in the area of genetic and transgenic experimentation. Hisprevious projects such as: Grupo Pulsar, Savia, Seminis, Tabamex y GrupoMonterrey, allowed him to came up with Synthetic Genomics, a company incharge of transplant research. He worked with the PAN candidates Vicente Foxand Felipe Calderón, in 2011 he announced his support to López Obrador andlater became the General Coordinator of his Nation Project 2018 – 2024.
Gabriel García HernándezGeneral Secretary of MORENA. He worked in theGovernment of Mexico City with AMLO, asDirector of Acquisitions in the AdministrativeOffice.
Yeidckol Polevnsky
President of the National Chamber of the TransformationIndustry (CANACINTRA) in 2002. She served as a memberof the board of directors of Nacional Financiera (Nafin),the Bank of Foreign Trade (Bancomext) and as Senator ofin the LX and LXI Legislatures. Currently, she is Presidentof the National Regeneration Movement Party(MORENA).
Marcelo EbrardHe started his political career within the PRIunder the leadership of Manuel CamachoSolís. He was a Federal Congressman for thePVEM and candidate for the Head ofGovernment in 2000 for the DemocraticCenter Party, however he declined in favorof AMLO. He served as Head ofGovernment, Minister of Local Security andMinister of Social Development. As Head ofGovernment of Mexico City he had anacceptance level of 80%.
Andrés Manuel López Beltran
Son of Andrés Manuel; BA in PoliticalSciences and Public Administrationfrom UNAM. He is in charge of forming5,600 sectional committees.
Alejandro Esquer Verdugo
Private secretary of AMLO when he was PRD’s
National President and Head of Government of
Mexico City.
Cesar Yañez Centeno CabreraHe was the Social Communication Director duringLópez Obrador’s government in Mexico City. Sincethen he has been in charge of coordinating thepress and he serves as a spokesperson of MORENA.
Tatiana ClouthierDaughter of Manuel Clouthier, presidential candidate of PAN 1988.She has been a Federal Congresswoman, candidate for theMunicipal Presidency of San Pedro Garza García, NL. She wasAMLO’s campaign coordinator.
ELECTION 2018
PRESIDENCY
KEY DATES
July 1st
Federal Elections2018
August
23 Deadline to grantcertificates to electedfederal congressmen andsenators
September
1 LXIV Legislature’sInstallation
DecemberOctober
8 Deadline for parties tosubmit to the INE theirreport of campaignexpenses .
3 Deadline for the court to
solve the dispute trialsrelated to representativesand senators election
31 Deadline for the courtto solve the dispute trialsrelated to the presidentialelection
September 15 – October15. Integration ofCommittees in Congress
1 Presidential inauguration.
15 2019 Economic Packagepresentation
31 2019 Economic Packageapproval
Transition process
2019
1 february The President presents the National Public Security Strategy to the Senate.
28 february The President will send the National Development Plan to the House of Representatives for their approval. His deadline is the lastbusiness day in February.
6 Deadline for the court tovalidate the presidentialelection.
ELECTION 2018
PRESIDENCY
Political
Govern through excutive orders (decrees), in case of not reaching consensus.
Revocation of mandate in the middle of the presidential term; it could provoke political instability, in a context of social polarization.
Mexico is experiencing a crisis of confidence and legitimacy towards the political class and government institutions. The
levels of corruption, impunity and weak rule of law are the main problems that the new Administration must address.
The projected victory of Andrés Manuel López Obrador has generated uncertainty regarding how he will govern; hence, he has the challenge
of demonstrating the political viability of his project. Among the main questions around AMLO, is the feasibility of including different political
forces into his government, as a means in order to generate trust in various sectors of society, including the economic agents.
Potential Style of Government:
Use of public consultations on politicized issues about government actions.
ESCENARIOS AND CONSIDERATIONS
ESCENARIOS AND CONSIDERATIONS
The Economic Package is expected to have significant adjustments (focus on improving governmental expenditure), seeking to
ensure the proper functioning of government actions.
Regarding trade, it is expected that AMLO’s government will seek continuity of NAFTA and to continue the country’s diversification
policy. The agri-food sector can become a turning point in the negotiations, due to MORENA’s position on food sovereignty.
In the context of low economic growth, high inflation, and international economic pressure (exchange rate and US
interest rates), the new federal government must reinforce the country’s economic policy, generating the necessary
conditions that allow the country to attract greater investment and overall, become a better commercial destination.
According to the Bank of Mexico (BANXICO), the victory of AMLO will have no significant economic effects in the markets, or in the
currency. The economic impact will depend on the message of the transition team regarding macroeconomic policy.
Potential Style of Government:
The structural reforms could have a slow implementation. Fitch Ratings considers a slower implementation of the energy reform; and
a greater state intervention in the market and a potential increase in public spending.
Economic
ELECTION 2018
PRESIDENCY
Potential Style of Government:
ESCENARIOS AND CONSIDERATIONS
ELECTION 2018
PRESIDENCY
Comprehensive policy for the development of vulnerable sector in the south-southeast region.
Surveillance in the exercise of public resources and government actions by civil society organizations.
Potential Increase of social discontent in case of lack of results of the campaign proposals.
Audit and supervision of administrative processes for social programs.
The economic model of the country has not been sufficiently inclusive to achieve better living conditions. The Mexican
society faces important challenges such as insecurity, social decomposition and polarization of political positions. The
social priorities are: education, health services, more and better job opportunities and poverty reduction.
The administration of AMLO is expected prioritize social policy over economic seeking to favor the most disadvantaged sectors.
