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SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture Policy Bogor Agricultural University (IPB) Email: [email protected] ICC-ISAE (PERHEPI) Bali, 24 Agustus 2017

SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

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Page 1: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION

Dr. Dodik Ridho NurrochmatDirector of Strategic Studies & Agriculture PolicyBogor Agricultural University (IPB)Email: [email protected] (PERHEPI) Bali, 24 Agustus 2017

Page 2: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

SUSTAINABLE MANAGEMENT

Climate

Hidrology

Biodiversity

Socio-economy

ECOLOGY

ECONOMY

SUSTA

INA

BLE D

EVELO

MP

MEN

T

SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION: AN ECONOMIC INSTRUMENT FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

Page 3: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION:A PATH TOWARDS GREEN GROWTH

• Green growth is a tool to achieve sustainable development, not a competing paradigm (World Bank 2012).

• Green growth is growth that is environmentally sustainable, i.e.– Efficient in its use of natural resources,

– Clean in that it minimizes pollution and environmental impacts,

– Resilient in that it accounts for natural hazards and the role of environmental management in preventing physical hazards and excessive commodity price volatility.

Page 4: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION & SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

Sustainable development = sustaining development (growthand equity) with a minimum level of environmental degradation (green)

Page 5: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

ENVIRONTMENTAL DEGRADATION:

RESULT OR PROCESS?

PRESERVATIONEXTRACTION

GROWTH GREEN

R

Env. Degradation

PCI

Nurrochmat et al., 2010

Page 6: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

Kuznets’ Environmental Curve

R

0

1

PCI

En

vir

on

men

tal

deg

rad

ati

on

Nurrochmat, 2016

Page 7: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

Avoiding irreversibility

R*

R

0

1

PCI; waktu

En

vir

on

men

tal

Deg

rad

ati

on

SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION MAY AVOID

ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION, BUT IS

USUALLY A DISINCENTIVE FACTOR FOR ECONOMIC

GROWTH

Irreversible

Nurrochmat, 2016

Page 8: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

MANDATORY VS. VOLUNTARY CERTIFICATION

• Mandatory certification refers to legality factor, coercive power, regulatory instrument.

• Voluntary certification refers to legitimacy factor, incentive power, economic instrument.

• Illustration: ID Card (KTP) vs. Passport/Visa

Page 9: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION:LEGALITY VS. LEGITIMACY

• The term legality mostly addresses the role of the state and focuses on law enforcement … (van Heeswijk and Turnhout, 2013).

• Legitimacy refers to “justifications of authority” (Schouten and Glasbergen, 2011). It is, according to Suchman (1995) “a generalized perception or assumption that the actions of an entity are desirable, proper, or appropriate within some socially constructed systems of norms, values, beliefs and definitions”.

• Legitimacy contributes to the effectiveness and stability of institutions, and is regarded as a fundamental condition for rule acceptance.

Page 10: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

CONFLICT OF INTERESTS IN SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION

• As part of an international regime, sustainability certification is not immune to political interests.

• Referring to Glueck's theory, Krott (2005, p. 8) argues that interest is a driving force of politics. He states, “interests are based on action orientation, adhered to by individuals or groups, and they designate the benefits (an individual or a group) can receive from a certain object”.

Page 11: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION AS GREEN BRANDING

• Sustainability certification is not always associated with increasing the profitability of business, but has emerged as a form of green branding of business management and its products (Correia, 2010).

• That is, in practice sustainability certification can be used as a method to reinforce control over production processes rather than increasing financial benefits.

Page 12: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

CASES

(1) FOREST CERTIFICATION (TIMBER LEGALITY VERIFICATION SYSTEM/SVLK).

(2) OIL PALM CERTIFICATION (ROUNTABLE ON SUSTAINABLE PALM OIL/RSPO).

Page 13: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

HOW SVLK

WORKS

Nurrochmat et al. (2016)

Page 14: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

(1) SVLK: (IL)LOGICAL FRAME

Source: Nurrochmat et al. (2016)

Page 15: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

LEGALITY & LEGITIMACY OF

FOREST ADMINISTRATION/CERTIFICATION INSTRUMENTS

Source: Nurrochmat et al. (2016)

Page 16: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

CONSIDERING THE EFFECTIVENESS OF SVLK

• The implementation of SVLK for community forests and timber trade in local market is less effective in terms of profitability, legality, and legitimacy.

• We provide two policy options to improve national regulation of forest governance. – The first option is the dissolution of existing national forest

governance systems into a single system of SVLK to avoid cost inefficiency from the redundancy of mandatory procedures.

– Second policy option would establish the SVLK as a “private” forest governance system, among other private certifications, including LEI and FSC. Since the SVLK has been enacted as a mandatory certification, then consequently, the implementation of SVLK should follow opt-in “enforcement basis” instead of mandatory “compliance basis”. The “enforcement basis” of SVLK for is less legitimate and ineffective than existing systems.

Page 17: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

(2) OIL PALM CERTIFICATION - RSPO

• Voluntary private certification - Transnational regimes can be defined as “set of norms, rules, and decision-making procedures that are made and implemented across borders through the activities of non-state actors” (Pattberg 2012).

