Upload
others
View
2
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Report of the combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force
on Integrated Natural Resources Management, held at IRRI headquarters, Los Baños, The Philippines
June 13-16th, 2005.
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
2
Contents
INTRODUCTION....................................................................................................................................3 Workshop opening ..........................................................................................................................................................3 Foreword by the ICARDA Director General and Chair of the INRM Task Force .........................................................3 Summary of the workshop activities ...............................................................................................................................4 The SPIA case studies .....................................................................................................................................................5 Examples of CGIAR efforts towards Integrated Natural Resources Management and the role of monitoring and evaluation..................................................................................................................................................................5 Lessons learned from the case studies.............................................................................................................................5 Challenges for the SPIA IA case studies.........................................................................................................................6 Conclusion of Impact Assessment Case Studies .............................................................................................................7 International Public Goods generated through INRM research......................................................................................7 The revised INRM guidelines for implementing INRM research...................................................................................9 Responding to the demand-side for INRM ...................................................................................................................11
ANNEX I: WORKSHOP PROGRAM .....................................................................................................13
ANNEX II: POWERPOINT PRESENTATIONS SPIA/INRM COMBINED MEETING ..............................16 ANNEX III: POWERPOINT PRESENTATIONS INRM TASK FORCE MEETING....................................69
ANNEX IV. LIST OF PARTICIPANTS .................................................................................................101
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
3
INTRODUCTION
At the 5th meeting held at ICRAF in October 2003, the INRM Task Force decided that its next meeting should focus on International Public Good aspects of NRM research and on Impact Assessment (IA). During the inaugural meeting of the CGIAR Science Council held in ICARDA in May 2004 a suggestion was made that, as the interests of the INRM Task Force coincided with that of the SPIA, it would be appropriate and efficient to combine these meetings.
Consequently the main objective of the combined meeting was to learn from the experiences within and outside the CGIAR system and to examine and agree on strategies and methodologies for IA that takes into account the multi-faceted nature of NRM interventions and how to monitor and evaluate them both at the local level and at the overall project level.
Workshop opening The workshop was opened by the Acting DG of IRRI, Dr. William Pandolina on behalf of the DG, Dr. Robert Zeigler. Dr. Pandolina welcomed participants to the IRRI campus and emphasized that the mission of the CGIAR is to manage natural resources in order to maintain productivity while minimizing impact on the environment. IRRI maintains several long-term trials to study this in irrigated rice-based systems. Dr. Adel El-Beltagy, INRM Task Force Chair and DG of ICARDA then briefly introduced the work of the Task Force and outlined the expected outcomes of the meeting. Dr. Hans Gregersen from the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) explained the background, purpose and objectives of the SPIA study on NRM work within the CGIAR centres and welcomed the opportunity to combine the SPIA meeting with the 6th INRM workshop. He emphasized that SPIA is focusing on the impacts of NRM research in the CGIAR and not on how the centres are implementing this research.
Foreword by the ICARDA Director General and Chair of the INRM Task Force Distinguished guests, colleagues, ladies and gentlemen,
This is the 6th meeting of the INRM Task Force. The CGIAR has always been engaged in Natural Resource Management Research, but it came to the fore around 1998 with an increased emphasis on the protection and enhancement of our natural resources both to reduce the damaging effect of agriculture on the environment and to help realize the potential of the advances made in our germplasm improvement programs, especially for the rural poor, who some believe were excluded from the Green Revolution. INRM became to be known within the CGIAR as the second pillar to integrated genetic resource management in the efforts to support agricultural productivity.
This Task Force was established in 1998 and meetings have been held in − Bilderberg, The Netherlands, 1999 − Penang, Malaysia, 2000 − Cali, Colombia, 2001 − Aleppo, Syria, 2002 − Nairobi, Kenya 2003 − and now in Los Baños, Philippines, 2005-05-23
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
4
Each meeting has emphasized particular aspects of the development of a comprehensive, holistic approach to Natural Resources Management Research with the Aleppo meeting resulting in an operational framework consisting of a set of cornerstones that act as guidelines for those who design, implement, practice, monitor and evaluate projects on NRM.
During the evolution of NRM research within the CGIAR voices have been raised that question the role of the CGIAR in this type of research. Some have questioned the outputs and outcomes of NRM research claiming it has not had equivalent impact when compared with other areas of research especially improved germplasm. Few assessments of NRM research were available subsequent to this meeting. The CGIAR subsequently established the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) that works in cooperation with the Science Council to document the impacts of NRM research.
Last year, during the inaugural meeting of the new Science Council in Aleppo, the suggestion was put forward that, as both SPIA and the INRM Task Force were actively considering IA, that we should combine a meeting of the two to thoroughly examine the question of IA of NRM research. Indeed one of the recommendations of the 5th INRM workshop was to link SPIA and a sub-group of the INRM Task Force on IA. Hence we have come to the 6th meeting where we will
− examine IA and − later consider what are the international public goods of CGIAR NRM research and − how can we scale out the approach to and with our partners, predominantly the
NARS. We hope that by the end of the meeting we will have determined a clear pathway to
measure IA of NRM research with some examples and how these examples are in fact IPG. We also wish to put in place an agreed scaling out strategy for NRM research to be done in close collaboration with our partners.
I wish you all a successful workshop.
Summary of the workshop activities The first two days consisted of the presentation and discussion of the 7 case studies of SPIA plus two additional interventions from IRRI on its experiences with rice-based systems (see Annex I for the program). This was followed on Day 3 by joint SPIA-INRM Task Force sessions on case studies and methodological issues on IA and IPG aspects of NRM research.
Included were examples from some CGIAR centres of monitoring and evaluation as measures of IA that differ from ex post IA, and which considered the multi-faceted nature of INRM studies. A summary of lessons learned from the SPIA and other studies was presented by Professor D. Zilberman. This was followed by a presentation on the International Public Goods (IPG) nature of CGIAR projects delivered by Professor Richard Harwood. The workshop then used a case study from IPGRI on banana biodiversity as an example of how to build in IA and IPG into projects. Separate working groups were organized to deliberate on 1) IA and 2) IPG as a learning and exchange exercise.
On Day 4 the working group sessions were presented in plenary and discussed. This session was followed by the presentation of the draft revised guidelines for operationalizing INRM and a strategy for wider dissemination including the need for combined centre efforts on training and capacity building in order to achieve scaling out impacts.
Concrete outputs expected from this meeting will be publications on the SPIA case studies and recommendations on how to measure IA and the Guidelines for implementing the INRM approach.
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
5
At the closing ceremony Dr R. Wang of IRRI thanked participants for travelling great distances and for their efforts to reach the achieved outcomes. Dr. Hans Gregersen indicated that all participants had learned a great deal from the meeting and had benefited from the exchange of views and experiences. Dr. El-Beltagy extended a vote of thanks to all concerned IRRI staff for their superb logistical arrangements, especially S. Pandey, Lydia Damian and Deborah Templeton. Dr. Beltagy also thanked Dr. Dick Harwood for his efforts to further the cause of INRM within the CGIAR system and looked forward to his further interactions with the INRM group.
The SPIA case studies 1. Participatory technology development in cassava cropping systems in Asia – CIAT
2. Crop-livestock systems in Morocco and Tunisia – ICARDA
3. The sustainability of forest management: Assessing the impact of CIFOR’s criteria and indicators research – CIFOR
4. Fertilizer trees in Southern Africa – World Agroforestry Centre 5. Irrigation management transfer – IWMI
6. Zero tillage in India – CIMMYT
7. Development of integrated aquaculture/agriculture in Malawi – World Fish Centre IRRI case studies: 1. An assessment of the impact of IPM in southern Vietnam 2. Soil conservation in the Philippine uplands.
The presentations of these case studies are included as Annex II.
Examples of CGIAR efforts towards Integrated Natural Resources Management and the role of monitoring and evaluation
1. Putting INRM into agricultural support programs: Lessons in M&E from ICRISAT-Zimbabwe. S. Twomlow, ICRISAT.
2. Linking INRM cornerstones into an output, outcome and Impact Assessment framework. F. Place, World Agroforestry Centre
3. Evaluation for institutional learning and change. Boru Douthwaite, CIAT
4. Project example for IA/IPG development: Managing banana diversity to improve rural livelihoods in Uganda; a preliminary evaluation of natural resource management impacts. R. Markham, IPGRI
The presentations of these case studies are included as Annex III.
Lessons learned from the case studies It was clear from the presentations that NRM projects are diverse and IA approaches and issues are necessarily very variable, crossing time and spatial scales beyond the normal research project of 3-5 years duration. The interdependence of natural resources within natural management systems (where humans interplay with the natural resources) was recognised as complicating factors for IA.
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
6
Challenges for the SPIA IA case studies Recognising that the CGIAR addresses orphan crops and markets that are usually neglected by the private sector, that the research provides public goods (technical, institutional and policy options) and provides capacity that can achieve outputs via applied research and networks, there was a perception that the NRM case studies under-estimated some major features needed for sustainable system assessment.
These include the environmental impacts, the dynamics, distributional effect, and risk. Meanwhile, there was overemphasis of static agricultural issues. The main causes are methods and data limitations. Ensuring that the results are meaningful at a global scale through global networks (in and outside the CG) was thought to need further elaboration.
Eight lessons were drawn from a synthesis of the case studies by David Zilbermann. 1. The need to incorporate IA in on-going projects and assess impact throughout the lifetime
of the project. This requires developing methods for monitoring of outcomes and using the results for learning and long-term assessment. This lesson matches the learning cornerstones of the INRM approach and the need to conduct IA in two phases, the first being monitoring and evaluation by the participants in NRM projects and the second the ex post IA normally requested by donor agencies and others.. A suggestion was made here that the CG may consider introducing cost accounting-
attributing costs to projects for better project assessment, accountability and transparency. However it was noted that this may be costly. 2. IA for NRM should be a multi-stage process, in an integrated approach, starting with
clearer identification of the problem set and identification of the research network. Farmers should derive the hypotheses and an overall outcome should be agreed. Use of models was seen to be important. Adoption of the interventions should be documented recognizing partial adoption, adaptation and disadoption. Sources of heterogeneity among adopters need to be well understood, including spatial and time scale. Impact measures should include land use changes, outputs, input use, prices, environmental effects, health, poverty and changes in related markets. IA should include numbers (financial) and other measures such as bibliography, follow up on internet downloads, testimonials and a description of the technology history. For attribution purposes there is a need to analyse the research networks.
Economic measures can include consumer surpluses, producers surpluses, government surpluses, environmental benefits all disaggregated by location, time and categories such as farmers, input suppliers and finally the internal rates of return.
These aspects correspond to the NRM Learning Wheel cornerstones on ‘shared focus’, ‘organizational aspects’, ‘facilitation’ and ‘learning’. 1. IA cannot be avoided as CGIAR work is publicly funded and transparency is of
paramount importance to the donors. Donors consider the weight of impact evidence, which requires provision of a successful story with some quantitative and qualitative indicators of impact. Ex-post assessment and provision of future projections are recommended for assessing the impact of on-going projects.
2. NRM systems have diverse internal rates of return (IRR). It was suggested that this can be explained by the limited knowledge of the IRR although some quote very high values. Issues involved include whether or not there is a ‘uniform’ technology to follow and over what scale. But it is generally noted that IRR is highly variable and lower than that of crop breeding research.
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
7
3. To be credible the IA need good counterfactuals. Other points for further attention include establishing a treatment and control group, sample size, and extra modelling and econometric skills.
4. Research should be located research within a global network of science by presenting results and findings within the context of global knowledge. Consideration of the scaling out issue is essential for CGIAR activities. These should go beyond the CG system and be better integrated into the global scientific community. CG work could be criticized for being too introspective and the discoveries and research outcomes together with patterns of adoption need to be more widely disseminated and communicated to the general scientific community. This corresponds clearly with the INRM cornerstones on ‘scaling up’ and on ‘information’.
5. IA needs to be more effective as it is costly and should be tailored to multiple audiences with multiple outcome messages. It was recognised that IA is useful for donors but crucial for internal project management. Again this observation corresponds to the use of plurality of knowledge forms suggested in the INRM approach.
6. The CG needs further training and networking with new professionals on how to build assessment skills, to become more familiar with systems, to establish disciplinary and inter-disciplinary networks and have a cross-discipline dialogue. These correspond to the cornerstones on ‘partnerships’, ‘teamwork’, ‘facilitation’, ‘organizational’ and ‘information’.
Conclusion of Impact Assessment Case Studies The SPIA team met with the Center’s case study leaders and discussed the comments of peer reviewers and finalization of the studies. It was agreed that center studies be finalized no later than 15th September to be published in the form of refereed book on the basis that each center will have one chapter in the book. A synthesis of the main results will be presented by SPIA Chairman at the AGM meeting to be held in Marakesh, Morocco, December, 2005.
International Public Goods generated through INRM research
R. Harwood, F. Place, A. H. Kassam, H.M. Gregersen
The paper on IPG’s was presented by Dick Harwood who outlined the historical development on NRM work within the CGIAR and emphasized that INRM development requires wide-ranging research outputs, from basic to applied, coordinated across a multi-layered partnership of institutions. The production ecosystems studied cover broad geographical areas (not usually defined by national boundaries) with diversity and gradients in each of the resource domains and in their drivers and that the “embedding” of technologies for change and their extrapolation across those gradients requires scientific tools of several types. Further, development agencies dealing with INRM require a range of research outputs of both goods and services, many of which are most effectively generated at a regional (or broader) international level.
This means that the outputs from NRM research have IPG dimensions that include; • Research coordination services • Development and problem-specific application of a range of INRM tools
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
8
• Development of principles and procedures for INRM management (and the institutional structures needed)
• Development, embedding and extrapolation of technologies across production Ecosystems
Coordination services encompass regional research coordination that involves more than one country perhaps on an ecoregional basis, or on a river basin or as a cross-cutting topic. Tools include decision support such as GIS models, training tools and process models for key drivers in the resource domains such as econometrics, biogeophysics and demographics. Many NRM outputs can be considered as change elements (e.g., technologies, institutional and policy options) that need to be ‘embedded’ in the particular socio-ecological system under study. GIS and data sets, process models for key system drivers are tools that can be used to embed the intervention. These embedded change elements can be extrapolated across gradients of space and time for the purposes of scaling out and up, for impact analysis, both ex ante and ex post.
Based on the presentations of Dick Harwood and Frank Place we can summarize IPG outputs of INRM research as;
− INRM research tools and decision aids (GIS, ex ante models and tools to inform major investment decisions)
− Multi-country coordination services (methods and numbers of services) − INRM-focused institution building principles − Technologies and management practices that are production-ecosystem embedded and
verified across driver gradients. − Lessons learnt about how INRM processes and systems work for input into decision
making e.g. the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment and follow up activities) − Methods used in the valuation of INRM technologies and related environmental
goods and services. The workshop used the example of a project from IPGRI on managing banana diversity to
improve rural livelihoods in Uganda as an exercise to design and develop IPG’s. The working group identified the following possible IPG’s from this project. 1. A strategy for optimizing in situ and ex situ genetic conservation
2. Conservation of the full range of banana genetic diversity in Uganda but in the context of the global genetic diversity of the species.
3. Established property rights and a framework of legal principles safeguarding them.
4. Ways of adding value to the different elements of banana genetic diversity e.g., green labeling, improvements in wine production, development of specific products for niche markets.
5. Map of the genetic attributes of banana varieties against their phenotypic traits.
6. Strengthened institutions at a range of scales (local-national-international) to maintain the diversity over the long term. This is termed as improvement in social capital.
7. Improvements in the INRM approach itself (shortcuts, cost effectiveness).
8. Valuation of the benefits of banana genetic conservation. A second working group used the IPGRI example to develop impact pathways. The
results of this exercise are presented below.
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
9
Outputs Indicators Means of
verification Established farmer groups Number Head count New management techniques Number Head count Farmers trained in production of new products (wine, handicraft)
Number Head count
Policy recommendations Number and degree of transferability
Head count, citations
Methodology developed Documentation of methods Documentation Experimentation, adaptation and adoption of:
New management techniques % of non-participating farmers who adopt new techniques
Head count
Production of new products (wine, handicraft)
% of non-participating farmers who adopt new techniques
Head count
Group formation Number of groups who formed independently
Head count
Intermediate outcomes Strengthened social capital Stories, stronger social networks Social mapping Maintained or increased diversity Changes in diversity Farm surveys, GPS
transect Greater diversity in farming system (vegetables/livestock)
Change in number & types of commodities grown
Observation, stories
Decreased soil erosion Changes in soil depth Surveys Increased soil fertility Change in productivity Observation, stories Increased banana yields % increase Surveys Increased input use Change in input use Surveys Decrease in banana prices Change in prices Surveys Increased sources of income Changes in sources of income Surveys Change in consumption patterns & levels Changes in consumption Surveys Final outcomes Improved nutrition Increased income Micro enterprise developed Improved or maintained biodiversity More sustainable farming systems
The revised INRM guidelines for implementing INRM research. Following the development of the 11 cornerstones for the implementation of INRM interventions at the 4th INRM workshop held in Aleppo 2002, a small sub-group of the Task Force prepared a guideline booklet that used the inputs from many scientists who participated in the INRM Task Force. A limited edition of the guideline was presented at the workshop. The main feature of the guideline is the explanation of the cornerstones of the Learning Wheel as shown below.
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
10
NRM Learning Wheel
Further details can be found in the guideline booklet and on the INRM website. Feedback from the participants, especially those that were new to the approach and
concepts indicate that a more detailed introduction is required that clearly shows the INRM research process and how this relates to other CGIAR research.
The guide could be linked to existing websites on INRM where the reader can obtain further details of the outputs of the INRM Task Force including a link to a website, possibly at FAO, where the publication from the CGIAR/Interim Science Council entitled ‘Research Towards Integrated Natural Resources Management: Examples of research problems, approaches and partnerships in action in the CGIAR’ edited by Harwood and Kassam could be accessed. Questions discussed on the guide included: • What are the weak points – can they be strengthened • How to balance the broad diffuse agenda with need to produce concrete outcomes
(discussed generally under IA)
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
11
• Can the process be evaluated vs. the tangible products (yes the process is one of the IPG’s from NRM research)
• Is it necessary to ‘bound’ the problem? (part of the shared problem identification is to identify a problem set)
• Does the complex approach put donors off? Do they prefer to fund 1-D approach and simplicity? (possibly but clear definition of the problem set should help)
• Do we need more multi-faceted Challenge Programs to mainstream INRM framework? (Probably not but there is a need to extend the approach into existing CP’s such as the Water for Food-CP for example)
• How do we package the research agenda to leverage funds for implementation (better links and specific agreements with donor agencies, UN conventions etc)
• What are the envisioned impacts and can we measure them (findings of SPIA/INRM workshop)
• There is a need to clearly demonstrate in the revised INRM guideline that the INRM approach “improves delivery and increased effectiveness of research” rather than focusing on processes and tools alone.
• It is important to link the INRM guideline to successful case examples (e.g., M&M project) to clearly demonstrate the operationalization of the INRM approach.
Responding to the demand-side for INRM Francis Turkelboom presented a case study on how ICARDA was responding to the demand for the INRM approach and discussed how a complex approach can be best introduced to partners via training courses and other means. Outscaling of ICARDA’s INRM activities includes publications, seminars during regional meetings with NARS, and introductions to INRM during in-house training courses on NRM-related themes. However, experiences indicate a need for more hands-on training in projects with partners where specific interventions such as soil, water and nutrient management technologies can be used to develop the approach and facilitate the introduction of the INRM concepts. Two training approaches were explored: • INRM training by workshop mode: ICARDA’s training has to date involved several
senior staff participating in training events on specific aspects of the INRM approach using the Learning Wheel approach to select topics, tools and methods. ICARDA has developed a suite of methods and tools that are divided into, i) diagnostic tools, ii) problem-solving tools and iii) process tools. Trainees select the tools appropriate for them and are trained in their use in specific projects. Group work with the tools is brought together under project planning exercises.
• A second approach was considered for the Challenge Program on Water for Food operating in the Karkheh River Basin in Iran. For this project, INRM was built into the project design phase. Around 50 inter-disciplinary staff from different institutions are involved, but depending on needs focussed persons are trained via hands-on training through the implementation of the project. ‘Reflection’ points in the learning cycle are used for collective learning. The latter allow for re-adjustments and further training when required.
Lessons learned from the approaches taken includes: • INRM capacity building can be time–demanding, as it addresses complex issues and it
requires reversals of paradigms and values.
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
12
• Participants need some basic INRM experiences for greater effectiveness. • The time frame for an INRM training workshop is usually at least one week. • Training should take place early in the project cycle. • In inter-disciplinary groups the novelty of the approach is more easily perceived. • Training requires the use of more examples from the CGIAR system and beyond. • Impact requires committed follow up by project managers (especially in early stages of
the project). • Expertise require practise: The more you apply INRM, the easier it become and the more
‘shortcuts’ you can make. • INRM practitioners improve their INRM skills by training others in INRM approaches
and tools. • There is a need for exchanges of experiences of INRM training strategies and tools
among practitioners. Discussion:
− An alternative approach for INRM training was proposed: Start from the ‘comfort zone’ by analysing an existing NRM situation/project. By probing and questioning its problems, one could develop an alternative INRM approach.
− There is a bias to addressing ‘problems’. Instead, we need a ‘positive deviance’ by focussing on what is working and on convincing results.
− We need to collect practical tools and community of practices. − INRMN capacity building needs an institutional approach and involvement of policy
makers. − We have to inform (and infiltrate!) the Science Council and the donor community via
successful INRM case studies and IPG’s coming out of INRM.
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
13
ANNEX I: WORKSHOP PROGRAM
Joint SPIA-INRM Task Force meeting June 13-16th, 2005 Combined Workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the
CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resource Management
The International Rice Research Institute (IRRI), at Los Banos, The Philippines
June 13 – 16, 2005
a). Day 1 Monday, June 13
Time Activity Session 1: Inaugural
08:00–08:30 Registration 08:30–08:40 Welcome to participants
Dr. William Pandolina, Deputy Director General IRRI 08:40–08:50 Opening remarks from INRM Task Force Chair and ICARDA DG,
Dr. A. El-Beltagy 08:50–09:00 Background to SPIA commissioned cases studies by SPIA Chair,
Professor Hans Gregersen chair 09:00–09:10 Introduction to the cases and the format of the session by
H. Waibel 09:10–09:45 Coffee break and photo-taking
Session 2: SPIA Case study presentation and discussion Chair: Hermann. Waibel
09:45–11:00 Participatory Technology Development in Cassava Cropping Systems in Asia Tim Dalton, University of Maine, USA
11:00–12:15 Crop Livestock Systems in Morocco and Tunisia K. Shideed, ICARDA
12:15–13:15 Lunch Break Session 2: SPIA Case study presentation and discussion (continued) Chair: Jim Ryan
13:15–14:30 The sustainability of forest management: Assessing the impact of CIFOR’s criteria and indicators research
P. Frost, CIFOR 14:30–15:00 Coffee Break
Session 2: SPIA Case study presentation and discussion (continued) Chair: Prabhu Pingali
15:00–16:15 Fertilizer Trees in Southern Africa Olu Ajayi, World Agroforestry Centre
16:15–17:00 Wrap up of Day 1 Professor David Zilberman, University of California, USA
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
14
b). Day 2 Tuesday, June 14 Time Activity Session 3: SPIA case study presentation, continued Chair: Tim Kelly
08:30–09:45 Irrigation Management Transfer in Sri Lanka Meredith Giordano, IWMI
09:45–11:00 Zero Tillage in India O. Erenstein, CIMMYT
11:00–11:30 Coffee Break Session 3: SPIA case study presentation, continued Chair: Hans Gregersen
11:30–12:45 Development of Integrated Aquaculture/Agriculture in Malawi Madan Day, WorldFish
12:15–14:15 Lunch break Session 3: SPIA case study presentation, continued Chair: Ren Wang
14:15–15:00 An assessment of the impact of IPM in Southern Vietnam M. Hossain, IRRI
15:00–15:30 Soil conservation in the Philippine uplands S. Pandey, IRRI
15:30–16:00 Coffee break 16:00–16:30 Wrap up Professor D, Zilberman, University of California, USA 17:00–17:30 Closing of SPIA component of the program
c). Day 3 Wednesday, June 15 Time Activity Session 4: Joint SPIA/INRM discussion Chair: Adel El–Beltagy
08:30–08:45 Session objectives, structure and procedure R. Thomas, ICARDA
08:45–09:45 INRM Examples of M&E from the CG centres-Case from Zimbabwe – Steve Twomlow – ICRISAT
09:45–10:15 Linkage of INRM milestones into a M&E framework Frank Place ICRAF
10:15–10:45 Evaluation for institutional earning and change Boru Douthwaite, CIAT
10:45–11:15 Coffee break 11:15–11:45 The Economics of NRM and Impact Assessment(presentation and
discussion) David Zilberman, University of California
11:45–12:15 International Public goods generated through INRM research – Richard Harwood, Michigan state University, USA
12:15–13:30 Lunch Session 4: IPG from INRM research
13:30–14:00 Introduction of the working group sessions R. Thomas, ICARDA
Maintaining genetic biodiversity of bananas in Uganda Richard Markham, IPGRI
14:00–17:00 Discussion/working groups on IA/IPG statements from INRM task Force
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
15
d). Day 4 Thursday, June 16 Time Activity Session 5: INRM Task Force deliberations Chair: A. El-Beltagy 08:30–9:30 Presentation of the working groups on IPG and Impact Assessment pathways revised
INRM guidelines – P. Frost, CIFOR, D. Templeton, IRRI
9:30–10:30 Presentation of the revised INRM guidelines and discussion on the guidelines P. Frost, CIFOR, R. Thomas, ICARDA
10:30–11:00 Coffee break 11:00–12:30 Discussion on demand side feedback, training modules,
F. Turkelboom, ICARDA General Discussion and Closing remarks
12:20–13:30 Lunch 13:30–17:00 Visit to IRRI research sites
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
16
ANNEX II: POWERPOINT PRESENTATIONS SPIA/INRM COMBINED MEETING
Natural Resource Management
and the Role of the CGIAR
CGIARCGIAR
The Process to Date1999 Bilderberg, Netherlands
2000 Penang, Malaysia
2001 Cali, Colombia
2002 Aleppo, Syria
2003 Nairobi, Kenya2005 Manila, Philippines
CGIARCGIAR
INRM framework – principles and operational cornerstones
Campbell, Hagmann, Stroud, Thomas, Wollenberg……..
In pre
p.
CGIARCGIAR
CGIAR Standing Panel on Impact Assessment
(SPIA)in cooperatrion withthe Science Council
to document impacts of NRM research
CGIARCGIAR
At this 6th meeting we will examine:• The question of the impact assessment of
NRM research
• What are the international public goods of the CGIAR NRM?
• How can we scale out the approach to and with our partner, primarily NARS?
CGIARCGIAR
Thank you
CGIARCGIAR
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
17
Impact of Participatory Natural Impact of Participatory Natural Resource Management Resource Management
Research in CassavaResearch in Cassava--Based Based Cropping Systems in Vietnam Cropping Systems in Vietnam
and Thailandand Thailand
Nina K. LiljaNina K. Lilja--PRGAPRGANancy JohnsonNancy Johnson--CIATCIAT
Timothy J. DaltonTimothy J. Dalton--University of MaineUniversity of MaineReinhardt HowelerReinhardt Howeler--CIATCIAT
Peter CalkinsPeter Calkins--UniversitUniversitéé LavalLaval
Impact StatementsImpact Statements
Adoption of Adoption of ““embodiedembodied”” technologies technologies Soil Fertility Management StrategiesSoil Fertility Management StrategiesSoil ConservationSoil ConservationCassava cultivarsCassava cultivars
““DisembodiedDisembodied”” impact of participatory approachimpact of participatory approachManagerial capacity, human capital growthManagerial capacity, human capital growth
IntraIntra--village spillover effectvillage spillover effectInstitutional impacts on collaboratorsInstitutional impacts on collaborators
Cassava distribution in Asia. Each dot represents 10,000 ha of cassava
After 27 years of continuous
cropping…….. without fertilizers
in front, with fertilizers in the
back
In Thailand cassava is generally grown by small farmers on lighttextured soils with gentle slopes
In Vietnam cassava is often grown on rather steep slopes
Even on gentle slopes a lot of runoff water can accumulate in natural drainage ways………
…which can break the contour ridges and cause serious gully erosion
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
18
…or worse…
Nippon Foundation ProjectNippon Foundation Project
CIATCIAT--Asia implementedAsia implemented
Phase I 1994Phase I 1994--19981998
Phase II 1999Phase II 1999--20032003
Investment (nominal)Investment (nominal)Phase I: $1.65 million ($413,000 annually)Phase I: $1.65 million ($413,000 annually)
Phase II: $1.88 million ($378,000 annually)Phase II: $1.88 million ($378,000 annually)
$3.53 million total$3.53 million total
Objectives: To enhance the sustainability of cassava-basedcropping systems in Asia by the widespreadadoption of soil conserving practices.