However, in order to do so, it must address the possible social division that derives from the electoral process.
Social
ELECTIONFEDERAL CONGRESS
The next President will not need to negotiate to approve secondary reforms since
MORENA obtains a majority in both Houses of Congress, since its alliance with the
Labor (PT) and Social Encounter (PES) adds to a simple majority, condition that will
facilitate the 2019 Economic Package and other bill presented by the Executive.
However, the coalition cannot approve Constitutional reform by itself.
The AMLO effect was also reflected in the integration of the Congress, element that in
turn impeded several independent candidates of achieving a seat in the next
legislature.
There are national priorities in the public agenda that MORENA should attend from the
Congress. The opposition will have little margin to make counterweights and position
its agenda.
ELECTION 2018
FEDERAL CONGRESS
CURRENT INTEGRATION PROJECTED INTEGRATION
38 – 4*
52 + 3
22-16
9 - 4
109 -1
35 +12
203 + 1
61 - 8
47 - 9
25 - 4
11 + 1
8 + 4
TOTAL TOTAL
5OTHERS
OTHERS 9*
21
108
47
53
38
12
204
12
5
55
34
19
6
5
0
9
0 + 19*
1 - 1
* The graphs represent the current seats of Senators, highlighting those who
changed parliamentary group.
CURRENT INTEGRATION (2015-2018)
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES SENATE
FEDERAL CONGRESS
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
% PREP57% 11:30 am
CUT
RESULTS (2018)
SENATE
RelativeMajority
ProportionalRepresentation
TOTAL
211 +/- 85 296
62 +/- 52 114
13 +/- 22 35
8 +/- 3 11
0 +/- 1 1
0 +/- 1 1
5 +/- 3 8
0 +/- 1 1
1 +/- 3 3
1 +/- 18 19
0 +/- 6 6
0 +/- 5 5
300 200 500
RelativeMajority
FirstMinority
ProportionalRepresentation
TOTAL
48 5 +/- 13 66
10 15 +/- 8 33
2 11 +/- 3 16
2 0 +/- 1 3
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 1 +/- 1 2
0 0 0 0
2 0 +/- 1 3
0 0 +/- 2 2
0 0 +/- 2 2
0 0 +/- 1 1
64 32 32 128TOTAL
TOTAL
ELECTION 2018
FEDERAL CONGRESS
ELECTION 2018
CONGRESS
BALANCE OF POWER
Possible strategic alliances to obtain a majority at the House of Representatives.
Absolute majority: 251 votes
Qualified majority: 334 votes
410
Constitutional Reforms
Secondary Laws
334
342
296
* The sum of PAN, PRD, MC, PRI, PVEM and PANAL alone and/or in Alliance is 191; which does not represent a
majority and therefore is insufficient for the approval of reforms, both Constitutional and Secondary.
ELECTION 2018
CONGRESS
BALANCE OF POWER
Possible strategic alliances to obtain a majority at the Senate:
Absolute majority: 251 votes
Qualified majority: 85 votes
99
Constitutional Reforms
Secondary Laws
85
66
* The sum of PAN, PRD, MC, PRI, PVEM and PANAL alone and/or in Alliance is 59; which does not represent a
majority and therefore is insufficient for the approval of reforms, both Constitutional and Secondary.
August September October
15 Deadline for theconformation ofLegislative Committees inthe Congress
31 Conclusion of theFirst Ordinary Period ofthe LXIV Legislature ofthe Federal Congress**.
1 Beginning of the FirstOrdinary Period of theLXIV Legislature of theFederal Congress.
*According to Article 71 of the Constitution, on the inauguration day of each ordinary session, the President maypresent up to two bills for preferential processing. Each bill must be discussed and voted by the Plenary of its Chamberof Origin within a maximum period of thirty calendar days.
**According to Article 66 of the Constitution, due to the presidential election, Congress may extend the Ordinary Perioduntil December 31st of that same year, that being the deadline for approval of the 2019 Economic Package.
23 Deadline to grantcertificates to senatorsand elected federaldeputies
3 Deadline for the courtto resolve thenonconformity trialsrelated to the election ofdeputies and Senators
December
1 Date established forthe President of theRepublic to sendPreferential Bills to theFederal Congress*.
KEY DATES
ELECTION 2018
FEDERAL CONGRESS
ELECTION 2018
FEDERAL CONGRESS
PENDING AGENDA
Appointments of the Attorney General and
Specialized Anticorruption Attorney
Reform on justice
NAFTA ratification (when sent by the Executive)
Proposal to establish and regulate coalition
governments
Single command
Appointment of heads of the internal control units
of INAI, COFECE and IFT
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES SENATE
ELECTION 2018
FEDERAL CONGRESS
PENDING AGENDA (NEXT LEGISLATURE)
Environment
Economy
Political-Social
• Availability and use of water
• Generation and Access to sustainable energies
Labor
• Gender equality (labor opportunities)
• Minimum wage (universal basic income)
• Institutional strengthening / Rule of Law
• Coalition Governments / Second electoral round
• Enhance inclusion (health, education, housing)
• Social rights: paternity/maternity
• Consolidate commercial integration
• Tax reform to increase collection and improve
effectiveness of public expenditure
• Reform to the pension system
• Reforms on waste and environmental
protection
• Fight against labor informality
• Increase economic digitalization / e-commerce
STATE
ELECTIONSAt the state level, the trends indicate a substantial change in the balance of power in the governorships. Itis worth noting the rise of MORENA in most of the States, as well as the case of Movimiento Ciudadano inJalisco. While the elections in Puebla and Yucatan are still undefined, it can be noted that the ‘punishment’vote is also reflected in the local elections.
