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Forward-looking statements Except for the historical information contained herein, the matters discussed in this statement include forward-looking statements. In particular, all statements that express forecasts, expectations and projections with respect to future matters, including trends in results of operations, margins, growth rates, overall market trends, the impact of interest or exchange rates, the availability of financing, anticipated costs savings and synergies and the execution of Pearson's strategy, are forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in future. They are based on numerous assumptions regarding Pearson's present and future business strategies and the environment in which it will operate in the future. There are a number of factors which could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements, including a number of factors outside Pearson's control. These include international, national and local conditions, as well as competition. They also include other risks detailed from time to time in Pearson's publicly-filed documents and you are advised to read, in particular, the risk factors set out in Pearson's latest annual report and accounts, which can be found on its website (www.pearson.com/investors). Any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and Pearson gives no undertaking to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any changes to events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements.

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Page 1: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

Forward-looking statements

Except for the historical information contained herein, the matters discussed in this statement include

forward-looking statements. In particular, all statements that express forecasts, expectations and

projections with respect to future matters, including trends in results of operations, margins, growth rates,

overall market trends, the impact of interest or exchange rates, the availability of financing, anticipated

costs savings and synergies and the execution of Pearson's strategy, are forward-looking statements. By

their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and

depend on circumstances that will occur in future. They are based on numerous assumptions regarding

Pearson's present and future business strategies and the environment in which it will operate in the future.

There are a number of factors which could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from

those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements, including a number of factors outside

Pearson's control. These include international, national and local conditions, as well as competition. They

also include other risks detailed from time to time in Pearson's publicly-filed documents and you are

advised to read, in particular, the risk factors set out in Pearson's latest annual report and accounts, which

can be found on its website (www.pearson.com/investors).

Any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and Pearson gives no undertaking

to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any

changes to events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. Readers are

cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements.

Page 2: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

2017 January

Trading

Update

18 January 2017

Image by Christof van der Walt

Page 3: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

The headlines

• 2016 eps and operating profit expected to be approximately 57p and £630m,

in line with guidance

• Full year revenues down approximately 8% in underlying terms

• Restructuring delivered in full

• 2017 guidance for eps of 48.5p to 55.5p and operating profit of £570m to

£630m

• Weakness in North American higher education courseware means our 2018

goal is no longer achievable and we will rebase our dividend from 2017

onward

• Announcing new actions to accelerate our digital transition and reshape our

portfolio

3

Page 4: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

2016 provisional bridge

4

2015 Adjusted

operating profit

Disposals Market

conditions - HE

Market

conditions -

Other

Other

operational

factors

FX Impact Incentive

compensation

Restructuring

Cost savings

Discretionary

cost savings

2016 Adjusted

operating profit

£723m (£90m)

(£180m)

(£115m)

£75m

£275m

£630m£55m

(£58m)

(£55m)

Page 5: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

How 2016 compared

5

-18.0%

-15.0%

-12.0%

-9.0%

-6.0%

-3.0%

0.0%

3.0%

6.0%

Enrolment OER Rental/used Selling Model Digital Inventory

Correction

Total Market

June 2016 assumptions

2016 outcome

EnrolmentOER

Rental/used

Selling model Digital

Inventorycorrection

TotalMarket

Page 6: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

Enrolment

6

17

18

19

20

21

22

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Student enrolment vs population growth

Enrolment

Ages 18-24 population growth 0.63% CAGR

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Unemployment rate %

Ages 18-34 population growth 0.87% CAGR

Source: National Student Clearing House, NCES, US Bureau of Labor Statistics

(m)

Page 7: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

US higher education coursewareImpact of rental

7

• Share of usage in new and secondary

is around 35%

• But share of value is much lower due

to the secondary market

• Rental has been growing, impacting

used and new print market and is

driving the gap between share of

usage and share of value

Ima

ge

by A

ng

ela

Ith

yl

Page 8: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

Channel sales and inventory

8

Source: Management Practice Inc.

