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1
122 West
Short v. Long Term Energy Storage Analysis
Susan M. SchoenungLongitude 122 West, Inc.
William V. HassenzahlAdvanced Energy Analysis
DOE Energy Storage Systems Program ReviewNovember 19, 2002
Work Sponsored by the DOE ESS ProgramHome
Agenda
2
122 West Objectives
• Previous work compared energy storage technologies: power ratings, storage duration, response time, capital cost, commercial maturity.
• This work extends energy storage characterization to include life cycle cost analysis. Elements addressed: efficiency, O&M, parasitic losses and replacement costs.
• The overall goal is to provide quantitative comparison of alternative energy storage technologies in applications with varying discharge time.
3
122 West Contract Tasks
1) Technology update: costs and performance
2) Life cycle cost analysis for varying sizes ofenergy storage
3) Comparative analysis of rechargeablebatteries and fuel cells
4
122 West Application Categories and Specifications
Applicat ionCategory
Dischargepower range
Discharget imerange
St ored energyrange
Representat iveApplicat ions
Bulk energyst orage
10 - 1000 M W 1 - 8 hr s 10 - 8000 MWh Load leveling,spinning r eserve
Distr ibutedgenerat ion
100 - 2000 k W 0.5 - 4 hr s 50 - 8000 k Wh(0.05 - 8 MWh)
Peak shaving,t ransmissiondeferral
Powerqualit y
100 - 2000 k W 1 - 30 s ec 0.1 - 60 M J(0.028-16 .67kWh)
End-use powerqualit y andreliability
5
122 West Energy Storage Systems
PCSEnergyStorage
Unit~
3Ø AC
Source/Load
Load Management
PCS
Load
EnergyStorage
~
Source
3Ø AC
Fuel Cell HydrogenStorage
~ 3Ø AC
Source / Load
e-
e-
H2
H2
Electrolyzerand
Compressor
Power Quality
Hydrogen
6
122 West Approach to Life Cycle Cost Analysis
Levelized annual cost ($/kw-yr)= Cost of capital (carrying charge on initial purchase)+ cost of fixed O&M + cost of variable O&M + annualized replacement costs+ consumables (fuel and electricity)
Convert to Revenue Requirement (¢/kWh) bydividing by hours of operation per year
7
122 West Life Cycle Cost Analysis Data
• Capital cost: power, energy, Balance-of-Plant• Round trip efficiency, AC-AC• Operating costs: fixed O&M, variable O&M,
electricity, fuel• Replacement frequency and costs• Parasitic losses (e.g., cooling)• Economic assumptions: cost of electricity, fuel,
interest and inflation rates
8
122 West Economic and Operating Assumptions
Parameter ValueGeneral inf lat ion rat e 2.5%Discount r at e 8.5%Levelizat ion period 20 yearsCarrying charge rat e 12%Fuel cost, n atu ral gas $5.00 /MBTUFuel cost, escalat ion rat e 0%Electr icit y cost ( off- peak) 5 ¢/k WhElectr icit y cost , escalat ion rat e 0%O&M cost escalat ion rat e 0%Days operati on/ year 250
Operating assumptions: • discharge/charge time: assume equal, except for hydrogen systems• discharges per day: assume once per day• operations per year: assume 250 days per year
9
122 West Bulk Energy Storage Technologies
• Lead-acid (flooded) and VRLA batteries• Regenesys® system• High temperature sodium/sulfur batteries• Zn/Br batteries• Vanadium-redox batteries• Ni/Cd batteries• CAES• Pumped hydro and pumped hydro with variable
speed drive
10
122 West
Levelized Annual cost of bulk storage options
0
500
1000
1500
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Hours of storage available for discharge
Lead-acid battery (flooded cell)Lead-acid battery (VRLA)Na/SZn/BrRegenesysNi/CdCAESPumped HydroPumped Hydro with Variable Speed Driv
Ann
ual C
ost,
$/kW
-yr
Bulk Energy Storage - Preliminary Results
11
122 West Bulk Energy Storage - Preliminary Results
Revenue Requirement for Bulk Energy Storage Technologies
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4 6 8
Discharge time, hrs per day
Lead-acid battery (flooded cell)
Lead-acid battery (VRLA)
Na/S
Zn/Br
Regenesys
Ni/Cd
CAES
Pumped Hydro
Pumped Hydro with VariableSpeed DriveR
even
ue R
equi
rem
ent,
cent
s/kW
h
12
122 West Bulk Energy Storage - Preliminary Results
Components of Annual Cost for Bulk Storage Technologies (8 hr discharge)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Lead-acidbattery(flooded
cell)
Lead-acidbattery(VRLA)
Na/S Zn/Br Regenesys Ni/Cd CAES PumpedHydro
PumpedHydro with
VariableSpeed Drive
Replacement CostO&M CostElectricity CostFuel CostCarrying Charges
Ann
ual C
ost,
$/kW
-yr
13
122 West Distributed Generation Technologies
