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Proceedings of the 8 th Eastern CANUSA Forest Science Conference Understanding and Managing ECANUSA Forests in a Changing Environment Davis Center, University of Vermont September 30 October 1, 2016 Cover Photo “Mansfield Transitions” John Heselton

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Page 1: Proceedings of the 8th Eastern CANUSA Forest Science Conference€¦ · concurrent oral presentations, a poster session and a half day field tour. Friday evening will also include

Proceedings of the 8th Eastern CANUSA

Forest Science Conference

Understanding and Managing ECANUSA Forests in a

Changing Environment

Davis Center, University of Vermont

September 30 – October 1, 2016

Cover Photo – “Mansfield Transitions” John Heselton

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About the 2016 ECANUSA Conference

Understanding and Managing ECANUSA Forests in a Changing

Environment

The Eastern CANUSA Forest Science Conference was developed to provide a regular

venue for communications among forest managers, forest scientists, policy makers,

students, natural resource professionals, and others interested in forest resource issues

from both sides of the Canadian/US border.

Because of the northern forest’s importance to the region, forest managers and

researchers from the northeastern states and eastern Canadian provinces are working

continuously to find solutions to a wide variety of natural resource problems. Great work

is occurring on both sides of the border that are enhanced by regular information

exchange about issues affecting the northern forest. This ECANUSA meeting serves as a

forum to promote ongoing discussions and collaborations about the latest forest

problems, methods, findings, and technologies.

This year we focus on the many stressors and agents of change converging on the

region’s forests. As in past years, the conference will include a full day of plenary and

concurrent oral presentations, a poster session and a half day field tour. Friday evening

will also include a reception, dinner banquet and a keynote speaker. Scientists and

practitioners from a large spectrum of expertise will be presenting on research,

monitoring, management and outreach activities to address the many challenges that our

changing environment present to the sustainable management of the regions forest

resource.

For more information on the 2016 UVM ECANUSA meeting visit:

https://www.uvm.edu/femc/ecanusa2016

For more information on the ECANUSA collaborative visit:

https://crsf.umaine.edu/outreach/ecanusa/

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ECANUSA 2016 Planning Committee

Anthony D’Amato

University of Vermont James Duncan

Vermont Monitoring Cooperative

Gary Hawley

University of Vermont William Keeton

University of Vermont

Jennifer Pontius

USFS Northern Research Station Paul Schaberg University of Vermont USFS Northern Research Station

ECANUSA 2016 Scientific CommitteeLaura S. Kenefic (US Forest Service NRS)

Collin Beier (SUNY ESF)

Chris Woodall (US Forest Service NRS)

Dianne Burbank (US Forest Service GMNF)

Josh Halman (VT FPR)

Aaron Weiskittel (UME)

Dave Kittredge (UMA)

Mary Tyrrell (Yale)

Daniel Kneeshaw (UQUAM)

Phillipe Nolet (Institute des Sciences de la Forêt

Tempérée)

Patricia Raymond (Government of Quebec)

Ted Howard (UNH)

A special thank you to our graduate and undergraduate student Conference Facilitators:

Cathleen Balantic, David Gudex-Cross, Alexandra Kosiba, Nicole Rogers, and Tami

Wuestenberg for their help in facilitating the plenary session question-and-answer

process, and moderating the afternoon concurrent sessions.

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Preferred Citation:

Abstract Author. 2017. Abstract Title. In: Proceedings of the 8th Eastern CANUSA

Forest Science Conference: Understanding and Managing ECANUSA Forests in a

Changing Environment. Pontius, J., Schaberg, P. and J. Duncan (Eds.) September 30-

October 1, 2016. Burlington, VT. Forest Ecosystem Monitoring Cooperative. pp XX-XX.

Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.18125/D2MW2X

Available online at https://www.uvm.edu/femc/ecanusa2016#proceedings

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

KEYNOTE HOW SILVICULTURE CAN HELP FORESTS COPE WITH A CHANGING ENVIRONMENT:

INSIGHTS FROM QUEBEC’S TEMPERATE MIXEDWOOD FOREST Patricia Raymond 12

KEYNOTE ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND NORTHERN HARDWOOD ECOSYSTEMS: RECENT

OBSERVATIONS FROM HUBBARD BROOK Tim Fahey 16

WHY STATE FACTORS AND OTHER METRICS OF BIODIVERSITY CAN EXPLAIN

MORE THAN SPECIES RICHNESS ABOUT CARBON STORAGE David Hooper, Carol Adair, Alain Paquette, and Jarrett Byrnes 17

30 YEARS OF FOREST CONVERSION IN THE NORTHEAST: HISTORICAL PATTERNS

AND FUTURE PROJECTIONS Alison Adams, Jennifer Pontius, Gillian Galford, Scott Merrill, David Gudex-Cross 18

WHO ARE MAINE'S BEGINNING FAMILY FOREST OWNERS? A HYBRID RESEARCH-

OUTREACH STUDY OF NEW LANDOWNERS Ian Anderson, Jessica Leahy 19

CLIMATE DRIVEN LANDSCAPE-LEVEL CHANGES IN KEY HARDWOOD SPECIES

OCCURRENCE AND ABUNDANCE OVER THE LAST THREE DECADES IN FORESTS OF

NORTHEASTERN USA Arun K. Bose, Aaron Weiskittel, and Robert G. Wagner 21

GENE CONSERVATION AND RESTORATION OF RED SPRUCE IN THE SOUTHERN

APPALACHIANS John R. Butnor , Kurt H. Johnsen, Barbara Crane, Christopher A. Maier 22

UNDERSTANDING ATTITUDE STRENGTH INDICATORS TO PREDICT SOCIAL

ACCEPTABILITY OF MANAGEMENT INTERVENTION OF INVASIVE INSECTS IN THE

NEW ENGLAND FOREST. Ariana M. Cano, Walter F. Kuentzel and Kimberly F. Wallin 23

PRIVATE FORESTS, PUBLIC BENEFITS: ECOSYSTEM SERVICES FROM FAMILY

FOREST LANDS IN THE USA Jesse Caputo, Brett Butler 24

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WABANAKI YOUTH IN SCIENCE (WAYS): A TRIBAL MENTORING AND EDUCATIONAL

PROGRAM FOCUSED ON DEVELOPING YOUNG NATURAL RESOURCE

PROFESSIONALS Tish Carr, Laura S. Kenefic and Darren Ranco 26

EVALUATING THE INFLUENCE OF STEM FORM AND VIGOR ON PRODUCT

POTENTIAL, GROWTH, AND SURVIVAL FOR SEVERAL NORTHERN COMMERCIAL

HARDWOOD SPECIES Mark Castle, Aaron Weiskittel, Robert Wagner and Mark Ducey 27

MANAGEMENT INFLUENCES FUNCTIONAL COMPOSITION AND DIVERSITY IN

NORTHERN HARDWOOD AND MIXED-CONIFER FORESTS IN MAINE AND NEW

HAMPSHIRE, USA Miranda T. Curzon, Anthony W. D'Amato, Shawn Fraver , Brian J. Palik, John B. Bradford, Jane R. Foster, Alessandra Bottero, Kelly E. Gleason 28

BOREAL FOREST FRUIT SHRUBS CULTIVAR TRIALS AND PROPAGATION FOR THE

DIVERSIFICATION OF FRUIT PRODUCTION ON THE NORTH SHORE REGION OF

QUEBEC, CANADA Ève-Catherine Desjardins 29

CONTINUED EXPANSION OF THE VERMONT MONITORING COOPERATIVE'S FOREST

HEALTH MONITORING NETWORK James Duncan, Kirsti Carr, Diana Gurvich, Rebecca Rossell, John Truong and Jennifer Pontius 31

INTRODUCING A MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION SUPPORT TOOL FOR MANAGING

FORESTS UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE James Duncan, Clare Ginger and Jennifer Pontius 32

A SYSTEMS PERSPECTIVE ON THE SHIFT TO MODERN WOOD HEATING

TECHNOLOGY IN THE NORTHERN FOREST REGION Laura Edling and Cecilia Danks 33

MANAGING INVASIVE PLANTS ON VERMONT'S STATE LANDS Molly Elvin, Heather Ewing, Liz Bourget and Elizabeth Spinney 34

TRACKING SUBDIVISION AND PARCELIZATION TO INFORM LAND USE PLANNING,

CONSERVATION AND THE MANAGEMENT OF FORESTS IN VERMONT Jamey Fidel, Deb Brighton, Kate McCarthy, Brian Shupe, Emma Zavez 35

STUDYING WOOD QUALITY IN THE CONTEXT OF A SPRUCE BUDWORM OUTBREAK

IN QUEBEC Gabriel Fortin 37

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FORECASTING CLIMATE CHANGE REFUGIA FOR MONTANE SPECIES: HOW

HARVEST AND DISTURBANCE AFFECT SPECIES PERSISTENCE Jane R. Foster and Anthony W. D'amato 38

OUT OF THE LAB AND INTOTHE FIELD: COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION OF

BAKEAPPLE PLANTS Marie-Claire Gervais, Sara Kristine Naess 39

CARBON FORESTRY OPTIONS USING EXOTIC LARCHES IN NORTHERN NEW

ENGLAND Alec Giffen, Lloyd C. Irland, David I. Maass , Brian Roth 41

PATTERNS OF NONNATIVE INVASIVE PLANT SPECIES DIVERSITY IN GYPSY MOTH

DEFOLIATED FORESTS Maryna Golivets, Christopher W. Woodall, and Kimberly F. Wallin 43

DELINEATING RIPARIAN AREAS IN WORKING FORESTS - FIXED WIDTH VERSUS

FUNCTIONAL? Maneesha Jayasuriya, René H. Germain and Eddie Bevilacqua 44

REGENERATION RESPONSES TO MANAGEMENT FOR OLD-GROWTH

CHARACTERISTICS IN NORTHERN HARDWOOD-CONIFER FORESTS Aviva Joy Gottesman and William S. Keeton 45

ENHANCED FOREST COVER MAPPING USING SPECTRAL UNMIXING AND OBJECT-

BASED CLASSIFICATION OF MULTI-TEMPORAL LANDSAT IMAGERY David Gudex-Cross, Jennifer Pontius, and Alison Adams 46

EVALUATING THE IMPACTS OF SOUTHERN PINE BEETLE ON PITCH PINE FOREST

DYNAMICS IN A NEWLY INVADED REGION Molly Heuss, Anthony D’Amato, Kevin Dodds 48

IMPACTS OF WOODY BIOMASS DEMAND ON TIMBER MARKETS IN NEW ENGLAND

AND NEW YORK Ted Howard and Iuliia Drach 50

DAYDREAMS AND NIGHTMARES IN THE NORTHERN FOREST: A QUARTER

CENTURY OF CHANGE Lloyd C. Irland 51

SILICA ACCUMULATION IN DECIDUOUS TREES: COULD IT BE A SUBSTITUTE FOR

LIGNIN? Roxane Jaffray, Benoît Côté 58

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ASSESSING VULNERABILITY OF FOREST ECOSYSTEMS IN NEW ENGLAND AND

NORTHERN NEW YORK Maria Janowiak, Tony D’Amato, Chris Swanston, Leslie Brandt, Patricia Butler, Stephen Handler, Danielle Shannon 60

IMPACTS OF BEST MANAGEMENT PRACTICES ON LOGGING COSTS AND

PRODUCTIVITY Matthew C. Kelly, Rene' H. Germain and Steven Bick 64

MANAGING MULTI-AGED MIXEDWOOD STANDS: PERSPECTIVES FROM THE

PENOBSCOT EXPERIMENTAL FOREST IN MAINE, USA Laura S. Kenefic and Robert S. Seymour 65

TIMBER HARVESTING THROUGH SPACE AND TIME: UNDERSTANDING AND

MANAGING FORESTS ACROSS THE RURAL-SUBURBAN INTERFACE David B. Kittredge, Jonathan R. Thompson, Luca Morreale, Anne G. Short Gianotti, Lucy Hutyra 66

INVESTIGATING THE SURPRISING, RECENT GROWTH INCREASE OF RED SPRUCE

TREES ACROSS THE REGION Alexandra M. Kosiba, Paul G. Schaberg, Shelly Rayback Gary Hawley 69

ENVIRONMENTAL VARIABLES ASSOCIATED WITH INVASIVE GLOSSY BUCKTHORN

(FRANGULA ALNUS MILL.) AND INDIRECT CONTROL STRATEGIES FOR FOREST

MANAGERS Joshua Kozikowski and Ted Howard 71

CAPACITY FOR RECOVERY, INFLEUNCE OF COMMERICAL THINNING &

RESISTANCE TO DEFOLIATION IN SPRUCE-FIR FORESTS CJ Langley , Mike Day , Brian Roth 72

ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF EARLY INTERVENTION TO SUPPRESS A SPRUCE

BUDWORM OUTBREAK IN NORTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK Eric Ye Liu, Van A. Lantz, David A. MacLean 74

SPRUCE BUDWORM IS BACK. CAN WE INTERVENE EARLY TO REDUCE OUTBREAKS? David A. MacLean 75

ANALYSIS OF THE FACTORS CONTROLLING FOREST PRODUCTIVITY IN

NORTHEASTERN U.S FOR IMPROVED APPLICATION OF REMOTE SENSING Conor Madison and Scott V. Ollinger 76

TESTING EXPERIMENTAL SILVICULTURAL TREATMENTS TO MITIGATE FOLIAR

PATHOGENS AFFECTING EASTERN WHITE PINE IN THE NORTHEASTERN US AND

CANADA Cameron McIntire, Heidi Asbjornsen, Isabel Munck 77

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ASSESSING THE EFFICACY OF TWO SPECIES OF SILVER FLY, LEUCOPIS

ARGENTICOLLIS AND LEUCOPIS PINIPERDA, AS BIOLOGICAL CONTROL AGENTS OF

HEMLOCK WOOLLY ADELGID, ADELGES TSUGAE, IN THE EASTERN US Kyle Motley, Nathan Havill, Darrell Ross, Albert Mayfield and Kimberly Wallin 79

NORTHERN MIXEDWOOD SITE PRODUCTIVITY 50 YEARS AFTER WHOLE-TREE AND

STEM-ONLY HARVESTING, WITH AND WITHOUT PRESCRIBED BURNING Bethany Muñoz, Laura S. Kenefic, Aaron Weiskittel and Ivan Fernandez 80

RAPID LANDSCAPE MONITORING USING DRONES Jarlath O'Neil-Dunne 81

ASSESSING SPATIAL PATTERNS OF THE EFFECTS OF NITROGEN DEPOSITION ON

FORESTS USING A GIS MANAGEMENT TOOL FOR CRITICAL LOADS AND

EXCEEDANCE Linda H. Pardo, Molly Robin-Abbott, Claire B. O'Dea, Jennifer Pontius, Jason A. Coombs 86

THE COMPLEX RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CLIMATE AND SUGAR MAPLE HEALTH:

CLIMATE CHANGE IMPLICATIONS FOR A KEY NORTHERN HARDWOOD SPECIES Jennifer Pontius, Evan Oswald, Lesley-Ann Dupigney-Giroux, Sandy Wilmot, Shelly Rayback, Paul Schaberg 87

LANDSCAPE SCALE ASSESSMENTS OF FOREST PRODUCTIVITY: METHODS,

PATTERNS AND TRENDS Jennifer Pontius , Shelly A. Rayback , Emma Tait , Jesse Little, John Kilbride 89

MODELING HEMLOCK WOOLLY ADELGID RISK AND

IMPACTS OF PRESALVAGE HARVESTING ON CARBON STOCKS IN NORTHERN

HEMLOCK FORESTS Jennifer Pontius, Paul Schaberg, William Livingston, Kara Lorion , Stacy Trosper 91

IRREGULAR SHELTERWOOD AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO CLEARCUTTING IN BALSAM

FIR-YELLOW BIRCH STANDS Patricia Raymond, Steve Bédard, Stéphane Tremblay, and Catherine Larouche 95

MAINTAINING LOGGER VIABILITY IN THE NORTHEAST Jamie L. Regula and Rene H. Germain 97

COMPARISON OF CRITICAL LOADS OF NITROGEN FOR FOREST SPECIES AND

COMMUNITIES IN CLASS I AREAS OF THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES Molly Robin-Abbott, Linda H. Pardo, Jennifer Pontius, Jason Coombs 98

LONG-TERM REGENERATION DYNAMICS IN NORTHERN HARDWOOD FORESTS OF

THE NORTHEAST Nicole Rogers, Anthony W. D'Amato, Ralph Nyland, Laura S. Kenefic and Mark Twery 99

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INFLUENCE OF LOGGING DISTURBANCE ON TREE GROWTH, SPECIES

COMPOSITION, AND RESIDUAL STAND DAMAGE FOLLOWING HARVESTING IN TWO

MAINE SPRUCE-FIR STANDS Roth, B.E., Lachance, C, Wagner, R.G. , and Benjamin, J.G. 100

VERMONT’S MANAGED FORESTS AND SOIL CARBON STOCKS: INTERACTION

AMONG LAND-USE HISTORY, EARTHWORMS AND SITE Don Ross 102

CAN GAP-BASED MANAGEMENT PROMOTE NATURAL REGENERATION AND

DIVERSITY IN MIXEDWOOD STANDS? Alejandro A. Royo, and Patricia Raymond 103

THE LONG-TERM EFFECTS OF LOGGING, HURRICANE DISTURBANCE, AND

SALVAGE LOGGING ON OLD-GROWTH FOREST STANDS IN NEW HAMPSHIRE Emma M. Sass and Anthony W. D’Amato 105

BUILDING A DENDROECOLOGY DATABASE FOR THE NORTHERN FOREST Paul Schaberg, Shelly Rayback, Christopher Hansen, Paula Murakami, James Duncan, Alexandra Kosiba, Benjamin Engel, Rebecca Stern, Gary Hawley, Jennifer Pontius 106

LOCAL ADAPTATION OF TREES AT THE RANGE MARGINS SLOWS RANGE SHIFTS IN

THE FACE OF CLIMATE CHANGE Kevin Solarik 108

ASSESSING LONG TERM IMPACTS OF INTERMEDIATE TREATMENTS ON TIMBER

QUALITY AND STAND ECOLOGY OF NORTHERN HARDWOOD FORESTS IN NEW

HAMPSHIRE Meghan Thornton and Ted Howard 109

EFFECTIVE LANDOWNER ENGAGEMENT - FROM OUTREACH TO OUTCOMES Mary Tyrrell, Purnima Chawla and Emma Kravet 110

FOREST STRUCTURAL DEVELOPMENT AND CARBON DYNAMICS AS INFLUENCED

BY LAND-USE HISTORY AND REFORESTATION APPROACH Andrea Urbano 111

CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION BY VERMONT SNOWMOBILERS William Valliere, Robert Manning, Elizabeth Perry, Xiao Xiao, Nathan Reigner 112

GROWTH RATES OF MAPLE TREES TAPPED WITH HIGH-YIELD SAP COLLECTION

PRACTICES – ARE EXISTING TAPPING GUIDELINES SUSTAINABLE? Abby van den Berg, Timothy Perkins, Mark Isselhardt, Timothy Wilmot 113

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NORTHERN WHITE CEDAR PLANTATIONS: GLORIFIED HEDGES OR A SUITABLE

TOOL FOR CEDAR RESTORATION AND FOREST MANAGEMENT? Olivier Villemaire-Côté, Jean-Claude Ruel, Luc Sirois 115

GROWTH AND YIELD OF A JAPANESE LARCH (LARIX KAEMPFERI (LAMB) CARIERE)

PLANTATION: 75-YEAR RESULTS FROM UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT'S JERICHO

RESEARCH FOREST Justin Waskiewicz, Lindsay Cotnoir and Ralph Tursini 118

FOREST STRUCTURE, COMPOSITION, AND REGENERATION FOLLOWING WIND

DISTURBANCE IN MIXED HARDWOOD-CONIFER ECOSYSTEMS Aaron Weisinger-Flood, Garrett Meigs and William Keeton 119

STRUCTURAL CHARACTERISTICS OF OLD- AND SECOND-GROWTH NORTHERN

WHITE-CEDAR STANDS Nathan Wesely, Laura S. Kenefic, Shawn Fraver 120

DETERMINING THE MECHANISM OF IMPACT OF HARDWOOD CONTENT ON SPRUCE

BUDWORM DEFOLIATION OF BALSAM FIR Bo Zhang, David MacLean 121

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KEYNOTE

HOW SILVICULTURE CAN HELP FORESTS COPE WITH A

CHANGING ENVIRONMENT: INSIGHTS FROM QUEBEC’S

TEMPERATE MIXEDWOOD FOREST

Patricia Raymond (1)

(1)Direction de la recherche forestière, Ministère des Forêts, de la Faune et des Parcs du Québec 2700

rue Einstein, Québec, Québec, Canada, G1P 3W8, [email protected]

ABSTRACT

While land managers are facing the great

challenge of managing forests over the next

decades in a changing environment, one of the

crucial question remains “What can we do now

to manage forests and help them to face future

conditions?” This presentation aims to provide

insights about how silviculture can help forests

cope with a changing environment, using

examples drawn from Québec’s temperate

mixedwood forest.

One striking realization when we start thinking

about this question from a land manager’s

perspective is the high level of uncertainty.

Forest conditions are expected to change

because of unsuitable climatic conditions,

insects and pathogens and new animal species

(reviewed by Gauthier et al. 2014). Effects of

global change on tree species and forest

ecosystems could be positive or negative.

These changes directly affect processes such as

seed germination, seedling establishment, and

forest tree growth and survival; in the long term, then can alter forest composition, structure and

productivity. Global change will also have indirect effects on natural disturbance regimes by modifying

the frequency of fires, windstorms, and other extreme events. Moreover, the expected rate of these

changes will be faster than the capacity of trees to adapt.

Animal species limited by cold temperatures or snow depth could increase their population size or

expand their range toward new suitable habitats. Drought could also increase the risk of insect

outbreaks. These new interactions could affect processes in forest ecosystems (Frelich et al. 2012). For

KEY FINDINGS

Diversity will decrease the risk of

negative interactions with stressors.

Resilience will help the most

complex stands to cope with and

recover from stressors.

Transition options should help new

stands evolve under changing

conditions.

A general strategy of adaptation

should focus on integrating options

that favor resilience in older stands,

adaptation in intermediate stands

and transition in younger stands.

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example, increased seed predation by new animal species could affect the regeneration of certain plants

or trees, and browsing preferences of more abundant deer populations could favor recalcitrant

understory layers.

The portfolio approach defined by Millar et al. (2007) is often proposed to manage forests in the face of

uncertainty. These authors propose a conceptual framework for managing forest ecosystems under the

assumption that future environments will differ from the present. They recommend choosing strategies

that can adapt to different situations. These adaptive strategies include options to favor resistance (to

forestall impacts and protect high-value resources), resilience (to improve the ecosystem’s capacity to

return to desired conditions after disturbances) and response (to facilitate an ecosystem’s transition from

current to new conditions, hereafter referred to as “transition”). In general, for a given territory, a

cautious approach would be to opt for a diversity of adaptive strategies.

Overall, we want healthy, resilient forests that can deal with global change. Yet, the changing

environment itself is hard to predict. Over the last decade, Québec policy has tended toward a natural

disturbance-based or “coarse filter” approach to maintain biodiversity and resilience in forest

ecosystems (Kuuluvainen and Grenfell 2012).

We will use the example of the temperate mixedwood forest zone in Québec (between the 47th and 48th

parallels) to develop this idea. This zone is actually the ecotone between the temperate and the boreal

forests, in which both temperate and boreal species coexist. Stand-replacing disturbances such as fire

have shaped the mixedwood forest according to 200- to 400-year cycles (Boucher et al. 2011), with

moderate and light disturbances (e.g. spruce budworm (Choristoneura fumiferana [Clem.]) outbreaks,

windthrow and natural senescence) occurring between catastrophic disturbances. This has contributed to

fashioning a much diversified landscape — a mosaic of stands with different compositions, ages and

structures.

