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Pupil Place Planning. Presentation to Chairs’ and Governors’ Forum 7 February 2012 Alan Wharton. Demand for Primary Pupil Places. Meeting demand (primary) 1. Most primary pupils attend schools close to home. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Pupil Place PlanningPresentation to Chairs’ and Governors’ Forum
7 February 2012
Alan Wharton
Demand for Primary Pupil Places
Primary School Capacity and Placements
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
Yr
20
06
Yr
20
07
Yr
20
08
Yr
20
09
Yr
20
10
Yr
20
11
Yr
20
12
Yr
20
13
Yr
20
14
Yr
20
15
Yr
20
16
outside borough community
outside borough going to faithschools
Number going to schoolsoutside of borough
Number of Westminsterresidents going to WestminsterschoolsCapacity official
Population Aged 4 - 10
Capacity tribal
Meeting demand (primary) 1• Most primary pupils attend schools close to home.• Overall need for equivalent of 2 forms of entry in the
north and 1 form of entry in the south.• ARK Atwood has delivered a 2 FE school in the NW
area, currently able to provide R, Y1 and Y2, pending completion of the new purpose-built school.
• A free school proposal from Constable Education Trust has been made for the college site in Cosway Street, an area of rising demand.
• The DfE is the decision maker for free schools, but the Council is not opposed in principle to free schools.
Meeting demand (primary) 2• A free school has also be proposed for the South,
which would deliver the required number of spaces, and options are being considered.
• The School Organisation and Investment Strategy approved by Cllr Aiken in February states that the Council will support free schools with Council land and property provided there is demonstrated demand.
• Government Planning policy requires local planning authorities to give support to free schools.
Demand for Secondary Pupil Places
Secondary schools
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Yr
2006
Yr
2007
Yr
2008
Yr
2009
Yr
2010
Yr
2011
Yr
2012
Yr
2013
Yr
2014
Yr
2015
Yr
2016
Number of outsideresidents coming toWestminster schools
Number going to schoolsoutside of borough
Number of Westminsterresidents going toWestminster schools
Population Aged 11-15
Capacity
Meeting demand (secondary)• In overall terms the Council has sufficient
places available.• Many pupils come from other boroughs.• A new successful school will draw extra pupils.• Neighbouring boroughs are also developing
new secondary schools/academies.• Further statistical evidence on demand will be
available shortly.
Housing Benefit Caps
There are over 4,000 children and young people living in the impacted households for both the primary and secondary sector. It is estimated that Westminster could potentially lose 17% of primary school age children and 11% of their 11 to 13 year old pupils.
Housing Benefit Caps –potential impact on existing school
populationPaddington Green (34% loss)St Augustine’s (25% loss)Hallfield Infants* (24% loss)St James and St Michaels (23% loss)Edward Wilson Primary (21% loss)Hallfield Juniors* (21% loss)
* Statistics compiled early 2011
Approved Policies, February 2012• The Council will seek to enlarge the capacity of schools where provision is less than a
full year group where the opportunity exists, i.e. from 45 to 60 places,• where opportunity exists, and subject to viability in terms of education provision,
standards and performance, building feasibility and value for money, to reduce the number of 1 form entry schools in favour of two form entry schools,
• the Council will promote the contribution of established providers, i.e. community schools and VA schools across the City,
• where new school provision is required to meet evidence of demand, the Council will seek to enlarge or amalgamate existing schools, and where a new school is required will open this to competition,
• will encourage the new free schools to compete with existing providers where a new school is required to meet demand, and only where that criteria is met will consider the contribution of Council owned land, whether that land is held for education purposes or not,
• will deal with proposals by free schools and academies to take over existing schools on their merits,
• all other proposals by independent providers, free schools and academies, will be dealt with on a commercial basis.
Governors Presentation 7 February2012
key principles for school organisation1. Demographics
Demand for places in the area/cluster for any services provided from
school sites, including Early Years, Nursery, Primary, Secondary, Secondary, Post 16, SEN or other special provision, and extended services.
How might demand on one site be matched against opportunities at another site within the area/cluster.
2. Educational Attainment
Performance issues and challenges. Popularity of schools including parental preference. Extent to which property issues are relevant to raising attainment and
preference.
