8
Relation between severity of mitral regurgitation and prognosis of mitral valve prolapse: Echocardiographic follow-up study Seungbum Kim, MD, Toshio Kuroda, MD, Masanori Nishinaga, MD, Masanori Yamasawa, MD, Shintaro Watanabe, MD, Takeshi Mitsuhashi, MD, Sou Ueda, MD, and Kazuyuki Shimada, MD Tochigi, Japan We investigated the relation between the severity of mitral regurgitation and the development of complications and cardiac events by using two-dimensional and color Doppler echocardiography in 229 consecutive patients with mitral valve prolapse. The frequency of moderate and severe mitral regurgitation was significantly higher in patients with a pro- lapsed posterior leaflet (61%) than in patients with a pro- lapsed anterior leaflet (25%), and the older the patient, the greater the severity of mitral regurgitation. The occurrence of complications, such as atrial fibrillation, congestive heart failure, and chordal rupture, was significantly greater in prolapsed posterior leaflet cases than in prolapsed anterior leaflet cases, and the occurrence was closely associated with the degree of severity of mitral regurgitation. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that the severity of mi- tral regurgitation is a strong prognostic indicator for devel- oping complications. Furthermore, in a subgroup of 49 pa- tients tracked for a mean of 4.8 years, the new development of complications was significantly higher in patients who showed a progression in the severity of mitral regurgitation (52%) than in patients without progression in severity (8%). The initial severity of mitral regurgitation was related to the occurrence of cardiac events (mitral valve replacement, in- fective endocarditis, cerebral embolism and death). The data indicated that the progression of mitral regurgitation is closely associated with the development of complications and cardiac events and suggest that the severity of mitral regurgitation is an important prognostic indicator for the development of complications and cardiac events in pa- tients with mitral valve prolapse. (Am Heart J 1996;132:348- 65.) Long-term follow-up studies have indicated that pa- tients with primary mitral valve prolapse may have a poor prognosis. Some patients with mitral valve prolapse are at high risk for severe mitral regurgita- From the Department of Cardiology, Jichi Medical School. Received for publication May 19, 1995; accepted Nov: 11, 1995. Reprint requests: Toshio Kuroda, MD Department of Cardiology, Jichi Medical School, 3311-1 Yakushiji, Minamikawachi-machi, Kawachi-gun, Tochigi, Japan 329-04. Copyright © 1996 by Mosby-Year Book, Inc. 0002-8703/96/$5.00 + 0 4/1/72009 tion and for complications such as infective en- docarditis, cerebral embolic events, malignant ven- tricular arrhythmias, and sudden death, i'5 Recent reports show that a prolapse of the mitral valve is the most common cause ofmitral regurgitation requiring surgery. 6s Mitral regurgitation is the most frequent hemodynamic complication in patients with mitral valve prolapse and unfavorably affects the patient's prognosis. 9"n In particular, enlargement of the left atrium and the development of chronic atrial fibril- lation caused by the progression of mitral regurgita- tion may signal clinical deterioration and the need for surgical intervention. Mitral regurgitation may worsen as the severity of the mitral valve prolapse increases. Labovitz et al. i2 reported that the more severe the prolapse, the greater the likelihood of echocardiographic evidence of significant regurgitation. Therefore monitoring patients for the development and progression of mi- tral regurgitation is important in assessing and treating mitral valve prolapse. Although several studies have shown that the severity of mitral regurgitation may be an important prognostic factor in patients with mitral valve prolapse, 11-14the rela- tion between the severity and progression of mitral regurgitation and the prognosis has not been fully studied. Echocardiography is considered to be the most useful technique for evaluating patients with mitral valve prolapse. The development of color Doppler echocardiographic techniques has made it possible to evaluate the severity of mitral regurgitation semi- quantitatively.i5, 16 A l t h o u g h the clinical usefulness of color Doppler flow imaging for the assessment of the severity ofmitral regurgitation has been demon- strated,13,17-19 few studies have related the severity of mitral regurgitation to the development of compli- cations and cardiac events, which could help predict the prognosis of a patient with mitral valve prolapse. 348

