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RECOVERY OF INTERBLOCK INFORMATION by Anis I. Kanjo, M.S. Thesis submitted to the Graduate Faculty of the Virginia Polytechnic Institute in candidacy for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY in Statistics May 1965 Blacksburg, Virginia

RECOVERY OF INTERBLOCK INFORMATION by Anis I. Kanjo, …...RECOVERY OF INTERBLOCK INFORMATION by Anis I. Kanjo, M.S. Thesis submitted to the Graduate Faculty of the Virginia Polytechnic

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Page 1: RECOVERY OF INTERBLOCK INFORMATION by Anis I. Kanjo, …...RECOVERY OF INTERBLOCK INFORMATION by Anis I. Kanjo, M.S. Thesis submitted to the Graduate Faculty of the Virginia Polytechnic

RECOVERY OF INTERBLOCK INFORMATION

by

Anis I. Kanjo, M.S.

Thesis submitted to the Graduate Faculty of the

Virginia Polytechnic Institute

in candidacy for the degree of

DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY

in

Statistics

May 1965

Blacksburg, Virginia

Page 2: RECOVERY OF INTERBLOCK INFORMATION by Anis I. Kanjo, …...RECOVERY OF INTERBLOCK INFORMATION by Anis I. Kanjo, M.S. Thesis submitted to the Graduate Faculty of the Virginia Polytechnic

1. INTRODUCTION • .

- 2 -

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page

4

2. THE CONVENTIONAL METHOD OF COMBINING ESTIMATES

3.

IN INCOMPLETE BLOCK DESIGNS. . . • . • • .

THEOREM 1. . . • • • • . 3.1 Remarks •.•.. 3.2 use of Theorem 1 .• . . . . . . .

7

14 20 22

4. LEMMA 1. . . . 4.1 corollary .

24 26

5. LE.MMA 2. . . . • . . . . . • • . . . • 5.1 Corollary 1 .••.•.• 5.2 Corollary 2 ..•..•••.

6. SOME RELATIONS IN B.I.B. DESIGNS •

28 30 30

31

7. THEOREM 2. . • . . . . . . . . . • . . 33 7.1 Exact Results for Theorem 2 • • • • • • • 42

7.1.1 Method for computing F . . . . . • • . 44 7.2 Application of Theorem 1 in B.I.B. Designs. • 46 7.3 Procedure for Recovery of Inter-block

Information in B.I.B. Designs • • . . • • 49 7. 4 Worked Example. • . • . . • . . • . • • . • • 51

8. P.B.I.B. WITH TWO ASSOCIATE CLASSES •• 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.6

Definitions and Useful Relations ••• Variances and Covariances . Sigh of the Quantity C-C' .••.... Theorem 3 • . . . . . . • Special Case. • • • . . . ..••.... Recovery of Inter-block Information in Group Divisible Designs • • • . . . . . . 8.6.1 Recovery in Regular Group Divisibles .

8.6.1.1 Study of the Ratio (V-C/(V-C+n(C-C')] ..•..•

8.6.1.2 Application of Special Case

56 56 59 63 65 70

75 76

81

of Theorem 3. . . . • • . . . 88

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8.7

8.8

8.9

8.10

- 3 -

TABLE OF CONTENTS (cont.) Page

8.6.2 Analysis for Singular and Semi-regular G.D. Designs • • • • • • • • • • • • • 93 8.6.2.1 Inter-estimates and Recovery

of Inter-information in Singular G.D. • • • • • • • • 97

8.6.2.2 Inter-estimates and Recovery of Inter-block Information in Semi-regular G.D.

Recovery of Inter-block Information in LS Type. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.7.1 Within Comparisons • • • • •• 8. 7. 2 Among Comparisons. • . • • • • • • • • Triangular P.B.I.B. Designs •..••..•• 8.8.1 Definition and Comment on the,Singu-

larity of the Inter-Analysis Model • . 8.8.2 Application of Theorem 3 When V(z.)

is of the Form v-c+p(C-C') ••. "!- •• 8.8.3 Recovery of Inter-block Information

in Triangular Designs •••••••.. 8.8.3.1 Study of the Ratio

[V-C+p(C-C')]/(v~c) . 8.8.3.2 Combined Estimates for

. . Triangular Designs •...•.

Cyclic P.B.I.B. Designs with Two Associate Classes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.9.1 Definition ••••••.••••••• 8.9.2 Recovery of Inter-block Information

in Cyclic Designs ••••••••• 8.9.2.l Combined Estimates for

Cyclic Designs •.•••• General Procedure for Recovery of Inter-block Information in P.B.I.B. with Two Associate Classes • • • • • • • . • •

99

102 110 112 115

115

119

123

129

131

132 132

133

143

144 8.11 comment on the Numerical Methods Used in

Table VII Through Table X • • . • • . . . 9. SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION •

147

151

154

155

157

158

10. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS • . . . . . . . . . 11. TABLE OF REFERENCES. . . . . . . . . 12. VITA .

TABLES ••

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- 4 -

1. INTRODUCTION

The problem of the recovery of inter-block information

in incomplete block designs was recognized by Yates (10) in

1939. The idea is to combine the two independent intra- and

inter-block estimates in order to increase the accuracy of

our estimation of the treatment effects, and consequently

to recover some of the efficiency that was lost by reducing

the number of plots in a block from v, the number of treat-

ments, to some number k ( v.

The best linear combination of the intra-block and

inter-block estimates is:

Intra-variancexinter-estimate+Inter-variancexintra-estimate Intra-variance + Inter-variance

However this combined estimate is merely theoretical since

there is, in practice, no knowledge about the exact inter-

and intra-variances. A reasonable way of overcoming this

difficulty is to use a random weight which can be computed

from the data of our experiment.

Yates suggests in (10) a rather complicated expression

for the combined estimate in the B.I.B. designs. Later in

1960, v. Seshadri (8) has shown that Yates' combined estimate

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- 5 -

is unbiased and that it is uniformly better (better in the

sense of less variance) than the intra-block estimator only

~ when 2 a is smaller than r Although no specific results

were available about the case when cr.2 b > .£._ ~ nevertheless cr2 ;..v '

Seshadri's work indicates clearly that Yates' combined

estimator is not uniformly better than the intra-block cr.2

estimate when ~ ) .r . a ,,v

In (7) Rao, C.R., has established what we shall call

the conventional method of combining estimates in any incom-

plete block design. This method was adopted by Bose, R.C.,

in (1) and is the method pursued in practice almost every-

where.

Graybill in (4) suggests a combined estimator which is

uniformly better than the intra-estimate provided severe

restrictions are placed on the size of the experiment.

Seshadri, V., in (9) combines two estimates x and u in

the balanced case in such a way that the combined estimate

is uniformly better than both x and u provided that v ) 5.

It should be noted that he misnames x and u the inter- and

intra-treatment estimates, respectively; in fact, his x and

u are special linear functions of the observations as they

Page 6: RECOVERY OF INTERBLOCK INFORMATION by Anis I. Kanjo, …...RECOVERY OF INTERBLOCK INFORMATION by Anis I. Kanjo, M.S. Thesis submitted to the Graduate Faculty of the Virginia Polytechnic

- 6 -

were previously defined in (3) by Graybill and Weeks. This

article, however, is suggestive and indicates that something

can be done which permits an effective utilization of the

idea of the recovery of inter-block inf orm.ation even when v

is small.

In general, one can say that there is, so far, no

practical solution to the problem without severe restric-

tions on the size of the experiment, and no solution at all

for a clear and precise answer to the question of how much

is recovered. In fact, regardless of how large the experi-

ment is, the experimenter applying the methodology available

to him now cannot be sure that he is really improving the

accuracy of his estimation.

In this dissertation, after giving a brief critique of

the conventional method of recovering the inter-block

information, a practical solution which avoids the handicaps

of the conventional method in B.I.B. designs will be dis-

cussed. This practical solution is extended to the P.B.I.B.

designs with two associate classes. Finally, an exhaustive

enumeration of the amount of recovery achieved or a lower

bound of it is given.

Page 7: RECOVERY OF INTERBLOCK INFORMATION by Anis I. Kanjo, …...RECOVERY OF INTERBLOCK INFORMATION by Anis I. Kanjo, M.S. Thesis submitted to the Graduate Faculty of the Virginia Polytechnic

- 7 -

2. THE CONVENTIONAL METHOD OF COMBINING ESTIMATES

IN INCOMPLETE BLOCK DESIGNS

The most widely used method is that of Rao (7), where

the intra- and inter-normal equations are combined in the

same way that two independent estimates are usually combined,

that is by first weighing inversely by the variance of each

and then obtaining a least squares joint solution. Bose (1)

gives the resulting combined intra- and inter-block estimate

T. of treatment t. as J.. J..

where

1 w =2 a '

1 w' = -----cr2+kcr~ '

P. = wQ. + w'Q~ J.. J.. J..

' ( 2. 1)

(2.2)

(2.3)

' (2.4)

Q. and Q'. are the adjusted yields in the intra- and inter-i J..

analysis respectively,

and,

c .li.+r/\jW

dj = .6.+rHW+r2 w2

w' w=--w-w'

' (j = 1,2) (2.5)

(2.6)

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- 8 -

r, k, A1 , A2 , c 1 , c 2 , 6, and Hare defined in reference (1),

and they will be defined explicitly in the sequel.

In practice, estimates for cr2 , a2 are usually obtained b

from the analysis of variance table, namely:

and

..... 2 2 cr = s e

where s: is the error mean square and S~ is the blocks ..... .....

adjusted mean square. Since (j2 and ~ obtained from the

analysis of variance table are consistent estimates for a2

and cr~, these estimates would be good enough to represent

the unknown parameters a2 and ~ if estimated from a large

experiment.

The questions now arise: {a} How reliable is the

substitution of these estimates into a complicated expression

as {l)? .....

(b) If a and

ment, do the estimates

,... ~are ,... 1 w = """2

0

estimated from a large experi-

and ...... 1 w = S+k~ possess the

"'-..... same reliability? (c) Are

..... w W=~ w-w• and

..... cj6+r/\jW dj = 6+r~+r2~

(j=l,2), consistent estimators? One way of answering these

questions is to find the variance of T. after substituting J.

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- 9 -

in (1), w, w', d1 , d 2 by their estimates. A casual glance

at this expression is enough to show that this is not

mathematically feasible. It should also be noted that by

taking P. = w Q. + w'Q'., a new source of sampling variation J. J. 1

is being introduced into the adjusted yield, and this is of

special significance for small v.

To show that at least, theoretically, the combined

estimator obtained by the Rao method is better than the best

linear combination of the intra-block and inter-block esti-

mates, we will compare the theoretical variances of each.

be:

The theoretical variance of T. will be shown later to J.

k(v-l}-n1d1-n2d 2 V ( T ) = -----=-...;;;;;.,._---......-...

i vr[w(k-l)+w'] (2.7)

Letting [w(k-l)+w'] = Tj and substituting (2.5) into (2.7),

one obtains

( ) k(v-1} VT. =

1 vr71

n 1 c 16+r/\1W

vr71 6+rHW+r 2 w2 ~ c 26+rp..2w vr71 6+rHW+r2 W2

. (2.8)

By substituting (2.6) into (2.8) and simplifying

VrTj V(T.) 1

k(v-1) =

n 1 c 16(w-w' ) 2 +rr..1w• (w-w')

(VrT) 6 (w-w') 2 +rHw' (w-w') +r2 w' 2

n 2 c 26(w-w' ) 2 +rt..2w• (w-w') <2 · 9 > +-- } vrT) 6(w-w' ) 2 +rHw' (w-w' )+r2 w' 2 •

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- 10 -

Now by collecting like terms, (2.9) may be written as

V(T.) 1

= k(v-1)

VrT}

(n1c 1+n2c 2)6(w-w') 2 +rw'(w-w')(n1A1+n2A2 )

vrT}[6(w-w' ) 2 +rHw' (w-w' )+r2 w' 2 ]

(2.10) w'

u = -;;;- ' and since

V(T.) = k(v-1) 1 vrT}

w6(1-u) 2 +rau(l-u} vrT}[6(1-u) 2 +rHu(l-u}+r2 u2 ] • <2 ·11 )

Since

w' U -- -- -w

1 =--2 = 0:

l+k ~ CJ

1 l+kR

the following inequalities are obtained

l<R<co and

Now by substituting for TJ, after some manipulation (2.11)

becomes

VWV(T.) 1 = k(v-1)

r (k-l+u) r(k-l+u)[(6+r2 -rH)u2 +{rH-26)u+6]

= k{v-1)[6+r2 -rH)u2 +(rH-26}u+6]-{ffi6-ra}u2 +(2m6-ra)u-p6 r(k-lfu)[(6+r2 -rH)u2 +(rH-26)u+6]

(2.12)

Finally, letting A= 6+r2 -rH,

,

VWV(T.} ].

= [Ak(v-l)-w6+ra]u2 +[k(v-l)(rH-26+2p6-ra]u+k(v-1)6-p6 r(k-l+u)[Au2 +(rH-2A)u+6]

(2.13)

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- 11 -

A A Now if the intra-estimate t. and the inter-estimate t'

1 i

of t. are combined, the best linear theoretical estimate is 1

A A A A t . v ( t '. ) +t '. v ( t . )

A 1 1 1 1

-r i = V ( t '. ) +V ( t . ) 1 1

and A A

V(t.)V(t'.) A 1 1

v ('r i > = v ( £ '. } +v (£ . ) 1 1

It will be shown later that:

where

A

V(t.) = 1

A

V( t '.) = 1

k(v-l)-n1c 1-n2c 2 avw

k(v-l)-n1c 1-n2c 2 rvw'

6c.-rA. 6c.-rA. c' = J J = J J

j 6-rH+r2 A

(2.14)

(2.15)

' (2 .16)

' (2.17)

(2.18)

Page 12: RECOVERY OF INTERBLOCK INFORMATION by Anis I. Kanjo, …...RECOVERY OF INTERBLOCK INFORMATION by Anis I. Kanjo, M.S. Thesis submitted to the Graduate Faculty of the Virginia Polytechnic

- 12 -

Now from (2.18)

= 6cp-ra A

Substituting (2.20) into (2.19),

6cp-ra A [k(v-1) -A ][k(v-1)-~]

V( T.) = ----------------1 6~ra ' avw[k(v-1) -A J+rvw'[k(v-1)-~]

= [Ak(v-l)-6cp+ra][k(v-l)-w] avw[Ak(v-l)-6~+ra]+rvw'A[k(v-l)-~]

Then

A

vwV(T.) l

= [Ak(v-l)-6cp+ra][k(v-l)-cp] rA[k(v-l)-~]u+a[Ak(v-l)-6~+ra]

(2.20)

(2.21)

(2.22)

A A numerical study of the difference y = vw[var(T.)- Var(-r.)]

l l

has been conducted for the 68 Regular Group divisible

experiments listed in reference (1). The range of u from

0 to l~k is divided into ten equal intervals and eleven

numerical values have been computed for the difference y, A

and for the percentage difference S = y/[v · V(T.)]. l

The results show that y is always negative, and the

difference in absolute value increases as the ratio

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- 13 -

~ ~ gets closer to one. cr

~ The difference is zero when~~ CD. cr

Although the percentage difference is very small, this shows

that the Rao method is theoretically better than obtaining,

first, a separate intra- and inter-estimate, and then com.bin-

ing. 1 The results for S = ~[percentage gain due to Rao cr method] appear in Table 1.

In brief, one can say that, theoretically, the Rao

method has some desirable properties. It constitutes the

best way, knownso far, for getting a linear combined esti-

mate; it is, relatively, simple to apply; and it is very

general. But, the formula it produces contains a rather

complicated function of unknown parameters which have to be

estimated. Thus, the desirable theoretical properties of

Rao's method are not likely to stand up in practice. Many

valid questions arise about its reliability in practice, and

it appears that the only amnesty it has is that it is very

difficult to show mathematically if it is good or not.

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- 14 -

3. THEOREM 1

In this section a theorem will be proved concerning a

new method of combining two independent unbiased estimates.

It will also be shown how much improvement one can hope to

get by combining two independent estimates. Finally, it

will be shown how much of the improvement this new method

utilizes.

Consider then independent parameters T1 , T2 , ... , Tn

and suppose that for each T. there exist two independent l

unbiased estimates U. and X., where U. ~ N(T., p cr2) and l i i i

X. /"\ N(T., p ! 0' 2 ). Suppose also that independently of the i i

X 'sand u. 's, there exist two unbiased estimates s 2 and s' 2 i l

02 0•2 for 0 2 J 0 I 2 respectively' where s 2 () X2 f and S I 2 /'"\ X2 f I '

then:

(1) the combined estimate:

T. i

9(m-2}s 2 = u. + ~-'-'._____..._~-i m I (X.-U.)2

. 1 J J J=

(X. -U.) , l i

m<

is unbiased and uniformly better than u., and i

n ' (3.1)

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- 15 -

(2) the combined estimate:

A.

'T. =X. + J. J.

e' (m-2) s '2

2: {U.-X.) 2 . 1 J J J=

(U.-X.) , J. J.

m( n ' (3.2)

is unbiased and uniformly better than X .• 8 and 81 are constants. J.

Proof: • • • ' x i S2' S I 2 n

are independent, and E(U.) = E(X.) = -r., i = 1, 2, ... , n, J. J. J.

x.-u. E(;,) = T. + 9(m-2)E(s 2 )·E--=1-=1--

J. i m (3.3)

I (X .-u .) 2 j=l J J

Let X.-U. = z., then z. ~ N(O, V(U. )+V(X.)). The joint J. J. J. J. J. J.

distribution of z 1 , z 2 , ... , zm is of the form:

m -B Z z~

j=l J , -oo(z.(+oo, (3.4) J.

an even function of z 1 , z 2 , ... , z ; the expectation, there-m

fore, of any odd function of z 1 , z 2 , . . . , z is zero. m If z . J.

belongs to the subset z 1 , z 2 , ... , zm, then

z. E

J. = 0 m

I z2 j=l J

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- 16 -

A A

Hence E(T.) = T. and T. is the unbiased estimate for T .. l. 1. l. l.

Now

A A 2 V(T.) = E(T.-T.)

1. l. l. =Efcu.--r.) + l i 1

e(m-2)s 2

m I (X .-u .)2 j=l J J

2

2

(x.-u. l i ij (3.5)

s 2 (X. -U. J = E(U.--r.) 2 +92 (m-2} 2 ·E ~~-=1'--~1;......_

s 2 (X.-U.){U.-T.) l. l. l. l.

1. l. m I (X .-u .J2 '=l J J

z2

+2e (m-2) ·E m I (U .-x .)2 j=l J J

4 i = V(U. )+92 (m-2) 2 ·E(s } ·E---=::,._-+ 29(m-2J ·E(s2 ) ·E i m

Z. (U. -T.) 1. l. l.

~z~ where

and

z~ E

1.

m c I z~)2 j=l J

1

c I z~) 2 . 1 J J=

2 2 2 =-E

zl +z2 + ... +zm m m ( I z~) 2

j=l J

J

because of the symmetry of the Z, IS i 1.

that is,

z~ z2 l.

=E k k 1, E = m m J

( I z~) 2 < I z::) 2 j=l J j=l J

j=l J

J (3.6)

{3.7}

2, ... ' m.

J

Page 17: RECOVERY OF INTERBLOCK INFORMATION by Anis I. Kanjo, …...RECOVERY OF INTERBLOCK INFORMATION by Anis I. Kanjo, M.S. Thesis submitted to the Graduate Faculty of the Virginia Polytechnic

Hence:

E

Then

E

- 17 -

m

z~ Iz~ 1 1 j=l J 1 1 - . E . E m m m m 2>

, ( I z~) 2 ( I z~) 2

j=l J j=l J j=l J

1 1 1 = --------------------~ m(m-2) (V(U.)+V(X.)J

1 1 m • E (V(U.)+V(X.))X2

1 1 m

z. ( u. -'[.) 1 1 1

z. 1

Consider now the multivariate normal vector

and the variance covariance matrix is:

. (3.8)

z.(U.-T.) 1 1 1

(3.9)

,

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-18 -

N

N

r-1 N

N

V\I

r-1 .-I

r-1 N

N

N

II

--r-1 ~ -

0 0

0 ~ -

·r-1 ::::> -

0 :>

... ...

0 ...

-...

·r-1 ...

0 ~

--

·r-1 ~

::::> ...

--

:> 0

·r-1 I

::::> -:>

... ... ...

0

... ... -

0 ·r-1

x -~ ...

... -

0 0

0 ·r-1

::::> -

... :>

...

--

·r-1 ...

·r-1 ...

::::> ::::>

-0

-0

:> :> I

II -.-I + e [/'(]~

-r-1 + e -

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- 19 -

Since the conditional mean of uilz1 , z 2 , ... , zm is:

-1 = T . + ( 0, 0, ... , -V ( U. } , 0, ... , 0} ( ( V ( U. ) +V (X. ) } I ] · Z i i i i m -

= T. + (o,o, ... , ( > ( >,o, ... ,o}z = :i. VU. +V X.

i i

-V(U.) i

then

Substituting (3.10) into (3.9) one obtains:

E

=

=

z. (U. -T.) i i i

~z2 j=l J

-V(U.) i

V(U.) +V(X.) i i

-V(U.} i

E zl ... zm

m(V(U. )+V(X.)) i i

'

-V(U.) i

z2 i

V(U.) +V(X.} i i

z~ -V(U.} i i

= m(V(U.) +V(X.)) m

I z~ i i

. 1 J J=

'

making use of the symmetry of z 1 , z 2 , ••• J z . n

V(U.}·z. i i

T. -i V ( U. } +V (X. } '

i i

(3.10}

2 2 2

E zl+z2+ ... +zm

J m

Iz~ . 1 J J=

(3.11)

Substituting

(3.6), (3.8), and (3.11} into (3.5), one obtains

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- 20 -

A e2a4Cm-2> 2Cf+2) 2 V(Ti) = V(U.) + - 2 ea VCU; >Cm-2)

' 1 fm(m-2)(V(U.)+V(X.)) m[V(U. )+V(X.)] 1 1 1 l.

e2Cm-2)(f+2)[V(U.)] 2 2 e(rn-2 )[V(U.)] V(U.) + l. - 2 1 = ' l. 2 p fm[V(Ui) + V(X.)] pm[V(U.)+V(X.)]

