View
224
Download
3
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Sep 09, 2008
Jan A. Van Mieghem
New Faculty Teaching Orientation
MMBA: Operations
1. Short bio
2. What is ops & the Kellogg operations management curriculum
3. Teaching models to guide managers: Palu Gear
4. Debrief & personal views on teaching at a research business school
Outline
1. Short bio
2. What is ops & the Kellogg operations management curriculum
3. Teaching models to guide managers: Palu Gear
4. Debrief & personal views on teaching at a research business school
Outline
What is Operations?
“The process of bringing
goods and services
to customers”
© J.A. Van Mieghem
Value is created through a chain of activities, including customer exchanges
Difference = supply chain surplus = value
Bringing goods and services to customers:Value maximization and Supply Chain Surplus
Ideas Design ProduceMarket& Sell
Ship Service
Total supply chain cost Willingness to pay
Finance, Information Systems, Human Resources, Accounting
Informationstructure
A process is a transformation of inputs into outputs through a network of activities and buffers, utilizing resources, IT and mgt
OutputsGoodsServices
InputsFlow units/Entities(customers, data, material, cash, etc.)
Labor & CapitalResources
ProcessManagement
Network ofActivities and Buffers
The three ‘colors’ of operational excellence
Management Infrastructure
“The formal structures, processes and systems through which resources are managed in support of the operating system”
“The way people think, feel and conduct themselves in the workplace, individually and collectively”
Mindsets, Capabilities & Behaviors
“The way assets and resources are configured and optimised to create value and minimise losses”
Operating System
Source: John Drew
McK’s Operations Practice
Product Development Purchasing and Supply Management Manufacturing (MMP) Supply Chain Management Service Operations Business support functions (BSF)
Content of OPNS430
Module 1: Operations Strategy Introduction to Operations Aligning Strategy and Operations. Focus Product-Process Matrix Module 2: Process Analysis & Applications Process Measures and Little’s Law Process Flow Analysis. Targeting Improvement Flow Time & Capacity Analysis Optional Review, Check web for time and room Flow Time & Capacity Analysis: Peak Loads Module 3: Lean Operations House Building Game Paradigm of Lean Operations Lean Operations for Product Variety Optional Review, Check web for time and room Midterm Exam: in class, closed book
Content of OPNS430
Module 4: Supply Chain Management Inventory Basics. Economies of Scale Uncertainty, Safety Inventory & Pooling Pooling: Centralization & Postponement Optional Review, Check web for time and room Optimal Service Level Module 5: Capacity Management in Services Capacity, Queuing & Flow Time Analysis
Application to Call Centers Module 6: Quality Quality and Voice of the Customer Process Capability & Statistical Process Control The Value of 6-Sigma Optional Review, Check web for time and room Wrap Up and Review
Core OpsOPNS 430
Allon, Deo, Lin,Gurvich, Shin
Analytical modelingon spreadsheets
OPNS 450 Deshmukh, Savaskan
Operations StrategyOPNS 454
Ata, Van Mieghem
Logistics and supplychain management
OPNS 455 Bassamboo, Chopra
Service operationsOPNS 456 Lariviere
• • Product development Tech 919 Conley • MMM electives
Operational Risk OPNS 919A WalkerTechnology Firm Integration Farrow
Curriculum & Faculty
4 majors in the MEDS dept– Operations– Analytical consulting– Decision sciences– Managerial economics
MMM dual degree program– MMM = MBA + MEM, the Kellogg School MBA and Northwestern
Engineering dual-degree program that integrates management, operations and design.
The operations management curriculum at Kellogg
Supply chain: design, economics, logistics, and risk management
– Allon, Bassamboo, Chopra, Lariviere, Van Mieghem, Savaskan, Shin
Service optimization: call centers and health care– Allon, Ata, Bassamboo, Deo, Gurvich, Lin, Van Mieghem
Demand and revenue management: consumer behavior, network control
– Allon, Ata, Bassamboo, Gurvich, Lariviere
Operations Research streams at Kellogg
© Van Mieghem
1. Short bio
2. What is ops & the Kellogg operations management curriculum
3. Teaching models to guide managers: Palu Gear
4. Debrief & personal views on teaching at a research business school
Outline
Slide 16Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
What are the flows in a SC? What is the goal of a SC? What makes for a “good” SC?