Strategy: To involve farmers directly in the developmentand dissemination of location-specific, mostsuitable and most effective soil conservingpractices.
FarmFarm--level Productivity and level Productivity and SustainabilitySustainability
Target: To benefit at least 8000 farmers
Institutional ImpactInstitutional Impact
Support national institutions in conducting Support national institutions in conducting strategic and applied researchstrategic and applied researchStrengthen farmer participatory research Strengthen farmer participatory research capacity through trainingcapacity through trainingImprove institutional linkages and acceptance of Improve institutional linkages and acceptance of farmer participatory researchfarmer participatory research
PartnersPartnersNippon Foundation in Japan – funding agencyCIAT Cassava Program for Asia-project implementation
in collaboration with:1. Research and extension organizations in Thailand
-Department of Agriculture (DOA)-Department of Agricultural Extension (DOAE)-Land Development Department (LDD)-Kasetsart University (KU)-The Thai Tapioca Development Institute(TTDI)
2. Research and extension organizations in Vietnam-Thai Nguyen University of Agriculture and Forestry (TNUAF)-National Institute for Soils and Fertilizers (NISF)-Vietnam Agricultural Science Institute (VASI)-Hue University of Agriculture and Forestry (HUAF)-Institute of Agricultural Sciences of South Vietnam (IAS)-Tu Duc University of Agric. and Forestry (TDUAF)
3. Research and extension organizations in China -Chinese Academy for Tropical Agricultural Sciences (CATAS)-Guangxi Subtropical Crops Research Institute (GSCRI)-Honghe Animal Husbandry Station of Yunnan
We set out demonstration plots and let farmers evaluate the We set out demonstration plots and let farmers evaluate the various options and select those that seem most promisingvarious options and select those that seem most promising
Farmers conduct FPR Farmers conduct FPR erosion control trials in erosion control trials in
their own fieldstheir own fields
Farmers can see in Farmers can see in their own FPR trials their own FPR trials
that some simple that some simple practices can practices can
markedly reduce markedly reduce runoff and erosionrunoff and erosion
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
19
Farmers, researchers and extension workers evaluate the treatments in all the FPR trials conducted in the village
Field day at time of harvestField day at time of harvest
After evaluating the trials in the field, farmers discuss the results together to select the best varieties and practices
Field day at time of harvestField day at time of harvest
h
hh
hhhhh
32 3130
3334
28
hhhh h
hhh hh
hhh
h
h
5
123 4
67
1011
12
13 1415
31
16h
hh
98
27h
32h
h28
h27
h
17h 18h19h20h21h
22h23
h24h
hh1 2h3h4h
5h6 h7h8h9
h10h11
h12h13 h
14h15 h16h17
h18h19h20
h21h22
h23h24h25h26
h27h28h29h30
h31
h32
h33
25h26
h15h16h17
h18h19h20
h21h22
h23h24
h29 h
30
1234
56
h
hh
h h
h
78
9
1011
hh
h
h h12h
13h14h
••
•
•
••
•
• •
•
2625 29
Figure 1. Location of FPR pilot sites in China, Thailand and Vietnam in the Nippon Foundation cassava project in 2003.
Number of FPR trials conducted in the 2d phase of the Nippon Foundation Project in China, Thailand and Vietnam.
Country Type of FPR trial 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Total China Varieties 9 9 20 69 20 127 Erosion control 3 5 8 17 - 33 Fertilization - - - 4 - 4 Intercropping - - - 9 - 9 Pig feeding - - - 59 - 59 12 14 28 158 20 232 Thailand Varieties 11 16 16 19 25 87 Erosion control 14 10 6 - 11 41 Chemical fertilizers 16 6 23 17 17 79 Chem.+org fertilizers - - 10 11 11 32 Green manures - - 13 11 15 39 Weed control - - 17 5 10 32 Plant spacing - - 3 - 2 5 Intercropping - - 16 7 - 23 41 32 104 70 91 338 Vietnam Varieties 12 31 36 47 35 161 Erosion control 16 28 29 30 23 126 Fertilization 1 23 36 24 24 108 Intercropping - 14 32 31 26 103 Weed control - 3 - - 3 6 Plant spacing - 1 7 19 8 35 Leaf production - - 2 2 1 5 Pig feeding - - 11 16 13 40 29 100 153 169 133 584 Total 82 146 285 397 244 1,154
Seven years after planting contour hedgerows of vetiver grass, these had caused the formation of natural terraces which markedly reduced erosion
Impact Assessment ApproachImpact Assessment Approach
2003 Household2003 Household--level field studylevel field study800 households resulting in 767 usable surveys800 households resulting in 767 usable surveys8 villages per country: 4 project and non8 villages per country: 4 project and non--project project 417 observations in Thailand and 350 in Vietnam417 observations in Thailand and 350 in VietnamNonNon--proportional sampling of a known populationproportional sampling of a known population
Institutional Analysis with CollaboratorsInstitutional Analysis with CollaboratorsFive focus group discussions in 2004Five focus group discussions in 2004Research and extension groupsResearch and extension groups
ControlParticipants Spillover?
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
20
Econometric ModelingEconometric ModelingBinary Participation Treatment EffectBinary Participation Treatment Effect
Binary Conservation Adoption DecisionBinary Conservation Adoption DecisionBinary Soil Fertility Management AdoptionBinary Soil Fertility Management Adoption→→Series of FIML Bivariate Probit modelsSeries of FIML Bivariate Probit models
otherwisePifP
ZPPUPU
ii
iiiii
0,01
')0()1(*
*
>=
+===>= νδ
[ ].,|,),1,1,0,0(~,
'51'
δβνερρνε
δεβ
ii
ii
iii
iiki
CovwhereBVN
vZPkforXA
=
+=
=+= K
Productivity and Behavioral ChangesProductivity and Behavioral Changes
Continuous Behavioral and Productivity effectsContinuous Behavioral and Productivity effects→→Simultaneity with adoption decisionsSimultaneity with adoption decisions
WW includes predicted adoption/use decisionsincludes predicted adoption/use decisions2SLS2SLS
[ ] [ ])(
,,1|,,1|
iuiii
iiiiiiiiiij
i
ZPWPuEPWPCEδλρσαφ
δφαφδφ−++=
=++==
Regression VariablesRegression Variables
Binary Dependent VariablesBinary Dependent VariablesParticipationParticipationIntercroppingIntercroppingHedgerowsHedgerowsContour ridgingContour ridgingFarm yard manureFarm yard manureChemical fertilizerChemical fertilizer
Continuous (Behavior and Continuous (Behavior and Productivity Changes)Productivity Changes)
ΔΔCropped Area Cropped Area ΔΔCassava AreaCassava AreaΔΔYieldYield
ExplanatoryExplanatoryDemographic Demographic Wealth statusWealth statusAgricultural Opportunity CostsAgricultural Opportunity CostsCountryCountryCollaboratorsCollaboratorsLocation specific controlsLocation specific controlsVillage spilloverVillage spilloverTime since project initiationTime since project initiationPredicted adoption decisionsPredicted adoption decisionsImproved variety useImproved variety useParticipation Effect and Participation Effect and Treatment correction (Treatment correction (λλ))
Results: Results: ““To participate or not toTo participate or not to…”…”
Participation mattersParticipation mattersEmbodied impactEmbodied impact
Positive and significantly correlated in adoption Positive and significantly correlated in adoption regressionsregressions--in hedgerows, ridging and manure systemsin hedgerows, ridging and manure systems
Disembodied impactDisembodied impactPositive and significant impact in yield changePositive and significant impact in yield change
IntraIntra--village Spillover Effectsvillage Spillover Effects
Positive and significant in the adoption of:Positive and significant in the adoption of:HedgerowsHedgerowsContour ridgingContour ridgingFarmyard manureFarmyard manure
Positive and significant in yield change equationPositive and significant in yield change equation
Selection Equation: Who Participated?Selection Equation: Who Participated?
Adult family members (+)Adult family members (+)More More ““landedlanded”” (+)(+)Animal agriculture present (+)Animal agriculture present (+)Collaborating institutionsCollaborating institutions
Conservation AdoptionConservation Adoption
More More ““landedlanded”” (+)(+)Animal agriculture present (+)Animal agriculture present (+)Country differencesCountry differencesTime since project initiation (+)Time since project initiation (+)Proximity to starch factory (+HR/Proximity to starch factory (+HR/--IC,CR)IC,CR)Poverty, gender and adult # in only selectedPoverty, gender and adult # in only selected
Fertility Management Fertility Management
No consistent variablesNo consistent variablesDependent variable does not measure intensityDependent variable does not measure intensityNo check on beforeNo check on before--project level of usageproject level of usage
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
21
Land Allocation BehaviorLand Allocation Behavior
Cropped AreaCropped AreaTLU (+)TLU (+)Slope (+)Slope (+)Contour Ridging (Contour Ridging (--))
Male headed (Male headed (--))Initial land holdings (Initial land holdings (--))Vietnam (Vietnam (--))
Cassava AreaCassava AreaTLU (+)TLU (+)Slope (+)Slope (+)Contour Ridging (Contour Ridging (--))
Variety use (+)Variety use (+)
Yield ImpactYield Impact
Initial land holdings (Initial land holdings (--))Animal agriculture (Animal agriculture (--))Vietnam (+)Vietnam (+)Proximity to starch factory (+)Proximity to starch factory (+)Variety use (+)Variety use (+)Adoption of Hedgerows (+)Adoption of Hedgerows (+)Participation (+)Participation (+)Village Spillover (+)Village Spillover (+)
Greatest marginal impactsGreatest marginal impacts
33rdrd greatest marginal impactgreatest marginal impact
4th4th
5th5th
Summary of Econometric Summary of Econometric InvestigationsInvestigations
Participation was significantly related to Participation was significantly related to adoption of hedgerows, ridging and manureadoption of hedgerows, ridging and manureParticipation generated yield gains apart from Participation generated yield gains apart from conservation interventions (disembodied)conservation interventions (disembodied)IntraIntra--village spillovers were + and significantvillage spillovers were + and significantOnly contour ridging was related to yield gainsOnly contour ridging was related to yield gains
Evidence?Evidence?
Limited evidence of private incentive for Limited evidence of private incentive for adoption.adoption.Did the approach:Did the approach:
Illustrate the social costs of degradation?Illustrate the social costs of degradation?Demonstrate importance of longDemonstrate importance of long--run strategies to run strategies to preserve land productivity?preserve land productivity?Sensitize participants to the interest in internalizing Sensitize participants to the interest in internalizing costs?costs?
How to translate into an RORHow to translate into an ROR
We do know:We do know:the sampling frame for extrapolationthe sampling frame for extrapolationproject costsproject costsaverage yield benefitsaverage yield benefits
Yield BenefitsYield Benefits
Differentiated by impact:Differentiated by impact:ParticipationParticipationHedgerowsHedgerowsVariety useVariety use
BeneficiaryBeneficiary““AdoptersAdopters”” x Participation statusx Participation status
ROR calculationROR calculation
Aggregated benefits to the village levelAggregated benefits to the village levelValued incremental productivity at world priceValued incremental productivity at world priceAdoption trendsAdoption trends
Linear between 1998Linear between 1998--20042004 33% IRR33% IRRConstant between 2004Constant between 2004--20082008 37% IRR37% IRR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%Farm-level Cost (% of project)
RO
R
1998-2004 Benefits
1998-2008 Benefits
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
22
Institutional ImpactInstitutional Impact
Focus group discussions with 10 collaborating Focus group discussions with 10 collaborating institutionsinstitutions
Thailand: Researchers and ExtensionistsThailand: Researchers and ExtensionistsVietnam not differentiatedVietnam not differentiated
IdentifyIdentifyPositive impacts of FPRPositive impacts of FPR
Management, knowledge, understanding, motivation, efficiencyManagement, knowledge, understanding, motivation, efficiency
Constraints Constraints Budget, policy, management, economic and market conditionsBudget, policy, management, economic and market conditions
Figure 2. Contrasting patterns of perceived institutional benefits (A) Hanoi, Vietnam; (B) as seen by researchers, Bangkok, Thailand; (C) as seen by extension workers, Bangkok, Thailand; (D) Dong Nai, Vietnam; and (E) Thai Nguyen, Vietnam.
0.0%
20.0%40.0%
Work management
Knowledge
UnderstandingMotivation
Efficiency
(B)
0.0%20.0%
40.0%Work management
Knowledge
UnderstandingMotivation
Efficiency
(A)
0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%
Work management
Knowledge
UnderstandingMotivation
Efficiency
(C)
0.0%
10.0%20.0%
30.0%
Motivation Understanding
KnowledgeEfficiency
Work management
(D)
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%Work management
Knowledge
UnderstandingMotivation
Efficiency
(E)
Figure 3: Contrasting patterns of perceived institutional constraints(A) Hanoi, Vietnam; (B) as seen by researchers, Bangkok, Thailand; (C) as seen by extension workers,
Bangkok, Thailand; (D) Dong Nai, Vietnam; and (E) Thai Nguyen, Vietnam.
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
Policies
ManagementEconomics
Knowledge
(A)
0.0%
50.0%
Policies
ManagementEconomics
Knowledge
(E)
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
Economics Management
PoliciesKnowledege
(C)
0.0%
50.0%
Policies
ManagementEconomics
Knowledge
(B)
Budget
Budget
Budget
Budget
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%Budget
Policies
ManagementEconomics
Knowledge
(D)
ConclusionsConclusions
This story is largely about the success of participatory This story is largely about the success of participatory research and extension.research and extension.Wide choice of researchWide choice of research--developed/adaptation (25 yrs).developed/adaptation (25 yrs).Successful in:Successful in:
Illustrating the social costs of soil lossIllustrating the social costs of soil lossBenefits of fertility managementBenefits of fertility managementInducing cropping system modification without $Inducing cropping system modification without $Building producer human capitalBuilding producer human capitalGenerating extraGenerating extra--project benefitsproject benefitsInstitutional benefitsInstitutional benefits
Further Steps, Questions and Further Steps, Questions and Discussion?Discussion?
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
23
Impact Assessment of Natural Resources Management
Technologies in Crop-Livestock Systems in Arid and Semi-Arid Areas: ICARDA Case Studies
SPIA/INRM Workshop on Impact Assessment of Natural Resource Management Research
in the CGIAR
June 13 – 16, 2005, IRRI
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
1995 2000 2010 2020
More Animals.. Less Feed Resource
Mill
ion
met
ric
tonn
es
Tropical Livestock Unit
Feed Deficit
(Nordbloom et al, 1996; Larbi et al. 2004)
NRM Technologies in CropNRM Technologies in Crop--Livestock Livestock Production Systems Promoted by ICARDAProduction Systems Promoted by ICARDA
Food security, poverty and natural resource degradation are common problems in CWANA region
Degradation of natural resources contributed to:– Food and feed insecurity– Dependent on costly concentrated feed
Barley/livestock farming system (Barley/Fallow) is typical in dry areas
Research at ICARDA and NARS has developed technologies that improve crop/livestock systems to:
– Enhance and stabilize production and quality of feed– Reduce pressure on the natural resources
Regional Project: Development of Integrated Crop/livestock Production Systems in the Low Rainfall Areas of the Mashreq and Maghreb Regions (M&M Project)
– M&M was implemented in two phases (1995-1998, 1998-2002)
– Introduced technologies: Alley Cropping of Cactus/barley (Tunisia) and Atriplex/barley (Morocco).
Expected Benefits of Introduced Technologies:Expected Benefits of Introduced Technologies:
••Increase barley productionIncrease barley production
••Increase biomass productionIncrease biomass production
••Reduce soil erosionReduce soil erosion
••Improve soil organic matterImprove soil organic matter
••Reduce feeding costsReduce feeding costs
••Reduce grazing pressureReduce grazing pressure
••Standing fodder to buffer seasonal fluctuationsStanding fodder to buffer seasonal fluctuations
••Protein supplement to low quality feedProtein supplement to low quality feed
••Source for fire woodSource for fire wood
••Emergency feed during drought seasons Emergency feed during drought seasons
Objectives of ICARDA Case StudiesObjectives of ICARDA Case Studies
Document and better understand the adoption of the NRM technologiesAssess the impacts associated with these NRM technologiesEvaluate the environmental effects of the alley cropping systemContribute to NARS capacity building in assessing the impact of NRM research
Main Approaches usedMain Approaches usedEconometric Approach:
– To study the adoption of the technology– To assess its impact on barley production, feed use and cost, and flock size.– To evaluate the effect of policy and other factors on the technology uptake
Probit, Logit, and Tobit Models are used to:– Model the adoption of the technology– Quantify the effects of related factors on the likelihoods of the technology
adoption
SCUAF model was used to simulate the effects on:– Barley production– Atriplex biomass production– Soil erosion– Organic matter
Results of SCUAF was combined with economic information to estimate IRR to the technology
Dynamic and recursive mathematical model (Tunisia)
Conceptual Framework for Assessing Conceptual Framework for Assessing the Impact of Alley Croppingthe Impact of Alley Cropping
Macro-level Analysis
SCUAF“Simulation Model”
• Research trials (--)• Soil Samples (04)
Crop and Atriplex productsSoil erosionOrganic matter
Cost and PricesAdoption indication
Econometric (Structural Analysis)
• B. Grain yield• B. Straw yield• Feeding cost• Flock size
Ex-Post Impact
Environmental ConsequencesSoil erosionOrganic matter
Farm Survey (2004)
Yiel
d
NPVIRR
Mixed (ex-post/ex-ante impact)
Calibration
Eros
ionYield
Calibration
Source: Adapted and modified after Trewin, 1997
Data Collection and SamplingData Collection and Sampling
Research trialsOn-farm demonstrationsResearch, extension, and dissemination costsHistorical weather informationSoil samples
Farm surveys– Adopters
Participants in demonstrationsNeighbors and/or field days attendeesNon-participants (reference farmers)
– Non adopters
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
24
Adoption of Atriplex according to Farm SizeAdoption of Atriplex according to Farm Size
30.57413.526100Total
76.9130013Large (>40 ha)
28.82825.3331Medium (20–40 ha)
13.73311.92356Small (<20 ha)
---ha------%------ha------%------%---
Av. Farm size
FarmsAv. Farm size
Farms
AdoptersNon-AdoptersTotalFarms
Farm Size
Technology Adoption According to Flock Size Technology Adoption According to Flock Size
1041710516851> 80
FlockSize
Farms
42
59
22
0
-head-
Total
51
58
23
0
-head-
FlockSize
100741926Total
252161440 – 80
4637179≤ 40
1200120
-%---%---head---%--
FarmsFlockSize
Farms
AdoptersNon-AdoptersFlock Size(head)
Adoption IndicatorsAdoption Indicators
Adoption Rate = 33%
Adoption Degree = 24%
Main factors explaining technology adoption:– Farm Size (+)– Policy Subsidy (+)– Flock Size (+)
Effect of Subsidy on Effect of Subsidy on AtriplexAtriplex PlantationPlantation
Regression estimates imply an increase in the Atriplex area by 79% due to subsidy
Impact of Impact of AtriplexAtriplex on Barley Productivityon Barley Productivity
30
97
17
198
0
50
100
150
200
250
Grain Yield Straw Yield
Total Impact (%) Net Impact (%)
30
97
17
198
0
50
100
150
200
250
Grain Yield Straw Yield
Total Impact (%) Net Impact (%)
Change in Flock Size (head)Change in Flock Size (head)-- 01/0401/04
Regression estimates imply that 25% increase in flock size (Ewes) is due to Atriplex Plantation
Impact of Atriplex plantation on the Impact of Atriplex plantation on the Consumption of Alternative Feed ResourcesConsumption of Alternative Feed Resources
-70
-42
-1
86
-23-36
3
64
-89 -90-100-80-60-40-20
020406080
100
Sugar BeetPulp
Wheat Bran Barley Grain Cereals Straw Oat Grain
%
Total Impact
Net Impact
Impact of Impact of AtriplexAtriplex on Feeding Coston Feeding Cost
52%
29%19%
100%
-31%-11%
-70%
-33%
-100%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Small (<40 head) Medium (41-80head)
Large (> 80 head) All Groups
Farm (%) Reduction in feeding cost (%)
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
25
Soil Erosion under Different Systems in Soil Erosion under Different Systems in MoroccoMorocco
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Year
Cum
ulat
ive
Soi
l Los
s (to
n/ha
)
Atriplex+Barley+Fallow
Atriplex+Continuous Barley
Continuous BarleyBarley-Fallow
Atriplex/barley alley cropping has the potential Atriplex/barley alley cropping has the potential to reduce cumulative soil loss from 38.33 t/ha to reduce cumulative soil loss from 38.33 t/ha under barley/fallow farming to 21.17 t/ha under barley/fallow farming to 21.17 t/ha
Soil Organic Carbon under Cropping Soil Organic Carbon under Cropping Systems in MoroccoSystems in Morocco
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Year
Org
anic
Car
bon
(%)
Atriplex+Barley+Fallow
Atriplex+Continuous Barley
Continuous Barley
Calculation of IRRCalculation of IRR
1992-2015 period– 1992-1998 research period
1995- 1998 Adaptive research (M&M)Costs: scientists, technicians, capital, training, others, overhead (12%)
– 1999- 2015 Dissemination periodCosts: scientists, technicians, others, overhead (until 2005), subsidy (2001)
Benefits:– Barley grain yield increase– Barley straw yield increase– Atriplex biomass
Valuation of Valuation of AtriplexAtriplex Biomass Using Biomass Using Substitution Method Substitution Method
1. Determination of the appropriate substitute2. Calculation of the price of barley grain in the
project area3. Calculation of the substitution rate of Atriplex
with barley (= the ratio between the digestible DM of Atriplex and the digestible DM of the barley).
4. Calculation of the value of Atriplex based on the digestible DM (= substitution rate x barley grain price “marketed feed”). 0.70 DM
0.35 DM
2 DM
Barley grain
IRR of IRR of AtriplexAtriplex PlantationPlantation
24Valuation of Atriplex at straw price
27- 20Mismanagement (10-50% reduction in biomass production)
29Baseline
IRR (%)Scenario
ImplicationsImplications
Farmers tend to increase their flock size as a result of increasing feed security and stability, as a result of Atriplex plantation. Thus, increasing the physical capital, which contributes to improved rural livelihoods
Raising concerns on Atriplex wider adoption once external policy subsidy to farmers is removed
Non-adopters attributed non-adoption to land availability suggesting that farm size is a constrained factor for the adoption
Conceptual Framework for Assessing the Conceptual Framework for Assessing the Impact of Cactus Alley CroppingImpact of Cactus Alley Cropping
Macro-level Analysis
Bio-Economic model
• Research trials (--)• Soil Samples (04)
Land allocationFeed and livestockCash flow, income, etc.Equity indicators
Cost and PricesAdoption indication
Econometric (Structural Analysis)
• B. Grain yield• B. Straw yield• Feeding cost• Flock size• Efficiency• Social impact
Ex-Post Impact
Environmental ConsequencesSoil erosionOrganic matter
Farm Surveys (1999,2002, 2003,
2004)
NPVIRR
Calibration
Ero
sion
Yield
Calibration
Source: Adapted and modified after Trewin, 1997
Mixed (ex-post/ex-ante impact)
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
26
Community ModelingCommunity Modeling--TunisiaTunisia
Community model
Agropastor
Mixed farming system
Exchange of labor, landand feeds
Informal credit
Cropping and pastoralSystem
Livestock System
Market
Manure, labor
Intra-consumption (straw, grain, stubble, pasture
Sell of products Animal sell/purchase
Inputs’ supplyComplementation
Self-consumption
Institutions:Credit
SubsidiesRegulation
priceMarket
R&D: technology introduction
Farmlevel
Com
munity
levelN
ational level
Off farm
28.99%30.60%Total28.99%30.6 %Total
21.23%20.00%No shepherd--0.0 %Landless
22.62%25.83%< 1514.51%12.6 %[5-1[ ha
26.99%36.07%15-2523.54%34.5 %[10-5[ ha
35.31%38.18%25-5024.56%41.0 %[20-10[ ha
36.83%46.15%> 5043.20%61.3 %> 20 ha
Degreeof adoption
(%)
Rate ofAdoption
(%)
Flock Size(heads)
Degreeof adoption
(%)
Rate ofAdoption
(%)
Farm size(in ha)
Indicators according to flock sizeIndicators according to farm size
Adoption indicators according to the farm and flock size
Cactus Adoption According to Farming Systems
51.431835Total
2528(EA3) Mixed farming systems
5036(EI1) Pluri-actives
2015(EI2) Young farms
10055(EA1) Agro-pastor
71.4257(EA2) Agro-pastor with olive trees
5024(EI3) Diversified Agro-herder
Adoption (in %)Adoption (number)Farms’numberTypology
Cactus Cumulative Planted Area with OEP Cactus Cumulative Planted Area with OEP Support (ha)Support (ha)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Without OEP support(A0)
With pad distribution(A1)
With financial supportfor the implementation
(A2)
With OEP support +subsidies (A3)
Types of OEP Support
Are
as p
lant
ed fo
r eac
h O
EP
supp
ort
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Cum
ulat
ive
plan
ted
area
Cactus Adoption under Different Scenarios Cactus Adoption under Different Scenarios (area planted in alley cropping)(area planted in alley cropping)
1514.2511.23510.750EI3
0.505.53.852.673.852.67EI2
3050
45.63029.17
10.21EI1
2211.43.343.343.340.29EA3
212.92.9312.930EA2
8516.516.5355.780EA1
Areawith spine
cactus
Area of cactus in alley croppin
g
Adoption level
with no restrict
ed subsidie
s
Adoption level with limited
OEP support
And yield increase
Adoption level with
limited OEP
support
Adoption level
without OEP
subsidies+ 30%
yield
Adoption level
without OEP
incentiveFarm type
Survey
S5
S4
S3S2
S1
Variation of Feed Consumption with Cactus Variation of Feed Consumption with Cactus per Small Ruminant Unit (%)per Small Ruminant Unit (%)
-8 0%
-70%
-6 0%
-50%
-4 0%
-3 0%
-2 0%
-10%
0%
10%
Barley Concent rat es Bran St raw Hay
Deviation of Feed Cost per Head with Cactus Deviation of Feed Cost per Head with Cactus Use in Animal DietUse in Animal Diet
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
> 50 25-50 15-25 < 15 Total
Flock size intervals
%
Trend of ewe stock between 1995 and 2002 for Trend of ewe stock between 1995 and 2002 for adopters and non adopters (heads)adopters and non adopters (heads)
-35.12%45467007Total
-40.69%14752487No cactus
-32.05%30714520Cactus
Total cactus area (with or without the alley cropping technology)
-35.12%45467007Total
-34.90%27494223Non adopters
-35.45%17972784Adopters
Cactus in alley cropping
Change (deviation)Ewe stock 2002Ewe stock 1995Cactus
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
27
Gaps for ewe stock with and without technology Gaps for ewe stock with and without technology and institutional action (%)and institutional action (%)
-30
-10
10
30
50
70
90
110
130
150
1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04
year
in %
EA1 (agro-pastors)
EA2 (agro-pastor w ith olive trees)
EA3 (mixed farming systems)
EI1 (pluri actives)
EI2 (young farms)
EI3 (diversified agro-herder)
Gaps for cash flow with and without technology Gaps for cash flow with and without technology and institutional actions (%)and institutional actions (%)
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04
year
in %
EA1 (agro-pastors)
EA2 (agro-pastor w ith olive trees)
EA3 (mixed farming systems)
EI1 (pluri actives)
EI2 (young farms)
EI3 (diversif ied agro-herder)
Gaps for cereal areas with and without the Gaps for cereal areas with and without the technology and institutional actions (%)technology and institutional actions (%)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04
year
in %
EA1 (agro-pastors)
EA2 (agro-pastor w ith olive trees)
EA3 (mixed farming systems)
EI1 (pluri actives)
EI2 (young farms)
EI3 (diversified agro-herder)
Poverty indicators and expenditure Poverty indicators and expenditure distributiondistribution
0.0430.2411.864.9420.512302002
0.1170.2454.2811.0120.002211999
Gini concentration index
Ginicoeffici
ent
Sen poverty indicator
(*100)
Poverty Gap(PG)
Head count (H)
(in %)Poverty
line
Soil nutrient changes between different treatmentsSoil nutrient changes between different treatments
0.480.230.080.07K2O Assim/1000
15261313P2O5 Assim ppm(Olsen)
0.11.10.40.2Carbon (%)
0.21.80.70.4Organic matter (%)
1161Calcaire actif
11122317Total calcaire %
C442C441C440C439Sample
Cactus with barley
Cactus without barley
BarleyNatural rangeland
Benefit Cost analysis for the projectBenefit Cost analysis for the project
106.527%292719.6351%1164H4b- Pasture 42 DT/ha
115.9624%244719.0349%1117H1b- Cereal benefit 16.5 DT/ha
Without OEP incentives
142.8613%8198.932%953H5- Pasture 25.2 DT/ha
143.0314%11099.132%983H4- Pasture 42 DT/ha
133.5617%19399.634%1068H3- Cereal benefit 96.16 DT/ha
143.1615%13099.233%1002H2- Cereal benefit 56.33 DT/ha
142.7612%6398.831%936H1- Cereal benefit 16.5 DT/ha
With OEP incentives
Pay off period
Ratio B/C
IRRVAN(Thousand TD)
Pay off period
Ratio B/C
IRRVAN(Thousand
TD)
Without pad marketWith pad marketScenarios
ImplicationsImplications
Results confirm the role of this NR technology to limit de-stocking during drought years, and thus maintained the level of physical capital for rural households
Reduction of cereal cropping in marginal lands, due to the technology, contributes to NR conservation.