1 l. l.

e ( m-2 ) [ V CU . ) ] 2 [eCf+2) = V(U.) + l. - 2] • 1 pf mp [ V ( U . ) + V ( X . ) ]

l. l.

The value of .e which makes the second term above the most

negative is e_pf or e_ f substitutin_ g for ! one obtains: -1+2, 'P-1+2, p

A

V('t'.) l.

2 2 [V(Ui)]2 = V(Ui)-(l-m){l-1+2)V(U.)+V(X.) ~ V(Ui)'

1 1

provided m.::_2.

(3.12)

The proof of the second part follows similarly.

3.1 Remarks

(a) The best linear unbiased combined estimate T· of l.

T • is: 1

"[. = l.

U.V(X.)+X.V(U.) l.-1 l. 1

V(U.)+V(X.) 1 l.

with the minimum variance:

... V(T.)

1

V(Ui)•V(Xi) = = V(U. )+V(X.)

1 1

V(U.) -1

[V(Ui)]2

V(U.)+V(X.) 1 1

(~.1.1)

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This shows that the most improvement one can hope to get by

combining the two independent estimates of Ti' namely Ui and

[V(U.)] 2 X. is the quantity ___ i __ _ • It should be noticed that

1 V(U.)+V(X.) l l

the above d . (m-2)f suggeste estimate recovers of the most

improvement possible

· · 2 m(f+2) [V(U.)]

l. • The fraction

V(U. )+V(X.) l. l.

(m-2)f _ 2 2 -+ 1 when m and f are large. (1--) (1--)

m(f+2) m f +2 It is obvious now that the larger m is, the better

new estimate will be. This means that we should take m

whenever it is possible.

(b) The variance of the combined estimate T! is: l.

the

= n

V(T!) = V(X.) -1 J_

(m-2)f'[V(X.)J 2 l.

• (3.1.2) (f'+2)m[V(U.)+V(X.)]

l. l.

Subtracting (3.1.2) from (3.12),

V(T.) - V(T!) = [V(U.)-V(X.)] l. J_ l. l.

+ m-2 m[V(U. )+V(X. )]

l. l.

f'[V(X.)] 2 l.

f'+2

f[V(U.)] 2 • l. •• f +2

~

Simplifying the R.H.S., the sign of V(Ti) - V(Ti) is the same

as the sign of:

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m(f 1 +2Xf+2)[V2CU.)-V2(X.)]+(m-2)[f'(f+2)V2CX.)-f(f 1 +2)V 2(U.)] 1 1 1 1

= 2v2cu.)[mf 1 +ff 1 +2f+2m]-2V2CX)[mf+ff 1 +2f 1 +2m] 1 1

= 2(m+f)(f 1 +2)V 2(U.)-2(m+f 1 )(f+2)V2(X.) 1 1

Thus:

" " V(T.) > V(T!), 1 1

if v2cui>

> (f 1 +m){f+2) and V2 (X.) ( f +m )( f ' + 2 )

1

v2 (U.) ( f ' +m )( f + 2 ) if 1 < v2 (X.) •

(f+m)(f'+2) 1

V(t.) < V(-r!), 1 1

3.2 Use of Theorem 1

This theorem could be utilized for obtaining better

estimates for a number n of independent comparisons between

the treatments in any incomplete block design, provided that

each comparison has the same variance, and the number of

such comparisons is more than 2.

It could also be used to combine the estimates of the

same treatment from two independent similar experiments,

provided that the interaction over time and location is

negligible.

Also, if one is in doubt about the homogeneity assump-

tion when a randomized block design has been utilized, the

blocks could be divided into two homogeneous_ groups, and

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then obtain estimates for the v-1 comparisons among treat-

ments within each group. Then combine these estimates by

theorem 1. The gain in the accuracy of this estimate

increases as the heterogeneity between the two groups

increases. Again, the block by treatment interaction must

be negligible.

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4. LEMMA 1

If two independent random variables X and Y have density

functions:

f (X) =

f (Y} =

Then:

Proof:

where

Let x --

1 al x a 1+1

rca1+1}131

1 a2 y a 2+1

r(a2+1)132

= r(al+a2+2-r)

r(al+l)I'(a2+1)

e

e

-x/13 1 dx x > o, 131 > 0,

( 4 .1) -y/13 2 dy y > o, 132 > 0.

(4.2)

Sooroo 1 al -x/131 a2 -y /132 = Ct. x e y e dxdy 0 (x+y) r (4.3)

_y_ - z A - 2 -' 1-'2

,

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then

= Ct.

Now let

a 1+1 a +l = Ct. t)l ~2 2

. e -z

2

- 25 -

then:

uz2 --1-u 1 (l-u}2 dudz2 e

Let z 2 = (l~u)v , u = u , then:

e

uz2 1-u

(4.5)

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-uv du e ( l-u) 2 ( 1-u) dv,

a +l a2+1 s<D a1+a2-r+l dv sl 1 f3 1 -v = Ct. f32 v e 1 r

0 0 [ f31 u+f32 ( 1-u) ]

al a2 du . u (1-u) ,

a +l a 2+1 sl 1 al a2 = Ct. f3 1 f32 r(al+a2+2-r} r u (1-u} du , 1 O [ f31 u+f32 ( 1-u} ]

r(al+a2+2-r) = r(al+l)I'(a2+1)

al a2 (' 1 _..;;;;u __ (~l"'""-..-u...._}__ du

~ [ f31 u+f32 ( 1-u} ] r (4.6}

4.1 Corollary

Since (32 ) 0, 0 { u ( 1, and as Stlllling f31 ) f32 , then:

or (4.1.1)

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Then

and

,

which can be written respectively as:

(4.1.2)

and

(4.1. 3)

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5. LEMMA 2

Let z1, z2, ••• , zn have the joint multivariate normal

distribution, with mean vector b!:..' = Q and variance covariance

matrix ~ with the diagonal element (a) and the element (b)

otherwise. Then ~ z2 /..; i can be considered as equivalent to

i=l

the sum of two independent, Gamma distributed, random

variables.

Proof: The characteristic function of ~ z2 /..; i

i=l 1

= sCD ... fCD l~I !!2 e9Z'Z e -CD -CD ( 2'1T) 2

- 1.[z'~-lZ-29Z'Z] 2 - - --e dZ

1 ~· [~- 1-29I]Z

1~1 n 2 fCD ... foo e z= - dZ = ( 2'1T) 2 -CD -CD

n 1 1

(2'1T}2 1~1 2 1~-112 1 = 1 . n = 1 =

,

J

1 I 2:-1-29! 12 ( 2'1T) 2 I L:-1-29! 12 I I-292: 12

is:

,

(5.1)

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Since the inverse of an (nxn) two element matrix, a along

the diagonal and b otherwise is an (nxn) two element matrix,

d along the diagonal and f off diagonal where:

d _ -[(n-2)b+a] - b 2 (n-l}-a[(n-2)b+a] ' (5.2)

and

b f = b 2 (n-l}-a[(n-2}b+a] ( 5 . 3 >

It is known also that the determinant of such a matrix is:

n-1 6. = ( a-b) ( a-b+nb) ( 5. 4}

Substituting (5.4) into (5.1),

and then

n-1 1 -- -= [l-2(a-b)e] 2 [l-2(a+nb-b)e] 2

n

cpe ( l z~) = . 1 1 1=

1 1 n-1 ----------------

[ 1-2 ( a-b} 9] 2 [l-2(a+nb-b)e] 2

,

This means that ~> can be considered as the sum of two . 1 1 1.=

independent random variables X and Y, where:

n-3 2

n-1 x e-x/2(a-b) dx f(X) = 1

[ 2 (a-b) J-2-r<n21 >

x) O, a-b) O ,

' (5.5)

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and

1 1 f(Y) = -1----1-- y 2 -y/2{a+nb-b} e dy

2 2 ( a+nb-b} 2 r ( ~} {5.6) y ) 0, a +nb-b ) 0

5.1 Corollary 1

Using Lenuna 2, one can write:

1 1 E("'z2.) = E{-)

LJ X+Y = E(J:.{l+y}-1] ( E J:. = __ 1 __

x x x (n-3}(a-b) ' l.

i.e.,

1 1 E(L:z~) < (n-3){a-b)

l.

(5.7}

5.2 Corollary 2

Applying the results of Le nun a 1,

n-3 f31 2 {a-b) al --- = 2 ' '

-1 f32 2(a+nb-b) a2 ' = 2

(5.2.1)

Substituting (5.2.1) into {4.6),

1 r 1 r E ("'z2) = E(-)

LJ X+Y i

n-3 1 sl u 2 (1-u) 2 r du

0 [-2nbu+2(a+nb-b)]

(5.2.2)

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6. SOME RELATIONS IN B.I.B. DESIGNS

A

Let t. denote the intra-block estimate of the i-th 1.

A

treatment effect and let t' denote the corresponding inter-i

block estimate, then

A k{v-1} (J2 V(t.) = vl = 7w2 1. ( 6. 1)

A k(v-1} cr'2 V(t '.) = v2 = 1. v(r-f..} ' (6.2)

A. A

cov(t., t.) 1. J

for all i ,¢ j ' (6.3)

and

"' "' -k cr'2 cov(t '., t '.) = c = 1. J 2 v(r-f..) for all i ,¢ j (6.4}

The following relations hold:

c1v2 - v1c2 = 0 ' (6.5)

vl + (v-l)C = 0 1 ' (6.6}

and

(6.7)

Then

v - c = - vc ' ( 6. 8)

where v = vl + v2 '

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- 32 -

and

v =---v - 1 (6.9)

The intra-estimate of the i-th treatment is given in (6) as:

A = Qi ti rE J (6.10)

where Q. is the adjusted treatment total, and the efficiency, l.

(k-l)v E = k(v-1} {6.11)

The inter-estimate of the i-th treatment is given in (11) as:

A Q~ t I = _..;;;;l. __

i r(l-E) J (6.12)

where

Q'. = Y. - Q. - ry l. l. . l. ••

(6.13)

Y. is the total yield of the i-th treatment, and y is l. •

the overall mean.

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7. THEOREM 2

In B.I.B. designs, the combined estimate:

T. 1

A k(v-4)s 2 = ti + ___ ...__v__._ .... l ____ _

:Av(f+2) I c-t:-t.) 2 . 1 1 1 1=

A A

( t '. -t. ) , 1 1

( 7 .1)

is unbiased for the i-th treatment effect t., and uniformly 1

better than intra-block estimate provided v ) 4, where s 2

and f are the error sum of squares and the error degrees of

freedom, respectively.

where

Proof: Consider first the estimate:

T. 1

"' 9Bs 2 = t. +-~;;..;;;;... __ _ J. n I (t'.-t .)2

j=l J J

A A

(t'.-t.) J. J.

, n < v , ( 7. 2)

9 _ k(v-1) - f..v2 ,

A

the coefficient of cr2 in var(t.), s 2 J.

is the error mean square, and B is to be determined later.

Now

A

E(-r.) = J.

z. t. + 9Bcr2 E (-=1 -)

i !z~ j=l J

, ( 7. 3)

A A A A

where zi =ti - ti. Assuming ti~ N(ti, v 1 ), and ti ~N(ti,v2 )

for i = 1,2, ... ,n, the zi ~N(O, V), where V = v 1 + v 2 ,

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then A A A A

cov(z.,z.) = E(z.z.) = E[(t'.-t.)-(t.-t.}][(t'.-t.)-(t.-t.)] 1 J 1J 11 11 J J J J

A A A A A A A A = E(t'.-t.)(t'.-t.) + E(t.-t.}(t.-t.} = cov(t'.,t'.} + cov(t.,t.)

J. 1 J J 1 1 J J 1 J J. J

= c ( 7. 4)

Now z 1 ,z2 , ... ,zn have the multivariate normal distribu-

tion with mean vector !!. = Q, and variance covariance matrix

~ with the element V along the diagonal and the element C nxn

otherwise. Now one can write the density function as:

, -oo ( z. ( +oo . 1

This is an even function and the expectation of any odd

function of z. 's in zero. Since 1

its expectation is zero. Going A

E ( -r . ) = t . . Hence 1 1.

A ,... 9Bs 2 2 V(-r.) = E((t.-t.) +---------- z.J 1 1 1 n 1

Iz~ . 1 J ]=

z. J. is an n

Iz~ j=l J

back to ( 7. 3)

,

+ 29BE (s 2 ) ·E

odd function,

one can write

( 7. 5)

A

z. (t. -t.) 1. 1 1.

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Since

= f(f+2)cr4 f+2 cr4 f 2 = -f- '

(7.5) may be written as

A

V(T.) J.

z2 i

n '\"""' ( L z~ > 2 . 1 J J=

By symmetry of the Z, Is, we can write:

i.e.,

E

Now,

J

z~ L. 1 =-E

n n ( l z~}2 j=l J

A

E z. (t. -t.)

J. 1 1

n

l z~ j=l J 1 =-E n n ( l z':) 2

j=l J

Consider now the multivariate vector

1 n l z':

j=l J

A

z. ( t. -t.} J. J. J.

(7.6)

(7.7)

( 7. 8)

... , z. 1 , z. 1 , ... , z] with mean vector i- 1+ n

,

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[t., O, o, ... , O] and variance covariance matrix: 1.

-vl =

-cl (n+l) (n+l)

-v 1 -c 1

where Z is as defined before. Now

-c 1

=

,

z12

( 7. 9)

-1 where Z is a two-element matrix with diagonal elements d

and off-diagonal elements f_, where:

d -[ {n-2) c+v] = C2 (n-l)-V[(n-2)C+V] ,

and ( 7 .10)

f c = c 2 (n-l)-V[(n-2)C+V]

Now

d f f f

f =

f f d

, ... ,the same ... ]

'

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- 37 -

But

=

=

=

-V d - (n-l}C f vl[(n-2}C+V]-(n-l}ClC

= 1 1

v 1 (n-l}c-c1 (n-l}C+V1 (V-C} (n-l}C2 -(n-l)VC-V(V-C} =

(n-l)C(V1-c1 )+v1v-v1 (c1+c2) (n-l)C(C-V)+V(C-V)

(n-l)c(v1-c1 )+v1v-v1c 1-v2c 1 {C-V} [ (n-1) c+v]

c 2 (n-l)-V[(n-2)C+V]

V (V-C)-(n-l)C(V -C) 1 1 r (n-l)C(C-V}+V(-V+C)

(since C =

,

using (6.5}. Thus

=

(n-l}C(V1-c1 }+V(V1-c1 )

(C-V)[(n-l)C+V]

c-v

,

,

,

( 7. 11}

(7.12)

-1 To compute the remaining elements ,in the nxl row L:12L: , one

needs to compute only

= -Ci-[(n-2)C+V]+(n-2)C}-v1c (n-l)C2 -V[(n-2)C+V]

vc1-v1c v 1c 1+v2c 1-v1c 1-v1c 2 = (n-l)C2 -V[(n-2)C+V] = (n-l)C2 -V[(n-2)C+V]

= (n-l)C2 -V((n-2)C+V) = O '

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- 38 -

i.e.,

Now (7.9) can be written

-1 = L.122: z v1-c1

= ( c-v ' 0' 0' ... '0)

= v1-c1

c-v v -c 1 1 z = -

i v-c z. 1

Substituting (7.7) and (7.14) into (7.6),

V2 B2 (f+2) A 1 1

V('r.) = V + ----- E --=--- 2V BE 1 1 nf n - 1

I z~ . 1 J J=

z2 i

It should be noted that 9a2 = v1 . Utilizing again the

synnnetry property, z?

E -=1- = 1. . ' Iz2

j=l J

hence: n

( 7 .13)

z. 1 1-

z. 1 1+

z n

( 7 .14)

( 7 .15)

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( 7 . 16)

Using (5.7) with a= V, b = c,

1 1 E -- ( (n-3) (V-C}

~z~ j=l J

(7.17)

Now one can write

{ 7 .18}

We would like the quantity V~B2 {f+2) V1B{V1-c1 }

n(n-3)f{V-C) - 2 n{V-C) to

be negative. First we notice by (6.8) that

k k v-c = -vc = -v(C +c ) = ~ a2 + ~- cr' 2 which is always 1 2 ~v r-A

positive: if, in addition n ) 3, then the above quadratic in

B is negative whenever

The value of B which makes it the most negative is

B = f{V1-c1 } {n-3)

v1 {f+2)

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From (6.9)

fv{n-3} B = (v-1) (f+2)

Now substituting Bin (7.18},

A v~ f+2 v 2 f 2 (n-3) 2 v ( '! ) < v + -[-~;..._ ________ __. _____ ____ i 1 V-C nf(n-3) (v-1} 2 (f+2} 2

i.e.,

2v n(v-1)

( 7. 19)

vf (n-3) (v-1) (f+2}]

{7.20)

It is obvious that one should take n as large as possible,

but since n is strictly less than v, take n e v-1. It

should be noted that one cannot take n = v, for then the

matrix Z is singular. Hence

V(~.) < V _ v~f(v-4} i 1 (v-1) 3 (f+2)

v2 __ l

v-c

As was mentioned previously, the quantity v2

1

(7.21)

represents

the utmost improvement possible over the intra-block

variance. Now one can write

v~ c v~ c = -[1 + -] = -c1 + -) using (6.8}. v v-c v -vc ,

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v2 v2 v-1 Then 1 1 and substituting into (7.21), = ' v-c v1+v2 v

fv{v-4} v2

A < vl 1 V('r.) (7.22)

1. {v-1) 2 (f+2) Vl+V2

The upper bound of the variance of the proposed estimate is

uniformly better than the intra-block variance for any

B.I.B. design when v) 4. Substituting n = v-1 into (7.19)

one obtains B = fv(v-4} (f+2) (v-1} ' and then from (7.2),

~ . = t . + ---'e~v"""'('""'v'""'--4~)'""'f"'"'s_2 ___ _ i i v-1

A A (t '.-t.)

(f+2) (v-1} I (t '.-t. }2

j=l J J

1. 1.

and recalling that 9 = k(v-1) t..v2 or ev

v-1

"' "' k{v-4JS2 Ti =ti + v-1

f..v(f+2} l (t'.-t .) 2 j=l J J

k AV

A A

(t :-t.) 1. l

'

( 7. 23)

where S 2 = fs 2 is the error sum of squares in the intra-

analysis. From (7.22} it is seen that the ratio of improve-

ment or the recovery ratio is:

_ fv(v-4} Dl - (v-1) 2 (f+2) ( 7. 24)

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7.1 Exact Results for Theorem 2

Using lenuna 2 one can get a fairly exact value for

1 E " 2 LJZ.

l

Here a = V, b = C, n = v-1, so,

v-4 1

1 __ r_( v_;_3_>_ 51 ___ u==2=_(.._l_-_u ..... )_-_2 __ du E(v-1 ) = I'(v-l)I'(J:.} O 2(v-l)C(l-u)+2(V-C)

\ 2 2 L z2: . 1 l l=

but since V-C = -vc, one obtains

v-4 1 -- -1 __ __;2;;;.__ ___ sl u 2 (1-u) 2 du

E( ) = ( } v-1 ( ) (v-2 ..!:.) 0 2(v-l)C 1-u -2vC \ v-3 f3 -2-, 2 L z2:

. 1 l J.=

v-4 1

1 sl 2 (1-u) 2 u = v-2 ..!:.) l+(v-l)u -C(v-3) 13(-2-, 0 2

The problem now is to evaluate the quantity,

v-4 1

u 2 (1-u) 2 l+(v-l)u du

du

for different values of v. Later a method of computing this

quantity will be given. Now, one may write

-F (7.1.1) C(v-3)

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- 43 -

Substituting (7.1.1) into (7.16), and taking n = v-1, one

obtains

A VfB2 (f+2)F V(Ti} = vl + -cf(v-l}(v-3)

but v-c = -vc and v v-1 or

= -C(v-1) J

V(~.) = V + V~B [B(f+2)F i 1 -(v-l}C f(v-3)

Since C is negative, one needs

/ < 2f (v-3} O ' B. F(v-1) (f+2)

The required B is

- _f_.(_v_-_3..._) __ B = F(v-1) (f+2)

2V l B ( V l -Cl}

(v-1} (V-C}

_2_] v-1

Substituting (7.1.3) into (7.1.2}, one may write

v2 v2 v2

'

(7.1.2)

(7.1.3}

since 1 1 1 -- - -- = -=---v-c -vc v +V 1 2 ' then (7.1.4) becomes

B v-1

v2 1

v1+v2 (7.1.5)

The combined estimate in (7.2} becomes, after substituting,

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- 44 -

the value of e:

"' A 9Bs 2 (''I A ) T. = t. + t.-t. l. l. v-1 l. l.

,

Icf'.-t.) 2 j=l J J

"' k(v-l)Bs 2 A A = t. + (t~-t.)

l. v-1 l. l.

)\V2 I ( t '. -t.) 2 j=l J J

(7.1.6)

From (7.1.5) the recovery ratio is

D2 = B/(v-1) (7.1.7)

The estimate in (7.1.6) can be applied whenever v) 3. The

values of B and n2 appear in Table II for the 58 B.I.B.

designs listed in Reference (2).

7.1.l* Method for computing F

The hypergeometric series,

(a) (b) n n F{a,b; c; z}

n ! (c) n

n z -, {7.1.8}

converges to the definite integral [see Reference (12)]:

1 Sl I b-1 c-b-1 -a

= j3{b, c-b) 0 u ( 1-u) ( 1-uz) du (7.1.9}

*I am indebted to Dr. L. R. Shenton who introduced me to

this method.

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Now one may write:

v-4 1 -F = _ ___.l~- sl ...;;;u'"---2-"'-'( l~-_..u;.;,.<.)_2

f3 ( v; 2 , ~ ) 0 1 + ( v-1) u du ( 7. 1.10)

Comparing (7.1.9} and (7.1.10), we get:

b-1 = v-4 c-b-1 1 1-v 1 = z = , a = ' 2 ' 2 '

or b v-2 v-1 1-v 1 --- c --- z = a = 2 , 2 , '

One needs to evaluate, therefore, the quantity,

v-2 v-1 = F(v-2, v-1 ) F(l, - 2-: - 2-: 1-v) 2 l; - 2-: 1-v ' (7.1.11}

due to the synunetry of a and b in the hypergeornetric form

above. Now F(b,ljc;z) can be put in the form of Gauss's

continued fraction as follows [see Reference (13}]:

where h 2p-l = b+p-1 c+2p-2 ,

1 -

= p c+2p-l '

, (7.1.12)

p = 1,2,3, ...