Raw Materialsupply points
Movement/Transport
Raw MaterialStorage Movement/
TransportMovement/Transport
PLANT 1
PLANT 2
PLANT 3
WAREHOUSES(DCs)
Movement/Transport
MARKETS
Manufacturing
Finished GoodsStorage
A
B
C
1. Procurementor supply system
2. OperatingSystem 3. Distribution System
4. Salesor demand system
What is a Supply Chain?
Slide 17Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
Key Financial Indicators of Supply Chain Performance Profitability Return on Assets Net Present Value …
But these are LAGGING indicators. What must the supply chain do to achieve this?
What does this require?
Slide 18Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
Drivers of Supply Chain Performance: Improved Matching of Supply and Demand
What happens if supply does not match demand?– If S > D:– If S < D:
Improve Matching of Demand with Supply
Transportation InformationInventory Facilities
Slide 19Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
Average abnormal returns by who holds the excess inventory
-7.57
-5.49
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
Customers hold excess invengtoryAnnouncing firm holds excess
inventory
Ave
rage
sha
reho
lder
ret
urn
(%)
Demand-Supply Mismatches and ShareholderValue: The Case of Excess Inventories
Source: research paper by Vinod R. Singhal, 2006.
Slide 20Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
Costs of not Matching Supply and Demand
Cost of overstocking – liquidation, obsolescence, holding
Cost of under-stocking – lost sales and resulting lost margin
What are the causes (challenges) driving this mismatch?
Slide 21Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
Supply Chain Management Managing the Supply Chain
Key to matching demand with supply Cost and Benefits of inventory
Economies of Scale Palu Gear: Inventory management of a retailer Optimal order quantity: EOQ Impact of lead-time: ROP Levers for improvement
Slide 22Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
Transportation costs per pallet
Source: Better Logistics in European consumer goods, McK Quarterly 2007. (data from disguished CPG manufacturer)
Slide 23Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
Annual jacket revenues at a Palü Gear retail store are roughly $1M. Palü jackets sell at an average retail price of $325, which represents a mark-up of 30% above what Palü Gear paid its manufacturer. Being a profit center, each store made its own inventory decisions and was supplied directly from the manufacturer by truck. A shipment up to a full truck load, which was about 1500 jackets, was charged a flat fee of $2,200. To exploit economies of scale, stores typically ordered full truck loads. (Palü’s cost of capital is approximately 20%.)
What order size would you recommend for a Palü store in current supply network?
retailermanufacturer
Palü Gear: Retail Inventory Management & Economies of Scale
Slide 24Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
Economies of Scale: Inventory Build-Up Diagram
R: Annual demand rate,
Q: Number of wind breakers per replenishment order
Number of orders per year = R/Q.
Average number of wind breakers in inventory = Q/2 .
Q
Time t
Inventory Profile:# of wind breakers in inventory over time.
Inventory
Q/2
“cycle stock”
