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Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation and Evaluation Research Center, CAS Institute of Policy and Management, CAS AEA 2013, Washington DC

Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

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About IPM and ERC of CAS IPM Found in June 1985 Devoted to the studies of development strategy, development and reform policy, public administration, S&T management and state-of-the-art theories and methodologies of related disciplines Faculty: 138 ERC of CAS (also affiliate to IPM) Faculty: 14 Mission Management Innovation and Evaluation Research, institutes evaluation

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Page 1: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of

SciencesZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei

Management Innovation and Evaluation Research Center, CASInstitute of Policy and Management, CAS

AEA 2013, Washington DC

Page 2: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation
Page 3: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

About IPM and ERC of CAS• IPM• Found in June 1985• Devoted to the studies of development strategy, development

and reform policy, public administration, S&T management and state-of-the-art theories and methodologies of related disciplines• Faculty: 138

• ERC of CAS (also affiliate to IPM)• Faculty: 14• Mission

• Management Innovation and Evaluation Research, institutes evaluation

Page 4: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Quantitative Monitoring is Necessary1

Page 5: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Quantitative Monitoring• Peer Review• Quantitative Monitoring(QM):widely used

management tool for international institutions• NIH• MPG• INRIA

• SoSP

Page 6: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Quantitative Monitoring in CAS2

Page 7: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Development of Quantity Monitoring of CAS

Page 8: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

>Performance+Status>Rank and classify

>Contribution

>Rank by one system

>Outcome+ Contribution>Different systems>Rank by system

EV. = QM EV. = QM+Peer Review EV. = Peer Review, ref. QM

Rank with Mainly Numbers No ranking, more quality

Blue Book Ev.

White Book Ev.

Yellow Book Ev.

Comprehensive Quality Ev.

Major Outcomes Oriented Ev.

>Innovation Capacity>No more rank

>Key indicators+Innovation Capacity>No more rank

Page 9: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Blue Book Evaluation( 1993-2001)

• QM=Evaluation• Totally Quantity Evaluation• 1993-1999: rank within one system• 1998-2001: rank within three category series• Basic Research• Applied Research• Development and High Tech Research Industrialization

Page 10: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Category Parent Indicator Child Indicator

Performance Evaluation

Basic Research Performance

Natural Science Awards

Papers (amount and per amount)

Citations

Other Publications

Applied Research PerformanceS&T Progress Awards and Invention Award

Patents (Applied and Granted)

Development and High Tech Research Industrialization

Institution Company's Total Profit Tax

Development Income

Commercialization of Research Findings

Blue Book Evaluation( 1993-2001)

Page 11: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Category Parent Indicator Child Indicator

Status Evaluation

Research Status

Capability of Undertaking Government and Local Governments' MissionsOutcomes (amount and per amount)International Cooperation (Funds and # of Programs)

Talents

Academician of CASProportion of Senior Researchers under 45 years oldProportion of holding PhD’s and Master’s Degree# of Graduate Students

FundingInput FundsFunds per ResearcherOutside funding

Equipment and labs

Advanced EquipmentProportion of value of Advanced Equipment from 90’ in all Equipment# of Opening Labs and Engineering Center

Blue Book Evaluation( 1993-2001)

Page 12: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

• Evaluation results were revealed according to indicators• Rank by score into four categories A, B, C and D within

each indicators

• Performance and Status in forms of Category• Results of one institute from different years are not

comparable

Blue Book Evaluation( 1993-2001)

Page 13: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

White Book Evaluation( 1999-2001)

• Objective completion status + basic, strategic and prospective contribution• Objective completion status Ev., Peer Review• S&T objective Ev.

• Contribution of work• Influence to subject, etc.

• Management objective Ev.• Does fixed staff turnover rate exceed 5%?• Does the usage of Special Funds for KIP exceed 60%? Etc.