(7.1.13)

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The convergence is very rapid and it is far easier to compute

than the usual Simpson rule, in this case. It is to be

noted that the terms required to assure an accuracy up to

the sixth decimal place, range from 4 terms for v = 91 to

14 terms for v = 4.

7.2 Application of Theorem 1 in B.I.B. Designs

Consider the vxv matrix

1 1 1 1

1 -1

1 1 -2

1 1 1 -3

Ml = , (7.2.1)

1 1 1 1 (2-v)

1 1 1 1 1 (1-v)

and let M be the orthogonal matrix we get by normalizing Ml.

Consider the two

u

vectors

=

0

ul

u2

u v-1

of

=

comparisons :

M

A

tl A

t2

A

t v

= A

(7.2.2) M_t ,

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and

x =

In general,

0

xl

x2

x v-1

- 47 -

= M

A

t' 1

A

t' 2

A

t' v

A = M t'

v(u) = v[ 1 (t1+t2+ ... +£m-mtm+l)] m ./m(m+l)

(7.2.3)

,

. (7.2.4}

This result is independent of m, that is, all U. 's, where l

i = 1,2, ... ,v-l, have the same variance, namely v1-c1 .

Similarly, V(X.) = v1•-c• for i = 1,2, ... ,v-l. Therefore, l 1

theorem 1 is applicable for combining the two comparisons

U. and X., and their combined estimate is: l l

but

A

T. = l

k v1-c1 = - cr2 AV ,

A

u. + l

9(v-3)s~ v-1 I (X.-U .)2 j=l J J

k

(X.-U.) l l

hence p = AV , and

1' . l

= u. + 1 l v-

fk(v-3}s 2 (X.-U.}

l l

( f + 2 ) AV I {X . - u . ) 2 . 1 J J J=

(7.2.5)

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It should be noted that

v-1 \ (X. - u . ) 2 = (X-U) I (X-U} = -~ J J - - - -

J=l

/'\ A A A ( t I -!) I M IM(.!_ I -.!_}

v A A A. A

= (.!_I -.~J I Ct I-.!_) = I ( t '.-t. > 2. j=l J J

A

Let .I. = =M

then (7.2.5) can be written in vector notation as

"' f k(v-3) s 2 MT = Mt + - v

(f+2)}.v I (t'.-t.) 2

j=l J J

Since M'M = I, one can write

"' fk(v-3)s 2 T. = t. + ____ ....__ __ l. 1. v

(f+2)"Av I (t'.-t .) 2

j=l J J

A A M (!.I -,.E_) (7.2.6)

A A

( t '.-t.) ' 1. 1.

i=l, 2, 3 ... v.

(7.2.7)

=MT _,

This is applicable when v ) 3, and the recovery ratio here is

D = (v-3l f 3 (v-lX£+2)

(7.2.8)

The results for n1 as given in (7.2.4), and n3 above

appear in Table II. The results show that n2 and n3 are

always better than n1 ; the three ratios approach practically

the same value as v becomes relatively large. n2 and n3

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- 49 -

are practically the same, but n3 is,

, always better than n2 .

7.3 Procedure for Recovery of Inter-block Information in

B. LB. Designs

Compute:

(1)

(2)

(3)

Y. l..

y . . J

y

= ~Ii .. y .. ' . 1 1J 1J J=

v

= l 0. ,y .. , . 1 1J 1J 1=

= lo .. Y .. . . . l.J l.J 1J

i=l,2,3 ... v. (Total yield of

i-th treatment) .

j =l, 2' ... 'b. (Total yield of

j-th block.}

(Grand total. }

(4) Q. Y. 1 (Sum of block totals in which treat-= k

(5)

(6)

1 l.

rnent i occurs.),

i = 1,2, ... ,v (Adjusted treatment totals.)

Q. A l. ti - rE ' i=l, 2' ... 'v . (The intra-estimate,

SST

v

= lt.Q. . 1 1 l 1=

(k-l)v E = k(v-1} . )

(Treatment sum of squares.)

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(7)

( 8)

( 9)

(10)

( 11)

(12)

-50-

= 1 1 b s2 (2: o .. y2 .. - SST - k 2: Y~). (Error mean f ij lJ lJ j=l J

square, f = bk-b-v+l.)

~- + q~ = Y. - 1 y ' l l l• v •• i=l,2, ••• ,v. (Sum of

intra- and inter-adjusted totals.)

Q! A' ,... l t. - t. -= --=--l l r(l-E)

y A A

l: (t.-t.) 2 • i=l l l

J = fk(v-3)s 2

Q. l

rE

y_ "' I\ (f+2)~v ~(t.-t. ) 2 i=l l l

E(Q! + Qi)-Qi = l rE(l-E) 'i=l,2, ••• ,v.

" "' "' The combined estimate T.= t. + J(t.-t.) , l l 1. 1.

i=l,2, ..• ,v. This estimate recovers the ratio n3 of the utmost possible

recovery, and n3 appears in Table II.

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-51-

7.4 Worked Example

An experiment with 6 treatments in blocks of 2 will

be worked out. The data is taken from Reference (2),

page 444; the treatment estimates obtained in (2) by applying

the

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- 52 -

conventional method are to be compared with the results of

the new method.

Rep. I

( 1) 7 (2) 17

(3) 26 (4) 25

( 5) 33 (6) 29

Rep. III

(1) 10

(2) 26

(3) 24

(4) 25

(6) 37

(5) 26

Block Rep. II

totals

24 ( 1) 17 (3) 27

51 (2) 23 (5) 27

62 (4) 29 (6) 30

Block totals

Rep. IV

35 (1) 25

63 (2) 25

50 (3) 34

Rep. V Block totals

(1) 11

(2) 24

(4) 26

(6) 27

(3) 21

(5) 32

38

45

58

(5} 40

(4) 34

(6) 32

Block totals

44

50

59

Block totals

65

59

66

In this experiment v = 6, k = 2, r = 5, b = 15, ).. = 1, E = .6.

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- 53 -

The following table is to be set up.

Treat. A A A A

Y. Q. t. Q.+Q'. t'-t T. T. No. l.. l. l l l. i i l. l.

1 70 -33.0 -11.00 -58.17 -1. 59 -11.31 -11. 2

2 115 - 5.5 - 1.83 -13.17 -2.00 - 2.23 - 2.1

3 132 4.0 1. 33 3.83 -1.42 1. 05 1.1

4 139 8.0 2.67 10.83 -1. 25 2.42 2.5

' 5 158 15.5 5.17 29.83 2.00 5.57 5.5

6 155 11. 0 3.67 26.83 4.25 4.52 4.4

0 0 0 0 0

For Treatment 1, for instance, the following steps

should be carried out.

Step 1: Treatment total= Yl. = 7 + 17 + ... + 11 = 70 .

Step 2: 1 01 = Yli - 2 (sum of block totals in which

Treatment 1 appears},

= 70 - ~(24 + 44 + ... + 38) = -33

Step 3: 01 -33 rE = 5(.6) = -ll '

where E = Efficiency of the design (k-l)v = k(v-1)

(2-1)·6 = = 2·5

Step 4: 1

Ql + Q' = y - -(y 1 1. v ) = 70 - 769 = -58.17 ' 6

where Y =Grand Total= 24 + 51 + ... + 58 = 769

. 6.

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Step 5: Q'

1 r(l-E)

- 54 -

Ql = E(Ql+Ql)-Ql rE rE(l-E}

= .6(-58.17)+33 = -1.59 5(.6)(.4)

J

After computing the same quantities for all treatments, one

should compute the following quantities:

Sum squares of blocks (unadjusted)

1 (769) 2 = 2<242 + 512 + ... + 582) - 30 J

= 1051. 5

Sum squares of treatments (adjusted)

v \" = iJt.Q. =

. 1 1. 1. 1.=

= 520.2

J

Error mean square = b 1 (Total sum of squares - Sum rv-v- + 1

squares of treatments adjusted - Sum squares of blocks

unadjusted) J

= 1~(1649 - 520.2 - 1051.5) = 7.73

= (-1.59) 2 + (-2) 2 + ... + (4.25} 2 = 32.2

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-55-

J = fk(v-J)s 2

(f+2)fw ~(t!-t.)2 l..J l l .

i=l

now the combined estimate ~- is: l

" " "' ,.. ~-= t.+ J(t.-t.) l l l J.

= 10 • 2 • 3 • ( 7 • 73 ) 12 • 1 • 6 • ( J 2 • 2 )

For the first treatment, for instance:

" ~l = -11 + ( .20005) (-1.59) = -11.31

=

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- 56 -

8. P.B.I.B. WITH TWO ASSOCIATE CLASSES

8.1 Definitions and Useful Relations

An incomplete block design is said to be partially

balanced with two associate classes if it satisfies the

following requirements:

(i) The experimental material is divided into b blocks

of k units each, different treatments being applied to the

units in the same block.

(ii) There are v()k) treatments each of which occurs

in r blocks.

(iii) There can be established a relation of associa-

tion between any two treatments satisfying the following

requirements:

(a) Two treatments are either first associates or

second associates.

(b)

(i = 1,2).

Each treatment has exactly n. i-th associates l

(c) Given any two treatments, which are i-th associates,

the number of treatments common to the j-th associate of the

. i first and the k-th associate of the second is pjk and is

independent of the pair of treatments we start with. Also

i i pjk = pkj (i,j,k = 1,2).

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- 57 -

(iv) Two treatments which are i-th associates occur

together in exactly A. blocks (i = 1,2}. J.

The munbers v, r, k, b, n 1 , n2 , J..1 , and J..2 are called

parameters of the first kind, whereas the numbers p~k

(i,j,k = 1,2) are called the parameters of the second kind.

The following relations between the parameters are

known to hold:

vr = bk ,

n 1 J..1 +n2J..2 = r(k-1) ,

l 1 P21+P22 = n2 '

nl+n2 = 1 1

Pi1+P12

2 2 pll+pl2

1 nlpl2 =

v-1 ,

n -1 = 1 ,

= nl , (8.1.1)

2 n2pll ,

In the analysis of such designs, T. is defined as the J.

total of the observations for the i-th treatment, B. as the J

sum of the k observations from the j-th block. Qi denotes

the adjusted yield for the i-th treatment obtained by

subtracting from T., the sum of the block averages for those 1

blocks in which the i-th treatment occurs. Also, s1 (Qi)

denotes the sum of the adjusted yields for all the first

associates of the i-th treatment, and G denotes the total of

all N observations.

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- 58 -

R. C. Bose defines the constants 6, H, c1 , c 2 by the

relations:

where,

a = r(k-1) , 1 f = P12 ' g = p2

12

(8.1.2)

(8.1.3)

(8.1.4)

(8.1.5)

(8.1.6)

In the intra-block analysis, the best linear estimate

" t. of the treatment effect t. is given by, l l

k-c " 2 t. = Q. +

i a i

c -c 1 2 s (Q.)

a 1 i (8.1.7)

The variance of the intra-estimate of the difference

between two treatment effects is given by:

2(k-c .) " " V(t.-t ) = cr2

i u a , (8.1.8}

where the treatments i and u are j-th associates (j=l,2).

In the inter-block analysis where only the block totals

" are used, M. Zelen (11) gives the best linear estimate t'. l

of the treatment effect t. as: l

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where:

and

In this case,

A

t' i

o: 1.

c '. J

A

- 59 -

k-c2• = Q'. + r 1.

c'-c' 1 2 r

T. Q. rG =

1. 1. N J

c.6-r"}... = ] ]

6-rH+r2 '

2(k-c'.} A

(J • 2 V(t'.-t') = 1. u r

J (8.1.9}

(8.1.10)

(j=l, 2} . (8.1.11)

' (8.1.12}

where the treatments i and u are j-th associates (j=l,2),

and where

cr' 2 = (J2 + ko:2 b ( 8 .1. 13)

cr2 is the error variance in the intra-model, and ~ is the

variance of the block effect in the random or inter-model.

8.2 Variances and Covariances

From the restriction the

A A A

V( 2 t.) = . 1 1. 1.=

v V(t.) + v(v-1) Cov(t.,t.) = O 1. 1. J

0, or:

(8.2.1}

Since every treatment has n 1 first associates and n 2 second

associates, and n 1+n2 = v-1, then:

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- 60 -

or (8.2.2)

A A

where t .. is the j-th associate oft., (j=l,2). From 1] 1

(8.1.8) for j = 1,2:

A A A A V(t.} + V(t. 1 } - 2 Cov(t.,t. 1 } =

1 1 1 1 a

and

A A

Cov(ti,ti2 ) = c2 , then (8.2.3) may be written as:

and

or

v1 + n 1c1 + n 2c2 = o ,

v -1

- 2C 2

k-c 1 - -- cr2 a

k-c = __ 2 cr2 a

,

,

,

(8.2.3)

(8.2.4}

(8.2.5}

(8.2.6)

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- 61 -

By subtracting (8.2.6) from (8.2.5) and (8.2.5) from

{8.2.4), one obtains:

' (8.2.7)

and

{8.2.8)

Remembering that n 1 +n2+1 = v, (8.2.7) and {8.2.8) may be

written as:

, and

c = c2(nl+l)-nlcl-k cr2 2 av

Substituting (8.2.9) into (8.2.5), one obtains:

or

= k-c1 + c 1 (n2+1)-n2c 2-k

=

a av

vk-vc1 +c1 (n2+l)-n2c 2-k

av =

(8.2.9)

(8.2.10)

av

(8.2.11)

Since o, where t''s are the inter-estimates for i

'

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- 62 -

treatments, one obtains, in exactly the same way:

V' k{v-l)-n1cl-n2c2

= 1 vr

C' ci{n2+1)-n2c2-k

= 1 vr

C' {n1+l)c;2-n1ci-k

= 2 vr

where A A

cr'2

cr'2

cr'2

' (8.2.12)

(8.2.13)

, {8.2.14)

A A

= Cov(t'.,t'. 2 ), and 1 1

t '. . is the j-th associate of t '.,, {j=l, 2). Let 1J 1

v =V 1 + V' 1 , (8.2.15)

c = c 1 + C' 1 , (8.2.16)

and

C' = c 2 + C' 2 (8.2.17)

In the combined analysis of Rao, the·variance of the

difference between two treatments is given in Reference (1)

as:

2(k-d.) V(T.-T.} = 1 J r[ w' +w(k-1)] , (j=l,2) (8.2.18)

Also, here

v

V[ ! T.] LT. = 0 = 0 , , . 1 1 . 1 1 1= 1=

or as in (8.2.2),

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- 63 -

{8.2.19), together with the two equations resulted from

(8.2.18) for j=l,2, give a system of three equations of

three unknowns. The work is exactly parallel to that of the

intra-estimates, and

k(v-1)-n d -n d V(T ) = 1 1 2 2

i vr[w{k-l)+w']

as it was mentioned in (2.7).

8.3 Sign of the Quantity C-C'

By subtracting (8.2.10} from (8.2.9),

= c 1 (n1+n2+1}-c 2 (n1+n2+1)

av

(8.2.20)

'

'

= ' by (8.1.4) and {8.1.5),

=----Ma '

Similarly, by subtracting (8.2.14) from (8.2.13),

C'-C' = 1 2

=

ci(n1+n2+1)-c2(n1 +n2+1)

vr

c'-c' 1 2 r '

'

{8.3.1)

(8.3.2)

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- 64 -

where cl, c2, cr' 2 are as defined in (8.1.11) and (8.1.13).

Substituting for cl, c2, (8.3.2) may be written,

Now by adding (8.3.4) and (8.3.1) one obtains:

C-C' 6(c1-c2)-r(A1-A2 )

02 + -----------r (6-rH+r2)

A1-A2 [6a(A1-A2 J/k6]-r(A1-A2 ) = --= a2 + __ ____;;; ______________ ____;;; __ k6 r(6-rH+r2 )

A1-A2 a(A1-A2 )-kr(A1-A2 ) = a2 + -----------

k.6 rk(6-rH+r2 )

and since a = rk-r,

Al-)..2 C-C' = --= k6

Substituting for cr' 2 from (8.1.13),

c-c'

,

1 02 - ----6-rH+r2

,

,

~] '

(8.3.4)

'

(8.3.5)

(A ).. ) [---=r ..... (=H.._-.-.r ..... )_ 02 - --=1-..,,.. = 1- 2 k6(6-rH+r2 ) 6-rH+r2 a2 J . (8.3.6)

Now if

6 ) 0, 6- rH+r2 ) O, H ) r , (8.3. 7)

then (8.3.6) is of the form:

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- 65 -

C-C' = (1'1-A2 )[negative quantity] ,

i.e.,

C-C' > 0 if Al < A2 , (8.3.8)

C-C' < 0 if Al > A2

It is to be noticed that the above conditions in (8.3.7} are

satisfied in every design listed in R.C. Bose "Tables of

p.b. i.b. designs with two associate classes", Reference (1).

8.4 Theorem 3

As a generalization to Theorem 1, consider the t

independent parameters T1 , T2 , ... , Tt and suppose that for

each T. there exist two independent unbiased estimates U. i i

and X. , where U. ~ N ( T . , V. = 9 . 0 2 ) and X. /""'\ N ( T . , V ~ ) V. } • i i i i i i i i i

Suppose also that independently of the X. 's, U. 's there i i

exists an unbiased estimate s 2 for 0 2 where s 2 ~ X2 a2 then f ,

we can determine a known constant B so that the unbiased

combined estimate,

"' T. i

9 Bs 2 i = u i + -t-"------

I (X .-u .) 2 . 1 J J J= j;ti

(X.-U.) i i

has a variance less than V(U.) whenever t) 5. i

(8.4.1)

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- 66 -

Proof:

A 1 E(T.) = 'T. + e .Bcr2 E -t--=--- • E (X . - U . ) = T .

1. l. l. l (X .-U.) 2

j~i J J

l. l. l.

z2 V(;,) = V(U.) + 9~B2E(s 4 )·E ____ i __ + 29.BE(s 2 )·E

l. l. l. t l. ( l z~) 2

j=l J j~i

where z . = X . - U . J z . = X. - U. . J J J l. l. l.

e~cr4B2 (f+2) V(~.) = V + _i. __ f ___ E(z~) ·E --1--

1. i l. t

but

( ~ z~)2 . . J J l.

· E[z.(U.-T.)] 1 1 1

(8.4.2)

Z, ( U. -T. ) l. l. l.

t

lz~ . 1 J J= j~i

(8.4.3)

E(z~) = E[ (X.-T. )-(U.-T.) ] 2 = E(X.-T. } 2 +E(U.-T. ) 2 = v.+V'. J 1 1 1 l. l. 1 l. l. l. l. l.

substituting into (8.4.3)J

A

V(T.) = V. l. l.

V~B2 (f+2)(V.+V~) l + 1 1 l. E ---='---

f t ( l z~) 2 •...J. J

J:r-1.

1 + 2V.BE-t--E[(X.-U.)(U.-T.)]

l. l. l. l. l.

lz~ j~i J

(8.4.4)

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Let

¢. = v.+V'. = V(z.}, i i i i

i=l,2,3 ... t , (8.4.5}

then

V~B2 (f+2) ¢. l l V( T . } = v. + i f i E --=--- + 2V. BE ( 2 ) ( -v. )

i i t i i ( l z::} 2 z2 j~i J j~i j

,

V~B(f+2}¢. l l = V. + i i E ---- - 2V~BE -----

i f t i t ( l z~)2 l z~ j~i J j~i J

(8.4.6)

It should be noticed that zj A N(O, ¢j). Let zj = /¢j · Yj ,

then, Y. /'\ N(O, 1), .t.Y"J. """X(t-l) , and, J Jri

t

lz~ = •..J.. J Jri

Now one can write:

_........;;;;! __ ( E __ ........;;;;! ____ = ___;l;;;.....__ E ( 2 1 } 2 E t . t ¢2. X

\ \ min. (t-1} c L z::; l 2 ¢2 . c L Y~ > 2 j~i J min. j~i J

1 = ---,,..----------¢2. (t-3)(t-5) min.

,

(8.4.7)

(8.4.8)

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and

1 = --=---qi max.

1 1 . E -X-2-=--- = -qi---='-(-t---3-}

(t-1) max.

(8.4.9)

Using (8.4.8) and (8.4.9), we can write (8.4.6) as:

qi (t-3} . (8.4.10) max.

In (8.4.10) we want the quadratic in B, in the last two

terms to be negative, i.e.,

or

V~B B(f+2)qi. 2 i [ i t-3 fqi2 . (t-5) min.

qi max.

2fqi2 . (t-5) 0 ( ( min.

B (f+2}qi . . qi

B opt.

i max.

fqi2 . (t-5) min. = --==------( f+2) qi . • qi i max.

] < 0 ,

, t > 5 .

' (8.4.11)

where B t is the value of B which minimizes the above op .

quadratic.

Since qi. ( qi , one can write: i :- max.

B = f(t-5) . (qimin.) 2 f +2 qi

, (8.4.12) max.

as an admissible B, i.e., within the above range of B which

"' makes V(T.) ( V(U.). i i

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In the incomplete block designs where both inter- and

intra-block estimates are available and independent, the

~ variance is of the form a 1 a2 + a 2 ~. Let a2 = R, and know-

ing that ~ should never be less than a2 in any reasonable

incomplete block design,

<P • min. <P max. ' (8.4.13)

where a 1 , a 2 , y1 , y2 are known in terms of the parameters of

the design.

F(R) is a hyperbolic function; it is monotonically

decreasing if a 2y1 ( a 1Y2, and monotonically increasing if

a2yl) al Y2·

Now if a2y1 ( a1Y2 , then

F(cx:>) ( F(R) ( F(l)

and from (8.4.13),

<P • min. <P max.

In this case,

= F(R) ) F(ro)

B = f(t-5) f +2

F(l) ( F(R) ( F(a>)

, (8.4.14)

(8.4.15)

(8.4.16}

' (8.4.17)

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and from (8.4.13},

<P . min. <P max.

= F(R) ) F(l} =

In this case

B = f(t-5) f +2

(8.4.18)

(8.4.19)

In both cases B can be computed from the parameters of our

design.