The profitability of the technology would be very sensitive to pad market opportunity.
Pad distribution may be more crucial than the compensations in the adoption process. But, without pad market, the subsidies may be important during investment periods.
Thank YouThank You
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
28
CIFOR Criteria & Indicators for Sustainable Forest Management
Mike Spilsbury(presented by Peter Frost)
Overview
Background and Introduction to C&I & certification
• Assessing CIFOR C&I impact via certification– Standards comparison– Attribution via key informant interviews; – Changes in the forest stemming from certification
• General outcomes and uptake evidence for CIFOR C&I
• Lessons and ‘best practice’ for impact
CIFOR case study• Investigated outcomes along several
‘impact pathways’ Generated estimates of C&I project impact
• Identified lessons for enhancing impact
Generated IPGs – C&I research and toolbox helped operationalise SFM
High profile international project: many different examples of uptake, unique ‘regulatory’ impact pathway (certification)
Kinds of changeCumulative
Aggregation of multiple instances (e.g. adoption of an improved forest management technology)
SystemicInfluencing framework conditions for system functioning (e.g. policy and practices: application of standards; certification)
Background - CIFOR C&I researchResearch objective: Develop a methodology to evaluate and generate C&I for SFM based on iterative and comparative field evaluations of selected sets
Approach1994-1998: Collaborative field-based evaluation of C&I sets in Germany, Cameroon, Brazil, Indonesia, Cote d’ Ivoire, USA
Intended UsersCertification bodies, government, donors, forest managers, and scientists
Background - CIFOR C&I researchResearch products
• Generic set of C&I (for local C&I adaptation)
• A set of C&I Development manuals - THE CIFOR C&I ‘TOOLBOX’ - including guidelines for assessing human well-being in and around forests
• C&I for each test site and Community forest management C&I
• C&I development and adaptation software (CIMAT)
ResearchProcess& Outputs
Intermediaryusers ofresearch
PrincipalTargetusers
IntendedOutcomes
Intended Impacts
Generic C&I Template and LocalModifier Methodologies - Community
Forestry C&I
Decision SupportSystems (CIMAT /Pathfinder tool)
Development/ TechnicalAssistanceAgencies
Trainers andresearchers
Accreditation andCertification
Agencies e.g FSC,SmartWood,
Woodmark, SGS
Managers ofForests (Public andPrivate Enterprisesand Communities)
Policy Changese.g.new forestmanagementregulations
AccreditationStandards
Improvement ofCertification Standards
(scope, reliability,credibility)
Public benefits from Improved Management of ForestsNational Sub-national Forest Management Unit
TradeOrganisations
National Forestregulatory agenciesLand Use Planners
NationalPolicy
Processes
Use of C&I-basedManagement
Standards
Intergovernmental Processes.e.g IPF / UN
Forum onForests, CBD
'Certified' Forests andresultant changes inforest management
AcademicPublications
Global
National FSCWorking Groups onforest management
standards
Use of C&I in nationalreporting and
monitorng
Regional C&Ibased
Initiatives e.g.ATO / ITTO,
PEFC
Use of C&I in forestbased developmentassistance projects
The CIFOR C&I Toolbox
Use of C&Idevelopment and
selection tools
Field based testsof C&I
Forest Certification Systems• International/regional systems
- Forest Stewardship Council FSC- Pan-European Forest Certification (PEFC)
• National systems– European schemes linked to PEFC– Canadian Standards Association– Sustainable Forestry Initiative / American
Tree Farm System– Developing countries: Brazil (CERFLOR),
Malaysia (MTCC)FSC is the dominant system and has global relevance – FSC is an accreditation agency
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
29
Accreditor
Forest Certifiers
Forest management
Markets
Accreditation body monitors and evaluates the work of certification bodies to
guarantee their independence and capacity to perform a transparent and technically
consistent evaluation based on appropriate
standards (C&I)
Chain of custody
The Elements of Forest Certification
C&I-based standardsEvaluate chain-of-
custody procedures
FSC Standard Principles and Criteria
FSC’s 10 Principles(Criteria not shown)
1. Compliance with Laws and FSC Principles2. Tenure and Use Rights and Responsibilities3. Indigenous People’s Rights4. Community Relations and Worker's Rights 5. Benefits from the Forest 6. Environmental Impact 7. Management Plan8. Monitoring and Assessment9. Maintenance of High Conservation Value Forests HCVF
10. Plantations
Certified Product Label
Relevance of C&I Research
C&INational
Processes - forestlaws / regulations
InternationalProcessesIPF / IFF / UNFF
Certification – e.g.Forest Stewardship Council, PEFC
Regional ProcessesATO, Montreal,
ITTO, Tarapoto etc.
Forest Management
Practices
CIFOR research was not about de novo C&I but testing and modifying to achieve consistency and coherence
Aug
-94
CIFOR C&I Project Phases 1 & 2
Significance of CIFOR C&I influence / uptake in certification
• Global total of FSC-endorsed certified forest is increasing - currently over 47 million hectares.
• SGS Qualifor, Rainforest Alliance, Scientific Certification Systems and the Soil Association. are responsible for auditing over 96% of the world’s current FSC certified forest operations
• The area of forests certified in Asia, Africa and Latin America represents 18 % of the total certified area. Within this, the area of certified forests that occur within CIFOR ‘mandate countries’ exceeds 5.84 million hectares
If CIFOR work is used by certifiers, it affects forest management over large areas, even with larger ‘spillovers’ in rest of world
,
Total area5.85 million
hectares
FSC Certified Forest in CIFOR target countries by certification company
Soil Association
434,022 ha7%
SGS Qualifor,
1,912,534 ha 33%
Scientific Certification
Systems 470,982 ha
8%
Rainforest Alliance,
3,038,619 ha52%
Impact pathways via certificationCIFOR C& I research
and products
FSC - regulations forcertification
FSC Certifiers
Forests certified assustainably managed
Changes in forestmanagement
Mission relevantbenefits
CIFOR C& I researchand products
National FSCworking Groups
FSC National C&Istandard approved
National standardapplied by certifer
Changes in forestmanagement
Mission relevantbenefits
Forests certified assustainably managed
CIFOR C& I researchand products
Certifier genericstandards (C&I) oraudit procedures
Forests certified assustainably managed
Changes in forestmanagement
Mission relevantbenefits
Key informants, C&I language, Standards documentsPublic FSC certification records –Corrective Action requests
Evidence influence on Certifier Standards - comparison with CIFOR C&I
• C&I sets from certifiers compared with CIFOR C&I before & after the CIFOR research - most recent certifier standard sets – check they weren’t in the original standards
• Standard sets show many similarities with CIFOR C&I but evidence for direct transfer of indicators inconclusive
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
30
Evidence of CIFOR influence on FSC Certifier Generic Standards
• Rainforest Alliance – Smartwood (52% FSC) From the generic standards document “We have drawn on work by the Center for International Forestry (CIFOR)” (also in many national SmartWood standards documents)
• SGS Qualifor (33% FSC)Correspondence: “a CIFOR paper, has formed the basis for our stakeholder consultation programme {part of audit process}”: R. Nussbaum (SGS). Key informant interviews confirm CIFOR influence in standards development
• Soil Association Woodmark (7%)Collaborator in Phase 1 of the project; key informants acknowledge CIFOR research influenced ‘social C&I’ and catalysed revision of ‘biodiversity C&I’
• Scientific Certification Systems (8%)No documentary evidence of CIFOR influence on SCS standards (N. American focus and no linkage with CIFOR research process)
Influence on Certifier Standards – Documents and Key Informant interviews
CIFOR C&I research is formally acknowledged in published forest management standards of the certifier SmartWood
Staff involved with certifier standards preparation in the early years of forest certification used CIFOR research - for ‘social C&I’ research highlighting key areas for C&I improvement and (Smartwood, SGS and Soil Association)
NO acknowledged influence on the certifier SCS
Uptake in FSC National Standards Processes
FSC National Working Groups
Significance: – national forest stewardship standards (once approved by FSC) are used as the basic C&I sets for all future FSC certifications in that country
Uptake in FSC National Standards Processes
Evidence of CIFOR influence on FSC national standards in:Brazil, from the CIFOR C&I test, personnel involved used findings and engaged in standards development processNicaragua, Honduras, Costa Rica, Guyana and Guatemalathrough application of C&I selection methods developed by CIFOR and CATIEMore indirect and less attributable influence has resulted from the use of the CIFOR research outputs as a general information resource especially by national working groups in Chile and CameroonGenerally research uptake in FSC working groups has been patchyNational standards development processes have yet to be completed in many developing countries
Outcome
• CIFOR C&I Used by main FSC certification companies in shaping the standards now applied to over 42 million hectares globally
• These three companies together have certified 5.4 million hectares of forest in CIFOR’s target countries
General impact of certification from published studies
Certification often leads directly to improvements in operational management practices. Benefits vary significantly from one location to another. Trends:
– Greater access to premium timber markets– Improved worker conditions– Reduced social conflict– Securing land tenure and usufruct rights
(community forests)– Improved image locally and in markets– Environmental services secured or improved
Certification helped promote SFM through dialogue between the private sector, government bodies, NGO’s and civil society
Assessment of field-level changes in forest management
• Each criteria of the C&I based standard is evaluated by the certifiers - non-compliance with the standard results in the issuing of a Corrective Action Request (CAR)
• Corrective Action Requests are specified in publicly available Certification Assessment Reports. These reflect but UNDERESTIMATEchanges in field-level management
Steps in CertificationContact with Certifier
Scoping VisitConfidential report with recommendations
Preparation for full assessmentContract for Certification AssessmentConsultation before field assessment
Field Assessment (audit)Assessment Report
Consultation after field assessmentSpecialists’ peer review
Certification Decision
MonitoringFollow-up audit Verification - Major Corrective Action Requests met
Publicly available Certification Assessment reports specify how management must change for compliance
Provides a basis for before/ after reflexive comparison
UNDERESTIMATES field-level changes (does not capture improvements prior to field assessment)
Annual Field auditsTo remain certified - managers must respond to all Corrective Action Requests
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
31
Independent CAR classification categories
• None• Procedural• Social / Economic
• Weak• Substantive Indirect• Forest Ecology
• Strong• Substantive Direct
• Forest management
Results-based language
CAR link to field-level change
Theme of CAR
Number of public certification assessments examined
89 forests across 18 countries, covering 5.9 million ha
41 plantation sites (2.9 million ha)
36 natural forest sites (2.8 million ha)
7 semi-natural/mixed sites (0.2 million ha)
CARs categorised by theme and 'action orientation'
8545
18
94
71
63
169
119
286
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Forest Management Environmental Social and Economic
Theme
Num
ber
of C
ARs
ProceduralSubstantive IndirectSubstantive Direct
Use of Results-Based language in FSC Forest Certification CARs
106
50
104
160
105
149
79
80
112
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Forest Management Environmental Social and Economic
Type of Corrective Action Request
None
Weak
Strong
CARs Classified wrt 'on-the-ground' changes
0
0
3
0
0
2
0
0
0
2
2
0
3
4
2
2
7
10
4
2
4
0
2
1
12
1
4
3
6
5
4
3 6
5
3 4
3 4
2 8
1
1
4
4 4
2
2 5
3 0
3 0
8
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Chain of custody
Communicat io ns and Conf lict
Illegal Act ivit ies
Informat ion Provision
Internal management processissues
Laws and reg ulat ions
NTFP
Plantation M anagement
Prof itabili ty of operat ion
Social impact
Tenure
Training
Worker Safety
Worker welfare
Cultural sites
CAR
s ad
dres
sing
Soc
ial a
nd E
cono
mic
Issu
es
Number of CARs
Substantive Direct
Substantive Indirect
Procedural
Close link to C
IFOR
research
Summary of on-the-ground impacts
• Substantial areas of forests have been certified Certification has led to large improvements in SFM
• Issues closely associated with CIFOR research contributions to certification standards commonly feature in CARs (i.e. on the ground changes) including:
improvements to stakeholder consultation and conflict resolution processes,‘intergenerational access to resources’land tenure and rights of local and indigenouscommunities
• These research-related improvements to management practices occur in more than 3.2 million hectares of FSC certified forests in CIFOR target countries
Examples of uptake -International level uptake events
• The Forest Stewardship Council (FSC) recommended CIFOR C&I project documents to its national C&I development working groups as useful conceptual tools.
• United Nations Forum on Forests (UNFF) and its Predecessors adopted a resolution recommending that member states take into account CIFOR’s research results in developing national C&I
• Influence on the global policy agendaC&I research cited in key policy documents: - World Bank Forest Policy - GEF - Roundtable on Forest, - CBD’s SBSTTA report to COP5, - IPCC Special Report on Climate Change
A Regional Level uptake event• The African Timber Organization (ATO)
14 member countries, representing over 75% of the tropical natural forests of African. ATO promotes production and trade within an SFM framework.– ATO developed a set of C&I based directly
on the results of CIFOR research in Cameroon, Cote D’Ivoire, and Gabon
– formed the basis for an ATO policy directive on sustainable forest management and certification
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
32
National and local uptake events• South Africa: 2002 National SFM Principles Criteria &
Standards for South Africa. CIFOR’s involvement provided methodological guidance and speeded the consensus process – national legislation likely
• India: CIFOR C&I influenced formulation of forest management standards at national level through initiatives in the states of Kerala and Madhya Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh
• Brazil: CIFOR C&I research led to revision of the Brazilian Environmental Institute, IBAMA’s, guidelines in Para. IBAMA & EMBRAPA have continued to use CIFOR’s framework to develop their monitoring systems.
• Nicaragua: National FSC Standards Working Group evaluated indicators based on CATIE/CIFOR work
Uptake in development projects
• Vietnam: CIFOR methods for developing and selecting C&I with local community involvement have been used in an IDRC project in Vietnam
• Mexico: USFS implemented a C&I test in Ejido el Largo, Chihuahua, Mexico using CIFOR C&I indicator sets and CIFOR C&I selection methods – full acknowledgement of CIFOR influence
Uptake in development projects(further selected examples)
• Laos: 1999 the Lao government, with support from the WB Forest Management and Conservation Project (FOMACOP) developed national criteria for sustainable forest management drawing on CIFOR & ITTO work
• Thailand: 2000 Danish development project C&I at the local, or forest management unit, used the CIFOR tools and methods and community C&I for two sites in northern Thailand: Doi Inthanon National Park and Mae Moh teak plantation in Lampang
• China: 2002 The Yunnan Sustainable Forest Management Project adopted CIFOR community forest management C&I (RECOFT / Ford Foundation)
Spillover effects - an example
• The United States Forest Service tested the CIFOR Criteria and Indicators in the State of Idaho and developed a standard framework for monitoring the sustainability of the United States Federal Forests
• The framework drew extensively on CIFOR research and has been further applied in test areas that cover more than 7.5 million hectares of forest in the USA.
• The USFS initiative has also been influential in standards development for forest management Canada and Mexico.
Lessons learned about enhancing uptake and impact• Forge powerful or influential alliances / partnerships
for uptake and ‘promotion’ from the outset,• Ensure that the innovation has a volunteer 'champion'
throughout key ‘impact pathways’• Adopt a pluralistic attitude to the research process
and encourage multi-institutional ownership of insights and innovations
• Invest in ‘market research’ and learn from the audience through: advisory groups, planning workshops, partnerships and networks
• Build the intended audience into the research process and seek feedback at all stages
• Translate research into ‘operational’ language e.g.management suggestions, or policy decision options
• Embed research within influential ‘change processes’(e.g. policy change processes; development initiatives)
Lessons learned to enhance uptake and impact• Invest in outreach processes, making use of a combination of approaches to enhance uptake such as:
– Using ‘Launch events’ for key products and findings– Use mass media to reach large but important
constituencies– Develop good interpersonal channels of communication
with key influential individuals (or make use of partners that can do this)
– Use internet and email list servers as communication tools not as a dissemination strategy
– Send frequent reminders or conduct repeated demonstrations to intended users about the innovation
– Invest in interactive ‘educational’ meetings (e.g. ‘best practice’ discussion fora) that involve researchers and users / practitioners
Assessing impact is always a work in progress. Some impacts, or at least the recognition of them,
take time to emerge
Discussion time
Discussion time
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
33
Fertilizer Trees in Zambia: Their Development, Adoption and Impacts
Olu AJAYI, Frank PLACE, Freddie KWESIGA, ParamuMAFONGOYA and Steve FRANZEL
World Agroforestry Center (ICRAF) &Forum for Agricultural Research in Africa (FARA)
Presented at the combined workshop of SPIA and INRM
IRRI, Phillipines, 13-16 June 2005
Challenges to poor farm families
Low soil fertility is a major cause of food insecurity in SSA: Depleted land low crop yields food shortages
High cost & low use of fertilizer (cost), role of private sector?
Continuous cropping without nutrient addition
Whither resource-poor farmers?
Fertilizer trees
Targeted use of plant species in order to achieve the aims of natural fallow within a short time or a smaller area.
N fixers (leguminous) fast growing
Fallowing period is reduced (2 –3 years)
Depleted soil is regenerated biochemically and physically
Sesbania sesban
Tephrosia candida
Field with fertilizer trees
Common field type
T. Candida at fallow termination
T. Candida litter
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
34
Methodology
Several studies to tell a single story
Detailed yield measurement in farmers’ field
Detailed labor measurement
Monitoring and adoption studies
Biophysical assessment and process research
• Enhanced social equity• Carbon sequestration• Suppression of noxious
weeds• Improved soil infiltration and
reduced runoff on the slopes
• Potential to reduce the effects of drought during crop season
• Enhanced biodiversity• Diversification of income
opportunities in the community
• Serves as wind break
• Crop yield increase• Price premium for farm production• Increase in maize stover (helps livestock)• Stakes for tobacco curing• Available fuel wood• Helps in fish farming (Gliricidia sepium)• Fodder for livestock• Cultivation of high value vegetables-garlic • Biopesticides (Tephrosia vogelii)• Suppresses the growth of noxious weeds• Improved soil infiltration and reduced runoff• Potential to mitigate the effects of drought spells during
maize season• Provision of shade against the sun• Diversification of production (e.g. mushrooms)• Additional income from sale of agroforestry tree seeds
Benefit
• Limit the possibility of free grazing during dry season
• Risk of uncontrolled fire outbreak
• Incidence of Mesoplatyspest (restricted to specific species only)
• Opportunity cost of land• Extra labor • Agroforestry seeds• Water for nursery• Pest (some fertilizer tree species only)• Working equipments• Field operations coincide with traditional cash crops• Risk of uncontrolled fire outbreak
Cost
PublicIndividual
Table : Benefits and costs associated with fertilizer tree fallows
Multi-stage stratification of farmers:Type of AF speciesYear of fallow establishmentGender of field managerNon AF fields (pair-wise comparison)
Weekly data monitoring/recallInputs- type of input, quantity, cost, etc Outputs- type of product, quantity, prices89 farmers
Yield monitoring data
Description of a typical fallow system
Production system Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5Cont-Fertilizer Crop Crop Crop Crop CropCont+Fertilizer Crop Crop Crop Crop CropGliricidia Fallow Fallow Crop Crop CropSesbania Fallow Fallow Crop Crop CropTephrosia Fallow Fallow Crop Crop Crop
Maize yield (Kg/ha) for different maize production systems
Production system Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 TotalCont-Fertilizer 1116 657 697 764 400 3,634 Cont+Fertilizer 2577 2142 3319 2020 1998 12,056 Gliricidia 0 0 3378 3600 806 7,784 Sesbania 0 359 3645 2798 1990 8,792 Tephrosia 0 287 3634 1774 888 6,583
Maize yield (t/ha) obtained from various fallow species for nine seasons in Zambia
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Years/seasons
Gra
in y
ield
(t h
a
Gliricidia Leucaena M+F M-F Sesbania Natural fallow
= SED
Labor inputs (mandays) used per hectare for different maize production systems
Maize production system Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 TotalCont-Fertilizer 104 95 88 88 87 462Cont+Fertilizer 110 121 101 103 97 532Gliricidia 130 2 132 125 45* 434Sesbania 111 45 128 121 116 521Tephrosia 105 40 118 117 113 493
*Fields burnt by fire
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
October November Decem ber Jan Feb March April May June July August Septem ber
Period of the year (month)
% h
ouse
hold
faci
ng fo
od s
hort
age Zambia
Malawi
Peak hunger/ cropseason
Harvest/off-season
Trends in Maize Shortage (hunger period) in Malawi and Zambia
Adapted from Akinnifesi et al (2002)
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
35
Financial profitability of maize production systems per hectare over a five-year cycle (2002)
Enterprise/land use sub-system
Net present
Value (US$)
US$ per year
Continuous maize –Fertilizer
130 26 2.01
Continuous maize + Fertilizer
499 100 2.65
Gliricidia sepium fallow 269 54 2.91
Sesbania sesban fallow 309 62 3.13
Tephrosia vogellii fallow 233 47 2.77
Benefit-Cost Ratio
+ Government subsidy on fertilizer @ 50%
Financial profitability of maize production systems per hectare over a five-year cycle (2002)
Enterprise/land use sub-system
Net present
Value (US$)
US$ per year
Continuous maize –Fertilizer
130 26 2.01
Continuous maize + Fertilizer
379 76 1.77
Gliricidia sepium fallow 264 53 2.80
Sesbania sesban fallow 300 60 2.97
Tephrosia vogellii fallow 231 46 2.73
Benefit-Cost Ratio
Without fertilizer subsidy
Type of variable Type of maize production system
CT -fert
CT+fert
Gliricidia
Sesbania
Tephrosia
Discount rate -0.45 -0.56 -0.94 -0.90 -0.83
Cost of inorganic fertilizer
0 -0.30 0.0 0.0 0.0
Labor wage rate -0.79 -0.24 -0.36 -0.35 -0.45
Cost of AF seeds 0 0 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01
Maize seed cost -0.20 -0.07 -0.11 -0.10 -0.11
Fert. timeliness 0 -1.27 0 0 0
Market price of maize
1.99 1.61 1.49 1.46 1.54
Fuel-wood 0 0 0.03 0.04 0.03
Note: Negative sign indicates an inverse relationship and vice versa.
Elasticity of Discounted NPV of Maize Production Systems
Proportion (%) of total maize production cost by source of type of payment
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Cont-Fert Cont+Fert Gliricidia Sesbania Tephrosia
Type of maize production system
Obtained withinhousehold, non-cash
Sourced "externally",cash payment
% of total cost
On-station
Research
Adoption
On-Farm
Research
Scaling up/out
1989 Early 90s Mid 90s 1998 & later
Num
ber o
f far
mer
s in
volv
ed
Time
1st generation issues:
• Species Screening
• Management regimes
Suitability of technology in other sites
Farmers’modifications
2nd generation issues eg. pests
Farmer innovations & constraints
LabourGrazingFireImplementsLand/tree tenure
Targeting
Policy
Impact assessment
Trend of emphasis on fertilizer tree fallows research & devpt
##
##
# #
#
#
#
#
#
LUSAKA
HARARE
CHIPATALILONGWE
ZOMBA
QUELIMANE
ZAMBIA
ZIMBABWE
MOZAMBIQUE
MAL
AWI
TABORA
SHINYANGA
MAPUTO
BEIRA
CHINGOZI
TANZANIA
WhereWhere we are we are scaling upscaling up
The Four-Pronged Scaling Up Concept for Southern Africa
Prong 1: direct training of farmer trainers
Prong 2: provision of training to partner staff (largely NGOs through ARDN)
Prong 3: facilitation of farmer-to-farmer exchange
Prong 4: support to existing national extension initiatives for natural resource management
Assess number of plantersAssess number of planters-- partners & self partners & self monitoringmonitoringFactors affecting adoption Factors affecting adoption –– numerous numerous quantitative & qualitative studiesquantitative & qualitative studiesAdoption intensity over time Spatial adoptionSpatial adoption
• Spatial mapping: Where are adopters of agro-forestry & other soil fertility management options located?
• Why do farmers in some geographical areas adopt more than fellow farmers in other locations even where household characteristics are similar ?
Methodology for adoption results
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
36
Figure 2: Number of farmers planting fertilizertrees in Eastern Zambia
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Fig : Number of farmers planting fertilizer tree fallows in
the five southern African countries
180,000
110,000
80,000
30,000
5 10200 1,000
3,500
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1997 2000 2001 2002 2003
YEAR
Plan
ters
ZIAP Annual report 2003
Table 4: Logit Regression Results for Soil Fertility Replenishment Options in Eastern Zambia
77.2%76.2%76.2%% correctly predicted by model
40.6%55.4%54.5%% of users of technology
101101101Number of observations
-2.1430(.0027)
-3.6013(.0001)
-1.5272(.0546)
Camp 4 dummy
-2.4405(.0042)
-1.5226(.0612)
-.5546(.4820)
Camp 3 dummy
-3.8124(.0001)
-1.1187(.1179)
.2738(.6962)
Camp 2 dummy
-.7738(.3000)
-.2119(.7963)
1.3949(.1408)
Camp 1 dummy
N/AN/A3.3225(.0032)
Pilot project village
.1085(.4838)
.1694(.2758)
.1406(.2909)
Number of household members over 13 yrs
.1436(.0796)
.0416(.6208)
-.0935(.2261)
Farm size
-.3026(.6704)
-.6199(.3796)
.4101(.6133)
Female headed marr ied, single or widowed
-.7624(.3045)
.8409(.3265)
-.2437(.7235)
Male headed -- single or polygamous household
.0382(.9561)
-.2631(.7260)
.0068(.9920)
Secondary Education
.3626(.5755)
-.4903(.4552)
-.1989(.7623)
Completed primary education
.0101(.6611)
-.0262(.2659)
.0279(.2507)
Age
-.3417(.7592)
1.9773(.0844)
-1.3394(.2683)
Constant
Animal ManureChemical FertilizerContinued Use of Improved Fallows
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
Factors affecting farmers’ decisions to plant improved fallows
Labor/ Oxen Village House-hold size
owner- exposure to
Study ship improved
fallows
Franzel et al. 1999
N N
Phiri et al. 1999
+ N +
Kuntashula et al. 1999
+ N N + N N +
Ajayi et al. 2001
N +,N N +
Peterson et al.