The management framework in Québec aims to maintain a stand matrix with target proportions of 4 age

classes (regeneration, intermediate, mature and old-growth) that closely mimic natural landscapes. For

example, an average preindustrial landscape of the western mixedwood forest had 10% of its area in

regeneration (<15 years), 32% as intermediate stands (16–80 years), 31% as mature stands (81–200

years) and 27% as old-growth stands (>200 years) (Boucher et al. 2011). Historical cuts have drastically

reduced the representation of mature and old-growth stands and increased that of regenerating and

intermediate stands. To reverse this trend, we want to actively conserve older stands with silvicultural

systems using partial cuts and modalities that maintain structural attributes. Managers of public forests

are required to maintain one third of the preindustrial proportions of mature and old-growth stands on

80% of the territory. The idea is not to reproduce the landscape as it was 200 years ago, but to reduce the

gap between unmanaged and managed forests.

The choice of the silvicultural system has major implications on stand structure and structural

complexity. Yellow birch–conifer stands are a dominant forest type in the temperate mixedwood, with a

disturbance regime characterized by partial mortality, natural senescence and spruce budworm

outbreaks. Silvicultural systems such as the continuous cover irregular shelterwood and the hybrid

single-tree and group selection cutting could emulate this disturbance regime (Raymond et al. 2009).

Balsam–fir conifer stands, another important forest type, are typically harvested by clearcutting and its

variants. We are currently testing alternatives, such as an irregular shelterwood system, to emulate the

effects of cyclic spruce budworm outbreaks.

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Beyond the coarse filter approach, it may prove important to address finer biodiversity issues by adding

certain modalities to existing treatments or silvicultural scenarios. For example, in the yellow birch–

conifer stands, we can successfully establish yellow birch (Betula alleghaniensis Britton), balsam fir

(Abies balsamea [L.] Mill.) and red maple (Acer rubrum L.), but red spruce (Picea rubens Sarg.) is

much more difficult to regenerate when it is not present as advance regeneration prior to cutting. We are

currently testing enrichment planting in harvest gaps with the goal of maintaining this historically

important stand component. We are also investigating whether the retention of snags and legacy trees

can address the issue of deadwood decline in partial cuttings (Angers et al. 2005) and maximize chances

of maintaining forest ecosystem diversity and functions.

The intermediate age class typically comprises second-growth stands that are transitioning between the

early- and late-succession stages. These stands often contain larger proportions of hardwoods than the

reference for similar site conditions. When planning management according to future changing

conditions, our goal could be to favor diversity (by maintaining or increasing the conifer component)

and to increase complexity. Enrichment, if needed, could be done with species or provenances adapted

to the future climate. With younger stands, we can seize opportunities to improve resilience and

transition using silvicultural treatments such as the extended irregular shelterwood (to increase structural

complexity), regular shelterwood (e.g. Prévost and DeBlois 2014) and commercial thinning.

Since young, regenerating mixedwood stands are likely to experience environmental changes during

most of their existence, it may be worth investing more in transitional approaches. Diversity could be

key to maintaining their mixedwood character, as it contributes to decrease the risk that a pest kills the

majority of trees. Another sound strategy could be to keep the most vigorous trees that would be adapted

to future climate conditions. Mixed precommercial thinning, also experimented in Québec, could offer

benefits from both ecological and wood production perspectives. We should also investigate possibilities

for mixed-species plantations with species or provenances adapted to future climates. However, much

research is still needed before these are applied to a large scale, and caution is recommended regarding

assisted migration (Ste-Marie 2014).

As forest managers, we know that forest conditions could change because of pests, invasive plants,

unsuitable climatic conditions and migration of new animal species. Overall, although some change is

tolerable, we aim to maintain resilient forest ecosystems by working to maintain functional processes

and to promote biodiversity. Our general strategy of adaptation should focus on integrating options that

favor resilience in older stands, adaptation in intermediate stands and transition in younger stands.

As take-home message, 3 keywords characterize forest management in a changing environment:

diversity, resilience and transition. Diversity will reduce the risk of negative interactions between

insects, pathogens and animals and forest ecosystems. Resilience will help the most complex stands

cope with and recover from stressors. Transition options should help young stands evolve under

changing conditions. Nevertheless, we should not forget to diversify management and silviculture at the

landscape scale. Silviculture, this old discipline of forest science, remains a great tool to achieve

management objectives. This time, it could not only help our forests cope with a changing environment,

but it could also contribute to their active conservation.

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

Many thanks to Alejandro Royo, Yan Boucher and Daniel Dumais for their advice on the content of this

presentation.

REFERENCES

Angers, V.A., Messier, C., Beaudet, M., and Leduc, A. 2005. Comparing composition and structure in

old-growth and harvested (selection and diameter-limit cuts) northern hardwood stands of Quebec.

Forest Ecology and Management 217: 275–293.

Boucher Y., Bouchard, M., Grondin, P., and Tardif, P. 2011. Le registre des états de référence :

intégration des connaissances sur la structure, la composition et la dynamique des paysages forestiers

naturels du Québec méridional. Ministère des Ressources naturelles et de la Faune, Direction de la

recherche forestière. Mémoire de recherche forestière no 161. 21 p.

https://www.mffp.gouv.qc.ca/publications/forets/amenagement/registre-etats-reference.pdf.

Gauthier, S., Bernier, P., Burton, P.J., Edwards, J., Isaac, K., Isabel, N., Jayen, K., Le Goff, H., and

Nelson, E.A. 2014. Climate change vulnerability and adaptation in the managed Canadian boreal forest.

Environmental Reviews 22(3): 256–285.

Frelich, L.E., Peterson, R.O., Dovčiak, M., Reich, P.B., Vucetich, J.A., and Eisenhauer, N. 2013.

Trophic cascades, invasive species and body-size hierarchies interactively modulate climate change

responses of ecotonal temperate–boreal forest. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of

London B: Biological Sciences 367(1605): 2955–2961.

Kuuluvainen, T., and Grenfell, R. 2012. Natural disturbance emulation in boreal forest ecosystem

management - theories, strategies, and a comparison with conventional even-aged management.

Canadian Journal of Forest Research 42: 1185–1203.

Millar, C.I., Stephenson, N.L., and Stephens, S.L. 2007. Climate change and forests of the future:

managing in the face of uncertainty. Ecological Applications 17(8): 2145–2151.

Prévost, M., and DeBlois, J. 2014. Shelterwood cutting to release coniferous advance growth and limit

aspen sucker development in a boreal mixedwood stand. Forest Ecology and Management 323: 148–

157.

Raymond, P., Bédard, S., Roy, V., Larouche, C., and Tremblay, S. 2009. The irregular shelterwood

system: review, classification, and potential application to forests affected by partial disturbances.

Journal of Forestry 107(8): 405–413.

Ste-Marie, C. 2014. Adapting sustainable forest management to climate change: a review of assisted tree

migration and its potential role in adapting sustainable forest management to climate change. Canadian

Council of Forest Ministers, Climate change task force, Ottawa, Ontario. 14 p.

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KEYNOTE

ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND NORTHERN HARDWOOD

ECOSYSTEMS: RECENT OBSERVATIONS FROM HUBBARD

BROOK

Tim Fahey

Cornell University, G16 Fernow Hall, Ithica, NY, 14853 USA [email protected]

The 3,160 hectare Experimental Forest is dedicated to long-term forest and stream ecosystem

studies. Photo: USDA Forest Service. www.hubbardbrook.org

ABSTRACT

The northern hardwood forest ecosystem at Hubbard Brook Experimental Forest in New Hampshire is

responding to a suite of rapid environmental changes. Air temperature and precipitation are steadily

increasing, and the depth and duration of snowpack decreasing. After a century of soil base cation

depletion by acid rain, deposition of strong-acid anions has rapidly declined in recent years. Ecosystem

monitoring and field experiments demonstrate a variety of consequences of these environmental changes

for forest ecosystem dynamics. More frequent soil freezing associated with declining snow is damaging

fine roots with likely consequences for tree nutrient acquisition. A lengthening of the vernal window, the

time between snowmelt and leaf out, is occurring. White pine and red oak are colonizing the understory

in the Hubbard Brook valley where they did not occur until recently. Surprisingly, balsam fir and red

spruce are increasing in abundance. Experimental restoration of soil calcium stimulated recovery of the

health and productivity of the forest. This treatment also has induced a pronounced decline in fine root

biomass and the mass of the forest floor soil horizons, the exact opposite of observations from a northern

hardwood forest treated with 3-times higher levels of calcium. We anticipate still more radical changes

as anthropogenic effects accelerate.

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WHY STATE FACTORS AND OTHER METRICS OF BIODIVERSITY

CAN EXPLAIN MORE THAN SPECIES RICHNESS ABOUT CARBON

STORAGE

David Hooper, Carol Adair(1), Alain Paquette, and Jarrett Byrnes

1) Corresponding author: University of Vermont, 85 Carrigan Dr. Burlington, VT 05405 USA

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Evidence suggests that increasing plant diversity increases rates of ecosystem primary production and

plant carbon (C) stocks. However, translating these observations into diversity effects on whole

ecosystem C storage also requires understanding ecosystem controls on decomposition. We explored the

roles of climate, topography, stand age, and plant traits and diversity, on carbon storage in temperate and

boreal forests of Québec. We tested effects of abiotic factors alone and in combination with either

diversity, community-weighted mean (CWM) plant functional traits, or both, on live tree C, standing

dead C, organic horizon C, and total C. Abiotic state factors alone explained much of the landscape-

scale variance in C storage, with different C pools responding to different variables, as expected.

Similarly, CWM plant functional traits were strong predictors for all C pools, but the traits relevant for

live tree C differed from those relevant for litter layer C. While diversity metrics also explained some

additional variance, they were never the best biotic predictors for any forest carbon pool; in several

cases, diversity had negative effects on litter layer C. Our results have several implications. First, at

landscape scales, BEF studies need to integrate mechanisms from plot-scale research with other known

drivers of ecosystem processes. Second, where ecosystem services result from multiple different

processes, no simple relationship may exist with any one biological metric - whether functional traits or

diversity. Finally, moving beyond the expediency of species richness will help us better understand the

mechanistic effects of diversity on ecosystem processes and services.

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30 YEARS OF FOREST CONVERSION IN THE NORTHEAST:

HISTORICAL PATTERNS AND FUTURE PROJECTIONS

Alison Adams(1), Jennifer Pontius(2), Gillian Galford(1), Scott Merrill(3), David Gudex-Cross(3)

(1)University of Vermont & Gund Institute for Ecological Economics, 617 Main St., Burlington, VT

05401, USA, [email protected] , [email protected] (2)University of Vermont & US Forest Service Northern Research Station, 81 Carrigan Dr., Burlington,

VT 05405, USA, [email protected] (3)University of Vermont, 81 Carrigan Dr., Burlington, VT 05405, USA

[email protected] , [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Land use and land cover across the northeastern

United States has changed dramatically over the past

century. While these changes are highly visible to land

managers and planning professionals on a local level,

regional information on the nature and extent of these

changes has been limited. Thanks to the wealth of

historical satellite imagery that has recently become

freely available, we are now able to look, with

sufficient temporal resolution (5 year intervals from

1985 to 2015), at the patterns and rates of land cover

change across the Northeast. In this study we utilized

recently-developed maps of land cover in the

Northeast to quantify changes in the landscape over

the past thirty years, looking particularly at transitions

to and from forest. This information is critical to

inform adaptive forest management in the face of

increasing development and parcelization, as well as

converging stress agents across the region. Using

Dinamica EGO, a sophisticated spatial modeling

platform, we identified significant drivers of historical

change and simulated future changes in land cover.

Here we present historical and projected changes in forest pattern and extent for the northeastern US

from 1985 to 2060.

Initial results indicate that forest cover was lost at a rate of ~0.4% per year between 1985 and 2000 but

rebounded between 2000 and 2015 as development pressures decreased with the slowing economy.

However, fragmentation of forests increased consistently over the historical study period, even when

forest cover was stable. Applying this model across the region shows a high probability of conversion

KEY FINDINGS

Projected forest area

decreased for all time

periods.

All measures of forest

fragmentation increased

in projected maps.

Development appears to

be a primary driver of

transition out of forest.

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for forests in high population areas, closer to current non-forested areas, on level slopes and at lower

elevations, on properties with low participation in conservation programs.

Change in forest and non-forest area in the Northern Forest region. Study area covers US

portions of Landsat Row 29, paths 12 - 14.

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WHO ARE MAINE'S BEGINNING FAMILY FOREST OWNERS? A

HYBRID RESEARCH-OUTREACH STUDY OF NEW LANDOWNERS

Ian Anderson (1), Jessica Leahy (1)

1) University of Maine, School of Forest Resources, 5755 Nutting Hall, Orono, ME, 04469 USA

[email protected] , [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Family forest owners own 35% of the forestlands in the United States and their numbers are increasing

due to intergenerational transfers and land parcelization. A new cohort of beginning family forest

owners (BFFO), who have acquired land in the past 5 years, has emerged, many of whom are not

engaged in forest stewardship. Stewardship is important because these lands provide vital and,

increasingly, limited resources and ecosystem services to the owners and the public. It is difficult for

natural resource professionals to engage this cohort because of limited resources and budgets. This

research is designed to explore how landowners' confidence and social capital affects their engagement

in forest stewardship. We will present preliminary results from a mail survey administered to 1056

BFFOs in Maine. Using the theory of planned behavior and social capital theory, we developed this

questionnaire to measure landowners' intentions and confidence to engage in forest stewardship, and

also examine how social capital development may improve landowner outreach. We hypothesize

BFFOs' confidence and social capital are important variables when explaining family forest owners'

decisions to engage in forest stewardship. We will also describe the second phase of our research which

will include peer learning workshops for participants and another survey to determine how landowners'

engagement, confidence, and social capital changes over time. This research will be useful to natural

resource professionals as they continue to develop outreach programs to engage family forest owners in

sustainable forest stewardship.

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CLIMATE DRIVEN LANDSCAPE-LEVEL CHANGES IN KEY

HARDWOOD SPECIES OCCURRENCE AND ABUNDANCE OVER

THE LAST THREE DECADES IN FORESTS OF NORTHEASTERN

USA

Arun K. Bose(1), Aaron Weiskittel, and Robert G. Wagner

(1)Corresponding author: University of Maine, School of Forest Resources, 5755 Nutting Hall, Orono,

ME, 04469 USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Climate-driven shifts in forest composition have been widely reported, where changes in abiotic

conditions have resulted high mortality of sensitive species and disproportionately favored species better

adapted to changing conditions. In recent years, a number of studies have reported the dominance of

American beech (Fagus grandifolia) in understories of hardwood forests of the Northeastern USA. This

is the first study to document landscape-level dynamics of understory tree species during the past three

decades across the diverse forests of the Northeastern USA. We used Forest Inventory and Analysis data

from Maine, New Hampshire, New York and Vermont to assess the influence of biotic and abiotic

factors on sapling occurrence probability and relative abundance of four key hardwood species in the

region, namely American beech, sugar maple (Acer sacharum), red maple (A. rubrum), and birch

(Betula spp.). Our results suggest the occurrence probability of American beech has increased

substantially over the past three decades in the states of New Hampshire, New York, and Vermont;

whereas the occurrence probability of three other hardwood species has decreased. Consequently, a clear

shift in species composition is currently happening in hardwood forests with uncertain consequences for

the ecosystems structure and function. Abiotic factors were superior to biotic factors in discriminating

beech occurrence probability and abundance against three other hardwood species. Positive association

between increased precipitation in the Northeast over the last 15 years, and increased beech occurrence

probability and relative abundance may suggest a climate-driven shift in species composition in forest

understories of the Northeastern USA.

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GENE CONSERVATION AND RESTORATION OF RED SPRUCE IN

THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS

John R. Butnor(1) , Kurt H. Johnsen, Barbara Crane, Christopher A. Maier

(1) Corresponding author: Southern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, 85 Carrigan Dr.

Burlington, VT 05405 USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Red spruce (Picea rubens) populations in the southern Appalachians (Tennessee, North Carolina,

Virginia) are disjunct from larger northern populations in New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine

and Canadian Maritime provinces. Due to heavy logging and subsequent severe fires in the early 20th

century, and now due to invasive pests, it has been estimated that there has been a >90% decline in

spruce-fir forests in the southern Appalachians. The remaining red spruce populations are highly

fragmented. Red spruce is restricted to high elevations in the south and has a high potential to become

maladapted with future climate change. Currently, seed for restoration and gene conservation is

collected on ad-hoc basis in readily accessible locations in "good seed years". We are developing a more

comprehensive inventory of red spruce seed from a range of latitudes and elevations across the eastern

United States. Although our work will be range wide, the initial efforts will be concentrated in the

southern Appalachians. We will develop a GIS data base to map seed collections. Stand characteristics

will be input and then climate data will be overlaid. These data will be used to fill in the gaps of seed

availability in terms of latitude, longitude and elevation. We will conduct genecology research to assess

if red spruce is a genetic generalist or specialist. If the latter, information on its adaption with respect to

micro-climate will be critical for gene conservation, restoration and, perhaps, assisted migration of red

spruce in light of climate change.

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UNDERSTANDING ATTITUDE STRENGTH INDICATORS TO

PREDICT SOCIAL ACCEPTABILITY OF MANAGEMENT

INTERVENTION OF INVASIVE INSECTS IN THE NEW

ENGLAND FOREST.

Ariana M. Cano(1), Walter F. Kuentzel and Kimberly F. Wallin

(1) Corresponding author: University of Vermont, Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural

Resources, 85 Carrigan Dr. Burlington, VT 05404, USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Many biologists argue that the threat of invasive insects is one of the most pressing environmental

issues of our time. Endless research presents the threat and risk they pose to the New England forest

and the high demand for management and policies to prevent drastic changes. However forest

landowners do not share this concern, instead many find this issue to be too complex for their

consideration. This study focuses on understanding individuals' attitude towards invasive insects,

their concern about invasive insects as an environmental issue and social acceptability of different

management practices.

A mailed survey was distributed to forest-owners in the New England region in towns that are either

infested, threatened, or non-threatened by HWA, EAB, or ALB. Survey participants were asked

about their preferences in a series of questions composing different areas of attitude strength. We

hypothesized no significant difference among stratified groups, and instead individuals will show

little concern about this issue; making social acceptability of management more difficult to address.

The study findings summarize the different ways in which forest landowner attitude strength differs

in response to invasive insects. Also, it shows that there are no significant differences between the

different groups surveyed, and their social acceptability to different management practices. To the

contrary of biologists' belief, individuals seemed to not be as concerned and alert about managing

for invasive insects.

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PRIVATE FORESTS, PUBLIC BENEFITS: ECOSYSTEM

SERVICES FROM FAMILY FOREST LANDS IN THE USA

Jesse Caputo(1), Brett Butler(2)

(1)Family Forest Research Center, University Of Massachusetts Amherst, 160 Holdsworth Way,

Amherst, MA, 01003, USA, [email protected] (2)USDA Forest Service, 160 Holdsworth Way, Amherst, MA, 01003, USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Individuals and families collectively own more

than 290 million acres of forest and woodland in

the USA, comprising greater than 35% of all

U.S. forestland. Using data from the USDA

Forest Service’s National Woodland Owners

Survey (NWOS), we provide insight into the

extent to which ecosystem services are being

supplied by family forest lands and the

beneficiaries of those services. Approximately

half of family forest lands (>159 million acres)

belong to ownerships providing one or more

provisioning services, including wood products,

non-timber forest products, and animal fodder.

With the exception of logs, provisioning services

are more commonly reported as being enjoyed

directly by owners or their associates, as opposed

to being sold through traditional markets.

Similarly, while more than half of family forest

lands are owned by those who have provided

recreational opportunities to friends and family,

owners who report recreational services being

supplied to the general public (for sale or for free) collectively represent fewer than 30 million acres.

The supply of regulating and supporting services is strongly linked to the maintenance of long-term

forest cover. The owners of greater than 80% of family forest lands report a desire to maintain the

forested condition of their land, whereas a much smaller percentage of these owners (owning < 14

million acres) have entered into conservation easements or have collected money for conservation

purposes. Even less acreage belongs to owners reporting leasing land or collecting money for

wildlife habitat/biodiversity (< 8 million acres), carbon storage or sequestration (< 2 million acres),

or public water supply protection (< 2 million acres).

KEY FINDINGS

Individuals, families, and

trusts own more than 35%

of U.S. forestland.

Family forests provide a

wide variety of ecosystem

services and products.

Many services are

primarily enjoyed by

landowners and close

associates.

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Estimated area of family forest and woodland ownerships (10+ acres) which have leased

forest land or collected money for use of forest land by use or activity, United States, 2011-

2013. Error bars represent two standard errors.

HUNT = hunting,

REC = recreation (other than hunting),

GRZ = to graze / pasture livestock,

CONS = land conservation,

CARB = carbon capture / sequestration, WAT = public water supply protection,

WILD = wildlife habitat / biodiversity.

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WABANAKI YOUTH IN SCIENCE (WAYS): A TRIBAL MENTORING

AND EDUCATIONAL PROGRAM FOCUSED ON DEVELOPING

YOUNG NATURAL RESOURCE PROFESSIONALS

Tish Carr(1), Laura S. Kenefic(2) and Darren Ranco (1)

(1)Wabanaki Center, University of Maine, 5717 Corbett Hall, Room 208, Orono, Maine 04469-5724

USA [email protected]

(2)U.S. Forest Service, Penobscot Experimental Forest, 686 Government Road, Bradley, ME USA 04411,

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

The Wabanaki Youth in Science (WaYS) program, funded by the National Science Foundation and

administered by the Wabanaki Center at the University of Maine, provides mentoring and training

opportunities for Native American youth in life sciences. This program, which was motivated by a

shortage of young natural resource professionals to manage tribal lands in Maine, uses a multifaceted,

multi-year approach to recruit and retain Native youth in science fields. Key components include (1)

summer camp and seasonal mini camps, (2) traditional ecological knowledge programs at tribal teen

centers and Boys & Girls Clubs, and (3) internships with cultural resource and natural resource mentors.

A defining characteristic of the program is the integration of knowledge from cultural resource and

natural resource mentors. This approach helps students develop an understanding of contemporary

natural resource problems informed by their community and culture, leading to greater relevance and

persistence in science. In addition, internships with tribal and non-tribal institutions (such as on ongoing

habitat restoration project with the U.S. Forest Service) provide pathways to employment and bring

diverse perspectives to natural resource management. In the first three years of the WaYS program, the

number of Wabanaki youth enrolled in science fields at the University of Maine increased by 15%. We

suggest the longitudinal and multifaceted approach used in the WaYS program (i.e., camps, community

outreach, and internships with cultural resource and natural resource mentors) as a model for other

initiatives aimed at engaging Native youth in life sciences.

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EVALUATING THE INFLUENCE OF STEM FORM AND VIGOR ON

PRODUCT POTENTIAL, GROWTH, AND SURVIVAL FOR SEVERAL

NORTHERN COMMERCIAL HARDWOOD SPECIES

Mark Castle(1), Aaron Weiskittel(2), Robert Wagner(1) and Mark Ducey(3)

(1) School of Forest Resources, University of Maine, 201 Nutting Hall, Orono, ME 04469, USA

[email protected]

(1) School of Forest Resources, University of Maine, 201 Nutting Hall, Orono, ME 04469, USA

[email protected]

(2) Department of Forestry and Natural Resources, Purdue University, 715 West State Street, West

Lafayette, IN 47907, USA. [email protected]

(3) College of Life Sciences and Agriculture, University of New Hampshire, Rudman Hall, 46 College

Road, Durham, NH 03824, USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Northern hardwood species display a wide variety of stem forms and defects which can considerably reduce

stem quality and complicate the management objectives of these species. Although commonly cited as

limiting factors of hardwood species, the influence of both stem form and damage remain largely

unaccounted for in volume/biomass equations or even growth and yield models. In addition, the limited

integration of these attributes into growth and yield applications has left the efficacy of current tree

classification systems used to manage these species untested. The purpose of this study was to determine the

influence of stem form and damage on product potential, growth, and survival among several prominent

northern commercial hardwood species and present a revised framework for a tree classification system.

