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Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public Finance Monitoring Center) [email protected] ; [email protected] Baku, Azerbaijan 31 October 2012

Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

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Page 1: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

Public Finance Monitoring Center

Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management

and transparency

Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public Finance Monitoring Center)

[email protected]; [email protected]

Baku, Azerbaijan31 October 2012

Page 2: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

Structure

SOFAZ’s history, mission and general governance

SOFAZ’s asset management process

SOFAZ’s revenue management and state budget

SOFAZ’s durability in global financial turmoil

Accession to EITI and the role of civil society

International principles and indices

Main conclusions and findings

Page 3: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

SOFAZ’s history, mission and general governance

The State Oil Fund of the Republic of Azerbaijan (SOFAZ) was established in accordance with the decree of the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan dated December 29, 1999 "On Establishment of the State Oil Fund of the Republic of Azerbaijan“.

Mission of the SOFAZ is to ensure collection and effective management of foreign currency and other assets that are generated from the implementation of agreements signed in the field of oil and gas exploration, and development, as well as from the SOFAZ's own activities, in the interest of citizens and future generations.

SOFAZ's activities in the field of assets accumulation and spending are overseen by a Supervisory Board (7 members), but daily management is vested with the Executive Director (board members and executive director appointed by and accountable to the President).

Page 4: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

SOFAZ’s asset management process (1) The Fund’s assets form on the account of the following sources: revenues generated from implementing agreements on exploration,

development and production sharing for oil and gas fields; as well as other agreements on oil and gas exploration, development and

transportation entered into between the State Oil Company of the Republic of Azerbaijan (SOCAR) and investors;

net revenues from the sale of hydrocarbons falling on the share of Azerbaijan; oil and gas agreements signature or performance bonuses paid by investors to

the SOCAR; acreage payments due to the SOCAR from investors for the use of contract

area in connection with oil and gas exploration and development; dividends and profit participation revenues falling on the share of Azerbaijan in

connection with oil and gas agreements implementation; revenues generated from oil and gas passing over the territory of Azerbaijan by

means of the Baku-Supsa, Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan and Baku-Tbilisi-Erzerum export pipelines;

revenues generated from the transfer of assets from investors to the SOCAR within the framework of oil and gas agreements;

revenues generated from the placement, management, sale or other utilization of the Fund's assets and revenues from asset revaluation and other related revenues;

grant and other free aid.

Page 5: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

SOFAZ’s asset management process (2) The purpose of management of the SOFAZ foreign currency assets

is to hold foreign currency assets securely and to generate revenues by effective management. The Fund is an extra-budgetary institution.

Outside the country, the current accounts of the SOFAZ open with banks rated by reputable international rating agencies such as Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Fitch with a long-term credit rating not lower than: "AA-" - as defined by Standard & Poor's, Fitch or "Aa3" - as defined by Moody's.

The Fund's counterparties at international financial markets are institutions with long term credit ratings not less than BBB (by Standard and Poor's), BBB (by Fitch) or  Baa (by Moody's).

The Fund's assets under management are placed in investment grade rated banks and instruments.

Page 6: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

Funding and withdrawals

Oil Receipts

Includes:Revenues from sales of oil and gasBonus paymentsRoyalties (acreage fees)Transit fees

SOFAZ budget – part of consolidated budget

Revenues

Asset management revenues

Expenditure

Operational Expenditures

Directly financed strategic projects

Transfers to the State Budget

SOFAZ’s investment portfolio

USD 32.36bn (as of 31.03.2012) (35% saving – 2011)

Surplus

Page 7: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

SOFAZ's assets (bln.$)

0.369

Increasing up to 44 times

16.2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

Page 8: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

SOFAZ’s asset management process (3) The maximum weight of one financial institution or one investment in the

investment portfolio of the Fund is set at 15 per cent of the total amount of the investment portfolio.

50 per cent of the Fund’s total investment portfolio is to be invested in assets denominated in US Dollars, 40 per cent in assets denominated in Euro, 5 per cent in assets denominated in British Pounds.

Up to 60 per cent of the Fund’s investment portfolio can be managed by external managers.