Page 14: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

White Book Evaluation ( 1999-2001)

• Evaluation of basic, strategic and prospective contribution: QM

Page 15: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

White Color Book( 1999-2001)

Parents Indicators Child Indicators

Undertaking of Strategy S&T MissionNational Major ProgramsInternational Programs

Papers High IF journals by subjective

Major Lectures of International ConferencePlenary LecturesInvited Lectures

Significant social and economic benefits

Research Outcomes transferStart-upowner's equityMajor Consultation ReportsExcellent labsIP(Issued patens, Software copyrights)

Talents

Academician and Major Projects investigators, etc. S&T ConsultantsInternational TalentsYoung Talents

Major Awards National Awards

Page 16: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

White Book Evaluation ( 1999-2001)

•Qualitative evaluation has been introduced to White-Book evaluation•Evaluation = QM+Peer Review•Scores, not classification results•Turned qualitative evaluation results into quantitative data, then got the ranking Scores based on all quantitative data•Characteristics of institutes disciplines is not enough, and QM is still a primary method

Page 17: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Yellow Book Evaluation ( 2002-2004)

• Started to focus on quality over quantity• Evaluation System• Major Innovation Contributions Evaluation, Peer Review• Basic Indicators Evaluation, conducted by CAS headquarter

bureaus• Classification Oriented Evaluation, for all institutes in CAS• basic research• high technology research and development• resources, environment and sustainable development• Industrialization

Page 18: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Yellow Color Book( 2002-2004)

Series Indicators Remarks

Basic Research

Papers Top journalMajor International Conference Lectures S&T Awards National Science Awards

Research Programs NSFC, 973, etc.

Major Innovation Contributions

Resources, Environment and Sustainable Development

Papers Top journal

Major International Conference Papers

Consultant Reports Adopted by national leaders or the central ministries and commissions, with substantive instructions

S&T Awards National or Provincial awards of Science Awards, Invention Awards, and Progress Awards

Standards International, national, or industry standards

Research Programs NSFC, 863,973, etc.

Major Innovation Contributions

Page 19: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Series Indicators Remarks

High Tech Research and Development

Patents

Software Copyright

New medicines, new pesticides, new crop varieties

S&T Awards National Progress Awards and Invention Awards

Standards International, national, or industry standards

Research outcomes transfer Amount to the account

Research programs 863, 921, etc.

Major Innovation Contributions

Industrialization

Owner’s equity Total Owner’s equity

Research outcomes transfer Amount to the account

Research programs Major Industrialization Programs and Enterprises Programs

Major Innovation Contributions

Page 20: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Yellow Book Evaluation( 2002-2004)

• Evaluation = QM + Peer Review (similar to White Book Evaluation)• Started to pay more attention to• major innovation contributions according to series• subject’s specialty

• Monitoring results is reflected as score within each category series

Page 21: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Comprehensive Quality Evaluation (2004 - 2011)

• Ten key process are included in the evaluation• self-evaluation of institutes• strategic planning for next stage• peer review for existing outcome• comprehensive analysis of previous evaluation• Communication review• on-site assessment• president office conference etc.

• Final conclusions and opinions are based on results of diverse contents of strategic decisions• Qualitative Evaluation, and QM play an important part in

decision making

Page 22: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

•Before 2004• quantitative monitoring gradually returns to its original function• a powerful tool to compare among institutes by providing year-based information• cannot display developing trend of institutes within certain years in a more comprehensive way

Comprehensive Quality Evaluation (2004 - 2011)

Page 23: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Innovation Capacity Indicator (ICI) Monitoring3

Page 24: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Design of Innovation Capacity Indicator (ICI)

• Law of Comparative Advantage, David Ricardo, 1817• In economics, comparative advantage refers to the ability of a party to produce a particular good or service at a lower marginal and opportunity cost over another. Even if one country is more efficient in the production of all goods (absolute advantage in all goods) than the other, both countries will still gain by trading with each other, as long as they have different relative efficiencies.