1999b
Keil 2001 +/- N N N + +Place et al. 2002
+ N N N N +
Wealth Age Gen-der Educa-tion
Farm size Uncul-tivated land
Use offertili-zer
Off-farm income
+
Factors affecting decision to continue to plant
Factors affecting decision to plant
+ +
Adoption of fertilizer tree fallows is not a simple direct relationship of technology & farmers’ characteristics only but, a matrix of several hierarchy of factors
Policy and institutional factorsPolicy and institutional factorsSpatial location factorsSpatial location factorsHousehold & individual factorsHousehold & individual factors
• Training and Awareness• Farmer groups • Wealth?• Gender• Size of land holding
Change in fallow size from 0.07 ha (1997) to 0.20 ha in 2004
Adoption of fertilizer tree fallows
Change in government fertilizer policy
Continuous devaluation of national currency (Kwacha)
Government network of depots-late fertilizer delivery
Collapse of agricultural finance banks (LIMA and Cooperative Banks)
New agroforestry-supporting institutions: ZIAP, TARGET, PLAN & KEPA
ICRAF Development Division- emphasize “D” in SA
Time lag of knowledge-intensive technology
Private sector participation: tobacco companies, seed entrepreneur
Broader reasons for increased planting of fertilizer trees beyond household factors
Total increase in net returns
Increase food consumption:Range between 57 -147 person days per household planting fertilizer tree fallows
Value of fertilizer equivalence of N fixation:
US$5.7 million per annum
Value of fertilizer tree fallows in terms of food security in Zambia
Net Private Benefits from Improved Fallows in Zambia - Estimate for Total Number of Users
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Years
Amou
nt i
Cost ranges from Us$200K to 500K per annum
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
37
Environmental impacts
Water retention Soil physical & chemical propertiesCarbon sequestrationFuel wood & miombo deforestation
Comparison of soil water content under Gliricidia/maize and sole maize during rainy season, 1999-00, Makoka, Malawi.
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
10 /16 /99 11/13 /99 12/ 11/ 99 1/ 8/00 2 /5/00 3/4 /00 4/ 1/00 4/ 29 /00 5/27/00 6 /24/00 7/22/ 00
Dates
Wat
er c
onte
nt (c
m3
cm-3
)
Glir icidia/maize 60-120 cm
Maize 60-120 cm
Maize 15-60 cm
The Gliricidia treatment stores more water than sole maize; ie. it increases water infiltration even in a drought season
Maize-Fert
Water stressed maize after 21 days of dry spell in January
G. Sepium plot
Maize + Fertilizer
Means in a column followed by the same letter or letters are not significantly different at P<0.05Source: Chirwa et al 2004
Effects of land use system on some soil physical properties after 8 years of fertilizer tree fallow-crop rotations in Zambia
3.10.27.936.00.5SED
71.53.1218.7187.94.0Mean
61.2a3.2b217.3b103.4c2.1cContinuous M-F
65.6b3.9a208.8c142.0bc3.1bContinuous M+F
65.7b2.9b209.5c247.9a5.3aNatural fallow
80.8a2.9b222.7b235.8a5.2aCajanus cajan
83.3a2.2c235.4a210.6ab4.4aSesbania sesban
Average water stable aggregates
>2.00mm(%)
Average penetrometer
resistance at 40 cm soil depth
(Mpa)
Average water stored in 70 cm root zone at 8 weeks after
planting (mm)
Average cumulative water
intake after 3 hours (mm)
Average infiltration rate
(mm min-1)Land-use system
Table: Effects of Land-use system on soil physical properties after 2 years of improved fallow system, Zambia
2.30.1
71.53.1
4.00.5
MeanS.E.D
2.861.22.1Maize without fertilizer2.665.63.1Maize with fertilizer2.266.75.3Natural fallow
2.02.0
80.883.3
5.24.4
Cajanus cajanSesbania sesban
penetrometerresistance (Mpa)
% water stable aggregates >2.00mm
infiltration rate
(mm min-1)
Land use system
Nutrient budgets for different options in two year non coppicingfallows (0-60cm)
-38-30-31-2-1-2-22-17-20Unfertilized maize
-65-52-56121214485470Fertilized maize
-20-25-203224391101947Sesbania
2793733821841744Cajanus
200219991998200219991998200219991998
PotassiumPhosphorus Nitrogen
Carbon sequestration
17.61.0 – 3.60.7 – 2.5Root C input
3.5 – 8.01.4 – 4.21.6 – 3.2Intake of C t/ha
32.6 – 73.93.0 – 8.91.9 – 7.0C fixation in biomass t/ha
Rotational woodlots
Coppicing Fallows
Non coppicing
fallows
Source of fuel-wood production per year in eastern Zambia Chipata North Chipata
SouthFuel from fallows for adopters (kg) 261 431Fuel from miombo for adopters (kg) 2919 2915
Fuel from miombo for non adopters (kg) 2943 3385
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
38
…farmer testimonial
“I feel I have left a permanent fertilizer bank for generations to come by planting Gliricidia fallows”- Mr. U. Nyirenda, Zambia farmer, 11 Feb. 2004.
Impacts of agroforestry on adopter households
in Zambia and Malawi
Note: multiple responses
% of respondents Impacts of agroforestry Zambia MalawiIncreased yield 55 59Soil becomes 'softer' & less weed 34 54Problem of fuelwood reduced 28 65Cash obtained from sale of AF seed 6 24Reduction in fertilizer expenses 5 9None yet, started recently 35 16
THANK YOU
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
39
Impact of IWMI’s Irrigation Management Transfer (IMT) Research Program
Meredith Giordano, Madar Samad, Regassa Namara
SPIA/INRM WorkshopLos Banos, PhilippinesJune 13-16, 2005
Background
Recommendation from 1992 Earth Summit:– water management should be decentralized and farmers
and other stakeholders should play a more important role in the management of natural resources, including water
Assumed improved efficiency, productivity, accountability, cost-effectivenessLittle documentation on processes and impacts
Objectives of IWMI Research on IMT
Through diverse set of global, regional, national, and local projects, IWMI:– Reviewed, analyzed, and synthesized IMT experiences
and impacts
– Recommended policy and operational interventions
– Developed generic guidelines for IMT and the establishment of Water User Associations
Objectives of Impact Assessment
To measure, to the extent possible, the impacts of IWMI research on the overall IMT knowledge base and on IMT policy and operations in specific countries where IWMI played a direct role in shaping or implementing IMT reform.
Methodology (I)
Focused on intermediary impacts/outcomesDrew from IWMI’s Impact TypologyUtilized range of qualitative and quantitative techniques
Typology of IWMI Impacts
Raised awareness of new researchApplication of new knowledgeEmployment of improved tools, technologies, and techniquesEmployment of improved policies/institutionsEnhanced capacityStrengthened partnershipsImproved livelihoods (within project locality)
What’s behind the typology?
For each intermediary impact type:– Vehicles to achieve impact– Sample indicators of impact– Sample measurement tools
Improved management of water and land resources for food, livelihoods and nature
IWMI’s projects and programs
Raised Awareness
Use of Improved Tools/Tech
Use of Improved PoliciesImpact Pathways
StrengthenedPartnerships
Enhanced Capacity
DirectIndirect
Lessons learn
ed
Use of New Knowledge
Impact Typology Schematic
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
40
Methodology (II)
Focused on four intermediary impacts/outcomes:– Raised Awareness of New IMT Research– Employment of IWMI-recommended IMT Policies– Employment of IWMI-recommended IMT
Techniques/ Institutions– Enhanced Capacity
Tools: combination of bibliometric assessment, website analysis, interviews, published reports, and questionnaire surveys
Impact Type Target Audience
IWMI Vehicle to Achieve Impact
Measurement Tool to Assess Impact
Raised awareness of new IMT research
Academics
• IWMI IMT publications • IWMI presentations/ workshops on IMT
• Bibliometric assessment • Website downloads
Employment of improved IMT policies
Policy Makers
• IWMI IMT publications (indirect)
• IWMI action research projects (direct)
• Internal and external source documents
• Qualitative feedback • Demand for IWMI assistance on IMT from international organizations and national governments. • Feedback via structured
Survey Employment of improved IMT techniques/institutions
Canal Irrigators, Water User Associations, Local NRM Groups
• Pilot studies to establish Water User Associations • SCOR project
implementation • Development of IMT guidelines
• Adoption of IWMI recommendations through WUA pilot studies
• Adoption of SCOR interventions
• Feedback via structured survey
• Website downloads and other feedback on IMT/WUA guidelines
• Demand for IWMI assistanceEnhanced Capacity Stakeholders;
Marginalized Groups; MSc/PhD students
• Workshops/conferences • Student involvement and
publications • IWMI IMT publications an
tools related to gender andirrigation management
• Website downloads • Qualitative feedback
Raised Awareness
Since 1995 IWMI has produced over 240 outputs on IMT including 21 Research Reports, 21 Journal Articles, 5 books and 15 book chaptersWeb Analysis 2000-2004: ~27,300 downloads of IWMI RRs and WPsGoogle Scholar: 94 citations (57 non-IWMI)Feedback on WUA Guidelines/Central Asia
Influence of Policy Interventions
Irrigation Management Policy Support Activity (Sri Lanka):– Adoption of specific policy recommendations, including
restructuring of Mahaweli Authority and establishment of National Water Resources Council to formulate a comprehensive water policy
Nepal IMT Policy Support:– Many of IWMI’s recommendations have been
incorporated into Nepal’s new Irrigation Regulation 2056 (2000)
Influence of Operational Recommendations
WUA Pilot Projects in Pakistan (Sindh and Punjab)– Adoption of IWMI model in 3 canal systems– Progress underway to shift management responsibilities from
centralized provincial authorities to farmer organizations (e.g., 154 transfers completed in Sindh)
Shared Control of Natural Resources (Sri Lanka) – Sustainability of SCOR interventions negligible– Why? Implementation deficiencies and long-term goals of project
difficult to balance with short-term needs of farmers
Capacity Building
Professional Training: 7 Post Doctoral Scientists/Associate Experts authored/co-authored 52 publications
Summary of Findings
Application of a range of direct and indirect measurement techniques suggest an overall positive contribution from IWMI to IMT knowledge base and application
– Significant demand for IWMI IMT products– Positive contributions to IMT policy– Positive contributions to management transitions (in general)– Capacity built for young researchers– Continued demand for IWMI involvement in IMT programs
(Cambodia, Pakistan, India, Eastern Europe) and in research/advice related to gender and irrigation management
Key Lessons from the IMT study
Supports need for impact assessment planning
Supports importance of defining IWMI’s role along the research to development continuum
Range of approaches needed to assess impact
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
41
Critical Reviews
Lack of counterfactual informationLack of quantifiable, long-term impacts (e.g., production, water conservation, socio-economic benefits)
Why the non-conventional approach?
Test new methodologyAssessed a program comprised of many projectsLack of sufficient baseline data Time lag from research to adoptionResources
Key Lessons for Impact Assessment
Calculating Internal Rate of Return is importantHowever, there are trade offs and limitations
– Time and resources– Long time lag between project, assessment, and lessons learned
Focus on intermediary impacts is relatively inexpensive and provides information and lessons at an early stage to inform future directionBalance between the two is needed
Key Questions
What’s the trade off between econometric analysis for long-term impact analysis versus short-term outcome assessment?From both center and donor perspective, is it useful to have indicators of outcomes or better to wait until long-term impacts can be measured and attributed?What is an impact and at what stage do we measure it? (change in policy, change in management, change in productivity, change in price, change in income, change in livelihoods, ….)
Influence of Operational Recommendations
Application of IMT/WUA Guidelines (based on survey results):– Improved understanding of institutional reform and
farmer participation in irrigation management (66.7%)– Improved project design and management (50%)– Improved quality of work (50%)– Facilitated the establishment of effective WUAs (33.3%)– Enhanced the effectiveness of the project
implementation (33.3%)
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
42
Assessing the impact of Assessing the impact of NRM research:NRM research:The case of zero tillage in The case of zero tillage in IndiaIndia’’s rices rice--wheat systems wheat systems
Vijay Laxmi (IGIDR) , Olaf Erenstein (CIMMYT) & R.K. Gupta (RWC)
SPIA Case Study presentation, SPIASPIA Case Study presentation, SPIA--CGIAR TF INRM Workshop, CGIAR TF INRM Workshop, Los Los BanosBanos, Philippines, June 13, Philippines, June 13--16, 200516, 2005
Importance Importance Rice Wheat Systems (RWS)Rice Wheat Systems (RWS)
global food securityStaple grain supply ~ 8% world’s population
South Asiaproduce >30% rice & 42% wheat consumed cover 14 m ha cultivated land –primarily in India & Indo-Gangetic plains
Issues Issues RWS in IGP of IndiaRWS in IGP of India
Rice-wheat cropping system:Wheat - cold & dry weather (Nov to Mar)Rice - warm (semi-)humid season (Jun to Oct )
Slowdown in production growthLimited scope for area expansionStagnating or declining crop yields
Factors:Inappropriate land & input use
prevailing policy & crop systems constraints
Soil & water degradationBuilt up of pests and diseases.
ChallengesChallengesRWS in IGP of IndiaRWS in IGP of India
Produce more food with fewer resources while sustaining environmental qualityNew technologies that are both more productive & less resource degrading
R&D of resource conserving technologies ZT for wheat most advanced & successful to date
Objectives case studyObjectives case study
For the irrigated IGP of IndiaTo review and quantify impacts of ZT
biophysical & socio-economic
To assess impact of ZT research
Zero tillage in the Indian IGPZero tillage in the Indian IGP
Zero tillage technologyZero tillage technology
Direct sowing wheat into undisturbed soil & standing rice residuesTractor mountedMechanical seed & fertilizer drill Inverted-T openers (6 to 11)Made locally (US$ 400)
Constraints addressed by ZTConstraints addressed by ZT
Late planting of wheat reduces productivityPest & disease build up (Phalaris minor)Land degradation & declining water tablesCost competitiveness & trade liberalization
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
43
Issues with ZTIssues with ZT
Discontinuation by some farmersE.g. perceived need tillage, hardpan, weed control, …
Partial adoption (reduced tillage)Crop residue management
prevailing practices & drill operation
Drill access (timely, affordable) & operationApplied only to wheat – rice still traditional
Impacts of ZTImpacts of ZT
Farm Level impacts: Farm Level impacts: Crop establishmentCrop establishment
Reduction in tillage operation for wheat establishment
CT – 7 ZT –1Advancement of wheat planting time
Trans Gangetic Plains – 7-10 daysMiddle Gangetic plans - 8-25 days
Saving in tractor operation time 8-15 hrs / ha (80-88%)
Diesel saving in land preparation31.5 – 75 lits/ha (60-90%)
Farm level impacts:Farm level impacts:Water use Water use
Water saving 20-35 % or 10cm/ha (1 million lits/ha)Primarily first irrigation
Quick advancement of water CT – 13-17 hrs/ha, ZT – 8 –10 hrs/ha
Farmers’ perceive ZT as water savingCost savings in case of lift irrigation
Farm level impacts:Farm level impacts:weeds, pests & diseasesweeds, pests & diseases
Decrease in weed population – P. minorChange in weed spectrum - broad leaved
No harmful effect insects & diseases Increase in earthworms & predator diversityIncrease in rodent damage on few sitesLimited effect on production cost
Farm level impacts:Farm level impacts:YieldsYields
due to timely wheat sowing
30% late sowing1-1.5% loss yield potential per day
Increased input use efficiency (fertilizer)Reported yield increase
TGP & UGP 2–6%MGP 9-36 %
12%17%-26%MGP6%16%UGP
1-7%1-3%TGP
FarmerOn-Station
Farm level impacts:Farm level impacts:ProfitabilityProfitability
Increase in gross returnReduction in total costs – 6- 17% (tillage & irrigation)Increase in net return – 42- 81%
Environmental impactsEnvironmental impacts
Soil quality+ve effects on SOM, stability, moisture content, …Remain only seasonal gains due to traditional rice
Ground water conservationTGP: many areas face ground water depletion
Air qualityReduction in CO2 emission – 91 kg/ha/yr
Reduced diesel use
Reduction in particulates due to less residue burning
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
44
Social impactsSocial impactsBeneficial to both small & large farmers
Divisible due to service providerNet return gain of ZT over CT: 26% large farmers vs 28% small farmers
Larger potential gain less intensified agriculture Time & resources saved utilized for income generating activities by both men & womenPositive gender effect (less tension)Limited labor displacement (prevailing mechanization levels)
Complementary impactsComplementary impacts
ZT may facilitate new technology (new varieties)Potential increase in cropping intensity & diversityNew service industries – machine manufacturers, service hiringAerobic ZT rice – strengthen ZT wheat & diversification prospects
Adoption of ZTAdoption of ZT
Estimated ZT/RT area in the Estimated ZT/RT area in the IGP of India (2003IGP of India (2003--04)04)
Section of Indian IGP
States Area under Zero/Reduced Tillage
(‘000 Ha)Trans Gangetic Plains (TGP)
Punjab Haryana
215350
Upper Gangetic Plains (UGP)
Western UP & Uttaranchal
175
Middle Gangetic Plains (MGP)
Eastern UPBihar
6018
Lower Gangetic Plains (LGP)
West Bengal --
Total Area 818
Estimated diffusion of ZT/RT Estimated diffusion of ZT/RT in Indian IGPin Indian IGP
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Area
('00
0 ha
, IG
P)
ZT drill production ZT drill production Haryana & Punjab, India
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Year
Num
ber o
f new
ZT
drill
s
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Tota
l num
ber o
f man
ufac
ture
rs
Derived from Parwez et al, 2004
Potential area of ZT/RT Potential area of ZT/RT adoption in Indian IGPadoption in Indian IGP
States Area under rice wheat rotation (1998-01) mha*
Potential adoption area (m ha)
High productivity areas 40% ceiling level
- Haryana 0.91 0.36
- Punjab 2.19 0.88
Low productivity areas 30% ceiling level
- UP 5.13 1.54
- Bihar 1.83 0.55
- West Bengal 0.33 0.1
Total Area 10.4 3.43
* Pal et al, 2003
Expected adoption pattern of Expected adoption pattern of ZT/RT in Indian IGPZT/RT in Indian IGP
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25
Years
% o
f are
a
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
45
Policy context Policy context & role of RWC& role of RWC
Time lineTime line1988 - CIMMYT imported inverted T opener from New
Zealand1990 - prototype developed 1991 – GOI initiated collaborative prog. with private
sector for development & commercialization of ZT1994 – RWC joined hands with NARS
provided support to pursue research & adapt ZT technologyRWC acquired several ZT drills and donated to HAU
1997 – after further refinement, private manufacturers supplied over 150 ZT drill to SAU, ICAR at Haryana, Punjab, UP & Bihar
Combined effort of NARS, SAU, Private manufacturer and RWC
Role of RWCRole of RWCresearch for development network
structured not to conduct but to support ambitious research agendaplayed innovative role (information provider, capacity builder & technology clearing house)
key in achieving & building on initial gainsfostering prototype ZT equipment, farmer experimentation, information sharing
Attribution remains difficult - shared credit In its absence, widespread ZT adoption may have lagged by 5 to 10 years
Estimating rates of return Estimating rates of return on investmenton investment
MethodMethod
Ex ante rateEconomic surplus approach
closed economy framework linear supply & demand functions parallel research induced supply shift1994 base year - 25 year time span
Assumptions benefitsAssumptions benefits
Tangible farm level benefitsState wise data (UP, Bihar, Punjab, Haryana)
yield & farm harvest pricestriennium 1994-97 as base
Selected parameters for impact Selected parameters for impact calculationscalculations
Indicator Value
Elasticity of demand 0.22
Elasticity of supply 0.40
Social discount rate 2%
Ceiling level of ZT/RT adoption 33%
Probability of success 0.3
Yield advantage 6 – 10%
Change in per ha cost of cultivation 5 – 10%
Benefits:
- Zero till (ZT)- Reduced till (RT)
100% (27% ZT/RT area)50% (63% ZT/RT area)
Assumptions costsAssumptions costs
1994 base yearPositive spillovers of sunk costs not includedMain costs components
RWC NARES
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
46
RWC Cost componentRWC Cost component
Annual aggregate cost 1994-2003: US$13 k to 257 k pa2004-08: US$ 251 k pa2009-13: linear decline
Thematic breakdown (42.6% ZT related)Geographic breakdown (50% India related)
Seth et al 2003
NARES cost componentNARES cost componentIndian NARS have made significant investment in ZTAnnual aggregate cost research component
2000-03 estimate: US$ 270 k paAssume:
1994-99: linear increase from 02004-08: US$ 270 k pa2009-13: linear decline to 0
Extension component assumed same as NARS costs with 5 year lag
Conservative scenario: 100%Optimistic scenario: 50%
ZT impact scenariosZT impact scenarios
Conservative scenario
Optimistic scenario
Net present value (NPV, million Rs, 1994)
815 1,731
Benefit/Cost ratio 3.3 6.9
Internal rate of return (IRR)
31% 46%
Exchange rate Rs/US$: 1994: 31.4; 2005: 43.7
Sensitivity analysis to variations of Sensitivity analysis to variations of conservative ZT impact scenarioconservative ZT impact scenario
Discount rate
0-10%
Prob. of success
15 - 50%
Yield gain
0 - 3%
Cost reduction0 – 2.5%
RT con-tribution0 – 25%
NPV (Rs, million 1994)
1,139 -227
229 –1,597
(60) - 377 534 – 674 147 – 482
B/C ratio 3.6 – 2.4 1.6 – 5.5 0.8 – 2.1 2.5 – 2.9 1.4 – 2.4
IRR 31 – 31% 14 – 44% NA – 20% 24 – 28% 11 – 23%
ConclusionsConclusions
ConclusionsConclusionsRapid adoption of ZT/RT in wheat after rice
Yield gains (6-10% - particularly more timely planting)Cost savings (5-10% - particularly tillage)
Conservative ex-ante assessment of farm level gains: investment in ZT R&D highly beneficial (IRR 31%)
Sensitivity analysis highlights influential role of yield gain & contribution reduced tillagePositive spillovers of sunk ZT R&D costs RWC has played pivotal & innovative role
ConclusionsConclusionsEnvironmental impact
Primarily water savings, reduction C emission/pollutionScope for enhancement – crop residue management & aerobic rice
Social impactAppears relatively scale neutral & divisibleTime & resources saved enhance livelihoodsMainly spread in better endowed areas
Significant knowledge gaps exist Extent gains realized & scope of scaling up plot impactInformation on cost of ZT R&D & attributionEnvironmental & social impact
ChallengesChallenges
Realizing high potential economic, environmental & social gains ZT offers
ZT as RCT – From only savings in the pocket, to saving NRZT as stepping stone to conservation agriculture
Complementary resource conserving technologies – ZT no panaceaPolicy reform
to create enabling environment for sustainable agriculture
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
47
people science environment partners
Development and Dissemination of Integrated Aquaculture – Agriculture
Technologies in Malawi
people science environment partners
Outline of this presentation
Description of the innovation and technologyMethodology and data usedResults
Characteristics of adopters (vs control farmers)Factors affecting adoptionImpact on productivity, profitability and incomeImpact on technical efficiencyImpact on food and nutritional securityImpact on institutionImpact on national fish productionImpact on household welfareImpact on sustainability
Conclusion
people science environment partners
Motivation for the introduction of the IAA in Malawi
Though aquaculture/small scale fish farming started in Malawi in the 1940s, the yield was very low ( ~400 kg/ha/year in 1985).
Adoption of Aquaculture technology was very low ( 173 t from 170 ha in 1985).
Very high dis-adoption of aquaculture tech developed by external funded projects.
Per capita fish consumption was declining
people science environment partners
Pond productivity over time in IAA(FSRP) Vs non-IAA (non-FSRP) fish ponds in Southern Malawi.
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996
Pond
Pro
duct
ivity
(kg/
ha) Non-FSRP
FSRP
people science environment partners
Integrated Resource Management Approach
NEW ENTRANTS
Bioeconomicprogramming models and multivariate analysis.
Steady state ecological models (ECOPATH) and dynamic simulation models.
Household and community issues in adoption, institutional and policy factors effecting adoption.
Participatory research withfarmer groups to constructfarm transects and resourcemaps describing their naturalresource systems.
Future farm bioresourceflow models guidesystem transformation
Time-series Analysis
Comparative Analysis
Performance indicators- diversity- efficiency- input-output balance- recycling- equity
FARMER PARTICIPATORY SYSTEM TRANSFORMATION MODELING
people science environment partners
Brief description of research and major milestones
Research activities conducted during 1986 to 1994 can be grouped in 2 phases
Phase 1 (1986-1990)
On station studies
Develop a suite of technologies within an IAA system context
Phase 2 (1991-1994)
On farm testing
Development of FSRP approach to aquaculture technology development and dissemination
1987- 1995: MAGFAD Project
1995-2000: No major ICLARM /DOF project. Incorporation of FSRP approach into national Fisheries and Aquaculture Policy in Malawi
Since 2001: Major adoption of IAA approach by farmers
people science environment partners
Impact Indicator for IAA Technology in Malawi
Increased productionIncreased income from aquacultureConsumer’s surplusProducer’s surplusIncreased export and decreased importation
Increased productionInput savingIncreased income from aquacultureProducers’welfare (surplus)Consumer’s welfare (surplus)
Resource productivityTotal fish productionProfitability of aquacultureInput savingIncome from aquacultureFarm income
Socio-economic
Efficiency
Region/ NationCommunityHousehold
INDICATORSTYPE OF IMPACT
people science environment partners
Cont…
Food and fish consumption by income class, rural/ urban
Food consumption by household membersFish consumption by household membersBetter heath status of family members
Food and nutrition security
Employmentopportunity by gender group
Employment opportunity by gender group
Labor use by gender and age groups
Employment
Region/ NationCommunityHouseholdINDICATORSTYPE OF
IMPACT
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
48
people science environment partners
Impact Indicator for IAA Technology in Malawi
INDICATORS
TYPE OF IMPACT
Household Community Region/Nation
Environmental (Sustainability)
• Soil quality • Nitrogen balance • Diversification of farm enterprise • Recycling and integration with other farm
enterprises • Sustainability of output • Resilience to drought
Institutional • Farmers’ skill
• Increased capacity of farmers’ organizations
• Strength of national institutions
people science environment partners
IMPACT OF IAA: SCHEMATIC DIAGRAM
Farm Productivity
IAA Technology/Process
Efficiency of farmer
Human capital Social capital
Conventional Inputs
Labor Fertilizer Physical capital etc
Natural Resource Capital Soil Water Biodiversity
Higher income and higher
Better health
people science environment partners
Assessment of IAA Technologies in Malawi
Methodology:“With and Without” and “Before and After”
ScenariosA two-stage framework
•Identification of factors affecting adoption of IAA•Effect of IAA adoption on efficiency, food security, employment, sustainability, etc.
people science environment partners
Assessment of IAA Technologies
Data Sources:
Surveys of 180 IAA adopters and 180 non-IAA adopters (from 6 locations).Use of RESTORE Data regularly collected by WorldFish-Malawi.Use of household level data on “fish consumption and children health” collected under “famine mitigation” project.Other published/unpublished secondary data.
people science environment partners
R&D ADOPTION IMPACT
Ex Ante impact assessment and priority setting
Monitoring and evaluation
Ex post impact assessment
Provide basis for setting priorities
among alternativeresearch options.
