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FinnairQ1 2015 Result
7 May 2015CEO Pekka Vauramo, Interim CFO Mika Stirkkinen
1 Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 2015
Turbulent market environment
• The weakness of the Finnish economy continued to be reflected in the demand in the first quarter, particularly in the package tour market.
• There were weak signs of a recovery in the demand for consumer and business travel.
• Appreciation of several income currencies supported unit revenue improvement in long haultraffic.
• The appreciation of the dollar diluted the benefit gained from the substantial decrease in the price of jet fuel.
• In cargo traffic, continued capacity growth between Asia and Europe put further downward pressure on yields.
• Finnair’s market share increased significantly in European traffic and fell slightly in Asian traffic.*
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 20152
*Finnair’s estimate based on MIDT data collected on the sales volumes of travel agencies and Finnair’s estimates of airlines’ sales through their own sales channels, such as websites.
Revenue at last years level, OperationalEBIT improved
• Revenue flat y-o-y 540.4 M€– Passenger revenue grew– Revenue from Suntours and Cargo decreased– Loss of external revenue from sold operations
• Operational result-28.4 M€, +17%
• Airline business unit revenue at constantcurrency -0,4%
• Unit cost excluding fuel, at constant currency+1,1 %
3
Revenue and operational result, M€
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 2015
* Operational result (EBIT), excluding non-recurring items and changes in the fair value of derivatives and in the value of foreign currency denominated fleet maintenance reserves.
-6%
-3%
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
15%
18%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Q1/
11Q
2/11
Q3/
11Q
4/11
Q1/
12Q
2/12
Q3/
12Q
4/12
Q1/
13Q
2/13
Q3/
13Q
4/13
Q1/
14Q
2/14
Q3/
14Q
4/14
Q1/
15
Revenue Operational EBIT, %
Positive trend in passenger traffic revenue, revenue from Travel services decreases
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 20154
0
100,000,000
200,000,000
300,000,000
400,000,000
500,000,000
600,000,000
Q1 2014 Q1 2015
Passenger revenue Ancillary servicesCargo OtherTravel Services
543.3 M€ 540.4 M€
+5,8 %
-17,5 %-12 %
-17,7 %
+14 %
• Passenger traffic ticket revenue and ancillary sales grew y-o-y.
• Cargo revenue decreased, but profitability improved due to discontinuation of the cargo freighter flights to Asia.
• Other Group External revenue decreased after the sale of Travel Retail store operations and Finncatering businesses.
• Travel Services' revenue fell significantly due to decreased demand and subsequent adjustment of Suntours package tour supply.
Passenger revenue grew in line with capacity, discontinuation of cargo freighter flights to Asia visible in Cargo numbers
5
North America**
ASK 11.3 %
RPK 7.5 %
PLF -2.8 %-p
Revenue* 3.9 %
Europe
ASK 5.8 %
RPK 3.2 %
PLF -1.9 %-p
Revenue* 5.1 %
Total Traffic
ASK 3.1 %
RPK 2.3 %
PLF -0.6 %-p
Revenue* 3.1 %
Asia
ASK 1.1 %
RPK 1.2 %
PLF 0.1 %-p
Revenue* 1.4 %
Domestic
ASK -6.0 %
RPK -0.1 %
PLF 4.2 %-p
Revenue* 2.3 %
Cargo
ATK 3.3 %
RTK -14.6 %
OLF -11.1 %-p
Revenue -15.3 %43%
41%
10%6%
Asia Europe
Domestic North America Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 2015
*Passenger revenue.**Atlantic Joint Business revenue contribution included.
Passenger revenue split
Flybe Nordic acquisition and ownership negotiations• On 31 March 2015, Flybe Nordic was transferred to Finnair’s ownership on an
interim basis.
• Following the acquisition, Finnair continued negotiations with Staffpoint and GWS regarding the future ownership of Flybe Nordic.
• Finnair expands its contract flying agreement with Flybe Finland from 1 May 2015 onwards to cover all routes operated by Flybe Finland at its own commercial risk from Helsinki.
• The change in ownership and the expansion of the contract flying agreement will not have a significant financial impact on Finnair in 2015.
• Flybe Finland Oy name will be changed to Nordic Regional Airlines.
