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Federal Statistical Office of Germany FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO PRODUCER PRICE INDEX FOR WATER TRANSPORTATION IN GERMANY 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP

PRODUCER PRICE INDEX FOR WATER TRANSPORTATION IN GERMANYvoorburggroup.org/Documents/2009 Oslo/Papers/2009 - 52.pdf · PRODUCER PRICE INDEX FOR WATER TRANSPORTATION IN GERMANY 2009

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Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

PRODUCER PRICE INDEX FOR WATER TRANSPORTATION

IN GERMANY

2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP

Slide 2

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

DEFINITION OF THE SECTOR

Water transportation comprises

Maritime transport (continental and intercontinental)

Coastal (domestic) transport and

Inland water transport via rivers, lakes and other inlandwaterways

Slide 3

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Size of the industry

30.4 Bill EUR turnover in 2007, thereof

- 28,6 Bill for sea and coastal water transport

- 1.8 Bill EUR for inland water transport

Slide 4

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Market characteristics of sea and coastal water transport

Share in terms of total turnover, approximatelyFreight transport : 97 %

Passenger transport : 3 %

Slide 5

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Freight transport in sea and coastal water transport

Shares in terms of turnover, approximately60-65% liner shipment

25-30% Tramp shipping

<10% Roll-on-roll-of transports (mainly baltic sea)

Slide 6

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Special conditions or restrictions

Role of international sea conferences:

international price cartels

internationally forbidden since 18 October 2008

Present global economic crisis:

Decreasing transport performance

Hard price competition

Decreasing Freight rates

Restructuring of shipment agencies

Slide 7

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Sample designa) liner shipment

20 units report freight rates:

All dominant suppliers included

Stratified sampling for all other units.

criterion for selection: unit regularly performs representative maritime transports suitable for rate monitoring.

Inclusion of domestic companies with transportsunder foreign flags.

Slide 8

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Sample designb) roll-on, roll-off ferries

12 units in the price observation

Main data sources:

Internet: price lists

Additional information by telephone

Slide 9

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Sample designc) passenger transport

Information directly taken from the CPI (minus VAT)

Slide 10

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Sample designd) excluded: tramp shipping

Difficult to define representative transports comparable over time

Statistical burden for companies (model pricing might be possible)

Information from the trade press for transports used till 2003:

Number of price quotations varied stronglyLow significance of data

Slide 11

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

liner shipment:

Contract prices for repeated services

roll-on, roll-of-ferries and passenger transport:

Direct use of prices for repeated services (tariffs)

Contract prices (exception)

Main pricing method for water transport

Slide 12

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Collection of informationprinciples

Quarterly survey with monthly breakdown of data:

-- General sources for company‘s transport activities:

transport statistics and commercial sources.

-- Statistical services in consultation with companies choosea number of transport services.

-- Products selected are representative for the business.

-- Products are delivered regularly in the same way

-

Slide 13

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Collection of informationexample liner shipment

Reported are prices for 400 transported goods:

- basic rates plus

- currency adjustment factors plus

- surcharges (e.g. bunker oil and port charges),

minus

- price reductions.

Slide 14

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Collection of information, detailsexample liner shipment

Collection of freight rates for each type of good and each traffic relation.

For multimodal transport only the proportional freight rate for mere maritime transport is included.

Freight rates are collected in the original currency and converted to EURO.

Slide 15

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Specification of services example liner shipment

Services are specified as detailed as possible.

Major parameters:

- Origin and destination of transport,

- Weight or volume for non-containerised cargo,

- Size of container,

- type of container

(general, dangerous, refrigerated),

- need for services (load, unloading, storage).

Slide 16

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Calculation procedure, liner shipmentMultiple stage calculation:1. Statistics of maritim transport:

- quantities of goods transshipped in German sea ports,

liner trades

- Data grouped by traffic relations and product groups (in tons)

2. From price statistics:

- Average freight rates (container rates) recalculated to obtain freight rates per tonne.

Information necessary on specific weight of products, dimensions of products transported,types and size of containers

Slide 17

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Quality issues

Precise specification of transport services necessary, must be kept constant over time

Regular update of price quotations from “old” transports to new and similar transports

Certain “redundance” of price quotations is desirable.

reduction of liner shipment due to economic crisis requires extra-efforts for statistics

Slide 18

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

ResultsDistinction between

Total trades

- homeward-bound trades,

- outward-bound trades

Regional breakdown of results:All regions

- Europe,

- Africa,

- America and

- Asia/Australia-

Slide 19

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Producer price index for maritim water transportation in Germany

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

1. Q. 06 2. Q. 06 3. Q. 06 4. Q. 06 1. Q. 07 2. Q. 07 3. Q. 07 4. Q. 07 1. Q. 08 2. Q. 08 3. Q. 08 4. Q. 08 1. Q. 09 2. Q. 09 3. Q. 09 4. Q. 09

maritim w ater transports, total freight transports RoRo- transports Passenger transports

Slide 20

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Index of freight rates of liner trades2006 = 100

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

1/ 00 2/ 00 3/ 00 4/ 00 1/ 01 2/ 01 3/ 01 4/ 01 1/ 02 2/ 02 3/ 02 4/ 02 1/ 03 2/ 03 3/ 03 4/ 03 1/ 04 2/ 04 3/ 04 4/ 04 1/ 05 2/ 05 3/ 05 4/ 05 1/ 06 2/ 06 3/ 06 4/ 06 1/ 07 2/ 07 3/ 07 4/ 07 1/ 08 2/ 08 3/ 08 4/ 08 1/ 09 2/ 09 3/ 09 4/ 09

Freight transports Europe Africa America Asia/Australia

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO

Discussion ?!

Roemer Peter, Destatis GermanyTelefone: ++49 (0) 611 75-2332 E-Mail: [email protected]