Center Priority Setting
Provide feedback to researchers regardingtheir clientele’s need,
and thus improvethe design of
research
Demonstrate the value or research
otherwise ofresearch
RESTOTE
- SPIA project on impact assessment of IAA
Type and Stages
Main Objective
Potential high impact research identified
and prioritized
people science environment partners
Data:
6
12
45
3
150150
23
8
36
28
48
7
IAA
300Grand total
6037Mangochi
5244Thyolo
459Mulanje
6032Mwanza
5911Zomba East
2417Zomba West
TotalNon-IAA
District
1
2
3
4
5
6
Malawi Vulnerability Map
people science environment partners
Household size, Structure and Farming Characteristics
IAA Non-IAA Respondents
Adult Males 1.1 1.0 0.14Adult Females 1.3 1.2 0.324Male Children 1.3 1.4 0.339Female Children 1.4 1.1 .042**Males Farming 1.1 1.0 .045**Females Farming 1.3 1.2 0.448Male ChildrenFarming
0.6 0.5 0.378
Female Children Farming
0.5 0.4 0.288
Household Member Category
Number of Household P-value
people science environment partners
Land type
0
10
20
30
40
Homestead Lowland Upland Dimba
Land Type
Per
cent
hou
seho
ld
IAA Non-IAA
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
49
people science environment partners
Principal Source of Water
Number of enterprises
% Number of enterprises
%
Rainfall 376 75 301 78Water course 44 9 30 8Well 29 6 14 4Others 53 10 42 11Total 502 100 387 100
Principal Source of Water
IAA Respondents Non-IAA Respondents
people science environment partners
Estimation of Adoption Function
A Two-stage approach:
Stage 1: All samples (adopter, non-adopter and dis-adopter ); Adoption (0, 1 variable) is a function of agro-ecological and environmental factors (dambo area/total farm area, access to water in potential NRT), farm environment (no of ag enterprises, soil quality) and socio-economic factors (education, farm size, land ownership, extension, access to credit, training, availability of credit, etc)
Stage 2: adopter only; level of integration (ratio, defined earlier) is a function of farm environment (no of ag enterprises, soil quality) and socio-economic factors (education, farm size, land ownership, extension, access to credit, training, availability of credit, etc).
people science environment partners
Significant ‘independent’ variables affecting adoption
Extension (+)
Training in IAA (+)
No of farm enterprises (+)
Farm size (Positively effecting level of integration)
people science environment partners
Determinants of IAA adoption
s.e. s.e. s.e.Intercept -3.08 *** 0.78 2.66 *** 0.74 -0.19 0.75Age 0.05 * 0.03 0.07 ** 0.03 0.00 0.01AgexAge 0.00 0.00 0.00 * 0.00Education -0.04 0.06 -0.06 0.06 0.14 * 0.08Gender 0.03 0.31 0.23 0.30 -0.87 * 0.53No. of persons in HH trained in IAA 0.34 ** 0.16 0.46 *** 0.16 -0.03 0.16Extension dummy 0.61 *** 0.19 0.62 *** 0.18 -0.17 0.28Access to credit dummy 0.17 0.25 0.14 0.25 0.01 0.27Number of enterprises 0.31 *** 0.07Land area 0.09 0.07 0.15 ** 0.07 0.02 *** 0.01Person-land ratio 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.01Presence of dambo area 0.08 0.22 0.02 0.21 0.19 0.32Dummy for access to irrigation -0.23 0.19 0.10 0.18 0.58 ** 0.25
DV: Model 1: 1 if IAA; 0 otherwise Model 2: 1 if high integration; 0 otherwise* Significant at a = 0.10** Significant at a = 0.05*** Significant at a = 0.01
Stage 1: Adoption model Stage 2: DV: Level of integration
estimatesModel 1 Model 2
estimates estimates
people science environment partners
Direct effect of IAA adoption: Land-use pattern
LANDTYPE CROPNAME Non IAA IAA
Homestead Maize 0.49 0.35Vegetables 0.20 0.60Other crops 0.62 0.29
Lowland Maize 0.71 0.86Vegetables 1.00 0.92
Upland Maize 0.52 1.20Vegetables 0.20 0.56Other crops 0.60 0.44
Dimba (Wetland) Maize 0.27 0.38Vegetables 0.70 0.70
Area in ha
people science environment partners
Impact of IAA:
163 %Increase in per capita fish consumption
27 %Increase/decrease in labor cost
23 %Increase in per capita protein expenditure
35 %Increase/decrease in external input cost
32 %Increase/decrease in internal input cost
76 %Increase in farm profitability
people science environment partners
Productivity and Profitability (MK/ha)
ChangesNon-IAA IAA (%) Low High
Gross income 9,898 17,435 76.14 10,767 21,942 Total cost 5,470 7,133 30.41 5,729 7,931 Seed 1,104 1,459 32.20 1,148 1,663 Fertilizer 1,733 2,346 35.39 1,927 2,351 manure 239 331 38.56 197 542 Labor 2,394 2,996 25.17 2,457 3,374 Net income 4,428 10,302 132.64 5,037 14,012
TFP 1.20 1.33 10.48 1.18 1.52 Farm area (ha) 1.49 1.98 1.63 2.25
By household type By level of integration
people science environment partners
Technical Efficiency:
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
Freq
uenc
y (%
)
0-1
0
11-
20
21-
30
31-
40
41-
50
51-
60
61-
70
71-
80
81-
90
91-1
00
Technical Efficiency (%)
Non-IAA (Avg=40) IAA(Avg=61) All Samples (Avg = 50)
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
50
people science environment partners
Comparison of Income by source
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
MK
Farm income Non-farmincome
Off-farmincome
Remittances
IAA Non-IAA
people science environment partners
Comparison on sources of income
81%
10%6% 3%
Farm income Non-farm income
Off-farm income Remittances
2%11%
66%
21%
Farm income Non-farm incomeOff-farm income Remittances
IAA Non-IAA
people science environment partners
Farm income function (DV: Ln farm income)
s.e s.e s.e s.eIntercept 8.9 *** 0.11 8.75 *** 0.1 8.53 *** 0.15 8.58 *** 0.16Level of integration (n flows/n enterprises) 0.53 *** 0.12IAA practice dummy (IAA = 1) 0.58 *** 0.1Probability of IAA adoption 1.17 *** 0.25 0.91 *** 0.27Ln farm size (ha) -0.65 *** 0.07 -0.71 *** 0.06 -0.77 *** 0.08 -0.75 *** 0.07Irrigation dummy (access to = 1) 0.32 *** 0.11 0.32 *** 0.1 0.33 *** 0.11 0.35 *** 0.1Credit dummy (access to = 1) 0.23 0.16 0.2 0.13 0.18 0.16 0.13 0.14Education of household head (y) -0.01 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.04 0.03 0.03
F-value 19.62 *** 38.8 *** 20.84 *** 23.05 ***R2 0.28 0.31 0.29 0.27
Note:*** Significant at a = 0.01
Prob(IAA adoption) of model 3 = probability that was estimated using model 1 of Table IV.4.Prob(IAA adoption) of model 4 = probability that was estimated using model 2 of Table IV.4.
estimates estimates estimates estimatesModel 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4
people science environment partners
Monthly income and Protein consumption
Non-IAA IAA
Monthly income (Kwacha/capita) 2,100.65 2,646.49 Monthly protien expenditure 389.64 479.14
Share of different protein item to total protein expenditure (%) Beans 0.25 0.23 Meat 0.16 0.19 Dried fish 0.35 0.28 Fresh fish 0.09 0.18 Chicken 0.16 0.12
Montly protein consumption (kg/capita) Beans 0.74 0.86 Meat 0.37 0.63 Dried fish 0.63 0.59 Fresh fish 0.36 0.96 Chicken 0.34 0.33
By household type
people science environment partners
Frequency of consumption over the last month
0
1
2
3
4
5
Bean Meat Dried Fish Fresh Fish ChickenType of Food
Freq
. (pe
r m
onth
)
IAA Respondents Non-IAA Respondents
people science environment partners
Determinants of food security
s.e.Intercept 5.3492 *** 0.30Dummy for IAA (1 = IAA) 0.6045 *** 0.20Household head's education 0.1403 ** 0.07Farm size (ha) 0.0568 0.05household size -0.1037 ** 0.05
1.7211 0.07Scale 1.82 0.07
Log likelihood function -596.4904373
DV: number of months before maize supply will last.* Significant at α = 0.10** Significant at α = 0.05*** Significant at α = 0.01
coeff. estimate
people science environment partners
Impact on Nutrition of Children under 5 Yrs of AgeMethodology:
With and without approach (IAA adopters and non-adopters)
Comparison of Anthropometric measures
Z-score for weight for height (WHZ)
Z-scores for height for age (HAZ)
Z-scores for weight for age (WAZ)
Descriptive analysis (t test)
Econometric analysis
Results:
No clear pattern
people science environment partners
Trend in Fish production from culture in Malawi.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
Prod
uctio
n (m
t)
Dissemination phase
Growth rate = 22%
Basic research and on-farm trial
Growth rate = 2.4%
MAGFAD period
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
51
people science environment partners
Impact on Poverty , household welfare
Methodology:
Economic surplus method
Three stages approach (similar to Dey 2000, AEM)
Simple fish sector model in Malawi (application of a variant ofAsiaFish model, Dey et al 2005)
Ex ante impact indicators (based on adopter and non-adopter survey)
Estimation of benefit to producers and consumers
Results:
Large benefit to consumers
people science environment partners
Background analysis
Identification of shock variables
Basic model
Over all impact
Distribution of impact (welfare analysis)
Analysis of Technologies
Policy analysis
Technological indexes
Other shocks Quantifiable Policy variables
Fish sector Model
Aggregate impact on• Fish Prices• Fish production by species group• Fish consumption by species type• Export/Import
Impact on consumers
Impact on producers
Impact on labor
• Macro policies• Sectoral policies• Institution• Support services
Effect of Technological and Policy Changes: General Framework
people science environment partners
Economic Surplus Analysis
Value (US%000) %
Producer surplus 1087 31Consumer surplus 2396 69
Net present value of benefits 3482
Benefit cost ratio (BCR) 1.56
IRR 15%
people science environment partners
Impact on Sustainability
Data: Long term RESTORE monitoring; special on-station train
Key results:
Better resilience against drought (an av IAA farmer gets 18% higher per ha farm income than a non-IAA farmer)
Better maize yield (IAA farmers: 4-6 ton/ha, best progressive non-IAA farmer gets up to 3 ton/ha)
Less N Loss (IAA-With pond sediments: 5 mg of N per m2 per day; non-IAA: 10 mg of N per m2 per day)
Better N Use efficiency (N yield per kg of N applied): IAA farmers: 0.4-0.6; non-IAA farmers: 0.2-.03
people science environment partners
Soil Fertility
Infertile Maintained Highly Fertile Infertile Maintained Highly Fertile
IAA Respondents Non-IAA Respondents
people science environment partners
people science environment partners
people science environment partners
Title please
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
52
people science environment partners
people science environment partners
Institutional Impact
Use of IAA approach by DOF (Malawi) and NGO (World vision success stories)
Use of IAA for HIV/AIDS affected and infected households
Empowerment of women, child headed households
Spillover effect to other countries (Zambia and Mozambique)
people science environment partners
Conclusions
Development and Dissemination of IAA approach in Malawi have
Increased farm productivityIncreased farm incomeIncreased farm efficiencyIncreased fish productionImproved environmentImproved farm sustainabilityInstitutionalized NRM approach Strengthened local institutionsIncreased food and fish consumptionImproved child health (no, we could not prove this hypothesis)Improved welfare of both producers and consumption
people science environment partners
Limitation of the study
Environmental benefits are not fully analyzed
Findings on the nutritional impact are not conclusive. Did not have data on various important variables (e.g. basis health status of sample respondents).
people science environment partners
Thank you and
would appreciate your comments
people science environment partners
Topography
Number of Parcels
% Number of Parcels
%
Flat 145 27 84 21Gentle Slopes
308 57 247 62
Others 85 16 68 17Total 538 100 399 100
Topography IAA Respondents Non-IAA respondents
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
53
David ZilbermanDavid ZilbermanUniversity of California BerkeleyUniversity of California Berkeley
Assessment of the NRMAssessment of the NRMimpact assessments studies IIimpact assessments studies II
Outline I(Outline I(TuesdayTuesday))
• World fish• IWMI• Cimmyt
• Fish- food with growing in importance– Fish and Health– Improved ability to store
Declining stocks
• Aquaculture– A way to relief pressures on fisheries– We are in a same situations as when
humans domesticated cowsNeeded to be done in an
environmental friendly mannerStudy demonstrates its promise
World fishWorld fish--opening new optionsopening new options
Nature of innovation & technologyAdapting technology to local conditions-Participatory evolving
Can be viewed within household production farming
Technology allows to enhance health& improvesfood quality
Generate income,
take advantage of family members
Its value dependant on location,
Sequencing the analysisSequencing the analysis• 3 papers in one-may benefit from change in
structure First conceptual foundationAdoption patternImpacts
income diethealth
Finally welfare effects and IRRExtrapolation to other areas
Results conforms the literatureResults conforms the literature• Location matters- based on relative advantage• Integration matters- increasing return to scope-
large farmers benefits• Extension complements human capital
– Education does not matter– Older larger families adopt-
• Importance of consumer surplus
Results contribute to literatureResults contribute to literature• Identify IAA as risk management strategy-
– Enhancing nutritional stature ( not fully documented)– Responsiveness to draught
• Links IAA to improved soil quality• Complementarity of aquaculture with
vegetable(water harvesting) • Gender,Aids,and spillover effects documented• Missing environmental effects
• Policy research- a social experimentation• Policy paradigms are global public good
(public bad-communism ?)• Prevailing theories emerge through intellectual
discourse (RIO)• They need implementation and adaptation• That was the IWMI does
IWMIIWMI--making policy reform making policy reform Possible & EasierPossible & Easier
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
54
Idealized theory of reformIdealized theory of reform
time
$
Gain from reform
Reform is infrequentOccur at crisis situationMay requires high cost ( which IRRI can reduce) May failRequires awareness good design & implementation
Benefit Cost analysis and Benefit Cost analysis and quality of ideasquality of ideas
• IWMI expense C1• Local agencies cost C2• Benefit B• BCR=(B/(C1+C2)• Is the following correct? IWMI helps to implement
ideas– If idea is good (B large and positive) IRR is high IWMI smells like a rose– If idea is bad ( B negative) IRR is negative IWMI does not smell good
Correct?What about spillovers and learning
Good policy research is always Good policy research is always valuablevaluable
• If the policy is good-that great• If it is not working-analyze what went
wrong – It is the concept or implementation – How to modify projects if it continues
The CG & global public good The CG & global public good (GPG) vision &reality(GPG) vision &reality
• There is need to support and enhance research on issues
• Little synergy between the applied emphasis of the CG and GPG-abstract, non specific
• There is scale effect and competition in generation of basic knowledge in life sciences-realm of prestigious universities– Number 2 does not gain much– Number 22 even less
IWMIIWMI’’ss NicheNiche• IWMI is not likely to be competing with the
ECONOMIST and major university on Concepts of privatization and decentralization. Instread
• Develop mechanisms to tailor concepts to specific needs
• Introduce mechanisms to induce adoption of reform ( increase awareness)
• Develop implementation mechanisms – Nuts and bolts of reform
FindingsFindings• Indications that as you go down the line the
impacts of IWMI is increasing• There is problem of attribution-
– Other agencies push similar ideas part of CV• What about capacity to adjust and modify
strategies?• Downloads are not enough- need quantify
impacts to recognize if the medicine works• Impacts of policy are important to the world-
they asses the basic paradigm • Impacts are crucial for adaptation
&modifications
Downloads ,citations& surveysDownloads ,citations& surveys• How do you interpret citations-are 93
googles too much or too little?• Follow the downloads-ask then how did they
use it.• “Student evaluations” are not only for
professors- they apply to other educators• Analyze responses of users-to identify
weaknesses and strengths- responses of small number that know you well matter
As long as there is no selection biasAsk to client impacts and it will come
LessonLesson• Build to assess impacts as you go• Study impacts on human capital• Monitor citations and seek feedback• Develop an historical perspective• Recall the strategic alternatives to establish the
counterfactuals– why did they decided to reform when they did– What were the alternative
• May need to study in depth case studies • Needs to study quantitative impacts to assess the
effectiveness of IWMI and the paradigm •
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
55
CimmytCimmyt ZeroZero•No tillage is big news in develop countries•This case of ZT and RT in India is not identical (wheat after rice)• but related -The big hits are global There are few good ideas. There are gains from technology transfer and adaptationMy guess -this technology has not reached its peak
Cimmyt Zero Tillage:Our great hit
Impact assessment based on Impact assessment based on micro production consideration micro production consideration
• Conceptual understanding of impacts on– water use efficiency– Pest damage– Labor and machine time– Soil– Complementary crops
• Leads to hypothesis about impacts– Yield– Profitability– EnvironmentalDistributions-quality of life
• What about impacts on pricesConsumer surplus, Producers surplus
Role of private sectorRole of private sector• Need to understand the public/private
relationship in ushering the technology• May be useful to study innovation history • How do extension and private marketing
effort coincide
Uniform technologies has high IRRUniform technologies has high IRR• Adoption is now at the take off stage• With S shape diffusion curve we have ways to
go• Great success with familiar features
– Initial definition of agronomical parameters– Embodied mechanical innovations that require
little local adaptations– Promotion and extension is done largely by
private sectors ( dealers and their sales force-was their cost considered?)
CoutnerfactualsCoutnerfactuals and the futureand the future• Attribution is a problem- there is much surplus to
share -what about environmental impacts• It probably would have been introduced without the
consortium-so there is a gain of time and more intensive patterns of adoption
• One of the few successes that pays for other NRM activities-(I believe the optimistic scenario)
• Study – Impacts on various dimension of Heterogeniety (space,
farming systems)– synergy with varietals differences is needed – Impacts on distribution, farming system and the environment
• The concept will be exploited in other countries
CG and generation of CG and generation of specialized applied knowledge specialized applied knowledge
• Global public goods are part of global competition for ideas
• There are not many effective great global ideas and research products– The challenge is local adaptation and product
development – There is a parallel to industrial R&D- small amount
of basic research ( at universities et) is followed by development and commercialization efforts
The GPG niches of the CGThe GPG niches of the CG• The CG should not specialize in general
technologies with GPG properties ( basic genetics)
• It should emphasize local adaptations• But when it comes to location specific biological
And agro-ecological knowledge that has global dimension- there is large potential for GPG
•
Outline II (Monday)Outline II (Monday)• CIFORE• CIAT• ICRAF• ICARDA?• Recurring themes• What are NRM R&D projects?• What are the unique features of NRM projects and how to address them?• The Dynamic processes affecting the benefits and costs of R&D projects• On the Art of R&D Project Evaluation• Conclusion
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
56
• Important methodological and factual contribution to understand the role of NRM project as generating global public goods
• Provides foundation to understand the role of CIFOR in the global network of institutions establishing and providing certification
• Provides evidence on the reliance on CIFOR finding in various contexts
CIFORCIFOR-- Congratulation- great achievement-document can be a book by itself
Economics and certificationEconomics and certification• Consumers care about forest and land use
management- willingness to pay for sustainable practices.
• The goods “preservation of valuable forest and ecosystem” are a public goods reflecting – Non use benefits– Bequest benefits
• There is asymmetric information between forester and public – difficult to observe outcome– Need to monitor actions
CIFOR and Certification CIFOR and Certification • Certifiers may address several market niches• They need a theory base for their activities use
general body of knowledge relevant sciences• Their capacity is limited- they are service provider• CIFOR provides intellectual research support to
augment their activities• CIFOR contributions are
– the value of the gains from the extra knowledge in certification activities
– Cost saving to certifiers as they need to reduce their research effort
The Benefits of CIFOR actionsThe Benefits of CIFOR actionsB = B 1 ` + B 2
B 1 − g a i n f r o m k n o w l e g eB 2 - c o s t s a v i n g B 1 = Δ A b + A Δ b w h e r e A − i n i t i a l a c r e a g e ,b − i n i t i a l b e n e f i t s p e r a c r eΔ A - i n c r e a s e i n a c r e a g eΔ b − i n c r e a s e i n b e n e f i t s p e r a c r e
B 2 = − Δ C∑ i
C i − e x p e n d i t u r e o f t h e i t h c e r t i f i e r w i t h o u t C I F O R
The quantification challengeThe quantification challenge• The above formula is static- to make it operational we
need a dynamic model with adoption &learning• The benefits from certification are not easy to
compute– The certificators are heterogeneous – Attribution to CIFOR is not easily quantifiable
• Need alternatives– Measures of adoption of certification ( which was provided)– Measures of benefits per acre and cost saving ( lacking)– Rely on testimonial & bibliographical measures for attribution
(done)• Refer to the CG study on benefits of economics and
policy research
The private side of certification The private side of certification • Who is gaining from the certifications?• How does it serves the poor?• How better is CIFOR than private
certificators?• At least raise the questions.••
• Management includes transfer of knowledge and adaptation of technology to potential users (extension/marketing)
• CIAT project modifies & adapts known methods to needs of Cassava using Participatory Research
• Relates to the literature on adoption as imitation
CIATCIAT-- how to improve extensionhow to improve extension
Thresholds of adoptionThresholds of adoption• Information is necessary for adoption• But it requires self interest• That is part of threshold model emphasizing• Adoption has elements of heterogeneity (threshold
model) &Self interest (Profitability, risk, adoption cost, shadow price of time)
-which is ignored ( Especially problematic in case of discrete choice)-which reduces the interpretability of the econometric specification
Adoption also has extensive and intensive margin effects-which is considered-needed to be related to literature
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
57
Economics of Economics of impacts impacts
P
Q
Demand
MC0
MC1
MC0+MEC0
MC1+MEC1
MC0-Initial supply MEC0-Initial marginal environmental costs
MC1 supply after innovation
AB
C
P0
P1
F
O0 Q1
G
H
Interpreting the messInterpreting the mess• The project increased supply- both by
– Increasing yields– Increasing area of production
• Potential impacts– Price effects– Output effects– Environmental effects
NB=CS+CS+EB−COST
CS Consumer surplus
PS Producer surplus
EB environmental benefit
Cost of extension program- not basic research
ImpactsImpacts• IRR need to incorporate impacts on consumer
and the environment- What are the E gains?• Do we have a lower bound of IRR?• What are the transaction cost of adoption
reduced by this approach? • Can we model them?• Can we measure them?
Issues Issues • The counterfactual
– How will extension be done without this approach?• The design of technology packages- combinig private
and public goods– Will the same new technology package will include the
same technology?• How will this extension technique be disseminated?
will it be used by public sector? Private sector?• What about environmental impactsDifferences between countries
– Institutions, attitudes, markets– Policies
• Promising study, needs refinement and refine interpretation
The Participatory ApproachThe Participatory ApproachWhat is new - do not we know about t
demonstration and on farm demonstration?Why do people participate? What was their hopes
and costs? How to they perceive extension? What are the reasons for active learning?How to incorporate new information technology?Need understanding of the participants and
their behavior
ICRAFICRAF--Fertilizer treesFertilizer trees• Quantify the relation between the value of the
technology and the costs of transportation and fertilizers
• What are the costs and structure of extension and how do they affect adoption?
• What is the overall calculus of benefits and costs and how will you asses it?
How do you asses adoption?How do you asses adoption?• Roles of input and output prices?what happened if
there will be roads?• Impacts of Land and capital availability-
complimentary inputs (other fertilizers)• Labor & effort considerations/mechanization• Varietals choices and adoption• Role of private sector (Nurseries) in providing
genetic materials? • Dynamics and risk considerations- simulations with
variations in weather and pricing.• How does this technology fit within a long term
framework of poverty alleviation?• You appreciate econometrics when it is not used
The economic The economic modelmodel
A
B
Before After
C with CO2 pay
B withoutD+Margin Envir Benefits
C
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
58
Explicit Calculus of impactsExplicit Calculus of impacts• Need to consider increase in supply• Price effect ( Depending on prices of environmental
services)• Consumer benefits• Farmers benefits• Environmental impacts-reduced deforestation? Soil
carbon sequestration? Other?• Need to subtract diffusion extension , research and
adoption costs• Sensitivity analysis - will this adoption pattern survive
in a well functioning Zambia?
• Important and understudied systems• Issues:
– Modeling the relationships between crop productivity and livestock
The relationships between home grown and purchased inputs
– Health effects of the technology– Environmental effects
• In addition- study impacts when subsidy exists• Question: reason for subsidies
ICARDAICARDA--adoption in livestock systemadoption in livestock system
two approaches to quantify two approaches to quantify Impacts of NRMImpacts of NRM
• Economists tend to rely exceedingly on econometrics than programming
• Morocco - relies on econometrics but with as small sample-
• Tunisia relies on programming -because of community choices -what are the merits of this technique
Tunisia Tunisia • Programming makes better modeling and
interpretation• Reasons for classifications of farms -and
some hypothesis about their effects• What are the counterfactual?what will happen
without the technology?• Innovative assumption about pad market-how
it will be affected by energy prices? How IRR will be affected by energy prices?
• Poverty effects are important
Common themes for ICARDACommon themes for ICARDA• Size matters• Multiple measures of size• TO what extent the Subsidy it the cause of adoption?
– Perhaps it will reduce the costs of risk in the short run and will lead to investment in fixed capital valuable in the long run( which implies risk aversion)
– Subsidy and credit? Tenure?– Does the subsidy provides risk premium?peace premium?– What the role of community?
• Not full quantification of environmental benefits• Impacts on health and risk• How do simulations fit reality?How do you justify
extrapolations?what about heterogeneity?
• Needs models
• Welfare economics frameworks are neglected- can provide guide to what was done and what is missing
• Studies Underemphasize– NRM and the environment– NRM and Poverty– Risk
• Before you do impacts study adoption– Not always we understand the motivations of the adopters– What affect their profitability? The role of risk? Information?– Heterogeneity and its implications
• Ex ante vs ex post IRR
Cross cutting issuesCross cutting issues
Major problemsMajor problems• Impacts of alternative policies• Counterfactuals• Cost of research& extension consider the
marginal costs• Dynamics-NRM is about stocks• Pricing of environmental amenities• Qualitative vs quantitative outcome• You are a victim of your data.
Practical issues of presentationPractical issues of presentation• What is novel in your approach?• How do you relate to literature?• Do you have a model? Sketch it.• Present minimum detail of technology- supplement
paper with a working paper -where the details of the technology and problems are considered.
• What do you miss• Always underestimate IRR• Future research?
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
59
What are NRM R&D projects?What are NRM R&D projects?• Projects that aim to improve the productivity of natural
resources in agricultural (water, soil)• Projects that aim to improve the farming of animals
&natural resource systems (fish forest)• Projects that aim to reduce agricultural pollution and
increase human and environmental health.• Projects that aim to provide environmental
amenities.(soil carbon,biodiversity)• Projects that aim to improve natural resources
management-leading efficiency and environmental quality gains
Selective breeding and gene plasma project and can benefit natural resources when demand is inelastic-biotech may help NR too-both not considered here
Strong management&policy componentsStrong management&policy components• The management component is there for a reason• New types of cultivation-
– aqua culture– Forest resource management – Land use
• Policy formation– Water policy– Natural resources property rights
• Management activities and product design not taken by private sector
Overall assessmentOverall assessment• We have a diverse sets of studies that
capture diversity of NRM and of methodologies to study them.
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
60
Impact Assessment for INRM: Some thoughts
Boru DouthwaiteTechnology Policy Analyst
CIAT
A Paradigm for INRM (and therefore its IA)
Innovation Systems (Douthwaite, Ekboir, Twomlow, Keatinge, 2003)
Agricultural research organizations operate within complex, adaptive systemsInnovation is a socio-technical processInnovations emerge at the interfaces of knowledge production, dissemination & economic activityInnovations (impacts) emerge out of networks, NOT from pipelines
IRR is the gold standard for IA
• “Needed for making resource allocation decisions”
• But, only valid (Ekboir, 2003) when:– Direct causal link between research and impact– This relationship dominates – Assumptions 1 and 2 valid for whole period– Chance does not play a factor– Inputs and impacts can be measured
• Seldom valid, only valid for minor changes along stable technology paradigms
IRR is the gold standard for IA
• “Needed to communicate impact of NRM research to donors”
• But:– “Many people have very little respect and have
doubts about IIR”– “Donors want a good story, about one page
long”
IRR is the gold standard for IA
• Can be a limiting lens– Adoption (1,0)– No role for adaptation, i.e., no role for
stakeholder innovation
Use of multiple methods
• Need guidelines for good practice IA for INRM? Including when and how to do economic IA?