One of the most relevant findings is that, according to preliminary results in 5 entities, MORENA candidatesobtained more than 40% of the vote in their favor, this occurs in a context of social bitterness and will forcegreater commitment in government action.
If the trends maintain, the political map would be definitively modified in the 32 states, which were historically governed mostly by the PRI and the PAN.
ELECTION 2018
GOVERNORS
In addition to the presidential elections and for the renewal of the Federal Congress, midterm elections were held in 30 entities of the country, in which 8 Governors, 28 LocalCongresses, 1,596 City Councils, 16 City Halls and the Head of Government of Mexico City will be renewed.
8 Governors
1 Head of
Government, Mexico City
387 Local Deputies(Proportional
Representation)
585 Local Deputies
(Relative Mayority)
16Town HallsMexico City
1596Municipalities
8 Governors in:• Chiapas• Guanajuato• Jalisco• Morelos• Puebla• Tabasco• Veracruz• Yucatán
This electoral process will be characterized by the introduction of the reelection. Depending on the State, local deputies may be re-elected for four or two consecutive terms, which isequivalent to twelve and six years in office, respectively. The members of the City Councils: Municipal Presidents and Trustees, may be re-elected for an additional period only.
• Baja California• Baja California Sur• Campeche• Chiapas• Coahuila• Ciudad de México• Durango• Guanajuato• Guerrero• Jalisco• Estado de México• Michoacán• Morelos
• Nayarit• Nuevo León• Puebla• Querétaro• San Luis Potosí• Sinaloa• Sonora• Tabasco• Tlaxcala• Veracruz• Yucatán
4 consecutive
2 consecutive periods • Aguascalientes• Chihuahua• Colima• Hidalgo• Oaxaca• Quintana Roo• Tamaulipas• Zacatecas
Re-election for up to four periods:
Re-election for up to two periods:
INTRODUCTION
ELECTION 2018
GOVERNORS
POLITICAL MAP (LOCAL GOVERNMENT REDISTRIBUTION)
Current Political Map
Currently, the States’ Governments are distributed among thefollowing political forces:
14
4
1
8
1
4
Political Map 2018
According to the election results, the distribution of local governments will be as follows:
States in which will be transition in the partyoccupying the Governorship:
CDMX
CHIAPAS
JALISCO
MORELOS
TABASCO
The party continues in the government in the States of:PUEBLA (PAN) and GUANAJUATO (PAN)
VERACRUZ
Party 2015 2018 Dif.
14 12 -2
8 8 =
0 5 +5
4 5 +1
4 1 -3
0 1 +1 YUCATÁN
ELECTION 2018
GOVERNORS
Claudia Sheinbaum PardoCDMX
46.94%
39.03%
JALISCO
Enrique Alfaro Ramírez
52.53%
MORELOSCuauhtémoc Blanco Bravo
Rutilio Escandón Cadenas
CHIAPAS
35.76%
Adán A. López HernándezTABASCO
61.78%
Mauricio Vila Dosal
31.65%
YUCATÁN
Martha Erika Alonso
38.04%
PUEBLA
VERACRUZ
44.68%
49.68%
GUANAJUATO
Cuitláhuac García Jiménez
Sinhué Rodríguez Vallejo
ELECTED CANDIDATES (PROJECTED)
PREP: 58.60%
PREP: 88.82%
PREP: 77.66%
PREP: 91.40%
PREP: 70%
PREP: 76.12%
PREP: 90.14%
PREP: 57.46%
PREP: 70.81%
ELECTION 2018
HEAD OF
GOVERNMENT
MEXICO CITY
Governor
Local Deputies(33 Relative Majority,
33 Proportional Representation)
Town Halls
1
66
16
VoterTurnout
Total Participation
Abstentions Null Votes
324,659172, 833 151,826 6,230
53.24% 46.76% 3.6%
CURRENT ADMINISTRATION
José Ramón Amieva Gálvez
SubstituteHead of
Government2012-2018
Election 2018
Candidate Party/Coalition Percentage
Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo Juntos Haremos
Historia
Alejandra Barrales Magdaleno Por la CDMX Al
Frente
Mikel Arriola Peñalosa
PRI
BIOGRAPHY: Mayor of Tlalpan (2015–2017). Spokeswoman of AMLO’s
2006 presidential campaign. Minister of the Environment of Mexico City
(2000-2006).
CLAUDIA SHEINBAUM PARDO (GOVERNOR*)
• Increase number of surveillance cameras.• No tax increase.• Create the Renewable Energy Agency of the CDMX.• Decrease procedures for SMEs.• Central control of security (single command).• Potentiate technological development in public transport.
* Projected winner.
MAIN PROPOSALS
December the 5th, 2018 Governor takes office
ELECTED POSITIONS
2
ELECTION 2018
CDMX’S LOCAL CONGRESS
VII LEGISLATURE ALDF
Party Deputies
MORENA 20
PRD 17
PAN 10
PRI 8
PVEM 3
MC 3
PT 1
PES 1
PANAL 1
HUMANISTA 1
INDEPENDIENT 1
Total: 66 Deputies
NOTE: Only the election of relative majority deputies is contemplated. The distribution ofproportional representation deputies will be determined from the percentages of votesobtained by each party.