Page 25: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

• Indicators• Status• Outcomes• Impact

•Weights• Weights of indicator are based on simulation of years

historical data• Evaluate the importance of parents indicators• Set up the price according to data of a certain year

Design of Innovation Capacity Indicator (ICI)

Page 26: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

How to Choose Indicators•CAS has 100+ institutes, and covers most of disciplines• Indicators should reflect•common characteristics of institute• respective expertise and features

Page 27: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

How to Choose Indicators•Expert group discussion, and approval of most institutes•7 Indicators to monitor

Page 28: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Status

OutcomesImpact

Researches FundsExcellent Talents

High Quality PapersIPCompleted Major Programs

S&T AwardsConsultant Reports

Page 29: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

•To some degree, the indicators of ICI consider different characteristics of different institutes• excellent talents and scientific research fund are necessary and common indicators• high quality paper is the common indicator to reflect the output of fundamental research institutes

How to Choose Indicators

Page 30: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

• Intellectual Property is an important output indicator in high technology institute• Completed Major Programs can reflect how it meets

the demand of the nation• In addition, the characteristics indicators are included in the child indicators• National Natural Science Awards• National Technological Invention Awards• National S&T Progress Awards

How to Choose Indicators

Page 31: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

• Number of outcomes increasing rapidly

How to Choose Indicators

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

1877

9500

16550

# of SCI Papers of CAS

Year

Page 32: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

•Higher Quality Requirements in Choosing Indicators•For example, papers• published in journal whose impact factor is among top 15% within this discipline (JCR&SJCR)

How to Choose Indicators

Page 33: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Weights of Indicators• Management experts and strategy experts made a group

decision making on the weights of ICI, based on evaluation orientation, management experience and a large amount of simulation computation

Indicators WeightsExcellent Talents 20%Research Funds 10%High Quality Papers 20%IP 15%Completed Major Programs 25%Major Consultant Reports 5%Major Research Awards 5%

Page 34: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

•Using the weights of 7 indicators, we can determine the price of parent indicators based on the data of 2003 and 2004.•Weights of child indicators, determined by its importance•One 973 project worth 5 points, and one NSFC program worth 2 points.

Weights of Indicators

Page 35: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

  Parent indicators Child Indicators

ICI

Excellent Talents, 20% Top talentsGraduate education

Research Funds, 10% Funds from outsideHigh Quality Papers, 20%  

IP, 15%PatentsSoftware CopyrightsStandards

Major Consultant Reports, 5%  

Completed Major Programs, 25%NSFCMOSTOther Programs

Major Research Awards, 5%Major International AwardsNational AwardsProvincial Awards

Page 36: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Computation

,

• • is the value indicator of institute • is the price of indicator • is the weights of indicator • is the capacity of institute

Page 37: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

How to Consider Efficiency•total amount of seven indicators are divided by the number of innovation positions or regular budget•Regular funding for KIP• If Parent Indicator represent money

•# of Positions for KIP• If Parent Indicator does not represent money

Page 38: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

ICI for CAS• Great support for management of CAS• Institutes can also recognize their positions among

similar institutes• Development trend of CAS and its institutes in recent

years

Page 39: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

ICI for CAS

2004' 2005' 2006' 2007' 2008' 2009' 2010' 2011'

8100

12541 10839 11659 12390

15098

20012 17801

Page 40: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Conclusion4

Page 41: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Conclusion•QM systems fits the improvement of the research quality of CAS Institutes•Rapidly promoted the outcomes of CAS• ICI is a useful management tool

Page 42: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Limitations of ICI• Some indicators is bad for some institutions• High Quality Paper• Small discipline

• ICI does not reflect all the characteristics of an institute• Mainly common indicators• Some meaningful works are difficult to quantify• Large-scale scientific facility• Scarce Resources

Page 43: Review of Quantitative Monitoring System of Chinese Academy of Sciences ZHENG Haijun, GUAN Zhongcheng, WANG Biaoxiang, WU Jianmei Management Innovation

Conclusion• Peer review is getting more attentions from CAS• ICI becomes a tools of monitoring, neither ranking or

comparing among institutes• 2012, Major Outcomes-Oriented Evaluation, QM is an

important part of the evaluation system• Monitoring Key indicators + ICI• Focus on diagnostic function of their own development