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SCENARIO MAPPING

Scenario Mapping Book

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Page 1: Scenario Mapping Book

SCENARIO MAPPING

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Scenario Mapping

The Scenario Mapping workshop was aimed at providing a tool for creating informed scenarios through a ‘scenario game’. In the scenario game each player takes the role of a key actor involved in the scenarios loaction; this then informs the view that a particular player takes. Fed by a series of action cards, actor cards, ‘wild cards’ and inspirational cards’ the scenario is partly played out as a game of chance, however each decision made is informed through the situation research and specific to the scenario unfolding.This way several scenarios can be created; providing situation specific outcomes; of which each in turn could form the direction of our projects.

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Scenario Mapping - Group 1

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In this scenario game; four players held the roles of Halima (a local social housing resident), EDF energy (a representative of the company due to a power station in place in Colombes), the Political Opposition (Communist), and final Fatima (a local social worker).The scenario played in three rounds followed how the implications of key political and capital players would affect the lives of the local residents. Taking the action cards of Transform, Erase, Originate, and Migrate; the scenario played out demonstrated how through the combination of these actors a series of grass route schemes, backed by a major energy provider and facilitated by politics helped to inform how local food production and local economies could develop.

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1 1 1 1

2222

~10,064

SCENARIO GENERATION WORKSHOP

actors

wild card

action

lexicon

inspiration

HALIMA- 51- secretary- French Algerian- Lives in social housing @ 26 Avenue Audran- allotment instigator

EDFEnergy

- Major French Power Company- Combustion site based in Colombes- Key Player in French Markets- Controls energy production for the suburb

POLITICALOPPOSITION

- Fench Commu-nist Party- Currently second to the Green Party- Political influence for Colombes

FATIMA- social manager at Colombes City Hall- controls social cultural centres at Fosses Jean and Petit Colombes

MONOPRIX- key supermarket player within France- supplies food and goods to regions of Colombes

ALGERIANWOMENS GROUP

- An organisation of the French Algerian women immagrants of which Halima is apart.- Immagrants mostly exist within Colombes

TRANSPORTWORKERS UNION

- An organisation of the French Algerian women immagrants of which Halima is apart.- Immagrants mostly exist within Colombes

YOUTH GROUP

- a large youth populatiuon exists within Colombes- no major facilities for them to socialise- Maisanne, Halima’s daughter key example

TRANSFORM

MIGRATE

ORIGINATE

ERASE

Bioregionalism

Permaculture

Drosscape

Social

Drosstructure

Social Housing

Infra-structure

EnergyPlant

Agri-culture

POST OIL PRICE

SHOCK

Scenario making establishes certain narratives in order to interpret the different possibilities of alternative realities and outcomes. These alternatives can be based on varying and overlapping aspects of society formed from key societal factors. These factors being either environmental, financial, social, or political change; these outcomes can radically alter the programme of a project and its initial intentions

actors

wild card

action

NATIONAL FOOD

CRISIS

WITHERING OF

GLOBALISATION

CHANGE

CLIMATE

SCENARIO TOOLS

+ + + +The initial scenario game examined the possibilities that could

occur within Colombes baesd on the various organistations / actors / groups that we were aware existed. Using this knowledge of

various actors we could take a speculative assumption of what actions may occur.

actors

wild card

action

lexicon

inspiration

CARDTYPES

- Each player takes an actor card and remains that actor for the duration of the game; of which there are three rounds in total.

1 2- On the first round of each turn, each actor also chooses a lexicon word to inform their first actions choices.

3- An action card is then chosen to deliniate whether the outcome is positive or negative

4 - If needed an inspiration mix card can be chosen to influence the action taken.

5 - The outcome is then marked on the map based on knowledge already known about Colombes sites and Locations

actors

- Each player takes an actor card and remains that actor for the duration of the game; of which there are three rounds in total.

1 2- On the second round wild card events can be added and lexicon cards are not chosen.