The assets given to an individual external manager cannot exceed 15 per cent of the total investment portfolio.

Geographically the assets of the SOFAZ are distributed as follows: 73.66 per cent are placed in Europe, 10.82 per cent in North America, 8.04 per cent in international financial institutions, while 4.31 per cent are invested Asia and others.

1 October 2010: SOFAZ’s assets are amounting to a total $21,720.8 billion.

Page 9: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

SOFAZ’s transfers to state budget (1USD = 0.8 AZN)

YearsSOFAZ’s transfers to state budget

(million AZN)Growth

dynamics

Share in state budget

Share in SOFAZ’s

expenditures

2003 100 -- 8.2% 41%

2004 130 30.0%8.6% 77%

2005 150 15.4%7.2% 70%

2006 585 290.0%15.6% 59.6%

2007 585 0.0%9.7% 55.1%

2008 1100 88.0%35.3% 88.5%

2009 4915 346.8%40.4% 92.8%

2010 5915 20.3%51.4% 90.5%

2011 6480 9.6% 53.7% 94.9%

Page 10: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

SOFAZ’s projects financing (from creation to midterm period of 2010)1. Financing of the participation of Azerbaijan in “Heydar Aliyev BTC Main Export

Pipeline Project” (the project's financing closed in 2006) – 372.5 million $

2. Settlement of the problems of refugees and internally displaced persons – 866.25 million $

3.

Construction of the “Oguz-Qabala-Baku” water supply system – 825 million $ 

4. Reconstruction of the “Samur-Absheron” irrigation system – 593 million $ 

5. Transfers to the state budget – 17.4 billion $

6. Formation of the statutory capital of the State Investment Company (implemented in 2006) – 112.5 million $

7. Financing "Baku-Tbilisi-Kars” railway – 63.75 million $

8. Financing "The state program on the education of Azerbaijan youth abroad in the years 2007-2015" – 17.5 miilion $

9. Repayment of SOCAR’s share in the project on joint exploration and development of Azeri, Chirag and Guneshli oilfields – 109.5 million $

Page 11: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

SOFAZ’s durability in global financial turmoil

The global financial crisis affected the activities of SOFAZ regarding its reduced income.

Profitability of SOFAZ’s assets fell down to the 3.79 % annually in 2009.

The yield from SOFAZ funds managed by foreigners aside from the World Bank treasury was close to zero in 2009.

The volatility of the Dollar and the Euro since early 2010 has affected the amount of SOFAZ’s assets.

Page 12: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

Moving to new investment strategy

Page 13: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

Accession to EITI and the role of civil society

Azerbaijan has already joined the Extractive Industry Transparency Initiative (EITI) in 2004 and is actively working under this framework.

Recent assessments have revealed that SOFAZ’s reporting is relatively consistent with all principles of EITI – therefore country became the first full EITI member.

EITI is one of the few platforms where active interaction between government, companies and NGOs has concrete positive results.

Page 14: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

International principles and indicesLinaburg-Maduell Transparency Index

Page 15: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

Revenue WatchIndex 2010

Page 16: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

Open BudgetIndex 2010

Page 17: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

Linkage between transparency and national income

Page 18: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

Main conclusions and findings

Transfers from SOFAZ to the state budget aren't limited by government, but it should not exceed 20-30 % of the total assets.

SOFAZ invests the assets mostly to low-profit and guaranteed bonds in order to avoid open market risks.

The Fund actively joined the EITI transparency process which is important for long-term institutional building.

It would make a sense if the SOFAZ was subordinated to the Parliament as collegial body instead of the President.

SOFAZ’s activities should be regulated by law instead of regulatory acts.

The government doesn’t create adequate opportunity for civil society organizations to be elected to SOFAZ’s Board.

There is fragile linkage between SOFAZ’s asset management policy with general fiscal and macroeconomic policy.

Page 19: Public Finance Monitoring Center Managing the national oil fund in Azerbaijan: asset management and transparency Kenan Aslanli (Senior economist, Public

Many thanks for attention..!

E-mail: [email protected]