Using data collected across several sites in Maine, New Hampshire, and New Brunswick, a series of models

were developed to quantify potential sawlog recovery, periodic annual increment, and probability of survival

across trees of varying stem form and vigor using a classification system developed by the Northern

Hardwood Research Institute (NHRI). The results indicated that a classification system with four stem form

categories accounting for trees with single straight stems, sweep, multiple stems, and significant forks along

with two classes characterizing damage severity could be used to differentiate between hardwood species of

varying stem quality and vigor in the Northeast region.

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MANAGEMENT INFLUENCES FUNCTIONAL COMPOSITION AND

DIVERSITY IN NORTHERN HARDWOOD AND MIXED-CONIFER

FORESTS IN MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE, USA

Miranda T. Curzon(1), Anthony W. D'Amato(2), Shawn Fraver(3), Brian J. Palik(4), John B.

Bradford(5), Jane R. Foster(1), Alessandra Bottero(6), Kelly E. Gleason(5)

(1)Department of Forest Resources, University of Minnesota, 1530 Cleveland Avenue North, Saint Paul,

MN 55108, USA, [email protected], [email protected] (2)Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Vermont, 81 Carrigan Drive,

Burlington, VT 05405 USA, [email protected] (3)School of Forest Resources, University of Maine, Orono, ME 04469, USA, [email protected]

(4)USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station, 1831 Hwy 169 E., Grand Rapids, MN

55744, USA, [email protected] (5)US Geological Survey, Southwest Biological Science Center, Flagstaff,

AZ, USA,[email protected], [email protected] (6)Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow, and Landscape Research, Zürcherstrasse 111, CH-8903

Birmensdorf, Switzerland, [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Concern about global environmental change and associated uncertainty has given rise to greater

emphasis on building adaptive capacity in forest ecosystems. Greater diversity is generally believed to

contribute to resilience and adaptive capacity, but that relationship is nuanced and varies widely across

ecosystems and scales.

Using a combination of historic inventories and dendrochronological techniques, we examined the

effects of conventional management approaches on plant traits and functional diversity in northern

forests located in New Hampshire and Maine, USA. Two harvest treatments (typical for each forest

type) and an untreated control were replicated three times at each site. Community-weighted trait means

(leaf mass per area, specific gravity, maximum height, seed mass, drought tolerance, shade tolerance,

and flood tolerance) and standard functional diversity indices were quantified based on observed

standing biomass in 2010 allowing comparisons of stands managed with different silvicultural systems

since the 1950's. Additionally, trait means and functional diversity measures were estimated for stand

biomass increment each year 1984-2009.

Few differences in functional diversity emerged between treatments in the northern hardwood forest,

but in mixed-conifer forest, stands managed with selection had lower functional diversity relative to

those managed with the shelterwood method. In the absence of disturbance (i.e. in control stands)

functional diversity remained stable over time. Selection decreased drought tolerance relative to even-

aged systems in both forests. Overall, our results support hypotheses that regeneration methods

influence functional composition and diversity, both potentially related to forest ecosystem resilience.

Lastly, observed relationships between annual, trait-based growth and climate variables suggest

functional composition may influence climate-growth responses in these forests.

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BOREAL FOREST FRUIT SHRUBS CULTIVAR TRIALS AND

PROPAGATION FOR THE DIVERSIFICATION OF FRUIT

PRODUCTION ON THE NORTH SHORE REGION OF QUEBEC,

CANADA

Ève-Catherine Desjardins

Centre d’expérimentation et de développement en forêt boréale (CEDFOB),

537, boulevard Blanche, Baie-Comeau, Québec, Canada,

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Goals

Select and test on the north shore region of Quebec at Longue-Pointe-de-Mingan (50°18'12"N;

64°11'25"O), Pointe-aux-Outardes (49°5'13"N; 68°23'16"O) and Sacré-Coeur (48°14'51"N;

69°51'57"O) within a permaculture system* hardy and productive cultivars (quantity and quality

of fruit).

Improve cutting techniques of these shrubs in collaboration with a local nurseryman.

Support nurseries and small fruit growers in the development of novel boreal forest fruit crops

including saskatoons (Amelanchier spp.), haskaps (Lonicera caerulea), red currants, gooseberries

and jostaberries (Ribes spp.), lingonberries (Vaccinium vitis idea) and highbush cranberries

(Viburnum edule).

* The permaculture system is characterized by crop self-sufficiency and is low input. Field

preparation consists of hilling and mulching, in this case with leaves, freshly chipped branches

and composted aspen bark.

Permaculture installation at Longue-Pointe-de-Mingan and small fruits cutting trials.

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Results

The best Ribes (yields, fruit quality, growth and disease and insect susceptibility) were Hinnomaki red,

Red Lake, White Pearl and Jostaberry. With the exception of the Longue-Pointe-de Mingan site (the

northernmost site) the gooseberries were attacked (up to complete defoliation) by the sawflies, Nematus

ribesii and Pristiphora rufipes. It is possible that their distribution does not extend as far as the

northernmost site giving this site a large advantage.

The best performing haskap was Indigo Treat. However, this cultivar is susceptible (fruit punctures) to the

honeysuckle moth Ypsolopha dentella. Flowers of the very early haskap cultivars (Blue Nova and Blue

Sky) suffered from late spring frosts and these cultivars are therefore not advised for the north shore unless

a wood chip mulch is used which delays the flowering period.

Among the saskatoons the cultivars Drapeau ll and Martin were the best performing. The main problem

encountered was with birds eating the ripe fruits.

The cutting trials allowed the adaptation of existing protocols and the formation of a working team

including a local nursery which is willing to provide growers interested in developing these new fruits

crops with plants. The fruiting period of these five small fruits (haskaps, saskatoons, gooseberries,

jostaberries and red currants) stretches from early July until the beginning of September. The

complementarities of certain cultivars permit an extension of the harvest period and favors workforce

retention in isolated regions.

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CONTINUED EXPANSION OF THE VERMONT MONITORING

COOPERATIVE'S FOREST HEALTH MONITORING NETWORK

James Duncan(1), Kirsti Carr, Diana Gurvich, Rebecca Rossell, John Truong and Jennifer Pontius

(1)Corresponding author: Vermont Monitoring Cooperative and Rubenstein School of Environment and

Natural Resources, University of Vermont, 705 Spear St, South Burlington, VT 05403 USA

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

In 1991, the Vermont Monitoring Cooperative and the Vermont Department of Forests, Parks and

Recreation began a statewide forest health monitoring network, designed to uncover important

relationships, changes, and stressors impacting Vermont's forested landscape. The plots were initially

located in intensive study sites on Mt. Mansfield and in the Lye Brook Wilderness, and were surveyed

annually. In the last three years, the network was expanded from 14 to over 45 plots by co-locating with

other forest health monitoring efforts such as the USFS Forest Inventory and Analysis, the North

American Maple Project, and others. This expands and intensifies forest health assessment efforts in the

state, sampling a wider range of biophysical regions and a more representative cross-section of

Vermont's forests with an enhance methodology. The result of this expanded network is a fuller set of

data available for evaluating long-term trends in forest health in the state. In addition, data was collected

in 2016 using the Foresters for the Birds methodology, providing an additional resource for

characterizing these long-term monitoring plots, which will be presented here.

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32

INTRODUCING A MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION SUPPORT TOOL

FOR MANAGING FORESTS UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE

James Duncan(1)(2), Clare Ginger(1) and Jennifer Pontius(1)(2)(3)

(1) Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Vermont 85 Carrigan Dr.

Burlington, VT 05405 USA [email protected] , [email protected]

(2) Vermont Monitoring Cooperative 705 Spear St, South Burlington, VT 05403 USA

(3)US Forest Service, Northern Research Station 85 Carrigan Dr. Burlington, VT 05405 USA

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Climate change has the potential to alter forest ecosystem composition and processes in Vermont, USA,

through direct and indirect pathways. Forestland managers are left with an array of possible factors to

consider when attempting to incorporate climate change impacts in management planning, from species

range shifts to invasive species risk to wildlife habitat suitability to changes in recreation patterns.

Combining and weighting these factors can often mean a time-consuming process of accessing and

interpreting output from multiple tools each time a decision needs to be made. We present preliminary

work on a new web-based decision support tool that allows users to evaluate customized combinations

of objectives under current and future climate conditions. Based on a common spatial grid for the state

of Vermont, users can define an area of interest, select from a wide list of modeled outcomes, weight the

relevant importance of those outcomes and select one or several climate change predictions to assess. In

addition, differences among management alternatives can also be computed for some objectives within

the tool. The resulting output is a series of maps showing the overall relative ranking of the landscape

for the combination of chosen objectives under different climate change scenarios, as well as accompany

summary statistics and figures. These products provide a multi-faceted, spatially explicit ranking of how

different portions of the chosen landscape can meet the forest management goals of the user under

different climate change scenarios.

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33

A SYSTEMS PERSPECTIVE ON THE SHIFT TO MODERN WOOD

HEATING TECHNOLOGY IN THE NORTHERN FOREST REGION

Laura Edling and Cecilia Danks

Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Vermont 85 Carrigan Dr.

Burlington, VT 05405 USA [email protected] , [email protected]

ABSTRACT

This study takes a systems approach to understanding the complex factors that affect the transition

toward local, sustainable energy sources, with a focus on the case of modern wood heat. The research

team from the Northern Forest Center, University of Vermont, and University of Maine, Orono is

studying the conversion to high efficiency, low emissions, wood pellet technology among households,

local businesses and community buildings in the Northern Forest region of New York, Vermont, New

Hampshire, and Maine. Collecting data through interviews, surveys, and site visits, the team will

identify both the proximal factors that influence the adopters of modern wood heating systems as well

as the relationships, leverage points and drivers of the energy system that shape consumer choices.

We will analyze the Model Neighborhood Wood Heating Initiative-- a community-based, systemic

approach to foster conversion to modern wood heating – and explore synergies and differences with

more traditional, state-wide policy incentives. While still in data collection stage, we expect our

findings to assist in a holistic understanding of the transition from fossil fuels in the Northern Forest

region, and ultimately have theoretical and policy implications for other energy transitions elsewhere.

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34

MANAGING INVASIVE PLANTS ON VERMONT'S STATE LANDS

Molly Elvin(1), Heather Ewing, Liz Bourget and Elizabeth Spinney

(1) Corresponding author: Vermont Department of Forests, Parks, and Recreation, 1 National Life

Drive, Davis 2, Montpelier, VT 05620-3801 USA n [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Invasive plant species are non-native plants that cause harm to native ecosystems by displacing native

plants and disrupting natural cycles. Invasives can cause a wide range of harms including harm to

human health, environmental harm, and economic harm. The southwestern region of Vermont's state

forests and parks took the proactive step in 2013 of creating a three-year, grant funded habitat

restoration crew to help control invasive species by assessing, managing, and educating the public about

the invasives. The crew has educated hundreds of volunteers from schools, churches, and businesses all

over Vermont on what invasive species are and what they can do to help control them. Throughout the

three years of the habitat restoration crew, they have compiled extensive research and experience on the

best ways to control each of the 45 state designated noxious plants which can now be passed on to the

public as well as the other regions of Vermont's parks and forests.

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35

TRACKING SUBDIVISION AND PARCELIZATION TO INFORM

LAND USE PLANNING, CONSERVATION AND THE

MANAGEMENT OF FORESTS IN VERMONT

Jamey Fidel(1), Deb Brighton(2), Kate McCarthy(1), Brian Shupe(1), Emma Zavez(1)

(1)Vermont Natural Resources Council, 9 Bailey Avenue, Montpelier, Vermont 05602 USA

[email protected]

(2)Vermont Family Forests, PO Box 254, Bristol, Vermont 05443 USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

When forestland is broken up into

smaller parcels from subdivision, the

result is typically an increase in the

number of landowners and housing

units in addition to new infrastructure

such as roads, septic and utility lines.

Depending on how this development

occurs, it can fragment the landscape

and negatively affect plant and animal

species, wildlife habitat, water

quality, and the ability of forests to

mitigate the effects of climate change.

It can also affect the contiguous

ownership and management of forest

parcels, and thus the viability of large

tracts of forestland to contribute to

Vermont’s working forest economy.

Research studying parcelization and

subdivision trends between 2003 and

2009 demonstrates that while a large

percentage of the land in Vermont

(71%) is still represented in parcels

greater than 50 acres, the trend is that

larger parcels are being converted

into smaller and smaller parcels (see

key findings). The value of land in

parcels 50 acres or larger appreciated

significantly during this study period

shifting from an average value of

KEY FINDINGS

The amount of land in 50+ acre

parcels decreased by 42,000 acres

between 2003 and 2009 while 4,300

additional parcels were created in the

2-10 acre category.

From 2003-2009, 126,000 acres of

land went from being undeveloped, to

having a house.

Research in 22 case study towns

indicate that subdivision is mostly

happening in small increments (2-4

lots at a time). In general, subdivisions

of this size are not large enough to

trigger statewide review, which means

municipal regulations play a major

role in guiding subdivision patterns in

Vermont.

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$930 per acre in 2003 to $1,615 per acre in 2009, putting pressure on forestland owners to hold onto

larger parcels of land.

Research in 22 case study towns examined the correlation between subdivision rates and land use

regulations from 2002 and 2009. On average, each subdivision resulted in 2-4 lots, and only 1% - 2% of

subdivisions in the case study towns were large enough to trigger Act 250, Vermont’s statewide process

for reviewing and managing the environmental, social and fiscal consequences of major subdivisions

and developments. Therefore, municipal regulations play a major role in guiding subdivision patterns in

Vermont. Subdivision activity is more likely to occur in rural areas such as rural-residential districts than

in conservation oriented zoning districts. This means natural resource features in “default” zoning

districts – where most subdivision is happening – may be vulnerable to development unless there are

natural resource protection standards in the land use regulations.

Research also demonstrates that subdivision is increasing the number of parcels that are eligible for

Vermont’s Use Value Appraisal (Current Use) Program, but decreasing the number of acres that are

large enough to be enrolled. This means more landowners are enrolling in the Program, while the

amount of land that is eligible to be enrolled for conservation is decreasing.

Efforts are currently underway to develop a new statewide database and an on-line data dashboard that

will update the subdivision trend information and facilitate the visual inspection, querying and

dissemination of parcelization and subdivision data on an annual basis at multiple spatial scales

spanning local, regional and statewide levels. This tool will benefit researchers, land management

agencies, municipalities, professional planners, regional planning commissions, conservation

organizations, natural resource professionals and foresters in their ability to identify and maintain large

intact areas of forests.

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

2-10 10-25 25-50 50-100 100-200 >200

NumberofParce

ls

AcresinParcel

2003

2009

VermontSubdivisionTrends

Increaseinsmallparcels,decreaseinlargeparcels

4,300additionalparcelscreatedfrom2003-2009

Amountoflandin50+acreparcelsdecreasedby42,000acres

Vermont Subdivision Trends

Increase in small parcels, decrease in large parcels.

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

2-10 10-25 25-50 50-100 100-200 >200

NumberofParce

ls

AcresinParcel

2003

2009

VermontSubdivisionTrends

Increaseinsmallparcels,decreaseinlargeparcels

4,300additionalparcelscreatedfrom2003-2009

Amountoflandin50+acreparcelsdecreasedby42,000acres

Vermont Subdivision Trends

Increase in small parcels, decrease in large parcels.

Amount of land in

50+ acre parcels

decreased by

42,000 acres

4,300 additional

parcels created

from 2003-2009

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37

STUDYING WOOD QUALITY IN THE CONTEXT OF A SPRUCE

BUDWORM OUTBREAK IN QUEBEC

Gabriel Fortin

Centre d'expérimentation et de développement en forêt boréale (CEDFOB) Baie-Comeau, QC G5C

2B3, Canada [email protected]

ABSTRACT

A spruce budworm outbreak is in progression in Quebec. In the region of the North Shore, defoliation is

observed since 2006 and the annual defoliated area is increasing each year. In 2015, 3 754 605ha were

defoliated. The defoliation causes growth reduction, mortality as well as loss in wood quality.

The effects of defoliation on wood quality of balsam fir and spruces are studied by our team since 2014

in the North Shore of Quebec. In our studies, the defoliation and the condition of trees were measured.

Wood coloration and decay of harvested logs were characterized, as well as chips quality according to

three metrics; the humidity, the luminance and the proportion of dark fiber. The quantity of residual

wood left in the forest following harvesting, in an operational context, is also measured. These results

aim to identify indicators that could predict the quality of the wood to harvest, giving forest companies a

predictive tool that could help them with the harvesting management.

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38

FORECASTING CLIMATE CHANGE REFUGIA FOR MONTANE

SPECIES: HOW HARVEST AND DISTURBANCE AFFECT

SPECIES PERSISTENCE

Jane R. Foster(1) and Anthony W. D'amato(2)

(1) Department of Forest Resources, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA [email protected] (2) Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT

USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Montane forest species are vulnerable to climate change, challenging land-managers who must

prioritize protected areas for conservation. Sub-alpine spruce-fir forests in New England illustrate

this challenge. Forests of Abies balsamea and Picea rubens are predicted to recede to higher

elevations as temperatures increase. Warm-adapted species are predicted to expand upward. Yet

satellite imagery has shown that the extent of subalpine forests has remained stable or expanded

downward over the past 30 years of warming. We hypothesize that movement of the sub-alpine

forest boundary is responding more to disturbance dynamics, from wind, harvests and insect

outbreaks, than to changes in climate.

We ask how disturbances help or hinder the development of refugia for montane species in the

Green Mountains National Forest (GMNF) in Vermont, USA. We simulated future forest conditions

using the landscape model LANDIS-II under a combination of four global circulation model (GCM)

projections. We tested whether spruce-fir forests shrink as expected and identify where spruce-fir

persists as potential climate refugia for conservation.

Growth and establishment of the montane species A. balsamea and P. rubra were sensitive to the

range of GCM projections; increasing or decreasing depending on soil type and topographic

position. In spite of this variation in vital rates, total spruce-fir extent proved resistant to projected

changes in climate and did not decrease significantly between 2010 and 2100. Fine-scale landscape

simulations successfully identified potential climate refugia for montane spruce-fir forests providing

an opportunity to direct conservation efforts towards areas with the highest likelihood of success.

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39

OUT OF THE LAB AND INTOTHE FIELD: COMMERCIAL

PRODUCTION OF BAKEAPPLE PLANTS

Marie-Claire Gervais (1), Sara Kristine Naess(2)

(1)Centre d’expérimentation et de développement en forêt boréale, 537 boul. Blanche, Baie-Comeau

Québec, G5C 2B2 (Canada), [email protected] (2)Centre de recherche Les Buissons, 358 chemin Principal, Pointe-aux-Outardes, Québec, G0H

1M0 Canada [email protected]

ABSTRACT

The bakeapple (Rubus chamaemorus

L.) grows in the peatlands of the boreal

forest. In the North Shore region of

Quebec, the fruit has been harvested

from the forest for centuries and

wildcrafting, while not efficient

enough for industry development, is

still in use today. In order to improve

the harvest efficiency and diversify the

forestry economy of this region,

domestication of non-lignified forest

products, such as the bakeapple, is

considered.

KEY FINDINGS

The bakeapple plant adapts well to high

density in vitro propagation in low cost

commercially available plastic

containers suitable for shipping.

They can be efficiently acclimatized by

growers on site in low cost mist

chambers using locally available milled

peat.

: a: bakeapple plant in vitro; b: bakeapple plant into the field.

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The Centre d’expérimentation et de développement en forêt boréale (CEDFOB) is currently working

on a project to optimise bakeapple micro-propagation techniques with commercial production in

mind. A multidisciplinary team composed of biologists, agronomists, research scientists and plant

tissue culture specialists is working to help a group of producers on the Lower North Shore initiate a

new small fruits industry based on bakeapple production. There are currently no nurseries producing

bakeapple plants. Norwegian bakeapple cultivars are available for import but aside from problems

dealing with phytosanitary laws and regulations, these cultivars are not adapted to the climatic

conditions of the boreal forest of eastern Canada. With the recent plant breeding work at the Centre

de recherche Les Buissons (CRLB) involving native bakeapple clones and the plant tissue culture

protocols in development at CEDFOB we are now in a position to contemplate the mass production

of bakeapple plants having agronomic potential for industry development. Commercial in vitro

propagation could also be used to produce large quantities of bakeapple plants for restoration of cut-

over peatlands.

Page 41: Proceedings of the 8th Eastern CANUSA Forest Science Conference€¦ · concurrent oral presentations, a poster session and a half day field tour. Friday evening will also include

41

CARBON FORESTRY OPTIONS USING EXOTIC LARCHES IN

NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND

Alec Giffen(1), Lloyd C. Irland(2), David I. Maass(3), Brian Roth(4)

(1) Togus Rd, Chelsea, ME 04330, USA [email protected]

(2) 174 Lord Rd, Wayne, ME 04284, USA [email protected]

(3) 8 Countryside Ct, Bluffton, SC, 29909, USA [email protected]

(4) CFRU, University of Maine, School of Forest Resources, 5755 Nutting Hall, Orono, ME 04469-

5755, USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Exotic European (L. decidua), Japanese

(L. kaempferi) and Dahurian larches (L.

gmelinii), and their hybrids, have been

planted in numerous small trials and

operational plantings in this region.

Estimated volume growth rates far exceed

what is obtained by native conifers.

Stands can reach small sawlog sizes in 16-

20 years. In one instance a stand was

harvested commercially at age 13.

Documented results show that, with only

basic management, planted larches can

offer another option for carbon forestry in

this region. The volume grown can be

used for long-lived wood products instead

of paper or energy as is expected with

other short-rotation intensive culture

(SRIC) species being studied in the

Northeast. We compare estimated carbon

storage results in a 60 year management

period using these larches. Forest

plantations offer only limited leverage on

the regional carbon budget, but we believe

larches deserve consideration as one

option. Finally, larch leaf litter is nutrient

rich and the species can be used in a

variety of silvicultural roles.

KEY FINDINGS

European and Japanese larch

growth rates far exceed native

conifers

Larch management is an option

for carbon forestry and

production of long-lived wood

products

Fourteen year old larch plantation, private

land, western Maine. D. I. Maass photo.

Page 42: Proceedings of the 8th Eastern CANUSA Forest Science Conference€¦ · concurrent oral presentations, a poster session and a half day field tour. Friday evening will also include

42

Estimated carbon storage results in a 60 year management period.

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43

PATTERNS OF NONNATIVE INVASIVE PLANT SPECIES

DIVERSITY IN GYPSY MOTH DEFOLIATED FORESTS

Maryna Golivets (1), Christopher W. Woodall, and Kimberly F. Wallin

(1) Corresponding author: Rubenstein School Environment and Natural Resources,

University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405, USA

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Northeastern forests are experiencing a constantly rising level of invasion by nonnative species, which is

associated with the increased probability of interactions within the nonnative component of the biota.

Here we studied regional patterns of nonnative plant species diversity in forests previously defoliated by

a highly invasive insect, gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar). We coupled gypsy moth disturbance data

available through the Forest Health Monitoring Program of the USDA Forest Service with data on

nonnative plant species collected within the Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) Program of the USDA

Forest Service. Across 10 eastern US states, we selected over 400 FIA plots that ranged in the total

number of gypsy moth outbreaks during the last 40 years from 0 to 10. We fitted generalized linear

mixed models to nonnative invasive plant species density and presence-absence data. To compare

species richness among defoliated and non-defoliated plots, we computed sample-based rarefaction

curves. Gypsy moth defoliation had a significant negative effect on presence and species richness of

nonnative invasive plants.