8.5 Special Case

When there are only two different variances, let t 1 of

the z's have variance <P1 and let the remaining t-t1 have

variance <P2 , then (8.4.7) becomes:

t I z~ = <Plx2 (tl-1) +<P2X2 (t-tl) .;:: <Plx2 ( v 1) +¢2X2 ( v 2> j~i J

t

j~izj = ¢1X2(t1)+¢2X2(t-t1-ll = ¢1X2(v1)+¢2X2(v2)

when V(zi} = <P2

(8.5.1)

(8.5.2}

It should be noticed that v1 and v 2 assume different values

in the two cases, but v 1+v 2 = t-1 always.

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In both cases let us assume that

where

f{X) =

and

h

Iz~ = . 1 J J= j~i

1 x ~v -1

1

Applying lemma 1, we have

-y/2<!>2 e dy ,

thus substituting into {4.6) we get:

, {8.5.3)

x > o,

(8.5.4)

y > o,

{8.5.5)

du ,

du {8.5.6}

Suppose that one is able to find a lower bound L and an

upper bound P for the ratio which are relatively not

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- 72 -

far from each other, then one can write:

~v -1 ~v -1 Sl u 1 (1-u) 2

0 [u+L{l-u) ] 2 du '

, {8.5.7)

and

~v -1 ~v -1 Sl u 1 {1-u) 2 u+P(l-u)

0 du '

(8.5.8)

Accounting for (8.5.3), and substituting (8.5.7} and (8.5.8)

into (8.4.6}:

,

(8.5.9)

Assuming t ) 5, the second term is negative when

2f (t-5} G1 <l\ 0 ( B ( (f+2 )@.G (8.5.10)

' ' l. 2

The value B which makes it the most negative is: opt.

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B opt. =

- 73 -

f<I>1G1 (t-5)

<I>iG2 (f+2) (8.5.11)

Since <Pi is either <I>1 or <I>2 in this special case, we have

B opt. = fG1 (t-5)

(f+2)G2 ' when <I> = <I> i 1 (8.5.12)

However, (8.5.11) depends on the variances <I>1 , <I>2 when

<Pi = <I>2 ; to avoid this, we go back to (8.5.6) and take <I>2

outside the integral instead of <I>1 to get:

= du .(8.5.13)

¢2 1 1 The lower and upper bounds for <Pl are P and L respectively,

hence using (8.5.13):

r(~v 1+v 2-2) ~l J,;v 1-1 ~v -1

E(x!Y)2 2

< ;~ u + (1-u}

4q,~ r ( ~v 1 > r ( ~v 2 ) r (1-u)]

r(~v 1+v 2-2)G2 G' 2 = 4<I>~ r ( ~v 1) r C ~v 2 ) = (t-3) (t-5)f3(~v 1 , ~v 2> q,~

~v -1 2 (1-u)

+ (1-u)

du ,

(8.5.14)

du '

(8.5.15)

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Substituting in (8.5.7) for the case, where ¢i = ¢ 2 :

V~B B(f+2)G2 = v. + ]. [ - 2G I ]

i (t-3)~(~v 1 , ~v 2 )¢2 f(t-5) 1

2V2 BG' i 1

Assuming t ) 5, the second term is negative when

and

2f (t-5)Gi 0 < B < ------(f+2)G2

B opt. = f (t-5)Gi

(f+2) G2

'

(8.5.16)

(8.5.17)

(8.5.18)

,

This is independent of the ¢'s, and (8.5.18) will be m.ed.when

¢i = ¢ 2 . Substituting (8.5.12) into (8.5.9), we get for the

case ¢i = ¢ 1 :

or

But

A V~fGl(t-5) V(Ti) < vi + (f+2}G2(t-3)~(~vl, ~v2)¢1 [G1- 2G1]

A

V(T} < V. ].

v2 v;; i ].

¢ 1 = v. +v~ ]. ].

f(t-5}G~

is the utmost possible recovery.

recovery ratio is at least:

,

(8.5.19)

Thus the

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- 75 -

f(t-5)G~ D = ~~~~~~-='--~~~~-

( f + 2) G 2 ( t - 3 )~(~v1, ~v2) (8.5.20)

Similarly substituting (8.5.18) into (8.5.16}, we get for

the case ¢. = cP : l 2

A V~f (t-5)Gi V(Ti) <vi+ (t-3)~(~vl, ~v2)cP2(f+2)G2[Gi- 2GiJ ,

Again v2 v2 ......!. = _.;;;:i_ cri2 v.+v~

l l

(8.5.21)

is the utmost possible recovery, and the

recovery ratio is at least:

(8.5.22)

8.6 Recovery of Inter-block Information in Group Divisible

Designs

In this case v = mn, and the treatments can be divided

into m groups of n treatments each, such that any two treat-

ments of the same group are first associates, while two

treatments of different groups are second associates. The

association scheme can be displayed by placing the treat-

ments in a rectangular of m rows and n columns, where each

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- 76 -

row of n treatments constitutes a group. Clearly:

Further:

or

Also:

n = n-1 1 , n = n(m-1)

2

(n-l)A1 + n(m-l)A2 = r(k-1}

,

,

n-1 \

n(m-2)}

(8.6.1)

(8.6.2)

(8.6.3)

(8.6.4)

Bose and Connor have shown that the following inequalities

hold in group divisible (G.D.) designs:

r ) /.. - 1 , rk - f.. v) O 2-

They have divided the G.D. into three subclasses:

(i) Singular (S) if r = t..1 ,

(8.6.5)

(ii) Semi-regular (SR) if r ) t..1 and rk - t..2v = O,

(iii) Regular (R) if r) t..1 and rk - t..2v) 0.

8.6.1 Recovery in Regular Group Divisibles

In regular G.D. designs we define the mn x mn matrix

M1 as follows:

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1 2

n-1

n

2n-2

m(n

-1)

m(n

-1)+

1

mn

-2

mn

-1

mn

1

1 2

3. . .

n

~

1 -1

1 1

-2

. . . . . . 1

1 1 ••• (-n

+l)

. .

. .

.

1 1

1 ... 1

1 1

1 ... 1

. .

. .

. 1

1 1 ...

1

1 1

1 ... 1

]._ 1

1 ... 1

2

1 2

3 ... n

1 -1

1 1

-2

. .

. .

. . 1

1 1

. .. (-n+

l}

. .

. .

.

-1 -1

-1

... -1

1 1

1 ... 1

. .

. .

. .

1 1

1 ... 1

1 1

1 ... 1

1 1

1 ... 1

3 m

-1

m

1 2

3 ... n ... 1

2 3

n 1

2 3 .•

e n -

. .

. .

. .

. .

. .

. .

. .

. .

.

1 -1

1 1

-2

. .

. .

. .

1 1

1 . . .

(-n+

l}

1 -1

1 1

-2

. .

. .

. 1

1 1 ... (-n

+l)

-2 -2

-2

... -2

. .

. .

. .

. .

. .

. .

. .

. .

. 1

1 1 ...

1 . . . (-m

+2

) (-m+

2) ... (-m

+2

}

1 1

1 .... 1 . . .

1 1

1 . ..

1 (-m

+l} ... (-m

+l)

1 1

1 ... 1 . . .

1 1

1 . . .

1 1

. . . 1

-

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- 78 -

Define the following contrasts between the rnn intra-block

A A A

estimates of the treatments t 1 ,t2 , ... ,tv:

ul

u2 u = = M

A

tl A

t2

A

t nm

A

(8.6.6) = Mt '

where M is the same as M1 after normalizing its rows.

Define also the similar contrasts between the inter-block

A A

estimates of the treatments, namely tl, t I: v

x2 A x = = Mt' = M .(8.6.7)

A

t' nm

0

The problem now is to combine u and x to get new estimates A

'r l :I.. = It should be noted that U = O, X = O, and nm nm

the corresponding combined estimate is assumed to be zero,

A

i.e., 'r = 0. nm

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For the variance-covariance matrix of both U and X, it

is noticed first that U. is uncorrelated with u. for i ~ j; J. J

also X. is uncorrelated with X. for i ~ j, and the u. 's and J. J J.

X. 's are independent of each other for every i, j, by virtue J

of the well known fact that the inter-block estimates are

independent from the intra-block estimates.

"' "' It should also be noted that in the vector tort' we

are grouping the treatments according to group divisible

association plan, i.e., the first n are the first group (or

row} in the plan, the next n treatments are the second row

in the association plan, etc. ; moreover, . it should be noted

that the contrasts included in the matrix M are of two kinds,

within group contrasts and among group contrasts. It has

been shown in (7.2.4) that all within contrasts have exactly

the same variance, namely v1-c1 , where v1 is the variance of

the intra-treatment estimate and c1 is the covariance between

two first associate intra-estimates. For the variance of

the contrasts among groups, let us take a general one,

U 2 , say. Then mn-

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- 80 -

1 = n(m- 2 ) (m-l)(n(m-2)(m-l)V1+(n-l)c1 (n(m-2)+n(m-2)2]

,

' (8.6.8)

where c 2 is the covariance between two second associate

intra-estimates. Now V(U 2 ) is independent of m, which mn-

means that all among contrasts have the same variance.

Similarly, one can deduce the variances of the X's, it

contrasts, where Vi is the variance of the inter-treatment

estimate, and cl, c2 are the covariances between two, first

or second associate inter-estimates respectively.

Consider now the vector:

z =

z mn-1

= x - u

z. and z. are independent for i ~ j. l J

, (8.6.9)

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For within group z's, one has

For among group z's, one has

= V-C + n(C-C') , (8.6.11}

where V, c, C' are defined in (8.2.15) through (8.2.17}.

From (8.3.8), it is seen that

v-c > (V-C) + n(C-C') , if Al) A2 ,

and

v-c < {V-C) + n{C-C') , if Al ( /\2 .

This will give rise to two divisions of the problem:

(i) Regular G.D. with A1 ) "A2 ,

(ii) Regular G.D. with Al ( A2 .

8.6.1.1 Study of the Ratio (V-C)/(V-C+n(C-C')]

Subtracting (8.2.9) from (8.2.11),

k-c1 - -- cr2

a

(8.6.12)

,

(8.6.14}

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Subtracting (8.2.13) from (8.2.12},

Adding

V'-C' 1 1

(8.6.14)

kv-cl{n1+n2+1) cr'2 = vr

and {8.6.15},

k-c

k-c' 1 cr'2 = r

k-c' v-c = v -c + V'-C' =--1 CJ2 + 1 cr'2

1 l 1 1 a r

By (8.3.5) one can write:

V-C + n(C-C') k-c n(A1-A2 ) k-c'

= [--1 + ] cr2 + [ 1 a k6 r

J

. (8.6.15}

(8.6.16)

(8.6.17)

1 From {8.6.4) one obtains f = p 12 = O, g = p~2 = n-1, and

substituting in (8.1.2),

k 2 6 = {a+A1 )(a+A2 } +(A -A )(-a-A )(n-1) 1 2 1 J

and using {8.6.3), one can write

{8.6.18}

Substituting f and gin (8.1.3),

kH = (2a+A1 +A2 ) - n(A1-A2 ) + A1-A2 ,

= a+A1 + [a+A1-n{A1-A2)J ,

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- 83 -

and using (8.6.3), one obtains

Substituting f and gin (8.1.4),

by (8.6.3}:

Subtracting (8.1.5) from (8.1.4),

or

ak()..1-)..2} cl-c2 = k 2 6 '

and using (8.6.18), one obtains:

ka{)..l-).2} cl-c2 - )..2v{a+)..1 )

Now using (8.6.18) and (8.6.20),

k-c 1

k 2 6-Mc1 a)..2v A2Vk = = = k 2 6 a aM aM

k ---a+)..l

A2Vk = :A2v(a+:A1 }

(8.6.19)

(8.6.20)

(8.6.21)

,

(8.6.22)

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- 84 -

(8.6.22} indicates that in regular G.D., k-c1 ) 0 or k) c 1 .

Let A= 6-rH+r2 , then

kA = M - rkH + r 2 k ' and using (8.6.18) and (8.6.19), one obtains

(r-)\1 ) (rk-P.2v) . (8.6.23)

k

Since r) A1 , rk) )\2v in regular G.D., one can say that

A = 6-rH+r2 ) 0 always in this class of designs.

Also, from (8.1.11),

k-c' __ l r

k - -r

,

and using (8.6.20) and (8.6.23), one obtains

k-cl k A1A2v-kr)\1

=

-r r r k(r-A1 )(rk-/\2v)

k(r-)\1 )(rk-)\2v)+k)\1 (rk-)\2v}

r(r-A.1 }(rk-A2v)

,

= (8.6.24)

Substituting (8.6.22) and {8.6.24) into {8.6.16), one can

write

v-c = (8.6.25)

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- 85 -

From (8.6.18),

n('Al-/\2) nk('Al-/\2) nk{/\1-/\2) = k 2 6 = k6 /\2v{a+/\l)

,

and using (8.6.3), one obtains

n(/\1-/\2) k{a+/\1-/\2v} k k = =-- -

k6 /\2v(a+A1 } )\2V a+/\l (8.6.26)

From (8.6.23), one can write

n(/\1-)..2) nk(A.1-/..2) nk()..1-/..2) = nk2 A = kA (r-)\1 ){rk-f..2v) . (8.6.27)

Substituting (8.6.22), (8.6.24}, (8.6.26), and (8.6.27) into

{8.6.17),

V-C + n(c-c')

and by using (8.6.3), one obtains

v-c + n(C-C'} ,

(8.6.28)

From (8.6.25) and (8.6.28), one can write:

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- 86 -

k a2 + k cr'2 a+'/\l r-'/\l v-c __ ___;.___;;;_____ = ---------------------

v - c + n (c-c') k cr2 + k er. 2 "A2v rk-'/\2v

Substituting {8.1.13) into (8.6.29),

( 1 1)2 k 2 + er +--a: V-C a+'/\l r-'/\l r-'/\l b -------"----- = ____________ ___;;;; _________ __,;;;; _____ ~

v-c+n(c-c') 1 1 k ( "A2 v + rk- '/\2 v) a2 + rk- )\2 v er~

Let 0:2 b 2 = R ) 1, then, cr

where

r

,

'

'

1 132 = J

(8.6.29}

J

(8.6.30)

(8.6.31)

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d.F(R) = dR

- 87 -

~l(a2+~2R)-~2(al+~lR)

(a2+~2R)2

Substituting from (8.6.31), one can write,

'

r

r(a+A1 )-r"A2v r(a+).1-f,.2v) = ~~~~~----~--=-~~~ = ~~~~~~~~~~~ A2v(r-/,.1 }(a+f,.1 )(rk-/,.2v) A2v(r-A1 )(a+/,.1 )(rk-A2v)

by (8.6.3),

'

'

nr(A1-"A2 ) = ~~~~~~~~~~~

f,. 2v(r-i\1 ) (a+/,.1 ) (rk-i\2v) (8.6.32)

Since r-/,.1 ) O, rk-/,.2 ) 0 in regular G.D., one can say

that

Thus, F(R)

d.F(R) dR is

< 0

is monotonically

monotonically decreasing if

F(l) < F(R) < F (ro)

F (ro) < F(R) < F(l)

(8.6.33)

if i\l < i\2

increasing if "'1 > "'2 ' and

"1 < i\2 • This means that

when "'1 > )\2 (8.6.34)

when "1 < A2

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- 88 -

Substituting from (8.6.31),

F(l} = = = A2v(rk-A2v} (rk+A1} (r-A1 ) (a+A1 ) (r+A2v} '

(8.6.35}

and

F(oo) 131 rk-A2v

-- -- -!32 r-A 1

(8.6.36}

For the inverse ratio G(R) 1 v-c+n ( c-c ' ) = = F(R} v-c ' one has

G(l) 1 (r-A1}(a+A1 ) (r+A2v} = = F(l} A2v(rk-A2v} (rk+A1 } (8.6.37}

and

1 r-A G(oo} 1 = = F (oo) rk-A2v (8.6.38}

Also,

G(oo} < G(R} < G(l} if Al) A2 ' (8.6.39)

G(l) < G(R} < G(oo} if Al ( ).2

8.6.1.2 Application of Special Case of Theorem 3

It should be noticed that the results of the special

case are exactly what one desires here, where w1 = V-C,

w2 = V-C + n(C-C'). Let:

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- 89 -

L = (8.6.40}

Then for within comparisons with variance w1 = v-c, one has

v1 = m(n-1)-1, v2 = m-1. Thus for:

( i} "I. > "I. /\1 /\2:

' (8.6.41)

and G2 in (8.5.7) becomes:

sl ~(v-m-3) ~(m-3) G2

_ u {1-u} du - 0 [u+L(l-u)] 2 (8.6.42)

Also Gl in (8.5.8) becomes:

sl ~(v-m-3) ~(m-3) Gl

_ u (1-u} du - O u + P(l-u) (8.6.43)

And for:

(ii) "Al < "'2=

G2 and G1 in (8.5.7) and (8.5.8) become:

Sl ~(v-m-3) ~(m-3) _ u (1-u) G2 - 0 [u+P(l-u) ]2 du ' (8.6.44}

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- 90 -

and

Sl ~(v-m-3) ~(m-3) G = u (1-uJ du

1 O u + L(l-u)

For among comparisons with variance w2

one has v1 = m(n-1), v2 = m-2, and for:

;

G' 2 in (8.5.14) becomes:

= sl ~(v-m-2) (l-uJ~(m-4)

G' u du 1 2 0 [- u + (1-u)] 2

p

= P2 \1 u~(v-m-2) (l-uJ~(m-4) ~ [u + P(l-u)] 2 du

G' in (8.5.15) becomes: 1

Gl = sl u~(:-m-2) (l-u)~(m-4) du ,

0 L u + (1-u)

,

(8.6.45)

= V-C + n(C-C'),

(8.6.46}

(8.6.47)

fl ~(v-m-2) ~(m-4) = L u <( 1-r> du (8.6.48} u + L 1-u

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- 91 -

And for:

(ii) Al ( 1-.2:

CD 1 1.<-1.< L ~2 - p i (8.6.49}

G' 2 and G]_ become, in this case:

G' = Il u ~(v~m-2) ~l-u}~(m-4) du 2 ,

[- u + (l-u)] 2 L

= L2 sl u~{v-m-2) ~l-ul~(m-4}

du 0 [u + L(l-u)] 2 , (8.6.50)

and

G' = sl u~<:-m-2) (l-u}~{m-4)

du 1 , 0 P u + {1-u)

= p Il ~(v-m-2) ~(m-4) u ( 1-ul

u + P(l-u) du (8.6.51}

One notices that the integrals for the within comparisons

can be evaluated for m ) 2, but for among comparisons one

must have m) 2. The combining constant B and a conservative

lower bound of the recovery ratio Dare given in (8.5.12)

and (8.5.20} for the within comparisons; and for the among

comparisons Band Dare given in (8.5.18) and (8.5.22},

respectively. The required integrals have been evaluated

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- 92 -

and the corresponding values for B and D have been computed

for 62 regular G.D. designs that appear in Bose's "Tables

for P.B.I.B". The results are listed in Tables III and IV

for the within and'arnong comparisons respectively. The

combined estimate, as given in (8.4.1) is

A

T. = U. + 1. 1. v-1

9 Bs 2 i (X.-U.)

1. 1. ' (8.6.52)

I (X.-U. )2 j=l J J j~i

where 9. is the coefficient of cr2 in V(U.). 1. 1.

For within comparisons, one has, using (8.2.5} and

(8.6.22):

k-c V(U.) = V -C = l cr2 =

i 1 1 a , (8.6.53)

hence 9. 1.

k --- and the combined estimate in (8.6.52)

becomes:

"' kBs 2 Ti = ui + ~~---v---1---------

(a+t..1) .l (X.-U.} 2

j=l J J j~i

(X.-U.) .(8.6.54) 1. 1.

For among comparisons, one has, using (8.6.8), (8.2.5),

(8.3.1}, (8.6.22), and (8.6.26}:

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V(U.) J.

- 93 -

,

,

{8.6.55}

hence and the combined estimate in (8.6.52)

becomes:

(X.-U-.) (8.6.56) J. J.

The B's in (8.6.54) and (8.6.56) are the combining constants

to be obtained from Tables III and IV, respectively.

8.6.2 Analysis for Singular and Semi-regular G.D. Designs

The formula (8.1.9) of M. Zelen for the inter-block

estimate is not applicable in the two subclasses, singular

G.D., and semi-regular G.D. designs because the quantity

6-rH+r2 = 0 for both. An inter-analysis for those subclasses

will now be given.

It is known that in the inter-block analysis it is

assumed that the block effects b are random variables, s

uncorrelated with each other and with the plot errors e .. 's, l.JS

having mean zero and {unknown) variance 0~. Let the total

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- 94 -

of blocks be denoted by B, s = 1,2, ... ,b, and the effect of s

the treatment in the i-th row and j-th column in the associa-

tion scheme rectangle by t .. , where i = 1, 2, ... ,m, j = 1, 2, ... ,n, lJ

mn - v. One can then express the yield y,. as: lJS

Yi. J's = µ + t .. + b + s:.. , lJ s lJ s (8.6.57)

where y,. is defined only when the treatment (ij) occurs in . lJS

the block s. The total of the s-th block is:

where

B = kµ + s

6.. = lJS

m n I Io .. t .. . 1 . 1 l.JS lJ l= J=

+ kb s + ~ !o. e.. , . 1 . 1 lJ s l.J s l.= J=

(8.6.58)

1 if (ij)-th treatment occurs in s-th block,

0 otherwise

Here E(B) = kµ + .Z.Z 5 .. t .. and V(B) = k(cr2 + ka2 ). One S ij lJS lJ S b

obtains the normal equations by minimizing the quantity,

I <a -kµ - 2: 1 o . . t .. l 2 -1 S . . lJS lJ s= i J

The normal equations, therefore, are:

b

-2k I (B -kµ - lo .. f ~ . ) = o 1 S . . lJS lJ

s= iJ

b

e It .. . . lJ lJ

'

- \ 5 .. (B -~ s~l lJS S l A I ) 6.,.,t.,., -9=0

l J s l J i'j I

(8.6.59)

(8.6.60)

(8.6.61)

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- 95 -

b

Noticing that Io .. S=l l.JS

= r, ! !6. . 1 . 1 l.J s l.= J=

= kJ and simplifying

(8.6.60)J and (8.6.6l)J one can write

b

kllo .. t'..=kG 1 . . l.J s l.J s= l.J ' (8.6.62)

b A \ A

kr µ + /_,; ( 2: 0 . , 0 , I • 1 ) t : 1 • I = • I • I S l.J S l. J S l. J

\ o .. B s~l l.JS S

+ 9 . ( 8. 6. 63) l. J

A A - _Q_ Let 2:Z2: o .. t'.. = 0 , then (8.6.62) givesµ - bk, and sij l.JS l.J

substituting in (8.6.63) one obtains:

" 0 .. 0. I • I }t: I • I = B .. l.JS l. J S l. J l.J. rG + n = Q' + n b 't::7 • • 't::7 l.J J

i I j I (8.6.64) b

where B .. l.J . = \ o .. B

sf'l l.J s s = the sum of block totals in which

treatment (ij) occurs. If ij = i'j' then

z o .. o., ., = z o~. = z o .. = r J thus (8.6.64} becomes S l.JS l. J S S l.JS S l.JS

"'• rt .. + l.J I (Io .. o .... )t: ... = i'j'~ij S l.JS l. JS l. J Q~j + 9 '

or

rt : . + l cl 0 , , 0 , • I } t : • I + l l cl 0 • • 0 • I • I . } t : I • I =Q ~ • +9 J l.J ·•..J· l.JSl.JS l.J ·•~· , 1 l.JSl.JS l.J l.J J r J s l. rl. J s i'=i

C8.6.65}

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but,

- 96 -

I6ijs6ij 's =the number of blocks in which treatment s

(ij) and treatment (ij'), where j~j' occur together= Al.