31
RELATIVE MAJORITY
0
I LEGISLATURE CONGRESS CDMX CONSIDERATIONS
The results give a majority to the coalitionJuntos Haremos Historia (MORENA-PT-PES)which obtained 31 seats in the I Legislature ofthe Mexico City’s Congress. The foregoingsuggests that the Local Legislative andExecutive will have a good communication.
On the other hand, the coalition Al Frente porMéxico (PAN, PRD, MC) achieves 2 seats, but failsto position itself as a force inside the Congress.
Meanwhile, the PRI did not won any district.
MEXICO CITY
CURRENT INTEGRATION PROJECTED INTEGRATION
ELECTION 2018
TOWN HALLS
MEXICO CITY
Town Halls CurrentAdministration
NextAdministration
Elected Mayor*
Álvaro Obregón Layda Sansores
Azcapotzalco Vidal Lleneras Morales
Benito Juárez Santiago Taboada
Coyoacán Manuel Negrete Arias
Cuajimalpa Adrián Ruvalcaba Suarez
Cuauhtémoc Néstor Núñez
Gustavo A. Madero Francisco Chiguil Figueroa
Iztacalco Raúl Armando Quintero
Iztapalapa Clara Brugada Molina
Magdalena Contreras Patricia Ximena Ortiz
Miguel Hidalgo Victor Hugo Romo
Milpa Alta José Octavio Rivero
Tláhuac Raymundo Martínez Vite
Tlalpan Patricia Elena Aceves
Venustiano Carranza Julio Cesar Moreno Rivera
Xochimilco José Carlos Acosta Ruiz
CONSIDERATIONS
On the other hand, the coalition Al Frente por Méxicopositions itself as second in the preferences when obtaining4 mayoralties.
The PRD is significantly weakened, this party once being themain political force in the city.
The PRI only obtains only one Town Hall (Cuajimalpa).
The results show the consolidation of the coalition JuntosHaremos Historia, integrated by of MORENA, PT and PESobtaining 11 out of 16 Town Halls.
* Projected winner.
December 5th, 2018 Mayors take office
CHIAPAS
ELECTED POSITIONS
Governor
Local Deputies(24 Relative Majority,
16 Proportional Representation)
Municipalities
1
40
124
Voter turnoutTotal
ParticipationAbstentions Null Votes
3,459,7762,352,247 1,106,529 72,891
68.00% 32.00% 5.57%
CURRENT ADMINISTRATION
Manuel Velasco Coello
Governor 2012-2018
Election 2018
Candidate Party / Coalition Percentage
Rutilio Escandón Cadenas Juntos Haremos Historia
39.74%
Roberto A. Albores Gleason Podemos Mover a
Chiapas
20.61%
Fernando Castellanos Cal y Mayor
PVEM – Mover a Chiapas –
Chiapas Unido
21.44%
BIOGRAPHY: PhD in Law from the UNAM. He served as Chief of the
Superior Court of Justice and Council of the Judiciary of the State of
Chiapas (2013-2018).
RUTILIO ESCANDÓN CADENAS (GOVERNOR*)
• Fight against corruption.• Austerity• Promotion of employment.• Foster the development of agricultural sector
* Projected winner.
MAIN PROPOSALS
December 8 2018Governor takes office.
ELECTION 2018
GOVERNOR
LXVI LEGISLATURE
Party Deputies
PVEM 13
PRI 10
Chiapas Unido 4
Mover a Chiapas 3
PAN 2
PRD 2
MORENA 2
INDEPENDENT 1
Total: 37 Deputies
RELATIVE MAJORITY
LXVI LEGISLATURE CONSIDERATIONS
CHIAPAS
October 1st 2018Local Deputies take Office
ELECTION 2018
CHIAPAS’ LOCAL CONGRESS
CURRENT INTEGRATION PROJECTED INTEGRATION
NOTE: Only the election of relative majority deputies is contemplated. The distribution ofproportional representation deputies will be determined from the percentages of votesobtained by each party.
The local parties were significantly affected inthese elections.
The Local Congress of Chiapas went fromhaving a PVEM majority to one led by theCoalition Juntos Haremos Historia".
The Coalition Juntos Haremos Historia will notonly have a majority in the Local Congress but willalso lead the State’s Executive, with which agood relationship between the local powers isexpected. This will be relevant for the approvalof the local budget.
8
16
0
0Different parties competed independently, butwon no local electoral district.
Municipality CurrentAdministration
NextAdministration
Elected Mayor*
Tuxtla Gutiérrez Carlos Orsoe Morales Vaquez
Chiapa de Corzo Caralampio AlegriaGomez
San Cristóbal de las CasasJeronima Toledo
Villalobos
CHIAPAS
CONSIDERATIONS
October 1 2018Mayors take Office
ELECTION 2018
MUNICIPALITIES
* Projected winner.
Chiapas had its first local reelection, however, noMunicipal President will stay in office.
There was alternation in the 3 main municipalities, with abroad advantage.
Chiapas went from being a state governed locally by thePVEM to a state governed mostly by the MORENA-PT-PEScoalition.
GUANAJUATO
ELECTED POSITIONS
Governor
Local Deputies(22 Relative majority,
14 Proportional Representation)
Municipalities
1
36
46
Voter turnoutTotal
ParticipationAbstentions Null votes
4,311,7702,274,889 2,036,881 65,223
52.70% 47.30% 3.27%
Current Government
Miguel MárquezMárquez
Governor 2012-2018
Election 2018
Candidate Party/Coalition Percentage
Sinhué Rodríguez Vallejo Por Guanajuato al Frente
49.68%
Ricardo Sheffield Padilla Juntos HaremosHistoria
24.37%
Gerardo Sánchez GarcíaPRI
12.81%
BIOGRAPHY: Close to Governor Miguel Márquez. Former Secretary of
Social Development of Guanajuato (2015-2017). Federal Deputy at the
LXII Legislature (2012-2015). Local Deputy of Guanajuato’s Congress
(2010-2012).