1

2

- As the game progresses links are drawn and placed on the map to establish how each action has an affect on the preceding or future.

How to play the scenario -

Political

Opposistion

Residential

subdivision

SOCIAL

UNREST

SCENARIO GAME 1 -

TRANSFORM outcome -

- opposition decides to press for squatters settlement in Gare de Colombes area to be legalised

FATIMA

CArcitecture

ERASE

- Fatime rallys to erase predomiance of cars in Petit Colombes and introduce more sustainable modes of transport

outcome -

HALIMA

Resilience

ERASE

- Halima erases all the produce in the community garden to attempt to engage the neighbours to a social event through cooking

outcome -

EDF

NEW

Suburbanism

ERASE

- EDF cause a radical contro-vsy in halting the develop-ment of the eco quarter until it recieves a subsidery in its profit margin

outcome -

Political

Opposistion

TRANSFORM

outcome -

- oppostion establishes a grass routes scheme throught he transformation of land near gare du stad

TRANSFORM

- residents of petit colombes protest against the halting of the eco-quarter development

outcome -

Mass

Migration

Impacts

FATIMA

TRANSFORM

- Is informed of the squatters and asks the to engage with the social and cultural centre.

outcome -

HALIMA

- Introduces cultural diversity through the begining of Algerian cuisine in the grassroots groups

outcome -

EDF

ORIGINATE

- In response to the protests, EDF will invest personally iin the sustainable energy schemes of the eco-quarter

outcome -

Political

Opposistion outcome -

- a skills building centre for the squatters is established, Frederic from nearby allotments agrees to assist

ERASE

- Fatima rallys fors the erasing of global foods in the supermarket and demands for local produce to be sold

outcome -

TRANSFORM

NEED

CO-operative

roles

WITHERING OF

GLOBALISATION

FATIMA

outcome -

HALIMA

- Halimas daughter Maisanne moves out, forcing Halima to leave her home, the commu-nity garden is affected

MIGRATE

ORIGINATE

GAME CARDS COLOMBES MAP

OUTCOME MARKERS

ACTOR / PARTICIPANTS LOG BOOK

Scenario Mapping

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Scenario Mapping

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Scenario Mapping - Group 2

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In this scenario game; four players held the roles of Halima (a local social housing resident), EDF energy (a representative of the company due to a power station in place in Colombes), the Political Opposition (Communist), and final Fatima (a local social worker).The scenario played in three rounds followed how the implications of key political and capital players would affect the lives of the local residents. Taking the action cards of Transform, Erase, Originate, and Migrate; the scenario played out demonstrated how through the combination of these actors a series of grass route schemes, backed by a major energy provider and facilitated by politics helped to inform how local food production and local economies could develop.

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caring

leader

responsiblegreyfield

transition

meetings56 Rue St.

Blaise

ownershipfollower

FacilitatorSUBDIVISIONland

economyTHE RULES

1. You must pick 2 cards: 1 should be from the

PERSON CARD pile and one from the ATTITUDE CARD pile.

2. You must pick 1 additional card. This one can

be randomly selected. You can't pick an

ATTITUDE CARD or PERSON CARD.

When you get to the 6th minute of the game,

one of the players in your round can pick a

card randomly. Again the card can't be an

ATTITUDE CARD or PERSON CARD.

After 10 minutes of playing, PAUSE the game

and fill in a scenario sheet before you start on

the next AGENDA.

THE RULES1. You must pick 2 cards: 1 should be fr

om the

PERSON CARD pile and one from the ATTITUDE CARD pile.

2. You must pick 1 additional card. This one can

be randomly selected. You can't pick an

ATTITUDE CARD or PERSON CARD.

3. When you get to the 6th minute of the

game, one of the players in your round must

pick a used card from ROUND 01 of the game.

No ATTITUDE CARD or PERSON CARD allowed.

After 10 minutes of playing, PAUSE the game

and fill in a scenario sheet before you start the

next AGENDA.

THE RULES1. You must pick 2 cards: 1 should be fr

om the

PERSON CARD pile and one from the ATTITUDE CARD pile.

