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Session III: The Economics of Frac Sand
Overseas Markets: Is Sand a Viable Export Product?
A Case Study from the Vaca Muerta Shale Play,
Argentina
Richard Spencer
President & CEO, South American Silica Corp
www.samsilica.com | www.u3o8corp.com
Forward-Looking Statements
& Disclaimer
2
Certain statements and concepts contained herein constitute forward-looking statements that involve substantial known andunknown risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, certain ofwhich are beyond the control of South American Silica Corp. (“SAS”), including, but not limited to, the impact of general economicconditions, industry conditions, geopolitical risks, volatility of commodity prices, risks associated with the uncertainty ofexploration results and estimates and that a resource will be achieved on exploration projects, that the Carina property will bedeveloped as anticipated and frac sand potential is realized, currency fluctuations, the uncertainty of obtaining additionalfinancing and exploration risk, and dependence upon regulatory approvals. Readers are cautioned that the assumptions used inthe preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be imprecise and, assuch, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made as of thedate hereof and SAS. assumes no obligation to update or revise them to reflect new events or circumstances.
Comparisons of SAS’ properties and exploration targets with other frac sand projects are conceptual in nature, and have not beenindependently verified by SAS and information regarding these peer deposits are drawn from publicly available information.Information on SAS and its projects are available on the company’s web site at www.samsilicacorp.com.
Industry and peer information has been drawn from publicly available sources and have not been independently verified by SAS.
www.samsilica.com | www.u3o8corp.com
World Hydrocarbon Shale Basins:
Markets for N. America proppant producers?
3
Map of basins with assessed shale oil & shale gas formations (May 2013)
Assessed basins with
resource estimate
Assessed basins
without a resource estimate
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Vaca
Muerta
Mexico
Argentina
4
• What are the challenges of moving sand over long distances? Is it viable?
• What are the opportunities for exporting to Mexico and Argentina?
• Projected demand growth in Argentine and Mexican markets
• How would a rise in demand from foreign markets impact USA production?
Questions Posed
www.samsilica.com | www.u3o8corp.com
Illustrated with
a case study
5
• Bottlenecks in infrastructure system eg rail capacity in north-central USA
• Up to 15,000 tonnes (75 rail cars) of frac sand required per well;
• Handling efficiency (minimize handling):
• Specialized containers - mine-site to well-head: same container for rail, road, sea transport
• Health risk posed by respirable crystalline silica (RCS)
Moving Sand:
Is it viable?
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Overseas markets require multiple modes of transport (containerized systems)
• Viability depends on:
• The right product (grain size, K value,
specialized proppants etc);
• Health – minimize handling;
• Transport cost;
• Delivery time.
6
• What are the challenges of moving sand over long distances? Is it viable?
• What are the opportunities for exporting to Mexico and Argentina?
• Projected demand growth in Argentine and Mexican markets
• How would a rise in demand from foreign markets impact USA production?
Questions Posed
www.samsilica.com | www.u3o8corp.com
Illustrated with
a case study
There is market potential:Argentina: 3rd in gas, 4th in oil
Mexico: 6th in gas, 8th in oil
7
75
48
32
27
26
18
13
13
9
9
Russia
USA
China
Argentina
Libya
Australia
Venezuela
Mexico
Pakistan
Canada
1,161
1,115
802
707
573
545
437
390
285
245
USA
China
Argentina
Algeria
Canada
Mexico
Australia
South Africa
Russia
Brazil
Shale Oil Rankings by CountryTechnically Recoverable Shale Oil Resources
(billions of barrels)
Shale Gas Rankings by CountryTechnically Recoverable Shale Gas
(trillions of cubic feet)
