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« Public debt management’s insight on trend and policies to promote secondary markets in medium size markets » ---- West African Monetary Union Public Debt Market Washington, April 25 th

Public debt management’s insight on trend and policies to promote secondary markets ...pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/968031493316235793/Adrien-Diouf... · « Public debt management’s

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Page 1: Public debt management’s insight on trend and policies to promote secondary markets ...pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/968031493316235793/Adrien-Diouf... · « Public debt management’s

« Public debt management’s insight on trend and policies to promote secondary markets in medium size markets »

----West African Monetary Union Public Debt Market

Washington, April 25th

Page 2: Public debt management’s insight on trend and policies to promote secondary markets ...pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/968031493316235793/Adrien-Diouf... · « Public debt management’s

I. Background information

II. Secondary market : situation and main challenges

III. Outlook - Expectations

2017 World Bank Conference

Page 3: Public debt management’s insight on trend and policies to promote secondary markets ...pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/968031493316235793/Adrien-Diouf... · « Public debt management’s

2017 World Bank Government Bond Market Conference

I. Background Information

WAMU Zone : Key figures

• WAMU Zone was created in May

12, 1962

• Made up originally of 7 countries :

Bénin, Burkina – Faso, Côte

d’Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Sénégal and

Togo;

• Guinee – Bissau joined the WAMU

on May 2nd, 1997

• Single currency union : XOF (CFA)

• Currency pegged to the Euro at

the rate : 1 Euro = 655,957 XOF;

• Independent Central Bank :

BCEAO

• Area : 3 509 600 km²

• Population (millions) : 112,4

• Population growth rate : 3,5%

• 2016 nominal GDP (estimation) :

58 199,60 billions CFA

• 2016 estimated growth rate :

6,8%

• Annual inflation rate : 0,3%;

• 2016 Debt/ GDP rate : 46%;

• Debt composition : External debt

represents 2/3 of the total public

debt

• Central Bank of West African

countries used to lend directly

money to states members to

cover budgetary deficit and cash

shortfalls;

• End of that system in 1999

• Reduction of the foreign aid to

WAEMU countries due to financial

and economic crisis

• Ambitious infrastructure and

development plans of the states

members

WAMU Zone : Creation and membersWAMU Zone : Key economic

indicatorsFinancing issues of the States

Members

Page 4: Public debt management’s insight on trend and policies to promote secondary markets ...pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/968031493316235793/Adrien-Diouf... · « Public debt management’s

2017 World Bank Government Bond Market Conference

Agence UMOA Titres : History and missions

• 1999, switch from a funding from the central Bank to

funding from the Capital markets: mission assigned

to CB

• 2008 Financial Crisis and drop in public aid and

launch of development plan: Identification of financial

markets as main source of funding;

• In 2013, the Council of Ministers of WAMU state’s

members decided to create the Agence UMOA Titres

by in order to boost the public securities market;

• End of 2013, launch of operations

• Support of the issuance and management of public

securities and debt and treasury management;

• Identify the most suitables means to raise financial

resources required for state financing on regional and

international capital markets;

• Diversification of the investor base: national, regional

and international;

• Work with the institutions concerned, notably the

BCEAO and the Regional Council for Public Savings

and Financial Markets (CREPMF), to ensure the

proper functioning and the deepening of the

regional financial market

History of the Agence UMOA Titres Missions

I. Background Information

Page 5: Public debt management’s insight on trend and policies to promote secondary markets ...pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/968031493316235793/Adrien-Diouf... · « Public debt management’s

2017 World Bank Government Bond Market Conference

Agence UMOA Titres : Main tasks

• Providing assistance to WAMUmember states’ treasury department regarding :

• market issue strategy development, and issuance structuring :planning and defining the characteristics of the issues

based on states’ financing needs, expected macroeconomic trends and the need for sustainability in national public

finances;

• coordination of the issuing schedules of WAMU member states through a yearly calendar;

• helping national treasuries develop management frameworks for market risks, counterparty risks and operational risks

inherent in public debt securities management;

• operational management of regional market issues through hands-on management of securities issues and

monitoring of their settlement on behalf of national treasuries;

• assisting national treasuries in their international market transactions through organization of securities issues

(foreign currency bonds or Eurobonds);

• Sovereign Debt Market deepening project: Trading platform, information, standardization …..