Page 44: Proceedings of the 8th Eastern CANUSA Forest Science Conference€¦ · concurrent oral presentations, a poster session and a half day field tour. Friday evening will also include

44

DELINEATING RIPARIAN AREAS IN WORKING FORESTS - FIXED

WIDTH VERSUS FUNCTIONAL?

Maneesha Jayasuriya, René H. Germain and Eddie Bevilacqua

Department of Forest and Natural Resources Management, State University of New York College of

Environmental Science and Forestry, 1 Forestry Drive, Syracuse, New York 13210. USA

[email protected], [email protected], [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Riparian management zones (RMZs) are often based on fixed-width buffers, which may result in

significant errors as they may or may not represent the actual extent of a functional riparian area. This

study in the Catskill region of New York examined the difference in area dedicated to RMZs on first and

second order streams using the fixed-width (100ft) versus the functional approach in both the field and

at a broader spatial scale using high resolution DEM data. Field sampling was done along six first order

streams and three second order streams resulting in a total stream sampling length of 4.187 km (2.6

miles). When comparing the two riparian area delineation methods, there was no significant difference

in terms of dedicated land area (11 %) to the RMZ. The digital delineation of the fixed-width and

functional-based riparian buffer was conducted across 4,457.42 km2 (1.1 million acres) of timberland in

the Catskill region using 10 randomized 36 million square meter blocks. A total of 397 first order and

139 second order streams/stream segments with a total stream length of 309.23 km (192.15 miles) were

analyzed using the two buffering approaches. Generally, the area dedicated to riparian protection was

8% of the timberland area and the fixed-width buffer over-delineated timberlands as riparian along first

order streams when compared to the functional based buffer. Therefore a fixed-width buffer may not be

ideal for headwaters especially in mature northern hardwood forests and a functional riparian area

allocation is more suitable for these streams.

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45

REGENERATION RESPONSES TO MANAGEMENT FOR OLD-

GROWTH CHARACTERISTICS IN NORTHERN HARDWOOD-

CONIFER FORESTS

Aviva Joy Gottesman and William S. Keeton

Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, USA

[email protected] , [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Forest management practices interact with multiple sources of variability to influence regeneration

trends in northern hardwood forests. There is uncertainty whether low-intensity selection harvesting

techniques will result in adequate and desirable regeneration. Our research is part of a long-term study

that tests the hypothesis that a silvicultural approach called "structural complexity enhancement" (SCE)

can accelerate the development of late-successional forest structure and functions. Our objective is to

understand the regeneration dynamics following three uneven-aged forestry treatments modified to

increase postharvest structural retention: single-tree selection, group selection, and SCE. In terms of

regeneration density and diversity, how do light availability, competition, substrate, and herbivory

interact with treatment effects? To explore these relationships, manipulations and controls were

replicated across 2-hectare treatment units at two Vermont sites. Forest inventory data were collected

pre-harvest and over multiple time lags up to 13 years postharvest. We used mixed effects models with

repeated measures to evaluate the effect of treatment on seedling and sapling density and diversity

(Shannon-Weiner H').

The treatments were all successful in recruiting a sapling class with a significantly higher mean than the

control. However, due to high spatial variability, prolific beech sprouting dominates some patches in the

understory of all the treatments. Multivariate analyses suggest that while treatment had a dominant

effect, other factors were influential in driving regeneration responses. These results indicate variants of

uneven-aged systems that retain or enhance stand structural complexity, including old-growth

characteristics, generally foster abundant regeneration of important late successional tree species

depending on site conditions.

Page 46: Proceedings of the 8th Eastern CANUSA Forest Science Conference€¦ · concurrent oral presentations, a poster session and a half day field tour. Friday evening will also include

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ENHANCED FOREST COVER MAPPING USING SPECTRAL

UNMIXING AND OBJECT-BASED CLASSIFICATION OF MULTI-

TEMPORAL LANDSAT IMAGERY

David Gudex-Cross(1), Jennifer Pontius(1,2), and Alison Adams(1)

(1) UVM Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources, (2)USFS Northern Research Station

[email protected] , [email protected] , [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Spatially-explicit tree species distribution maps are increasingly valuable to forest managers and

researchers, particularly in light of the effects of climate change and invasive pests on forest resources.

Advanced remote sensing techniques, such as spectral unmixing and object-based image analysis

(OBIA), offer novel approaches to mapping species distributions by providing information on

proportional species composition and classifying on a stand versus pixel level. This is particularly useful

in the Northeast where species composition is often highly heterogeneous. Using multi-temporal

Landsat imagery, we employed spectral unmixing to quantify percent basal area for ten regionally-

common tree species/genera. The percent basal area maps, along with ancillary environmental data,

were then used in an OBIA workflow to produce a thematic forest classification across northern New

York and Vermont.

Forest cover map spanning northern New York and Vermont produced by integrating

spectral unmixing of multi-temporal Landsat imagery and a rule-based, OBIA

classification scheme.

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47

We compared the results of our integrated unmixing-OBIA thematic map to other large-scale forest

mapping efforts, including the National Land Cover Database (NLCD), National Forest Type Map

(NFTM), and LANDFIRE. Independent validation with 50 forest inventory plots across Vermont

indicated that our method was 38% accurate (84% fuzzed) at the species-type level, versus 28% (80%

fuzzed) for LANDFIRE, and 18% (70% fuzzed) for the NFTM. Since species-type level comparisons

were not possible with NLCD, the other three classifications were fuzzed to NLCD categories. Coarse

type accuracy was highest for our integrated product (74%), followed by LANDFIRE (66%), the NFTM

(62%), and NLCD (56%). These results demonstrate that our integrated unmixing-OBIA method offers

higher accuracy and increased specificity in forest cover mapping compared to existing datasets.

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48

EVALUATING THE IMPACTS OF SOUTHERN PINE BEETLE ON

PITCH PINE FOREST DYNAMICS IN A NEWLY INVADED REGION

Molly Heuss(1), Anthony D’Amato(1), Kevin Dodds(2)

(1)University of Vermont, Burlington, Vermont, USA, 05401, [email protected] , [email protected] (2)USDA Forest Service, Durham, New Hampshire, USA, 03824, [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Southern pine beetle (SPB), a native insect that has

historically affected pine ecosystems in the

southeastern U.S., has recently expanded

northward causing extensive tree mortality in pitch

pine (Pinus rigida) and pitch pine-oak forests of

eastern Long Island, NY. Given the historic lack of

SPB within these ecosystems, little is known

regarding its potential impacts on forest structure

and function. This study examined the immediate

effects of SPB-induced tree mortality and

suppression management on the structure and

composition of pitch pine and pitch pine-oak stands

(n=26) to inform management recommendations

and projections of future forest conditions.

Overstory pine importance values in unmanaged

stands declined by 64% following SPB, from an

average of 50% to 18%. Relative density of pitch

pine seedlings was higher in infested stands (μ=7%

vs. μ=0.5% in uninfested stands, P = 0.02). Although relative density of pitch pine saplings did not vary

significantly, unmanaged pine-dominated stands contained higher densities. Pitch pine comprised <6%

of seedlings and saplings, demonstrating a lack of available post-SPB pine regeneration. Collectively,

our results indicate SPB could functionally eliminate pitch pine from similar stands in the absence of

silvicultural or disturbance-mediated regeneration events, leading to increased hardwood species

dominance.

KEY FINDINGS

Pitch pine dominance

declined by 64% in

unmanaged stands

Relative importance of pitch

pine seedlings was higher in

infested stands

Pitch pine comprised <6%

of post-SPB regeneration

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49

Standardized pitch pine seedling densities (blue; μ=746 stems ha-1) by treatment and cover

type were significantly lower than hardwood (grey; μ= 12333 stems ha-1) seedling densities

(P< 0.0001). Pitch pine densities were not significantly influenced by cover type or

treatment or combined effects.

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50

IMPACTS OF WOODY BIOMASS DEMAND ON TIMBER MARKETS

IN NEW ENGLAND AND NEW YORK

Ted Howard(1) and Iuliia Drach

(1) Corresponding author: University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH 03825 USA

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Due to the region's abundant forest resources and extensive wood harvesting and processing

infrastructure, there is interest in New England and New York in using woody biomass as a source of

renewable energy. To analyze the impacts of changes in woody biomass demand for energy production

on traditional timber markets, we analyzed a reference case and multiple demand and policy scenarios

using a modified Sub-Regional Timber Supply model (NE-SRTS). Three scenarios without residuals

harvesting restrictions were 1) a steady increase in woody biomass demand, 2) a rapid buildout of

planned woody biomass generation facilities, and 3) the eligibility of all hydropower for renewable

energy certificates (RECs). These scenarios were re-analyzed assuming a policy prohibition on the use

of logging residuals. For the reference case and six scenarios, the responses of inventory, removals and

price of four traditional wood product classes (hardwood pulpwood, hardwood sawtimber, softwood

pulpwood and softwood sawtimber) were modeled over a projection period of 50 years. Results show

that changes in woody biomass demand would affect the hardwood and softwood pulpwood markets,

resulting in price and removals increases compared to the reference case scenario in which the current

levels of wood biomass demand are assumed to remain constant. The sawtimber markets were not

influenced by these scenarios, suggesting that sawtimber inventory, removals and prices are largely

independent of woody biomass markets. Similar results were obtained when all scenarios were re-

examined via parametric changes in demand and supply elasticities favorable and unfavorable to timber

removals.

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DAYDREAMS AND NIGHTMARES IN THE NORTHERN FOREST: A

QUARTER CENTURY OF CHANGE

Lloyd C. Irland(1)

President, The Irland Group, 174 Lord Road, Wayne, Maine 04284, USA, [email protected]

ABSTRACT This extended abstract summarizes some major

points that arise in assessing the situation in the

Northern Forest over the quarter century since

two major federally supported reports assessed

issues concerning its forests, forest industry,

and communities. The experience reminds us

of the limitations of our foresight; Daydreams

of a stable forest-based industry and hopes for

supportive policies were replaced by

nightmares of mill closures and dislocation in

local communities. Industry and other

landholders viewed as permanent fixtures of the

landscape vanished almost completely. Despite

these nightmares, some major conservation

achievements were made.

The Northern Forest is a term used by forest

activists, policy wonks and some geographers

to describe the forested regions of upstate New

York, Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine.

This is a region of scattered population,

glaciated hills and valleys, many lakes and

rivers, and several substantial mountain ranges

(Irland, 1999; 2011). In its fall displays of

color, the red and yellow maples and birches

are studded by dark green pines and spruce. It

is virtually the last redoubt of native brook trout populations; in a few coastal Maine streams tiny

surviving runs of Atlantic salmon cling to life. This region was accustomed to long-standing private

ownership by paper companies, well-established timber families, and Kingdom Owners– descendants of

New York wealth from the 1890’s, with their private lakes and “Adirondack Camps.” The region has an

aura of remoteness and wilderness character, regularly burnished by writers and artists since Thoreau’s

visits in the 1840’s and the glowing paintings of Hudson River School artists. Into countless households

each year, the mail order catalogs of the LL Bean Company arrive, their covers displaying appealing

images of wild solitude. They became the suburbanites’ mental picture of the Northwoods. Visitors were

KEY FINDINGS

Assessments of the Northern

Forest in 1990 and 1994 are

reviewed with the advantage of

hindsight.

Adverse developments in the

forest economy were foreseen

by nobody.

Conservation achievements in

the 4-state region varied

according to local political

cultures.

This was the period in which

conservation easements

became prominent.

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often stunned, then, to drive into the woods and see logging trucks, recent clearcuts, and for sale signs

for wildland lots. Many wanted something done about it.

A regionwide outbreak of spruce budworm attacked spruce and fir stands from the early 70’s to the mid

80’s, leading to widely publicized spray programs and accelerated cutting in Maine where the effects

were most serious. Recreationists could readily access the most remote corners of the Northwoods on

gravel roads, following the end of log driving on the rivers.

This region was the culture hearth of the nation’s lumber, log driving, and paper industries; lobbyists

and executives for these industries once carried big sticks in state capitals. By the late 1980’s, though,

large private holdings were beginning to turn over to new owners, often non-industrial ones. Fears began

to spread that the traditional model of timberland ownership would burst wide open leading to

widespread shoddy subdividing and development, loss of public access, diminished timber supply, and

then loss of jobs as mills could not meet their wood needs. In 1990, and again in 1994, major studies

were done on these issues, funded by federal dollars.

By the early 1990s, it was thought that by judicious public policy, something resembling the

traditionally stable Northern Forest landscape could be retained, fostering stable employment in rural

areas and milltowns, widespread public access to private lands, and desirable wildlife habitat. In 1989, a

regionwide study was launched, the Northern Forest Lands Study, to assess these issues with a guiding

committee of state officials and stakeholders (USDA Forest Service and Governors’ Task Force, 1990).

Source: Northern Forest Lands Council, 1994. This region counted 26 million acres of forest in the

late 80s. The acreage of forest had barely changed by 2015. In 2015, the NFL region contained 56%

of all the forest land in the four states (USDA Forest Service data). Its boundaries were constructed

carefully: to avoid federal lands (as in VT and NH), and to avoid as much as possible any small

landholders and farmers, while including most of the largest timberland holdings of the region. Much

of the private ownership here has changed hands – some more than once, since 1990. For detailed

current data, see Shifley and Moser, (2016).

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A followup in 2004 was a more ambitious effort to conduct detailed research and develop policy options

(Northern Forest Lands Council, 1994; Northeastern State Foresters Association, 2005).

These projects conducted local public meetings to obtain input and encountered loud protests from local

groups, especially in the Adirondacks, who – correctly — saw the reports as efforts to build support for

more land protection. They saw this as threats to their economy and autonomy (Porter, Erickson, and

Whalley, 2009). One result of this was that both reports, while depicting longterm issues and needs, had

to tread gingerly by burning incense to the idols of local stakeholder input before any recommendations

were made. In its 2004 Report, the Northern Forest Lands Council offered a saccharine vision of the

future forest and the industries and communities depending on it. They recognized that this could not be

achieved without improved public policies, for which they offered numerous suggestions. But they

assumed a level of stability in markets and industry structure that was not to be.

Rarely has there been a more dynamic period in

the region’s forest history than the 1990-2015

period. Numerous small wood processing

companies (Irland 2004) have been driven out of

business by furniture imports from China. From

2000 to 2015, newsprint usage nationally fell by

70%; printing and writing paper consumption by

one third. The post 2005 housing crash cut

national lumber production by half, and it has

since barely recovered. Today, there is no paper

being manufactured along Maine’s Penobscot

River, and lumber manufacturing remains as a

pale shadow of what once was. Primary paper

mills have virtually vanished from New York,

Vermont, and New Hampshire.

In parts of the region, more wood is being burned

to generate electricity than to make pulp or paper.

Had anyone in 1990 predicted all these events

they would have been dismissed as delusional.

Domestic market crashes and surges in imports

upset the hopes for a stable forest economy with

prospering little mill towns stretching from Tug

Hill to Eastern Maine.

The 1990 study was prompted by concerns that

industry would sell its land to others, who would

have less reason to keep it in forest and retain

public access customs. This concern proved all

too well founded: for a host of reasons, forest

industries sold off their holdings almost completely, and many of the mills as well (your present writer

was among those who failed to predict this). At one time, with a stroll down “Paper Industry Row”, on

E. 42d Street in New York, you could talk to the owners of much of the forest of the region, or at least

their Wall Street bankers. No longer. Many of the longtime family holdings, such as the Adirondack

Paper mill in Bucksport, Maine, running full

steam in better days. It is now being dismantled.

Its ownership history: St Regis to Champion to

International Paper to Verso to scrap dealer in

about 2 decades is not atypical of the

northeastern industry. In early summer in the late

1930s, the Penobscot River in the foreground

would be covered with pulpwood logs. Photo by

author.

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“Kingdoms” held by heirs of the Robber Barons since the 1890s, went on the block as well. New owners

represented a wide variety of interests, including newly rich billionaires, and investment funds managed

for pension funds and institutions (Irland, Hagan, and Lutz, 2011). More than a little of this land found

its way into conservation uses via NGO’s, public agencies, and conservation easements.

The nightmares of the past quarter century cast doubt on the usefulness of efforts to develop “visions”

by negotiation among multi-stakeholder groups. Turning points as dramatic as these cannot be foreseen,

and even if they are, few stakeholders welcome bad news. Shared visions may even induce

complacency, suggesting that everybody believes nothing will really change. One-time efforts by large

study groups contain no provision for keeping track to see if assumptions underlying visions are

changing. Finally, struggling for agreement on visions may take time better spent on more concrete

matters. It could be easier to agree on some of those than on grand overarching visions. Some leaders

seem to believe in a therapeutic effect of discussing larger issues and long-term visions, apparently in

the hope that divisive issues will more readily yield to agreement once the big picture is agreed upon.

Experience suggests that this assumption is often off the mark.

From some perspectives, progress has been made: counting fee ownership and conservation easements,

19% of Maine is now in conservation ownership. Important gaps in the Adirondack Park have been

filled in. In many areas, however, the resource “took a haircut” in this process as smaller tracts and

outholdings were sold off. Often the buyers were exploitive “liquidators” who stripped the timber and

sold the land as “leisure lots” in sizes that would elude local land use controls (if there were any at all).

Today, many who loved to hate the paper companies wistfully admit that they wish we could go back to

those times. Fortunately, the housing crash has cut deeply into demand for such lots, but signs of

gentrification on large “view lots” are emerging once again, especially near ski areas. The old rustic “ski

chalet”, often self-built, is being replaced by virtual mansions, with 2 car garages and mowed lawns.

Development on view lots is eroding the sense of remoteness that once characterized much of this

region, with implications for public access and wildlife habitat that are only beginning to be recognized.

Political cultures regarding public land ownership and regulation vary from state to state across this

region, despite its apparent ecological and economic similarities. Substate institutions have arisen in

New York (Adirondack Park Authority), New Hampshire (unincorporated portions of Coos county), and

Maine (Land Use Planning Commission for 10 million acres lacking any local government). A major

influence has been concentrations of wealth and population in the Boston-New York coastal strip. The

Northern Forest is the recreational and second home backdrop for these regions, and most of the

conservation accomplishment has been lobbied from those urban areas. So the region has a distinct

north-south political divide. Broadly speaking, advocates of the National Forests on Vermont and New

Hampshire have allowed the 2 states to pass much of the cost and bureaucracy of administering

dispersed forest recreation to federal taxpayers. In New York and Maine, by contrast, there is very little

federal conservation land, while New York’s constitutional Forever Wild in the Adirondacks represents

a huge state-managed stretch of wild land.

Both Maine and New York are not favorable to federal ownership, except where federal dollars will pick

up costly coastal property (e.g. Acadia NP; Rachel Carson NWR; Fire Island National Seashore on Long

Island … but these are not in the Northern Forest). One lesson has been that creating federal land units

has been far easier than administering them. Drawing lines on maps cannot make the divisions among

various publics go away. Since 1990, changes in fee ownership in the Northern Forest have not been

substantial, amounting to only about 800,000 acres leaving private ownership over the quarter century.

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Most of the conservation achievement has been via conservation easements, which represent the

removal of development rights from land remaining in private hands. Note that in Maine, the September

2016 donation creating the Katahdin Woods and Waters National Monument increased federal

ownership by 87,000 acres, an immediate increase of 49%.

A full picture of conservation includes lands covered by easements. In Maine, more land is under

easements than owned in fee. New York, with its large Blue line ownerships in the Catskill s and the

Adirondacks, is at the other end of the spectrum, relying far less on easements.

The past quarter century has seen a remarkable

degree of “outsourcing” of conservation

funding, project negotiation and ongoing

management, and financing. Much of the

formerly public business of conservation has

been delegated to a wide range of local,

statewide, and national NGO’s specializing in

such work. Public funding support and

cooperation was usually involved. This

enabled the deployment of nongovernmental

arbiters well positioned to serve as negotiators

and to bring specialized skills and people

power to understaffed and overloaded public

agencies. It is hard to think of a major

conservation accomplishment of this period

that did not rely heavily on outsourcing. This

has come to be seen as the normal way of

doing business, when it in fact is a recent

innovation.

The entire region has been accustomed to urban

and suburban elites picking and choosing

locations for National Parks and other major

conservation units, perhaps to a degree

unmatched elsewhere in the country. This has

yielded major conservation successes: the

Adirondack Park, Acadia NP, the White

Mountain National Forest, and Baxter State

Park. Yet it exacerbates the north-south

political divides noted above.

In Maine, since about 2010 an organized

program of blowback against the programs

favored by Northern Forest Lands advocates

has been under way. A Republican governor

and legislative allies have been blocking Maine’s premier land conservation program, attempting to roll

back other conservation policies, and trying to pull the teeth from Maine’s Land Use Regulation

Commission (newly renamed the Land Use Planning Commission and asked to work with more county

These are proportions of total land area owned in

fee by states and by the states plus federal agencies.

Accurate data on county and municipal lands are

elusive. These figures refer to fee simple ownership

only. Conservation easements, especially in Maine,

augment these figures substantially.

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input). This revolt may be narrowly based on a few discontented small businesses in rural areas, but it

has had an impact. Leaders of the blowback have not, it seems, paid any political price for their actions.

Conservation and environmental groups seem slow to realize the implications.

In 2016, the entomologists are telling us that the spruce budworm is coming back – and its ultimate

spread and impacts are unpredictable (Maine Forest Service, 2016). This brings a further dark cloud to

the horizon for private forest owners.

The Northern Forest’s history of land use change, the underlying forces, and the effectiveness – or lack

thereof—of state and federal forest policies offer many important topics for study by geographers, land

use experts, foresters, and others (Wallach, 1980). The literature of the field seems sparse in attention to

this unusual region; perhaps the Boston meeting of the American Association of Geographers in 2017

will stimulate more interest.

A number of questions emerge from this quick tour of the Northern Forest policy landscape over the

past 25 years:

Is public support for conservation much lower than we’d like to think?

Have our conservation priorities really been in the right places?

Is “recreation” alone a sound justification for “conservation” in the wildlands?

What is really the future of commercial forest management in this region?

Why have we learned so little about effective policy?

Lloyd C. Irland, a forestry consultant in Maine, former forestry school instructor, and public official in Maine state

government, contributed land use analysis to the 1990 Northern Forest Lands study and is author of many papers on forest

resources as well as 2 books on the northeast’s forests. The title of this article does homage to Daydreams and Nightmares,

a 1971 book by my colleague W. R. Burch Jr, who was one of the earliest to apply sociological insights to forest resource and

natural resource problems.

Acknowledgement: This article originally appeared in the AAG Newsletter of the Association of American Geographers. It

has been slightly expanded for this Proceedings. It is available at http://news.aag.org/2016/09/daydreams-and-nightmares-

in-the-northern-forest-a-quarter-century-of-change/

REFERENCES

Burch, W. R. Jr. 1971. Daydreams and Nightmares: a sociological essay on the American

Environment.New York: Harper and Row.

Foster, David R. et al. 2010. Wildlands & Woodlands: A Vision for the New England

Landscape.Petersham: Harvard Forest. May. http://www.wildlandsandwoodlands.org/

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57

Irland, Lloyd C. The Northeast’s Changing Forest. Harvard Forest, Petersham, MA (dist. By Harvard

Univ. Press). 1999.

Irland, L. C., J. Hagan, and J. Lutz. 2011. Large timberland transactions in the Northern Forest 1980 –

2006. Yale Global Institute for Sustainable Forestry. Private Forests Working Paper No.

11. http://gisf.yale.edu/publications-presentations/gisf-research-reports

Irland, Lloyd C. 2004. Maine’s forest industry: from one era to another. In: R. E. Barringer (ed.)

Changing Maine. Gardiner, Maine: Tilbury House, pp. 362-387.