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 20156
Outlook for 2015
Finnair estimates that:
In 2015, its capacity measured in Available Seat Kilometres will grow by approximately 3 per cent and that its revenue will remain at the 2014 level.
Finnair estimates that its 2015 unit costs excluding fuel at constant currency will decrease from the 2014 level.
The lower price of jet fuel and the full impact from the completed savings program are supporting the financial performance of Finnair in 2015.
As a separate guidance and calculated using the exchange rates effective at the end of the review period, Finnair estimates that the non-recurring items associated with the long haul fleet renewal in 2015 will have a substantial positive impact on Finnair’s operating result due to the strengthened US dollar.
*The full outlook can be found from Financial Statements Bulletin 2014Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 20157
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 20158
Strategy
9
Vision:
Unique Nordic Experience
Mission:
Finnair offers the smoothest, fastest connections in the northern
hemisphere via Helsinki the best network to the world from its home markets.
Strategic objectives:
Double Asian traffic by 2020 from the 2010 level Deliver a unique customer experience and achieve
world-class operations Create shareholder value
Strategy Review 2015-2017
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 2015
Strategic focus areas
10
Customer excellence
Intercontinental growth with Northeast Asia focus
People and Finnair culture
Digitalization
Funding & capital structure
World-class operations
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 2015
Financial Targets
11
EBIT margin 6% over cycle
EBITDAR margin minimum of 17% over cycle
Adjusted gearing maximum of 175%
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) minimum of 7%
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 2015
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 201512
Financials
Changes in the calculation method and reporting of unit revenues and - costs
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 2015
13
6.05
Q1 RASKNew 2015
Fx effect
2. New constant currency calculation principle
5.93
RASK at constant currency
4.82
Q1 CASK ex. Fuel
New 2015
Fx effect
2. New constant currency calculation principle
4.66
CASK ex. Fuel at constant currency
5.81
Q1 RASK2014
Q1 CASK ex. Fuel
2014
1. Technical adjustments
FlyBe
Other adjustments
In flight 5.96
4.37
1. Technical adjustments
4.61
ChangesYoY
Q1 CASK ex. Fuel
New 2014
Q1 RASKNew 2014
FlyBe
In flightChanges
YoY
Other adjustments
Airline business: Q1 RASK & CASK development
1.7 %
-0.4 %1.4 %
4.7 %1.1 %
-5.9 %-0.1 %-6.6 %
20.3 %6.4 %
-2.2 %-0.3 %
10.1 %
-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
RASK, unit revenueRASK at constant currency
CASK, unit costCASK, excluding fuel
CASK, excluding fuel, at constant currencyFuel
Staff costsDepreciation & lease expenses
Traffic chargesGround handling
CateringMaintenance
Other expences*
Change, %
14 Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 2015
• Unit cost excluding fuel, at constant currency 1,1 %• Unit revenue at constant currency -0,4 %
IncludingFx and hedging
* Including Group management- , IT-, sales and marketing expences and other rents (Flybe)
Key figures Q1 2015 Q1 2014 Change % 2014
Revenue and resultRevenue, EUR million 540.4 543.3 -0.5 2,284.5Operational result, EBIT, EUR million -28.4 -34.2 17.1 -36.5Operational result, % of turnover -5.2 -6.3 1,0 %-p -1.6Operating result, EBIT, EUR million -8.3 -28.4 70.9 -72.5Operational EBITDAR, EUR million 19.2 17.4 10.0 176.6Result before taxes, EUR million -12.1 -33.9 64.3 -99.1Net result, EUR million -9.8 -28.1 65.0 -82.5Balance sheet and cash flowGross investment, EUR million 12.4 33.1 -62.4 82.4Net cash flow from operating activities, EUR million 13.0 -20.5 163.2 24.2ShareShare price at the end of quarter, EUR 3.20 2.69 2.48Earnings per share from the result of the period, EUR * -0.08 -0.22 65.1 -0.65Earnings per share, EUR -0.09 -0.24 60.5 -0.71
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 201515
Key Figures
* Before Hybrid Bond interest
Operational result in Q1 2014 vs. Q1 2015
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 201516
-34.2-28.4
1.4
6.2
-21.0
-1.3
-10.9
-8.9
9.7
26.3
-0.11.72.7
-40.0
-30.0
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
Segment results: Airline Business
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 201517
80 %
9 %
6 % 5 %
Airline Business revenue511 M€
Pax revenue Cargo Other Ancillary
• Segment profitability significantly improved y-o-y, result still at loss• Passenger revenue and ancillary sales grew significantly• Cargo share of segment revenue decreased mainly due to discontinuation of
dedicated cargo freighter flights, Cargo profitability improved substancially
Key figures 1–32015
1–32014
Change %
1–12 2014
Revenue and resultRevenue, EUR million 510.8 508.1 0.5 2,167.7Operational result, EUR million -24.1 -34.5 30.1 -43.5Operating result, EBIT, EUR million -3.8 -28.2 86.4 -78.4
Operating result, % of revenue -4.7 -6.8 2.1%-p -3.6PersonnelAverage number of employees 3,976 4,533 -12.3 4,232
Segment result: Travel Services
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 201518
• The revenue of declined substantially y-o-y due to decreased demand and subsequent adjustment of Suntours package tour supply.