Relation between severity of mitral regurgitation and prognosis of mitral valve prolapse: Echocardiographic follow-up study

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Relation between severity of mitral regurgitation and prognosis of mitral valve prolapse: Echocardiographic follow-up study

Seungbum Kim, MD, Toshio Kuroda, MD, Masanori Nishinaga, MD, Masanori Yamasawa, MD, Shintaro Watanabe, MD, Takeshi Mitsuhashi, MD, Sou Ueda, MD, and Kazuyuki Shimada, MD Tochigi, Japan

We investigated the relation between the severity of mitral regurgitation and the development of complications and cardiac events by using two-dimensional and color Doppler echocardiography in 229 consecutive patients with mitral valve prolapse. The frequency of moderate and severe mitral regurgitation was significantly higher in patients with a pro- lapsed posterior leaflet (61%) than in patients with a pro- lapsed anterior leaflet (25%), and the older the patient, the greater the severity of mitral regurgitation. The occurrence of complications, such as atrial fibrillation, congestive heart failure, and chordal rupture, was significantly greater in prolapsed posterior leaflet cases than in prolapsed anterior leaflet cases, and the occurrence was closely associated with the degree of severity of mitral regurgitation. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that the severity of mi- tral regurgitation is a strong prognostic indicator for devel- oping complications. Furthermore, in a subgroup of 49 pa- tients tracked for a mean of 4.8 years, the new development of complications was significantly higher in patients who showed a progression in the severity of mitral regurgitation (52%) than in patients without progression in severity (8%). The initial severity of mitral regurgitation was related to the occurrence of cardiac events (mitral valve replacement, in- fective endocarditis, cerebral embolism and death). The data indicated that the progression of mitral regurgitation is closely associated with the development of complications and cardiac events and suggest that the severity of mitral regurgitation is an important prognostic indicator for the development of complications and cardiac events in pa- tients with mitral valve prolapse. (Am Heart J 1996;132:348- 65.)

Long-term follow-up studies have indicated that pa- tients with primary mitral valve prolapse may have a poor prognosis. Some patients with mitral valve prolapse are at high risk for severe mitral regurgita-

From the Department of Cardiology, Jichi Medical School. Received for publication May 19, 1995; accepted Nov: 11, 1995. Reprint requests: Toshio Kuroda, MD Department of Cardiology, Jichi Medical School, 3311-1 Yakushiji, Minamikawachi-machi, Kawachi-gun, Tochigi, Japan 329-04. Copyright © 1996 by Mosby-Year Book, Inc. 0002-8703/96/$5.00 + 0 4/1/72009

tion and for complications such as infective en- docarditis, cerebral embolic events, malignant ven- tricular arrhythmias, and sudden death, i'5 Recent reports show that a prolapse of the mitral valve is the most common cause ofmitral regurgitation requiring surgery. 6s Mitral regurgitation is the most frequent hemodynamic complication in patients with mitral valve prolapse and unfavorably affects the patient's prognosis. 9"n In particular, enlargement of the left atrium and the development of chronic atrial fibril- lation caused by the progression of mitral regurgita- tion may signal clinical deterioration and the need for surgical intervention.

Mitral regurgitation may worsen as the severity of the mitral valve prolapse increases. Labovitz et al. i2 reported that the more severe the prolapse, the greater the likelihood of echocardiographic evidence of significant regurgitation. Therefore monitoring patients for the development and progression of mi- tral regurgitation is important in assessing and treating mitral valve prolapse. Although several studies have shown that the severity of mitral regurgitation may be an important prognostic factor in patients with mitral valve prolapse, 11-14 the rela- tion between the severity and progression of mitral regurgitation and the prognosis has not been fully studied.