Also,

I 6 . . 6. , . , = the number of blocks in which treatment lJS l J S s

(ij) and treatment (i'j') occur together, where i~i' = A2 .

Hence (8.6.65) becomes:

rt : . + l A1t '. . , + l l A2t : , . , = Q ~ . + e . ( 8. 6. 66) lJ , I , lJ , I.../., , I l J lJ J =J l rl J

Summing over all treatments one obtains:

r(sum of all treatments) + n 1A1 (sum of all treatments)

+ n 2A2 (sum of all treatments) = O + ve , (8.6.67)

i.e., ve = O or e = O. Using again the assumption that

the sum of all treatments = O, one can write:

I If: ... =-If: .. • 1...J • •I l J •I lJ i .rl J J

' (8.6.68}

i.e., the sum of all treatments except the i-th row= - the

sum of the i-th row. Hence (8.6.66) takes the following

form for all treatments in the i-th row:

Q'. . ' lJ j = 1, 2, ... , n ,

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- 97 -

or

A

t~ .• = Q~., l.J l.J

j = 1, 2, ... , n .

(8.6.69)

Now there are m equations similar to (8.6.69) for

i = 1,2,3 ... m. Equation (8.6.69) becomes in matrix notation,

for j = 1, 2, ... , n:

r-).. 2

)..1-)..2

)..1-)..2

r-).. 2

)..1-)..2

/\1-)..2

r-).. 2

A

tj_l

"'• ti2

A

t' in

=

Qj_l

Qj_2 (8.6.70)

Q'. in

8.6.2.1 Inter-estimates and Recovery of Inter-information

in-Singular G.D.

In this case r = ).. and the coefficient matrix in 1

(8.6.70) is of rank one. Out of each group or row of treat-

ments, one can in fact obtain an inter-estimate of one

selected treatment and impose arbitrary values for the

remaining n-1 treatments. This is natural, due to the fact

that one can construct singular G.D. designs by stretching

every treatment in a B.I.B. design to become a group of n

treatments or a row in the association scheme. Assume that

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n-1 treatments in each row have the estimate zero. Then one

can write

i = 1,,2,,3 ... m (8.6.71}

"' and t ~ . , = 0 for j ' = 1,, 2,, ... ,, j-1,, j + 1, j +2,, ... ,, n. J.J

In this way one has inter-estimates for m treatments,,

one from each row. It should be noted that these estimates

must sum to zero,, and that each treatment is a second

associate of all the remaining m-1 treatments. It is

obvious that one can inter-estimate m-1 comparisons; we

shall choose the m-1 among comparisons defined in Section

8.6.1 to be inter- and intra-estimated. They have the same

variance,, as it was shown in (8.6.8),, so that theorem 1 is

applicable. From formula (3.1), where mis m-1, one obtains:

"' 1'". = J_

9(m-3)s 2 u i + -m---1-----

L (X.-U .}2 j=l J J

(X.-U.) J_ J_

This combined estimate is applicable form 3.

was shown before in (8.6.55). Hence

(8.6.72)

pf is the .e=-, p f +2

= -1L CY2 f..2v

,, as

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- 99 -

(8.6.72) becomes:

A

'L . J_ = u. + 1 i m-

fk(m-3)s 2

~ f + 2) "'2 v I (X. - u.) 2

j=l J J

(X.-U.) J_ J_

The recovery ratio, from theorem 1, is then:

D _ -c~-L (m-3) -( 2+f)(m-l)

where f = rv - v - b + 1.

,

(8.6.73)

(8.6.74)

The choice of the among comparisons is justified here

by the fact that the efficiency E of any comparison between

first associate treatments is unity, as R. c. Bose's tables

for P.B.I.B. indicate.

8.6.2.2 Inter-estimates and Recovery of Inter-block Infor-

mation in Semi-Regular G.D.

In this case rk = J..2v, and by (8.6.3) one can write:

or

or

(8.6.75)

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- 100 -

The matrix equation in (8.6.70) becomes:

-nl(t..1-/\2) "1-"2 )\1-"2

Al-)..2 -nl()..l-A2) "1-)\2

"' tf.1

/'-.

ti2

/'-.

t' in

0 i1

Qi_2 =

(8.6.76)

The coefficient matrix in (8.6.76) is of rank n-1, i.e., out

of each group or row of treatments, one can in fact inter-

estimate n-1 treatments and impose arbitrary value for the

remaining one. Applying the restriction O, and

using (8.6.75) one can write (8.6.69) as:

' or

n

-n(1..1-A2>fij + o,1-A2> .I1t:ij = 0 ij J= ' or

/'-.

-n(/\l-/...2)t ~. = Q~. ' J.J 1J i.e.,

/'-.

t ~ . J.J ' (8.6.77)

j = 1,2,3 ... n-l

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- 101 -

It is obvious that one can inter-estimate n-1 compari-

sons within each row of treatments; in all one can inter-

estimate m(n-1) comparisons. we shall choose the m(n-1)

within comparisons defined in Section 8.6.1 to be inter- and

intra-estimated. They have the same variance, namely v1-c1

for intra-estimate and Vl-cl for inter-estimate, so that

theorem 1 is applicable. This gives the following combined

estimate:

"' 'LI = J.

u. + J.

9(mn-m-2)s 2

m(n-1) I (X.-U.)2 . 1 J J J=

(X. -U.) J. J.

(8.6. 78)

This combined estimate is applicable for mn-m-2 = v-m-2 ) 0

> 2 "•pf . h .. or v-m . Q-r+2, p is t e coefficient f 2 . o a in k-C

1 V(U.)=V-C =-----1. 1 1 a

0 2 = _k_ 0 2 as it was shown in a+)... , 1

(8.6.53). k Hence P = , and then (8.6. 78) becomes a+)...l

"' 'T . l.

k(v-m-2)s 2 = u. + i v-m

(a+/\l)l (X.-U.)2 .. 1 J J J=

The recovery ratio is,

___ .I_" (v-m-2) D -( 2+ f)(v-m)

where f = rv-v-b+l .

(X. -U.) l. l.

f ..,.._ f +2

(8.6.79)

(8.6.80)

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The choice of the within comparisons is justified by

the fact that the efficiency E1 of a comparison between first

associate treatments is always less than E2 , the efficiency

of a comparison between second associate treatments, as

R. C. Bose's tables for P.B.I.B. indicate.

8.7 Recovery of Inter-block Information in LS Type

In this case v = n 2 , and the treatments can be arranged

in an mm square association scheme so that two treatments

are first associates if they occur together in the same row

or in the same column, and they are second associates other-

wise. Such a design will be said to belong to the sub-type

L2 of the Latin Square type design denoted by LS. We also

have designs with n 2 treatments belonging to the sub-type L3

of the Latin Square type design. In this case it is possible

to form an nxn square array and to impose a Latin Square

with n letters on this array, so that any two treatments are

first associates if they occur in the same row or column of

the array or correspond to the same letter, and are second

associates otherwise.

The following relations hold for the sub-type L. of LS ].

designs (i=2, 3).

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n1 = i(n-1} ,

- 103 -

n = (n-l)(n-i+l) 2

( i 2 -3i+n

(i-1) (n-i+l)

(i-1) (n-i+l})

(n-i}{n-i+l)

(i(i-1)

p2 = i (11-l}

i(n-i) )

(n-i) 2 +i-2 ,

Consider now the following n2 x n2 matrix M1 ,

(8.7.1)

(8.7.2)

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M = 1

1

2

n-1

n(n-1) n(n-1)+1

n 2 -l

n2

1 -1

1 • 1

.

1 . 1

1 -

2

-1 1 -2 . . . . 1 ...

. .

1 ... • . 1 . . . 1 . . .

n n+l n+2

. -n+l

1 -1

1 1 -2 . . . . . 1 1 ...

. • . . . .

1 -1 -1 . . . • . . • . •

1 1 1 . . . 1 1 1 • • •

2n

. . -n+l

. . . . .

-1 . . • . •

1 . . . 1 . • .

n(n-1)+1 n(n-1)+2

. • • . . . 1 -1

1 1 . . . . . . . . . 1 1

• • • • . . -n+l -n+l

1 1

. •

-2 . . . . . .

• . • • • . . .

n2

.

. . -n+l

-n+l 1

I-' 0 .j::>.

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Let M be the matrix M1 after normalizing its rows, then M is

orthogonal. Define:

u =

Also define

X=

A A

u n(n-1)

u n(n-1)+1

u 2 1 n -

0

x n(n-1)

x n(n-1)+1

x 2 1 n -

0

=M

=M

A

t 2 n

A

t' 2

A

t' n2

(8.7.3) A

=Mt

A

=Mt' , (8.7.4)

where t. and t' are the intra- and inter-estimates of the l. i

A

i-th treatment effect, respectively. The treatments in..!:. or

€' are arranged according to the rows of the association

scheme, i.e., the first n are the treatments of the first

row, the next n treatments are those of the second row, etc.

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- 106 -

Since the treatments in the same group (or row) are first

associates, we have in similarity with (7.2.4) that:

V ( U j ) = V 1 - C 1 , for j = 1, 2 , . . . , n ( n-1) . ( 8 . 7 . 5 )

Thus all within comparisons have the same variance, namely

For the among comparisons, let us compute for L. 1

sub-type (i=2,3):

1 A A A A

V(U ( ) ) = V(/ [(t1+ ... +t )+(t 1+ ... +t2 ) n n-1 +m nm(m+l) n n+ n

+ ... -m(t 1+ ... +t ( lJ})} , nm+ n m+

1 = V1 + nm(m+l) c1 [n(n-l)m+n(i-l)m(m-l)+n(n-l}m2 -2nm2 (i-l))

1 + nm(m+l} c2 [nm(m-l)(n-i+l)-2m2 n(n-i+l}] ,

nmc1 = v1 + nm(m+l)[n-l+(i-l)(m-l)+m(n-l)-2m(i-l)]

c2nm{n-i+l} + { l) (m-l-2m) , nm m+

cl = V 1 + m+l [ (n-1) (m+l) +(i-1) (m-l-2m)] - c2 (n-i+l} ,

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This is independent of m, which indicates that all among

comparisons have the same variance, namely:

V(Uj) = vl-cl + (n-i+l)(Cl-C2) ,

where j = n(n-1)+1, . . . , (8.7.7)

and (i=2,3) according to the design being of L2 or L3 sub-

types.

The inter-variances are similarly:

v (X . ) = v I - c I J 1 1 , i = 1,2, ... ,n(n-1}

v(xj) = v1-ci + (n-i+l)(ci-c2) ,

j = n(n-1)+1, ... ,n2 -l,

, (8.7.8)

(8.7.9)

and (i=2,3).

Let:

Then,

and

z = x - u (8.7.10)

V ( Z . ) = V (X . ) + V ( U . ) J J J J

= v1-ci + vi-c1 = v-c, j = 1,2 ... n(n-l) ,

(8.7.11)

= V-C + (n-i+l) (C-C') , j = n(n-l)+l, ... ,n2 -l ' (8.7.12)

where V, c, C' are as defined in (8.2.15) through (8.2.17).

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As it was shown in (8.6.16), one can write in this case:

k-c k-c' v-c = 1 er2 + __ l er'2

a r (8.7.12)

By (8.3.5) we can write:

V-C + (n-i+l}(C-C') (8.7.13)

k-c' (n-i+l) 0..1-i-.2) + [ 1 + ] 12 ~----=-~ er r k(.6.-rH+r2 )

One notices that the special case of theorem 3 is applicable

here where w1 = V-C, w2 = v-c + (n-i+l)(C-C'), and

a er2+a er' 2 = ~~~l=--~~2=--~~~~ (al+f3l}cr2+(a2+f32}er'2

(8.7.14)

Substituting for er' 2 from (8.1.13}, one obtains

¢1 ( a 1 +a2 ) er2 +ka2 er~

¢2 (al+f31+a2+f32}er2+k(a2+f32)er~ , (8.7.15)

where: k-c 1 k-c' 1

al = a ' a2 = r ' (8.7.16)

(n-i+l} ().,1-i-.2} - (n-i+l) (A -).. }

f31 f32 1 2

= = k(.6.-rH+r2 } k.6. ,

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Remembering that 0:2 b ---;;r = R) 1, one can write (8.7.15) as:

CJ

dF(R) dR

' (8.7.17)

(8.7.18)

For the LS type designs listed in Bose's tables a 1 , a 2 ,

6, and (6-rH+r2 ) are all positive, hence the sign of

Substituting ~l' a 1 , ~2 , a2 from (8.7.16), one obtains

(n-i+l)a2 (n-i+l)a1 = (Al-f..2)[ k6 + k(6~rH+r2 )]

(8.7.19)

Thus, the sign of dF{R} is the same as that of J..1-t..2 , i.e., dR

F(R) is monotonically

F(R) is monotonically

Consequently one can write:

F(l) < F(R) < F(ro)

F(a::>) ( F(R) ( F(l)

increasing if

decreasing if

when Al ) A2

when 1'1 < t.. 2

/..1)

Al <

,

For the inverse ratio G(R} = 1 F(R) '

one has:

f..2 ,

A2

(8.7.19)

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G(CXJ) < G(R) < G(l) if )..1) )..2 ,

G(l) < G(R) < G(<D) if Al< )..2

Then let

L = G(l) 1 1 + /31 +(k+l} /32

= F(l} = a 1+(k+l)a2 ,

and

p = G(<D) 1 1 /32

= = +-F(CXJ) a2

8.7.1 Within Comparisons

Since v1 = v-n-1, v2 = n-1, then:

( i) "\ > "\ /\1 /\2 :

<P p < <P2 < L

. 1 . , using (8.7.20).

G2 in (8.5.7) becomes:

-sl u~(v-n-3) (l-u)~(n-3) du G2 - 0 [u + P(l-u)] 2

Also G1 in (8.5.8) becomes:

Sl ~(v-n-3) ~(n-3) G = u (1-u} du

1 O u + L(l-u)

(8.7.20)

(8.7.21)

(8.7.22)

(8.7.23)

(8.7.24)

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and

, using (8.7.20) ,

and

_ 51 u~(v-n-3) (l-u}~(n-3} G du 2 - 0 [u + L(l-u)] 2 , (8.7.25)

= sl u~(v-n-3) (l-u)~(n-3) du Gl O u + P(l-u) (8.7.26}

The above integrals can be evaluated for n ) 2. The

combining constant B and a conservative lower bound D of

the recovery ratio are given in (8.5.12) and (8.5.20).

These integrals have been evaluated and B and D has been

computed for all designs listed in reference (1), except in

LS6 through LS9 where the inter-model is singular. It

should be noted that LS16 through LS20 are of L3 sub-type of

LS type designs, and the remaining designs are of L2 sub-type.

The results are listed in Table v. The combined estimate, as given in (8.4.1}, is:

"' 't" • 1.

9.Bs2 = u + _ __,;;;;;;1.'-----

i v-1 .l (X.-U. ) 2 . 1 J J J= j~i

(X.-U.) 1. 1.

, i = 1,2, ... ,n(n-l)

(8.7.27)

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By {8. 2. 5),

k-c 1

a

and then {8.7.27) becomes,

A

- 112 -

0"2 , so e. = 1.

k-c 1 a J

·r. = U. + 1. 1.

(k-c1 )Bs2

v-1 (X. -U.) , 1. 1.

i = 1,2, ... ,n(n-l)

al (X.-U .) 2

j=l J J j1'i

8.7.2 Among Comparisons

Here v1 = v-n, v2 = n-2, and for:

' using (8.7.19).

G' in (8.5.14) becomes: 2

G~ = sl u!.,z(v~m-2) (l-u)~(n-4) du

0 [Lu+ (l-u)] 2

= L2 sl u~{v-n-2) (l-u)!.,z(n-4) du

0 [u + L(l-u}] 2

J

(8.7.28)

(8.7.29}

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G' in (8.5.15} becomes: 1

G{ = sl u ~(v~n-2} -u+ 0 p

- 113 -

(l-u}~(n-4) du

(1-u)

= p sl u~(v-n-2} (l-u)~(n-4) du O u + P(l-u)

'

' using (8.7.19), hence

G' = sl u~(v-:-2) (l-u}~(n-4} du 2 O [- u + (l-u)] 2

p

= p2 sl u~(v-n-2) (l-u)~(n-4} du 0 [u + P(l-u)] 2 J

and

Sl ~(v-n-2} ~(n-4) G' = u (1-u) du

1 1 0 L u + (1-u)

= L sl u~(v-n-2) (l-u}~(n-4} du O u + L(l-u}

(8.7.30)

(8.7.31)

(8.7.32}

For the convergence of the above integrals n) 2. The

combining constant B and a conservative lower bound D of the

recovery ratio are given in (8.5.18) and (8.5.22} respectively.

The above integrals along with B and D are evaluated and

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listed in Table VI for the same set of designs mentioned in

Section 8. 7 .1.

The combined estimate is

Q Bs 2

~ = U + i (X U ) i i v-1 i- i I (X.-U.)2 j=l J J

, i = n(n-l)+l, ... ,n2 -l

(8.7.33)

j~i

By (8.2.5) and {8.3.1), one can write:

hence:

for L 2 sub-type,

and

k-c1 (n-2)(A1-A2 ) 9 . = -- + ------------

1. a k6. for L3 sub-type.

Accordingly,

[k6.(k-c1 )+(n-l)a(A1-A2 )]Bs 2

Ti = ui + v-1 (Xi-Ui) , ak.6. I (X .-U.) 2

j=l J J (8.7.34)

j~i i = n{n-l)+l, ... ,n2 -l,

for L2 sub-type, or LSl through LSS and LSlO through LSlS as

listed in reference (1), and

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A

'r. = u. l. l.

,

(8.7.35)

i = n(n-l)+l, ... ,n2 -l,

for L3 sub-type, or LS16 through LS20 as listed in reference

( 1).

8.8 Triangular P.B.I.B. Designs

8.8.l Definition and Conunent on the Singularity of the

Inter-analysis Model

In triangular designs the number of treatments can be

n(n-1) expressed as v = 2 , and the association scheme is an

array of n rows and n columns with the following properties:

(i) The positions in the principal diagonal are left

blank.

(ii) The n(n-1)/2 positions above the principal diagonal

are filled by the numbers 1,2, ... , n(n-1)/2 corresponding to

the treatments.

(iii) The n(n-1)/2 positions below the principal

diagonal are filled so that the array is synunetrical about

the principal diagonal.

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(iv) For any treatment i the first associates are

exactly those treatments which lie in.the same row (or in

the same column) as i.

The following relations hold

n1 = 2n-4 , n 2 = (n-2)(n-3)/2, (8.8.l)

pl= c-2 -3

n-3 )

(n-3)(n-4)/2

,

{8.8.2)

p2 = ( 4

2n-8

2n-8 )

(n-4)(n-5)/2

The parameters v, r, k, b, A1 , A2 , and n, along with the

constants c 1 , c 2 , ~, and H, are given for 36 triangular

designs in reference (1).

Reference {6) gives a set of three equations with three

unknowns for each treatment resulting from Rao's combined

analysis. These equations are:

aTj - ~AlGjl - ~A2Gj 2 = Pj , (8.8.3)

l. l. -~AlnlTj + (a-~A1Pll-~A2Pl2)Gjl

- {~AlP~l+~A2P~2)Gj2 = ~pjl J

, (8.8.4)

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and

where

and

- 117 -

1 1 -f3A2n2Tj - (f3AlP2l+f3A2P22)Gjl

+ (a-~A1P~ 1-f3A2P~ 2 )Gj 2 =

k-1 w' a= r[w - + -]

k k ' w-w' f3 =--

k

l:P.2 . J J

'

' (8.8.5)

(8.8.6)

Gjl is the total of treatments which are first asso-

ciates to the j-th treatment,

Gj 2 is the total of treatments which are second asso-

ciates to the j-th treatment,

(8.8.7)

l:P. 1 is the Sl.lltl of P.'s for the treatments which are j J J

first associates to the j-th treatment,

l:P. 2 is the Sl.lltl of P.'s for the treatments which are j J J

second associates of treatment j.