• See monitoring and evaluation and impact assessment as part of the same thing– Kuby’s impact model
• A missing component? – Social network analysis
Kuby’s impact model
Improved livelihoodsamongst farmers in Africa
Ultimate outcome
Eventual wideradoption
Community enjoys generallivelihood improvements
Eventual wideradoption
Changes inknowledgeand attitudes
Adopting farmersenjoy higher and morestable incomes
DirectBenefit
Changes inknowledgeand attitudes
Stakeholderslearn ofproject
SCALINGUP
Adoption oftechnologies andchanges in practice
SCALINGOUT
Adoption inother villages
Farmers modify andinnovate
Changes in farmers’attitudes andperception
Improved knowledgeof farmers
On-farm validation andadaptation of ‘best bet’options
Immediate researchoutputs
Iterationsof learningcycle
Example of an Impact Pathway
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
61
Improved livelihoodsamongst farmers in Africa
Ultimate outcome
Eventual wideradoption
Community enjoys generallivelihood improvements
Eventual wideradoption
Changes inknowledgeand attitudes
Adopting farmersenjoy higher and morestable incomes
DirectBenefit
Changes inknowledgeand attitudes
Stakeholderslearn ofproject
SCALINGUP
Adoption oftechnologies andchanges in practice
SCALINGOUT
Adoption inother villages
Farmers modify andinnovate
Changes in farmers’attitudes andperception
Improved knowledgeof farmers
On-farm validation andadaptation of ‘best bet’options
Immediate researchoutputs
Iterationsof learningcycle
Improved livelihoodsamongst farmers in Africa
Ultimate outcome
Eventual wideradoption
Community enjoys generallivelihood improvements
Eventual wideradoption
Changes inknowledgeand attitudes
Adopting farmersenjoy higher and morestable incomes
DirectBenefit
Changes inknowledgeand attitudes
Stakeholderslearn ofproject
SCALINGUP
Adoption oftechnologies andchanges in practice
SCALINGOUT
Adoption inother villages
Farmers modify andinnovate
Changes in farmers’attitudes andperception
Improved knowledgeof farmers
On-farm validation andadaptation of ‘best bet’options
Immediate researchoutputs
Iterationsof learningcycle
Social Network Analysis
• Innovation arises out of networks• Effective networks share common set of
characteristics– Birds of a feather flock together– Diversity – links between clusters– Several paths between any two nodes– Average path length is short
Scattered Clusters
Hub and Spoke Network
Multi-Hub Network
Core/Periphery Network
World Accord
UofG
IIRR
IDRC PRR
Kellogg
SERTEDESO
PROSLANTECARIAS
FUPNAPIB
Zamorano
IDHERFEPROH
IPCA
IPRA-CIAT
Organization Power metric
IPCA 0.835 PRR 0.388
IPRA-CIAT 0.381 Zamorano 0.294 FEPROH 0.233
IDHER 0.233 UofG 0.233
Clustering coefficient
0.23
Average path length
2.20
(i) 1996
CARIAS
PROSLANTE
IDRC
World Accord
SERTEDESO
EDISA
ANAFAE
UofG
CIADRO
UDC-Canada
MSU-CRSP
PRGA
FUNDESO
IHDER
ASOCIAL-V
ASOCIALAGO
ASOCIAGUARE
ASOCIAL-Yorito
ASOHCIAL
FEPROH
Kellogg
IPRA-CIATPRR
Zamorano
IPCA
Organization Power metric
IPCA 0.570 Zamorano 0.515 ASOHCIAL 0.413 ASOCIAL-V 0.353 PRR 0.299 ASOCIAL-Yorito 0.275 IPRA-CIAT 0.274
Clustering coefficient
0.51
Average path length
2.32
(ii) 2003
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
62
NRM Research at IRRINRM Research at IRRI
Impact of IPM in Southern Vietnam
Resource Allocation by CGIAR Undertaking
(% of expenditure)
3139Sustainable production
109Improving policies
2117Enhancing NARs
100100Total
128Germplasm collection
2627Germplasm improvement
20041999Undertaking
Source: IRRI Medium Term Plan
Scientific Capacity(No. of Ph.D level researchers)
13912Soil and Water Sciences91113Entomology and Pathology2610Agricultural Engineering
142216Physiology and Agronomy
115
14
2310
201994
1221International Programs
1416Administrative and support services
95117Total
1214Social Sciences
1915Plant Breeding and Genetics20041984Discipline
Source: IRRI Annual Reports and Program Reports
Major NRM projects implementedDeployment of soil erosion control technologies for uplandReversing the trend of productivity decline in intensive rice systemsMethane emission from rice paddies and mitigation optionsDevelopment and deployment of site specific nutrient management technologiesDeployment of resource conserving technologies for rice-wheat systems (zero-tillage, raised bed system)
Source: IRRI MTPs
Major NRM projects implementedRain water harvesting for life saving irrigation and crop diversificationWater management for optimizing productivity of coastal wetlandsWet and dry irrigation system for water saving in rice cultivationOn-farm conservation of rice bio-diversityPest management through mixed-planting of cropsDevelopment and communication of Integrated Pest Management
Source: IRRI MTPs
Limited impact assessment activities for NRM research
Impact of pesticide use on human health and environmentAssessing the effect of intensive use of agro-chemicals on water qualityFactors affecting adoption of soil erosion control technologiesAssessing the impact of IPM training and communication
IRRI’s IPM activitiesInvestmentOne entomologist and one communication specialist over 15 yearsActivities
KAP studies on pest managementCommunication on IPM mostly focused on Vietnam, Thailand, Laos and ChinaCoordination of a network of IPM specialists in Asia as part of IRRC
RecognitionInternational Green Apple Environment Award from the House of Parliament, LondonCharles A. Black Award from the Council for Agricultural Science and Technology, USA
International Rice Research Institute
Assessment of the Impact of Integrated Pest Management
in Southern Vietnam
Mahabub Hossain1
Florencia G. Palis2
Truong Ngoc Chi3
1 Head of Social Sciences Division2 Associate Scientist, Social Sciences Division, IRRI3 Sociologist, Cuo Luong Rice Research Institute
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
63
International Rice Research Institute
Increased intensity of rice cropping in Mekong River Delta
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
000
Ha
Croppedarea
Cultivatedarea
01234567
89
10
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
ton
Yield/season
Yield/year
Trend in rice area Trend in rice yield
International Rice Research Institute
Premise:Premise:Leaf-feeding insects at early stage of the plant growth are targets of many insecticides applicationsPlants can compensate for early injuries, therefore no need for spraying to save yields
Message:Message:Do not spray for leaf feeding insects for the first 40 days after sowing in direct seeded rice or for first 30 days after transplantingIntroduced in Vietnam in 1994 using mass media campaign (poster, pamphlet and radio drama)By 1998, the message was spread to over 200,000 farmers in the Mekong Delta
No Early Spray (NES)
International Rice Research Institute
Farmer Field School (FFS) Initiated by FAO in Vietnam in 1992A non-formal education approach to extension of IPMA class of 25-30 participants, half a day weekly meeting for 12 weeksFollows an agro-ecosystem perspective that includes an agronomic, ecological, and physiological understandingParticipants are thought four key principles
Grow a healthy crop using resistant varieties and efficient management practicesConserve natural enemies and parasitesMonitor the field regularly on pest-predator balanceApply pesticide judiciously
By 1999, over 400,000 farmers received the training International Rice Research Institute
Objective
Assess the impact of NES and FFS ona) Knowledge of pest management
b) Pest management behavior:number of spraying and use of
insecticides
International Rice Research Institute
Methodology:Before-after and with-without comparison
Repeat survey of a village in 1997 and 2005
Benchmark survey in 1997:Trained (38)Non-trained (61)
Repeat survey in 2005:Earlier trained (27)Intermediate trained (11)Non-trained (33)
Some households migrated out or became non-farm households
International Rice Research Institute
Methodology: With-without comparison
303030Ben Tre303030Bac Lieu
609090Total sample
-3030Long AnNo trainingNESFFS
ProvinceVillage (Commune)
No. of sample households
International Rice Research Institute
Location of Sample Sites
Ben Tre
Long An
Bac Lieu
International Rice Research Institute
METHODOLOGY
Methods - both quantitative and qualitative
Surveysknowledgeinput-output
Focus group discussions
Key informant interviews
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
64
International Rice Research Institute
19Some insects kill other insects by eating them
Pest –predator relationship
22Insecticides are dangerous to people
Safe use of pesticides
14Whiteheads at ripening stage are caused by brown planthopper (BPH)
Insect-plant interaction
Total no. of
questionsSample questionKnowledge
domain
Measurement of Knowledge score
International Rice Research Institute
Impact on Knowledge:Repeat Survey
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
1997 2005 1997 2005 1997 2005
Trai
ned
Non-
trai
ned
Trai
ned
Non
-trai
ned
Trai
ned
Non
-trai
ned
Trai
ned
Non
-trai
ned
Trai
ned
Non-
trai
ned
Trai
ned
Non-
trai
ned
Trai
ned
Non-
trai
ned
Trai
ned
Non
-trai
ned
Trai
ned
Non
-trai
ned
Pest–predator relationship
Safe use of pesticides
Insect-plant interaction
Knowledge score
International Rice Research Institute
Impact on Knowledge:With-without comparison
00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.8
Pest–predatorrelationship
Safe use of pesticides Insect-plantinteraction
FFS
NES
Con
trol
FFS
NE
S
Con
trol
FFS
NE
S
Con
trol
Knowledge score
International Rice Research Institute
Determinants of Knowledge:Cross-section 2004
1.240.169Landholding-0.56-0.0008Farm experience6.470.366Intercept
5.050.186*FFS dummy4.350.022*Education
2.520.093*NES dummy0.23
11.58
Regression coefficient ‘t’-valueVariable
R2
F-value
International Rice Research Institute
Determinants of Knowledge:Repeat survey 2005
0.750.0241Landholding-0.43-0.0007Farm experience3.890.279Intercept
4.710.230*Trained before 19973.190.0229*Education
5.340.303*Trained after 19970.57
16.37
Regression coefficient ‘t’-valueVariable
R2
F-value
International Rice Research Institute
EFFECT on PESTICIDE USE
International Rice Research Institute
Number of spraysCross-section 2004
5.15.96.1Total applications
ControlNES exposedFFS trainedType of pesticide
2.42.32.4Insecticides
22.32.5Fungicides0.81.31.2Herbicides
International Rice Research Institute
Imported Pesticides(Finished product, Quantity in kg, li)
Source: Plant protection Department in the South; around 70% of the total imported volume in South Vietnam.
0
1500
3000
4500
6000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Insecticides
Fungicides
Herbicides
Others(Molluscicides, etc)
In thousands
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
65
International Rice Research Institute
0
90000
180000
270000
360000
450000
2001 2002 2003 2004 (Jan-Sept)
Insecticides
Herbicides
Fungicides
Volume of sales (kg,li) in one pesticide shop in Long Ann Province
International Rice Research Institute
Farmers’ pest management practice: Repeat Survey
2.13.41.82.3No. of insecticide sprays
12.3424.967.6214.61Insecticide cost (US$/ha)
2005199720051997
Non-trainedTrainedPest management practice
International Rice Research Institute
Farmers’ pest management practiceWith-without comparison
12.2012.6812.54Cost/ha (US$/ha)
Not trainedNESFFSFarmers’ practice
2.62.32.4No of insecticide sprays
21.8024.3816.51Price (US$/kg)
0.560.520.76Insecticide amount (kg/ai/ha)
International Rice Research Institute
Determinants of the intensity of spray:Cross-section survey
0.28311.15-0.2612NES dummy0.96260.00-0.0112FES dummy
0.5930.280.050Landholding0.0693.31*0.614Education
0.11222.520.0079Pest infestation
0.0185.570.990Intercept
-342.07Log-likelihood
ProbabilityChi-squareCoefficientFactor
0.00767.16**0.0060Fertilizer use
0.1921.700.012Farm experience
International Rice Research Institute
Determinants of intensity of spray:Repeat survey 2005
0.6650.19-0.182Trained after 1997
0.04510.570.282Trained before 1997
0.3620.83-0.216Landholding0.0057.86-0.015Education
0.000123.673.59Intercept
-109Log-likelihood
ProbabilityChi-squareCoefficientFactor
0.7000.15-0.0019Fertilizer use
0.0832.99-0.021Farm experience
International Rice Research Institute
Key Findings
Positive effect on knowledge of pest management
The positive effect is more pronounced for FFS (intensive training) than for NES (simple message)
The effect on pesticide use is not clearReduction in insecticide use over time
No significant difference between trained and untrained farmers from cross-section data
Is the spill over effect on control underestimates the benefit from ‘with’-’without’ comparison?
International Rice Research Institute
Impressions from Qualitative Survey
Farmers still concerned about pest infestation and yield loss from pests
Insignificant economic benefits a constraint to practicing IPM knowledge
Conflicting messages received from pesticide companies
International Rice Research Institute
Key Questions‘With’-’without’ comparison from cross-section studies: Is it an appropriate methodology for impact assessment?
Is it worthwhile to take the extra steps to estimate the rate of return on investment?
The investment cost can be estimated, but
The economic benefit is a small component of total benefits
Substantial benefits are on account of improvement in human health and environment which are difficult and costly to estimate
How to attribute the effect of investments on FFS training
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
66
International Rice Research Institute
THANK YOU
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
67
ContourContour--hedgerows in the Philippine uplands: hedgerows in the Philippine uplands: A case study of adoption A case study of adoption
and likely impactand likely impact
Sushil PandeyLucy Lapar
Hermann Waibel
ObjectivesObjectives
Assess farmersAssess farmers’’ perceptions regarding the perceptions regarding the impact of CH,impact of CH,Diagnose factors explaining the differences Diagnose factors explaining the differences in adoption of CH across farms,in adoption of CH across farms,Assess the likely economic returns to Assess the likely economic returns to adoption,adoption, andandIdentify improvements in technology that Identify improvements in technology that are likely to raise returns to adoptionare likely to raise returns to adoption
Conceptual FrameworkConceptual Framework
H H
L L-M
H
L
L H
Population Pressure
Market Access
Induced demand for soil conservationaccording to production system
Farmer PerceptionsFarmer Perceptions
Major benefitsMajor benefits: :
Reduction in soil erosion Reduction in soil erosion Less gully formationLess gully formationImprovements in yieldImprovements in yieldHedgerow speciesHedgerow species--specific benefits specific benefits (such as provision of fodder)(such as provision of fodder)
Farmer PerceptionsFarmer Perceptions
Major costs: Major costs:
High cost of labor for establishment High cost of labor for establishment and maintenanceand maintenanceLoss of landLoss of land
Determinants of adoptionDeterminants of adoption
Education (+)Education (+)Tenure (+)Tenure (+)Membership in Membership in laborlabor--exchange network of farmers (+)exchange network of farmers (+)Slope (+)Slope (+)Market access (+)Market access (+)
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
68
Returns to adoptionReturns to adoption
Intervention Erosion
Erosion Productivity
Cost of adoptionCost of adoption
Cost of establishing CHCost of establishing CH
Annual cost of maintenanceAnnual cost of maintenance
Loss of land areaLoss of land area
% in
crea
se in
bre
ak-e
ven
yiel
d of
cor
n
Yield of corn (kg/ha) without contour hedgerows
Percentage increase in yield of corn needed to break-even investment in contour hedgerows at different discount rates and cropping intensity
160
1600
80
120
40
20
60
100
140
800400 1200200 600 1000 1400
Discount rate = 0.40Discount rate = 0.20
Which cost component is more important in Which cost component is more important in determining returns?determining returns?
Loss of areaLoss of area
Cost of establishmentCost of establishment
Cost of maintenanceCost of maintenance
Percentage increase in yield of corn needed to break-even investment in contour hedgerows
for different % reduction in cost
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
20 40 60 80 10010 30 50 70 90
% in
crea
se in
bre
ak-e
ven
yiel
d of
cor
n
% reduction in cost of hedgerow
Loss of areaEstablishment CostMaintenance Cost
What next steps?What next steps?
Quantification of onQuantification of on--site effects taking into site effects taking into account different dimensions of benefitsaccount different dimensions of benefits
Detailed analysis of farmer perceptionsDetailed analysis of farmer perceptionsQuantitative models (modeling but the issue of Quantitative models (modeling but the issue of validation a critical one) validation a critical one)
On site benefits may be low in poorer On site benefits may be low in poorer environments, so quantification of offenvironments, so quantification of off--site site benefits critical. Scale issue? Attribution?benefits critical. Scale issue? Attribution?
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
69
ANNEX III: POWERPOINT PRESENTATIONS INRM TASK FORCE MEETING
Lessons in M& Efrom ICRISAT-Zimbabwe
PUTTING INRM INTO AGRICULTURAL SUPPORT
PROGRAMS
GERMPLASM FOCUS
1980 – 2002 SMIP
USAID
BMZ
CIDA
NARES
Universities
FAO
Private sector
CIMMYT
What inputs most enhance household food security?
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
kg h
a-1
Traditionalvariety
Improved variety Improved variety& management
Relative importance of alternative cereal grains in smallholder
production in Zimbabwe, 1990s
0102030405060708090
100% of area
NR INR II
NR IIINR IV
NR V
MaizeSorghumPearl Millet
Zimbabwe maize yields, 1980-2003
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
t ha-
1
“Securing the future for Africa’s children”
“Crop productivity growth in southern Africa has been the lowest of any region in the world despite 20
years of research funding”
ICRISAT’s NRM Research in Southern Africa 2000 onwards
Research thrustsFertility and water management technologiesParticipatory research and extension methodsAnalytical tools (soil-crop models, bio-economic models,
GIS) Linkages to input/output marketsCrop-Livestock interactions
Research approachParticipatory on-farm experimentationPartnerships (NARS, NGO’s, Univ’s , CG, private sector )Risk analysis (climatic, economic, spatial)
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
70
The Problem• Low and declining soil
fertility – N & P
• Low payoffs to investments in R & D, extension and marketing
• Declining yields, per capita food production, farm incomes, and food security
• Extensification of crop and livestock
Mismanagement of natural resources is the ‘Achilles heel’
of long-term sustainable development
(Ian Johnson, Chair CGIAR, 2000)
Extensification of farming in fragile ecosystemsExtensification of farming in fragile ecosystems
• Extreme example– Why haven’t farmers adopted my technique?
• Farming Systems Research– What kind of technologies/interventions do
farmers need?
• Participatory Research– What do farmers want?
Rethinking the questions in NRM
Household considerations
0
10
20
30
40
50
Crops
Fruits
and Veg
Lives
tock
Loca
l wag
es
Remitta
nce
Other
% o
f hou
seho
ld in
com
e TsholothoChibi – source IESZimuto
Gaps for INRM research
• Contributions NR make to livelihoods and poverty alleviation• Contribution to overall economy• Various technical NRM areas – IPM/IDM, INM, Crop-
Livestock, water quality and quantity, cognizance of multiple demands, social and economic demands, less obvious forms degradation and impact
• Integration and systems management at farm and landscape level poorly understood – iterative learning
• Social and institutional dimensions of INRM• How to change policy and institutional environment
Participatory Research + Modeling
Extension Workshops Zim/Malw
AREX
Crop Modeling Unit
On-farm Trials
Key results: N technology
• Response to low rates of N are measurable on-farm
• As little as 30 kg AN (10kg N /)ha can give maximal crop yield in dry regions (graph – 9 sites in NRIV&V)
• and,• 15-20 kg/ha can double
crop yield in most years (simulation analysis)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
0 30 60 90 120
kg Amm onium Nitrate Fertilzer per ha
grai
n yi
eld,
kg
per h
a
Source: SDRAMP
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
71
Typical N response curve - SAT
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 N rate (kg /ha)
Gra
in y
ield
(kg/
ha)
Re-interpreting soil fertility recommendations
Research recommendations
commercialisation and investment
growth
Farmer’s current use and capacity
• FPR and Simulation encourage co-learning
• Farmer’s Questions• Should I concentrate or spread the
available manure ?• Which soil type should I
concentrate my manure on?• Should I use N fertiliser in
combination with manure or use it separately?
• What if change my maize variety?• What if I change my planting date?
Using simulation models with farmers?
Linking Logics Workshops
Key results: manure technology
• Low rates of N in combination with manure increases crop yields, even in dry seasons
• Improved manure management (covers, pitting) improves nutrient cycling and increases crop yields
• Banding improves crop response to manure, substitute for Starter P
Average Tsholotsho Maize Grain Yield 2001/2002
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Manure only Manure+NTreatment
Yie
ld (k
g/ha
)
3000kg/ha manure 6000 kg/ha manure
Over time farmers got ambitious
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
Control Manure only Manure+LowN
High D, highN
High D, Low N Low D, low N
Treatment
Yie
ld (k
g/ha
)
3000kg/ha manure 6000kg/ha manure
How much nutrient can the farmer afford and where and how should he/she apply it?
How much nutrient a farmer should put on his/her soil given the desired output?
Area devoted to Crops and Rangeland
Crop Fields
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
1984 1992 2002
Clayfields Sandfields
Rangeland
0.0100.0200.0300.0400.0500.0600.0700.0
1984 1992 2002.0
Are
a (k
m^2
)
Unknow n Good Rl Poor Rl
Partners: AREX, NUST, ARC,CBOs
Care needed so we do not get lost in complexity
Care needed so we do not get lost in simplicity
Pound et al., 2003
Campbell & Sayer,2003
Barret et al., 2003
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
72
This is great....seeing research turning into practice
Paul Mapfumo Uni Zimbabwe
Steve, great!! – John Dorman USAID
With your kind of work, perhaps I will believe there is a role for technologies!! – Bruce Campbell CIFOR
A beer bottle cap holds enough AN for three plants
Creative and adaptive
Balancing hard and soft
sciences
Multiple scales ofanalysis and intervention
Becoming focused systems
thinkers
Approaching systems from an organizational
and institutionalperspective
Towards actionresearch
Evaluatingimpact
Managingknowledge
Burying theR&D continuum
Realigning scientific culture
andorganization Leadership
and facilitation
Adapting and learning
What type ofscience to do where
Socialorganization
of science
Conceptual cornerstones of
INRM
Conceptual cornerstones of
INRM
Effective Evaluation in INRM
• Stakeholder participation at stages of project• Systems approach that supports 3 INRM pillars• Timing of evaluation• Iterative approach
formative rather than summative evaluation
Beneficiaries of Impacts
• Who will use outputs? • Who will benefit?• Where?• When?• How many? • How will the information get to them?
Stakeholder Attributes and Evaluation
• Power• Legitimacy• Urgency
Varies with Salience of Stakeholder
Evaluator must understand audience of evaluation as this
Influences questions asked and Indicators used
What type ofscience to do where
Socialorganization
of science
Adapting and learning
Scaling up and
adding value
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
73
25 kg of fertilizer was distributed to 170,000 farmers with a pamphlet onhow best to apply this
In 2003/04
This was linked with1200 demonstration trials run by farmers
Alternative methods for scaling up and out
Partners: AREX, CARE, COSV, World Vision, FAO,DFID, EU and Echo
Monitoring seed relief
Post Plant
Post harvest
Promotion and support of Good Agricultural Practice
Low input N
Response Trials
Variety evaluations
Technical Support
AREX
NGOs – 3 models
Grow-outs: Which is the real Macia?
Problems
1. Mis-labeled seed2. Mixed seed (early & late)3. Poorly adapted seed
• Sorghum forage crop • Delayed flowering of cowpea seed
4. Sampling/Checks are costly
5. Companies are difficult to prove guilty
If If ---- we are distributing the best varietywe are distributing the best variety
Draft Seed Protocol
1. Choose genetically pure varieties or registered varieties
2. Accurate and traceable labeling: variety name, lot #, germination %, hybrid/OPV status, certification standard
3. Common packaging size and format: 1kg, 2kg, 5kg, 10 kg
4. Add flyer with basic planting information
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
maize(n=259)
millet (n=85) sorghum(n=184)
maize(n=181)
millet (n=87) sorghum(n=66)
Matobo Hwange
grai
n yi
eld
kg h
a-1
No N1 bag AN
Contribution of small doses of fertilizer to grain yields in Matobo & Hwange, 2004
44%
29%56%
25%22%
34%
Partners: AREX, COSV, World Vision, ECHO, DFID
Mberengwa: Virtually all farmers gained from the micro-dosing with AN in 2003/04
0200400600800
100012001400160018002000
kg h
a-1
Marita ShumbaStabile ShavaEmelia RungweTamai R ungeveEmma MakandiseC hipo HoveTendai G apikaKurengwa FusiraC hahwina MavesereSanie MakandiseEunet ShumbaR inga ZhouJohn Dube JosephineChipo MangwendeN or mias ShumbaLande ZhouDavid H ove
0 30 kg AN
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
74
Without fertiliserWith fertilisation
30 to 50% yield increased across 170,000 households that received AN from DFID in 2003
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000Z$/ha
MatoboHwange
Mberengwa
BikitaZaka
Gokwe
Net return to micro-dosing maize crops with AN, 2004
18,000 tonnes increased production
Local Market USD 2,000,000
Or
WFP USD 4,000,000
Low doses - promote poverty!
Maize grain production - Masvingo
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
1962
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
Cum
ulat
ive
yiel
d (k
g/ha
)
Current_practice10kgN/ha50kgN/ha0N_100% residues
And contributes to soil degradation!
Soil carbon dynamics
24000
25000
26000
27000
28000
29000
30000
31000
32000
33000
34000
1962
1965196
8197
119
741977
1980
1983
198619
891992
1995
1998
soil
orga
nic
carb
on (k
gC/h
a, 0
-15c
m)
Current_practice10kgN/ha100kgN/ha0N_100% residues10N_100%residues50N_100%residues
Total DM Requirement of AllLivestock for the dry period
DM Requirement0 - 343720343721 - 690395690396 - 12060551206056 - 25239492523950 - 5628195
Proportional Contribution of Stover to Dry Season Livestock DM Intake
Proportion1 - 67 - 1415 - 2526 - 4647 - 76
DM Intake requirements and the potential dry season contribution of Stover in the communal areas of Zimbabwe
Proportional Contribution of Stover to Dry Season Livestock DM Intake
Proportion1 - 67 - 1415 - 2526 - 4647 - 76
Proportion1 - 66 - 1414 - 2525 - 4646 - 7676 - 150
The contribution of Micro-Dosing to Stover Production in Zimbabwe
Contribution of Micro-dosing to Livestock
Production
Low-input is only one step toward building more sustainable
cropping systems
• But an easy first step • to achieving significant gains in
household food security
Changes in Relief• DFID developed a 3 to 5 year program of
protracted relief for Zimbabwe 2004-2007+– Seeds – consolidate message– Fertilizer – consolidate message– Improved crop husbandry practices
• ECHO increased project cycle from 6 to 10 months to capture impacts
• EU in process of developing program of protracted relief due to start 2005-2006
Program 2004-2005A. 250,000+ farmers receive 25 kg bags of AN with advice
on how best to apply (15-30 districts) –130,000 actually did
B. Farmer learning plots: 0 vs 25 kg AN/acre demonstrations with more detailed monitoring of impacts (+/- 50 farmers per district)
C. Pilot program on small packs of fertilizer – precursor to voucher schemes in 2005-2006
D. Revision of Brochures/Guides
E. Introduce conservation agriculture
F. Continued support on Seed Relief
G. Development of protocols and guides for NGO/AREX and farmers
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
75
6 Trade stores
• Hwange
• Matobo
• Tsholotsho
40 % bought by farmers because of positive experiences with microdosing in 2003/2004
Lady in Tsholotsho –
• I only harvested maize where I top dressed
• Wish I could have afforded more
The Funding
ICRISAT Core, DFID, Rockefeller, IDRC, GEF, BMZ, ACIAR, EU, Echo, FAO, USAID, PRGA, OSWU-SWMN, WOTRO
THE NETWORK Team
AREX -NARES
CIMMYT
CIAT-TSBF
IFAD-SDARMP
Universities
NGO’s - 22 at last count
Private Sector
Seed Companies
Fertilizer Companies
Farmers and Farmer Field Schools
Team ICRISAT• Steve Twomlow – Soil Science/FPR• David Rohrbach – Economist• Joe Rusike – Production Economist• John Dimes – System
Modeler/Agronomist• Andre van Rooyen – Ecologist/GIS• Lewis Hove – Systems Diversification• Kizito Mazvimavi – Economist• Sabine Homan – Systems
Diversification• 9 National Scientific Officers
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
76
Linking INRM Cornerstones into an Output, Outcome, and Impact
Assessment Framework
Frank Place
Meine van Noordwijk
World Agroforestry Centre
Outline
INRM challenges and IPGs
Framework for assessment in INRM
Challenges in assessment
Domain of similarity
Specification at ‘lower’ scales
Gender, Wealth, Age, Location, Livelihood
strategy, Resource base
Interactions with ‘higher’ scales
Policy, Governance, External stakeholders,
Longer term effects
Help actors find ‘solutions’ to
their problems
Identify problem across scales, shared understanding
Challenges For Impact Assessment in INRM Research and Development
Multiple systems, scales, problems , opportunities…
Multiple stakeholders with different perceptions, objectives, etc
Multiple interventions at different scales – some are intangible, some are generated by other interventions
Adaptive management and changing targets
Social and human capacity for this is important
Complex situations, producing somewhat new and unique cases
These challenges are, however, common across locations and therefore create the potential for International Public Goods
International Public Goods from Outcome and Impact Assessment in INRM
1. Methods and tools that can be used by INRM and other researchers and managers in other sites.
INRM approaches, landscape level indicators,
2. Lessons learnt about how INRM processes and systems work for input into decision-making
e.g. millennium ecosystem assessment
3. Inputs into ex ante models and tools that can inform major investment decisions.
e.g. EIA, re-assessment of major reforestation project in Panama
OutputsInformationOptions (TIP)MethodsGermplasm…..