Echocardiography is considered to be the most useful technique for evaluating patients with mitral valve prolapse. The development of color Doppler echocardiographic techniques has made it possible to evaluate the severity of mitral regurgitation semi- quantitatively.i5, 16 A l t h o u g h the clinical usefulness of color Doppler flow imaging for the assessment of the severity ofmitral regurgitation has been demon- strated,13,17-19 few studies have related the severity of mitral regurgitation to the development of compli- cations and cardiac events, which could help predict the prognosis of a patient with mitral valve prolapse.

348

Volume 132, Number 2, Part 1 American Heart Journal -~i/7~ e t al. 349

Fig. 1. Typical examples ofmitral valve prolapse observed on two-dimensionallong-axis echocardiograms. Anterior mitra] leaflet was superiorly displaced into left atrium during systole (arrow, left). Posterior mi- tral leaflet bulged into left atr ium beyond line of mitral annulus during systole (arrow, right) AML, An- terior mitral leaflet; PML, posterior mitral leaflet.

The a im of this s tudy was to inves t iga te the re la t ion be tween the echocardiographic g rade of mi t r a l re- gurg i ta t ion and the deve lopment of complicat ions and cardiac events and to clarify a predict ive signif- icance of the sever i ty of mi t r a l r egurg i t a t ion in the prognosis of pa t i en t s wi th mi t r a l va lve prolapse.

METHODS Patient population. We identified 425 patients with

echocardiographic evidence of mitral valve prolapse from 14,376 patients referred to the Jichi Medical School Hos- pital between April 1986 and August 1993. The patients were assessed for symptoms and signs suggestive ofmitral valve prolapse, including atypical chest pain, systolic murmurs, and ventricular premature beats. We excluded 196 patients with congenital heart disease, Marfan's syn- drome, rheumatic heart disease, coronary artery disease, and cardiomyopathy. Therefore the study population con- sisted of 229 consecutive patients with primary mitral valve prolapse (124 women and 105 men; mean age 50.8 years, aged 14 to 88 years).

Echocardiographic studies. Two-dimensional and color Doppler echocardiography was performed by using a Toshiba SSH-65A, 140A or 160A system with a 2.5- or 3.75-MHz transducer (Tokyo, Japan). The echocardio- graphic morphologic characteristics of the mitral leaflets were estimated in images obtained from parasternal long- axis and short-axis views and apical four-chamber and long-axis views. We mainly used the parasternal long-axis two-dimensional echocardiogram to assess the location of prolapsed leaflets. Two-dimensional echocardiographic ev- idence of prolapsed leaflets was defined as a superior pro- trusion of the mitral leaflets into the left atrium, crossing the plane of the mitral annulus, with the coaptation point of the leaflets remaining at or superior to the mitral annu- lar plane during systole. 12, 2o Fig. 1 shows two typical ex- amples of prolapsed leaflets of the mitral valve from the

long-axis view of the parasternal two-dimensional echocar- diograms. We measured the left atrial dimension, left ven- tricular end-diastolic dimension, and ejection fraction on M-mode tracing according to the recommendation of the American Society of Echocardiography. 21

The severity of mitral regurgitation was estimated by color Doppler echocardiography with a 2.5-MHz trans- ducer. The degree of mitral regurgitation was assessed in terms of the distance in the left atrium reached by regur- gitant flow from the mitral valve orifice, 15 the maximum regurgitant jet area expressed as a percentage of the left atrial area, 16"1s and the proximal isovelocity surface area 19 visible in any view. Mitral regurgitation was classified as trivial, mild, moderate, or severe (Table I).