From the definitions of Gjl and Gj 2 , one can write the

further relation,

(8.8.8)

If one lets w = 0 in (8.8.3} through (8.8.7), the

corresponding normal equations for the inter-analysis above

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are obtained:

J (8.8.9)

A 1 1 nlAltJ + (r+A1P11+A2P12)Gjl + (A1P~1+A2P~2)Gj2 = ZQJl ,

(8.8.10)

"'• ( l. 1 ) ( 2 2 ) n2A2tj + A1P21+A1P22 Gjl + r+A1P21+A2P22 Gj2 = ZOJ2 '

(8.8.11}

and

(8.8.12}

Substituting the p~k's from (8.8.2) into (8.8.9)

through (8.8.12), one obtains for the triangular designs:

and

A

rtj + AlGjl + A2Gj 2 = Oj J

(2n-4)A1tj + [r+A1 (n-2)+A2 (n-3)]Gjl

+ [4A1+A2 (2n-8)]Gj 2 = IQJl ,

~(n-2)(n-3)A2tj + [A1 (n-3)+~A2 (n-3)(n-4)]Gjl

(8.8.13)

(8.8.14)

{8.8.15)

(8.8.16}

Computing Gj 2 from (8.8.16) and substituting into (8.8.13}

and (8.8.14), one can write:

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and

[2n-4}A1-4A1-(2n-8)A2Jtj

+ [r+A1 (n-2)-4A1+A2 (n-3)-A2 (2n-8)]Gjl =

Simplifying the above equations,

, (8.8.17)

and

"' (2n-8}(A1-A2}tj + [(r-A1)+(n-S)(A1-A2)]Gjl = 1QJl

(8.8.18)

This set of two equations has no unique solution when the

coefficients matrix is singular, i.e.,

= (r-A1)(r-~2 ) + (n-5)(r-A2)(A1-A2)- 2(n-4)(A1-A2) 2 = O (8.8.20)

8.8.2 Application of Theorem 3 When V(z.} is of the Form i;

v-c+p cc-c • >

The formula (8.4.7) in theorem 3 can be written here as:

t

z2 = I j~i

[v-c+p j (c-c ·) Jx~ (8.8.21)

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Suppose that p = O for v 1

v1 + v2 = t-1, then:

- 120 -

Z, I SJ l.

t

and p ) O for v 2 Z, I SJ l.

where

l [ cv-cJ +p. cc-c · > Jx~ j=v +l J

. (8.8.22}

j~f

In the case Al) A2 and in view of (8.3.8}, (8.8.22) can be

written as:

and

t

~ z:: > . . J J l.

(V-C)X2 + [(v-c}+p . (C-C 1 )Jx2 v1 min. v2

+ 1/1 x2 = x + Y 2 v 2 1 , (8.8.23}

(V-C)X2 + [v-c+p (C-C')]X2 v1 max. v2

= 1/1 x2 + 1/1 x2 = x + Y 1 v1 3 v2 2 , (8.8.24)

From (8.8.23) and (8.8.24) one can develop the formula

(8.4.6) in theorem 3 as follows:

V~B2 (f+2)¢. l l V(~.} = V + 1 1 E ------- - 2V~BE _.......___

l. i f t l. t ( l z2) 2 l z~ j~i j~i J

(8.8.25}

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From (8.5.3) and (8.5.6), one can write:

du

!av -1 !av -1 1 sl u 1 ( 1-u) 2 < ~ (v-4)(v-6)~(!av 1 , ~v 2 )t~ 0 [u + L(l-u)] 2

'

where L is a lower bound of t 3/t1 .

Again using (8.5.6),

~v -1 !av -1 1 sl u 1 ( 1-u) 2

( (v-3)~(~v 1 , ~v 2 )t1 0 u + P(l-u)

,

where P is an upper bound of t 2/t1 .

(8.8.26)

du

(8.8.27)

Substituting (8.8.26) and (8.8.27) into (8.8.25),

(v-4)~(~v 1 ,~v 2 )t1

(8.8.28}

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It is required that

and

B opt. =

- 122 -

,

fG1 (v-6Jip-1 (f+2)G2ct>i

When ct> . = ,µ- , 1 i.e., ct> . = v-c, (8.8.30) becomes: l. l.

B fG1 (v-6)

= opt. (f+2)G2

Substituting (8.8.31) into (8.8.28),

fG1 (v-6) (-G ) (f+2)G2 1

fG~(v-6) =V -----=-------i (v-4)G2 (£+2)~(~v 1 ,~v 2 >

,

so that the recovery ratio is at least

fG~(v-6) D - -----'""'-------- (f+2)G2~C~v 1 ,~v 2 )(v-4)

(8.8.29)

(8.8.30)

(8.8.31)

J

(8.8.32)

(8.8.33)

When ct>i ~ ip-1 , i.e., V(zi) = V-C+p(C-C') with p) O, then

£G1 (v-6)ip-1 £G1 (v-6) Bopt. ) (f+2),P2G2 ) (f+2)G2P , (8.8.34)

,

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-123 -

1/12 where P is an upper bound of ~

1/11

B = fGl (v-6)

(f+2)G2P

Thus one can take

In view of (8.8.30), one can write (8.8.28} as:

(8.8.35)

fG1 (v-6)1/fl (f+2)G2¢i - 2Gl] ,

fG~(v-6)

(f+2)G2P

fG~(v-6)L v~

<vi - (v~4)(f+2)~(~v1 ,~v 2 )G2P · ¢i

Hence the recovery ratio is at least:

fG~(v-6)L D = ~~~~-=-~~~~~~-

( v - 4) ( f + 2 )~(~v1,~v2)G2P

,

,

(8.8.37)

If Al ( A2 , then p . in (8.8.23) and p in (8.8.24) . min. max.

exchange positions.

8.8.3 Recovery of Inter-block Information in Triangular

Designs

The designs to be discussed here, are those in which

the inter-analysis is not singular. Out of the 36 designs

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listed in (1), one finds, applying the formula (8.8.20),

that the inter-analysis is not singular in the following

designs:

T6, T7, T8, Tl2, Tl3, Tl4, Tl8, Tl9, in which v = 10,

and in

T23, T24, T30, in which v = 15.

(a) For designs with v = 10, consider the matrix:

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

1 -1

1 1 -2

1 1 1 -3 ---------- --------- ----------

1 -1

1 1 -2 Ml - ---------- ---------- ---------- (8.8.38)

1 -1

1 1 -2 ---------- --------- ---------3 3 3 3 -4 -4 -4

3 3 3 3 3 3 3 -7 -7 -7

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Let M be the orthogonal matrix obtained by normalizing the

rows of M1 .

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Let

A

ul tl A

u2 t2 u = =M = Mt , {8.8.39)

u A

v-1 t v 0

and

xl A

t' 1 A

x2 t' 2 A x = = M = M t' , {8.8.40)

x A

v-1 t' v

0

A A where t., t' are the intra- and inter-estimates of the i-th

l. i

treatment effect t., respectively. The treatments are l.

arranged in the vector t arithmetically from 1 to v. From

the construction of M1 in {8.8.38), it should be noted that

the treatments have been divided into three groups; the

first contains tl, t2, t3, t4; the second contains ts, t6,

t7; the treatments ta, t9, tlO form the third group. The

first seven rows in Ml are comparisons within groups; the

next two comparisons are among groups. It is to be noticed

that the treatments in the same group are mutually first

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- 126 -

associates. It is simple to verify that for the within

comparisons:

V{U.) = v -c i = 1,2, ... ,7 1 1 1 J J (8.8.41}

V{X.) = v•-c• i = 1,2, ... ,7 1 1 1 ' (8.8.42)

For among comparisons:

V(U8 ) = v -c 1 1 12 +-7 {Cl-C2) ' (8.8.43}

V{U9 ) = v -c 9 (Cl-C2} +- ' 1 1 7 (8.8.44)

V(X8 } = V'-C' 1 1 12 +-7 (C 1-C I}

1 2 (8.8.45)

and

9 V(X) = v·-c· + - (C'-C') 9 1 1 7 1 2 (8.8.46)

Let

z = x - u ' (8.8.47)

then

V(Z.) = V(U.) + V(X.) 1 1 1

(8.8.48)

and using (8.8.41) through (8.8.46), one can write:

V(z8 ) = v-c 12 +-7 (C-C I} J (8.8.52)

and

V(Z9 ) = v-c 9 +-7 (C-C I} (8.8.53)

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It should be noted that V(Z.) has been expressed in the l.

general form V-C+p(C-C'), where p = 0 for z1 through z7 , and

2 7 for z8 and z9 , respectively.

(b) Similarly for designs in which v = 15, consider

the matrix:

1 2 3 4 5

1 -1

1 1 -2

1 1 1 -3

1 1 1 1 -4

4 4 4 4 4

2 2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1 1

6 7 8 9

1 -1

1 1 -2

1 1 1 -3

-5 -5 -5 -5

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1

10 11 12

1 -1

1 1 -2

1 1 1

-3 -3 -3

1 1 1

13 14 15

1 -1

1 1 -2

-1 -1 -1 -3 -3 -3

1 1 1

(8.8.54)

Let M be the orthogonal matrix obtained from M1 by normalizing

its rows, and let U and X be as defined in (8.8.39) and

(8.8.40), respectively. From the construction of M1 in

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(8.8.S4), it should be noted that the lS treatments have

been divided into four groups. The first group contains t 1

through ts, the second group contains t 6 through t 9 , the

treatments t 10 through t 12 form the third group, and the

fourth group contains t 13 through t 1 S. The first 11 rows

of M1 are comparisons within groups; the next three com-

parisons are among groups. The treatments within the same

group are mutually first associates. For within comparisons:

and

For

and

V(X ) = V'-C' i 1 1 '

i = 1,2, ... ,11

i=l,2, ... ,11

among comparisons:

V(Ul2) v1-c1 8

(Cl-C2) = +-3

V(Ul3} = v1-c1 + (Cl-C2)

V(Ul4) 7

(Cl-C2) = v1-c1 +- i 3

V{X12} = V'-C' 1 1 + .§. { C I -c 1 )

3 1 2 '

V(X13) = V'-C' 1 1 + {C '-C'} 1 1 '

V(Xl4) V'-C' 7 (C '-CI) = +-1 1 3 1 2

' (8.8.SS)

(8.8.56)

(8.8.S7)

(8.8.S8)

(8.8.59)

(8.8.60)

(8.8.61)

(8.8.62)

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Taking into account (8.8.47) and (8.8.48), and using (8.8.55)

through (8.8.62}, one can write:

V(Z.) = v-c i = 1,2, ... ,11 . (8.8.63) 1

, I

V(Zl2) = v-c 8 +-3 (C-C I) , (8.8.64)

V(Zl3) = v-c + (C-C I) (8.8.65)

and

V(Zl4) = v-c 7 (8.8.66) + - (C-C') 3

It is to be noted also that V(Z.) has been expressed in 1

the general form V-C+p(C-C'), where p = 0 for z1 through z11,

8 7 and p = 3 , 1, 3 for z12 , z13 , z14, respectively.

8.8.3.1 Study of the Ratio [V-C+p(C-C')]/(V-C)

Now

V-C+p ( c-c I ) = 1 + p c-c I v-c v-c (8.8.67)

By (8.2.16) and (8.2.17},

C-C' = C +c' C C' = (C -C } + (C'-C') 1 1 - 2- 2 1 2 1 2 (8.8.68}

Substituting (8.2.7} and {8.3.2) into (8.8.68), one obtains:

C-C' = c -c

1 2 2 (J + a

C 1 -C I

1 2 (8.8.69} r

Substituting (8.8.69) and (8.6.16) into (8.8.67}, one

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obtains:

cl-c2 c'-c' a2 + 1 2 cr'2

V-C+p (C-C I) 1 a r = + p v-c k-c k-c' 1 cr2 1 CJ I 2 +--

a r

and using (8.1.13},

= 1 + p k-c ( 1

a

c'-c' + 1 2)cr2

r k-c'

+ 1) cr2 r

k(c'-c') + 1 2

r k(k-c.i}

+ cr.2 r b

0:2

Let __g = R) 1, then (8.8. 70} becomes: cr2

v-c+p C c-c' J v-c

where:

c -c 1 2

al = a

k-c 1 a2 = + a

and Cl-' c2 were

+

,

c'-c' k(c'-c') 1 2

131 1 2 = r , r

k-c' k(k-cl) 1 132 = r ' r

defined in (8.1.11}.

F(R) is always between the limits:

F(l) 1 + p a 1 +t\

= a2+132

,

and

F(oo) 1 + 131

= p-132

,

'

,

cr.2 b . (8.8. 70)

(8. 8. 71)

(8.8.72)

(8.8.73)

(8.8.74)

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8.8.3.2 Combined Estimates for Triangular Designs

The results of Section (8.8.2) are applicable in the

triangular subclass for combining the comparisons U 's and i

X. 's. l.

given

where

Thus

(a} For within comparisons, the combined estimate

in (8.4.1) is:

A 9.Bs 2

u. + l. (X. -U.) T. = l. l. t l. l. I {X.-U .)2

j=l J J

(8.8.75}

j~i

Q. is the coefficient of (j2 in V(U.} . l. l.

Using {8.2.5},

k-C V(U.) = v1-c1 =--1 cr2

l. a (8.8.76}

k-c Q = 1 for every within comparison, and (8.8.75)

i a

becomes finally:

A

T. = U. + l. l.

{k-c1 )Bs 2

(X.-U.) l. l.

, (8.8.77) t

a I {X.-U .) 2 •..J.. J J Jr-1

where k, c 1 , a=rk-r, are known parameters, and B is a

constant to be taken for a specific design from Table VII.

A conservative lower bound D of the ratio of recovery

achieved is given for each design in the same table.

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(b) For among comparisons, the variance of u. is of J.

the general form:

By (8.2.5) and {8.2.7), one can write {8.8.78) as:

k-c V{U.)

J. [ l = + p. a l.

c 1-c {k-pl..c2 )+(pl..-l)c1 2] cr2 = -----=-------=---= cr2 a a

Thus

{k-p.c2)+{p.-l)c1 e. = i i i a

and {8.8.75) becomes:

T. = l.

{8.8.79)

, (8.8.80)

{8.8.81)

B is given for each design in Table VIII. Also in the same

table, a lower bound D of the recovery ratio is given. The

p. 's are given in Table XI. l.

8.9 Cyclic P.B.I.B. Designs with Two Associate Classes

8.9.l Definition

A non-group divisible partially balanced incomplete

block design is called cyclic if the set of first associates

of the i-th treatment is obtained by adding i-1 to the

numbers in the set of first associates of the first treatment

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and subtracting v, whenever the sum exceeds v, where v is

the number of treatments in the design. In giving the

association scheme of such a design, it is, therefore,

sufficient to give the first associates of the first treat-

ment. The parameters and plans of these designs are given

in reference (1). The inter-analysis in all ten designs

listed is not singular.

8.9.2 Recovery of Inter-block Information in cyclic Designs

Following a similar approach to that in traingular

designs, the treatments in each design will be grouped into

a number of groups, with the treatments falling in one group

being mutually first associates. An orthogonal matrix M

will be defined in each case. The vectors U and X will be

defined as:

"' u = M t J {8.9.1)

and

"' x = M t' {8.9.2)

The treatments t 1 , t 2, ... ,tv are arranged in the vector

"' "' t or~· according to the grouping plan; that is, the first

number of treatments are those of the first group, followed

by treatments of the second group, etc. A vector,

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, (8.9.3)

will be considered, and the variances of z. 's will be l.

computed. Finally, the two linear functions U. and X. will l. l.

be combined, i = 1,2, ... ,v-l. The U and X are both zero's v v A

and their combined estimate T will be assumed to be zero v also.

(a} For cyclic designs cl through c4, where v = 13,

consider the 13 x 13 matrix:

i.e.'

1 3 8

1 -1

1 1 -2

-------1 1 1

1 1 1

1 1 1

1 1 1

1 1 1

2 4 9

1 -1

1 1 -2

-----------1 -1 -1

1 1 1

1 1 1

1 1 1

1 1 1

5 7 12

1 -1

1 1 -2

----------2 -2 -2

1 1 1

1 1 1

1 1 1

6 11 13 10

1 -1

1 1 -2 ---------- -----

-3 -3 -3

1 1 1 -12

1 1 1 1

(8.9.4)

The grouping plan appears on the top of the matrix,

the first group includes tl, t3, ta; the second group

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includes t 2 , t 4 , t 9 ; the third group includes t 5 , t 7 , t 12 ;

the fourth group includes t 6 , t 11 , t 13 ; and the treatment

t 10 alone forms the fifth group. Normalizing the rows of M1 ,

the orthogonal matrices M that appear in (8.9.1) and (8.9.2) A A

are obtained. The colwnn vectors, ..t_ in (8.9.1} and t' in

(8.9.2), are in this case,

(8.9.5)

and

(8.9.6)

It should be noted that the number of within comparisons is

eight and that of among comparisons is four.

and

The variances of Z. 's are as follows: 1.

V(Z.) 1.

V(ZlO}

V(Zll)

V(Zl2}

= V(U.} + V(X.) = 1. 1.

V C + V'-C' = 1- 1 1 1 v-c

i=l,2, ... ,8 . I

'

= V(UlO} + V(XlO) = v-c + 2 (C-C I)

= V(Ull} + V(Xll) = v-c 3 + - (C-C') 2

V(Ul2) + V(Xl2) 1 (C-C I) = = v-c +-2

' (8.9.7)

(8.9.8)

' (8.9.9)

' (8.9.10)

(8.9.11)

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(b) For cyclic designs cs through c7, where v = 17,

consider the 17 x 17 matrix:

1 4 7

1 -1

2 5 8 3 6 9 10 13 16 11 14 17 12 15

1 1 -2

1 -1

1 1 -2

1 -1

1 1 -2

1 -1

1 1 -2

1 -1

1 1 -2

1 -1 ------- --------- --------- ---------- --------- --------1 1 1 -1 -1 -1

1 1 1 1 1 1 -2 -2 -2

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -3 -3 -3

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -4 -4 -4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 -15

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

(8.9.12)

The grouping plan put in a rectangle where each row

represents a group is:

1

2

3

10

11

4

5

6

13

14

12 15

7

8

9

16

17

(8.9.13)

-15

1

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The variances of Z. 's are: J.

V(Z.) J.

= v-c , i = 1, 2, ... , 11; (8.9.14}

V(Zl2) = v-c 7 (C-C'} (8.9.15) +- , 3

V(Zl3) = v-c 7 (C-C') (8.9.16) +- , 3

V(Zl4) = v-c 5 (C-C') (8.9.17) +- , 6

V(ZlS) = v-c 43 (C-C') (8.9.18) + 30 ,

and

V(Zl6) = v-c 16 + 15 (C-C I) (8.9.19)

(c) For cyclic designs c8 and c9, where v = 29,

consider the 29 x 29 matrix:

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1 2 6 7 3 4 8 9 10 11 15 16 17 18 22 23 19 20 24 25

1 -1 1 1 -2 1 1 1 -3

1 -1 1 1 -2 1 1 1 -3

1 -1 1 1 -2 1 1 1 -3

1 -1 1 1 -2 1 1 1 -3

1 -1 1 1 -2 1 1 1 -3

---------- ----------- ------------ ------------ ---------------------- ------------ ------------ ------------ ---------------------- ----------- ------------ ------------ ------------1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -2 -2 -2 -2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -3 -3 -3 -3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -4 -4 -4 -4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

5 12 21 28

1 -1 1 1 -2 1 1 1 -3 ------------

------------------------

-5 -5 -5 -5

5 5 5 5 1 1 1 1

13 14

--------1 -1 --------

--------

1 1 1 1

-24 -24 1 1

26 27

----------------

1 -1 --------

-1 -1 1 1

-24 -24 1 1

(8.9.20)

29

-4 -24

1

...... w ro

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The grouping plan put in a rectangle where each row represents

a group is:

1 2 6 7

3 4 8 9

10 11 15 16

17 18 22 23

19 20 24 25 (8.9.21)

5 12 21 28

13 14

26 27

29

The variances of the Z. 's are: l.

V(Z.) = v-c , i = 1,2, ... ,20 l.

(8.9.22)

V(Z21) = v-c 5 (C-C I) +-2 (8.9.23}

V(Z22) = v-c 11 +-6 (C-C I) , (8.9.24)

V(Z23) = v-c 61 (C-C I) + 24 , (8.9.25)

V(Z24) = v-c 97 (C-C I) + 40 , (8.9.26)

V(Z25) = v-c 11 (C-C I) +- , 5 (8.9.27)

V(Z26) = v-c + (C-C I) , (8.9.28)

V(Z27) = v-c + (C-C I) , (8.9.29)

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and

1 V(Z ) = V-C + - (C-C'} 28 2 (8.9.30}

(d} For cyclic design clO in which v = 37, consider

the 37 x 37 matrix:

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The grouping plan put in a rectangle, where each row

represents a group, is:

1 2 5 12

3 4 7 14

6 9 10 13

8 11 15 18

16 17 20 27 (8.9.32} 19 23 26 30

21 24 25 28

22 29 32 33

31 34 35

36 37

The variances of z. 's are: J.

V{Z.) J.

= v-c , i = 1,2, ... ,27: (8.9.33}

V(Z28) = v-c 5 (C-C I) (8.9.34) +- , 2

V{Z29) = v-c 5 (C-C I) (8.9.35) +- , 3

V{Z30) = v-c 47 + 23 (C-C I) , (8.9.36)

V(Z31) = v-c 91 (C-C I) (8.9.37} + 40 ,

V{Z32) = v-c 11 (C-C I) (8.9.38) +- , 5

V(Z33) = v-c 37 {C-C I) (8.9.39) + 14 ,

V(Z34) = v-c 243 (C-C I) (8.9.40) + 112 ,

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V(Z35) v-c 8 (C-C I} (8.9.41) = +-5 ,

and

V(Z36) v-c 3059 (C-C I) (8.9.42) = + 2960 .

8.9.2.1 Combined Estimates for eyclic Designs

It should be noted that all the variances of Z. 's have l.

been expressed in the general form V-C+p.(C-C'), where l.

pi) O. Hence the results of Section (8.8.2) and Section

(8.8.3.1) are applicable for combining U. 's and X. 's. Thus l. l.

the combined estimates in Section (8.8.3.2) are suitable for

the cyclics under study.

(a) For within comparisons, the combined estimate is

as in (8.8.77):

A

'r. = u. + l. l.

(k-c1 )Bs 2

(X. -U.) l. l.

(8.9.43) t

a~ (X.-U .) 2 . . J J J J.

where k, c 1 , a=rk-r, are known parameters, and B is a

constant to be taken from Table IX. A conservative lower

bound D of the ratio of recovery achieved is given for each

design in the same table.

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(b} For among comparisons, the combined estimate is,

as in (8.8.81}:

A

T. 1. (8.9.44}

B is given for each design in Table X. Also in the same

table, a very conservative lower bound of the recovery ratio

D is given. The p. ·~ are given in Table XII. 1.

8.10 General Procedure for Recovery of Inter-block Informa-

tion in P.B.I.B. with Two Associate Classes

Compute:

1. Y. 1. .

total}.