2. You must pick 1 additional card. This one can

be randomly selected. You can't pick an

ATTITUDE CARD or PERSON CARD.

3. When you get to the 6th minute of the game,

one of the players in the round must pick a

used card from ROUND 02 of the game. No

ATTITUDE CARD or PERSON CARD allowed.

4. On the 9th minute of the game, one player in

this round must pick 1 WILD STICKER.

After 10 minutes of playing, FINISH the game

by filling in the scenario sheet.

round 0

1round 0

2round 0

3

scenarios

*

*

*

BINPERSON commuter

family

localresident

localmayor o.a.p.

thinker

smart

shopowner

primary school student

creative

factory worker -

manufacturer

stubborn

conflict

Workersstrike rail

network strike

Overview

PERSON CARD

LEXICON CARD

ATTITUDE CARD

COMMUNITY INITIATIVE CARD

ACTIVITY CARD

SUDDEN EVENT CARD

WILD STICKER SELECTIONS

Festival

culturalevent

local growth

recycle household

waste

social event

Discussion

COLLEGESTUDENT

flooding

factoryclosure

on-the-spot

slow moving event

gardener

homelessperson

construct

place your selected cards here

place your selected cards here

place your selected cards here

place your selected cards here

place your selected cards here

place your selected cards here

place your selected cards here

place your selected cards here

agenda 01 agenda 02 agenda 03 agenda 04

scenarioStreet festival by 56 St. Blaise – initiative, rubbish collectors go on strike and the council will not allow the festival. Ini-tiative teenagers take pride in their community, and decide to collect the rubbish themselves by reusing items e.g. from factories etc. to collect rubbish in. This leads to future col-laboration between 56 St. Blaise and teenagers to encour-age reuse. Developer buys up tower blocks 0 to be redevel-oped into more expensive fl ats. Issue to tackle subdivision. Commuter – interested in dealing with subdivision between commuters and locals decides to set up a cooking group in schools. 56 Rue St. Blaise insist that the food used has to be local produce. Leading to confl ict between allotment peo-ple (producing local produce which is used) and supermar-kets. Gardeners are upset and there is an increase in number of homeless because of fl ooding. Allotment people decide they are going to help the homeless by giving them produce – which smart active members will distribute. This leads to a new culture of sharing and creating local food networks. EDFis closed, causing a sudden increase in unemployment. Also have issue of what to do with empty EDF site. Local business and inhabitants get involved and land owners offer land for public use (to generate money to reuse the EDF site). The site will be used to produce food and start a local economy and they have to prove progress/worth to the Mayor with times-cale, funding etc is needed because the Mayor requires it before he/she will allow it to go ahead etc (as Mayor says there is no money available for it).

Street festival by 56 St. Blaise – initiative, rubbish collectors go on strike and the council will not allow the festival. Initiative teenagers take pride in their community, and decide to collect the rubbish themselves by reusing items e.g. from factories etc. to collect rub-bish in. This leads to future collaboration between 56 St. Blaise and teenagers to encourage reuse.

Developer buys up tower blocks 0 to be redeveloped into more expensive fl ats. Issue to tackle subdivision. Commuter – interested in dealing with subdivision between commuters and locals decides to set up a cooking group in schools. 56 Rue St. Blaise insist that the food used has to be local produce. Leading to confl ict between allotment people (producing local produce which is used) and su-permarkets.

EDF is closed, causing a sudden increase in unemployment. Also have issue of what to do with empty EDF site. Local business and inhabitants get involved and land owners offer land for public use (to generate money to reuse the EDF site). The site will be used to produce food and start a local economy and they have to prove progress/worth to the Mayor with timescale, funding etc is need-ed because the Mayor requires it before he/she will allow it to go ahead etc (as Mayor says there is no money available for it).

Gardeners are upset and there is an increase in number of home-less because of fl ooding. Allotment people decide they are going to help the homeless by giving them produce – which smart active members will distribute. This leads to a new culture of sharing and creating local food networks.