OutcomesBuilt capacity (in structure, function)Use of options, methods, infoLearning and better decisions
ImpactsProductivityPoverty / equityEnvironment
Researchers make some decision about priorities related to problems, opportunities, value added
Inputs from previous research and stakeholders
Decide on level, theme, location, clientele, partners…… for research
In this context, refinement of problems, opportunities, value added is done
Schematic of Impact Pathway
Input Acti-vity
Out-put
Frame
Out-come
Im-pact
Input Acti-vity
Out-put
Frame
Out-come
Im-pact
ISSUE(n)Input Acti-
vity
Out-put
Uptake
Uptake
Out-come
Im-pact
ISSUE(n)Input Acti-
vity
Out-put
Uptake
Uptake
Out-come
Im-pact
Frame
Input Acti-vity
Out-put
ISSUE(0)
Out-come
Frame
Im-pact
Uptake
Frame
Input Acti-vity
Out-put
ISSUE(0)
Out-come
Frame
Im-pact
Uptake
The project – impact cycle as multiple loops in an active learning spiral
‘Outcomes’ in the form of improved capacity are critical for long term management of ecosystems
The previous diagram helps to reinforce the fact that our ex ante impact pathways, while essential, almost always represent a set of hypotheses
They are based on assumptions about how things work
It is an empirical issue as to whether the assumptions hold at all and more importantly whether the planned impact pathway is the most effective and efficient
Improving the impact pathway is critical for achieving impact and integrated assessment of outputs, outcomes, and impacts is a necessary ingredient
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
77
Identification of Impacts to Assess
For ‘localized’ INRM projects managed by local actors, these are determined by local processes of identification
For INRM projects involving the CGIAR, in addition to the local priority setting component, we must pay attention to IPGs, e.g.
tackling new methodological challenges
measuring processes of global significance
Outcomes and Output Identification
The ‘success factors’ provide the broad structure in which a INRM output and outcome assessment can be developed.
I say ‘broad’ structure because:
Few INRM projects will have interventions that correspond to each of the 11 success factors
For each success factor, there remains significant work to be done to identify specific outcomes and indicators.
But the cornerstones can serve as a guideline for formulating an assessment plan
O perat io nalis ingIN R M
O perationa lisingIN R M
C le ar p a rtn ersh ips an d c o llab o ra tiv e arra n gem en ts
b u ilt o n trus t, o wne rsh ip an d jo in t c om m itm e nt to
v ision an d im p a cts
C lea r p artn e rs h ip s a nd c olla b orativ e a rran g em e n ts
b uilt o n tru st, own e rs h ip a n d joint co m m itm en t to
v is io n a nd im p ac ts
Effec tiv e cro ss -d is c ip lin a ry le arn in g
tea m s o f R &D a ge n ts
E ffe ctiv e c ro s s-disc ip lina ry lea rning
te am s o f R& D ag e nts
En ab lin g g ov e rn an ce an d p olic y th at p rov ide
in c en tiv e s , c ap ac ities an d res o urce s to k ey
s tak e ho ld ers
E na b ling go ve rna nc e a nd p o lic y th a t p ro v id e
in ce n tiv e s, ca pa citie s a nd re so u rc es to ke y
s ta k eho ld e rs
Lo c al o rga niz ation al c a pac ity fo r c o lle ctiv e
ac tio n a nd se lf-g ov e rn an ce
L o ca l o rg an iza tio na l ca p ac ity fo r c o llec tiv e
a c tion an d s elf-go v erna nc e
En ha n ce d c re ativ ity an d lea rn ing th rou gh ex po s ure,
e xp e rim e nta tio n a nd iterativ e refle c tio n on
s u cc es s es a n d failu re s
E nh a nc ed c rea tiv ity a n d le arn in g thro ug h e xp os u re ,
e xp erim en tation a n d ite ra tiv e re flec tio n o n
s uc ce s se s a nd fa ilure s
Ac c es s to in fo rm a tio n o n
tec h nica l, ins titu tio na l, m ark et a n d p olic y o ption s
A cc e ss to info rm ation on
te ch n ic al, in stitution a l, m a rk e t a nd p o lic y op tio ns
Effec tiv e re s ea rc h de s ig n an d p roc es s to in teg ra te re s ea rch an d
d ev e lo pm en t o b je c tiv es
E ffe ctiv e res e arch d es ign a n d p ro ce ss to inte grate re se arc h a nd
d ev elo pm e n t ob jec tiv e s
Sh ared pro blem an d o pp ortun ity
fo cu s am on g p artn e rs
S ha re d p ro b le m a nd op po rtu nity
fo c us am on g p a rtn ers
E ffe ctiv e fac ilita tion , c oo rd in a tion an d
ne go tia tio n a t d ifferen t le v els
Effec tiv e fa c ilita tio n , c o ordina tio n a nd
n eg o tiation at d iffe re nt lev e ls
Exp lic it s c aling up / o ut stra teg y b uild in g on
s uc c es se s a nd strateg ic en try p o in ts
E xp lic it s ca lin g u p / o u t s tra te g y bu ild ing o n
su c ce ss es an d s tra te g ic e ntry po ints
In te re s t a nd en erg y cre ated in th e s ho rt- term to e ns ure co m m itm e nt to th e lo ng er term g oa ls an d p roc es se s
a m o ng pa rtne rs
In tere st an d e ne rg y c re a te d in the sh o rt-te rm to e n su re c om m itm en t to the lo n ge r te rm go a ls a n d pro ce ss es
am on g p artn e rs
INRM Factors (cornerstones) for Successful Interventions to Address NRM Problems
Campbell et al.
Effective research design
Effective cross-disciplinary teams
Scaling up/out strategy
Partnerships built on trust
Effective facilitation, coordination
Local organizational capacity
Enabling governance
Access to information
Interest and awareness
Shared problem
Enhanced creativity & learning
Research Outputs
Capacity Outcomes
Performance Outcomes
Enhanced Creativity and Learning – The Farmer Level
What types of creativity and learning are important?
1. Identification of ‘problems’ -- contrasting actual performance of the system with the objectives
Research Target: Increase awareness and develop a shared perception of ‘problems’
2. Awareness and knowledge about ‘utility’ of interventions –adjusting own experiences to new information
Research Target: Modify the perceptions on ‘expected utility’ especially where locally ‘new’ options are involved, where little learning from experience has yet taken place
3. Adding to the pool of options through ‘innovation’
Research Target: : Enhance the access to knowledge and experience of options that exist elsewhere but not yet locally, or true de novo generation of new technology
4. Modifying the way management decisions are made and fine tuning the implementation of activities
Research Target: Enhance the managerial skills of the farmer to make better allocations of her/his scarce resources
5. Gaining more control over the ‘influences outside of managers control’
Research Target: Mechanisms of ‘empowerment’ where human interactions are concerned and ‘domestication’ where biological and ecological sources of variation are involved.
6. Understand the complex system for what it is and adjust objectives to what is ‘realistic’
Research Target: Provide knowledge about realistic levels of system performance under different scenarios
Some Challenges
•There are agreed upon indicators & methods for ‘impact’ assessment, but much less agreement on the assessment of outcomes
This is critical for INRM research -- how can we create a forum for exchange of ideas on this within (ILAC) and outside the CGIAR (Ecoagriculture Partners)
•Testing for attribution links between outputs-outcomes, outcomes-impacts, or outputs-impacts remains difficult?
This is particularly the case when impacts or outcomes are not on farms and numbers of observations are low – need to use more qualitative research methods
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
78
Some Challenges
•Identification of controls or counterfactuals is another challenge, especially at the outcome level.
Perfect controls are almost impossible to find many types of INRM research – what alternatives are credible?
•How do we ‘anchor’ assessment -- to a problem (or set) or an intervention (or a set) or both?
Both have advantages and disadvantages – anchoring on problems seems most appropriate for INRM
Some Challenges
•Finally, how can we better ensure that outcome and impact assessment research does produce IPGs?
INRM approaches, methods, and tools – develop a strategy for dissemination to NARs and other users.
Empirical Lessons – What are the next priority areas? E.g., MEA calls for more work on knowledge of land degradation and processes, emphasizing drylands
Models for ex ante impact assessment – Seek clients for this and understand their needs. E.g. MEA calls for “modeling of complex dynamics” and there are many major sustainable land management initiatives underway to link to
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
79
Evaluation for Institutional Evaluation for Institutional Learning and Change (ILAC)Learning and Change (ILAC)
A CGIAR initiative A CGIAR initiative & it& it’’s implications for INRMs implications for INRM
Doug Horton, Jamie WattsDoug Horton, Jamie Wattsand Boru Douthwaiteand Boru Douthwaite
June 15, 2005June 15, 2005
“To be serious about poverty, the agricultural research and development community has to be serious about institutional learning and change.”
Robert Chambers
“Changes in the CGIAR should be home-grown and evolutionary.”
Ian Johnson
“The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of thinking we were at when we created them.”
Albert Einstein
ILAC TeamILAC TeamJamie Watts (IPGRI project leader)
Doug Horton (project coordinator)
Robert Chambers (IDS-Sussex)
Boru Douthwaite (CIAT)
Andy Hall (UNU-INTECH)
Charles Staver (INIBAP)
Peter Matlon (RF), Theo van de Sande (DGIS), Stephan Krall (GTZ) & Shantanu Mathur (IFAD)
1. Why are We Concerned with 1. Why are We Concerned with ILAC?ILAC?
Accelerating change on many fronts
Limited progress in poverty reduction & sustainable resource management
Limitations of “lone ranger,” “pipeline” & “TOT” approaches
Adapt or die
Average lifespan of the largest industrial firms is just 40 years (Senge, 1990)Organizations can be poor learners
What is ILAC?What is ILAC?
ILAC emerged from concerns that CGIAR centers were not:
Sufficiently engaged with the “real world”Learning enough from their evaluationsUsing lessons to improve their work
ILAC has academic roots in :Utilization-focused evaluation, Science & policy studiesManagement scienceOrganizational developmentAction research
How can we define ILAC?How can we define ILAC?A process of reflection, reframing and using lessons learned during R&D processes that changes:
Professional behaviors of those involved in the agricultural innovation
Institutions (habits & norms) that guide behavior
Performance of R&D organizations
Another Perspective on ILACAnother Perspective on ILACAn emerging menu of interventions that promote new behaviors and relationships, through:
Critical reflection & self-awarenessAnalysis of both successes & failures Using lessons to work more effectivelyChanging rules, norms & conventions that guide behaviorDeveloping an environment that supports learning and change
Examples of ILAC in ActionExamples of ILAC in ActionAn integrated action research / action learning program (Papa Andina Network, CIP)
Learning from innovation histories (ICRISAT, CIAT)
Building learning into external reviews (IPGRI, ICRAF)
Building KS into internal reviews / meetings (CIAT, CIFOR, CIMMYT, ICRISAT, ILRI)
Combining participant and expert reviews (WASNAR)
“Horizontal evaluation” (CIP)
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
80
Eight ILAC Briefs:Eight ILAC Briefs:1. Institutional Learning & Change: A CGIAR
initiative2. Innovation systems3. Learning-oriented evaluation4. Collaborative agreements: A “how to” guide5. Preparation and use of innovation histories6. Participatory strategic planning: An
example from CIMMYT7. Towards integrated monitoring and
evaluation systems8. Learning alliances
Our Vision: Our Vision:
ILAC will be a catalyst for changing the way we conduct agricultural research to improve its contribution to development
ILAC and Innovation SystemsILAC and Innovation Systems
In the Innovation Systems Framework:
Agricultural research organizations operate within complex, adaptive systemsInnovation is a socio-technical processInnovations emerge at the interfaces of knowledge production, dissemination & economic activityInnovation emerges out of networks, NOT from pipelines
Key Role of EvaluationKey Role of Evaluation
Evaluation, broadly defined, can serve as a tool for learning from past successes & failures in order to improve future actions
To serve this purpose, evaluation must be “Utilization-Focused” & involve key potential users of the evaluation results
Evaluation & Organizational Evaluation & Organizational Learning: Principles & PitfallsLearning: Principles & Pitfalls
We learn most from our “errors,” but seldom admit them
We learn most “in the field,” but seldom go there.
Most organizations have serious “learning disabilities.”
The higher you go the less you can “afford” to learn.
Staff turnover and “knowledge loss”
Evaluations are seldom utilization-focused & seldom support organizational learning & change
Organizational learning is a complex & delicate social process that needs to be managed.
Example: Constructing and Example: Constructing and Learning from Innovation Learning from Innovation
HistoriesHistoriesWhat is an Innovation History?• Innovation is the process of people putting
new technologies and ideas to practical use
• An Innovation History is the story of an innovation process, told in the order events happened
Why construct Innovation Why construct Innovation Histories?Histories?
There is much we can learn from IHsbecause:
To enable innovation we must first understand how it happensAccounts of how innovation happens are rarely written downTraditional reporting is often blind to personalities, roles, actors, luck, etc.
• Introduction, Methods, Discussion, Conclusions – does not describe process
IHs can complement adoption studies and impact assessment
Timeline of the Innovation Timeline of the Innovation History ApproachHistory Approach
1996 to 1999 PhD thesis constructing innovation histories of postharvestinnovations in the Philippines and Vietnam
2002 Book published based on innovation histories
2002-2004 Book subsequently becomes required or recommended reading on 7 graduate and post graduate degree courses
2003 Effort to develop Innovation Histories as a participatory learning approach begins.
2004 ILAC Brief published
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
81
PABRA Innovation HistoriesPABRA Innovation Histories
Four bean adoption histories:Climbing beans in RwandaCAL 96 in UgandaRoot rot resistant varieties in Western KenyaKenya bean varieties
Co-construction began in a 3-day workshopExample: Climbing Beans in Rwanda
TIMELINE
ACTOR NETWORK MATRICES
GoR/SDC
CIAT/Col.CIAT/Rda.
ISAR
Farmers
CIAT/Col.
DonorsVCR
SSSDev. Projects
CIAT/Rda.
ISAR
Farmers
Period 1980 – 1985 Period 1986 – 1990
Rwandan Donors
VCR
SSSDev. Projects
CIAT/Rda.
Rwandan Farmers
PABRA
ISAR
EAT
OMMN
Kenya-Farmers
Ugandan Farmerss
CAL96-Donors
Seed Project
Ugandan CBOs
Farmers Seed GpsNARO
Uganda-NGOs
CIAT
CIDA
SDC
Processors
USAID
RF
MOA
KEPHIS
TradersConsumers
ASARECAAHI
ECABREN
Kenyan CBOs
Kenya-NGOs
UNIV's
Seed Cos
KARI
Kenyan-Farmers
Map of the experimental stage of each history
Kenya varieties – Red
Cyan – Rwanda
CAL 96 – Green
Root Rot - Blue
Next Steps for PABRA Next Steps for PABRA Innovation HistoriesInnovation Histories
Individual teams write their innovation historiesWorkshop to share and reflect on findingsPlanning / change based on learningPublication of individual innovation histories, methodology and synthesis paper (the IPGs)
Discussion QuestionsDiscussion Questions
Should INRM and ILAC be more closely linked?How can we do it?
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
82
David ZilbermanDavid ZilbermanUniversity of California BerkeleyUniversity of California Berkeley
Assessment of the NRMAssessment of the NRMimpact assessments studies IIIimpact assessments studies III
Outline IIIOutline III((WednesdayWednesday))• Diversity of NRS• Reasons for public Research & NRM• Lessons• Interdisciplinary Dialogue
NRM Projects are diverse NRM Projects are diverse --IICover a wide range of issue• Replacing harvesting of NR with farming
– Aquaculture– Agroforestry
• Sustainable development of NR– Forestry– Soils– Water– Livestock
• Build up of human capital• Impact assessments approaches and issues vary
across problems
NRM are diverseNRM are diverse--IIII• Dimension of problems
– Farm level– Region– National– Global
• Much Interdependence of resources and systems-multiple disciplines interact– CIAT ( learning & soils)– CIMMYT ( mechanical and soils)– WF
Challenges
• Under-emphasis of major features needed for sustainable system assessment– Environmental impacts– Dynamics– Risk– Distributional effect (overemphasis of static agricultural issues)
• Causes – Methods– Data
• Filling this gap is a research challenge-Knowledge isa public good to be pursued by a global network in and outside the CG
Reasons for public researchReasons for public research• Under investment by private sector as they consider
only Producer surplus (not producer surplus)• Orphan crops• Orphan drugs• Poor consumers
• Missing markets– public good ( knowledge) – Externalities( pollution-negative, networks-positive)
• Economics of scale (share resources)– Large fixed cost and investment and low variable
costs make case for large units– Shared medical facilities– Case for monopolies
How Does NRM fit?How Does NRM fit?• They address orphan markets • Provide public goods(policy research, research on
NR especially in tropics)• Provide capacity that can provide targeted outputs-
apply new knowledge to specific problems– Emphasis on applied research /extension– Value to large network ( network externalities) and
continuous learning-especially in policy ,management and outreach methods
– Even when the application is specific it is useful to draw generalizable knowledge
Lessons
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
83
Lesson 1: incorporate Lesson 1: incorporate assessment to ongoing RDEassessment to ongoing RDE
• Assess impact as you go– Develop methods for monitoring of outcomes– Use results for learning and long term assessment
• The CG may consider introducing cost accounting-attributing costs to projects use for– Project assessment – Accountability & transparency
• Will be costly but – can rely on contribution of software proivders– Will upgrade IT
Lessons 2: Lessons 2: Integrated approach to Integrated approach to impact assessment:impact assessment:A multistage processA multistage process
•
First First --Background workBackground work• Presentation of the problem• Identification of research network and role
of CG• Model-
– farmer choice to derive hypothesis– overall outcomes to derive measures of
outcome– Optimize modeling effort-as base for action,
not new theory
Then document adoptionThen document adoption• Measures of adoption are diverse• Recognize
– partial adoption– Adaptation and disadoption
• Provide– spatial– time,– scale – other sources of heterogeneity among adopters
Present ImpactsPresent Impactsmeasuresmeasures
• land use changes• Outputs• Input use• prices• Environment• Health• Poverty• Related markets
Build a diverse set of measuresBuild a diverse set of measures• Bibliographic
– Citations– Downloads
• Seek feedback Follow the downloads• Nothing works like testimonials• Write technology history• Analyze research network- use it for
attribution?
Construct economic measures Construct economic measures of performanceof performance
• Consumers’ surplus • Producers’ surplus• Government surplus• Environmental benefits ( monitized)• Disaggregate these measures by
locationTimeCategories ( farmers , input manufacturer, output
seller)IRR
Lesson 3: you can not avoid Lesson 3: you can not avoid assessmentassessment
• If you spend others’ people money you need to show results
• They consider weight of evidence- need a story with some numbers ( and pictures)
• IRR is like democracy- far from perfect but good considering the alternatives(especially if a funder considers allocation among diverse causes)
• When assessing ongoing project- assess it ex-post and provide future projections
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
84
Lesson 4:NRS have diverse IRRLesson 4:NRS have diverse IRR• We have limited knowledge • IRR of some NRM projects is high very
high– Relatively uniform technology( strategy)– Large scale
• Probably high variability of IRR• Lower IRR than crop breeding?
• Build a believable counterfactuals• When possible- establish treatment
and control group• Sample sizes are critical • Extra modeling and econometric
skills go a long way
Lesson 5:think about statisticsLesson 5:think about statistics
Lesson 6:Locate research within Lesson 6:Locate research within a global network of sciencea global network of science
• The CG is part of scientific community• Results and findings
– Discoveries and research outcomes– Patterns of adoption ,technology impacts
should be presented within the context of global knowledge
Lesson 7:Effective assessment Lesson 7:Effective assessment efforteffort
• Impact assessment is an economic activityAdjust effort to the reward• Multiple audiences deserve multiple
outcome• It is useful for donors but crucial for
internal management
Lesson 8: Build skills &networks Lesson 8: Build skills &networks • CG should have orientation training to new
professionals to:– build assessment skills– familiarity with system– Establish disciplinary and interdisciplinary networks– Have cross disciplinary dialogue
• Orientation effort will require refining evaluation and assessment procedures
• Can be used as part of other CG inner communication efforts
Adoption:theory &estimationAdoption:theory &estimation
TheoryTheoryAdoption is a multidimensional process
– Continuous learning(neighbors, sellers, media)– Assessment ( based on self interest&constraints)– Consideration of risk ( does it fits my needs?, what
happen when it fails?) – Timing matters( Start slowly and intensify, delay till
you know better)– Feedback within community
The Marketing discipline studies The Marketing discipline studies how to affect adoptionhow to affect adoption
• A bad product can be introduced but will not last
• Recognize heterogeneity-target the likely adopters
• Change emphasis over time – Build awareness– Demonstrate performance– Address concerns– Help to overcome constraints (credit)– Establish mechanisms to reduce risk
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
85
Empirical adoption researchEmpirical adoption research• Econometrics-Depends on the data and limitation of
statistics– Empirical models are crude
• Tries to estimate key parameters and predict• Interviews with panels of potential adopters
– Can address issues of product design and attitude -but there are gaps between words and deeds
• Empirical approaches evolve with technological capabilities -especially IT
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
86
International Public Goods (IPG) Generated Through INRM
ResearchR.R. Harwood
F. PlaceA.H. Kassam
H. M. Gregersen
IRRI, June 13-16, 2005
Evolution of the IPG concept within the CGIAR-changes in Center foci
• The period of widely-tested germplasm, with generic commodity production packages, and empirically-tested farming systems (through 1980s)
• Addition of climatic zone-focused Centers (ICRISAT, CIAT, IITA, ICARDA)
• Initial attempts to define recommendation domains for farming systems (Garrity et al. 1978, 1981)
• 1990-Addition of NR Centers in forestry, agroforestry, fisheries and water management
• Formalization of the ecoregional approach-1991
An ecoregional approach
• Formally defined and instituted in 1991 (TAC), and ecoregional programs begun in the 1990s
• Dimensions included bio-geo-physical, economic and increasingly socio/political elements, leading to the INRM focus in the late 90s
IPG definition (TAC 1997)
“Centres’ products should be international public goods”
INRM development requires wide-ranging research outputs, from basic to applied, coordinated across a multi-layered partnership of institutions
Production ecosystems cover broad geographical areas (not usually defined by national boundaries) with diversity and gradients in each of the resource domains and in their drivers
The “embedding” of technologies for change and their extrapolation across those gradients requires scientific tools of several types
Development agencies dealing with INRM require a range of research outputs of both goods and services, many of which are most effectively generated at a regional (or broader) international level
Therefore: “output” types with an IPG dimension include:
• Research coordination services• Development and problem-specific
application of a range of INRM tools• Development of principles and procedures
for INRM management (and the institutional structures needed)
• Development, embedding and extrapolation of technologies across production Ecosystems
Decision support tools as IPG
• GIS models to serve as “platforms” (CIP intermountain program)
• Ecosystem, ecoregional, river basin-specific data sets specific to needs of collaborators (IITA/ICRAF for the SSA CP)
• INRM research training tools (CIAT) • Process models for key drivers (in each of the
resource domains, such as econometric, bio-geophysical, demographic)
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
87
Development of change elements and their Ecosystem integration
• Identification or creation of solitary factors• Integration/embedding of change factors
– ecologically (bio-geophysical)– Ecologically---including
social/political/economic as well as bgp
Embedding tools:
• GIS models and data sets (for key drivers)• Process models for key drivers in each
domain• The use of tools to identify calibration and
verification conditions and locations
An embedded change element
• Can be extrapolated across gradients of space and time for:– Scaling– Impact analysis, both ex-ante and ex-post– Element often can be transformed from
situation-specific to IPG (having broad user-friendly utility for development groups)
– Modest investment in scaling should increase IRR to the research
Coordination services as an IPG
• Regional INRM research coordination and facilitation services that involve more than one country– Ecoregional– River basin– Cross-cutting topical
Requirements of a coordinator (for optimal effectiveness)
• The institution must have a clear and recognized presence within the Ecoregion
• Must have demonstrated INRM scientific capacity to be a full partner
• Best if apolitical in status• Must provide coordination which enhances
the INRM collaborative process across a wide stakeholder range
• Should have resources to commit
Institutional-level IPG
• Development at both field and landscape levels of management and institution-building principles and methods that have applicability in more than one country– Guidelines for vertical integration and the
parameters most appropriately managed at each level
– Management tools at each level
Summary ofIPG outputs from INRM research • INRM research tools and decision aids• Multi-country coordination services• INRM-focused-Institution-building
principles• Technologies and management practices
that are production-Ecosystem-embedded, and verified across driver gradients
Lessons learnt
• That INRM- specific IPG must be carefully selected and designed toward specific ends
• Stakeholders should be involved from outset, involved as appropriate in the research process, and anticipating the outputs in their own program design
• INRM tools should be designed for use at the lowest appropriate institutional level
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
88
Empirical vs. inductive-deductive iterative processes
• For the development of technologies• For their purposeful production Ecosystem
embedding
IPG definition
• The broad definition is fine. INRM research does not really mandate more narrow delineation of boundaries
• It would be of significant advantage to continue to refine the examples of IPG types that it delivers
Final take home message
• INRM research should add integration/embedding richness at every opportunity for enhanced IRR
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
89
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Managing banana diversity to improve rural livelihoods in Uganda:a preliminary evaluation of natural resource management impacts
D. Karamura, E. Karamura and R. Markham
funded by IDRC
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Outline
• Why banana? Why diversity?• Threats to banana diversity • Approaches
Participatory rural appraisalsTraining and demonstration/Exchange visitsStrengthening socio-economic networks along the resource-production-consumption pipeline
• Impacts assessed and still to be assessed
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Why banana?
• Annual per capitaconsumption of up to 600 kg – highest in the world
• About 20 million tonnes are produced and consumed in the region annually
• Occupies 30-40 % of land under crops
• Banana is a major staple but is also sold in local markets for cash income
• An important import-substitution food crop
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Why banana diversity?• Eastern Africa is considered
a secondary centre of banana diversity
• 80-120 clones (=cultivars) grown on-farm
• The Great Lakes region supports the greatest diversity
‘Hotspots’ of diversity (Shannon Index)
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Banana-based cropping systems in Uganda
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Banana-based cropping systems• Backyard garden, peri-
urban and rural subsistence systems
• 0.5-2.0 ha plots• Cultivar mixtures: farmers
grow as many as 20-30 cultivars in one plot
• Consumed as dessert, roasted or cooked green
• Many traditional uses add value to the crop
Project sites in Uganda and Tanzania
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Threats to banana diversity
Black sigatokaXanthomonas Wilt
Banana weevil attack Nematode attack
a) Biotic threats
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Threats to banana diversityb) Socio-economic threats
• Lack of markets• Post-harvest losses
along production-consumption chains
• Weak infrastructure along the chains
• Weak supporting policies
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
90
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Approaches and methods
• Participatory rural appraisals and diagnostic surveys to identify priorities
• Training and demonstrations of options by NGOs, extension and research organizations
• Exchange visits by farmers and farmer organizations, between benchmark sites, to share existing skills
• Strengthening socio-economic networks along the resource-production-consumption pipeline to bring in a diversity of players
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Where are we?
• Phase 1 of project completeeffects on genetic resources documentedsome adoption of new ‘technologies’ documentedbetter understanding of social and biophysical system available
• Phase 2 of project under waybroader agenda in diversification of uses and organizing actors in a ‘national banana sector’heightened awareness of importance of NRM interactions – ‘incautious intensification’seeking more effective monitoring and evaluation approacheshow can we best monitor NRM impacts?
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Outputs
• Strengthened social capital around the farmers• New management technologies adopted• Broadened (banana-based) diversity at farm level• New products and diversified income sources• Improved nutrition• (Banana diversity
conserved or even increased)
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Strengthened social capital around the farmers• Five farmers’ associations formed in benchmark
sites in Uganda and Tanzania by 2002• The associations trained in group and financial
management skills• Farmers trained in value addition and marketing
skills (exchange visits and demonstrations)• Linkages with NGOs, extension service, research
organizations, bureau of standards…
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
New management technologies adopted• Pest/disease management to reduce
vulnerability while increasing yield• Plant density management to increase plant
vigour and yield• Soil fertility/water management
contour planting, compost, mulching…
• Banana fruit quality control
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
New management practices adopted(estimated % farmers practicing)
0
2.0
2.5
3.0
2.5
2000
15Banana fruit quality control5
45Agro-foresty/fruit trees4
52Soil fertility/water management3
61Plant density2
70Pest/disease management1
2005Practice
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Broadened banana-based diversity at farm level Fruits and vegetables• Improve household nutrition and broaden base
of household income generationamaranths, cabbage, carrots, spinach, climbing beans, green pepper …avocado, passion fruit, oranges, pineapples, papaya, guava …
• Agro-forestry to increase soil fertility and provide farm timber
Calliandra, Sesbania, Ficus
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
New products and diversified income sources
• Based on the realization that increased utilization is a strong incentive for sustainable conservation of diversity
• Association members were trained through exchange visits/demonstrations and attachments
• Market linkages were developed for processed products (ongoing)
• Quality control (packaging, labelling, product quality analysis) remain daunting problems
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
91
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
New products and diversified income sources(estimated % farmers practicing)
2
0
7
0.1
6
0
2000
Training provided10Handicraft6
Training provided4Solar dried figs5
Traditional5Banana juice4
Traditional0.1Banana gin3
Traditional4Banana beer2
Training provided10Banana wine1
Comments2005Product
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Improving nutrition in an intensified agricultural system
• Child malnutrition levels in the district are the highest in Uganda
• Protein, vitamin and mineral deficiencies• High population densities encourage
intensification approaches, such as mixed cropping and zero grazing
• Agro-forestry (mainly fruit trees), vegetable growing and zero grazing livestock are adopted to complement the largely carbohydrate diet
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Improving nutrition in an intensified agricultural system
Bananas …with vegetables
…with zero-grazing goats
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
vegetables
fruit trees
mulching – organic matter management
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Still to be addressed• How have diversified sources of income
affected rural livelihoods (health, nutrition, education, gender empowerment, etc)?