Page 18: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

Case of oil palm plantation in Central Kalimantan

(Source: Boer et al., 2012; Nurrochmat et al., 2012)

Page 19: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

Sensitivity Analysis of Oil Palm Company’s Scenarios

Ordinary company Certified company -

normal price

Certified company

premium price

Certified company

premium price & carbon

scheme

NPV BCR NPV BCR NPV BCR NPV BCR

Normal 132,427,796,086 1.28 87,382,225,976 1.22 114,665,041,793 1.30 109,867,620,401 1.28

Decreasing

Price 10% 72,586,049,010 1.16 39,508,828,315 1.10 64,397,974,249 1.17 59,550,429,755 1.15

Increasing

Cost 10% 85,828,828,619 1.17 48,247,050,913 1.11 75,864,478,428 1.18 70,537,191,795 1.16

Price

sensitivity 45% 10% 55% 10% 44% 10% 46% 10%

Cost

sensitivity 35% 9% 45% 9% 34% 9% 36% 9%

PRICE SENSITIVE

Page 20: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

Financing Gap

Components

Indep.

Smallholder

BAU (IDR)

Indep. Smallholder

improved (IDR)

GAP Plasma Farmer

BAU (IDR)

Plasma

Farmer

Improved

(IDR)

GAP

COSTS df 15% 183,725,579 215,645,152 31,919,573 318,076,824 345,288,685 27,211,861

BENEFITS df 15% 237,265,109 296,581,387 59,316,277 382,987,181 478,733,977 95,746,795

Components

Company BAU

(IDR)

Certified

Company

Premium Price

(IDR)

GAP

Certified

Company

Premium Price

(IDR)

Certified

Company

Premium

Price+Carbon

(IDR)

GAP

COSTS df 15%

465,989,674,675

388,005,633,646

(77,984,041,029) 388,005,633,646

393,304,286,052

5,298,652,406

BENEFITS df 15% 598,417,470,761 502,670,675,439

(95,746,795,322) 502,670,675,439

503,171,906,453

501,231,014

NEG

ATI

VE

PO

SITI

VE

Page 21: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

Cost per life cycle and Yield Improvement

8.06 t/ha

10.07 t/ha

12.59 t/ha

15.74 t/ha 19.67 t/ha24.94% 25.02% 0%

Page 22: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

Estimated numbers of employment & dependent people of oil-palm plantation in Central Kalimantan

Total area of

current oil-palm

plantation (ha)

Employ

ment

index*)

Numbers of

direct

employment

Average

household

members**)

Numbers of oil

palm

dependent

people

Numbers of

inhabitants

in Central

Kalimantan

Portion of

oil palm

dependent

people

1,270,978 0.2 254,196 3.83 973,569 2,202,599 44%

*) Nurrochmat and Hadianto (2010), ** BPS (2010)

Cou

tesy

csf.o

r.id

Page 23: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

Multiplier impacts of oil palm plantation in Central Kalimantan

Multiplier

Impacts*)

Independent Smallholder (ha/year) Plasma Farmer (ha/year) Company (ha/year)

BAU Improved Gap BAU Improved Gap BAU Cert, Prem Gap

Output multiplier

(IDR) = 2.79 13,547,804 17,092,209 3,544,405 26,844,617 32,957,174 6,112,557 35,905,709 30,814,644 -5,091,065

Income

multiplier (IDR )

= 2.5 12,139,609 15,315,600 3,175,990 24,054,316 29,531,518 5,477,201 32,173,575 27,611,688 -4,561,886

Employment

multiplier

(people) = 1.84 0.3680 0.3680 0.0000 0.3680 0.3680 0.0000 0.3680 0.3684 0.0004

*) Source: Nurrochmat and Hadianto (2010); Nurrochmat and Hasan (2012).

Cou

rtes

y pe

kanb

arur

iau.

com

Page 24: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

Estimated Oil Palm Yields (BAU & Alternatives) in Central Kalimantan

Yields Independent

Smallholder

Plasma

Farmer

Ordinary

company

RSPO

certified

company

BAU

Estimated yield (tones/ha/y) 8.06 12.59 19.67 19.67

Estimated area (ha) 5 5 5,000 4,000

Estimated total supply (tones/y) 40 63 98,350 78,680

Improved

Estimated yield (tones/ha/y) 10.07 15.74 NA NA

Estimated area (ha) 5 5 NA NA

Estimated total supply (tones/y) 50 79 NA NA

GAP (tones/y)* 10 16 NA (19,670.00)

GAP (% of BAU) 25% 25% NA -20%

* The RSPO certified company is compared with the ordinary company

OPTION=LESS FINANCIAL BENEFITS; MORE

ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS

Page 25: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

CONCLUSION• By RSPO certification, an oil-palm

company has to manage HCV area. Consequently, the company will loss the potential yields ca. 20% from HCV area. To be feasible, the minimum premium price shall be 15% higher than normal price. The recent premium price (1% above the normal price) is economically not feasible.

CO

UR

TE

SY

trija

yafm

plg.

net

Cou

rtes

y p

enga

was

beni

htan

aman

.blo

gspo

t.com

Page 26: SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION · SOCIAL-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF SUSTAINABILITY CERTIFICATION Dr. Dodik Ridho Nurrochmat Director of Strategic Studies & Agriculture

THANK YOUTERIMA KASIH