L O

recurrent

L K R ONON

tttttttttttttttttttttttttt

beauty & aesthetics

crossovers & links

agenda scale

knowledge

conflict

time delay

global affects

Scenario Mapping

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APATHETIC

HOSTI

OPTIMISTIC

VEEXCLUSIV

TENACIOUS UNTENACIOUSIGHTFORWARD HELPFUL UNOBLIGING

TOLERANT

STRAI

INCLUSIVE

SELFISSH

AGREEABLE SUSPICIOUS UNSUSPICIOUS

DILIGENT

LAZY

UNACCEPTINGUNFRIENDLY CONSCIENTIOUS

UNCONSCIENTIOUSINSOLENT

SASSY

NURTURING CONSIDERATE INCONSIDERATE

CAUTIOUS RECKLESS CAN-DO

INSINCERE TRUSTING CYNICAL LOVING

SATISFIEDDISSATISFIED

LE

OPEN CLOSED AUTHORITATIVE

INTERESTEDSUPERIOR

HUMOROUS SERIOUS CHEERFUL

HARSH LIBERAL GRATEFUL

CAN’T-DO SARCASTIC FRIENDLY

PESSIMISTIC

POMPOUS ARROGANT HUMBLE

CONDESCENDING

EGALITATRIAN

CERESIN

UNAUTHORITATIVE

COLD

200M X 200M ALLOTMENT WITH A SHED SIZE 200M X 250M COST OF 150 EUROS PER YEAR TO RENT GARDENERS ARE NOT ALLOWED TO PLANT TREES AS THEY TAKE TOO MUCH

SPACE & ALLOTMENTS ARE USED FOR GROWING VEGETABLES FREDERIC WAITED 8 YEARS BEFORE HE GOT A PLOT OF LAND AT THE ALLOTMENTS THAT HE HAS BEEN RENTING NOW FOR 17 YEARS ACTIVE MEMBERS: INFORMAL PRODUCE EXCHANGE OLDER GARDENERS & YOUNGER GARDENERS EACH GARDENER HAS A KEY TO THE ALLOTMENTS RECYCLING: THEY COLLECT & RECYCLE THE COMMUNAL GARBAGE - IT IS COLLECTED AT THE SIDE PATHOF THE ALLOTMENTS SOME GARDENERS DON'T HAVE A GARDEN OF THEIR OWN MOST OF THE GARDENERS DRIVE TO THE ALLOTMENTS THE SHEDS ARE USED FOR GENERAL

STORAGE OF GARDENING TOOLS & FURNITURE BURGLARS OFTEN BREAK INTO THE SHEDS CLOSER TO THE GATE MEETINGS ARE HELD IN ONE OF THE GARDENER'S SPACES

GARDENERS GATHER FOR EVENTS SUCH AS BBQS MOST BUSY PERIODS FOR GARDENING IS IN THE SUMMER OWNERSHIP: COLOMBES COUNCIL OWNS THE ALLOTMENTS LAND

THE ORIGINAL ALLOTMENTS WERE RELOCATED WHEN THE COUNCIL WANTED TO BUILD THE FRENCH NATIONAL STADIUM CONFLICT: GARDENERS ARE ARGUING ABOUT OWNERSHIP

OF LAND & TRESPASSING - COURT HEARING NATIONAL GRID ELECTRICITY MEETINGS EXCHANGES PRODUCE GARDNER EXPERTISE PROJECT AS A PRECEDENT: RAINWATER

COLLECTION / HTTP://56STBLAISE.WORDPRESS.COM ACTIVE MEMBERS COLLECT HOUSEHOLD WASTE EVERY WEDNESDAY HTTP://PANIERS.LEGUMES.NEUF.FR PRODUCE

