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SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY
Summer Workshops 2010
San FranciscoMobility, Access & Pricing Study
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Downtown Growth Projections
+73,000 auto trips+30,000 transit trips
+37,000 auto trips+15,000 transit trips
+8,000 auto trip+4,000 transit trips
+8,000 auto trips+4,000 transit trips
+19,000 auto trips+9,000 transit trips
*projected growth by 2030, Projections 2007 and SF-CHAMP
2010
+39,000 auto trips+25,000 transit trips
+ 24,000 hsg units+ 107,000 jobs
+ 24,000 hsg units+ 107,000 jobs
+184,000 auto trips+88,000 transit trips+184,000 auto
trips+88,000 transit trips
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2.3M person-trips in the Northeast Cordon daily
nearly half are auto trips
over 40% of trips are made during peak periods (17% AM; 25%
PM)
In the PM peak
~46% are auto person-trips
~28% are transit person-trips
Of the 260K PM auto trips in the Northeast Cordon
more than half of auto person-trips made by San Francisco
residents
Distribution of trips (2005 base)
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Source: SF-CHAMP, 2010
East Bay, 30,000, 12%
North Bay, 10,000, 4%
South Bay, 26,000, 10%
w/in NE Cordon, 52,000, 20%
Rest of SF, 136,000, 53%
External, 3,000, 1%
Distribution of AUTO Trips during the PM Peak, 2005
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Why Congestion Pricing?
Vehicle Miles Traveled in Focus Area
750,000
760,000
770,000
780,000
790,000
800,000
810,000
820,000
830,000
840,000
850,000
2005 2010 2015
business as usual
10% lower with congestion pricing
2015 BaselineSouthern GatewayNortheast Cordon (AM &
PM)Northeast Cordon (PM outbound)
Bay Area is 2nd most congested region in the nation (Texas
Transportation Institute)
10% of region’s population is in SF
20% of region’s traffic delay is in SF’s downtown
Average peak period trip to Downtown SF is twice as long as
off-peak trip
San Francisco sacrificed over $2 billion to congestion in 2005
($3.2B/yr by 2030)
Transportation is responsible for about half of greenhouse gas
emissions in SF
Private automobiles contribute over 45%
SF seeks to reduce GHG emissions to 25% below 1990 levels by
2017
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How congestion pricing would work
Technology would leverage existing systems, e.g. FasTrak
accounts
Design considerations support camera-based equipment
Multiple payment methods possible
Phone, web, text, retail, etc.
Sample Detection Technology
Possible Fees
WeekendsWeekdays
NO FEE$33pm – 7pm
evenings
9am – 3pm
6am – 9am
NO FEENO FEE
NO FEENO FEE
NO FEE$3
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Transit speed below 8 mph
Auto speed below 10 mph Highway speed below 30 mph
Northeast Cordon, AM/PM ($3 am/pm both directions)
Potential Scenarios—tell us what you think
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Southern Gateway w/ Parking Pricing($3 am/pm both directions
plus higher parking fees)
Transit speed below 8 mph
Auto speed below 10 mph Highway speed below 30 mph
Transit speed below 8 mph
Auto speed below 10 mph Highway speed below 30 mph
Northeast Cordon, PM ($6 evening outbound only)
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‐ 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600
Central
Circ
Mission
Northern
Richmond
Southern
2005 2015 Base 2015 Southern Gateway
2015 NE Cordon 2015 NE Cordon, PM‐Out
Edge Circulation
Change in Transit Service (by neighborhood)
Peak Period Runs
+26%
+44%
+42%
+5%
+9%
+34%
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Potential investment programStart-up capital improvements:
$200-300 million for projects including:
San FranciscoVan Ness BRT Signal priority & diamond lanes on
Fulton, Mission, CaliforniaBike lanes citywideReal-time signage and
wayfinding
East BayBART station wayfinding, capacity, access
improvements
North Bay101 corridor management (FPI/ramp metering)
South BayCaltrain access improvements, 101 HOV lane
Annual investments:$35-55M/year to be spent on multi-modal
improvements such as:
More frequent regional and local express bus serviceStreet
paving/pothole repairTraffic calmingStreetscape improvementsParking
management and enforcementSchool, worksite TDM
programsPower-washing
Tell us what investments you’d like to see
Sample of feedback received at previous meetings
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Scenario Comparison – by the numbers
-6%Change in Collisions (San Francisco)
-5%Change in C02 Emissions (San Francisco)-17%Change in PM2.5
Emissions (NE Cordon)-5%Change in PM2.5 Emissions (San