SINHUÉ RODRÍGUEZ VALLEJO (GOVERNOR*)
• Promote foreign investment and strengthen local economy.• Create the Secretariat of Environment and Territorial Planning.• Establish Green taxes.• Short, medium and long term democratic planning through an
Economic and Social Council that includes businessmen, workers,academics and social leaders.
• Privilege public transport solutions in urban centers and strengthenthe logistics infrastructure for intermodal operation.
* Projected winner.
MAIN PROPOSALS
September 26, 2018Governor takes Office
ELECTION 2018
GOVERNOR
1
10
ELECTION 2018
GUANAJUATO'S LOCAL CONGRESS
LXIII LEGISLATURE
Party Deputies
PAN 19
PRI 7
PVEM 4
PRD 3
MC 1
PANAL 1
Without Party 1
Total: 36 Deputies
20
RELATIVE MAJORITY
LXIV LEGISLATURE CONSIDERATIONS
PRI loses important seats in the local Congressderived from not having an alliance with thePVEM and PANAL. As a result, none of theseparties obtains a relative majority seat.
The Governor elect Sinhué Rodríguez willmaintain a majority in the local Congress, whichwill favor the implementation of hisgovernment plan.
September 25, 2018Local Deputies take Office.
CURRENT INTEGRATION NEXT INTEGRATION
1 The Andrés Manuel López Obrador factor didnot weigh in the elections for the integration ofthe local Congress, which is a sign of thestrength and acceptance of the PAN in thestate.
NOTE: Only the election of relative majority deputies is contemplated. The distribution ofproportional representation deputies will be determined from the percentages of votesobtained by each party.
GUANAJUATO
ELECTION 2018
MUNICIPALITIES
Municipality Current Administration
Next Administration
Elected Mayor*
Acámbaro Alejandro Tirado Zúñiga
Apaseo el Grande Moisés Guerrero Lara
Celaya Elvira Paniagua Rodríguez
Comonfort Independent Juan Carlos Nieto Juárez
Guanajuato Mario Alejandro Navarro Saldaña
Irapuato José Ricardo Ortiz Gutiérrez
León Héctor Germán René López Santillana
Salamanca María Beatriz Hernández Cruz
San Miguel de Allende Luís Alberto Villarreal García
Silao de la Victoria José Antonio Trejo Valdepeña
* Projected winner.
CONSIDERATIONS
PAN obtains a positive balance by maintaining the majorityof the municipalities, consolidating itself as a viablegovernment option for Guanajuato.
MORENA wins important municipalities of the State,product of the impulse of local candidates rooted in theregion and accompanied by the AMLO factor.
In the municipalities, PAN maintains the capitalGuanajuato, as a result of two factors: vote of punishmentto the PRI-PVEM-PANAL Coalition and the absence of unityamong them to make the alliance at the local level.
October 10, 2018Mayors take Office
GUANAJUATO
ELECTION 2018
GOVERNOR
JALISCO
ELECTED POSITIONS
Governor
Local Deputies(20 Relative Majority,
19 Proportional Representation)
Municipalities
1
39
125
Voter turnoutTotal
ParticipationAbstentions Null Votes
3,607,3332,121,195 1,486,138 65,785
58.60% 41.19% 3.10%
CURRENT ADMINISTRATION
Jorge AristótelesSandoval Díaz
Governor 2012-2018
Election 2018
Candidate Party / Coalition Percentage
Enrique Alfaro RamírezMC
39.01%
Carlos Lomelí Bolaños Juntos Haremos Historia
24.09%
Miguel Castro ReynosoPRI
16.54%
BIOGRAPHY: Guadalajara’s Mayor with license (2009-2011); Tlajomulco de
Zúñiga’s Mayor (2007-2009); Local Deputy in Jalisco’s Congress.
ENRIQUE ALFARO RAMÍREZ (GOVERNOR*)
• Promote a cities’ system in order to attract investment outside themetropolitan area.
• Create a wastewater network.• Provide incentives to companies through: talent development, zero
corruption, adequate mobility and housing conditions and infrastructure.• Create the Regulatory Improvement Commission.• Create regional development plans.• Fortify the Health System.• Strengthening and consolidation of the state anti-corruption system.
* Projected winner.
MAIN PROPOSALS
December 6, 2018Governor takes office.
ELECTION 2018
JALISCO’S LOCAL CONGRESS
LXI LEGISLATURE
Party Deputies
MC 13
PRI 12
PAN 5
PVEM 3
PRD 2
PANAL 1
INDEPENDIENTE 3
Total: 39 Deputies
NOTE: Only the election of relative majority deputies is contemplated. The distribution ofproportional representation deputies will be determined from the percentages of votesobtained by each party.
RELATIVE MAJORITY
LXII LEGISLATURE CONSIDERATIONS
The MC-PAN-PRD coalition obtained 17 of the20 relative majority deputies in the LocalCongress.
It is the first governorship obtained byMovimiento Ciudadano in the history of theparty. The triumph of Enrique Alfaro can belargely attributed to his popularity as Mayor ofGuadalajara.
The PRI went from being the second politicalforce in Congress to obtain zero representationof relative majority.