Complications and cardiac events. We noted the oc- currence of complications such as atrial fibrillation, con- gestive heart failure and chordal rupture, and cardiac events including mitral valve replacement, infective en- docarditis, cerebral embolism, and cardiac death. We then examined the relations between the incidence of complica- tions and the location of prolapsed mitral leaflets and the severity of mitral regurgitation. To clarify the association between the progression of mitral regurgitation and the occurrence of complications, a follow-up study was con- ducted in 49 patients with mild to moderate regurgitant flow. We assessed the prolapsed leaflets; changes in the left atrial dimension, the left ventricular end-diastolic dimen- sion, and the ejection fraction; the progression of mitral regurgitation; and the development of complications. We also investigated the relation between the development of cardiac events and the initial severity of mitral regurgita- tion during a follow-up period. The follow-up data were obtained from hospital charts, physicians' office records and telephone interviews over a maximum period of 76 months.

Statistics. Data are expressed as mean ± SEM. Differ- ences in the incidence of complications were analyzed by the chi-squared test. p Values of <0.05 were considered

August 1996 350 Kim et al. American Heart Journal

Table I. Color Doppler echocardiographic criteria for grade of mitral regurgitation

Grade of mitral regurgitation

Method Trivial Mild Moderate Severe

Distance in left a t r ium 1/4 2/4 3/4 4/4

Maximal je t area (%) <20 20-40 40< Left atr ial area

Proximal isovelocity <30 30-100 100< surface area (mm 2)

statistically significant. Logistic regression analysis was used to assess the univariable association of clinical and echocardiographic data with the development of complica- tions. A multiple regression model was then developed to identify the independent variables predicting the develop- ment of complications. The cumulative cardiac event-free rate was estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS Prolapsed leaflets and degree of mitral regurgitation,

Of the 229 patients with mitral valve prolapse detected by two-dimensional echocardiography, 147 (64%) had prolapse of the anterior leaflet, 59 (26%) had prolapse of the posterior leaflet, and 23 (10%) had prolapse of both leaflets. Prolapse of the anterior leaflet was 2.5 times greater than prolapse of the posterior leaflet. Mitral regurgitation was present in 212 (93%) of the 229 patients. The mitral regurgita- tion was trivial in 45 (20%), mild in 83 (36%), mod- erate in 50 (22%), and severe in 34 (15%). Of the 147 patients with a prolapsed anterior leaflet, the grade of mitral regurgitation ranged from none to mild in 110 (75%) and from moderate to severe in 37 (25%) (Fig. 2). However, moderate to severe regurgitant flow was present in 36 (61%) with a prolapsed poste- rior leaflet, whereas trivial to mild regurgitation was present in 23 (39%). Among patients with prolapse of both leaflets, 11 (48%) had moderate to severe regurgitant flow. The incidence of moderate and se: vere mitral regurgitat ionwas significantly higher in patients with a prolapsed posterior leaflet compared with patients with a prolapsed anterior leaflet (chi squared = 23.6, p < 0.001).

Relation between age and severity of mitral regurgita- tion. The severity of mitral regurgitation was closely associated with age (Fig. 3). Patients with trivial mi- tral regurgitation were significantly older than pa- tients without regurgitation, and patients with mod- erate to severe mitral regurgitation were signifi- cantly older than patients with trivial to mild regurgitation.

Incidence of complications. Atrial fibrillation and

Table II. Incidence of complications associated with pro- lapsed leaflets in 229 patients with mitral valve prolapse

Leaflet

AML PML Both Complication (n = 147) (n = 59) (n = 23)

Atrial fibrillation 26 (18%) 15 (25%) 5 (22%) Congestive hear t failure 15 (10%) 12 (20%) 3 (13%) Chordal rupture 4 (3%) 9 (15%)* 1 (4%) Cerebral embolism 1 1 Infective endocarditis 1 Pat ients with more 33 (22%) 29* (49%) 7 (30%)

than one complication

AML, Anterior mitral leaflet; PML, posterior mitral leaflet. *p < 0.01 vs AML by chi-square.