Francisco)-12%Change in Collisions (NE Cordon)
-16%Change in C02 Emissions (NE Cordon)
-21%Daily NE Cordon VHD-5%Daily San Francisco VMT
up to 20%Change in Transit Speeds
-4%Peak Auto Trips to/from S. Corridor (avg)
-12%Peak Auto Trips to/from NE Cordon (avg)
30-35%Operating Ratio (exp/gross rev after disc)
$80 MNet Operating Revenue
NE Cordon*(AM/PM)
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-4%-3%-8%-11%-4%-3%-3%-5%-5%-4%
-4%-10%
-7%-9%
-20%-4%
up to 15%up to 20%-4%-3%
-5%-10%
25-30%20-25%
$60 M$70 M
NE Cordon (PM, outbound)
Southern Gateway (AM/PM)
Values in 2008$ for single representative year* Risk analysis
pending
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Feedback: community & equity
Top concerns:
Availability, reliability, cost of transit
Impacts on working poor, families
Reduction in local/off-peak service due to core/peak demands
Traffic/parking diversions on edge of zone
Geographic equity (no South Bay tolls currently)
Needs/requests:Discounts and/or exemptions for low-income
drivers, disabled drivers
EQUITY OUTREACHTransportation Justice Working GroupTALC Annual
SummitMTC Committees:
Citizens Advisory CommitteeElderly/Disabled Advisory
CommitteeMinority Citizens Advisory Committee
Varied neighborhood/community groups
Suggest other groups we should consult:
Sample of comments received at previous meetings
Tell us more:
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Feedback: business impacts & analysis
Top concerns:Better enforcement of double parkingMore
enforcement of loading zonesMore loading zones, tour bus
parking
Needs/requests:Varied fee/discount suggestions:
- fleet rates should be flat- periodic invoices to minimize
administrative burdenVaried scenario suggestions:
- AM only charges (even if higher)- Outbound only charges during
PM- Parking pricing
BUSINESS OUTREACHUnion Square Association (board & policy
committee)SF Chamber of Commerce (board & public policy
committee)BOMA Committees (Environment & Gov’t Affairs)SF
Small Business CommissionFocus groups on: Commercial
Transportation,
Hospitality/Tourism, Restaurant, RetailVaried organizational
meetings & associationsSuggest other groups we should
consult:
Tell us more:
Sample of comments received at previous meetings
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How might trip patterns change?
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Keeps carpooling and saves 53 mins/day
Keeps taking transit and saves 20 mins/day
Switches time of day and saves 13 mins/day
Switches from drive alone to transit and saves 15 mins/day
AM/PM peak
$62206 minsCarpool4. San Jose,
Santa Clara
AM/PM peak
$7147 minsTransit3. Rockridge,
Alameda
Mid-day/PM peak
$991 minsDrive Alone
2. Mill Valley, Marin
AM/PM peak
$254 minsDrive Alone
1. Haight/ Ashbury, SF
Peak vs. Off-Peak
CostRoundtrip Travel Time
ModeOrigin
1
2
3
4
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Potential economic/social benefits
Total Benefits/Costs
Social Benefits/Costs
User Benefits/Costs
+ $145 MCongestion Charges Received
+ $620 MAnnual Benefits
- $260 MAnnual Costs
+ $30 MVehicle Operating Cost Savings
+ $370 MTravel Time Savings
+ $360 MOverall Annual Social benefit
- $65 MProgram Costs
+ $30 MSafety, Health, & Environmental Benefits
- $145 MCongestion Charges Paid
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Values in 2008$ for a single representative year
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Employment impact expected to be minimal (up to 1%), due to:
infusion of external capital for startup costsstreetscape
enhancements, visitor amenitieswork/school TDM measures
Neutral to positive retail impacts expected considering multiple
factors:
60,000 more transit and walk/bike trips per day in the cordon
area (conservative estimate)
retail survey shows comparable spending by transit and auto
users
Potential business impacts broadly neutral
$224
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$56
Drive
$294$273Average Spend per Month
77Average # Trips per Month
$42$39Average Spend per Visit
WalkTransitMode
Average Spending & Frequency by Mode
Survey of 1400 travelers in San Francisco’s downtown retail
areas, December 2007 and April 2008
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How should we help mitigate potential business impacts:
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Opportunities for Feedback:
Public workshops:July 27th @ Ferry Building, 5:30 – 7p
July 28th @ SFCTA, 5:30 – 7p
Lunchtime webinars:August 4th, 12n – 1:00p
August 5th, 12:30 – 1:30p
www.sfmobility.comwww.facebook.com/sfmobility
www.twitter.com/SanFranciscoTA
[email protected]
415.522.480015