September 30, 2018Local Deputies take Office
CURRENT INTEGRATION PROJECTED INTEGRATION
17
3
0
JALISCO
ELECTION 2018
MUNICIPALITIES
Municipality Current Administration
NextAdministration
Elected Mayor*
Guadalajara Ismael del Toro
Tlaquepaque María Elena Limón
Arandas Ana Bañuelos Ramírez
Lagos de Moreno José Tecutli Gómez Villalobos
Ocotlán Gabriel Hernández
Puerto Vallarta Arturo Dávalos
Tequila Alfonso Magallanes
Tlajomulco de Zúñiga Salvador Zamora
Zapopan Pablo Lemus Navarro
* Projected winner.
CONSIDERATIONS
The coalition MORENA-PT-PES won 8 municipalities.
Eventhough the PRI lost presence in a considerable way, itis the party that individually won more Municipalities byobtaining 23 of them.
The coalition Por México al Frente and its member partiesachieved 83 of the 125 municipalities of the state.
October 25, 2018Mayors take Office
JALISCO
ELECTED POSITIONS
Governor
Local Deputies(12 Relative Majority,
8 Proportional Representation)
Municipalities
1
20
33
Voter turnoutTotal
ParticipationAbstentions
Null Votes
1, 439, 365624, 913 318,216 21,611
66.17% 33.68% 3.44%
CURRENT ADMINISTRATION
Graco Luis Ramírez Garrido
Abreu
Governor2012-2018
Elección 2018
Candidate Party / Coalition Percentage
Cuauhtémoc Blanco Bravo Juntos Haremos
Historia
52.54%
Víctor Manuel Caballero Solano Por la CDMX Al
Frente
13.17%
Jorge Meade OcaranzaPRI
6.00%
BIOGRAPHY: Mayor of Cuernavaca, Morelos for the Social Democratic
Party. Former profesional soccer player.
CUAUHTÉMOC BLANCO BRAVO (GOVERNOR*)
• Fight against corruption.• Sports promotion.
* Projected winner
MAIN PROPOSALS
October 1 2018Governor takes office.
ELECTION 2018
GOVERNOR
MORELOS
0
LIII LEGISLATURE
Party Deputies
PRD 12
PRI 5
PAN 4
PANAL 3
MC 2
PVEM 1
PES 1
HUMANISTA 1
PSD 1
Total: 30 Deputies
12
RELATIVE MAJORITY
0
LIV LEGISLATURECONSIDERATIONS
This change had an impact on the number ofmembers of the Local Congress, from 30 to 20local deputies, on both principles.
The State Congress suffered a redistricting thatincluded the reduction of 18 to 12 districts,derived from an electoral reform that will beused from the 2017-2018 local process.
December 5th 2018Local Deputies take Office
With this result, the coalition “Juntos HaremosHistoria", obtains the absolute majority of theCongress, as well as the State Executive.
ELECTION 2018
MORELOS’S LOCAL CONGRESS
CURRENT INTEGRATION PROJECTED INTEGRATION
NOTE: Only the election of relative majority deputies is contemplated. The distribution ofproportional representation deputies will be determined from the percentages of votesobtained by each party.
MORELOS
Municipality CurrentAdministration
NextAdministration
Elected Mayor*
Cuernavaca José Luis Gómez Borbolla
Cuautla Jesús Corona Damián
Jiutepec Rafael Reyes Reyes
* Projected winner.
CONSIDERATIONS
In this sense, the Coalition led by MORENA managed toobtain 16 out of 33 Municipalities.
Regarding the state’s capital, an alternation from a localparty to the coalition “Juntos Haremos Historia” tookplace.
Preliminary results project alternation in the 3 mainMunicipalities, the later can be related to the effect of theelection for Federal and State Executives.
October 5th 2018Mayors take Office
ELECTION 2018
MUNICIPALITIES
MORELOS
ELECTION 2018
GOVERNOR
PUEBLA
ELECTED POSITIONS
Governor
Local Deputies(26 Relative Majority,
15 Proportional Representation)
Municipalities
1
41
217
Voter turnout
Total Participation
Abstentions Null Votes
3,886,3181,650,073 843,068.1433 60,904
66.1845% 33.8155% 3.6909%
Current Government
Antonio Galí Fayad
Governor2017-2018
Election 2018
Candidate Party/Coalition Percentage
Martha Erika Alonso Hidalgo Por Puebla al Frente
37.4593%
Luis Miguel Barbosa Huerta Juntos Haremos
Historia
35.3346%
Enrique Doger GuerreroPRI
17.9510%
BIOGRAPHY: MA in Public Communication; DIF President for Puebla and
State Red Cross Honorary President.
Wife of former governor, Rafael Moreno Valle (2011-2017).
MARTHA ERIKA ALONSO HIDALGO (GOVERNOR*)
• Create a new Ministry of Environment• Tax incentives for businesses that hire people with disabilities.• Oral health campaigns.• Obesity, overweight and diabetes prevention and control campaigns.
* Projected winner.
MAIN PROPOSALS
December 14, 2018Governor takes office
ELECTION 2018
PUEBLA’S LOCAL CONGRESS
LIX LEGISLATURE
Party Deputies
PAN 15
PRD 4
MC 1
NA 3
PT 2
Compromiso por Puebla
5
PRI 6
PVEM 2
SP 3
Total: 41 Deputies
NOTE: Only the election of relative majority deputies is taken into account. Thedistribution of proportional representation deputies will be determined from thepercentages of votes obtained by each party.