congestive heart failure were more common in pa- tients with a prolapsed posterior leaflet than in pa- tients with a prolapsed anterior leaflet (Table II). The incidence of chordal rupture was significantly higher in patients with prolapse of the posterior leaflet than in patients with prolapse of the anterior leaflet. Cerebral embolisms occurred in one patient with prolapse of the anterior leaflet and in one patient with prolapse of the posterior leaflet. Infec- tive endocarditis developed in one patient with a prolapsed posterior leaflet. The incidence of all com- plications was significantly higher in patients with prolapse of the posterior leaflet than in patients with prolapse of the anterior leaflet. The incidence of complications increased markedly as the severity of mitral regurgitation increased (Fig. 4). Of 34 pa- tients with severe mitral regurgitation, 23 (68%) had more than one complication. Univariable logistic re- gression analysis of clinical and echocardiographic data found that old age, male gender, involvement of the posterior leaflet, severity of mitral regurgitation, and increased left atrial dimension and left ventric- ular end-diastolic dimension predicted the develop- ment of complications. The multiple logistic regres- sion analysis (Table III) showed that, age, gender, severity of mitrat regurgitation, and increased left atrial dimension were independently associated with the development of complications. The severity of mitral regurgitation was a strong predictor for the development of complications among the variables.

Follow-up of progression of mitral regurgitation. Of the 49 patients who were tracked for more than 2 years, 25 patients showed a progression of mitral re- gurgitation associated with moderate to severe flow (Table IV). No progression was detected in the other 24 patients. There were no significant differences in sex, age, or the duration of the follow-up period be- tween the two groups. The prolapse of the posterior

Volume 132, Number 2, Part 1

A m e r i c a n Hear t Journa l K i m et al. 351

AML PML AML & PML (n=147) (n=59) (n=23)

[2=no; [ ] =trivial; O =mild; [] =moderate; •=seve re

Fig. 2. Degree ofmitral regurgitation associated with prolapsed leaflets in 229 patients with mitral valve prolapse. AML, Anterior mitral leaflet; PML, posterior mitral leaflet.

60

5O

'¢~ 40

I I

Ill

I I

none trivial mild moderate severe (n=17) (n=45) (n=83) (n=50) (n=34)

Severity of mitral regurgitation Fig. 3. Relation between age and severity of mitral regurgitation in 229 patients with mitral valve pro- lapse. Mean -+ SEM, *p < 0.05.

leaflet was more frequent in patients with a progres- sion of mitral regurgitation than in patients without progression (52% vs 17%, p < 0.05). The left atrial dimension and the left ventricular end-diastolic dimension increased significantly in patients who showed progression of mitral regurgitation (Fig. 5). The ejection fraction did not change significantly in patients with or without progression. Of the 25 pa- tients with progression of mitral regurgitation, 13

developed more than one complication during the follow-up period (mean 4.9 _+ 0.3 years). In contrast, only 2 of the 24 patients without progression devel- oped complications during the follow-up period (mean 4.7 -~ 0.4 years). The incidence of atrial fibrillation and congestive heart failure was significantly higher in patients with progression than in patients without progression (Table V). Chordal rupture occurred in three patients with progression.

August 1996

352 Kim et al. American Heart Journal

.u ~ m

E 0 ¢d

0

g=

80

60

40

20

none trivial mild moderate severe

Severity of mitral regurgitation

Fig. 4. Incidence of complications related to severity of mitral regurgitation in 229 patients with mitral valve prolapse.

Table III. Multiple logistic regression analysis of develop- ment of complications in 229 patients with mitral valve prolapse