Irland, Lloyd C. 2011. “New England Forests: Two Centuries of a Changing Landscape”In, B.

Harrison and R. Judd, eds. New England: A Landscape History. Cambridge: MIT Press. Pp. 53-

70.

Maine Forest Service 2016. Spruce Budworm Internet

Hub: http://www.maine.gov/dacf/mfs/forest_health/insects/spruce_budworm_2014.htm

Northern Forest Lands Council. 1994. Finding common ground: Conserving the Northern Forest.

Recommendations of the Northern Forest Lands Council. Concord, NH.

Northeastern State Foresters Association.2005. Northern Forest Lands Council 10th Anniversary Forum.

Concord. Northeastern State Foresters

Association. www.nefainfo.org/uploads/2/7/4/5/27453461/nflcfr_final…

Porter, W. F., J. D. Erickson, and R. S. Whalley. 2009. The Great Experiment in Conservation: Voices

from the Adirondack Park. Syracuse: Syracuse University Press.

USDA Forest Service and Governors’ Task Force. 1990. Northern Forest Lands Study. USDA Forest

Service, Rutland, VT.

Shifley, S. R. and W, K. Moser, eds. 2016. Future forests of the northern United States. Gen Tech Rep

NRS-151. Newtown Square, USDA Forest Service Northern Research station, 388 pp.

Wallach, Bret. 1980. “Logging in Maine’s Empty Quarter” Annals of the Association Geographers, vol.

70 (4):542-552.

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SILICA ACCUMULATION IN DECIDUOUS TREES: COULD IT BE A

SUBSTITUTE FOR LIGNIN?

Roxane Jaffray(1)(2), Benoît Côté(1)(2)

(1) Department of Natural Resource Sciences, McGill University,21,111 Lakeshore Road, Sainte-Anne-

de-Bellevue, Quebec H9X 3V9, Canada; [email protected] ; [email protected] (2)Centre d’Étude de la Forêt, Université du Québec à Montréal, Montreal, Quebec H3C 3P8, Canada.

ABSTRACT

Silicates are ubiquitous in natural systems. The

accumulation of silicon (Si) by plants has been

studied in various agricultural crops with findings

that Si deprived plants are often structurally

weaker and more susceptible to abnormalities of

growth, development and reproduction. Limited

studies have focused on trees in temperate forests.

Si could be 10-20 times energetically cheaper

than lignin while having a similar effect on the

cell wall. This could confer a competitive

advantage for Si-accumulating plants.

In this study, we hypothesized that trees that are

high in leaf Si have lower leaf lignin and higher

tannin concentrations. The International Diversity

Experiment Network with Trees (IDENT)

plantation situated in Sainte-Anne-de-Bellevue,

Quebec, was used to examine over a four-month growing period how foliar Si concentration varies

among nine deciduous tree species and in relation to leaf chemical properties such as lignin, cellulose

and tannins. Trees were sampled from monoculture plots in each of the four blocks. Leaf Si

concentration was determined through oven-induced digestion and colorimetric analysis, while lignin

was by ADF and ADL procedures. Condensed tannins were extracted with 50% methanol, followed by a

proanthocyanidins assay with acid butanol. Si concentrations were negatively correlated with lignin

(r=0.7) and condensed tannins (r=0.5) (species average used). Takashi and colleagues (1990)

characterized three discerning groups for plant species, these were identified as Si accumulators (Si

content higher than 1.0%), Si-excluders (Si content lower than 0.5%) and Si-intermediates (Si content

in-between 1.0% and 0.5%).

Our results suggest that American beech and sugar maple are active Si accumulators, Norway maple and

red maple are Si- intermediates (also referred to as passive accumulators), and English oak, red oak,

yellow birch, paper birch and littleleaf linden are Si-excluders. Both American beech and sugar maple

had low lignin concentrations with high silica contents. The highest condensed tannins results were

expressed in American beech and yellow birch, whereas red maple had the lowest condensed tannin leaf

concentration. Unlike the other species, beech had relatively high condensed tannin paired with high Si

KEY FINDINGS

American beech and sugar

maple are Si accumulators.

Results for beech, a shade

tolerant species, support the

hypothesis that leaves with a

high Si content are lower in

lignin and higher in tannin

concentrations.

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concentrations, suggesting that the Si and phenolic pathways in leaves could be interdependent in that

species.

All Si-excluders demonstrated a low Si to

cellulose ratio. Red oak and yellow birch

species had high lignin, and low Si

concentrations thus supporting the hypothesis of

an inverse relationship. Red oak had a high

lignin concentration along with a high lignin to

cellulose ratio and low tannins concentration.

Further research is necessary to determine the

underlying mechanisms and functions of Si in

the cellulose, tannin and lignin metabolism of

hardwoods.

Top: Species Si concentration (%): Si

accumulators’ American beech and sugar

maple, above or equal to 1%, are in green. Si

passive accumulators Norway and red maple

are in yellow. Si-excluders English and, red

oak, yellow and paper birch, littleleaf linden,

below 0.5%, are in blue. The vertical bar

indicates that American beech was sampled at a

different site from the other species, not

included in the statistics. Means within species

followed by the same letter are not significantly

different (p<0.05).

Middle: Condensed tannin concentrations (mg

catechin equiv. g -1). Green = Si accumulators,

yellow= Si passive accumulators, blue= Si-

excluders. Means within species followed by the

same letter are not significantly different

(p<0.05).

Bottom: Lignin concentrations (%).Green = Si

accumulators, yellow= Si passive accumulators,

blue= Si-excluders. Means within species

followed by the same letter are not significantly

different (p<0.05).

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ASSESSING VULNERABILITY OF FOREST ECOSYSTEMS IN NEW

ENGLAND AND NORTHERN NEW YORK

Maria Janowiak(1), Tony D’Amato(2), Chris Swanston(3), Leslie Brandt(4), Patricia Butler(5),

Stephen Handler(6), Danielle Shannon(7)

(1)Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science, USDA Forest Service, 410 MacInnes Dr., Houghton

MI 49931, USA, [email protected]

(2)Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources University of Vermont 204E Aiken Center

Burlington, VT 05405, USA, [email protected]

(3)Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, 410

MacInnes Dr., Houghton MI 49931, USA, [email protected] (4)Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science, USDA Forest Service, 1992 Folwell Ave., St. Paul, MN

55108, USA, [email protected]

(5)Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science, School of Forest Resources and Environmental

Science, Michigan Technological University, 1400 Townsend Drive, Houghton, MI 49931, USA,

[email protected]

(6)Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science, USDA Forest Service, 410 MacInnes Dr., Houghton,

MI 49931, USA, [email protected] (7)Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science, School of Forest Resources and Environmental

Science, Michigan Technological University, 1400 Townsend Drive, Houghton, MI 49931, USA,

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

There is a growing interest among forest managers

for integrating information about anticipated

climate impacts and risks into management

planning and activities. Vulnerability assessments

can serve a critical role in this integration by

providing credible, high-quality information at the

scales most relevant to management. We used the

latest scientific research to develop a vulnerability

assessment for forest ecosystems in New England

and northern New York in order to inform

management planning and actions.

We used the ecosystem vulnerability assessment

approach (described by Brandt et al. 2016) to

assess the vulnerability of the region’s forests

across a range of possible future climates

(Janowiak et al. in review). New projections of

forest change from three forest impacts models—

the Climate Change Tree Atlas, Linkages, and

KEY FINDINGS

The area’s forests will

increasingly be affected by a

changing climate.

Understanding potential

impacts is a critical for

sustaining forests.

Some tree species and

forests communities are

more vulnerable.

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LANDIS PRO—were combined with a review of recent literature to understand the potential for forest

change during the next century under different climate scenarios. An “expert panel” of research

scientists and forest practitioners then worked together to consider this information, as well as their

personal experience and expertise on local ecosystems, to assess the vulnerability of eight forest

communities present across the region.

KEY FINDINGS: CLIMATE

The climate has changed. Over the past century, the region has warmed by about 2.4° F on average.

Winter temperatures have increased the most, and average winter temperatures are now 3.5 °F warmer

than in the early 1900s. Warmer temperatures have increased the growing season by more than 10 days.

Precipitation has increased across the region, with the greatest increases occurring in October and

November. Across the region, much of the additional precipitation is coming in heavy rain events.

Current distribution of forest communities include in the vulnerability assessment. Forest

communities are aggregated from vegetation macrogroups provided in the Terrestrial Habitat

Map for the Northeast US and Atlantic Canada (available via the Conservation Gateway at

https://goo.gl/8JYzQt).

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Temperatures will increase. All global climate models project that temperatures will increase in the

region. Model projections suggest an increase in temperature over the next century by 2 to 8 °F in all

seasons. Growing seasons will continue to lengthen due to warmer temperatures. Evidence suggests

that winter temperatures will increase in the area, even under low emissions, leading to changes in snow

patterns and freeze-thaw cycles.

Precipitation will change. Precipitation is projected to increase in winter. There are greater differences

in model projections for the growing season, but evidence seems to indicate there may be a decrease in

summer precipitation in at least some parts of the region. Even if the total amount of annual

precipitation increases, some evidence suggests it may fall during heavier rain events interspersed

among relatively drier periods.

KEY FINDINGS: FORESTS

Soil moisture patterns will change, and vegetation may experience moisture stress. Seasonal

changes in precipitation are expected across the assessment area, and the trend toward more frequent

heavy rainfall events is expected to continue. Warmer winters may lead to earlier snowmelt in the

spring, and longer growing seasons combined with warmer temperatures may lead to more frequent

moisture stress during the growing season.

Northern species will face increasing stress from climate change. Each species will have a unique

response to climate change. Several northern and boreal species, such as black spruce, red spruce,

tamarack, and paper birch, are expected to have reduced habitat and productivity by the end of the 21st

century. The degree to which tree species decline will vary greatly by location and site conditions, with

greater risk at southern locations and low elevations.

Southern species will be favored by climate change. Many tree species currently at the central or

northern extent of their range are projected to have increases in habitat and productivity through the

next century. Some species present south of the assessment area are projected to increase, but

fragmentation may limit natural migration of these species.

Species and forests that can tolerate disturbance are at lower risk. Climate change is expected to

increase some types of disturbance over the next century, including extreme rain events, floods, and

pest outbreaks. Tree species and forest types that are better able tolerate these disturbances may be

favored. At the same time, it still may be possible for disturbance-adapted systems to undergo too much

disruption.

Healthy and diverse forests generally have greater resilience to change. Studies have consistently

shown that more-diverse ecosystems are more resilient to changing conditions, while those with lower

diversity have fewer options to respond to change. There are many aspects to forest diversity—

including species, structural, and genetic diversity—and each of these can generally help reduce risk

and increase the ability of forests to adapt to climate change.

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VULNERABILITY OF FOREST COMMUNITIES

Climate change will not affect all forest species, communities, and parts of the landscape in the same

way. Montane spruce-fir, low-elevation spruce-fir, and lowland mixed conifer forests were determined

to be the most vulnerable because a number of important northern and boreal species are expected to

decline. Central hardwoods, transition hardwoods, and pitch-pine scrub oak forests were perceived as

having lower vulnerability to projected changes in climate because these forests contain species are

generally expected to be favored under climate change. These vulnerability determinations generally

apply across the landscape, but they will be influenced by local conditions, forest management, and land

use. Projected changes in climate and their associated impacts and vulnerabilities will have important

implications for ecologically and economically valuable forest types, forest-dependent wildlife and

plants, recreation, and long-term natural resource planning.

LITERATURE CITED

Brandt, L.A., P.R. Butler, S.D. Handler, M.K. Janowiak, P.D. Shannon, C.W. Swanston. 2016.

Integrating science and management to assess forest ecosystem vulnerability to climate change.

http://dx.doi.org/10.5849/jof.15-147

Janowiak, M.K., A.W. D’Amato, C.W. Swanston, L.R. Iverson, F. Thompson III, W. Dijak, S.

Matthews, M. Peters, A. Prasad, J.S. Fraser, L.A. Brandt, P.R. Butler, S.D. Handler, P.D. Shannon, D.

Burbank, J. Campbell, C. Cogbill, M.J. Duveneck, M. Emery, N. Fisichelli, J. Foster, J. Hushaw, L.

Kenefic, A. Mahaffey, T.L. Morelli, N. Reo, P. Schaberg, K.R. Simmons, A. Weiskittel, S. Wilmot, D.

Hollinger, E. Lane, L. Rustad, P. Templer. in review. New England and New York Forest Ecosystem

Vulnerability Assessment and Synthesis: a report from the New England Climate Change Response

Framework. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research

Station.

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IMPACTS OF BEST MANAGEMENT PRACTICES ON LOGGING

COSTS AND PRODUCTIVITY

Matthew C. Kelly(1), Rene' H. Germain and Steven Bick

(1) Corresponding author: Michigan Technological University, School of Forest Resources and

Environmental Science, 178 Noblet Horner Hall, Houghton, Michigan, USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Best management practices (BMPs) effectively mitigate erosion and sedimentation during and

immediately following harvest operations. The responsibility of implementing BMPs typically falls on

loggers, with implications for higher harvesting costs and, possibly, reduced logging productivity. Two

methods were used to assess impacts of BMPs on logging operations in the Northeast U.S. First, a case

study was conducted using shift-level production and activity data and machine rate calculations to

assess impacts of BMP implementation for eight harvest operations, ranging from single-operator hand-

felling systems to fully mechanized whole-tree and cut-to-length systems. Second, a survey was

conducted in which loggers were asked to estimate the number days required to complete a hypothetical

timber harvest with and without a set of prescribed BMPs and to indicate their minimum acceptable

contract rates for each. The combined results revealed a range of costs from $0/ac to $62/ac and

decreases in productivity between 0% and 20%.

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MANAGING MULTI-AGED MIXEDWOOD STANDS:

PERSPECTIVES FROM THE PENOBSCOT EXPERIMENTAL

FOREST IN MAINE, USA

Laura S. Kenefic(1) and Robert S. Seymour(2)

(1)U.S. Forest Service, Northern Research Station, Bradley, ME, USA [email protected]

(2)University of Maine, School of Forest Resources, Orono, ME, USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

For more than 60 years, researchers at the Penobscot Experimental Forest in Maine, USA have been

studying multi-aged silviculture in mixedwood (softwood and hardwood) stands. Forest composition is

dominated by Tsuga canadensis, Abies balsamea, and Picea rubens in mixture with other softwoods

(Pinus strobus and Thuja occidentalis) and hardwoods (Acer, Betula, Quercus, and Populus species).

Management is complicated by intermingling of species with different silvical properties and different

vulnerabilities to forcing agents. Findings reveal expected shifts in composition: proportions of shade-

tolerant species increased in treatments with light removals and small (i.e. single-tree) canopy openings,

while proportions of intermediate and shade-intolerant species increased in treatments with larger

canopy openings (i.e., gaps). In addition, we observed differences in treatment outcomes related to

selective herbivory (e.g., browsing of T. occidentalis and P. rubens) and species-specific regeneration

substrate requirements and growth potentials that affect relative abundance and recruitment rates.

Managing submerchantable classes to direct stand composition and development has emerged as an

important part of multi-aged management in this forest type. Overall we found that advantages of

mixedwoods are not fully realized in lowland Picea-Abies stands if heavy partial cutting increases

hardwoods at the expense of desired softwoods. Recommendations based on observations of classical

(selection) and ecological (Acadian Femelschlag) uneven-aged silvicultural systems include managing

regeneration with a shelterwood sequence, gaps and reserve trees, or early stand tending.

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TIMBER HARVESTING THROUGH SPACE AND TIME:

UNDERSTANDING AND MANAGING FORESTS ACROSS THE

RURAL-SUBURBAN INTERFACE

David B. Kittredge(1) (2) (4), Jonathan R. Thompson(1), Luca Morreale(1),

Anne G. Short Gianotti(3), Lucy Hutyra(3)

(1) Harvard Forest. 324 North Main Street, Petersham, MA USA 01366 (2) Department of Environmental Conservation. University of Massachusetts. Amherst, MA USA

(3) Department of Earth and Environment. Boston University. Boston, MA USA

[email protected] , [email protected] , [email protected] , [email protected] ,

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Many small private forest owners perceive non-consumptive or appreciative benefits from their woods

to be incompatible with harvesting, and hence decide to not manage. In addition to these owner

attitudes, other related landscape context factors may influence the likelihood of harvest, including

general population density, road density, size of properties (and hence available volume of timber),

population or development pressure (e.g., real estate values, new building permits), and extent to which

the landscape is forested. These factors and others can also differentially influence the likelihood of

harvest on public lands in this larger forested matrix and across this rural - suburban interface. In

addition, the situation is likely a dynamic one, and properties that yielded timber in the past may no

longer do so today. This study examines the diversity of social and biophysical factors that combine to

influence the probability of harvest under dynamic rural-to-suburban conditions in Massachusetts.

Timber harvest regulatory data over 30 years on private and public ownerships throughout 328 towns in

the state of Massachusetts provide an indication of the likelihood of harvest over time. The results of

where harvest occurs and does not occur in the suburban-rural interface influence the availability of

timber to support local economies, and the ecological structure and composition of remaining forest

(e.g., carbon sequestration) in the future.

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SILVICULTURAL EFFECTS ON COMPOSITION AND STRUCTURE

OF NORTHERN CONIFERS IN THE ACADIAN FOREST REGION:

THE COMPARTMENT MANAGEMENT STUDY IN MAINE, USA

Rachel A. Knapp(1), Laura S. Kenefic(2), Aaron Weiskittel(3)

(1)University of Maine, School of Forest Resources, Nutting Hall, Orono, ME, USA 04469,

[email protected]

(2)U.S. Forest Service, Penobscot Experimental Forest, 686 Government Road, Bradley, ME USA 04411,

[email protected]

(3)University of Maine, School of Forest Resources, Nutting Hall, Orono, ME, USA 04469,

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

The Penobscot Experimental Forest (PEF),

located in Bradley, Maine, is one of 80

experimental forests and ranges maintained by the

U.S. Forest Service nationwide. This experimental

forest was established in 1950 and has been the

home to dozens of studies over the years. The

forest is within the Acadian Forest and is

dominated by red spruce, balsam fir and eastern

hemlock along with red maple and paper birch.

The Compartment Management Study (CMS, a

spruce-fir silviculture study) was established in

1952. Eight treatment types plus a control are

managed, in replicate, across approximately 400

acres. The treatments include uneven-aged

silviculture (5, 10, and 20 year selection cycles),

even-aged silviculture (2 and 3 stage

shelterwood), and exploitive cutting practices

(fixed diameter limit, modified diameter limit and

commercial clearcut).

In partnership with the Forest Service’s Research

Data Archive, data and metadata from the CMS has been published online. These data tables include

diameter at breast height and/or diameter class for sapling and overstory trees; spatial distribution, total

height, base to live crown height and crown radii for select overstory trees; and regeneration inventories.

KEY FINDINGS

Primary study objective is to

quantify response to

silvicultural treatment.

The study has been ongoing

since 1952.

Data is available online:

http://www.fs.usda.gov/rds/a

rchive/Product/RDS-2012-

0008-2

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Published data were reviewed and a snapshot of results showing spruce budworm mortality were

considered.

This graph shows change in basal area over time from the first inventory to the last for the

two 10 year selection cycle compartments, Compartment 12 and 20. The top two lines

represent live trees only. The bottom two lines represent trees that dies during a spruce

budworm outbreak. The stands were harvested every 10 years. The growth and harvest

pattern was changed due to the budworm outbreak.

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69

INVESTIGATING THE SURPRISING, RECENT GROWTH

INCREASE OF RED SPRUCE TREES ACROSS THE REGION

Alexandra M. Kosiba(1), Paul G. Schaberg(2), Shelly Rayback(3) Gary Hawley(1)

(1)The University of Vermont, Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources, Burlington, VT

05405, USA, [email protected] , [email protected] (2)Forest Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Northern Research Station, Burlington, VT 05405,

USA, [email protected] (3)The University of Vermont, Department of Geography, Burlington, VT 05405, USA,

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Recent investigations have uncovered an

unanticipated trend: red spruce (Picea rubens

Sarg.) trees in the northeastern US are

undergoing a marked surge in growth. This

discovery stands in contrast to the declines in

growth and vigor for red spruce that were

documented in the second half of the 20th

century and attributed to acid deposition-

induced calcium depletion. Further, predictions

of potential range shifts due to climate change

depict red spruce habitat constricting from low

elevations and latitudes. Considering these

conflicting findings, we asked: what factors are

most likely stimulating growth increases for red

spruce? Here we use a uniquely large and both

spatially- and temporally-explicit tree ring

dataset to assess changes in red spruce growth

over time. We compare patterns in growth to

local weather data, atmospheric deposition

rates, and other environmental and forest-stand

metrics, including soil nutrient status and

buffering capacity. These results allow us to

model areas in the region where we predict

similar growth increases for red spruce.

Through this study, we suggest that this

temperate conifer may be uniquely poised to benefit from a lengthened functional growing season,

increased annual temperatures, particularly in winter, and decreased atmospheric pollution levels that

proved problematic in the past.

KEY FINDINGS

Red spruce trees have shown

unprecedented growth rates in

recent years.

This trend is not dependent on

elevation.

Reduced pollution and climate

warming may play a part in this

change.

We found positive

relationships with winter,

annual temperature and rain

pH.

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Detrended and standardized ring width index values for red spruce trees at >55 plots (n trees: 688)

and displayed by elevation category (low <650 m, high >950 m). Recent growth increases are

evident for all elevations.

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71

ENVIRONMENTAL VARIABLES ASSOCIATED WITH INVASIVE

GLOSSY BUCKTHORN (FRANGULA ALNUS MILL.) AND

INDIRECT CONTROL STRATEGIES FOR FOREST MANAGERS

Joshua Kozikowski and Ted Howard

University of New Hampshire, College of Life Sciences and Agriculture, Rudman Hall, 46 College Road,

Durham, New Hampshire 03824 USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Glossy buckthorn (Frangula alnus Mill.) is one of the most prominent nonnative invasive woody plant

species affecting New England forests. We investigated the environmental variables associated with

glossy buckthorn density and its effect on native tree regeneration in forested ecosystems by sampling in

three locations across New Hampshire, USA. The objective was to gain an understanding of where

glossy buckthorn grows to better manage the species indirectly through silviculture and management.

Glossy buckthorn was found at its highest densities in disturbed white pine (Pinus strobus L.) forests

that were historically old fields, with a thin organic layer and low herbaceous cover, on drained loam

and clay soils. Scatter plots and generalized linear models showed that organic layer thickness,

dominant overstory species, percent herbaceous cover, drainage class, soil type, historical land use, and

evidence of harvest were the most influential variables in predicting density of buckthorn. Relationships

between buckthorn and environmental variables were much stronger in softwood stands than hardwood

stands. Softwood stands were primarily white pine and some eastern hemlock (Tsuga canadensis). We

found evidence of direct competition between glossy buckthorn and native regeneration although there

was no effect on the average shade tolerance of native species regenerating with glossy buckthorn

present. With this information we designed a proto-type prescription risk tree for forest managers faced

with risk and uncertainty when planning a harvest in the presence of glossy buckthorn.

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CAPACITY FOR RECOVERY, INFLEUNCE OF COMMERICAL

THINNING & RESISTANCE TO DEFOLIATION IN SPRUCE-FIR

FORESTS

CJ Langley (1), Mike Day (1), Brian Roth (2)

(1) University of Maine, Orono ME, USA, [email protected]; [email protected] (2) Cooperative Forestry Research Unit, Orono ME, USA, [email protected]

ABSTRACT

To manage the stress caused by large scale,

repeat defoliation caused by the eastern spruce

budworm (Choristoneura fumiferana), trees

must balance nonstructural carbohydrate (NSC)

reserves between tolerance and defensive

strategies. A tree’s ability to tolerate and recover

following an outbreak is linked to the pool of

NSC available to stimulate growth of latent

buds, while secondary defensive compounds,

such as soluble phenolics, measured as tannic

acid equivalence (TAE), provide resistance

against defoliation. Although commercial

thinning treatments have the potential to

increase NSC pools, and defoliation has the

potential to induce the production of secondary

defensive compounds, studies conducted during

past outbreaks have reported conflicting results.