3. Value for Money
Relationship between meeting demand and raising attainment, and potential property solutions (improvement, replacement or other solution)
4. Early Years, Special Needs, and Extended Services
Current known demand and provision and future trends Preferred property solutions by type and location compared to existing
facilities.
5. School organisation options
Expansion of existing sites Establishment of all-through schools Enlargement to 4 or 5 FE Amalgamation Bulge classes Community or Faith Schools Conversion to Academy status Role of free schools in the area
6. Property issues
Condition of buildings including recent capital works, programmed
capital works both funded centrally or from Devolved Formula Capital or LCVAP
Sufficiency and suitability of existing buildings Planning issues including s106 obligations Land transactions including sale of surplus land and building, and
renting buildings not required for services.
Governors Presentation 7 February2012
Information available - overall Demand Westminster overallEarly Years and Children’s Centres New childcare provision required for children aged 2 and abovePrimary Schools Requirement for two additional forms in the north, one in the south (free school already in
place in the north) but additional provision required in the NE area. Detailed statistics available
Secondary Schools Deferred demand related to primary provision, but note cross borough movement. New provision coming up in Camden and RBKC
Alternative Provision and PRU New PRU at Marlborough Hill in 2012Special Educational Needs New provision needed for S&L and high level autism, to reduce reliance on out of borough
placementsPost 16 New duty towards for LDD aged 19-25
Performance and StandardsFloor Standard L4+ in English and Maths TBA
Core Property DataDrawings Originally produced for PCP in 2009, required by PfS for Data Survey 2012
Condition Survey Rolling programme by Enterprise for WCC, Diocese for VA schools, required by PfS for Data Survey 2012
Sufficiency Derived from computerized floor plans and room titles on a formula basis
Suitability 2005 data on spreadsheets, Mouchel Survey 2009 on spreadsheets and summary,
Running Costs Held by schools, as paid locally
Governors Presentation 7 February2012
Information available -applied to an areaDemand Planning Area 1 Maida Vale – example. Adjoins Area 3 (Church Street)
Essendine, Paddington Green, Wilberforce, St Augustine’s, St Joseph’s RC, St Luke’s CE, St Peter’s CE, St Saviours, Queen’s Park Primaries
Early Years and Children’s Centres Essendine Sch ECM building and private nursery issues to resolve.Improvements and additional provision possible at Paddington Green School.
Primary Schools Predicted 8.5% rise in pupil numbers to 2025 (285 pupils). Potential drop of 29.5% due to Housing Benefit caps.ARK Atwood free school opened Sept 2011, moving to Amberley Rd in 2014.Paddington Green expanded to 2FE in 2004. Potential scope for additional expansion for Church Street if adjoining land in Crompton St is redeveloped (including YOT and WALC).Essendine took additional bulge reception year in 2010Paddington Green and St Luke’s raised as priorities in Strategy for Change
Secondary Schools Paddington Academy and St George’s RC School expanded from 4 to 5 FE (BSF)Alternative Provision and PRU Beachcroft moving to Marlborough Hill in 2012. Potential to relocate YOT (TBA) and
WALC (Tresham Crescent)Special Educational Needs Additional site for S&L and high level autism required. Post 16 Potential redevelopment of North Paddington Boys Club Lanark Road
Performance and StandardsFloor Standard L4+ in English and Maths
Core Property DataDrawings Available on CAD for primaries, other Children’s Services to be commissioned.
Secondary schools on BSF filesCondition Survey Schools to review from summary data produced for Strategy for Change.
Capital programme 2012-13 for Paddington Green SchoolSufficiency Calculation from CAD plansSuitability See summary from Strategy for ChangeRunning Costs Schools have data from payments locally.Compliance To be assessed (asbestos, Access and Equality, electrical, etc)
Governors Presentation 7 February2012
Next steps• Schools considered in locality clusters
• Agree key principles to use
• Data to be circulated in advance – previous condition surveys from Schofield Lothian, and other data as available
• Get feedback from schools on condition surveys, scoring priorities, and compliance
• Groups to consider demand and need, and the options that might be available.