Coefficient (95% confidence

Independent variable interval) p Value

Age 0.01 (0-0.013) 0.02 Gender (male) 0.19 (0.12-0.2) <0.05 Involvement of pos- -0.07 (-0.28-0.13) 0.48

terior leaflet Severity of mitral 0.21 (0.11-0.32) 0.001

regurgitation Increased left atrial 0.02 (0-0.03) 0.02

dimension Increased left ven- 0.01 (-0.01-0.02) 0.44

tricular end-dias- tolic dimension

Follow-up of cardiac events. Cardiac events associ- a ted wi th the init ial severi ty of mi t ra l regurgi ta t ion included mi t ra l valve rep lacement in 18 pat ients , infective endocardit is in one pat ient , cerebral em- bolism in two pa t ien ts and cardiac dea th in one pa t ien t (Fig. 6). No cardiac events occurred in pa- t ients wi th no or only tr ivial mi t ra l regurgi tat ion. Pa t ien ts wi th modera te mi t ra l regurg i ta t ion showed a significantly h igher incidence of cardiac events when compared wi th pat ients wi th mild mi t ra l regurg i ta t ion over a 76-month follow-up period (18.0% vs 2.4%, p < 0.01). Cardiac events developed most f requent ly in pat ients wi th severe mi t ra l re- gurgi ta t ion (32.4%).

Table IV. Baseline characteristics of 49 patients with mi- tral valve prolapse in follow-up on progression of mitral regurgitation

Progression of MR

(-) (+)

Male/female 12/12 14/11 Age (yr) 43.7 +- 3.7 52.7 +- 2.7 Follow-up period (yr) 4.7 +_ 0.4 4.9 _+ 0.3 MR (mild/moderate) 17/7 16/9 AML/PML/Both 16/4/4 8/13/4"

MR, Mitral regurgitation; AML, anterior mitral leaflet; PML, posterior mi- tral leaflet. *p < 0.05 by chi-square.

DISCUSSION

Severe mi t ra l regurg i ta t ion t h a t requires surgery is one of the most common and serious complications of mi t ra l valve prolapse. Severe regurgi ta t ion is closely associated wi th the severi ty and progression of prolapse. 12"14 Long- term follow-up studies have shown th a t severe mi t ra l regurg i ta t ion occurs among a subset of pa t ien ts wi th mi t ra l valve prolapse. 1-4 The r isk of mi t ra l regurg i ta t ion is re la ted to sex and age and rises steeply af ter the age of 50, par t icular ly in men. 3 I t is therefore impor t an t to observe the pro- gression of mi t ra l regurg i ta t ion in pa t ien ts wi th mi- t ra l valve prolapse. However , there is little da ta on the progression of mi t ra l regurg i ta t ion or the rela- t ion be tween its severi ty and the prognosis of pa- t ients wi th mi t ra l valve prolapse, especially in refer-

Volume 132, Number 2, Part 1 American Heart Journal Kim et al. 353

6 0 - r

40.

20-

0-

60 r - - 7

40

~'~ 20

0

70

6O

50

40

M R p r o g r e s s i o n (.) MR progression (+)

Fig. 5. Changes in left atrial dimension (LAD), left ventricular end-diastolic dimension (LVDd), and ejec- tion fraction (EF) associated with progression ofmitral regurgitation (MR) in 49 patients with mitral valve prolapse during follow-up study. Mean _+ SEM, *p < 0.05, **p < 0.01 vs initial examination. Sp < 0.01 vs MR progression (-). White bars, Initial examination; black bars, last examination.

ence to the development of complications and cardiac events. Our study examined the relation between the severity ofmitral regurgitation and the development of complications and cardiac events and elucidated the prognostic significance of the severity of mitral regurgitation in patients with mitra] valve prolapse.

In this study, mitral regurgitation was present in 93% of the patients, and moderate to severe mitral regurgitation was present in 37% of the patients with mitral regurgitation. Panidis et al. 1° reported that 69% of patients with the mitral valve prolapse syn- drome showed Doppler echocardiographic evidence of mitral regurgitation, of which only 10% had mod- erate to severe regurgitation. The difference between these results and those of Panidis et al. may be related to the older age of our patients. In addition, the development of color Doppler echocardiography

has made the detection of mitral regurgitation more specific and sensitive.