2. y . j

total) .

3. y

- ~a. y. J . 1 1.J 1.J J= i = 1,2, ... ,v (i-th treatment

v

- lo .. y .. i=l 1.J 1.J

J j - 1,2, ... ,b; (j-th block

= Io .. y .. ; (grand total}. . . 1.J 1.J 1.J

4. Q. = Y. 1 - (sum of block totals in which treat-k 1. 1..

ment i occurs}, i = 1,2, ... ,v; (adjusted treatment totals}.

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5. s1 (Qi) , i = 1,2, ... ,v; (the sum of Q's for all

treatments which are first associates of treatment i).

6. A k-c c 1-c2 t. = __ 2_ Q. + Sl(Ql..)

i a i a , i=l,2, ... ,v;

(the intra-treatment estimate).

y 7. o: = Y. l. l..

- Q. -l. v , i = 1,2, ... ,v.

9. k-c'

A 2 t: =--Q~ + l. r i

(the inter-treatment estimate).

10. A A

t ! - t. ' l. l. i=l,2, ... ,v

11. x - u = = M

i = 1,2, ... ,v;

A A

ti-t1

A A

t' -t v-1 v-1 A A t -t v v

A A = M(~ '"".'.:!=_} ;

where M is the orthogonal matrix defined in each case

previously.

12. s 2 = f1cI o .. y~ .-ssT . . l.J l.J l.J

square, f = bk-b-v+l).

(error mean

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To combine X. and u., compute: J. J.

13.

14.

15.

v l (X.-U .)2 • j=l J J

v v l (X.-U .)2 = •...J.. J J Jrl.

l (X.-U .)2 j=l J J

- (X. -U. ) 2 • 1. 1.

9.Bs 2 J = ~---1.---~~~

lex .-u .) 2

j~i J J

J where 9. was defined previously 1.

in each case; B is a constant to be taken from the correspond-

ing table.

16. The combined estimate of U. and X., 1. J.

If the combined estimates of the treatments t 's them-i

selves are desired, one should compute:

T v

= M'

where M' is the transpose of M.

A

=E: M '.!.. J

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8.11 Comment on the Numerical Methods Used in Table VII

Through Table X

In Section 7.1.1, a method of utilizing the Hypergeornetric

series and Gauss' continued fraction was discussed. In

Table VII through X, the same idea was applied for computing

E1 and E2, where:

and

~v -1 2 (1-u) P(l-u) du ' (8.11.1)

(8.11.2)

In view of (7.1.8), (7.1.9), and (7.1.11), (8.11.1} may be

written as:

=

Now,

v-2 P-1 F(~v 1 , 1, 2 , ---p-J

p

J

(8.11.3)

v-2 P-1 F(~v 1 , 1, ~2- , ---p-> could be put in the form of

(7.1.12) and evaluated.

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Similarly, for E2 , one can write:

v-2 L-1 F(2, ~Vl' -2- ' -L-) = ~----___;;;;:..__,...;;;:.._----=--L 2

du ,

(8.11.4)

To evaluate v-2 F(2, ~v 1 , 2 L-1)

' L ' the following recursion

formula (see reference 13, page 363) is needed:

a(c-b)z F(a,b,c;z) = F(a,b+l,c+l;z) - c(c+l) F(a+l,b+l,c+2;z) ,

(8.11.5)

or

F(a+l,b+l,c+2;z) c (c+l} = ( b) [F(a,b+l,c+l;z)-F(a,b,c;z)] ; a c- z (8.11. 6)

putting a = 1, one gets:

c(c+l} F(2,b+l,c+2;z) = (c-b)z[F(l,b+l,c+l;z}-F(l,b,c;z)] .(8.11.7}

Comparing (8.11.4} and (8.11.7), one obtains:

and

_ v-2 c+2 - 2

L-1 z =--L

,

,

b = ~v -1 1

v-6 c =--2

,

(8.11.8}

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Thus, substituting in (8.11.7),

v-6 v-4 -2-. -2-v-6 L-l[F(l,

<-2- - ~v1+1>L

v-4 L-1 ~v1, -2-; L>

- F(l k2v -1 , 1 , v-6 --. 2 I

L-1 ] -) L

. (8.11.9)

In view of (7.1.11) and the fact that v1+v 2 = v-2,

(8.11.9) may be written as:

v-2 L-1 F(~v2 , 2, - 2-; L) - (v-6)(v-4}·L [ v-4 L-1

4(~v -l)(L-1) F(~vl, l, -2-; -r:-> 2

v-6 L-1 - F(~v 1-1, 1, - 2-; L)] . (8.11.10)

Now, v-4 L-1 F(~vl, 1, -2-; L) CL l V-6 L-1) and F ~v 1- , 1, - 2-; L

be put in the form of Gauss' continued fraction as in

(7.1.12) and evaluated.

can

The above was progranuned for an IBM 1620 and used for

cyclic designs (Tables IX and X); however, as we notice from

(8.11.10), the above method is not applicable when ~v 2-l = 0

or v = 2, the case that was encountered in triangular 2

designs (Tables VII and VIII). Whenever this happened the

integrals,

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kv k2v -1 1 2 1 2 = s _u __ ..._( l_-_u_,)....._ __ O u + P(l-u) du , (8.11.11}

and

~v -1 ~v -1 -sl u 1 (1-u) 2 G2 - 0 [u + L(l-u)] 2 du , (8 .11.12)

were evaluated by the Simpson rule. The accuracy of the

Simpson rule was listed in the tables; the accuracy of E1

or E2 was set to the sixth decimal place constantly.

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9. SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION

In summary, this dissertation has brought up the follow-

ing points:

1. Under certain conditions, a new method of combining

two independent estimates has been given in theorem 1. This

new method has its immediate application in incomplete block

designs, in similar experiments, and in randomized block

designs with heterogeneous variances. The amount of improve-

ment obtained by this new method is very satisfactory,

compared with the utmost possible theoretical improvement.

2. A procedure for recovering the inter-block informa-

tion in balanced incomplete block designs was given which is

applicable in experiments as small as t = 4.

3. A generalization of theorem 1 was given which shows

that the idea of recovering the inter-block information can

be practically utilized in any incomplete block design with

seven treatments or more.

4. For a partially balanced incomplete block design

with two associate classes, a separate development was given

to each of its four subclasses, namely the group divisible

(G.D.), Latin square type (L2s type and L3s type), the

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triangular, and the cyclic designs. A combined estimate was

given for each case, and a general procedure for recovery of

inter-block information in these subclasses was developed.

Because of the special nature of singular and semi-regular

G.D. designs, an inter-analysis was discussed for G.D. 's in

general and for these two cases in special, and a partial

utilization of the inter-information was made possible.

The essence of this work arises from the fact that so

far a method for recovering the inter-block information was

based on the common sense of the consistency property of an

estimate. Consequently, the applicability of the resulting

method would make sense only in big size experiments. The

resulting combined estimates are of so complicated expression

that a mathematical study of their merits or demerits is not

feasible, even in their domain of applicability. On the

contrary, this dissertation provides a general method by a

mathematical treatment. This work can be said to have the

following two merits:

1. It makes possible the utilization of the inter-block

information in small size experiments, as small as four treat-

ments in B.I.B. designs and as small as seven treatments in

P.B.I.B. designs. This is of special importance because of

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- 153 -

the fact that the intra-block efficiency is in general lower

in small and moderate size designs. It follows that the

recovery is needed more in this sort of designs.

2. As a ratio of the utmost possible theoretical

recovery, either exactly or a lower bound of the amount of

the ratio of recovery is always computable; this ratio was

tabled for all B.I.B. designs listed in reference (2), and

P.B.I.B. designs listed in reference (1). The ratio of

recovery depends on the structure of the design; it always

increases with v, the number of treatments.

A glance at the tables, where these ratios are listed,

shows that the new methods, for B.I.B. and P.B.I.B. designs,

give good results where the old method is not applicable;

where the old method starts, hopefully, to be valid, the

ratio of recovery achieved by the new methods begins to

approach the theoretical value that can be achieved, assuming

the intra- and inter-variance are known

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10. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

I wish to express my sincere thanks to Professor c. Y.

Kramer who introduced me to the subject and guided me during

the course of this work~ and to Professor B. Harshbarger for

his encouragement. Thanks are due also to Mrs. Lela

Barnhisel for her extreme care in typing this dissertation.

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11. TABLE OF REFERENCES

1. Bose, R.C., W. H. Clatworthy, and S.S. Shrikhande, (1954). North Carolina Agricultural Experiment Station, Technical Bulletin No. 107.

2. Cochran and Cox, (1957). Experimental Design. New York, John Wiley and Sons.

3. Graybill and Weeks, (1959). "Combined inter- and intra-block information in balanced incomplete blocks. 11

A.M.S. 30, 799.

4. and Deal, (1959). "Combined unbiased estimators. 11

Biometrics, 15, 543.

5. Kramer, C.Y., (1957). 1'Examples of intra-block analysis for factorials in group divisible, partially balanced incomplete block designs. ti Biometrics, 13.

6. Kempthorne, o., (1952). Design of Experiments. New York, John Wiley and Sons.

7. Rao, C.R., (1947). tlGeneral method of analysis for incomplete block designs. ti J. A. S. A., 42, 541.

8. Seshadri, V., (1961). ''Estimation in the balanced incomplete block designs. " Unpublished Ph.D. thesis, Oklahoma State University.

9. , (1963). "Combined unbiased estimates." Biometrics, 19, 163.

10. Yates, (1937). tlThe recovery of inter-block information in balanced incomplete block designs. 11 Annals of Eugenics, 10, 317.

11. Zelen, M. (1957). tlThe analysis of incomplete block designs." J.A.S.A., 52, 204.

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12. Bailey, W.N., (1935). Generalized Hypergeornetric Series. Cambridge Tracts in Mathematics and Mathematical Physics, No. 32, 4.

13. Wall, H.S., (1948). Analytic Theory of Continued Fractions. D. Van Nostrand Company, Inc.

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The vita has been removed from the scanned document

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TABLES

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Table I: ~ [percentage gain due to the Rao Method] C1

u 1 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 _l_ No. of O lO(l+k) S(l+k) lO(l+k) lO(l+k) lO(l+k) lO(l+k) lO(l+k) lO(l+k) lO(l+k) l+k Design

Rl 0 .000 .001 .002 .003 .004 .005 .006 .008 .010 .012 R2 0 .000 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .004 .005 .006 .007 R3 0 .ooo .001 .001 .002 .003 .004 .005 .006 .007 .009 R4 0 .000 .ooo .001 .001 .002 .003 .003 .004 .oos .007 RS 0 .ooo .001 .002 .003 .003 .004 .006 .007 .008 .009 R6 0 .ooo .001 .002 .003 .003 .004 .006 .007 .008 .009 R7 0 .ooo .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .004 .005 .006 .007 RB 0 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .004 .005 .006 .007 .008 R9 0 .000 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .004 .004 .005 .006 RlO 0 .001 .001 .002 .003 .004 .005 .005 .006 .007 .008 I-'

lJl Rll 0 .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .002 .003 .004 .004 .oos .006 i..o

Rl2 0 .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .004 .• 004 .005 Rl3 0 .ooo .001 .001 .002 .003 .004 .004 .005 .007 .008 Rl4 0 .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .004 .004 .005 Rl5 0 .ooo .000 .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .003 Rl6 0 .ooo .000 .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .004 .004 Rl7 0 .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .003 .004 Rl8 0 .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .003 .004 Rl9 0 .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .002 .003 .003 R20 0 .ooo .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .004 .004 .005 .006 R21 0 .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .004 .004 R22 0 .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .003 .004 R23 0 .000 .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .003 R24 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .002 .003 R25 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .003

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'hllle It (can.t.iaued)

u l l 3 4 i 6 7 8 9 _l:__ O lO(l+k) S(l+k) lO(l+k) lO(l+k) lO(l+k) lO(l+k) lO(l+lt) lO(l+k) lO(l+lt) l+lt

Ro. of Design U6 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .002 .003 ll27 0 .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .OOl .004 ll28 0 .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .003 .004 A29 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .001. .001 .001 ~002 .002 .003 .003 lllO 0 .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .003 .004 llll 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .003 ll32 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .002 .003 R33 0 .ooo .000 .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .003 .004 ll34 0 .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .002 .003 .... ll35 0 .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .002 .002 .003 .003 .004 .004 0\

0 lll6 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .002 a37 0 .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .OOJ .003 lllS 0 .ooo .ooo ~000 .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .002 .003 ll39 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .OOl .001 .001 .002 .002 .002 a.40 0 .000 .ooo .001 .001 ~001 .002 .002 .003 .003 .004 •41 0 :ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .002 ll42 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 &43 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .002 •44 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .002 a.45 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .OOJ. .001 .002 ll46 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .001 .002 &41 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 .002 .003 8.48 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .001 .002 .002 ll49 0 .000 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .001 .001 llSO 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .001 .001 .002

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Table I: (continued)

1 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 u O lO(l+k) S(l+k) lO(l+k) lO(l+k) lO(l+k) lO(l+k) lO(l+k) lO(l+k) lO(l+k) l+k

No. of Design

R51 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .001 .001 .001 .001 R52 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .001 .001 .001 .001 .001 R53 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .001 .001 .001 .001 .001 R54 0 .ooo .000 .000 .000 .000 .001 .001 .001 .001 .001 R55 0 .ooo .000 .ooo .000 .000 .001 .001 .001 .001 .001 R56 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .000 .000 .000 .001 .001 .001 .001 R57 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 .001 .001 R58 0 .ooo .000 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .000 .ooo R59 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .000 .ooo .ooo .000 .001 .001 I-' R60 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 O"I

I-' R61 0 .000 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 R62 0 .000 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .001 .001 R63 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .000 .ooo .ooo .000 .ooo R64 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo R65 0 .ooo .000 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .000 .ooo R66 0 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .000 .ooo .ooo .ooo R67 0 .000 .ooo .000 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo R68 0 .000 .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .ooo .000

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Table II: Balanced Designs

s v r k b A f E F* B D2 D3 Dl

1 4 3 2 6 1 3 .67 .38017290 .526 .18 .20 o.oo 2 4 3 3 4 2 5 .89 II .626 .20 .24 o.oo 3 5 4 2 10 1 6 .62 .27639332 1.357 .34 .38 .23 4 5 6 3 10 3 16 .83 II 1.608 .40 .44 .28 5 5 4 4 5 3 11 .94 II 1.531 .38 .42 .26 6 6 5 2 15 1 10 .60 .21540524 2.321 .46 .50 .40 7 6 5 3 10 2 15 .80 II 2.458 .49 .53 .42 8 6 10 3 20 4 35 .80 II 2.635 .53 .57 .45 9 6 10 4 15 6 40 .90 II 2.653 .53 . 57 .46

10 6 5 5 6 4 19 .96 II 2.520 .so • 54 .43 11 7 6 2 21 1 15 .58 .17614569 3.339 .56 . 59 .51 I-' 12 7 3 3 7 1 8 .78 II 3.028 .so • 53 • 47 O"I

l\.l

13 7 4 4 7 2 15 • 88 II 3.339 .56 .59 .51 14 7 6 6 7 5 29 .97 II 3.541 .59 .62 .55 15 8 7 2 28 1 21 .57 .14899933 4.377 .63 .65 .60 16 8 7 4 14 3 35 .86 II 4.535 .65 • 68 .61 17 8 7 7 8 6 41 .98 II 4. 571 .65 .68 .62 18 9 8 2 36 1 28 .56 .12916656 5.419 .68 .70 .66 19 9 8 4 18 3 46 .84 II 5.565 .70 .72 .63 20 9 10 5 18 5 64 .90 II 5.631 .70 .73 .68 21 9 8 6 12 5 52 .94 II 5.591 .70 .72 .68 22 9 8 8 9 7 55 .98 II 5.603 .70 .72 .68 23 10 9 2 45 1 36 .56 .11405141 6.461 .72 .74 .70 24 10 9 3 30 2 51 .74 II 6.562 .73 .75 • 71 25 10 6 4 15 2 36 .83 II 6.461 .72 • 74 .70 26 10 9 5 18 4 63 .89 II 6.610 .73 .75 • 72 27 10 9 6 15 5 66 .93 II 6.619 .74 .75 .72 28 10 9 9 10 8 71 .99 II 6.633 • 74 . 76 .72

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Table II: (continued)

s v r k b f.. f E F* B D2 D3 Dl

29 11 10 2 SS 1 4S .SS .10214480 7.499 • 7 s .77 .74 30 11 s s 11 2 34 .88 " 7.397 • 74 .76 .73 31 11 6 6 11 3 4S .92 II 7.499 .75 .7l .74 32 11 10 10 11 9 89 .99 II 7.660 .77 .78 .75 33 13 6 3 26 1 40 .72 .084S7048 9.384 .78 .79 .77 34 13 4 4 13 1 27 .81 II 9.174 .76 .7f!, .76 3S 13 9 9 13 6 92 .96 II 9.644 .80 .82 .80 36 lS 7 3 3S 1 S6 • 71 .07220328 11.462 • 82 • 84 .81 37 lS 7 7 15 3 76 .92 II 11.567 .83 • 84 .82 38 lS 8 8 15 4 91 .94 " 11.616 .83 .84 .82 39 16 6 6 16 2 6S .89 .06729477 12.494 .83 .84 .83 40 16 9 6 24 3 lOS .89 II 12.638 .84 .8S .84 41 16 10 10 16 6 129 .96 II 12.682 .8S .8S .84 42 19 9 3 S7 1 97 • 70 .OSS91668 1S.S76 • 87 • 87 .86 I-'

°' 43 19 9 9 19 4 134 .94 .OSS91668 lS.663 • 87 .88 .87 w 44 19 10 10 19 s 1S3 .95 II 15.692 .87 .88 .87 4S 21 10 3 70 1 120 .70 .05026207 17.613 • 88 .89 .88 46 21 s s 21 1 64 .84 II 17.364 • 87 • 87 .87 47 21 10 7 30 3 160 .90 II 17. 685 .88 .89 .88 48 25 8 4 so 1 126 • 78 .04181724 21.S78 .90 .90 .90 49 2S 9 9 2S 3 176 .93 II 21.674 .90 .91 .90 so 28 9 4 63 1 162 .78 .03714312 24.62S .91 .91 .91 51 28 9 7 36 2 189 .89 II 24.668 .91 .92 .91 S2 31 6 6 31 1 12S .86 .03341029 27. 496 .92 .92 .92 S3 31 10 10 31 3 249 .93 II 27.713 .92 .93 .92 S4 37 9 9 37 2 260 .91 .02782200 33.687 .94 .94 .93 SS 41 10 s 82 1 288 .82 .02S03212 37.690 .94 .94 .94 56 S7 8 8 57 1 343 .89 .Ol78687S S3.6S2 .96 .96 .96 S7 73 9 9 73 1 512 .90 .01389S09 69.697 .97 .97 .97 S8 91 10 10 91 1 729 .91 .01111421 87.73S .97 .98 .97

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Table* III: Regular G.D., Within Comparisons

Lower Upper bound bound Error of Error of

s v of cti2/qi1 of cti2/cti1 Gl Gl G2 G2 B D

RS 8 2.7SOOOOOO 3.00000000 .21033814 -.00018116 .13394966 -.0001SS93 2.S7 .34 R6 8 2.75000000 3.00000000 .21033814 -.00018116 .13394966 -.0001SS93 2.99 .40 R7 RS 9 .1428S714 .16290727 .56841986 .00000717 .94426396 .00006088 1.63 .46 R9 9 .50000000 .S4901961 .46S43160 .000002os .S7522229 .000004S4 2.23 .S2 RlO 9 ., • 33333333 .39682S40 .49736833 .00000285 .69030269 .00001040 2.02 .so Rll 9 1.89393940 2.00000000 .31913S21 .OOOOOOS6 .27019144 .00000031 3.35 .S3 Rl2 9 .66666667 .70000000 .43977843 .00000160 .49866676 .000002S3 2.S4 .56 Rl3 9 2.78494620 3.00000000 .272399S6 .00000037 .20781181 .00000013 3.79 .S2 Rl4 10 3.80000000 4.00000000 .07240079 .00000000 .03680778 , • 00000000 7. S7 .SS I-'

O'I

RlS 12 .sooooooo .Sl8518S2 .09866736 .00000332 .13872044 .00000572 3.95 .66 ,j:::..

Rl6 12 1.S7407410 1.66666670 .OSS8126S .00000181 .04SS9198 .00000160 6.87 .6S Rl7 12 .66666667 .70000000 .08708004 .00000275 .10820428 .00000369 4.S8 .68 Rl8 12 .55S55556 .61191626 .27243S60 .00000000 .30782790 .00000000 S.08 .69 Rl9 12 R20 12 2.7SOOOOOO 3.00000000 .08072434 -.00013892 .OS994471 -.00014068 7.82 .64 R21 12 1. S7407410 1. 66666670 .OSS8126S .00000181 .045S9198 .00000160 7.14 .68 R22 12 l.439Sl610 1.50000000 .107312Sl -.00013718 .09716970 -.00013761 6.44 .70 R23 12 1.94708990 2.00000000 .21184402 -.00000000 .184744S2 -.00000000 6.71 • 71 R24 14 l.928S7140 2.00000000 .022S8870 -.00000000 .0162S612 -.00000000 10.40 .70 R25 14 l.428S7140 l.SOOOOOOO .02682109 -.00000000 .02291372 -.00000000 8.9S .72 R26 14 1.928S7140 2.00000000 .02258870 -.00000000 .01625612 -.00000000 10.81 • 7 3

*G1 and G2 are computed by the Simpson rule in Table III through Table VI.