2015

2014

2016

Cumulative gross sales$m

Cumulative returns$m

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2.0% 17.0% -9.1% -3.8% -13.2% -5.0% -26.1% -8.6% 18.1% -17.8% -18.6% -32.2%

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Monthly sales change % YoY

Page 9: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

US higher education coursewareWhat we are doing

9

Integrated Digital Digital Supplemental Text

● Accelerate investment in user experience and rapid

deployment across our global learning platform, and in

better service and support for customers

● Offer greater incentives for institution-wide direct digital

access deals - ensuring greater take-up and digital

features available to students and faculty-wider

● Reduce digital rental prices across the board, to drive

affordability and usage of Pearson digital text

● Create print rental partner model, ensuring Pearson

receives greater value from the rental usage of our

print products

A. Accelerate digital transformation B. Maximise value of print

c50% c50%

Pearson 2016 HE courseware revenue

Page 10: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

Global product technology platform

10

Faster product

innovation

Enterprise and Enabling Platforms

Cloud & Infrastructure Platforms

Learning Application & Service Platforms

Se

cu

rity

Pearson products and services

Pearson Content

The User Experience

Technology & Product Platforms

High level of change &

innovation

Increased investment

Lower level of change

Stable, reliable

and repeatable

Shift investment

from ‘plumbing’

A product roadmap

accelerated by two years

Faster adoption of

Digital Direct Access

Page 11: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

Digital direct accessHow it works

11

Students

• Attractively priced high

quality courseware on Day

1 of their course

• Students with the

courseware they need get

better grades and are

more likely to succeed

Institutions

• A good deal for students

• Student success and

higher retention

• Better data analytics

Pearson

• Drives digital adoption at

faculty level

• Matches value to usage,

leverages our scale and

effective content

• Creates deeper service

relationships with faculty

and administration

Services, Support and Global

Technology Platform

Page 12: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

Increase participation in rental eBook rental

More competitive digital eBook rental pricing to make digital eBook rental the best

option for price-conscious students

12

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

1 2 3

% o

f Lis

t p

rice

Edition cycle year

Now Next Week

Standard List Price $260 $260

Actual Price New $227 $227

Print Rental Price $89 $89

eBook Rental Price $126 $89

Current eBook rental

Typical print rental

Illustrative Example: An economics textbook in year two of the edition cycle

Page 13: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

Increase participation in rental Print rental pilot

• Our own Partner Print Rental program, piloting with a group of 50 titles

13

• Eliminates attrition to used from year 2

onwards

• Matches value to usage

• Makes it easier to remove counterfeit

print product from the market

• Increases control of inventory

$

Page 14: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

Financial strategy and capital structure

• The right time to exit PRH

• Proceeds will be used to maintain a strong balance sheet; invest in our

business; and return excess capital to shareholders whilst retaining an

investment grade credit rating

• Rebasing dividend to reflect the absence of PRH contribution; challenging

market conditions; and accelerated digital investment

• Continue to reduce exposure to less scalable direct delivery models and focus

on online, blended and partnership models

14

Page 15: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

2017 Higher Education assumptions

15

-10.0%

-8.0%

-6.0%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

Enrolment OER Rental/used Selling Model Digital Inventory

Correction

Initiatives,

Edition Cycle and

Other

Pearson Net

Revenues[+1% to

-7%]

Page 16: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

Other segmentsKey assumptions

• UK Qualifications – stabilisation

• US Student Assessment – further top line pressures

• US K12 Courseware - ongoing pressures on participation rate due to CA

• Connections, OPM and Professional Certification - continue to grow

• China and Brazil - growth from new products and improvement in economy

• South Africa - some recovery

16

Page 17: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

2017 bridge

17

2016 Adjusted

operating profit

Disposals Market

conditions

Other

operational

factors

Inflation Incentive

compensation

Restructuring

cost savings

FX impact 2017 Adjusted

operating profit

£630m 0 to (£60m)

(£55m)

(£60m)

£135m

£570m to £630m

£45m(£10m)

(£55m)

Guidance range

Page 18: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

Building a more sustainable, digital company

• Continued focus on tight cost management

• Fewer bigger opportunities

• Delivering better outcomes for learners

• A stronger more sustainable, more digital business

18

Page 19: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

Q&A

Page 20: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

Appendix

Page 21: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating

Higher Education courseware ARPE analysis

21

Weighted gross revenue per enrolment

Weighted net revenue per enrolment

100 100

104 104

93

100 101

107

103

87

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Source: Management Practice Inc.

Page 22: Q4 Trading Update January 2017 - Pearson · to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in its expectations with regard thereto or any ... • 2016 eps and operating