This study evaluates the eco-physiological

responses of red spruce (Picea rubens) and

balsam fir (Abies balsamea) to stand-level

thinning and artificial defoliation treatments across three experimental locations throughout the state of

Maine. In contrast to carbohydrate allocation theory, the results of this study suggest that stand level

thinning treatments lower the NSC concentrations available to both species which could leave trees

within thinned stands vulnerable during an outbreak. The production of secondary defensive compounds

was not induced in response to the artificial defoliation treatments. Contrary to expectations, balsam fir

was found to maintain higher concentrations of both NSC and TAE than red spruce, which should mean

that balsam fir is better adapted to tolerate and resist defoliation caused by the spruce budworm.

However, this is not the trend that has been reported historically when defoliation and mortality of the

species are compared.

KEY FINDINGS

Storage allocation patterns are

consistent with species life

history strategy.

Balsam fir maintains higher

concentrations of NSC & TAE.

Thinning lowers NSC.

Defoliation treatment did not

trigger the production of 2°

defensive compounds.

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Thinned stands represent a considerable investment on the part of forest managers and should be a top

priority for insecticide applications to protect foliage and/or (pre)salvage harvest operations. However,

this study was unable to decipher the impact thinning intensity or timing of treatments have on

concentrations of NSC and vulnerability. To best predict risk and determine the proper course of action,

forest managers must work with researchers and outreach specialists across the ECANUSA region to

monitor populations early using pheromone traps, L2 density surveys, and satellite imagery to monitor

moth migrations.

Effect of thinning on NSC concentrations in large branch storage pools. Thinning treatments

lower the concentration of NSC available within large branch storage pools for both red

spruce and balsam fir. Species data has been pooled, p < 0.01, bars represent standard

errors, N= 118.

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74

ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF EARLY INTERVENTION TO SUPPRESS

A SPRUCE BUDWORM OUTBREAK IN NORTHERN NEW

BRUNSWICK

Eric Ye Liu (1), Van A. Lantz(1), David A. MacLean(1)

(1)Forestry and Environmental Management,

University of New Brunswick, Fredericton, NB, Canada

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Spruce budworm (Choristoneura fumiferana Clem.) (SBW) causes large scale spruce-fir mortality and

major regional economic losses. Under uncontrolled moderate and severe SBW outbreaks, total output

in the New Brunswick (NB) economy over the 2012-2041 period would decline in present-value terms

by CDN $3.3 billion and $4.7 billion, respectively (Chang et al. 2012). Past management against SBW

outbreaks has been reactive, using large-scale pesticide aerial spraying programs to keep trees alive

rather than alter SBW population dynamics. Recently, the concept of an early intervention strategy to

reduce the upcoming SBW outbreak has been proposed and is being tested in NB. An early intervention

strategy would involve intensive monitoring and early detection of low but rising SBW populations,

small area target-specific pesticide application, and tools and techniques to disrupt SBW moth mating

and migration. By spraying biological insecticide on SBW 'hotspots', an early intervention strategy

would control low but rising SBW populations to prevent hotspots from developing into epicenters that

trigger a regional outbreak. We are studying the costs and benefits of an early intervention strategy,

relative to reactive SBW management. Alternative SBW hotpot temporal and spatial dynamics, resulting

spruce-fir defoliation levels, and an early intervention treatment plan are being simulated for all 2.8

million hectares of Crown forest in NB. We will use the Spruce Budworm Decision Support System

(SBW DSS) and a dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to estimate the economic

impacts, costs, and benefits of conducting an early intervention strategy on regional economies.

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SPRUCE BUDWORM IS BACK. CAN WE INTERVENE EARLY TO

REDUCE OUTBREAKS?

David A. MacLean(1)

(1)Forestry and Environmental Management,

University of New Brunswick, Fredericton, NB, E3B 5A3 Canada

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Evidence is mounting that eastern North America is on the cusp of another major spruce budworm

(Choristoneura fumiferana Clem.) outbreak, with defoliation in Québec increasing from 6.3 million ha

in 2015. Spruce budworm is the most damaging insect in North America, and detailed economic

analyses have indicated that potential losses of a moderate to severe outbreak in the eastern Canada/US

would be $41-59 billion. We are testing an early intervention strategy to suppress spruce budworm

population growth and prevent damage in a 4-year, $18 million research program that began in New

Brunswick in 2014. The project includes over 30 researchers and collaborators from Natural Resources

Canada, five universities, New Brunswick Department of Natural Resources, and forestry companies.

An early intervention strategy would involve intensive monitoring and early detection, small area target-

specific pesticide application, and tools and techniques to disrupt mating and migration. Trials in 2014,

2015, and 2016 in northern NB and Quebec demonstrated successful Mimic, Btk, and pheromone trials

population reduction in identified 'hot spots'. We are also conducting intensive budworm population

ecology and natural enemies research, testing inoculation of planted seedlings with endophytic fungi that

have insect suppressing qualities, use of satellite and airborne hyperspectral sensing of low-level

defoliation, radar detection of moth flights, and a decision support system for optimizing forest

protection operations. The research includes an active public communications program. Treatments to date

have been successful in reducing spruce budworm populations over 80,000 hectares, and continued intensive

monitoring is being used to plan programs for 2017. Although the research is continuing, three years of

results indicate that an early intervention strategy against spruce budworm may be feasible.

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ANALYSIS OF THE FACTORS CONTROLLING FOREST

PRODUCTIVITY IN NORTHEASTERN U.S FOR IMPROVED

APPLICATION OF REMOTE SENSING

Conor Madison, Scott V. Ollinger

University of New Hampshire College of Life Sciences and Agriculture, Rudman Hall, 46 College Road,

Durham, New Hampshire 03824 USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Biomass production in forests is a key process in the global carbon cycle. Spatially, patterns of forest

growth vary as a function of climate, soils and species composition (e.g. Smith et al. 2002), however our

understanding is far from complete and can be complicated by trends that are poorly understood. Given

these uncertainties, studies designed to simultaneously examine factors controlling spatial patterns in

productivity will help lead to a greater understanding of the carbon cycle across broad terrestrial

ecosystems. An investigation of the main factors controlling productivity in different forests types will

also provide data for extrapolation using remote sensing and ecosystem models. The proposed research

is designed to address these knowledge gaps by measuring wood growth, photosynthetic rates, and foliar

chemistry (C13 and N15) of two well-studied northeastern U.S. research sites. Results will be used to

improve spatial estimates of forest growth using high spectral resolution remote sensing and a widely

used ecosystem model.

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TESTING EXPERIMENTAL SILVICULTURAL TREATMENTS TO

MITIGATE FOLIAR PATHOGENS AFFECTING EASTERN WHITE

PINE IN THE NORTHEASTERN US AND CANADA

Cameron McIntire(1), Heidi Asbjornsen(1), Isabel Munck(2)

(1)University of New Hampshire Dept. of Natural Resources and the Environment, 114 James Hall 56

College Road, Durham, NH 03824, USA), [email protected]

(2)US Forest Service: State and Private Forestry ,USDA Forest Service - Northern Research Station, 271

Mast Road, Durham, NH 03824, USA, [email protected]

ABSTRACT

White Pine Needle Damage (WPND) is a

complex of foliar pathogens that have

established and become a chronic disease

impacting forests in the northeastern US and

Canada. Chronic annual summer defoliations

caused by WPND have garnered widespread

concern from regional foresters and

landowners. With the long term ecological

and economic impacts in mind, it is critical to

develop management recommendations for

moderating the effects of WPND on our white

pine dominated forests. A primary step in

recommending any sort of silvicultural

treatment to the public at large is to first test

and verify an appropriate prescription. The

work presented here will evaluate the

effectiveness of mechanical tree removal

(thinning) as a means to both enhance P.

strobus growth and mitigate disease severity

of WPND. During the summer of 2015 two replicated experimental blocks were established in

Hillsborough and West Ossipee, NH. In the subsequent winter of 2015-16 one-acre treatment plots

consisting of low density thinning (60 BA/ac), high density thinning (100 BA/ac) plots were cut. Growth

and forest health metrics of diameter at breast height, live crown ratio, crown diameter, crown light

exposure, crown transparency, crown die-back, and WPND severity will be monitored in the experimental

plots over the ensuing years. Inventory data from the pre-treatment year indicated a strong correlation

between WPND severity and decreased live crown ratios, crown diameter, as well as increased levels of

crown die-back and transparency. The results of this study will be used to inform regional forest

management in the context of WPND outbreaks.

KEY FINDINGS

Trees impacted by WPND

exhibit thin crowns and reduced

wood growth.

z-scores can be used to quantify

tree health .

Thinning treatments appear to

reduce pressure of WPND in the

first year.

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78

Principle component analysis of the pre-treatment data shown in two dimensions. Most of the variation

is explained by component axis-1, and the discrete clustering of health classes is primarily occurring

along that axis; where healthier crowns are associated with enhanced DBH, LCR, crown diameter, and

light exposure. Conversely, high-severity individuals are associated with poor transparency, dieback,

and crown health. The calculated mean z-score using the 7 tree metrics shows the vector aligning with

the majority of the variation and crown health clustering of the dataset.

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ASSESSING THE EFFICACY OF TWO SPECIES OF SILVER FLY,

LEUCOPIS ARGENTICOLLIS AND LEUCOPIS PINIPERDA, AS

BIOLOGICAL CONTROL AGENTS OF HEMLOCK WOOLLY

ADELGID, ADELGES TSUGAE, IN THE EASTERN US

Kyle Motley, Nathan Havill, Darrell Ross, Albert Mayfield and Kimberly Wallin

University of Vermont, 85 Carrigan Dr. Burlington, VT 05489 USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

The hemlock woolly adelgid (Adelges tsugae, Annand; HWA) is a non-native, invasive insect

threatening the survival and sustainability of eastern and Carolina hemlocks (Tsuga canadensis and T.

caroliniana). HWA is established in over half of the total range of eastern hemlock and the entire range

of Carolina hemlock. Its continued spread and associated hemlock mortality make research into

biological control of HWA crucial. There are no known parasites of adelgids, therefore biological

control research has been focused on predators. Field surveys of predators associated with HWA in the

Pacific Northwest identified a strong correlation between HWA abundance with Laricobius nigrinus and

two species of silver fly, Leucopis argenticollis and Leucopis piniperda. Flies in the genus Leucopis are

known specialist predators of adelgids and recent studies have shown a strong synchronization between

the lifecycles of Leucopis spp. and HWA. Leucopis spp. are the most successful examples of past

biological control for other adelgid species worldwide. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the

establishment, life cycle and impact of Leucopis spp. on HWA in laboratory and field experiments in the

eastern United States to better quantify its potential as a biological control agent.

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NORTHERN MIXEDWOOD SITE PRODUCTIVITY 50 YEARS

AFTER WHOLE-TREE AND STEM-ONLY HARVESTING, WITH

AND WITHOUT PRESCRIBED BURNING (1) Bethany Muñoz, (1) Laura S. Kenefic, (2)Aaron Weiskittel and (3)Ivan Fernandez

(1)U.S. Forest Service, Northern Research Station,

(2) University of Maine, School of Forest Resources,

[email protected] , [email protected] , [email protected]

ABSTRACT

This study reports the long-term (50-year) outcomes of biomass harvesting and slash disposal (site

preparation) treatments in northern conifer (mixedwood: softwood-hardwood) stands. Forest biomass

production and utilization have potential to both increase forest carbon stocks and reduce carbon dioxide

emissions from combustion of fossil fuels. Whole-tree harvesting (WTH) is commonly used to extract

forest biomass for energy and commercial wood products. However, removal of tree tops and branches

in WTH has led to concerns about long-term sustainability of production, particularly in conifer forests

on low fertility sites. In addition, effects of post-harvest prescribed burning on productivity of

intensively managed (clearcut) stands are poorly understood in northern mixedwood stands. To address

these research questions, we are using a U.S. Forest Service experiment, established in 1964 on the

Penobscot Experimental Forest in Maine, to evaluate the long-term effects of WTH, stem-only

harvesting (SOH) with and without prescribed burning (SOHB), and site quality on stand structure,

composition, and carbon stock 50 years after treatment. We found that neither treatment nor site

conditions had an effect on total live-tree density, mean dominant height, percent hardwood

composition, or coarse woody material carbon stock. However, basal area, total aboveground live-tree

carbon stock, and total aboveground carbon stock were found to be lowest on SOH treated areas with

high O horizon thickness. This suggests that neither WTH nor SOHB reduced northern mixedwood site

productivity 50 years after harvest, as reflected by stand structure or composition. Analysis of soil and

foliar nutrition (ongoing) will further inform productivity outcomes.

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RAPID LANDSCAPE MONITORING USING DRONES

Jarlath O'Neil-Dunne

University of Vermont, Spatial Analysis Lab, 85 Carrigan Dr. Burlington, VT 05489 USA

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Drones provide an unmatched capability to capture high-temporal, high-spatial resolution imagery of

our changing landscape. This presentation will dive into drone technology and show how it is being used

to map forested ecosystems.

UVM's Spatial Analysis Laboratory deployed a drone to assist first responders in

assessing the Amtrak derailment in Northfield on Oct. 5, 2015.

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CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION IN ACTION: LESSONS FROM

NORTHERN FOREST ADAPTATION DEMONSTRATION PROJECTS

Todd A Ontl(1), Leslie Brandt(2), Patria Butler(3), Stephen Handler(4),

Maria Janowiak(5), Chris Swanston(6) (1) USDA Northern Forests Climate Hub & Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science, USDA Forest

Service, 410 MacInnes Dr., Houghton, MI 49931, USA, [email protected] (2)

Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science, USDA Forest Service, 1992 Folwell Ave., St. Paul, MN

1491 55108, USA, [email protected] (3) Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science, School of Forest Resources and Environmental

Science, Michigan Technological University, 1400 Townsend Drive, Houghton, MI 49931, USA,

[email protected] (4) Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science, USDA Forest Service, 410 MacInnes Dr., Houghton,

MI 49931, USA, [email protected] (5)

Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science, USDA Forest Service, 410 MacInnes Dr., Houghton,

MI 49931, USA, [email protected]

(6) USDA Northern Forests Climate Hub & Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science, USDA Forest

Service, 410 MacInnes Dr., Houghton MI 49931, USA, [email protected]

ABSTRACT

The Northern Institute of Applied

Climate Science has built a successful

approach that helps land managers

pursue climate change adaptation

(www.forestadaptation.org). A flexible

but rigorous Adaptation Workbook

helps translate general climate change

expectations to specific risks and

opportunities at the scale of

management decisions. The

Adaptation Workbook is used in

conjunction with applicable

information on climate change

impacts, including NIACS ecosystem

vulnerability assessments co-created

with diverse groups of managers and

researchers. A "menu" of adaptation

strategies and approaches helps users

generate concrete adaptation actions.

More than 185 real-world case studies

across the Midwest and Northeast US

illustrate how land managers have

used the Adaptation Workbook. These

KEY FINDINGS

Concern of climate impacts and

adaptation actions differed

between ownership types and

regional locations.

Impacts from forest pests and

diseases and soil moisture stress

were of greatest concern.

Managers are employing a

diversity of adaptation approaches,

utilizing actions to resist impacts,

enhance forest resilience, and

transition towards systems better

adapted to future conditions.

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examples cover a wide range of scales, ecosystem types, and ownerships, and show how land managers

can prepare for climate change while still meeting land management and conservation goals.

This summary provides an overview of the resources that have been developed through the Framework,

including the Adaptation Workbook, and describe adaptation efforts that are underway. Drawing upon

lessons learned from the existing network of demonstration projects, we discuss opportunities common

across many projects and highlight regional characteristics of adaptation projects that are well-poised to

increase the ability to adapt to future conditions

APPROACH:

Planning documents developed using the Adaptation Workbook framework were reviewed from 44 on-

the-ground natural resource management projects within the Laurentian Mixed Forest (LMF) and

Central Interior Broadleaf Forest (CIBF) ecoregional provinces. Quantitative content analysis was used

to identify 1) climate change impacts of concern, and 2) the suite of adaptation actions selected to reduce

Over 185 forest adaptation demonstration projects have been developed with partners across

numerous land ownership types throughout the Midwest and northeastern U.S.

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vulnerability to those impacts. Multivariate analyses (non-metric multidimensional scaling,

PERMANOVA) tested the influence of ownership type and ecoregion on climate impacts and adaptation

actions. Comparisons were made between federally-managed lands in the LMF and CIBF to provide

insights into regional differences in adaptation among these regions. Additionally, projects on federal-

and privately-owned lands within the LMF ecoregion were compared to look for the differences among

ownership types. Lastly, preliminary review of adaptation projects located within ecoregions of

northeastern U.S. (e.g., Northeastern Mixed Forest and Eastern Broadleaf Forest provinces) was

conducted to provide examples of climate impacts and adaptation responses for the northeastern U.S.

forests.

KEY FINDINGS:

Multivariate analyses of the 44 projects representing seven ownership types among the two

ecoregional provinces showed both ownership type and region influenced adaptation plans.

The climate impact of greatest concern was insect pests and fungal pathogens, followed closely by

soil moisture stress. Other impacts of high concern included altered precipitation (e.g., changing

seasonality of precipitation, and extreme precipitation), increased temperatures (e.g., seasonal

increases in temperature, longer growing seasons), and reduced snowpack/ frozen ground

impacting winter harvests.

Regional differences in impact concerns was greatest for altered precipitation, which was higher

in the CIBF region (37%) compared to the LMF (16%).

Within the LMF, ownership differences were apparent for concerns over soil moisture stress,

which was lower for private ownership (4%) compared to federal ownership (17%).

Analysis of adaptation actions showed managers are applying a diversity of approaches to reduce

impact vulnerabilities. Actions included increasing resistance, enhancing resilience, and

transitioning forests.

Actions intended to transition forests were highest within the CIBF ecoregion (45%) compared to

LMF (28%). Transition actions in CIBF focused largely on restoring species composition and

structure by selecting once dominant drought-tolerant species and opening up canopies. Transition

actions in LMF focused on encouraging heat- and drought-tolerant tree species typically found to

the south.

CASE STUDIES:

Shorter winter seasons with reduced snowfall are impacting the ability to conduct winter harvests.

The Atlas Timberlands project conducted by the Vermont Land Trust/ The Nature Conservancy is

addressing this by changing the site’s road and drainage infrastructure to allow summer harvest

activities.

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Increased extreme rainfall events, warmer temperatures, and insect pests are impacting the

integrity of fish habitat within streams in New England. Trout Unlimited is addressing these

impacts in the North River watershed on the Massachusetts/ Vermont border through replacing

undersized culverts and installing in-stream wood additions to improve habitat, while

implementing forest management practices that reduce the effects of the hemlock woolly adelgid

on riparian vegetation.

Higher summer temperatures combined with more variable precipitation results in increased

occurrence of soil moisture stress, leading to greater tree stress. Providence Water is addressing

these impacts at the Scituate Reservoir by selecting for drought-tolerant species during harvests,

while also planting species expected to be batter adapted to higher temperatures and more frequent

periods of prolonged moisture stress.

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ASSESSING SPATIAL PATTERNS OF THE EFFECTS OF NITROGEN

DEPOSITION ON FORESTS USING A GIS MANAGEMENT TOOL

FOR CRITICAL LOADS AND EXCEEDANCE

Linda H. Pardo(1), Molly Robin-Abbott, Claire B. O'Dea, Jennifer Pontius, Jason A. Coombs

(1)Corresponding author: USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station, 85 Carrigan Dr.

Burlington, VT USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Maintaining commercially important tree species, as well as species valued for ecological, social, and

cultural reasons, is becoming increasingly challenging in the northeastern U.S. due to the significant

threats impacting ecosystem health and sustainability over the long term, in particular climate change

and nitrogen (N) deposition. We developed a GIS-based tool, Nitrogen Critical Loads Assessment by

Site (N-CLAS), to evaluate the impact of multiple stressors (N deposition and climate change)

simultaneously for species of management concern on public and private forest lands. In addition to

calculating species-specific critical loads, N-CLAS is designed to take into account the impact of site

abiotic factors on the response of trees to N deposition. The abiotic modifying factors include,

precipitation, temperature (e.g., January T, July T, May-September T), and soil characteristics.

Application of N-CLAS across the northeastern U.S. allows us to evaluate which areas and tree species

are most susceptible to impacts from N deposition. We can determine the critical load and exceedance

for individual tree species or all the species present. We have incorporated climate change scenarios in

order to explore the interaction between climate change and nitrogen deposition. Thus, we are also able

to determine the fraction of the region that is susceptible to detrimental impacts of N deposition under

projected climate scenarios. Use of this tool provides resource managers with a simple way to

incorporate the current state-of-the-science knowledge into their planning and management decisions.

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THE COMPLEX RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CLIMATE AND

SUGAR MAPLE HEALTH: CLIMATE CHANGE IMPLICATIONS

FOR A KEY NORTHERN HARDWOOD SPECIES

Jennifer Pontius(1,2), Evan Oswald(3), Lesley-Ann Dupigney-Giroux(3), Sandy Wilmot(4) ,

Shelly Rayback(3), Paul Schaberg(2)

(1)UVM Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources,

85 Carrigan Dr. Burlington, VT 05405 USA

[email protected] (2)USFS Northern Research Station, (3)UVM Department of Geography, (4)VT Forests Parks and Recreation

ABSTRACT

Sugar maple’s important ecological and

economic role in northeastern forests

has made it one of the best studied

species in eastern North America, but

many questions remain about the

potential drivers of recent sugar maple

decline. In order to better understand

which climate characteristics influence

sugar maple vigor, we compared annual

sugar maple crown condition metrics

from 25 years of long-term monitoring

at 30 North American Maple Project

plots (including assessment of canopy

dieback, transparency and the percent

of trees with high dieback and

transparency normalized to one Forest

Stress Index (FSI)) to a suite of

ecologically relevant climate metrics

calculated using downscaled climate

data. These relationships were then

used to examine spatial and temporal

variability in historical climate-induced

decline, and use high resolution climate

projections to better understand

potential impacts of ongoing climate

change on sugar maple health.

KEY FINDINGS

Changes in climatic conditions have

been detrimental to sugar maple health

over the past 25 years.

Under a low emissions scenario, sugar

maple will be in moderate to severe

decline 35% of the time by 2050. This

increases to 50% under a high

emissions scenario.

Models indicate that climate conditions

for sugar maple will deteriorate across

the state, but that climate refugia will

also exist.

Management efforts should be targeted

where sugar maple is most likely to

tolerate changing climate and secondary

stress agents can be minimized.

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Yearly FSI values were modeled against climate and disturbance metrics in an iterative partition

regression model to isolate the impact of climate variables on sugar maple condition. Five climate

metrics were identified that were significantly related to sugar maple decline. While three of these were

the monthly based metrics commonly used in climate analyses (minimum April, August and October

temperatures), two were novel metrics designed to capture extreme climate events (periods of unusual

warmth in January and August). These five key climate metrics accounted for ~19% of the variability in

historical sugar maple condition. Adding disturbance accounts for another 11%, indicating that climate

conditions, though rarely included in sugar maple decline studies, may be of equal importance as more

traditionally studied stress agents.

Modeled across the state, results indicate that ongoing changes in climatic conditions have been

detrimental to sugar maple health over the study period, and are likely to degrade further over time

based on climate projections. However, geographic variability in projected climate-driven decline

indicates that, while conditions for sugar maple will deteriorate across the state, climate refugia should

also be available to maintain sugar maple in spite of changing climatic conditions.