• How should we assess impacts on the other components of the natural resource base (soil fertility, erosion, water, …)?
• What about sustainability? Is a special effort needed to ensure that the gains are sustained?Do we need to monitor that process?
INRM workshop – Los Baños – June 2005
Still to be addressed• Would it be more interesting to look at the
learning and innovation process?
We would be grateful for your advice!
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
92
Problems:Pest & diseaseLoss of biodiversityWeak infrastructureSoil fertility declineYield declineMarkets links unclearFruit quality controlCrop-livestock integration
Outcome:Improved livelihoods of bananafarmers, better NRM and increased biodiversity
1. Impact assessment pathway?2. International Public Goods?
Improved livelihoodsamongst farmers in Africa
Ultimate outcome
Eventual wideradoption
Community enjoys generallivelihood improvements
Eventual wideradoption
Changes inknowledgeand attitudes
Adopting farmersenjoy higher and morestable incomes
DirectBenefit
Changes inknowledgeand attitudes
Stakeholderslearn ofproject
SCALINGUP
Adoption oftechnologies andchanges in practice
SCALINGOUT
Adoption inother villages
Farmers modify andinnovate
Changes in farmers’attitudes andperception
Improved knowledgeof farmers
On-farm validation andadaptation of ‘best bet’options
Immediate researchoutputs
Iterationsof learningcycle
Example of an Impact Pathway
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
93
International Public Goods:IPGRI/INIBAP Case Study
DIVERSITY LIVELIHOODS
Key QuestionWhat is the optimum level and kinds of diversity to
retain to improve livelihoods through increasing financial, natural, physical, social and human capital assets?
Two objectives
LIVELIHOODSDIVERSITY
If we are to conserve banana genetic diversity overall, we will need to conserve ex situ whatever cannot be conserved in situ on farms. Given the cost and complexity of the first option, how best can we maximise the second?
What options are there to expand the relevance of the different banana genotypes to farmers’ livelihoods, and for new options to be added to their livelihood strategies? What kinds of incentives might encourage farmers to conserve banana genetic diversity?
DiversityDiversityHow is this diversity expressed?How is this diversity expressed?
various uses by people;various uses by people;different agronomic features (but not different agronomic features (but not generally recognised by people)generally recognised by people)across landscapes in relation to across landscapes in relation to environment (including deliberate or environment (including deliberate or unconscious selection by people);unconscious selection by people);
What components of this diversity do What components of this diversity do local people recognise and value?local people recognise and value?
LivelihoodsLivelihoods
What contributions do bananas make What contributions do bananas make to peopleto people’’s livelihoods, and how does s livelihoods, and how does that vary geographically, socially and that vary geographically, socially and culturally?culturally?What values do people currently get What values do people currently get from bananas in different from bananas in different circumstances?circumstances?What are the longerWhat are the longer--term dynamics term dynamics of banana farming (expanding? of banana farming (expanding? contracting? stable? where? why?)contracting? stable? where? why?)
Key issues for consideration Key issues for consideration in different INRM domainsin different INRM domains
e.g.e.g.-- economics of economics of
production: production: returns to returns to land, labour land, labour and capitaland capital
-- economics of economics of marketingmarketing
-- etc...etc...
e.g.e.g.-- equityequity-- (gender)(gender)-- farmersfarmers’’
organisationsorganisations-- changes in changes in
traditional traditional practicepractice
-- preferences, preferences, priorities and priorities and visions for the visions for the futurefuture
e.g. e.g. -- soil fertilitysoil fertility-- erosionerosion-- soil OMsoil OM-- (water)(water)
EconomicEconomicSocialSocialEnvironmentEnvironment
International Public Goods International Public Goods -- 11
A strategy for optimising A strategy for optimising in situin situ and and ex situex situ genetic conservationgenetic conservation
[What are the values of the different [What are the values of the different varieties to people? How can these be varieties to people? How can these be generated, recognised and maintained? generated, recognised and maintained? What provisions need to be made to allow What provisions need to be made to allow for variations in outcome depending on for variations in outcome depending on local and regional conditions and factors?]local and regional conditions and factors?]
International Public Goods International Public Goods -- 22
Conservation of the full range of Conservation of the full range of banana genetic diversity in Uganda banana genetic diversity in Uganda (set in the context of the global (set in the context of the global genetic diversity of the species)genetic diversity of the species)[This would be the aggregate effect of the [This would be the aggregate effect of the success of the success of the in situin situ and and exex situ situ conservation efforts]conservation efforts]
International Public Goods International Public Goods -- 33
Established property rights and a Established property rights and a framework of legal principles framework of legal principles safeguarding themsafeguarding them[explore and promote options for a more [explore and promote options for a more equitable legal framework that recognises equitable legal framework that recognises (and rewards) local people(and rewards) local people’’s knowledge and s knowledge and practices, as recommended by the practices, as recommended by the International Treaty on Plant Genetic International Treaty on Plant Genetic Resources (FAO) and Article 8j of the Resources (FAO) and Article 8j of the Convention on Biological Diversity]Convention on Biological Diversity]
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
94
International Public Goods International Public Goods -- 44
Ways of adding value to the different Ways of adding value to the different elements of banana genetic diversity elements of banana genetic diversity [[‘‘greengreen’’ labelling; development of specific labelling; development of specific products for speciality markets; improvements products for speciality markets; improvements in wine production, with possible in wine production, with possible differentiation by cultivar; improved postdifferentiation by cultivar; improved post--harvest technologies to reduce losses]harvest technologies to reduce losses]
International Public Goods International Public Goods -- 55
Map genetic attributes of banana Map genetic attributes of banana varieties against their phenotypic traits varieties against their phenotypic traits [e.g. pest/disease resistance; fruit, [e.g. pest/disease resistance; fruit, fibre and leaf quality; productivity; fibre and leaf quality; productivity; plant x environment interactions]plant x environment interactions]
International Public Goods International Public Goods -- 66
Strengthened institutions at a range Strengthened institutions at a range of scales (localof scales (local--nationalnational--international) international) to maintain this diversity in the long to maintain this diversity in the long termterm[build on existing institutions, especially [build on existing institutions, especially local ones; resolve issues of how these can local ones; resolve issues of how these can be further developed, where they should be be further developed, where they should be situated initially, and how they can be situated initially, and how they can be responsive to change, i.e. dynamic responsive to change, i.e. dynamic arrangements introduced by adaptive, arrangements introduced by adaptive, learning, organisations]learning, organisations]
International Public Goods International Public Goods -- 77
Improvements to the INRM Approach Improvements to the INRM Approach itselfitself
[developed though ongoing reflection, [developed though ongoing reflection, learning and adaptation among the various learning and adaptation among the various communities of practice involved in the communities of practice involved in the project]project]
?????
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
95
GOAL: IMPROVE THE LIVELIHOODS OF BANANA GROWING FAMILIES
Outputs Indicators Means of Verification
Established farmer groups Number Head count
New management techniques Number Head count
Farmers trained in production of new products (wine, handicraft)
Number Head count
Policy recommendations Number and degree of transferability Head count, citations
Methodology developed Documentation of methods Documentation
Experimentation, Adaptation and Adoption of
New management techniques Percentage of non-participating farmers who adopted new techniques
Head count
Production of new products (wine, handicraft)
Percentage of non-participating farmers who adopted new techniques
Head count
Group formation Number of groups who formed independently
Head count
Intermediate Outcomes
Strengthened social capital Stories, stronger social networks Social mapping
Maintained or increased diversity Change in diversity Farm surveys; GPS transect walks
Greater diversity in farming system (vegetables and livestock)
Change in number and types of commodities grown
Observation, stories
Decreased soil erosion ???
Increased soil fertility Change in productivity Observation, stories
Increased banana yield Percentage increase Surveys
Increase input use Change in input use Surveys
Decrease in banana prices Change in banana prices Surveys
Increased sources of income Changes in sources of income Surveys
Change in consumption patterns and levels
Changes in consumption Surveys
Final Outcomes
Improved nutrition
Increased income
Micro enterprised developed
Improved or maintained biodiversity
More sustainable farming systems
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
96
Navigating amidst complexity: A Guide to Managing R&D
Interventions for Improving Livelihoods and the Environment
Navigating amidst complexity: A Guide to Managing R&D
Interventions for Improving Livelihoods and the Environment
INRM Task Force (Bruce Campbell, Jürgen Hagmann, Ann Stroud, Richard Thomas, Eva Wollenberg)
OutlineOutline
1. Where are we coming from?
2. The theoretical foundations -what is different?
3. The operational framework –cornerstones and guidelines
4. Conclusions
1. Where are we coming from?
2. The theoretical foundations -what is different?
3. The operational framework –cornerstones and guidelines
4. Conclusions
1. Where are we coming from?1. Where are we coming from?
Bilderberg1999
Penang2000
Cali2001
Aleppo 2002
...Towards INRM...
Theoretical foundation
Conceptual framework
Implementation in practice‘Experience’
Operational framework
Towards mainstreaming INRM in the institutions
Integrated Natural Resource ManagementIntegrated Natural Resource Management
Participatory rural appraisalParticipatory rural appraisalFarming systems researchFarming systems research
Participatory technology developmentParticipatory technology development
Community-based natural resource managementCommunity-based natural resource management
Integrated conservation and developmentIntegrated conservation and development
LandcareLandcare
Eco-agricultureEco-agricultureEcosystem approachEcosystem approach
Integrated catchment managementIntegrated catchment management
Integrated coastal zone managementIntegrated coastal zone management
Where are we coming from?Where are we coming from?
Getting into the system
Getting into the system
Learning and adaptingLearning and adapting
Buryingthe research-developmentcontinuum
Buryingthe research-developmentcontinuum
Changing incentive systems
Changing incentive systems
Leadershipand facilitation
Leadershipand facilitation
Culture and organizationof science
Culture and organizationof science
Approach systems from an organizational and
institutional perspective
Approach systems from an organizational and
institutional perspectiveWhat typeof science
to do where
What typeof science
to do where
Multiple scalesof analysis
and intervention
Multiple scalesof analysis
and intervention
IntegrationIntegration
2. Theoretical Foundations
Focusing onadaptive capacity
Focusing onadaptive capacity
3. Operational framework3. Operational framework
Shared problem and opportunity focus among partners
Clear partnerships and collaborative arrangements built on trust, ownership and joint commitment to vision
and impacts
Local organizational capacity for collective
action and self-governance
Shared creativity and learning through exposure,
experimentation and iterative reflection on successes and
failures
Interest and energy created in short-term to get commitment
to longer term goals and processes among partners
Explicit scaling up / out strategy building on successes and
strategic entry points
Effective research design and process to integrate
research and development objectives
Effective cross-disciplinary learning
teams of R&D agents
Effective facilitation, coordination and negotiation
at different levels
Enabling governance and policy that provide incentives, capacities and resources to key
stakeholders
Access to information on technical, institutional,
market and policy options
OperationalizingINRM
OperationalizingINRM
Shared problem and opportunity focus among partners
Clear partnerships and collaborative arrangements built on trust, ownership and joint commitment to vision
and impacts
Local organizational capacity for collective
action and self-governance
Shared creativity and learning through exposure,
experimentation and iterative reflection on successes and
failures
Interest and energy created in short-term to get commitment
to longer term goals and processes among partners
Explicit scaling up / out strategy building on successes and
strategic entry points
Effective research design and process to integrate
research and development objectives
Effective cross-disciplinary learning
teams of R&D agents
Access to information on technical, institutional,
market and policy options
OperationalizingINRM
OperationalizingINRM
Enabling governance and policy that provide incentives, capacities and resources to key
stakeholders
Effective facilitation, coordination and negotiation
at different levels
Enabling governance and policy
Shared problem and opportunity
focus
Clear partnerships and
collaborative arrangements
Local organisational
capacity
Action research
Interest and energy created in the short-term
Explicit scaling up/
out strategy
Effective research design
and process
Effective cross-
disciplinary teams
Effective facilitation,
coordination and negotiation
Access to information
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
97
Example cornerstoneExample cornerstone
• Why is this cornerstone important?
• How to achieve quality?
• Why is this cornerstone important?
• How to achieve quality?
Clear partnerships and collaborative arrangements built on trust,
ownership and joint commitment to vision and impacts
Clear partnerships and collaborative arrangements built on trust,
ownership and joint commitment to vision and impacts
What are we aiming to achieve?What are we aiming to achieve?
• Coordination driven by a shared problem and desired impact that supersedes any single group’s aims and capacities
• Power differences among partners are handled to accommodate weaker partners and enable them to act with confidence and develop their capacities
• Partnerships based on complementary roles and responsibilities
• Partners openly negotiate their interests to develop a shared vision and goals
• Assess need for partnership, then identify and assess potential partners
• Maximize synergies and complementarities with clear roles and balanced competencies
• Establish shared ownership and identify common values and principles
• Establish and maintain conditions and processes for decision-making and reaching agreements that are fair and equitable, and for monitoring the partnership
• Assess need for partnership, then identify and assess potential partners
• Maximize synergies and complementarities with clear roles and balanced competencies
• Establish shared ownership and identify common values and principles
• Establish and maintain conditions and processes for decision-making and reaching agreements that are fair and equitable, and for monitoring the partnership
Elements of “partnerships’ cornerstoneElements of “partnerships’ cornerstone1. …….2. …….3. ……. 4. Establish ways to deal with unequal partners and
power relationships as well as ways to negotiate and/or deal with differences. Have mechanisms to uncover differences so they do not fester
5………
Strategies
4. Conclusions4. Conclusions• 11 operational cornerstones:– As a frame to design new
programmes– As a frame to monitor &
evaluate on-going programmes in a strategic way
– As a knowledge management tool
– As a tool to create a common understanding and vision
• A way to remind us of what we need to consider
• Complex – yes, but need to focus on the weak cornerstones
• 11 operational cornerstones:– As a frame to design new
programmes– As a frame to monitor &
evaluate on-going programmes in a strategic way
– As a knowledge management tool
– As a tool to create a common understanding and vision
• A way to remind us of what we need to consider
• Complex – yes, but need to focus on the weak cornerstones
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
98
Questions on the guidelineQuestions on the guideline
What are the weak points What are the weak points –– can they be can they be strengthenedstrengthenedHow to balance the broad diffuse agenda with How to balance the broad diffuse agenda with need to produce concrete outcomesneed to produce concrete outcomesCan the process be evaluated vs. the tangible Can the process be evaluated vs. the tangible productsproductsIs it necessary to Is it necessary to ‘‘boundbound’’ the problem?the problem?Does the complex approach put donors off? Do Does the complex approach put donors off? Do they prefer to fund 1they prefer to fund 1--D approach and simplicity?D approach and simplicity?
How to move forwardHow to move forward
Do we need more multiDo we need more multi--facetedfacetedChallenge Programs to mainstream INRM Challenge Programs to mainstream INRM framework?framework?How do we package the research agenda How do we package the research agenda to leverage funds for implementationto leverage funds for implementationWhat are the envisioned impacts and can What are the envisioned impacts and can we measure them (findings of SPIA?)we measure them (findings of SPIA?)
1. ParticipatoryProblem analysis
2. INRM Research on alternatives
3a. Production functions
Quantity/qualityof food & fibreG x E matching efficiency
3b. Human well being
Risk managementParticipation
3c. EcosystemFunctions
Nutrient cyclingC sequestrationBiodiversityWater balance
4. Tradeoffs and options
Analyses of trade offsIdentification of range of options
5. Outcomes
ExtrapolationDisseminationPolicy implementation
Model of INRMResearch Process
6. Feedback
SocialEconomic No credit access
PoliticalSubsidies No insurances
SOCIO ECONOMIC FACTORSSOCIO ECONOMIC FACTORS
Figure 1. An overview of the biophysical constraints and interreFigure 1 . An overview of the biophysical constraints and interrelations with production systems and households and communitieslations with production systems and households and communities
Land :•Terrain, geology•Vegetation•Hydrology
Land use :•Farming
systems
Soil degradation
Climate :• Low, erratic rainfall • Drought• High evapotranspiration• Short growing period
Soil Productivity
(low)
Soil/plant water
availability(Shortage,
erratic)•Run off•Evaporation•Low storage
Erosion
NATURAL RESOURCESNATURAL RESOURCES
• Local Knowledge (+)• Technology few alternatives• Labor• High risk• Low investment • Low infrastructure• Community cohesion
highly variable
HOUSEHOLD/COMMUNITYHOUSEHOLD/COMMUNITYCropland :•Barley +++,Grain, low yield, low diversification
Rangeland : •Overgrazing•High degradation•Low productivity
Small ruminants•High numbers•Low productivity•Feed shortages and•supply from market
Aridity
PRODUCTION SYSTEMSPRODUCTION SYSTEMS
Markets(No regulation)
Low potential base
High pr
essu
re
Low inputs
Auto consumption Output
M&M intervention:•Higher integration of crops and livestock• Forage legumes; new barley varieties
• Increased dry matter• Alternative feed resources(feed block, shrubs, cactus)
• Better management of small ruminants
M&M intervention:Conservation techniques : • Rotations, water harvesting, shrubs,
cactus, alley cropping
M&M intervention:•Strengthening institutions•Community modeling•Community empowerment
Flexibility
Sust
aina
bilit
y
V iabilit y
Future of the Task ForceFuture of the Task Force
Does it have a future or has it fulfilled its Does it have a future or has it fulfilled its objectives?objectives?Is it worth organizing future meetings and Is it worth organizing future meetings and if so on what specific topics that should if so on what specific topics that should result in outputs from the group?result in outputs from the group?
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
99
OUTSCALING INRM
ICARDA EXPERIENCES so far…
1. ICARDA INRM EXPERIENCESKhanasser valley integrated research site
1. ICARDA INRM EXPERIENCES
Khanasser valley integrated research site:Features: Recurring drought, crop-livestock integration, different degradation processes, relative poverty.
Proximity to ICARDA HQ (1.5 hour).
Hands-on experimenting with INRM approaches.
Testing and developing of INRM tools.
M&M project
Yemen Terrace project
……
2. OUTSCALING OF INRM
INRM publications.INRM seminars during ICARDA regional planning meetings.Introduction of INRM during in-house training courses.Need for more hands-on capacity building for INRM:
3. APPROACH A: INRM TRAINING
Focus: Mountain and conservation tillage projects at Morocco.Time: 3 days training.Who: 5 ICARDA trainers & 25 project staff. Format:
General INRM framework & principles.Explaining 3 clusters of INRM tools (diagnostic, problem-solving, process).Trainees pick up tool(s) which are useful for them, but for which they need more capacity.Group work: Split up in selected tool groups + concrete planning in project context + trainers can explain more.Outcome presented at plenary.
Integrated Natural Resources Management (INRM) toolbox :
Diagnostic tools Tools for problem-solving and
capitalizing on opportunities
Process tools
1. Integrated research site. 2. Multi-level analytical
framework. 3. Livelihood, gender and
community analysis. 4. Analysis of policy,
institutional and market environment.
5. Analysis of natural resources status and dynamics.
6. Holistic system analysis.
7. Multi-level framework for interventions.
8. ‘Plausible options’ or ‘best bets’.
9. Decision and negotiation support tools.
10. Scaling-out and scaling-up.
11. Participatory action research (PAR).
12. Envisioning. 13. Multi-stakeholder
cooperation. 14. Cross-disciplinary approach. 15. Capacity building of different
stakeholders. 16. Effective communication,
coordination and facilitation strategy.
17. Monitoring, evaluation and impact assessment.
18. Managing knowledge.
Feedback to approach A:Eye-opener for INRM complexity & diversity of tools.Most people enjoyed to discuss strategic project issues in multi-disciplinary teams. To be effective, participants need some basic INRM experiences.Training considered too short by some.
Need for more examples.For impact, needs follow-up from project manager & trainers (e.g. specific tool training).INRM training considered too late, as projects had already started –should have taken place at project initiation.Useful learning experience for INRM practitioners to synthesize and explain their INRM experiences.
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
no partly m ostly yes
Stage of objective fulfillment
No.
Par
ticip
ants
Mainstream
Capacity s trengthening
Change in research
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
100
4. APPROACH B:GRADUAL INRM INCLUSION IN PROJECT
Project: Challenge Program Project, Iran.Who: About 50 interdisciplinary project staff of different institutions.INRM built in during project design.When required: Hands-on training & group training. ‘Reflection points’ in project cycle.
Experiences with Approach B
Less explicit and gradual INRM application.‘Novelty of project approach’ is perceived. Focussed to persons who require certain skills.Risks for ‘disciplinary stubbornness’.Still in progress….
ANNEX IV. LIST OF PARTICIPANTS
NO Invited By Title First Name Last Name Position Organization Address Country Email
1 INRM Dr. Richard Roland Harwood C.S. Mott Chair
Interim Science Council – STAC/CGIAR / Michigan State University, Crop & Soil Science Dept.
5997 Wynn Jones RD Port Orchard, Washington
USA 98366 [email protected]
2 INRM Mr. Thomas Michael Mbeyela Principal Field Officer Ministry of Water And Livestock Development, National A. I. Center
P.O. Box 557 USA River Tanzania [email protected]
3 INRM Dr. Steve John Twomlow Global Theme Leader (Water, Soil and Agrobiodiversity Management for Agro-ecosystem Health)
ICRISAT, Matopos Research Station P.O. Box 776, Bulawayo Zimbabwe [email protected]
4 INRM Dr. Adel El-Beltagy Director General ICARDA P.O. Box 5466 Aleppo Syria [email protected]
5 INRM Dr. Alex Reuben Saka Assistant Director of Agriculture Research Services
Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation & Food Security
P.O. Box 30779 Lilongwe3 Malawi [email protected]
6 INRM Dr. Suhas Wani Principal Scietist (Watershed) and Regional Theme Coordinator (Asia), GT Agroecosystem
ICRISAT P.O. Patacheru, 502 324 Andhra, Pradesh India [email protected]
7 INRM Dr. Frank Place Economist and Leader, Land and People Theme ICRAF P.O. Box 30677 00100
Nairobi Kenya [email protected]
8 INRM Dr. Ren Wang Deputy DG, Research IRRI P.O Box: 7777 Makati City Metro Manila Philippines [email protected]
9 INRM Dr. Richard James Thomas Director NRMP ICARDA P.O. Box 5464 Aleppo Syria [email protected]
10 INRM Dr. Francis Turkelboom Soil Conservation/Land Management Specialist ICARDA P.O. Box 5466
Aleppo Syria [email protected]
11 INRM Dr. J. Ladha IRRI Representative IRRI-Delhi IRRI, 1st Floor CG Block, NASC Complex Dev Prakash, Sastri Marg, Pusa, New Delhi 110012
India [email protected]
12 INRM Dr. Roberto La Rovere Impact Specialist CIMMYT Impact Targeting & Assessment Program, CIMMYT, Apdo. Postal 6-641 06600 Mexico, D.F.
Mexico [email protected]
13 INRM Dr. Olaf Erenstein Agricultural Economist CIMMYT CG Centre Block, National Agricultural Sciences Center Complex DP, Shastri Marg, Pusa, New Delhi 1110012
India [email protected]
14 SPIA Prof. David Zilberman Professor and Chair Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics University of California at Berkeley USA [email protected]
15 SPIA Dr. Kamel Shideed Research Program Director, Poverty-Livelihood Analysis and Impact Assessment
ICARDA P.O. Box 5466 Aleppo Syria [email protected]
16 SPIA Dr. Madan Dey Portfolio Director The WorldFish Center GPO Box 500 10670 Penang Malaysia [email protected]
17 SPIA Dr. Meredith Giordano Research Director International Water Management Institute (IWMI)
PO Box 2075 Colombo Sri Lanka [email protected]
18 SPIA Dr. Mywish Maredia Professor Michigan State University 321 Agricultural Hall, East Lansing MI 48824-1039 USA [email protected]
19 SPIA Dr. Prabhu Pingali Director ESA FAO Viale delle Terme di Caracalla, 00100, Rome Italy [email protected]
Combined workshop of the Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA) of the CGIAR and the 6th meeting of the CGIAR Task Force on Integrated Natural Resources Management
102
NO Invited By Title First Name Last Name Position Organization Address Country Email
20 SPIA Dr. Timothy Kelley SPIA Secretary FAO Viale delle Terme di Caracalla, 00100, Rome Italy [email protected]
21 SPIA Dr. Timothy Dalton Assistant Professor Dept. of Resource Economics and Policy
5782 Winslow Hall, University of Maine, Orono, ME 04469-5782 [email protected]
22 SPIA Dr. Ruben Echeverria Executive Director Science Council FAO Viale delle Terme di Caracalla, 00100, Rome Italy [email protected]
23 SPIA Mr. Jim Ryan Economic Division Research School of Pacific and Asian Studies Austrailian National University 18 Nungara Place Aranda ACT 2614 Australia [email protected]
24 SPIA Dr. Hans Gregersen Chair, Standing Panel on Impact Assessment, Science Council SPIA P.O. Box 498, Solvang, CA 93464 USA [email protected]
25 INRM Dr. Vijay Laxmi Pandey Professor Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research
Gen. Vaidya Marg. Goregaon (East), Mumbai - 400065 India [email protected]
26 INRM Dr. Rolando Labios Chief Agriculturist Bureau of Agricultural Resources (BAR)
Elliptical Rd. cor. Visayas Avenue, Diliman, Quezon City Philippines [email protected]
27 SPIA Dr. Hermann Waibel Universitaet Hannover Institut fuel Gartenbarroekonomie, Harrenhaeuser Str.2, D-30419 Hannover Germany [email protected]
28 INRM Dr. Richard Markham Director IPGRI Commodities for Livelihoods Programme, c/o INIBAP, Parc Scientifique Agroplis II, 34397 Montpeller - Cedex 5
France [email protected]
29 SPIA Dr, Peter Frost Senior Associate, Forests and Livelihoods Programme CIFOR
Center for International Forestry Research, Jl. CIFOR, Situ Gede, Sindang Barang, Bobor Barat 16680
Indonesia [email protected]
30 INRM Dr. William D. Dar Director General ICRISAT International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics, Patancheru, Andhra Pradesh 502 324 India [email protected]
31 INRM Dr. Jemimah Njuki Social Scientist KARI National Agricultural Research Laboratories, Kenya Agricultural Research Institute, P. O. Box 759-00606, Nairobi
Kenya [email protected]
32 INRM Mr. Boru Douthwaite Technology Policy Analyst CIAT Apartado Aéreo 6713, Cali Colombia [email protected]
33 INRM Dr. Paul Kiepe Acting Assistant Director for Research and Leader ADRAO/WARDA Rice Policy and Development Program, Africa Rice
Center, 01 B.P. 2031, Cotonou Benin [email protected]
34 SPIA Dr. Robert R. Dobias Director ADB
Agriculture, Natural Resources and Social Sectors Division, Regional and Sustainable Development Dept., 6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City, 0401 Metro Manila
Philippines [email protected]
35 SPIA Dr. Tumurdavaa Bayarsaihan Sr. Agriculture Specialist ADB
Agriculture, Natural Resources and Social Sectors Division, Regional and Sustainable Development Dept., 6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City, 0401 Metro Manila
Philippines [email protected]
36 INRM Dr. Abedelali Laamari Agricultural Economist INRA Settat. Morroco Morocco
37 SPIA Dr. Alvin John DeBoer ADB
Agriculture, Natural Resources and Social Sectors Division, Regional and Sustainable Development Dept. 6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City, 0401 Metro Manila
Philippines
38 SPIA Dr. Geraldo Stachetti Rodrigues Embrapa Environment CP 069, Jaguariuna, SP, Brazi l, CEP 13820-000 Brazil