I. Background Information

Page 6: Public debt management’s insight on trend and policies to promote secondary markets ...pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/968031493316235793/Adrien-Diouf... · « Public debt management’s

2017 World Bank Government Bond Market Conference

WAMU Zone : Primary dealer system

• Since March 2016,

establishment of the primary

dealer system

• 29 primary dealers with 23

commercial banks and 6 brokers

• Advantages : Targeted auctions,

access to non competitive bids,

differed payment of the amount

subscribed in an auction, …

• Requirements: subscribe to 5% of

the amount of each auction,

market making for the secondary

market, advising and providing

information to treasury

departments and AUT

For the first 12 months of

operations, the PD were able toachieve the following:

Out of a total volume issuedof 3 388.2 billion CFA, thePD were responsible formore than 55%;

Out of a total volume of805.5 billion CFA reservedfor PD on a Non CompetitiveBids, the PD subscribed formore than 15%.

• Subscribe to 5% of the

amount of each auction;

• Obligation to intervene on

the secondary market :

acting on 2at least 2% of

securities and repos trades

each semester);

• Give prices of benchmark

securities on a weekly basis

Composition, Advantages and

RequirementsRecent trends Market making

I. Background Information

Page 7: Public debt management’s insight on trend and policies to promote secondary markets ...pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/968031493316235793/Adrien-Diouf... · « Public debt management’s

2017 World Bank Government Bond Market Conference

II. Main challenges of secondary market development

WAMU Zone : A dynamic primary market

894.10

1689.70

1541.02

259.10

808.40

2871.04

90.00

245.00

620.00 584.84

0.00

500.00

1000.00

1500.00

2000.00

2500.00

3000.00

3500.00

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Public Securities auction amounts (in billions XOF)

T- Bills Bonds Eurobonds

Page 8: Public debt management’s insight on trend and policies to promote secondary markets ...pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/968031493316235793/Adrien-Diouf... · « Public debt management’s

2017 World Bank Government Bond Market Conference

WAMU Zone : Weaker activity on the secondary market

106,424

442,820

478,733

87,075

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

2014 (from April) 2015 2016 2017 (till March)

Secondary market transactions since 2014

VOLUME TRANSIGE

NOMBRE D'INTERVENANT

NOMBRE DE TRANSACTION

II. Main challenges of secondary market development

Page 9: Public debt management’s insight on trend and policies to promote secondary markets ...pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/968031493316235793/Adrien-Diouf... · « Public debt management’s

2017 World Bank Government Bond Market Conference

WAMU Zone : Secondary market main challenges

• Amortizable bonds

• Small notional amounts

• Short term securities

Securities characteristics

• Huge part of investors are commercial banks trading for their own account or for few clients

• Direct access to auction market: only allowed to FI with an account at the Central Bank

• Market fragmentation : auction vs syndication market

Securities market infrastructure

• Late implementation of a deal booking system for OTC market

• No price discovery

• No trading platform

• No yield curve

Lack of information and transparency

II. Main challenges of secondary market development

Page 10: Public debt management’s insight on trend and policies to promote secondary markets ...pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/968031493316235793/Adrien-Diouf... · « Public debt management’s

2017 World Bank Government Bond Market Conference

III. Outlook, Expectations

Standardization of securities

Issuing on all the maturities of the yield curve

Type of amortization : all the securities till 5 years are in fine

Increasing the notional amount of outstanding securities through

reopening

Increasing the maturity of securities

Infrastructure

Enhance market transparency

Building a yield curve

Quotation and transaction platform

Benchmark policy

Broadening and diversifying Investors base

Enlarge the scope and profile of investors and

attract international investors

Lower sector based concentration and

systemic risk

Extend market liquidity

Others developments

Rating of countries

Monetary policy decisions

Introduction of Basel II/ Basel III

Outlook , Expectations of the WAMU Zone market

Page 11: Public debt management’s insight on trend and policies to promote secondary markets ...pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/968031493316235793/Adrien-Diouf... · « Public debt management’s

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!