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Source: US DOE Source: US DOE
Vaca Muerta, ArgentinaA guess at frac sand market size
8
OrejanoDow
AguadaFederal
Wintershall
La AmargaChica
Petronas
Loma La Lata YPF-Chevron
Aquila Mora Shell-
Medanito
Rincon de Aranda
Petrobras-Total
Bajo del Choique
ExxonMobil
Los ToldosAmerican Petrogas -
ExxonMobil
Loma Campana
YPF-Chevron
Chihuido de la Sierra
Negra YPF-Chevron
Sierras BlancasShell-
MedonitoForeign Oil Companies
in the Vaca Muerta
2011 Aug ExxonMobil JV with Americas Petrogas
Nov YPF announced 1st shale oil discovery
2012 May YPF nationalized from Repsol
Re-Entry of Foreign Oil Companies:
2012 Dec Pan American Energy (BP) JV with YPF
2013 AprShell-Medanito-Province reports discovery on
Aquila Mora
2013 May
Chevron JV Loma Campana with YPF
• $1.24B initial investment commitment:
• 132 wells planned, drilled 198 by Jun 9/14
• $1.6B follow-on investment commitment:
• 170 more wells planned
2013 Sep Dow Chemical JV with YPF
2013 Sep Petrobras JV with Province
2014 Feb Petronas JV with YPF
2014 Apr Repsol compensated for YPF nationalization
2014 MayExxonMobil reports discovery on Bajo del
Choique concession
Vaca Muerta, Argentina:A guess at frac sand market size
9
Actual and Projected Consumption of Frac Sand, Argentina
• YPF reportedly required 0.65Mt of
frac sand in 2014. 168 wells in
production from unconventional
= 3,800t of sand per well
• Chevron-YPF: Loma Campaña
field – plan to drill 1,500 wells in 5
years – assume 3,800t = 5.7Mt
(~1Mt per year) from one part of
the basin only
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Loma Campana
– Loma Lata
field
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Tho
usa
nd
bb
ls/d
YPF Unconventional Oil Production (bbls/d)
0
5
10
Frac sand
de
man
d (M
t)
2014: YPF frac sand imports 650K tonnes
YPF unconventional oil production
YPF discovery of unconventional HC
Lag of 4 years between discovery & 1st
significant production of frac sand = export opportunity from USA
10
• Chubut (Argentina) properties are within 1-day
trucking distance from:
• Vaca Muerta (550 mi x $0.16/t/mi) = $90/t by road;
• San Jorge basin (300 mi x $0.16/t/mi) = $50/t by road;
• Uruguay properties to Vaca Muerta:
• Container by sea ~1,000 mi (1,500Km): $25/t
• Road transport (300 mi x $0.16/t/mi) $50/t
• Total transport / tonne $75/t
• Comparison:
• China - Puerto Madryn $2,500 - $3,000 per container
of 25t = $100/t
• ~55 day delivery
Regional Transport Cost Guidelines:
Vaca
Muerta
San Jorge
Austral -
Magellanes
Chaco
San Antonio del Oeste
deepwater port
Puerto Madryn
deepwater port
Parana
Argentine
sands
Uruguay
sands
www.samsilica.com | www.u3o8corp.com
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
Cru
sh
Str
en
gth
(K
ps
i)
Mesh Size
Chubut 1
Chubut 3
Uruguay 2
Other 2
ISO 13503-02
Target Summary:Crush Test Results from Sands in “vicinity” of Vaca Muerta
11
Target criteria:
• Transport cost to Vaca Muerta
<$100 per tonne;
• Potential for >50 million tonnes;
• Preference for hydro-mining
potential;
• Spread of jurisdictions
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16/30 30/5020/40 40/70 70/140
Projects in Chubut Province, Argentina
Potential for near-term production
12
Chubut Project 1 within Trucking Distance
of the Vaca Muerta & San Jorge Basin
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Outcropping, friable sand at Chubut Project 1
• Chubut Project 1 is trucking distance from:
• Vaca Muerta (550 mi x $0.16/t/mi) = $90/t by road;
• San Jorge basin (300 mi x $0.16/t/mi) = $50/t by road;
Vaca Muerta
San Jorge Basin Argentine
sands
Puerto Madryn
Port San Antonio Oeste
Chubut Province:
Project 1
13
Characteristic ISO
13503/2
Chubut Project 1 Sample 14528
Sample # 146 147 148 GEL 1101
Fraction 20/40 30/50 40/70 20/40 40/70
% of sand in that
fraction
42% 73% 52% 45% 48%
Sphericity 0.6 0.61 0.63 0.57 0.6 0.6
Roundness 0.6 0.44 0.44 0.38 0.8 0.7
Acid consumption 2% 1.7% 2.0% 2.5%
3% 2.1% 3.9%
Turbidity 250 FTU 102 78 166 193 140
Crush test ISO requirement: 14%
@ 4K
10%
@ 4K
8% @
5K
14%
@ 4K
8% @
5K
4KPsi 8.8% 3% 5.3%
5Kpsi 10.1% 6.4%
6Kpsi 9.4% 9.0%
8Kpsi 7.2%
