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A trans-Atlantic linkage- between the Newfoundland and Rockall basins
Hjálmar Hátún, and Annebritt Sandø
EGU, 2013
Blue whiting
Gyre Mode
Spatial pattern
(Updated from Hakkinen and Rhines, 2004)
Monitoring with altimetry
Time series(gyre index)
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
Year
1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
Year
dSS
H [
cm]
Transport anomalies of source waters
Western source
Eastern source
Monitoring with altimetry
~ 7 Sv(Pingree, 2002)
An along-Continental Slope perspective
(Data availability) Decompose onto a S-axis
Porcupine
(Hátún et al. 2009, CJFAS)
Hydrographic Pulses
Shetland
35.1
35.15
35.2
35.25
35.3
35.35
35.4
35.45
35.5
Year
Dis
tanc
e [k
m]
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 20100
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Porcupine
Shetland
Salinity @ 300m
Hydrographic Pulses Salinity
35.1
35.15
35.2
35.25
35.3
35.35
35.4
35.45
35.5
Year
Dis
tanc
e [k
m]
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 20100
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Porcupine
Shetland
Salinity @ 300m
Hydrographic Pulses Salinity, currents
Wea
kerNAC index
Blue whiting
Blue whiting
Spawning distribution(Hátún et al., 2009, CJFAS)
Mackerel
Herring
Feeding Post-spawning migration(Hátún et al., 2009, PIO)
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 20100
1
2
3
4
5
6x 10
4
BW
Recru
itm
ent
Recruitment ?
35.1
35.15
35.2
35.25
35.3
35.35
35.4
35.45
35.5
Year
Dis
tanc
e [k
m]
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 20100
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Porcupine
Shetland
Salinity @ 300m
Hydrographic Pulses Salinity, currents
Wea
ker N
AC
35.1
35.15
35.2
35.25
35.3
35.35
35.4
35.45
35.5
Year
Dis
tanc
e [k
m]
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 20100
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Porcupine
Shetland
Salinity @ 300m
Hydrographic Pulses
A new boom?(’prediction’ made at the
ICES decadal symposium in 2011)
Salinity, currents and recruitment
40W 30W 20W 10W
45
50
55
60
65
40W 30W 20W 10W45N
50N
55N
60N
65NIceland
Scot-land
1993
S > 35.35S 35.35S > 35.10S 35.10
<
<
1998
<
Strong gyre Weak gyre
A link to the Newfoundland Basin
(Hátún, et al., 2005)
(Bersch et al. 2007):’...shift in subarctic surface and intermediate water masses between the
West European Basins (/Iceland Basin) and the Newfoundland Basin’
NF Basin
IcelandBasin
Statements by Herbaut and Houssais (2009):
...salinity changes in the eastern SPG are mostly due to the set-up of an ‘‘intergyre gyre’’ in response to the
wind-stress anomalies rather than to an enhancement of the gyre circulation due to the buoyancy flux.
...contrary to the suggestion of Hátún et al. (2005) and Bersch et al. (2007), this acceleration of the gyre does not force the changes in the eastern North Atlantic.
(Eden and Willebrand, 2001)
NAO low
The ’Inter-gyre’ gyre(simulated stream-function)
NAO high
Sub-arctic front
34
34.2
34.4
34.6
34.8
35
35.2
35.4
1973
-60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 040
45
50
55
60
65
Subarctic water
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45-5000
-4500
-4000
-3500
-3000
-2500
-2000
-1500
-1000
-500
020
Dep
th (m
)
N
NAC shifts in the Newfoundland Basin
Simulated salinity(MICOM, upper layers)
NAC
-0.03
-0.01
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.07
-60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 040
45
50
55
60
65
NAC shifts in the Newfoundland Basin
First EOF (after linear detrending)
NAC position and western water influx
-0.03
-0.01
0.01
0.03
0.05
0.07
-60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 040
45
50
55
60
65
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 20050
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Tra
nspo
rt [
Sv]
Year
PCNF Basin
40W 30W 20W 10W
45
50
55
60
65
40W 30W 20W 10W45N
50N
55N
60N
65NIceland
Scot-land
1993
S > 35.35S 35.35S > 35.10S 35.10
<
<
1998
<
Simulated Transport
Rockall
north
south
Covariance betwen the NAC position and the influx of western water
Wind stress curl(Herbaut and Houssais, 2009)
Yes
No
Messages
• Recruitment of blue whiting is linked to: – Sub-decadal hydrographic pulses– And/ or the strength of the
North Atlantic Current• The position of the sub-arctic front in the
Newfoundland Basin - a critical metric • The mid-1990s change was an oceanic
reorganization
The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Union 7th Framework Programme (FP7 2007-2013), under grant agreement n.308299NACLIM www.naclim.eu
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 20050
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0.14
0.16
0.18
0.2
Win
d S
tres
s C
url x
1e-
6
Year
WSC (shifted 2 years ->)(42-48N, 28-38W)
NACposition
Atmospheric forcing - wind stress curl
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
Atmospheric forcing – heat loss
...can drive the sub-decadal variability,but not the rapid mid-1990s change
-0.6
-0.5
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
-70 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 020
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 040
45
50
55
60
65
1970 1980 1990 2000
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
Year
NA
C p
ositi
on
NAC
Difference
Streamf.(1996-2003) minus Streamf. (1989-1995) Sv
Dual SPG states – divided by Rockall
The dramatic mid-1990s change, an internal oceanic change
Western and Eastern water contribution – on sub-decadal scales
40W 30W 20W 10W
45
50
55
60
65
40W 30W 20W 10W45N
50N
55N
60N
65NIceland
Scot-land
1993
S > 35.35S 35.35S > 35.10S 35.10
<
<
1998
<
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 20050
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Tra
nspo
rt [
Sv]
Year
Simulated transport
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 20050
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Tra
nspo
rt [
Sv]
Year1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 20050
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Tra
nspo
rt [
Sv]
Year
40W 30W 20W 10W
45
50
55
60
65
40W 30W 20W 10W45N
50N
55N
60N
65NIceland
Scot-land
1993
S > 35.35S 35.35S > 35.10S 35.10
<
<
1998
<
Western and Eastern water contribution – on sub-decadal scales
Porcupine
Shetland
The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Union 7th Framework Programme (FP7 2007-2013), under grant agreements n.308299 NACLIM www.naclim.eu