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Copyr i g ht © 2012, SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ve d .
WELCOME TO SAS FOR MARKETING
17 FEBRUARY 2016
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
AGENDA
Time Session
09.30 Registration & refreshments
10.00 Start
10.15 ADVANCED Attribution – What and How
Rule based attribution and algorithmic (advanced) attribution
Understand how SAS Enterprise Guide and SAS Enterprise Miner can be used
11.15 Break
11.45 Understanding Machine Learning in Marketing
What is Machine Learning?
Where can it be applied in Marketing?
How can it be applied in Marketing?
The next steps for your organisation.
12.45 Lunch
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
ADVANCED ATTRIBUTION – WHAT AND HOW
SAS CENTRE OF EXCELLENCE
Simon Waller and Iain BrownSAS
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
WHO ARE WE?
• Simon Waller – Global Practice Customer Intelligence
• Here 2 years ago talking about Attribution.
• Currently working on an attribution project for a customer in the UK.
• Dr Iain Brown – Analytics Centre Of Excellence
• Expert in analytics
• Understands the analytics behind advanced attribution
• Malcolm Lightbody – Product Management, Customer Analytics
• Developing all analytics (including attribution) capabilities in SAS CI
Solutions
• Insights into attribution project in USA
• Keen to hear from the field about attribution experiences and requirements!!!
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
AGENDA
• What it is
• 2 slide refresher on Attribution
• What is Advanced Marketing Attribution
• What you will need
• The environment required for Attribution
• Beyond Attribution
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
ATTRIBUTION REFRESHER - MODELS
Single Source
Attribution
First “Click”
Last “Click”
Fractional
Attribution (Rules
Based)
Fractional Attribution
(Algorithmic or
Probabilistic
Attribution)
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
ADVANCED
MARKETING
ATTRIBUTION
DIGITAL ATTRIBUTION SCENARIO
How can we measure
attribution across all
marketing interactions?
Find out which interactions have
highest conversion rate using an
algorithmic approach.
Business
Executive
Marketing /
Customer Service
CustomersBusiness Manager
Business Analyst
Business
Manager
(Marketing /
Customer
Service)
Analytics
Modeler
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
ADVANCED
MARKETING
ATTRIBUTION
DIGITAL ATTRIBUTION SCENARIO WITH RPM
Business
Executive
Marketing /
Customer Service
CustomersBusiness Manager
Business Analyst
Business
Manager
(Marketing /
Customer
Service)
Analytics
Modeler
Business Analyst RPM
How can we measure
attribution across all
marketing interactions?
Find out which interactions have
highest conversion rate using an
algorithmic approach.
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
THE ANALYTICS LIFECYCLE
IDENTIFY /
FORMULATE
PROBLEM
DATA
PREPARATION
DATA
EXPLORATION
TRANSFORM
& SELECT
BUILD
MODEL
VALIDATE
MODEL
DEPLOY
MODEL
EVALUATE /
MONITOR
RESULTSDomain Expert
Makes Decisions
Evaluates Processes and ROI
BUSINESS
MANAGER
Model Validation
Model Deployment
Model Monitoring
Data Preparation
IT SYSTEMS /
MANAGEMENT
Data Exploration
Data Visualization
Report Creation
BUSINESS
ANALYST
Exploratory Analysis
Descriptive Segmentation
Predictive Modeling
DATA MINER /
STATISTICIAN
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
ADVANCED
MARKETING
ATTRIBUTION
BUILDING ALGORITHMIC ATTRIBUTION MODELS
1. Data access – SAS/ACCESS, SAS Enterprise Guide / SAS Data
Integration Studio
2. Visual data exploration to access data quality issues – SAS Visual
Analytics
3. Reshaping the data for analytical modelling (recoding, transformations,
joins, summarisation and transpositions) – SAS Enterprise Guide / SAS
Data Integration Studio
4. Algorithmic model development – SAS Enterprise Miner (HPDM)
5. Model Scoring – SAS Enterprise Guide / SAS Data Integration Studio
6. Marketing channel performance dash boarding – SAS Visual Analytics
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
