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Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th of March 2010 Johannes Haller (Universität Hamburg, Germany) for the Gfitter Group *) *) M. Baak, H. Flächer, M. Goebel, J. H., A. Höcker, D. Ludwig, K. Mönig, M. Schott, J. Stelzer The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics

Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th of March 2010

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Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th of March 2010. The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics. Johannes Haller (Universität Hamburg, Germany) for the Gfitter Group *). *) M. Baak, H. Flächer, M. Goebel, J. H., A. Höcker, - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Rencontres de MoriondQCD and High Energy InteractionsLa Thuile, 13th-20th of March 2010

Johannes Haller(Universität Hamburg, Germany)

for the Gfitter Group*)

*) M. Baak, H. Flächer, M. Goebel, J. H., A. Höcker, D. Ludwig, K. Mönig, M. Schott, J. Stelzer

The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics

Page 2: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 2

The Gfitter project

A Generic Fitting Project for HEP Model Testing

Goal: provide a state-of-the-art model testing tool for the LHC era

Gfitter software and features:modular, object-oriented C++, relying on ROOT, XML, pythoncore package for data handling, fitting and statistics toolsindependent physics libraries: SM, 2HDM, oblique parameters, … consistent treatment of theoretical uncertainties in fit using Rfit prescription

theo. uncertainties included in 2 with flat likelihood in allowed ranges

various fitting tools: Minuit, Genetic Algorithm and Simulated Annealingfull statistics analysis: parameter scans, p-values, MC analyses, goodness-of-fit tests, …

Results:main publication: EPJ C60, 543-583, 2009 [arXiv:0811.0009]today: updates and new results

also available at www.cern.ch/Gfitter

Page 3: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 3

The global electroweak fit

Page 4: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 4

The global electroweak fit with Gfitter

A Gfitter package for the global EW fit of the SM

new implementation of the SM prediction of the EW observablesbased on huge amount of preparatory work by manyradiative corrections are important

logarithmic dependence on MH

State-of-the art calculations; in particular:MW and sin2l

eff: full two-loop + leading beyond-two-loop correction [M.

Awramik et al., Phys. Rev D69, 053006 (2004 and ref.][M. Awramik et al., JHEP 11, 048 (2006) and refs.]

theoretical uncertainties: MW = 4-6 GeV, sin2leff=4.710-5

radiator functions: N3LO of the massless QCD Adler function [P.A. Baikov et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 101 (2008) 012022]

Wherever possible cross-checked with Zfitter → excellent agreement

Page 5: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 5

electroweak fit: experimental inputFree fit parameters:

MZ, MH, mt, had(5)(MZ

2), S(MZ2), mc, mb

scale parameters for theoretical uncertainties on MW, sin2l

eff (and the EW form factors Zf, Z

f)

Usage of latest experimental input:Z-pole observables: LEP/SLD results [ADLO+SLD, Phys. Rept. 427, 257 (2006)]

MW and W: latest LEP+Tevatron averages (incl. D0-run2 08/2009)

[ADLO, hep-ex/0612034] [CDF, Phys Rev. D77, 112001 (2008)] [D0, Phys. Rev. Lett. 103, 141801 (2009)] [arXiv:0808.0147][arXiv:0908.1374]

mtop: latest Tevatron average (03/2009) [arXiv:0903.2503]

mc and mb: world averages [PDG, J. Phys. G33,1 (2006)]

had(5)(MZ

2): [Hagiwara et al., Phys. Lett. B649, 173 (2007)] + Gfitter rescaling mechanism to account for S-dependency

direct Higgs searches at LEP and Tevatron (HCP combination 11/2009)[ADLO: Phys. Lett. B565, 61 (2003)], [CDF+D0: arXiv:0911.3930]• not considered: sin2eff results from NuTeV (uncertainties from NLO and nucl. effects of bound nucleon PDF) and APV and polarized Möller scattering (exp. accuracy too low)

Page 6: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 6

electroweak fit: experimental input

Direct Higgs searchesLEP: Higgs-Strahlung

ee→ZH (H→bb, [ADLO: Phys. Lett. B565, 61 (2003)]

Tevatron: various channels gg fusion with H→WW, associated production, WBF [CDF+D0: arXiv:0911.3930]

HCP combination 11/2009, not using the recently published high-mass WW combination

Stat. interpretation in global fit: 2-sided CLS+B

experiments measure test statistics: LLR = -2lnQ, where Q=LS+B/LB

LLR is transformed by experiments into CLS+B using toy-MC experimentswe transform 1-sided CLS+B into 2-sided CL2s

S+B we measure deviations from the SM !

