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8/14/2019 Sensory overload - M2M needs to smarten up
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Clive Longbottom,
Service Director, Quocirca Ltd
Sensory overloadM2M needs to smarten up
Rob Bamforth,
Principal analyst, Quocirca Ltd
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Quocirca 2012
Mid 90s expectations are we there yet?
Bill Joys 6 webs Near - desktop Here - mobile Far TV & lean back
Weird (automotive) voice, gesture
B2B D2D (M2M, IoT etc)
Java, Jini, Jxta & Lego
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Predictions & progress
Lightbulbs will have internet addresses one day (George Colony, Forrester, 29/3/96)
Only 100m true M2M deployments so far (Intel 2011)
15b devices by 2015
(Harbour Research 2012)
2.1b connections & 373b by 2020 (GSMA/Machina Research 2012)
Today 132m cellular connections, generating 5.68b (Informa Sept 2012)
M2M market to grow 21.5b in 2011 to 86b in 2017 (Research and Markets, Sept 2012) Whos measuring what?
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Challenges and Distractions
M2M Can do anything
Internet of Things Aligning agendas Long lifecycles
Network focus
Consumer acceptance Business process linkage Standards & interoperability
Jetsons, BigBrother, Tomorrows World
Time for an application driven approach?
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Mobile Email
Pink Collar
Mobile ITWhite Collar
Mobile Working
Blue Collar
M2M
Steel Collar
Numberofusers
Time
Waves of mobile applications
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Decision
Making
Knowledge
Working
Task and
Process
Machine
Automation
Increasing
adoption
Time
Increasing challenges
Security
Device diversity
Service level expectation
Integration complexity
Management and automation
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Standards plenty of activity
ITU FG M2M service layer
ETSI M2M release 1 devices, gateways, apps, access TIA GSC MSTF Global Magnificent 7 oneM2M service layer
Association of Radio Industries Telecommunication Technology Committee Alliance for Telecommunications Industry Solutions Telecommunications Industry Association China Communications Standards Association European Telecommunications Standards Institute Telecommunications Technology Association
Looks like IMS2.0 wheres the IT?
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Return on Time Investment
Smart meters
Industrial sensing, control and security
Domestic sensing, control and security
Commercial asset tracking
Private vehicle tracking
Consumer appliances
Device expected deployment lifetimes
Tablets and smartphones
10 years
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Trends, thoughts & directions?
WiiFM
M2M, P2M & M2P
Cellular-lite
Keitairetsu
SDP -> ADP
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Whats in it for me?Government
Regulator
Operator
Platformprovider
SoftwaredeveloperIntegrator
Serviceprovider
Business
Endconsumer
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Smart meter awareness
heard of, butknow nothing
24%
Just a little51%
A 'fairamount'
20%
A 'great deal'5%
Source: Ipsos Mori research forDECC August 2012
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Smart meter acceptanceVery
interested
9%
Fairlyinterested
33%
Not veryinterested
25%
Not at allinterested
28%
Don't know5%
Source: Ipsos Mori research forDECC August 2012
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Dissecting SCADA
Interaction Automation
Collaboration Information
MachinePerson
Machine
Person
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Full Automation
Smart X meters, grids, cities
Media perceptions of M2M Significant impact on business processes Challenging and worthy, often unsung
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Interaction
Remote control
Personal drones Smarthomes
CropCam
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Subtle interaction served content
Background
Service oriented, not network oriented Amortisation of the bitpipe
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Vital information- Trojan Room coffee pot
Computer Lab at Cambridge University Remote monitoring over X window system LAN in 1991 Internet in 1993
Switched off August 2001 Auctioned on eBay for 3,350
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Information
Gather, monitor, inform & decide Sensor proliferation
Big-ish data Mobile & tablet display
Blue collar BYOD
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Connectivity distraction wired, wireless, whatever
Will MNOs get bored with M2M?
The rise of long & short range wireless
SmartReach ZigBee
Market for ZigBee technology expected to grow at the highest CAGR(33.8%) compared to other forms of wireless comms 2012-2017 (sourceResearch and Markets, Sept 2012)
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M2M Kei(tai)retsu
Device
Identity
Operatingsystem
Client
Backend
Clientmanagement
Operatingenvironment
Applicationserver
Business
DataManagement
Operatingenvironment
Processes
M2M platform
Network
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M2M industry view
M2M platform
Network
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M2M business viewBusinessProcesses
M2M platform
Network
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M2M ecosystems Maslow meets ISO
Businessneed
Applications
ApplicationPlatforms
Tariffs/billing
Provisioning
Data sharing
Connectivity
Focus switch
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Switch from telecoms to IT
Ecosystems, not echo-systems Open Opportunity shared Active developer programmes
Velocity and momentum De facto accepted
Cloud embraced
Application delivery platforms not SDPs
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Opportunities and Markets
Healthcare Industrial automation
Remote access and support Utility resource management Energy and facility management Telematics/fleet management Logistics and consumable replenishment Content distribution digital signage & ebooks
Maintenance Security
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Opportunities and Markets (Juniper Research 2010)
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Future directions Enough Swiss army knives, need more whittlers IOT needs to become SNoT (Social Network of Things) More business process, less technology driven
Universal seamless coverage not network silos Most appropriate connectivity is not always cellular
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Thank you
Questions?