IS COLLECTED FROM THE FARM & DELIVERED IN BASKETS BY A VAN EVERY WEDNESDAY

UNIVERSITY STUDENTSTUDENT

HOUSE

BIN PERSONSINGLE MOTHER

LOCAL MAYOR

UN

PRIMARY SCHOOL STUDENT

YOUNG COUPLE MARRIED COUPLELOCAL RESIDENT

HOMELESS PERSON COLLEGERISTINVESTIGATOR COMMUTER TOU

EMPLOYED HOUSE HUSBAND

WIFESHOP OWNER

MANUFACTURER GARDENERSINGLE FATHER OAP

INFILL

ALTERNATIVE ENERGIES EDGE CITY TRANSI

ASPHALT NATION

THREE ECOLOGIESMANAGEMENT ECOSOPHYLAND ECONOMY GREYFIELDTOWERBLURBPERMACULTURE MIDDLE LANDNO WASTE

SCAPE RESIDENTIAL SUBDIVISION ADAPTIVEREUSE BLANDBURB SELF-ORGANISATIONCONTESTED TERRITORIES RE-APPROPRIATE

DISTRIBUTED COGNITIONAPPROPRIATION

SELF GOVERNANCETION SUBDIVISION SELF

QUALITY OF LIFEFIELDSELF-SUBSISTENCE

RESILIENCE REUSEPEAK OIL BROWN

NETWOKING SPRAWL

CILVIL SERVANT STRIKE

RAIL NETWORK STRIKE

ON-THE-SPOTWORKERS STRIKECLOSURE

FACTORY

EARTHQUAKEEXTREME SNOW FALL

ENFORCEMENT

OVERVIEWSLOW MOVING EVENT

FLOODINGMUSIC PRODUCTION

PHYSICAL EXERCISE

STUDY

SLEEP

COOK WALK SHOPMARKETDISCUSSION

SCHOOL-RUNGRAPHIC PRODUCTION DRAW

DRIVE

CYCLE COMMUNITY MEETING

PARTY

GAME PLAY DANCE HOLIDAY

CINEMA

CULTURAL EVENTSHOWERRUCT

PAINT CONSTWORK SPORTS FESTIVAL

MEET FRIEND

RESEARCH EAT

NATIONAL GOVERNMENT

BEAUTY & AESTHETICS

TIME DELAYSCALE KNOWLEDGE

AGENDA

RECURRENT

ENFORCEMENT

CONFLICTCROSS-OVERS & LINKS

GLOBAL AFFECTS

agenda 01

agenda 02

agenda 03

agenda 04

PERSON CARD

LEXICON CARD

ATTITUDE CARD

COMMUNITY INITIATIVE CARD

ACTIVITY CARD SUDDEN EVENT CARD WILD STICKER

adapting infrastructurefor new uses

reuse

adapting social housing for the future

inhabiting "brownfield" through processes of spatial appropriation

resilience

adapt infrastructurefor new uses

peak oil

food energy

energyproduction

grow your own

networking

socialist politics

fair share for eve

rybody

adaptive

timescalehow things

will evolve

BREAK THESE

socialinfrastructure

public spaces

subdivisionsas sources ofsegregation

self

sustainability

demographics

locality

how publicspcaes evolve

self-bu

ild

reuse

materia

l

-local

resources

values

economyrehabilitating unused spaces

increase land values

typology

lots of sites

old industrial sitesno longer usedCOLOMBES

sharing

permaculture new attitudes to life happy together

people together

learning skills reuse items &belongings

people together

values of belongings & "waste"

shopping futuremarket place

existing inhabitants &influence of new

interactions

Scenario Mapping

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Scenario Mapping - Group 3

Page 18: Scenario Mapping Book

This scenario game was based around Fosses Jean and Stade, involving the local and non local population, with visiting architects and local professionals as some of the key players. A marker [sweet wrapper] was thrown onto the map to give the players a starting point, from this point a randomly chosen time frame was picked out of a pack, each player then took it in turns to pick out of the situations pack which contained positive and negative situations. The game continued over 5 turns then a new time frame was chosen, each player acted upon their turn.

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Scenario Mapping