2 contribution calculated via inverse error function: 2=Erf-1(1-CL2s

S+B)

Page 7: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 7

electroweak fit: fit results

Goodness-of-fit:w/o H searches: 2

min=16.4 → Prob(2min,13)=0.23

with H searches: 2min=17.8 → Prob(2

min,14)=0.22

Pull values:no individual value exceeds 3 FB(b) asymmetry largest contributorsmall contribution from MZ, had, mc, mb

input accuracy high → could have been fixed

N3LOS from fit:

s(MZ2) = 0.1193 ± 0.0028 ± 0.0001

first error is experimental fit errorsecond error due to missing QCD orders:

incl. variation of renorm. scale from MZ/2 to 2MZ and massless terms of order/beyond S

5(MZ) and massive terms of order/beyond S

4(MZ)

excellent agreement with N3LO result from decays[M. Davier et al., arXiv:0803.0979]

Page 8: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 8

electroweak fit: Higgs mass constraints

MH from fit w/o Higgs searches:

central value ±1:

2 interval:

GeV 8.82 2.303.23

HM

GeV ]158 ,41[

• green bands shows difference of fit results when including/excluding theory uncertainties.• flat likelihood term: excluded errors → larger ndof → larger 2

min

MH from fit with Higgs searches:

central value ±1:

2 interval:

GeV 4.119 4.130.4

HM

GeV ]157 ,114[

Page 9: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 9

Constraints on new physics models using the EW fit

Page 10: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 10

BSM constraints using the oblique parameters

[Peskin + Takeuchi, Phys. Rev. D46,1(1991)]

[Burgess et al., Phys. Lett. B326, 276 (1994)] [Burgess et al., Phys. Rev. D49, 6115 (1994)]

UcTcScmMOO UTStH )( ,refSM,meas

X

X’

A package to constraint SM extensions

Assumption: high-scale BSM physics appears only through

vacuum polarisation corrections

electroweak fit sensitive to BSM physics through these oblique corrections

in direct competition with sensitivity to Higgs loop corrections

Oblique corrections from New Physics described through STU parametrization

STU measure deviations from EW rad. cor. expected. in SMref

S=T=U=0 if data are equal to SMref predictionS: NP contributions to neutral currentsT: difference btw neutral and ch. current processes (sensitive to isospin violation effects)U: (+S) NP contribution to charged currents. U only sensitive to MW and W [usually very small in NP models (often U=0)]

– also implemented: corrections to Zbb coupling, extended parameters (VWX)

Page 11: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 11

However, other models are compatible with the data tooe.g. littlest Higgs, Universal Extra Dimensions, 4th fermion generation, …variation of the free parameters → large area in ST-planefor some parameter values: large MH allowed (compensation of effects)

Results

Correlation matrix

BSM constraints using the oblique parameters

S, T, U derived from fit to electroweak observablesother floating fit parameters MZ, S(MZ

2), had(5)(MZ

2)SMref chosen with: mt = 173.2 GeV, MH = 120 GeV

S = 0.02 ± 0.11

T = 0.05 ± 0.12

U = 0.07 ± 0.12

S T U

S 1 0.879 -0.469

T 1 -0.716

U 1

ST-plane for U=0

SM prediction: (gray area)for SMref: S = T = U = 0

S and T: logarithmically dependent on MH

Comparison data/SM prediction:small MH compatible with data

no need for new physics

Page 12: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 12

Example: Constraints on Universal Extra Dimensions

UED:all SM particles can propagate into EDcompactification → KK modesconservation of KK parity

phenomenology similar to SUSYlightest KK state stable: CDM candidate

free parameters:dED: number of ED (fixed to dED=1)