RELATIVE MAJORITY
LX LEGISLATURE CONSIDERATIONS
The electoral victory of Martha Erika Alonso,represents the continuity of the economic policyof the State of Puebla that began her husbandRafael Moreno Valle (2011-2017) and hissuccessor Antonio Gali (2017-2018), bothmembers of the PAN.
In an election that initially was expected to beless competitive, the PAN managed to maintainone of the most relevant States of the country,with that, allowing the party to hold asignificant territorial control.
The main risks faced by the governor-elect areto achieve credibility in her mandate(independence from her husband) and toaddress the growing security problem (fueltheft), as well as maintain the positive trend ofeconomic growth in the State.
1
7
1
16
1
CURRENT INTEGRATION NEXT INTEGRATION
PUEBLA
September 15th, 2018Local Deputies take Office
ELECTION 2018
MUNICIPALITIES
Municipalities CurrentGovernment
Next Government
Elected Mayor*
Puebla (capital) Eduardo Rivera Pérez
San Andrés Cholula Edmundo TletehuiPercino
Oriental Guillermo Pozos Juárez
Tlahuapan Vidal Roa Benítez
* Projected winner.
CONSIDERATIONS
Like the gubernatorial elections, the preliminary results ofthe main municipalities elections show a predominantpreference for the PAN and although the coalition of“Juntos Haremos Historia” generated a strongcounterbalance in the race, it failed to achieve power.
Local parties such as the PSI and “Commitment for Puebla”were essential, as they allowed the PAN and his allies toobtain relevant positions.
October 15, 2018Mayor takes Office
PUEBLA
ELECTION 2018
GOVERNOR
ELECTED POSITIONS
Governor
Local Deputies(21 Relative Majority,
14 Proportional representation)
Municipalities
1
35
17
Voter turnoutTotal
ParticipationAbsentions Null Votes
1, 687, 618921, 645 765, 973 26, 109
69.3% 30.7% 2.8%
Current Administration
Election 2018
Candidate Party/Coalition Percentage
Adán Augusto López Juntos Haremos Historia
61.85%
Gerardo GaudianoRovirosa Por la CDMX Al
Frente
18.9%
Georgina Trujillo ZentellaPRI
11.8%
BIO: Senator in the LXI & LXII Legislatures (2012-2018). Federal Deputy in
the LXI Legislature (2009-2012) and Local Deputy in the LIX Legislature of
Tabasco’s Congress (2006-2009). Undersecretary of Civil Protection,
Development and Social Prevention of Tabasco.
ADÁN AUGUSTO LÓPEZ (GOVERNOR*)
• Strengthen government institutions and promote participation fromall social sectors, in order to achieve public security.
• Promote productive activities that guarantee the recovery of well-paying jobs and a sustainable economy in the long term.
• Foster clean energy, comprehensive urban development and the useof water as a trigger of sustainable development.
* Projected winner.
MAIN PROPOSALS
January 1st, 2019Governor takes office.
Arturo Núñez Jiménez
Governor 2013-2018
TABASCO
0
ELECTION 2018
TABASCO’S LOCAL CONGRESS
TABASCO
LXII LEGISLATURE
Partido Diputados
MORENA 4
PRD 13
PAN 2
PRI 8
PVEM 5
MC 1
PT 1
PES 0
PANAL 0
HUMANISTA 0
INDEPENDIENTE 1
Total: 35 Deputies
NOTE: Only the election of relative majority depúties is contemplated. The distribution ofproportional representation deputies will be determined from the percentage of votesobtained by each party.
16
RELATIVE MAJORITY
LXIII LEGISLATURE CONSIDERATIONS
In an unprecedented event, MORENA obtained16 of the 21 districts, as well as 5 in coalitionwith the PT, positioning itself as an absolutemajority in the Local Congress.
With 87.7% of the records captured, thecandidate of Juntos Haremos Historia, AdánAugusto López, obtains the governorship of thestate with a 43% difference with the secondplace.
The Governorship, the Local Congress and mostMunicipalities will be headed by MORENA, whichwill allow an execution of public policies alignedwith the President’s Government Plan.
September 5th, 2018Local Deputies take Office.
CURRENT INTEGRATION
5
0
According to the PREP’s last update, MORENA isthe first political force in Tabasco.
PROJECTED INTEGRATION
ELECTION 2018
MUNICIPALITIES
Municipality CurrentAdministration
NextAdministration
Elected Mayor*
Centro (Villahermosa) Evaristo Hernández Cruz
Comalcalco Lorena Méndez Denis
CONSIDERATIONS
Lorena Méndez Denis from MORENA won the Municipalityof Comalcalco with the 51.5% (48,545) of the votes.
In Centro’s Municipality, the coalition PT-Morena, headedby Evaristo Hernández Cruz, came first with a broadadvantage of 69.3%, equivalent to 134,937 votes.
October 5th, 2018Mayors take Office.
MORENA-PT’s coalition obtained 4 municipalities, MORENAby itself 11, and PAN-PRD-MC the remaining two.
TABASCO
ELECTION 2018
GOVERNOR
VERACRUZ
ELECTED POSITIONS
Governor
Local Deputies(30 Relative Majority,
20 Proportional Representation)
1
50
Current Government
Miguel Ángel Yunes Linares
Governor 2016-2018
Election 2018
Candidate Party/Coalition Percentage
Cuitláhuac García Jiménez Juntos Haremos
Historia
Miguel Ángel Yunes Márquez Por Veracruz al
Frente
BIOGRAPHY: Mechanical Engineer with a Master's Degree in Electrical
Engineering and Advanced Control Sciences; Federal Deputy for the LXIII
Legislature (2015-2018); MORENA’s Founder and State Councilor.
