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REGIONAL MARKET DYNAMICSTHE OWNERS PERSPECTIVE
The Differences of Northern and Med / Black Sea Trade
Differences between the Northern European and the Mediterranean companies
mainly from :
Different market profiles – more TC fixings and COAs in Northern Europe when in our region
we mainly see Voyage Charter fixtures
The average Northern European charterer is more experienced with chartering / trade /
commerce / legalities when compared to the charterer in our region The average owner is bigger in size in Northern
Europe
Fleet age in Europe is younger than our region and
charterers demand younger vessels whereas in our
region age is not a high concern for charterers.
The MARPOL requirements are stricter in Northern
Europe for the use of MGO and ITF compliance is a
must when flying open registries flags.
World economy and politics
Regulations
Fuel prices
There are more common worries when it
comes to :
But more important it is:
Common Worries
The market
The owners capability
Med and Black Sea Operator
The average regional operator trades 3 to 5 vessels
The total number of vessels is around 1.800 units with the majority having a dwt between 3.000 to 5.000 tons
The majority of the vessels around 65% are over 20 years old
On the basis of our market knowledge and data in hand we estimate :
The Market
Let’s now look at our market, that is the Mediterranean and Black Sea starting with the positive facts:
The world economy depends on shipping, over 85% of goods are transported by sea. In the European Union of the 28 states, Norway and Turkey, Short Sea Shipping transported goods represent more than 50% of all seaborne goods and in most countries the percentage is well above the 50%.
This holds true when looking at the statistics of ports
in France, Italy, Spain, Greece, Bulgaria, Romania and Turkey. The bulk of the goods transported in these countries originates from the Mediterranean and the Black Sea.
The EU policy to divert road traffic to sea traffic.
The Positive Side
The Negative Side
European economic policy
Less cargoes for same tonnage
Politically unstable Northern African countries and political problem
Crimea Conflict
Hard regulatory regimes
Never ending economic crisis
Do we expect any change for the better of the European economy and political status in Northern Africa countries
and Ukraine ? Can there be any safe predictions ?
Market
Any safe predictions?
We know that the European economy decision taking cannot be that swift as it is in USA and China. It has always been hampered by involving many decision centers from the European Central Bank, Brussels bureaucracy and peripheral obstructions.
We may safely predict that Med and Black
Sea short sea shipping will not see any appreciable benefits from EU economic policy in the short and mid-term future. In praise of EU though we should say that the stability it offers is by itself a benefit and hopefully any steps taken for economic growth and / or short sea shipping support measures will reflect positively to short sea operators.
The Owner
The fleet is aging however, present TC rate do not pay back for investment in an new building.
The government together with companies should find new ways to finance ship building
Thank you!
Burak Akartaş Pacific Shipping Group -
President