Considering the predominant role of sugar maple in the northeastern economy and culture, managing

this resource into the future as climate changes is of great concern and could pose a considerable

challenge. It will become increasingly difficult to manage sugar maple on marginal sites. Instead

management efforts should be targeted where sugar maple is most likely to tolerate changing climate

and secondary stress agents can be minimized. Adaptive management strategies should be taken to

prepare for the loss of sugar maple in high risk locations.

Modelled across the state, results indicate that ongoing changes in climatic conditions have

been detrimental to sugar maple health over the study period (left), and are likely to

degrade further over time based on climate projections (right).

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LANDSCAPE SCALE ASSESSMENTS OF FOREST PRODUCTIVITY:

METHODS, PATTERNS AND TRENDS

Jennifer Pontius(1)(2), Shelly A. Rayback(3), Emma Tait(3), Jesse Little(1), John Kilbride(3)

(1)UVM Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources,

85 Carrigan Dr. Burlington, VT 05405 USA

[email protected] (2)USFS Northern Research Station (3)UVM Department of Geography

ABSTRACT

Remote sensing can provide a relatively

low-cost approach to large scale

assessment of forest productivity to enable

investigations into spatial and temporal

trends in forest growth. Much of the

existing research has focused on

homogeneous, single species forests, with

limited remote sensing inputs for model

calibration or field data to assess accuracy

of productivity predictions.

Here we present results of a basal area

increment (BAI) productivity model based

on remote sensing data products as well as

ancillary spatial data layers to capture site,

stand, and relative habitat suitability.

Calibration and validation based on

dendrochronologies from 132 plots

located across Vermont and New

Hampshire, indicate that modeling forest

productivity across a heterogeneous

landscape is difficult based on the

complexity of spectral characteristics in

mixed stands, variability across the

landscape and diversity of factors

influencing tree growth on a micro-scale.

However, species specific models can be built and applied across these landscapes with sufficient

accuracy to inform spatial and temporal patterns in forest productivity. Initial application of these

KEY FINDINGS

Forest productivity can be

accurately mapped using remote

sensing products if calibrated by

species.

Remotely sensed assessments of

productivity shows distinct spatial

patterns across the landscape

primarily driven by species

composition.

Some species show increasing

growth trends (American beech

and red spruce) and some with

decreasing growth trends (balsam

fir and sugar maple) dominance of

red maple across the region.

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landscape productivity models between 2000 and 2012 inform how productivity is changing over time

and how this differs across species and locations.

Model of 2012 productivity using the six species with sufficient calibration coverage. Individual species

models were averaged to illustrate overall productivity in a given location based on Landfire species

distribution maps.

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MODELING HEMLOCK WOOLLY ADELGID RISK AND

IMPACTS OF PRESALVAGE HARVESTING ON CARBON

STOCKS IN NORTHERN HEMLOCK FORESTS

Jennifer Pontius (1,2), Paul Schaberg (2) , William Livingston (3),

Kara Lorion(3), Stacy Trosper(3)

(1)UVM Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources,

85 Carrigan Dr. Burlington, VT 05405 USA

[email protected] (2)USFS Northern Research Station

(3) University of Maine, Forestry Program

ABSTRACT

Two recent studies provide

useful information on the

management of northern

hemlock stands in light of

encroaching hemlock woolly

adelgid (HWA) infestations.

Mapping Hemlock

Vulnerability to Hemlock

Woolly Adelgid Induced

Decline

The purpose of this modeling

project is to identify locations

across the northeast where

hemlock is likely to tolerate

HWA infestation under

changing climate conditions.

Dendrochronological methods

provide a more nuanced

assessment of HWA impacts

on hemlock allowing us to

quantitatively identify the

onset of infestation and

examine the variable rates of

growth decline that follow

incipient infestation. This

information is necessary to

KEY FINDINGS

Hemlock decline rates following HWA

infestation were linked to site characteristics

and climate.

Risk maps generated from these relationships

can be used to identify potentially resistant

sites.

Under projected climate conditions hemlock

will become vulnerable to more rapid decline

across the New England region.

Simulation models indicate that allowing

HWA to progress naturally through a stand

may have lower impacts on long-term net C

flux than conducting presalvage harvests.

HWA infestation and presalvage logging will

likely result in an increased dominance of red

maple across the region.

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better understand the variable response of hemlock to HWA, and identify the characteristics of

stands with the highest potential for tolerance and recovery.

Historical changes in hemlock radial growth following HWA infestation and drought were linked to

site characteristics across the region. Sites with steeper slopes, increased exposure to solar radiation,

and warmer January minimum temperatures have a greater probability of experiencing hemlock

growth decline in the study region. The resulting model correctly classified 80% of the 41

calibration sites and 73% of the 15 independent validation sites across the region.

Applied to GIS layers we created spatially-explicit maps of the likelihood of rapid hemlock decline

if/when HWA arrives. Land managers can use these maps to help prioritize management strategies

for addressing sites where hemlock is likely to decline, as well as identifying locations where

hemlock is likely to maintain current growth trends. However, the projected increase in January

minimum temperatures will result in HWA-incited hemlock growth decline further north and inland

than was previously predicted.

Left: Historical climate risk map shows probable locations of declining sites using logit

coefficients applied to three parameters across the New England region: (1) slope, (2) summer

hillshade, and (3) 1971-2000 January minimum temperature. Right: Future climate risk map

shows probable locations of declining sites for the same model but based on a + 2°C increase over

1981-2010 January minimum temperature normal.

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Modeling Long-term Hemlock Carbon Storage

Stand development simulations under various management scenarios allowed us to model the

potential impact of HWA infestation and management activities on carbon (C) dynamics in northern

hemlock stands. We used FVS and FIA data from across the northeast to model C storage and

successional pathways under presalvage harvesting, HWA infestation and no disturbance scenarios

over a 150-year simulation.

HWA infestation and presalvage logging will likely result in an increased dominance of red maple

across the region. Both presalvage and HWA scenarios had significantly lower total C storage than

the control at the end of the 150 year simulation. However, the cumulative net C gain was lower for

the presalvage than HWA scenario, indicating that allowing HWA to progress naturally through a

stand may have lower impacts on long-term net C flux than conducting presalvage harvests. While

differences were not significant on low hemlock density stands, impacts to the estimated 267,000

hectares of northern New York and New England where hemlock is dominant could result in

conversion to red maple and a net loss of over 4 million metric tons of C over the next 150 years.

While these results suggest that C continues to accrue in northern hemlock forests following HWA

infestation, long-term there is still a decrease in cumulative net C storage that is likely to result from

HWA infestation and associated presalvage harvests, with a potential legacy that persists at least 150

years post disturbance. Considering the low market value of hemlock and the potential for

incorporating C markets into revenue streams, allowing HWA-induced mortality to proceed without

presalvage logging could become more appealing to land managers as HWA progresses northward.

These studies, along with knowledge of current HWA infestation borders, can be used to direct

management efforts, with the intention of minimizing HWA-induced hemlock mortality and

maintaining the regions carbon stocks.

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Simulated changes in percent basal area provide an approximation of how species

composition may change following HWA (top) and presalvage (bottom) treatments in

northern New York and New England hemlock stands.

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IRREGULAR SHELTERWOOD AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO

CLEARCUTTING IN BALSAM FIR-YELLOW BIRCH STANDS

Patricia Raymond, Steve Bédard, Stéphane Tremblay, and Catherine Larouche

Ministère des Forêts, de la Faune et des Parcs, Direction de la recherche forestière, 2700 Rue

Einstein, Québec, G1P 3W8, Québec, Canada

[email protected], [email protected] ,

[email protected] , [email protected]

ABSTRACT Even-aged systems have been used for

decades in North America for managing

conifer-dominated stands with the goal to

normalize the forest and reach sustainable

wood production. Because of their simplicity

of application and the short-term economic

benefits, conifer-dominated stands of the

boreal and mixedwood forests have been

largely managed under even-aged systems.

However, the widespread use of clearcutting

and its variants have altered many features of

these forests at both landscape and stand

scales.

Set in 2009, the experiment compare the

effects of irregular shelterwood scenarios to

careful logging and uncut control stands on the

regeneration of balsam fir (Abies balsamea

[L.] Mill.) – yellow birch (Betula

alleghaniensis Britton) irregular stands.

Scenarios include an uncut control, 25%

continuous cover irregular shelterwood (no

final cut), 40% extended irregular shelterwood

(final cut at year 30), 50% regular shelterwood

(final cut at year 10), and careful logging

(clearcut with protection of trees ≤ 9.1 cm dbh).

After five years, the 25% continuous cover irregular shelterwood was the most favourable cutting

treatment to establish red spruce (Picea rubens Sarg.) and balsam fir seedlings (<30 cm). All cutting

treatments increased significantly yellow birch seedling density >30 cm. Cutting treatments also

KEY FINDINGS

Irregular shelterwood scenarios

have potential to regenerate

conifer-dominated mixedwood

stands as an alternative to

clearcutting.

Light shelterwood scenarios

successfully established red

spruce, balsam fir and yellow

birch, while limiting red maple

and pin cherry competition.

However, longer-term

observations are needed to

identify the best scenarios.

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influenced the response of competing vegetation that expanded the most in clearcut cutovers. The

lightest 25% shelterwood cut kept the competing species coverage at a level closer to the control and

significantly lower than in the clearcut. Up to now, early establishment results indicate that irregular

shelterwood scenarios could be helpful to regenerate conifer-dominated mixedwood stands and have

potential as an alternative to clearcutting.

Our first five-years results show that the 25% continuous cover irregular shelterwood

was the most successful treatment for establishing the three desired species (red spruce,

balsam fir and yellow birch), while limiting the expansion of the competition in the

understory.

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MAINTAINING LOGGER VIABILITY IN THE NORTHEAST

Jamie L. Regula and Rene H. Germain

SUNY ESF, 1 Forestry Dr, Syracuse, NY 13210 USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

The economic sustainability of logging businesses is critical to successful forest management and a

sustained flow of roundwood to primary wood manufacturers. In recent decades, expectations on loggers

have increased because of the expansion of harvesting regulations, including best management practices

(BMPs), and the adoption of forest and logger certification programs. Unfortunately, these rising

expectations can result in increasing logging costs. Productivity can fluctuate from job to job, depending

on some critical factors associated with the harvest, including harvest volume per acre, species, stem

size (or average logs per stem), area of sale, average skidding distance, topography, access system, and

amount of noncommercial timber stand improvement. The variability of harvesting conditions and

associated lack of predictability is particularly acute in hardwood and mixed-wood forest cover types of

the Northeast. This study seeks to examine those factors that influence logger profitability from job to

job. Working in partnership with sawmill procurement foresters, we interviewed 20 loggers to determine

equipment spread, operating and ownership costs, special characteristics of the harvest they recently

completed and views on current logging equipment availability. Following the interview, we GPS'd the

landing(s) and skid roads, assessing slope, skidding distance, as well as identified BMPs that were

implemented. Results will report: 1) individual harvest characteristics influencing logger profitability, 2)

determine optimal productivity and price ranges that ensure logger profitability, 3) explore the

compatibility of today's logging equipment with declining woodlot sizes and harvest volumes.

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COMPARISON OF CRITICAL LOADS OF NITROGEN FOR FOREST

SPECIES AND COMMUNITIES IN CLASS I AREAS OF THE

NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES

Molly Robin-Abbott(1), Linda H. Pardo(1), Jennifer Pontius(1,2), Jason Coombs(1)

1) USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station, 85 Carrigan Dr. Burlington, VT 05405 USA

[email protected] , [email protected] , [email protected]

2) University of Vermont 85 Carrigan Dr. Burlington, VT 05405 USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

We have developed a GIS tool (N-CLAS) that allows federal land managers, policy makers, and others

to calculate site-based critical loads of nitrogen (N) and exceedance for forested areas in the northeastern

United States. N-CLAS is based on species-specific tables that set optimal growth thresholds for

multiple soil, site, and climate parameters. The species on a site determine the initial critical load range;

site conditions determine whether the critical load is adjusted to the upper part of the critical loads range

or the lower part of critical loads range. Critical loads can be calculated for a single species at a site,

multiple species, or for the community. The most sensitive species will determine the critical load in the

community calculation. Changing site conditions, including climate change, harvesting, insect pests,

fungal pathogens, and extreme weather events, will affect site growth conditions, N-cycling, and critical

loads. In this poster we use maps and tables generated by N-CLAS to examine the effects of climate

change scenarios on adjusted critical loads of N and exceedance for selected species in Class I areas of

the Northeastern United States.

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LONG-TERM REGENERATION DYNAMICS IN NORTHERN

HARDWOOD FORESTS OF THE NORTHEAST

Nicole Rogers(1), Anthony W. D'Amato(1), Ralph Nyland(2), Laura S. Kenefic(3) and Mark Twery(3)

(1) University of Vermont, Rubenstein School of the Environment and Natural Resources, 85

Carrigan Dr. Burlington, VT 05405 USA [email protected]

(2) SUNY-ESF, Forest and Resources Management

(3) USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station

ABSTRACT

Establishment of regeneration of desired species and at an adequate stocking is essential to sustainable

management of northern hardwood forests in the northeast United States. However, success of natural

regeneration can vary depending on site and climatic drivers, and be further complicated by type of

regeneration method used. In the Adirondack region of New York, long-term silvicultural studies (>20

years) offer a unique opportunity to explore the dynamics of hardwood regeneration under both even

and uneven-aged systems across a range of site and forest conditions. We'll review changes in stocking,

density, recruitment and species composition over time and additionally frame findings within the

context of current silvicultural practices for northern hardwood forests and the pervasive impacts of

beech bark disease on long-term regeneration dynamics. Implications for sustainable management and

resiliency of these forests into the future will also be discussed.

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INFLUENCE OF LOGGING DISTURBANCE ON TREE GROWTH,

SPECIES COMPOSITION, AND RESIDUAL STAND DAMAGE

FOLLOWING HARVESTING IN TWO MAINE SPRUCE-FIR STANDS

Roth, B.E.(1), Lachance, C(2), Wagner, R.G.(3), and Benjamin, J.G.(4)

(1) Cooperative Forestry Research Unit, 5755 Nutting Hall, University of Maine, Orono, ME 04469

USA. [email protected] (2)Weyerhaeuser, 19 Loggers Circle, Bingham, ME 04920 USA. [email protected]

(3) Department of Forestry & Natural Resources

Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47907 USA. [email protected] (4)

Bangor Christian Schools, 1476 Broadway, Bangor, ME 04401 USA.

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Soil Disturbance – Weymouth Point Study:

Mechanized harvesting can lead to a wide

range of soil disturbances (including mineral

soil exposure, soil compaction, organic matter

removal, mounding, and rutting) that can

influence subsequent forest composition,

structure, or growth. Earlier research has had

mixed conclusions regarding the effect of soil

disturbance on future forest productivity. We

used a long-term experiment in northern

Maine to quantify forest productivity for 32

years since clearcut harvesting using a whole-

tree harvest system (WT). Soil disturbance

measurements were made on 100 transects

that were installed immediately after the site

was harvested in 1981. We found no influence

of soil disturbance on tree- and stand-level

variables, including basal area, density,

percent hardwood, volume, DBH, and height.

We also examined annual radial growth rates

using tree cores from a subset of balsam fir

crop trees (>6.35 cm DBH) that had grown on

the most and least disturbed soil conditions,

and found no differences in growth rates over

the entire growth period. Despite extensive

KEY FINDINGS

Despite extensive rutting at the

time of harvesting 32 years

earlier, we were unable to detect

a reduction in crop tree

production or species

composition.

Pre-commercial thinning is an

important factor in limiting stem

damage during future

commercial thinning operations.

Trees closer to harvest trails had

a higher probability of stem and

root damage, along with a

higher probability of high or

medium severity wounds.

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soil rutting and mineral soil exposure after WT harvesting, we were unable to detect any differences in

subsequent forest composition, structure, or growth from soil disturbance at the Weymouth Point study

site 32 years after the harvest.

Residual Stem Damage – Austin Pond Study:

Commercial thinning (CT) and precommercial thinning (PCT) are common silvicultural treatments in

the management of spruce-fir stands of the Northeast. The positive effects of CT and PCT on tree

growth and financial gain are well documented, but there have been few studies of residual stand

damage following these treatments. We used a long-term silvicultural experiment in west-central Maine

to quantify stem, root, and crown damage following CT at 33, 50, and 66% levels of relative density

reduction in stands that had previously received precommercial thinning (PCT) or no PCT. We found

that prior PCT with CTL harvesting was the most important factor predicting the level of residual stand

damage after CT. Higher initial densities associated with no-PCT and WT harvesting increased the

probability of machine-to-tree or tree-to-tree contact that resulted 86% more residual stem damage. We

found that higher CT removal levels (>33%) resulted in higher rates of stem and root damage. We also

found that trees closer to harvest trails had a higher probability of stem and root damage, along with the

higher probability of high or medium severity wounds.

Average annual basal area increment per tree (cm2 yr-1) by soil disturbance type (High n =

40, Low n = 32) from 1992 to 2013. A linear regression model found no significant difference

between BAI of trees on high soil disturbance or low soil disturbance (p = 0.18).

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VERMONT’S MANAGED FORESTS AND SOIL CARBON STOCKS:

INTERACTION AMONG LAND-USE HISTORY, EARTHWORMS

AND SITE

Don Ross

University of Vermont, Department of Plant and Soil Science, Burlington, VT [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Much of present-day Vermont’s forests were cleared for agriculture in the 1700s and 1800s, with

associated long-term loss of soil carbon. Net gains in carbon have occurred since reforestation but

these gains may be affected by earthworm invasions. We have been monitoring 18 managed forest

stands to be able to determine long-term changes in carbon stores. In addition to measuring carbon,

we have documented land-use history dating back to colonial times, determined earthworm species

and density, measured tree species and site metrics, and measured a suite of soil chemical

parameters. We also determined carbon distribution in soil microaggregates in a subset of sites.

Prior land-use in the 18 monitored plots included cultivation, pasture, and farm woodlot. Higher

earthworm species diversity correlated with reduced forest floor depth, higher mineral soil carbon,

and greater stability (microaggregate-protected) of that carbon. Sites with the highest worm density

had a history of more intense agricultural land use (although not all former agricultural sites had

earthworms). There were also positive interactions between exchangeable calcium pools and

earthworm density, and between elevation and carbon in the forest floor. Present-day carbon stores

appear to be a complex interaction of land-use history, site location, earthworm history and soil

chemistry.

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CAN GAP-BASED MANAGEMENT PROMOTE NATURAL

REGENERATION AND DIVERSITY IN MIXEDWOOD STANDS?

Alejandro A. Royo(1), and Patricia Raymond(2)

(1)Northern Research Station, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, 335 National Forge Road P.O. Box 267,

Irvine, PA, USA, 16329, [email protected] (2)Ministère des Forêts, de la Faune et des Parcs, Direction de la recherche forestière, 2700 Rue

Einstein, Québec, G1P 3W8, Québec, Canada, [email protected]

ABSTRACT

In Quebec (Canada), the yellow birch (Betula

alleghaniensis Britton) – conifer forest type is

the most widespread and economically

important in the temperate mixedwood zone.

Management goals include sustained wood

production, particularly of yellow birch, red

spruce (Picea rubens Sarg.) and balsam fir

(Abies balsamea [L.] Mill.) while maintaining

overall species diversity, composition and

structural heterogeneity. Given the historical

importance of naturally occurring canopy

gaps in these systems, gap-based silvicultural

systems potentially offer a tool to achieve

these goals.

Beginning in 2008, we experimentally

evaluated the impact of a hybrid single- and

small group selection system on regeneration

dynamics and plant diversity. Our experiment

employs a harvest intensity gradient (Residual

BA) consisting of uncut control (26 m²/ha),

light (19 m²/ha), moderate (17 m²/ha) and

heavy (15 m²/ha) cutting with repeated

vegetation censuses at 1, 3, 5 and 8 years

post-cut.

Greater harvest intensities enhanced overall plant cover across the 8-yr period (significant

Treatment×Year interaction). Heavier harvest intensities increased diversity. Species richness increased

irrespective of harvest intensity. Observed richness and diversity gains were driven by augmented

yellow birch, mountain maple (Acer spicatum Lam.) and pin cherry (Prunus pensylvanica L. f.)

KEY FINDINGS

Gap-based silviculture can favor

yellow birch recruitment without

impacting plant diversity.

However, increasing harvest

intensity also enhanced

interfering non-commercial

species abundance and failed to

improve red spruce regeneration.

Further study will be necessary

to evaluate thresholds to achieve

both regeneration and diversity

goals.

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recruitment into larger classes as well as greater forb, tree and shrub cover over time in response to

greater harvest intensities. In contrast, harvesting did not affect forb, shrub and fern richness.

Our 8-yr results show gap-based treatments can favour yellow birch recruitment without negatively

impacting plant diversity in this forest type. Indeed, heavier harvest intensities augmented overall plant

diversity and tree richness. Nevertheless, because increasing harvest intensity simultaneously enhanced

interfering non-commercial tree species abundance (e.g. mountain maple) and failed to improve red

spruce regeneration, we caution that further study will be necessary to evaluate if and at which

thresholds both regeneration and diversity goals can be achieved.

Our 8-yr results show that the hybrid single- and small group selection system, a gap-based

approach, could be used to achieve both regeneration and diversity goals in yellow birch-

conifer stands.

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THE LONG-TERM EFFECTS OF LOGGING, HURRICANE

DISTURBANCE, AND SALVAGE LOGGING ON OLD-GROWTH

FOREST STANDS IN NEW HAMPSHIRE

Emma M. Sass(1), Anthony W. D’Amato(1)

(1)University of Vermont, Aiken Center, Burlington, Vermont, USA 05401

[email protected] , [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Salvage logging is a common post-

disturbance management practice; short-term

effects are well documented but longer-term

effects remain less well known. In Pisgah

State Park, NH, we compared the structure

and composition of old-growth stands from

1930 to those developing following 1)

logging in the 1920s (LG), 2) severe damage

from the 1938 hurricane (HR), and 3) severe

damage from the hurricane and subsequent

salvage logging (SL). The HR plot

represented a unique case study that served

as a benchmark of long-term forest response

to hurricane disturbance.

The HR plot had the highest density of trees (1520 stems/ha) compared to salvaged (342±98) or logged

areas (818±40) 78 years following disturbance. The fewer but larger trees in salvaged and logged sites imply a more mature live tree structure than the HR plot. Coarse woody debris (CWD) biomass

was highest in the HR plot (12.0 Mg/ha). HR also had the greatest density of pit and mound structures

(115/ha), followed by salvaged (73/ha) and logged areas (11/ha). This study builds on our understanding

of salvage logging effects and provides an extended temporal view on compositional and structural

differences that persist after singular and compound disturbances.

KEY FINDINGS

Live tree structure is the least

developed in the hurricane-

damaged stand.

CWD is highest in unsalvaged,

unlogged areas.

Composition has not returned to

pre-disturbance.

Diameter distributions for three

management histories at Pisgah

State Park, NH. HR= damaged

by the 1938 hurricane;

SL=hurricane damaged and

salvage logged: LG=logged prior

to the 1938 hurricane.

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BUILDING A DENDROECOLOGY DATABASE FOR THE

NORTHERN FOREST

Paul Schaberg1, Shelly Rayback2, Christopher Hansen3, Paula Murakami1, James Duncan3, 4,

Alexandra Kosiba3, Benjamin Engel3, Rebecca Stern3, Gary Hawley3, Jennifer Pontius1, 3, 4

(1)US Forest Service, Northern Research Station, 81 Carrigan Dr., Burlington, VT 05405, USA,

[email protected], [email protected]

(2)University of Vermont, Department of Geography, 94 University Pl., Burlington, VT 05405, USA,

[email protected]

(3)University of Vermont, Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources, 81 Carrigan Dr.,

Burlington, VT 05405, USA, [email protected] , [email protected] , [email protected] [email protected]

[email protected] , [email protected]

(4)Vermont Monitoring Cooperative, 705 Spear St., South Burlington, VT 05403, USA

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

We are establishing a dendroecology database that

will combine tree-ring growth and ecological data

for a wide range of species and sites across the

region. Initial work involves comparing growth

among species and locations, assessing changing

trends in growth, and evaluating if ancillary site

and environmental factors are associated with

growth trends. Two examples of studies within the

Northern Forest were presented to highlight the

potential value of the database. The first involved

the use of red spruce tree-ring chronologies to

field-test a steady-state sulfur and nitrogen

pollution critical load exceedance model for the

region. Results indicated that critical load

exceedance was associated with reduced growth

over the past 60 years, but that trees are now

growing better than they have over the entire

chronology. The second used tree rings from five

species to assess which climate variables best

accounted for patterns of growth on Vermont’s

tallest mountain – Mount Mansfield.