R-1: compactification scale (mKK~n/R)

Contribution to vac. polarisation (STU): from KK-top/bottom and KK-Higgs loopsdependent on R-1, MH (and mt)

Results: large R-1: UED approaches SM (exp.)

only small MH allowedsmall R-1: UED contribution compensated by large MH

excluded: R-1< 300 GeV and MH > 800 GeV

[Appelquist et al., Phys. Rev. D67 055002 (2003)] [Gogoladze et al., Phys. Rev. D74 093012 (2006)]

Page 13: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 13

Example: Constraints on the Littlest Higgs Model with T- parity

LHM solves hierarchy problem as an alternative to SUSY new global SU(5)/SO(5) symmetry broken at scale f ~1 TeV

Higgs= pseudo-Goldstone-Boson

new SM-like fermion and new gauge bosons at the scale f ~1 TeVSM contributions to Higgs mass cancelled by new particles

Conservation of T-Parity similar to conservation of R-parity in SUSYdark matter candidate → ET,miss at LHC

no direct coupling of new gauge bosons (T-odd) to FS SM particles (T-even)

forbids tree-level contributions from heavy gauge bosons to SM observables

Two new heavy top-states: T-even mT+ and T-odd mT-

Dominant oblique corrections:

[Appelquist et al., Phys. Rev. D67 055002 (2003)] [Gogoladze et al., Phys. Rev. D74 093012 (2006)]

Page 14: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 14

Example: Constraints on the Littlest Higgs Model with T- parity

Parameters of the LH modelf: symmetry breaking scales~ mT-/mT+< 0: ratio of T-odd/T-even masses in top sector

c: order one-coefficient (value depends on details of UV physics) treated as theory uncertainty in fit: c: [-5,5]

Results:for appropriate parameters large MH could be allowed

dependent on s:For large f: LHM approaches the SM prediction and SM MH constraints (as expected)For smaller f: MH can be large

no absolute exclusion limits due to sdependence

s= 0.45s= 0.55s= 0.65s= 0.75

[Hubisz et al., JHEP 0601:135 (2006)]

Page 15: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 15

Example: Constraints on a 4th fermion generation

Models with a fourth generationno explanation for n=3 generationsintr. new states for leptons and quarks

free parameters:masses of new quarks and leptonsassuming: no mixing of extra fermions

contrib. to STU from new fermionssensitivity to mass difference between up-type and down-type fields (T ) (not to absolute mass scale)

Results:with appropriate mass differences: 4th fermion model consistent with data

In particular a large MH is allowed

data prefer a heavier charged lepton

RRLL ,2,121 , ,,

4444 , , , mmmm edu

MH= 120 GeV

MH= 600 GeV

[Hubisz et al., JHEP 0601:135 (2006)]

Page 16: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 16

Gfitter is a powerful framework for HEP model fits

Results obtained so farnew global fit of the electroweak SMconstraints on BSM using the oblique parameters

heavier Higgs boson could be realized in various BSM modelsconstraints in the Two-Higgs-Doublet-Model (not shown today)

The future:maintain and improve core statistics package (e.g. fitter efficiency)maintain electroweak fit in line with experimental and theoretical progress

Tevatron updates and of course LHC results !!maintain and extend the oblique parameter fit (STU)

more models are in preparationmaintain and extend the 2HDM fitaim: MSSM

Latest results/updates and new results always available at: http://cern.ch/Gfitter

Conclusions and outlook

Page 17: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 17

Back-up slides

Page 18: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 18

electroweak fit: top mass

Radiative corrections show a quadratic sensitivity to mtop w/o using the measured value of mtop we find:

w/o Higgs searches:

with Higgs searches:

…. to be compared with latest Tevatron average: GeV 3.11.173 topm

GeV 5.177 3.1033

.topm

GeV 2.177 6.107.8

topm

Page 19: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 19

Experimental input and fit results

Page 20: Rencontres de Moriond QCD and High Energy Interactions La Thuile, 13 th -20 th  of March 2010

Johannes Haller The global electroweak fit and constraints on new physics 20

LHC/ILC prospects