CUITLÁHAC GARCÍA JIMÉNEZ (GOVERNOR*)
• Security Plan base on 4 axes: attention to the agriculture sector,consideration of the youngsters, police professionalization andemergency protocols with federal organizations.
• Subsidy of the price of raw materials for livestock and agriculturalproduction.
• Governmental austerity program.• Foster Agricultural Technology Institutes in the state.
* Projected winner.
MAIN PROPOSALS
December 1, 2018Governor takes Office.
Voter turnoutTotal
ParticipationAbstentions Null Votes
5,693,6192,518,429 1,478,822 60,733
64.51% 34.89% 2.41%
7
ELECTION 2018
VERACRUZ’S LOCAL CONGRESS
LXIV LEGISLATURE
Parry Deputies
MORENA 21
PAN 10
PRI 8
PRD 5
INDEPENDIENTE 2
JUNTOS POR VERACRUZ
2
PVEM 1
PANAL 1
Total: 49 Deputies
23
RELATIVE MAJORITY
0
LXV LEGISLATURE CONSIDERATIONS
NOTE: Only the election of relative majority deputies is contemplated. The distribution ofproportional representation deputies will be determined from the percentages of votesobtained by each party.
November 5, 2018Local Deputies take Office
CURRENT INTEGRATION
PROJECTED INTEGRATION
Although the polls carried out during the campaignperiod showed a closed competition between CuitláhuacGarcía (Juntos Haremos Historia) and Miguel Ángel YunesMárquez (Por Veracruz al Frente), exit polls gave the firsta significant advantage.
According to the PREP, the candidate of the coalitionJuntos Haremos Historia remains in front with 7.64%, ifthe results are confirmed, a third alternation will beexperienced in Veracruz.
Regarding the Local Congress election, the advantage isfor coalition Juntos Haremos Historia, however, PorVeracruz al Frente remains as the second force with 7deputies, and if these results remain, the Congress wouldhave a reconfiguration in its integration compared to theprevious legislature.
Although the Ministry of the Interior pointed out thehigh possibility of acts of violence in the State, accordingto the State Governor and media, the electoral day wasdeveloped without major incidents.
VERACRUZ
ELECTION 2018
GOVERNOR
YUCATÁN
ELECTED POSITIONS
Governor
Local Deputies(15 Relative Majority,
10 Proportional Representation)
Municipalities
1
25
106
Voter turnoutTotal
ParticipationAbstentions Null Votes
1,544,0621,153,414 366,405 23,160
74.77% 23.73% 1.50%
CURRENT ADMINISTRATION
Rolando Zapata Bello
Governor 2013-2018
Election 2018
Candidate Party/Coalition Percentage
Joaquín Díaz Juntos Haremos Historia
20.02%
Mauricio Vila DosalCandidatura común
39.21%
Mauricio Sahui RiveroTodos por México
35.98%
BIOGRAPHY: Mayor of Mérida, Yucatán (2015-2018), Local Deputy in the
LX Legislature of Yucatán’s Congress (2012-2015), Secretary of PAN’s
National Committe in Yucatán (2008-2011).
MAURICIO VILA DOSAL (GOVERNOR*)
• Professionalize municipal police agents.• Develop Merida’s Metropolitan zone.• Implementation of campaigns for the prevention of diseases such as
obesity, diabetes, alcoholism and eating disorders.• Policies that consider equality between women and men in paid and
unpaid work.• Green Infrastructure Plan.• Reduce procedures through the Regulatory Improvement.• Tax incentives for companies that hire young people in their first job.
MAIN PROPOSALS
October 1, 2018Governor takes office
* Projected winner.
ELECTION 2018
YUCATÁN’S LOCAL CONGRESS
LXI LEGISLATURE
Party Deputies
MORENA 1
PRD 0
PAN 8
PRI 12
PVEM 1
MC 0
PT 0
PES 0
PANAL 3
HUMANISTA 0
INDEPENDIENTE 0
Total: 25 Deputies
RELATIVE MAJORITY
LXII LEGISLATURE CONSIDERATIONS
The preliminary results show PRI with diversecoalitions, having the majority in the Congress.In the case that Mauricio Vila Dosal is confirmedas the wining candidate, the relation betweenthe Executive and the Legislative will change,considering it will be a divided government, andMauricio Vila Dosal will need to developalliances in order to have a majority in theCongress.
YUCATÁN
September 1, 2018Local Deputies take Office.
CURRENT INTEGRATION NEXT INTEGRATION
NOTE: Only the election of relative majority deputies is contemplated. The distribution ofproportional representation deputies will be determined from the percentages of votesobtained by each party. Due to faults in the system, this information may have importantmodifications.
03
03
02
01
04
ELECTION 2018
MUNICIPALITIES
YUCATÁN
CONSIDERATIONS
Renán Alberto Rocha, will be Mayor of Merida for thesecond time. He has been local Congressman and part ofthe Town Council. BA in Law by the Anahuac MayabUniversiy, where he also obtained his MA in PublicAdministration.
Rafael Gerardo Montalvo Mata has a BA by theAutonomous University of Yucatán. He has served as amember of the Town Council of Ticul; as Director of thelocal DIF from 2007 to 2010, and as Legal Director of theTiucul’s Town Hall from 2004 to 2007.
September 1, 2018Mayors takes office.
* Projected winner.
Municipality CurrentAdministration
NextAdministration
Elected Mayor*
Mérida Renán Alberto Concha*
Ticul Rafael Gerardo Montalvo Mata*