• The profitability of Suntours fell short of expectations in spite of the restructuring of operations and the result showed a substantial loss.
• The revenue of the business travel agency SMT was flat y-o-y and its operational result showed a slight profit.
Key figures 1–32015
1–32014
Change %
1–12 2014
Revenue and resultRevenue, EUR million 61.2 74.2 -17.5 216.7Operational result, EUR million -4.3 0.3 <-200 7.0Operating result, EBIT, EUR million -4.4 -0.3 <-200 5.9
Operating result, % of revenue -7.0 0.4 -7.4%-p 2.7 PersonnelAverage number of employees 588 704 -16.4 645
Operating costs 573 M€, -1.6% Fuel largest cost item
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 201519
Muutos, %
-9.8 %
23.2 %
29.1 %
-5.5 %
4.2 %
-24.9 %
-4.4 %
21.1 %
-4.2 %
0.1 %
-6.0 %
-1.6 %
-40% -20% 0% 20% 40%
Other expenses
Sales and marketing
Leasing
Tour operations
Maintenance
Depreciation
Other rental payments
Traffic charges
Ground handling and catering
Staff costs
Fuel
Total
26%
16%
11%11%
9%
7%
6%
5%
4%4% 3%
Fuel Staff costsTraffic charges Ground handling and cateringOther costs Other rental paymentsMaintenance DepreciationTour operations LeasingSales and marketing
53%39%
8%
EUR USD* Others
64%13%
7%
6%
5%3% 2%
EUR Others JPY SEK CNY KRW USD
Currency Split, Q1
Sales currencies
20 Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 201520
Purchase currencies
Fuel, spot-price development
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200USD/Tonne
Swaps 31.03.2015
Swaps 31.12.2014
Swaps 31.12.2013
Swaps 31.12.2012
Swaps 31.12.2011
Swaps 31.12.2010
Realised price
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 201521
Jet fuel December 2009 – March 2015
USD appreciation and hedges diluted the benefit from fuel price decrease
• Q1 2014 Hedging loss 3.4 Mill. Eur
• Q1 2015 Hedging loss 37.2 Mill. Eur
Q1 Comparable fuel cost, M€
161 151
1
33-71
27
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Q1/2014 Volume Price Currency Hedgingdeviation
Q1/2015
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 201522
Net debt 123 M€ negative, Cash 516 M€
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q 2015
Strong Balance Sheet
Equity ratio Gearing Adjusted gearing
%
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 201523
-150
0
150
300
450
600
2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q 2015
Good Cash position
Net cash flow from operating activitiesGross capital expenditureCash and Cash equvalents
M€
Rolling Hedging policy
Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 201524
Hedging positions as of 31 March 2015Hedging ratio for 2015: 64 %
• Finnair hedges jet fuel consumption 24 months ahead within the limits defined in the hedging policy.
• Finnair’s fuel purchases are 71% hedged for the H1 and 58% for the H2 of 2015.
• The company protects itself against the risks of currency, interest rate and jet fuel positions by using different derivative instruments, such as forward contracts, swaps and options.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%hedge ratio upper lower
Thank you
25 Finnair Q1 2015 Result, 7 May 2015