The incidence of prolapse was higher in the ante- rior leaflet than in the posterior leaflet; however, complications occurred more frequently in patients with a prolapsed posterior leaflet. Hickey et al. s also reported that chordal rupture was more common in patients with a prolapsed posterior leaflet. Our data were consistent with theirs. Previous studies have shown that the degree of mitral regurgitation is cor- related with the severity of prolapse. 1214 In this study, the incidence of complications increased mark- edly as the severity of mitral regurgitation increased. Multiple logistic regression analysis furthermore in- dicated that the severity of mitral regurgitation was a strong prognostic indicator for developing compli- cations. Therefore observing the development and

August 1996 354 Kim et al. American Heart Journal

100

90

so I 70[

60

50 ,

0 20

I *

40 60

Duration of follow-up 8O

(months )

Fig . 6. Re•ationbetweendeve••pment•fcardiaceventsandinitia•severity•fmitralregurgitati•nin229 patients with mitral valve prolapse during follow-up study. *p < 0.05 vs mild, **p < 0.01 vs moderate mi- tral regurgitation. Dashed line, No, trivial (n = 62); thin line, mild (n = 83); medium line, moderate (n = 50); thick line, severe (n = 34).

T a b l e V. New development of complications associated with progression of mitral regurgitation in 49 patients during follow-up period

Progression of mitral regurgitation

Complication (-) (+)

Atrial fibrillation 2 (8%) 12 (48%)* Congestive heart 0 5 (20%)?

failure Chordal rupture 0 3 (12%)

*p < 0.01 vs no progression of mitral regurgitation by chi-square. ~p < 0.05.

progression of mitral regurgitation is very important in the prognosis of mitral valve prolapse.

Kolibashi et al. 9 reported that the progression from mild or moderate regurgitation to severe mitral regurgitation is usually gradual, resulting in archi- tectural and performance changes in the left atrium and the left ventricle. We also observed that the left atrial dimension and the left ventricular end-dias- tolic dimension increased significantly as the sever- ity of mitral regurgitation increased. However, the ejection fraction did not change significantly in patients with or without the progression. This find- ing may imply that left ventricular systolic function decreased in patients with progressive mitral regur- gitation because the ejection fraction should increase as the left ventricle adapts to the volume overload. In

addition, our study indicates that the development of complications was closely related to the progression of mitral regurgitation. Atrial fibrillation and con- gestive heart failure occurred more frequently in pa- tients with progressively worsening regurgitation during the follow-up period. These findings suggest that monitoring of the progression of mitral regurgi- tation is essential to detect the development of seri- ous complications.

Although several long-term follow-up studies have shown that a subset of patients is at risk of develop- ing severe mitral regurgitation requiring surgery and complications such as infective endocarditis, ce- rebral embolisms, and cardiac death, 1-4 follow-up studies on the relation between the severity of mitral regurgitation and the development of cardiac events are rare. In our study, cardiac events developed in relation to the initial severity of regurgitation during the follow-up period. Cardiac events occurred more frequently in patients with moderate and severe re- gurgitation, but not in patients with no or trivial re- gurgitation.

In conclusion, the severity of mitral regurgitation was related to the location of the prolapsed leaflet. Moderate and severe regurgitation was more fre- quent in patients with a prolapse of the posterior leaflet than in patients with a prolapse of the ante- rior leaflet, and the older the patient, the greater the severity of mitral regurgitation. The incidence of complications and cardiac events increased as the severity of mitral regurgitation increased. The oc-

Volume 132, Number 2, Part 1 American Heart Journal I ~ i / ~ E't a / . 3 5 5

currence of complications was closely associated with the worsening of mitral regurgitation. A multiple lo- gistic regression model indicated that the severity of mitral regurgitation is a strong prognostic indicator for the development of complications. The initial se- verity of the mitral regurgitation influenced the sub- sequent development of cardiac events. Our results suggest that the severity ofmitral regurgitation is an important prognostic indicator for the development of complications and cardiac events during the follow-up of patients with mitral valve prolapse.

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