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Table III: (continued)

Lower Upper bound bound Error of Error of

s v of ¢2/cpl of ¢2/cpl Gl Gl G2 G2 B D

R27 15 3.80000000 4.00000000 .02249261 .00000000 .01406606 .00000002 13.52 .68 R28 15 l.86666670 2.00000000 .03139546 .00000000 .02615760 .00000000 10.35 .73 R29 15 .66666667 .70769231 .04453214 .00000000 .05079515 .00000000 7.66 .77 R30 15 3.80000000 4.00000000 .02249261 .00000000 .01406606 .00000002 14.02 .71 R31 15 3.35858590 3.50000000 .13773795 -.00000002 .11094994 -.00000006 10.89 .75 R32 15 .58333333 .64367816 .19287289 .00000000 .20999550 .00000000 8.05 .78 R33 15 .50000000 .56000000 .04709829 .00000000 .05832701 .00000000 7.08 .75 R34 15 1. 57948720 1.60000000 .03434892 .00000000 .02968222 .00000000 10.22 .79 R35 16 2.75000000 3.00000000 .04674152 -.00014124 .03722217 -.00014304 12.06 .73 R36 16 .50000000 .52884615. .07203230 -.00013834 .08256627 -.00013773 8.43 .79 I-'

°' R37 16 .33333333 .37096774 .07533001 -.00013816 .09176736 -.00013735 7.98 . 78 U1

R38 16 .63636364 .68573668 .06917094 -.00013852 .07650495 -.00013805 8.82 . 79 R39 16 1.93918920 2.00000000 .05368398 -~00014006 .04616141 -.00014109 11. 38 .79 R40 18 1.28395060 1. 33333333 .00613640 .00000000 .00550561 .00000000 13.04 . 80 R41 18 .77777778 .80459770 .00792662 .00000000 .00908759 .00000000 10.24 .81 R42 20 1.24285710 1. 28571430 .00294074 .00000000 .00267767 .00000000 15.08 . 83 R43 20 .37500000 .41826923 .04575421 -.00014053 .05238933 -.00013975 12.05 .84 R44 21 1. 42857140 1.50000000 .00418409 -.00000000 .00377673 -.00000000 16.31 .83 R45 24 4.83333333 5.00000000 .00286382 .00000123 .00174614 .00000127 28. 73 .80 R46 24 1. 69531250 1. 7 5000000 .00139259 -.00000001 .00116892 -.00000001 21.04 .85 R47 24 2.75000000 3.00000000 .02330743 -.00014602 .01989910 -.00014788 20. 74 .83 R48 24 1.66666670 1. 57407410 .00448605 .00000120 .00406692 .00000120 19.57 . 85 R49 24 .50000000 .53968254 .10454512 -.00000002 .11044128 -.00000001 16.82 .88 R50 24 4.83333330 5.00000000 .00286382 .00000123 .00174614 .00000127 29.18 .81

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Table III: (continued)

Lower Upper bound bound Error of Error of

s v of ¢2/<Pl of ¢2/<Pl Gl Gl G2 G2 B D

R51 25 .50000000 .51891892 .01097727 .00000000 .01216185 .00000000 16.86 .88 R52 25 .33333333 .35813953 .01135905 .00000000 .01311656 .00000000 16.22 . 87 R53 26 1. 30769230 1. 33333333 .00030970 -.00000000 .00027208 .00000000 22.42 .87 R54 27 1.55555556 1.60000000 .00051831 .00000000 .00044830 .00000000 23.93 .88 R55 28 1.92857140 2.00000000 .00124101 -.00000000 .00104955 -.00000000 25.65 .88 R56 28 .66666667 .68934240 .00163455 -.00000000 .00178741 -.00000000 19.90 • 89 R57 30 .80000000 .81269841 .00009192 -.00000000 .00010303 -.00000000 21. 20 .90 R58 33 .31250000 .32679739 .07223852 -.00000009 .07599691 -.00000007 25.36 .92 R59 35 .53333333 .55384615 .00471039 .00000003 .00502271 .00000002 26.98 .92 R60 39 .72727273 .73803120 .00001199 -.00000000 .00001323 -.00000000 29.69 .92 I-'

(j'I

R61 40 1.80000000 1. 76400000 .00003541 .00000000 .00003041 .00000000 39.32 .91 (j'I

R62 45 1.95555560 2.00000000 .00003927 .00000000 .00003385 .00000000 44.96 .93 R63 48 6.87500000 7.00000000 .00004504 -.00000001 .00002640 -.00000001 71. 06 .88 R64 49 .50000000 .50989011 .00021542 -.00000000 .00023106 -.00000000 39.85 .95 R65 49 .33333333 .34637965 .00022058 -.00000000 .00024282 -.00000000 ,·38.85 .96 R66 63 7.88888889 8.00000000 .00000534 .00000000 .00000309 .00000000 97.99 .91 R67 64 .50000000 .50762195 .00002770 -.00000001 .00002943 -.00000001 54.37 .96 R68 80 8.90000000 9.00000000 .00000061 .00000000 .00000035 .00000000 128.51 1.00

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Table** IV: Regular G.D., Among Comparisons

s v Gl Error of G1 G2 Error of G2 B D ~v 1 ~v 2

R5 8 .92660598 -.00000000 2.02812200 -.00000001 .75 .35 2 1 R6 8 .92660598 -.00000000 2.02812200 -.00000001 • 87 .40 2 1 R7 RS* 9 .18084145 .04166931 11. 78 .40 3 1/2 R9* 9 .58054100 .37645660 4.24 .46 3 1/2 RlO* 9 .40114170 .21142836 5.31 .40 II II

Rll* 9 1.82060710 3.43970230 1. 50 .51 II II

Rl2* 9 .75044440 .57646628 3.74 .53 II II

Rl3* 9 2.47599780 6.70399280 1.07 .50 II II

Rl4 10 .39800645 -.00013841 .92952501 -.00014245 1.65 .56 5/2 3/2 Rl5 12 .05296100 -.00000000 .03599987 -.00000000 8.17 .65 3 2 I-'

(jl

Rl6 12 .10760015 .00000000 .14907694 .00000000 4.05 .65 II II ....J

Rl7 12 .06449589 -.00000000 .05349805 -.00000000 6.86 .66 II II

Rl8* 12 .50211678 .35168153 8.20 .60 9/2 1/2 Rl9 R20 12 .52964673 -.00000000 1. 31482570 -.00000000 2.34 .62 4 1 R21 12 .10760015 .00000000 .14907694 .00000000 4.21 .68 3 2 R22 12 .33216065 -.00000000 .47197854 -.00000000 4.10 .68 4 1 R23* 12 1.54557910 2.93234110 3.08 . 70 9/2 1/2 R24 14 .05199792 .00000114 .07729396 .00000116 5.03 . 71 7/2 5/2 R25 14 .04482904 .00000114 .05774582 .00000115 5.93 .72 II II

R26 14 .05199792 .00000114 .07729396 .00000116 5.23 .74 II II

*Starred experiments have G2 and G1 as improper integrals; these integrals were

evaluated to the fourth decimal place.

**Lower and upper bounds of ¢2/¢1 are given in Table III.

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Table IV: (continued)

s v Gl Error of G1 G2 Error of G2 B D :k:v 2 1 kv

2 2

R27 15 .18129859 -.00014162 .50217754 -.00014551 3.05 .68 5 3/2 R28 15 .11611093 -.00013932 .20327436 -.00014065 4.93 .70 II II

R29 15 .05347859 -.00013793 .04282467 -.00013764 10.91 .72 II II

R30 15 .18129859 -.00014162 .50217754 -.00014551 3.17 . 71 II II

R31* 15 2.16696860 6.96629570 2.73 .73 6 1/2 R32* 15 .44699438 .32561219 12.04 .66 II II

R33 15 .04206644 -.00013774 .02922470 -.00013730 12.62 .65 5 3/2 R34 15 .10340764 -.00013898 .14842798 -.00013971 6.15 .78 II II

R35 16 .37627084 -.00000001 .99309690 -.00000000 3.64 .68 6 1 R36 16 .09018610 -.00000000 .05430287 .00000000 16.04 .72 II II

R37 16 .06200081 -.00000000 .02843526 .00000000 21.19 .66 II II

R38 16 .11214239 -.00000000 .08637660 -.00000000 12.67 . 71 II II I-'

°' R39 16 .28767554 -.00000000 .52623532 -.00000001 5.35 .77 II II Q)

R40 18 .00877483 -.00000000 .01045750 -.00000000 9.82 .80 9/2 7/2 R41 18 .00661897 -.00000000 .00595953 -.00000000 13.04 .80 II II

R42 20 .00401108 .00000000 .00467043 .00000000 11. 79 .83 5 4 R43 20 .05062569 .02532839 -.00000000 27.58 . 70 8 1 R44 21 .01032799 .00000118 .01424629 .00000118 10.67 .Bl 7 5/2 R45 24 .03353262 .00000002 .11118008 .00000005 5.28 .80 9 2 R46 24 .00398032 -.00000000 .00597248 -.00000000 11. 77 .84 8 3 R47 24 .24051216 -.00000006 .67638281 .00000012 6.30 .76 10 1 R48 24 .01588761 .00000001 .02485663 .00000001 11.34 .81 9 2 R49* 24 .28425893 .16907593 29.88 .77 21/2 1/2 R50 24 .03353262 .00000002 .11118008 .00000005 5.37 .81 9 2

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Table IV: (continued)

s v Gl Error of G1 G2 Error of G2 B D ~v 1 :J.::v 2 2

R51 25 .01445477 -.00014358 .00832752 -.00014303 32.42 .82 10 3/2 R52 25 .00989200 -.00014338 .00418149 -.00014265 44.30 .77 " II

R53 26 .00043324 -.00000000 .00050744 -.00000000 16.82 .88 6.5 5.5 R54 27 .00132261 -.00000001 .00185870 -.00000001 14.73 .86 9 7/2 R55 28 .00518073 .00000122 .00904618 .00000123 12.42 .85 10.5 2.5 R56 28 .00224372 .00000121 .00169697 .00000120 28.77 .86 II II

R57 30 .00007635 -.00000000 .00006869 -.00000000 26.41 .90 7.5 6.5 R58* 33 .14811017 .05181450 76:. 26 .84 15 1/2 R59 35 .00825644 -.00014972 .00495119 -.00014919 47.97 .86 15 1. 5 R60 39 .00001325 ,.-.00000000 .00001075 -.00000000 40.38 .91 13 5.5 R61 40 .00012458 .00000000 .00019609 .00000000 21.45 .91 15 4 R62 45 .00018122 -.00000001 .00031959 -.00000001 21.98 .91 18 3.5 I-'

°' R63 48 .00088430 -.00000000 .00386011 -.00000001 9.54 .89 20 3 l.D

R64 49 .00031901 .00000132 .00017518 .00000132 77.83 .91 21 2.5 R65 49 .00021694 .00000132 .00008413 .00000131 110.29 .88 II II

R66 63 .00012800 -.00000001 .00062472 -.00000002 11. 62 .91 27 3.5 R67 64 .00004318 -.00000000 .00002338 -.00000000 106.69 .94 28 3 R68 80 .00001735 .00000000 .00009354 .00000000 13.68 .92 35 4

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Table V: LS Type, Within Comparisons

Lower bound Upper bound Error of Error of s v of cfJ2/cfJl=l.. of <P2/cfl1=P Gl Gl G2 G2 B D

1 9 1. 96551720 2.00000000 .31913521 .00000056 .26366817 .00000028 3.29 .52 2 9 1. 965517 20 2.00000000 .31913521 .00000056 .26366817 .00000028 3.48 .55 3 9 1. 44827580 1.49999990 .35289453 .00000074 .32071417 .00000053 3.08 .54 4 9 1. 72391020 1. 79999990 .33148280 .00000062 .28723591 .00000037 3.33 .55 5 9 1.25556860 1. 28571420 .37094270 .00000087 .34998933 .00000071 3.06 .57 6 9 7 9 8 9 9 9

10 9 1.98371340 2.00000000 .31913521 .00000056 .26206513 .00000028 3.41 .54 11 9 1. 98371330 2.00000000 .31913521 .00000056 .26206513 .00000028 3.54 .57 I-'

-..J

12 16 .57142860 .59340660 .07081078 -.00013842 .07925708 -.00013790 8.68 .80 0

13 16 .40000000 .42615020 .07412205 -.00013822 .08779910 -.00013751 8.26 .79 14 16 1.89130490 2.00000000 .05368397 -.00014006 .04682753 -.00014098 10.26 .71 15 16 .50000000 .52439030 .07211909 -.00013834 .08256627 -.00013773 8.52 .80 16 25 .50000010 .55555560 .01089548 .00000000 .01216185 .00000000 16.59 .86 17 36 2.30390930 2.33333333 .00123686 .00000127 .00105736 .00000128 34.46 .91 18 49 2.64363930 2.66666740 .00016765 -.00000000 .00014105 -.00000000 50.60 .93 19 64 2.98104600 3.00001610 .00002149 -.00000001 .00001786 -.00000001 69.36 .95 20 100 3.65261530 3.66668620 .00000030 .00000000 .00000025 .00000000 112.48 .97

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Table* VI: LS Type, Among Comparisons

s v Gl Error of G1 G2 Error of G2 B D

1 9 1. 87617270 .00028460 3.43970230 .00028460 1.48 .52 2 9 1. 87617270 .00028460 3.43970230 .00028460 1. 57 .55 3 9 1.46043870 .00028460 2.12674590 .00028460 1.92 .52 4 9 1. 68620910 .00028460 2.88645690 .00028460 1. 67 .53 5 9 1. 29601880 .00028460 1.63940220 .00028460 2.28 .55 6 9 7 9 8 9 9 9

10 9 1. 89020710 .00028460 3.43970230 .00028460 1.54 .54 11 9 1. 89020700 .00028460 3.43970230 .00028460 1. 60 • 57 I-' 12 16 .10180204 -.00000000 .06678308 .00000000 14.81 .75 -...]

I-' 13 16 .07346688 -.00000000 .03668556 .00000000 19.60 .72 14 16 .28204712 -.00000000 .52623560 -.00000001 4.80 .68 15 16 .09018610 -.00000000 .05348033 .00000000 16.46 .74 16 25 .01445477 -.00014358 .00943603 -.00014312 28.36 .72 17 36 .00838014 .00000004 .01730837 .00000004 14.26 .90 18 49 .00136756 .00000135 .00316312 -.00000137 18.40 .93 19 64 .00020687 -.00000000 .00052993 -.00000001 22.50 .94 20 100 .00000388 .00000000 .00001188 .00000000 30.61 .96

*The lower and upper bounds of ¢ 2/¢1 are given in Table V.

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Table* VII: Triangular Designs, Within Comparisons

Noo Lower Upper Lower Upper of bound bound bound bound Error of Error of

design v of 1/131'1/! 1 of 1/1311/! 1 of 1/1211/! 1 of 1/1211/! 1 G2 or E2 G2 G1 or E1 Gl B D

T6 10 .42857120 .46938750 .57142840 .60204070 .48272526 -.00000000 .37314616 .00011290 2.62 .49

T7 10 1. 00137230 1. 02147270 1. 00102920 1.01610450 .33310462 .00000000 .33199972 .00011336 3.75 .62

T8 10 .42857150 .46938780 .57142860 .60204090 .48272516 -.00000000 .37314613 .00011290 2.98 .56

Tl2 10 1.62068960 1. 64285710 1. 82758620 1. 85714280 .25731060 -.00000000 .27927481 .00011432 3.96 .55

Tl3 10 1.62068960 1. 64285710 1. 827 58610 1.85714280 .25731060 -.00000000 .27927481 .00011432 4.18 .58

Tl4 10 1. 28817730 1. 32142850 1.38423640 1. 42857140 .29228316 .00000000 .30268360 .00011383 3.89 .59

Tl8 10 1. 63700830 1. 64286130 1. 84934440 1.85714840 .25583841 .00000000 .27927454 .00011432 4.16 .58

Tl9 10 .42857450 .43072750 .57143090 .57304560 .48272390 -.00000000 .37672160 .00011286 3.00 .57

T23 15 .46666660 .52647970 .80000000 .82242990 1. 34026490 1. 04359710 6.51 .62

T24 15 .46666660 .52647970 .80000000 .82242990 1. 34026490 1. 04359710 6.80 .65

T30 15 1.12550610 1.14285720 1. 33468310 1. 38095270 .94547610 .92176423 8.57 .72

*The accuracy of E1 and E2 is to the sixth decimal place (see Section 8.11}.

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Table* VIII: Traingular Designs, Among Comparisons

No. of E2 or G2 Error of G2 E1 or G1 Error of G1 D design v B

T6 10 1.19818240 1. 05692300 4.96 .37

T7 10 .99986668 .99799656 3.69 .61

TS 10 1.19818080 1.05692300 5.64 .43

Tl2 10 .87732533 .91344069 2.05 .51

Tl3 10 .87732533 .91344069 2.16 .53

Tl4 10 .93602815 .95229941 2.68 .55

Tl8 10 .87476619 .91344014 2.14 .53

Tl9 10 1.19817970 1. 06176610 5.95 .45 ...... -....) w

T23 15 .22027083 .00000000 .18703621 .00011599 8.63 .38

T24 15 .22027083 .00000000 .18703621 .00011599 9.02 .39

T30 15 .17512971 -.00000000 .17211884 .00011664 6.26 .61

*The accuracy of E1 or E2 is to the sixth decimal place (see Section 8.11).

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Table* IX: Cyclic Designs, Within Comparisons

Lower Upper Lower Upper No. of bound bound bound bound design v Of 1/13/1/J l of 1/13/1/1 l of 1/12/1/11 of 1/12/1/11 El E 2 B D

cl 13 .33333333 .37037010 .83333333 .84259260 1.06178250 1.92264240 3.38 .40

c2 13 1.19143980 1.20000000 1.76575940 1.80000000 .78509506 .87702937 6.08 .53

c3 13 1.06262920 1.07142860 1.25051680 1.28571460 .90801427 .95631297 6.45 .65

c4 13 .33333340 .33397050 .83333340 .83349270 1.06565970 1.92264370 3.81 .45

cs 17 1.13059700 1.13888880 1.36567160 1.38888880 .88794416 .91941955 10.38 .71

c6 17 .53333340 .53631880 .83333340 .83439960 1.05928760 1.43911020 7.94 .65

c7 17 .53333270 .53539250 .83333310 . 83406880 1.05941500 1.43910700 7. 97 • 65 ..... -..J oj::>

c8 29 .57639040 .58160980 .91666700 .91769380 1.02510200 1.32158740 17.60 .72

c9 29 .27380540 .27535080 .85714210 .85744610 1.04443640 1.69198110 14.04 .59

clO 37 .70634920 .74441510 .88517270 .90005770 1.02648960 1.17377540 26.82 .83

*The accuracy of E1 or E2 is to the sixth decimal place (see Section 8.11}.

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- 175 -

Table* X: Cyclic Designs, Among Comparisons

No. of El design v E2 B

cl 13 1.04573670 1.61058820 4. 72

c2 13 .83119494 .90590690 3.46

c3 13 .92964747 .96708089 5.08

c4 13 1. 04856730 1. 61059310 5.37

c5 17 .90855906 .93483468 7.52

c6 17 1. 04693670 1. 33285940 10.16

c7 17 1.04703650 1. 33286350 10.19

c8 29 1. 02190010 1.27396560 19.83

c9 29 1. 03868120 1. 57294470 17.51

clO 37 1.02348070 1.15243270 30.26

*The accuracy of E1 or E2 is to the sixth decimal place

(see Section 8.11}.

D

.18

.38

.56

.21

.59

.44

.44

.47

.20

.66

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- 176 -

Table XI: The p. 's for Triangular Designs l.

No. of design

T6 o, i 1,2, ... ,7; 12 9 pi = = Pa -- Pg = 7 , 7

T7 fl " " .. TS .. II .. ..

Tl2 fl " fl fl

Tl3 fl .. .. II

Tl4 II fl " fl

Tl8 fl " " "

Tl9 II II II II

o, i 1,2, ••• ,11; .§. 1 7 T23 pi = = P12 = P13 = P14 = 3 , , 3

T24 " II fl fl .. T30 .. If .. fl ..

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No. of design

Table XII: The p. 's for Cyclic Designs 1

3 1 cl pi=O, i=l,2, ... ,8; P9=2, P10=2, P11=2, P12=2

c2 II II II II II "

c3 II II II ti II "

c4 II II II II II II

7 7 5 43 16 cs p.=O, i=l,2, ••• ,11; P12=3, P13=3, P14 = G' P15 = 30' P16 = 15 1

c6 II II II II " " "

c7 II II II II II " II

5 11 61 97 11 P26 = 1, P27 = 1, c8 p.=O, i=l,2, ••• ,20; P21 = °2' P22 =6, P23 = 24' P24 = 40' P25 =s, 1

1 P2s=2

c9 II II II II II II II II II II

clO 8. =O, i=l,2, ••• ,27; 5 5 47 91 11 37 P2a=2, P29=3, P30=23' P31=40' P32=s, P33=14'

243 8 3059 P34 = 112' P35 = S' P36 = 2960

I-' .....i .....i

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ABSTRACT

We know that the best linear combination of the intra-

and inter-block estimates is

Intra-estimatexinter-variance+Inter-estimatexintra-variance Intra-variance + Inter-variance

however, this combined estimate is merely theoretical, since

we do not know in practice the exact inter- and intra-

variances. A reasonable solution is to use a random weight

which can be computed from the data of our experiment, but

so far there has been no practical solution without severe

restrictions on the size of the experiment, and no solution

at all for a clear answer to the question of how much we

i

recovered. In fact, the experimenter applying the methodology

available to him now, cannot be sure that he is really

improving the accuracy of his estimation.

This research has achieved the following:

1. A new method of combining two independent estimates

has been developed. This method has its use in incomplete

block designs, in similar experiments, and in randomized

block designs with heterogeneous variances. The improvement

introduced by this method is very satisfactory, compared with

the utmost possible theoretical improvement.

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2. A procedure for recovering the inter-block informa-

tion in B. I. B. designs was given, which is applic'able in

experiments of as small as t = 4.

3. It has been proven that the practical utilization

of inter-block information is possible in any P.B.I.B. with

seven treatments or more.

4. A general procedure for recovering the inter-block

information in P.B.I.B. 's with two associate classes was

given.

5. An inter-block analysis of singular and semi-regular

group divisible designs was discussed_, which makes a partial

utilization of the inter-information possible.

In general, this work has two merits:

1. It makes possible the utilization of the inter-

block information in small and moderate size experiments.

2. As a ratio of the utmost possible theoretical

recovery (by combining linearly), either exactly or a lower

bound of the ratio of recovery is always computable.

Tables which enable the experimenter to use the procedures

described in this dissertation were given. The ratios of

recovery listed in these tables show that the new method

gives good results where the old method is not applicable,

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and when the old method starts, hopefully, to be valid, the

ratio of recovery achieved by the new method starts to

approach the theoretical value that can be achieved, assum-

ing the intra- and inter-variance are known.