Redist_Present by Andrew Beveridge

8/6/2019 Redist_Present by Andrew Beveridge

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Statement by Andrew A. Beveridge, Ph.D.,

Professor of Sociology, Queens College and

Graduate Center CUNY Demographic

Consultant

June 7, 2011



2012 Just Like 2002 ?

� The 2012 round of redistricting promises

to be much like that in 2002.

� A similar shift of population from far upstate to downstate

� Two Congressional seats were to be lost.



Results� A judge declared an impasse and a set of Congressional

lines were proposed by two masters. At the point a dealwas cut and the present Congressional lines wereapproved.

� All plans considered for the State Senate were 61 seats.

At the 11th hour, a new plan was proposed, that did thefollowing:

± Moved one seat down state.

± Carefully allocated the population so that everydistrict downstate was overpopulated and every

district upstate was under populated. ± Maintained the Velella racial ³gerrymander,´ andcracked and packed minorities in Long Island.

� The Assembly plan in some ways was the mirror imageof the Senate plan. Most districts upstate were over populated, many downstate were under populated.





Congress

� All Congressional Districts are under populated.Congressional seats are required to beeffectively equal.

� Two seats will be lost. One from districts from 1

to 14 or 15. The other seat will come fromupstate from districts 16 through 29.

� Districts 10, 6 and 11 have a majority of votingage citizens, who are African Americans.

� District 16 has a majority of Hispanic voting agecitizens.

� Two additional districts have a majority of Hispanic and African Americans of Voting Age

combined. Two more are near such a majority.





State Senate

� 13 Districts are under populated (based upon adeviation of 5 percent from the ideal), while eightare over populated.

� Most under populated districts are upstate.

� Six districts have a majority of African Americancitizens of voting age.

� Two districts have a majority of Hispanic citizensof voting age.

� Four districts have a majority of Hispanics and African Americans of citizen of voting agecombined.







The Assembly

� 26 districts are under populated and 22 are over

populated based upon a 5 percent deviation.

� Fifteen districts have a majority of Africans

American citizens of voting age.

� Twelve districts have a majority of Hispanic

citizens of voting age.

� Eight additional districts have a majority of Hispanics and African American citizens of

voting age combined.







Conclusions

� The complex and contentious process in

New York State should this year be doneusing a commission

� New York should avoid the chaos that

could be caused once again by a short

sighted redistricting process.

Documents

Redist_Present by Andrew Beveridge