• Lead-acid (flooded) and VRLA batteries• High temperature sodium/sulfur batteries• Zn/Br batteries• Vanadium-redox batteries• Ni/Cd batteries• Li-Ion batteries• High-speed flywheels• CAES with surface storage• Hydrogen – fuel cells and engines
14
122 West Distributed Generation - Preliminary Results
Levelized Annual Costs for Distributed Generation Storage Technologies
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
0 1 2 3 4
Discharge time, hrs
Lead-acid battery (flooded cell)
Lead-acid battery (VRLA)
Na/S
Zn/Br
V-redox
Li-ion
Ni/Cd
High speed flywheel
CAES-surface
Hydrogen fuel cell
Hydrogen engine
Ann
ual C
ost,
$/kW
-yr
15
122 West Distributed Generation - Preliminary Results
Revenue Requirement for DG Technologies
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4
Discharge time, hrs per day
Lead-acid battery (flooded cell)Lead-acid battery (VRLA)Na/SZn/BrV-redoxLi-ionNi/CdHigh speed flywheelCAES-surfaceHydrogen fuel cellHydrogen engine
Rev
enue
Req
uire
men
t, ce
nts/
kWh
16
122 West Distributed Generation - Preliminary Results
Components of Annual Cost for DG Technologies (1 hr discharge)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Lead-acidbattery(flooded
cell)
Lead-acidbattery(VRLA)
Na/S Zn/Br V-redox Li-ion Ni/Cd Highspeed
flywheel
CAES-surface
Hydrogenfuel cell
Hydrogenengine
Replacement CostO&M CostElectricity CostFuel CostCarrying Charges
Ann
ual C
ost,
$/kW
-yr
17
122 West Distributed Generation - Preliminary Results
Cost Components for DG Technologies (4 hr systems)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Lead-acidbattery(flooded
cell)
Lead-acidbattery(VRLA)
Na/S Zn/Br V-redox Li-ion Ni/Cd High speedflywheel
CAES-surface
Hydrogenfuel cell
Hydrogenengine
Replacement Cost
O&M Cost
Electricity CostFuel Cost
Carrying Charges
Ann
ual C
ost,
$/kW
-yr
18
122 West Power Quality Technologies
• Lead-acid and advanced batteries
• Micro-SMES
• High-speed flywheels
• Low-speed flywheels
• Supercapacitors
19
122 West Power Quality - Preliminary ResultsLevelized Annual Cost for Power Quality Technologies
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Discharge time, seconds
Lead-acid battery
Advanced battery (projected)Micro-SMES
High speed flywheel (1)
High speed flywheel (2)
Low speed flywheelSupercapacitors
Ann
ual C
ost,
$/kW
-yr
20
122 West Power Quality - Preliminary ResultsComponents of Annual Cost for Power Quality Technologies
(20 sec discharge)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Lead-acidbattery
Advancedbattery
(projected)
Micro-SMES High speedflywheel (1)
High speedflywheel (2)
Low speedflywheel
Supercapacitors
Replacement costO&M CostElectricity CostFuel CostCarrying Charges
Ann
ual C
ost,
$/kW
-yr
21
122 West
Components of Annual Cost for Power Quality Systems (1 sec discharge)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Lead-acid battery Advanced battery(projected)
Micro-SMES High speedflywheel (1)
High speedflywheel (2)
Low speedflywheel
Supercapacitors
Replacement costO&M CostElectricity CostFuel CostCarrying Charges
Ann
ual C
ost,
$/kW
-yr
Power Quality - Preliminary Results
22
122 West Issues
•Data difficult to get, and to distinguish current costs from projections.
• For some technologies, difficult to separate power and energy components.
•Difficult to be generic, e.g., batteries, flywheels
• Algorithm complications: replacements, parasitics
• Balance-of-Plant: buildings included in bulk, not DG
23
122 West Preliminary Conclusions
• Bulk storage in geologic formations or tanks is least expensive for long-duration applications.
• Regenesys and Na/S batteries look attractive for bulk storage, but all advanced battery types are immature and cost conclusions are preliminary.
• Revenue requirements are high for most technologies -suitable for select peak shaving/arbitrage applications only.
• Replacement frequency and cost are significant cost factors, and are highly uncertain.
• Hydrogen has a role to play in clean DG situations.• Power quality systems need accurate time duration
specifications to optimize technology selection.
24
122 West Follow-on Analysis
•Sensitivity of results to cost assumptions and replacement frequency
•Add UPS category: 30 sec to 15 minutes
•Consider taxes and other economic factors
•Compare annual costs / revenue requirements with markets
•Revisit costs for surface CAES
•Consider additional technologiesTop
Agenda