K Value 8K 5K 9K
• JV with local operator progressing
towards initial production at no cost
to us
• Estimated transport cost to the Vaca
Muerta: ~US$90/t
Chubut Project 3:
14
Characteristic ISO 13503/2 Test
Results -
Sample #
Fraction 30/50
% of sand in that fraction 77%
Sphericity 0.6 0.7
Roundness 0.6 0.6
Acid consumption 2% 1.9%
Turbidity 250 FTU 23
Crush test ISO requirement:
4KPsi 10% 3.7%
5Kpsi 8%
K Value 6K
• Estimated transport cost to the
Vaca Muerta = US$100/t by road
Uruguay Project 2:
15
• Total frac fraction is >95% of bulk
sand
• Location – 290km by road to port
• Hydro-mining
• Estimated transport cost to the
Vaca Muerta: US$95/t
Characteristic ISO 13503-02
Requirement
Test Results (SAS-
042)
Fraction 40/70 70/140
% of sand in that fraction 46% 52%
Sphericity 0.6 0.8 0.7
Roundness 0.6 0.7 0.6
Acid consumption 3% 3.5% 4.5%
Turbidity 250 FTU 71 95
Crush test (% fines) at 5Kpsi Permissible 8% 6%
Test Result 6% 3.3%
40/70 (46%) 70/140 (52%)
Other 2Different jurisdiction
16
35#
Characteristic ISO
Requirement
GEL1100 / FS-BG-
D1
Fraction 20/40 30/50
% of sand in that fraction 72% 89%
Sphericity 0.6 0.8 0.8
Roundness 0.6 0.8 0.6
Acid consumption 2% 0.6 1.5
Turbidity 250 FTU 6 4
Crush test (% fines at 4Kpsi) 20/40:14% @ 4K
30/50: 10% @ 4K
2.5% 4.1%
% fines at 6Kpsi 9.5% 6.7%
K Value 6K 7K
30#
• Total frac fraction is >90% of bulk
sand
• Hydro-mining
• Estimated transport cost to the Vaca
Muerta: US$120/t
Argentina as a JurisdictionImproving investment climate
17
• Argentina spends US$9B / year in energy imports
• Govt sees Vaca Muerta as means of attaining energy
independence & being an economic driver
• Reversed course on YPF nationalization – paid $5B in
compensation to Repsol (April 2014)
• Settled 2001 bond default with Paris Club (May 2014)
• New oil & gas law aims to attract foreign capital – need
$200-$300B to fully develop the Vaca Muerta
• Infrastructure generally very good:
• Very good road system & deepwater ports
• Good oil & gas pipeline network – Vaca Muerta in
production (conventional oil) for 100 years
• High inflation – likely to continue into 2015
• Manage currency devaluation by “buying local” where
possible & price product in US$
• Frac sand is an essential component for development
of the Vaca Muerta
Vaca
Muerta Good Network of
Roads, Pipelines &
Deep Water Ports
in Argentina
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Argentina’s frac sand requirements:Can potentially be met from local production
- with appropriate corporate strategy
18
• Minimize transport cost:
• Target cost ~$100/t
• How unique is frac sand in proximity
to the Vaca Muerta?
• Potential tonnage >50Mt
• Range of potential products:
• 20/40
• 30/50
• 40/70
• 70/140
• Health risk – silicosis – mitigated by
Hydro-mining potential in Uruguay
• Spread political risk: Argentina &
Uruguay
Uruguay
Is South America an export opportunity
for frac sands from USA?
19www.samsilica.com | www.u3o8corp.com
Vaca
Muerta
Illinois –Texas $125/t
China – Argentina~$100/t - 55 days
In initial development of these fields, yes, but during start-up only. It is an export market
for specialized proppants.
Vaca Muerta (Argentina): From start-up - imported frac sand from USA, China and Brazil.
Export opportunity until local frac sand supply established
20
• What are the challenges of moving sand over long distances? Is it viable?
• What are the opportunities for exporting to Mexico and Argentina?
• Projected demand growth in Argentine and Mexican markets
• How would a rise in demand from foreign markets impact USA production?
• Short-term stress on the international market until local resources brought into
production in those new markets;
• Specialized proppants likely to be a strong market for USA production.
• The bigger opportunity is to establish / invest in the local frac sand industry in
jurisdictions of interest – export the expertise – not the product
Questions Posed
www.samsilica.com | www.u3o8corp.com
Illustrated with
a case study
Dr. Richard Spencer, President & CEO
Nancy Chan-Palmateer, VP IR
(416) 868-1491
www.samsilica.com
21U3O8 Corp. Investee – TSX: UWE OTCQX: UWEFF | www.u3o8corp.com