KEY FINDINGS

Tree rings reflect the

influence of the environment

on growth.

Past work has shown how

pollution loading and

temperature alter growth.

New work will evaluate

growth and its drivers for

many species and locations.

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Results indicate that increased growth was broadly associated with higher temperatures.

Mean (±SE) basal area increment (BAI) for 441 red spruce trees at 37 sites in Vermont and

New Hampshire that exceeded or did not exceed modelled sulfur and nitrogen pollution

critical loads. Trees in non-exceedance plots had higher growth for the 60-year period

overall and for decades with more severe or frequent foliar winter injury. Statistically

significant P-values (P ≤0.05) are in bold.

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LOCAL ADAPTATION OF TREES AT THE RANGE MARGINS

SLOWS RANGE SHIFTS IN THE FACE OF CLIMATE CHANGE

Kevin Solarik

Université du Québec à Montréal, Department of Biological Science Montréal, Québec, Canada

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

The inability of certain species to track their climatic niche at rates comparable to climate change is

concerning, particularly if those species are constrained due to their adaptation at the local scale within

their current range. In long-lived, sessile organisms such as trees, genetic adaptation is slow, and our

knowledge of the relative contribution of the driving factors which control range expansion is lacking.

Here, we conducted a species wide seed transplant experiment to investigate a series of contributing

factors potentially constraining species range expansion in early tree seedling establishment phases. We

find a combination of provenance, climatic, and microsite factors all play a profound role in the ability

of a species to migrate northward in latitude, where the contribution of each of these factors changes

depending on the environment at the local scale. First, we found that seed provenance from the northern

portion of the range provides currently the best opportunity to establish beyond the current range, where

climatic conditions are more similar than those of the central or southern portions of the species range.

We found that although seedling establishment was highest within the species range, survival rates were

comparable to those at the range margin and beyond, regardless of where the seed originated. We find

that local climate was the most influential factor for establishment and survival within and at the species

range margin, however, microsite drove recruitment beyond the range boundary. Ultimately, recruitment

failure will occur if the climate changes at a rate superior to the adaptive capacity of the species to novel

climatic conditions.

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ASSESSING LONG TERM IMPACTS OF INTERMEDIATE

TREATMENTS ON TIMBER QUALITY AND STAND ECOLOGY OF

NORTHERN HARDWOOD FORESTS IN NEW HAMPSHIRE

Meghan Thornton and Ted Howard

University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH 03825 USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

The primary intermediate treatments used in northern hardwood forest management are pre-commercial

and commercial thinning. These methods can be used to improve forest stand quality or promote growth

of desired species. In northern hardwood forests, pre-commercial thinning involves killing or removing

competing trees from around selected crop trees. However, depending on landowner objectives,

intermediate treatments might not provide a financial or ecological return that justifies the harvesting

operation. The research area is an above-average hardwood site located in the Bartlett Experimental

Forest (BEF) in Bartlett, New Hampshire. A clear cut of the stand occurred in 1935, a crop tree release

using four treatments occurred in 1959 at age 25, and a dominant tree removal of paper birch and aspen

occurred in 2003 at age 69. Previous research includes data on stand growth, species composition, and

volume change spanning 80 years, as well as two financial analyses on the pre-commercial work. This

research proposes an assessment of standing timber quality within and among the treatments, as well as

an ecological assessment of coarse woody debris and snag recruitment. It also proposes a financial

analysis post-2003 commercial thinning that considers the market for sawlogs over the declining market

for boltwood.

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EFFECTIVE LANDOWNER ENGAGEMENT -

FROM OUTREACH TO OUTCOMES

Mary Tyrrell, Purnima Chawla and Emma Kravet

Yale School of Forestry & Environmental Studies 195 Prospect Street, New Haven, CT 06511 USA

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Two of the biggest challenges to improved stewardship and conservation on private lands are 1) getting

the attention of the landowners (outreach) and 2) getting them to take action (outcomes). Both require

focused, targeted effort to understand the landowners - their attitudes, values, needs and priorities - and

getting a good match between stewardship and conservation program objectives and the needs and

desires of the landowners. We will share learnings from the Sustaining Family Forests Initiative

research on family landowners and from working with natural resource professionals in over 300

organizations throughout the US to develop effective landowner engagement programs. Conservation

and stewardship actions often require a large and long-term commitment which landowners may view as

too difficult or risky. The most efficient and effective outreach programs target their efforts towards the

landowners who are most likely to engage in the desired behavior and (or) to those who have the

greatest impact on the program goals. A successful outreach program focuses on key motivations of the

target audience and addresses ways to overcome the most obvious barriers in order to persuade

landowners to take action. There are a range of data that can and should be used to understand

landowner motivations and barriers to action, including quantitative data (surveys) and qualitative data

(focus groups). By presenting several case studies, we will discuss how targeted marketing and

landowner data are being used in various outreach campaigns, and the evaluation process and measures

that organizations are using to track outcomes.

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FOREST STRUCTURAL DEVELOPMENT AND CARBON

DYNAMICS AS INFLUENCED BY LAND-USE HISTORY AND

REFORESTATION APPROACH

Andrea Urbano

UVM Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources, 85 Carrigan Dr. Burlington, VT 05405

USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Temperate forests are an important carbon sink, yet uncertainty remains regarding land-use history

effects on biomass accumulation and carbon storage potential in secondary forests. Improving this

understanding is vital for managing forests as carbon sinks and is possible by studying long-term

northeastern U.S. forest recovery post nineteenth century agricultural abandonment. We employed a

longitudinal study based on 12 years of empirical data (2001-2013) collected from 60 monitoring plots

within 16 reference stands at Marsh-Billings-Rockefeller National Historical Park in Woodstock, VT

and 150 years of documentary data from park management records. We evaluated the effects of

reforestation approaches (planting vs. natural regeneration), management (long-term low harvest

intensities at varied frequencies), and stand development pathways on biomass outcomes. We generated

biometrics indicative of stand structural complexity (H' index) and aboveground biomass (live trees,

snags, and downed coarse woody debris pools) estimates. Multivariate analyses evaluated the predictive

strength of reforestation approach, management history, and site characteristics relative to aboveground

carbon pools and stand structural complexity.

Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis ranked reforestation method as the strongest

predictor of mean total aboveground carbon storage, and selected harvest frequency and stand age as

secondary variables. CART ranked percent conifer as the strongest predictor of H', and harvest intensity

and frequency as secondarily predictive. A variety of long-term recovery pathways converge on high

levels of aboveground carbon storage, but silvicultural management can dramatically alter those

trajectories. Our dataset showed a positive relationship between forest carbon storage and structural

complexity (r2=0.25), supporting multifunctional forestry emphasizing late-successional habitats.

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CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION BY VERMONT

SNOWMOBILERS

William Valliere, Robert Manning, Elizabeth Perry, Xiao Xiao, Nathan Reigner

University of Vermont, Parks Studies La, 85 Carrigan Dr. Burlington, VT 05405 USA

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Ecosystems provide a many services to society, including outdoor recreation. Snowmobiling is an

important form of winter recreation, and a vital part of Vermont's winter tourism economy. Climate

change may substantially alter use of Vermont's extensive system of snowmobile trails. In order to

continue to serve the needs of snowmobilers, management of the trail system must adapt to a changing

climate and evolving patterns of use. To help inform adaptive management and as part of a larger

decision support tool, a survey of members of the Vermont Association of Snow Travelers (VAST) was

conducted. The survey asked respondents to report the ways in which they would adapt their use of the

snowmobile trail network to multiple manifestations of climate change, including temperature, snowfall,

distance to trails, landscape types, presence or absence of wildlife, trail encounters, and extent of the

available trail network. The goal of the survey was to determine under what conditions use of the

snowmobile trail system in Vermont increases and decreases. Baseline information about current use

levels and types of use, changes in the trail system and weather over the years was also collected. The

online survey was administered to a sample of VAST members for whom the association maintains

email records. An email invitation and a reminder email resulted in 1447 completed questionnaires.

Study data offer insights into how winter outdoor recreation activities and patterns are likely to evolve in

association with a changing climate and how Vermont might best adapt to meet changing demand.

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GROWTH RATES OF MAPLE TREES TAPPED WITH HIGH-YIELD

SAP COLLECTION PRACTICES – ARE EXISTING TAPPING

GUIDELINES SUSTAINABLE?

Abby van den Berg(1), Timothy Perkins(1), Mark Isselhardt(1), Timothy Wilmot(1)

(1) University of Vermont Proctor Maple Research Center, P.O. Box 233 Underhill Center, VT

05490, [email protected], [email protected] , [email protected] ,

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Maple syrup production is a traditional

practice throughout the northeastern United

States and Canada that generates jobs,

provides income, and helps maintain the

traditional working landscape of the region.

The profitability and long-term economic

sustainability of maple syrup production

depend entirely on the sustainability of annual

sap extraction from trees. To be sustainable,

annual sap collection must not remove or

damage more wood than can be replaced by

annual growth, or extract a portion of

carbohydrate resources large enough to reduce

growth rates and hinder the replenishment of

conductive wood. Maple producers follow

tapping guidelines, a set of best practices for

sap collection, to ensure their practices meet

these requirements. Now, however, modern

sap collection equipment and practices

facilitate at least twice the volume of sap

extraction per tree than was possible with the

technology used when the existing guidelines

were developed.

To assess whether the existing tapping guidelines represent a sustainable approach when applied with

these current “high-yield” practices, the growth rates of trees tapped with these practices at 18 sites in

Vermont were measured, and a model that estimates the availability of conductive wood in the tapping

zone of a tree over time was used to determine whether these growth rates were sufficient for the

KEY FINDINGS

Existing tapping guidelines can

be appropriate for current

collection practices.

Healthy, dom/codom trees’

growth rates often sufficient for

sustainable outcomes.

Int/supp and smaller-dbh trees’

growth rates frequently lower

than adequate .

Growth rates should be

measured to ensure sustainable

tapping and sap collection.

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replenishment of conductive wood to remain at sustainable levels when following the current maple

industry tapping guidelines. The basal area increments of healthy, codominant or dominant trees across

the sites ranged from 1.8 in2/yr in 10-in. diameter trees, to 3.5 in2/yr in 18-in. diameter trees. Estimated

minimum growth rates required ranged from 1.4 in2/yr in 10-in. trees, to 2.6 in2/yr in 18-in. trees.

These results suggest that the growth rates of many trees tapped with high-yield sap collection practices

are sufficient for this activity to remain sustainable when current tapping guidelines are followed.

However, an average of 35% of sampled co-dominant and dominant trees, 38% of smaller-diameter

(8.0-9.9-in dbh) trees, and between 50 and 82% of trees with intermediate or suppressed canopy

position, had growth rates below the estimated minimums. This indicates that for some trees, tapping

practices must be modified from those specified in the current guidelines in order ensure adequate

replenishment of conductive wood is maintained. Likewise, this indicates that to be certain sustainable

tapping practices are implemented, growth rates must be measured.

Overall mean growth rates (basal area increment, BAI) from 2005-2009 of sugar maple trees

tapped with high-yield sap collection practices across 18 sites in Vermont (error bars

indicate standard error of the mean), and estimated minimum growth rates required for

tapping to be sustainable when trees are tapped following existing tapping guidelines.

Measured trees had codominant or dominant canopy position and had been tapped annually

with a single spout for at least 10 years.

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NORTHERN WHITE CEDAR PLANTATIONS: GLORIFIED HEDGES

OR A SUITABLE TOOL FOR CEDAR RESTORATION AND FOREST

MANAGEMENT?

Olivier Villemaire-Côté(1), Jean-Claude Ruel(1), Luc Sirois(2)

(1)Université Laval, 2405 Rue de la Terrasse, Quebec (QC) Canada G1V 0A6 ,

[email protected],

[email protected]

(2) Université du Québec à Rimouski, 300 Aleé des Ursulines, Rimouski (QC), Canada, G5L 3A1

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Northern white cedar (Thuja occidentalis,

hereafter referred to as cedar) has seen, for

several decades and throughout its range, a

clear decline in abundance compared to pre-

colonial times. Indeed, a lack of seed trees,

difficulties in the establishment of natural

regeneration and high browsing pressure are

observed in most of its range. Typically found

as a minor component of mixed species stands,

the shade-tolerant, slow-growing cedar

generally becomes dominant on mesic soils

after succeeding to shorter-lived species.

Despite the cultural, ecological and economic

importance of northern white cedar, forest

management has consequently been more focused on its softwood and hardwood competitors. Not only

has this hindered the potential for an increase in cedar abundance, but it has also limited the

development of scientific knowledge on cedar management.

This study is part of a larger project aimed at developing the scientific basis for sustainable management

of cedar. More specifically, its purpose is to generate knowledge on the development of pure and mixed

cedar plantations after clearcut to evaluate their suitability in actively restoring the species. Cedar

plantations ranging from 5 to 27 years old and located in Eastern Quebec were sampled in the summer

of 2015. The effects of browsing pressure, competition and silvicultural treatments on cedar growth and

bole forking were studied.

Results show that cedar growth can be substantially faster than what is suggested in the literature, with

root collar diameter growth exceeding 1 cm/year and height growth exceeding 25 cm/year on the best

KEY FINDINGS

Planted cedar can grow 8

meters in height and 18 cm in

DBH by age 25.

10 years of browsing

suppression could be sufficient

for cedar recruitment.

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sites. Results also confirm that cedar has a good response to silvicultural treatments such as brushing or

thinning. On some sites, planted cedars were found in an intermediate position under shade-intolerant

hardwoods, reaching 7 to 8 m in height and 16 to 18 cm in diameter at breast height (DBH) at 27 years

old, which suggests that planted cedar can perform well in the presence of shade-intolerant competition.

Zones of safety and vulnerability from and to browsing were drawn according to deer and hare winter

browsing reach, which goes up to a maximum of 2.25 m with high snow cover (Figure 1). When trees

have reached the zone of safety, at a height of 3 m, they have 1 m of live crown under the worst

browsing scenarios, which should guarantee their survival even under high-browsing pressure. The zone

of relative safety extends from 2 to 3 m, at which height browsing should predominantly occur on lower

branches and should not affect survival except under high-browsing scenarios. Non-suppressed cedars

took on average 9 years to reach the zone of relative safety from browsing and 12.5 years to reach the

zone of safety from browsing. With cedar generally being browsed in the winter when other food

sources are scarce and short seedlings of up to 30 cm in height generally not being available for winter

browsing because of snow cover, these results suggest that a well-timed 10 to 13 year predator exclusion

could be sufficient for cedar recruitment depending on browsing pressure.

Height-Age curve for non-suppressed northern white cedar plantations in Eastern Québec. Bars

correspond to standard errors. Relative safety from browsing is attained at a height of 2 m, and safety

from browsing is attained at a height of 3 m.

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Although cedar growth is shown to be faster than in the literature, it is still outcompeted. When these

competitors are spruce or fir, a dense evergreen multi-layered stand can be created. This stand can be a

good winter habitat for hare, an underestimated cedar browser, as fir and spruce will provide cover. A

window of vulnerability can therefore be created if cedar is not tall enough when the cover becomes

suitable for hare. Moreover, the timing of early silvicultural treatments is more complex to manage in

these stands because of differences in growth rates, potentially leading to consequences for cedar as

faster growing species might be privileged by forest managers.

Knowledge about cedar plantations is still limited and should be further developed. Indeed, the small

pool of older cedar plantations and the lack of historical data prevents the drawing of clear conclusions

on some matters. For instance, cedar is known to have a high tendency to fork, and while forks were

observed in greater proportions on some sites, no clear correlations could be traced. Similarly, while

browsing was observed, the absence of a detailed browsing history prevents detailed conclusions on the

effects of browsing on cedar plantations development.

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GROWTH AND YIELD OF A JAPANESE LARCH (LARIX

KAEMPFERI (LAMB) CARIERE) PLANTATION: 75-YEAR RESULTS

FROM UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT'S JERICHO RESEARCH

FOREST

Justin Waskiewicz, Lindsay Cotnoir and Ralph Tursini

University of Vermont, Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources 85 Carrigan Dr.

Burlington, VT 05404, USA [email protected]

ABSTRACT

The exotic larch species Japanese larch, European larch (L. decidua P. Mill), and their hybrid (L. x

marschlinsii Coaz) are known for high productivity potential in plantations. Exotic larches have been

planted in New England for over 100 years, with tens of thousands of acres of these species planted on

private, industrial, and some public lands in New England and the Maritime provinces of Canada.

Recent interest in exotic larches has spurred a re-examination of plantations across New England.

University of Vermont's Jericho Research Forest (JRF) includes one of oldest stands of Japanese larch

with an intensive record of management and measurement. Originally established in 1941 on abandoned

farmland, the JRF plantation has been re-measured on permanent plots from the mid-1950s to the mid-

1990s, a time span including three harvest operations. We examined past data records and a recent re-

measurement to reconstruct diameter, height, and volume growth rates for the stand through the present.

The trees now average 17.4 inches (44.2cm) DBH and 107 feet (32.6 m) height, and have produced a net

total of 8,851 ft3/ac (619.5 m3/ha). Mean annual cubic foot volume production peaked around 1970 at

151 ft3/ac (10.6 m3/ha), whereas mean annual board foot volume growth, at 433 bf/ac (2.53 sawn

m3/ha) has not yet peaked. The JRF larch stand provides a unique case study demonstrating the long-

term growth potential of this species in New England.

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119

FOREST STRUCTURE, COMPOSITION, AND REGENERATION

FOLLOWING WIND DISTURBANCE IN MIXED HARDWOOD-

CONIFER ECOSYSTEMS

Aaron Weisinger-Flood, Garrett Meigs and William Keeton

Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Vermont

Gund Institute for Ecological Economics, 85 Carrigan Dr. Burlington, VT 05405 USA

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Wind storms (i.e., blowdown events) are important natural disturbances worldwide, and blowdown

frequency or severity may increase with anthropogenic climate change and land use. In this study, we

quantify blowdown effects on structural complexity, species composition, and tree regeneration in

mature temperate forests spanning a range of blowdown patch sizes in the northeastern United States.

We compare wind-affected forests and adjacent reference conditions, assessing variability within and

among four sites up to eight years post-blowdown. We find that recent blowdown events transferred a

substantial proportion of canopy trees to down coarse woody debris (CWD). On average, the initial post-

wind ratio of CWD volume to standing tree volume was 7.09 in blowdown stands and 0.63 in reference

stands. Concurrently, the variability of canopy closure within blowdown patches (CV among plots) was

16% higher, indicating diffuse edge conditions. Despite these structural changes, however, tree species

composition was generally similar between blowdown and reference conditions across all sites, with

generally shade-tolerant species dominating all strata (overstory, saplings, and seedlings). Our findings

suggest that intermediate-intensity wind events can increase structural complexity without altering

successional dynamics. Specifically, recent blowdowns increased down CWD and canopy gap

heterogeneity, two key indicators of late successional forest structure that contemporary forest

management activities aim to restore. In addition, the lack of shade-intolerant tree regeneration indicates

that species composition at these sites is relatively resistant to wind-induced changes. This study

demonstrates how partial canopy disturbances like blowdown can enhance late-successional forest

conditions while contributing to stand- and landscape-scale heterogeneity.

Page 120: Proceedings of the 8th Eastern CANUSA Forest Science Conference€¦ · concurrent oral presentations, a poster session and a half day field tour. Friday evening will also include

120

STRUCTURAL CHARACTERISTICS OF OLD- AND SECOND-

GROWTH NORTHERN WHITE-CEDAR STANDS

Nathan Wesely(1), Laura S. Kenefic(2), Shawn Fraver (1)

(1)School of Forest Resources, University of Maine 5755 Nutting Hall, Orono, ME, 04469 USA

[email protected]

(2)U.S. Forest Service, Penobscot Experimental Forest, 686 Government Road, Bradley, ME USA 04411,

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Northern white-cedar (NWC) has received limited research attention, and land managers are confronted

with challenges when managing cedar, including the recognition of old-growth (OG) characteristics and

the differentiation between OG and second-growth (SG) stands, particularly in the context of Forest

Stewardship Council (FSC-US) certification. To identify the structural characteristics unique to old-

growth NWC stands, we inventoried 16 OG stands and 17 SG stands (those that have been partially

harvested) in Maine and New Brunswick. Potential predictors used in the analysis included common

structural metrics such as basal area (BA, m² ha-1), quadratic mean diameter (QMD, cm), large tree (>=

40 cm dbh) density, volumes of dead wood (m³ ha-1), along with spatially explicit structural complexity

indices (e.g., diameter distribution index, mingling index). Using a generalized linear mixed-model

approach, two significant predictors were identified that in combination differentiate OG from SG NWC

stands: advanced decay dead wood volume (logs in decay stages 4 and 5 using a 5 decay class system)

and live tree QMD. Advanced decay dead wood volumes averaged 60.6 and 20.8 m³ ha-1, and QMD

averaged 29.4 and 26.3 cm for OG and SG stands respectively. Surprisingly, no spatially explicit

structural complexity indices were useful in predicting OG status. Our research shows that two measures

commonly applied in forest management can be used in the identification of OG NWC stands.

Page 121: Proceedings of the 8th Eastern CANUSA Forest Science Conference€¦ · concurrent oral presentations, a poster session and a half day field tour. Friday evening will also include

121

DETERMINING THE MECHANISM OF IMPACT OF HARDWOOD

CONTENT ON SPRUCE BUDWORM DEFOLIATION OF BALSAM

FIR

Bo Zhang(1), David MacLean(1)

(1) Forestry and Environmental Management, University of New Brunswick,

P.O. Box 4400, Fredericton, NB, E3B 5A3, Canada

[email protected]

ABSTRACT

Balsam fir (Abies balsamea (L.) Mill.) in mixedwood forests and landscapes with higher hardwood

content has been reported to have lower susceptibility and vulnerability than fir-dominated ones during

spruce budworm (Choristoneura fumiferana (Clem.)) outbreaks. Studies have suggested that the

hardwood "protective" effects have been attributed to higher parasitism rates of budworm and/or greater

larval dispersal losses with higher hardwood percentage. In this research, a field study was conducted in

the Gaspé area, Quebec, where a spruce budworm outbreak started in 2012, to examine budworm-

caused fir defoliation among different stand types and to explore the mechanism of the hardwood

"protective" effects. Three fir-hardwood stands in each of three hardwood content levels (0-25%, 40-

65%, and 75-95%) were selected to compare balsam fir defoliation, budworm population, and parasitism

rate on budworm. Ground traps were deployed to assess budworm first and second instar larval

dispersal. Preliminary results interpreted from 2013 to 2015 data showed that balsam fir defoliation

increased over the three years and peaked in 2015, during which mean annual defoliation for all sampled

stands reached 66%. Regression analyses demonstrated significant (p < 0.01) negative relationships

between defoliation and hardwood content for 2013 and 2014, but were not significant for 2015.

Regression slopes indicated that the hardwood "protective" effect was strongest in 2014. Mean annual

defoliation for softwood stands was about 20% and 60% higher than in mixedwood and hardwood

stands, respectively, in 2014. Differences in spruce budworm population, parasitism and dispersal data

as a function of hardwood content will be described.