-R = Demandrate
Slide 25Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
Costs associated with batches
Order Costs (S)– Setup/Changeover of process– Transportation– Receiving
Holding costs (H)– Physical holding cost– Cost of capital– Cost of obsolescence
Slide 26Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
Palü Gear: evaluation of current policy of ordering 1500 units each time
1. What is average inventory I? I = Annual cost to hold one unit H = Annual cost to hold I =
2. How often do we order? Annual throughput R = # of orders per year = Annual order cost =
3. What is total cost? TC =
4. What happens if order size changes?
Slide 27Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
Find most economical order quantity: Spreadsheet for a Palü Gear retailer
Number of units Number ofper order/batch Batches per Annual Annual Annual
Q Year: R/Q Setup Cost Holding Cost Total Cost50 62 135,385$ 1,250$ 136,635$ 100 31 67,692$ 2,500$ 70,192$ 150 21 45,128$ 3,750$ 48,878$ 200 15 33,846$ 5,000$ 38,846$ 250 12 27,077$ 6,250$ 33,327$ 300 10 22,564$ 7,500$ 30,064$ 350 9 19,341$ 8,750$ 28,091$ 400 8 16,923$ 10,000$ 26,923$ 450 7 15,043$ 11,250$ 26,293$ 500 6 13,538$ 12,500$ 26,038$ 510 6 13,273$ 12,750$ 26,023$ 520 6 13,018$ 13,000$ 26,018$ 530 6 12,772$ 13,250$ 26,022$ 540 6 12,536$ 13,500$ 26,036$ 550 6 12,308$ 13,750$ 26,058$ 600 5 11,282$ 15,000$ 26,282$ 650 5 10,414$ 16,250$ 26,664$ 700 4 9,670$ 17,500$ 27,170$ 750 4 9,026$ 18,750$ 27,776$ 800 4 8,462$ 20,000$ 28,462$ 850 4 7,964$ 21,250$ 29,214$ 900 3 7,521$ 22,500$ 30,021$
1000 3 6,769$ 25,000$ 31,769$
$-
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
$160,000
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
Order (batch) size Q
Setup Cost
Holding Cost
Total Cost
Slide 28Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
Accurate Response to Scale Economies: Economic Order Quantity EOQ
The order quantity that minimizes total supply chain cost is: H
SRQEOQ
2
H Q/2: Annual holding cost
Order Size Q
Total annual costs
S R /Q:Annual setup cost
SRH2
Annual unit demand
Fixed cost per order
Annual unit holding cost
Slide 29Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
Optimal Economies of Scale: For a Palü Gear retailer
R = 3077 units/ year = 59 units/wk C = $ 250 / unit
r = 0.20/year S = $ 2,200 / order
Unit annual holding cost = H = 0.20/yr x $250 = $50/yr
Optimal order quantity = Q = sqrt(2 x 3077 x 2200/50) = 520
Number of orders per year = R/Q = 5.9
Time between orders = Q/R = 0.17yr = 8.8weeks
Annual order cost = (R/Q)S = $13,008.87/yr
Average inventory I = Q/2 = 260
Annual holding cost = (Q/2)H =$13,008.87/yr
Average flow time T = I/R = 0.084 yr = 4.4weeks
H
SRQEOQ
2
Slide 30Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
Optimal Economies of Scale: Managerial Insights
How cut inventories (economically smart)?
Budgeting for growth– Last FY: Sales = $100M Inventories = $20M– Next year: Sales = $200M Inventories = ?– Days-of-inventory:
Centralized inventory management
SRHCH
SRQ EOQEOQ 2
2
Slide 31Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
Learning Objectives: Batching & Economies of Scale
Increasing batch size Q of order (or production) increases average inventories (and thus flow times).
– Average inventory for a batch size of Q is Q/2.
The optimal batch size minimizes supply chain costs by trading off setup cost and holding cost and is given by the EOQ formula.
To reduce batch size, one must reduce setup cost (time). Economies of scale are manifested by the square-root
relationship between QEOQ and (R, S):– If demand increases by a factor of 4, it is optimal to increase batch size
by a factor of 2 and produce (order) twice as often.– To reduce batch size by a factor of 2, setup cost has to be reduced by a
factor of 4.
Slide 32Supply Chain Management © Van Mieghem
Role of Leadtime L: Palü Gear cont.
The lead time from when a Palü Gear retailer places an order to when the order is received is two weeks. If demand is stable as before, when should the retailer place an order?
Inventory Profile:
Two key decisions in inventory management are:– How much to order?– When to order?
Q
Time t
-R
Inventory
1. Short bio
2. What is ops & the Kellogg operations management curriculum
3. Teaching models to guide managers: Palu Gear
4. Debrief & personal views on teaching at a research business school
Outline
Teaching Strategy for new faculty
Goal: get down the learning curve ASAP (≥ 7.5) Why?
– Instant gratification vs. long term pain and dysfunctional (research) life
How: Over-invest early (now) (Jim Patell)– Learn from and copy the masters
Sit in each class Prepare each class like a student, record and take notes as a teacher
– Focus on delivery! (Sharon Novak) No points for fancy slides or different content → copy exactly existing content Practice makes perfect
– Continuous Improvement After each class take 2 minutes to write down “ex-post” Team member
Teaching Execution
Team up (riding in the peloton v solo)– leverage but carry your weight
Have a process: Standardize content & exams– This is huge risk mitigation factor (demonstrated in ops and fin I)– Again, this allows you to focus on delivery
Prepare– Timing & structure– Know the details (students notice)
Enable continuous improvement Brief evaluation + suggestions for next time; keep electronic Experiment to find your own “art & voice”
Empathy and energy/passion Do care: Get to know the MBA mindset: how can you help them be successful? Are you convinced that what you teach is valuable for MBAs?
Looking back…
We have one of the best jobs ever! Nothing replaces experience: the first time is hard
– Acknowledge it and prepare yourself accordingly– It’s OK to feel down or even cry; you will survive—we all did
Keep your eye on the ball: research = market value and mobility– Teaching is important but tenure requires research– Publish that dissertation + start new research– Seek balance over time: research > teaching > research synergies
Congratulations for starting at Kellogg; Enjoy the journey and remember that we are blessed