ADVANCED
MARKETING
ATTRIBUTION
EXAMPLE
• 17 digital marketing channels
• 1,000 predictors
• ~24,000,000 digital visitor journeys
• Rate conversion less than 1 %
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ADVANCED
MARKETING
ATTRIBUTION
DATA-DRIVEN ATTRIBUTION
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ADVANCED
MARKETING
ATTRIBUTION
CHAMPION/CHALLENGER MODEL SELECTION
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ADVANCED
MARKETING
ATTRIBUTION
MODEL FLOW – APPLIED MACHINE LEARNING
• Model selection criteria:
• Misclassification on Validation set
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
ADVANCED
MARKETING
ATTRIBUTION
LIFT CHART
• Identify group of responders more likely to convert compared to randomly
targetting entire marketable population
• Profile segment
• Find similar customers
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
ADVANCED
MARKETING
ATTRIBUTION
MARKETING CHANNEL WEIGHTING – ODDS RATIO
• Attributes above line have a positive impact in increasing the probability of a
visitor conversion.
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
ADVANCED
MARKETING
ATTRIBUTION
MODEL DEPLOYMENT
• Optimised score code generation (including data transformations)
• SAS code deployment through a scheduled job
• C or Java code deployment into applications (SAS Server/Client)
• PMML based scoring (SAS Server/Client)
• Scoring code and batch job built and executed in SAS Data Integration
• Model scoring task in SAS Enterprise Guide
• Scoring code can be scheduled for execution in parallel (grid computing)
• In-database functions (IBM DB2, Teradata, Netezza, EMC-Greenplum)
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
ADVANCED
MARKETING
ATTRIBUTION
DEMONSTRATION
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
ADVANCED
MARKETING
ATTRIBUTION
ALGORITHMIC ATTRIBUTIONBENEFITS
• Leverage broad analytic data preparation options to build better attribution
models and get more reliable results
• Modern set of analytic algorithms to increase confidence in your results
• Reduce time to results with automated model scoring and deployment
• Consistent validation, management and monitoring of “best” models to
improve performance.
• Provides
• Increased accuracy
• More precise/flexible and controlled
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
WHAT YOU WILL NEED
1. Scalable (Onsite or Cloud)
• Big Data processing
• Data management
2. High quality multichannel data
• Accurate Customer Path Data
• Both offline and online data
3. Analysing the data
• Advanced Analytics Capabilities
• Opportunities outside attribution
4. Future Proof
• Do more as your expertise grows
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
1. SCALABLE
• From Desktop to Enterprise
• Big Data processing
• Data management
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
2. HIGH QUALITY MULTICHANNEL DATA
• Accurate Customer Path Data
• Data models open and attribution-ready
• Joining offline and online data
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
2. HIGH QUALITY MULTICHANNEL DATA
TV
Social
Search
1
2
3
4
5
6
Mailing£
£
£
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
2. HIGH QUALITY MULTICHANNEL DATA
Joining offline and online data
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
3. ANALYSING THE DATA
Advanced Analytics
Advanced Analytics
Actioning the data
Data Requirements
Flexible reporting
Using the data to feed opportunities outside
attribution
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
OPPORTUNITIES OUTSIDE ATTRIBUTION
1
2
3
4
5
6
£
£
£
Prediction Window
£
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .
SAS Customer Decision Hub
Ru
les
CUSTOMER DECISION HUB
in Real-Time
across all channels
based on pre-defined rules
deciding about the optimized offer.
Central Decision Making unit:
4. FUTURE PROOF THE SAS® CUSTOMER DECISION HUB
http://www.sas.com/en_us/insights/articles/marketing/customer-decision-hub.html
Copyr i g ht © SAS Ins t i tu t e Inc . A l l r ights reser ved .sas.com
Thank you very much!