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Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions (C.R.I.S.S.) Pedro Tichauer, Hyo-Jin Paik, Younghun Oh, Sinan Chu December 8 th 2009. Solution “6-2-6” U.S. Strategy towards DPRK’s Nuclear Program. A Policy Recommendation to the State Department Office of East Asian and Pacific Affairs. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Solution “6-2-6”U.S. Strategy towards
DPRK’s Nuclear Program
Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions (C.R.I.S.S.)Pedro Tichauer, Hyo-Jin Paik, Younghun Oh, Sinan Chu
December 8th 2009
A Policy Recommendation to the State DepartmentOffice of East Asian and Pacific Affairs
Crisis &
Risk
International
Services and
Solutions
About Us:C.R.I.S.S., Maxwell School
Pedro Tichauer
Economic Analyst
Hyo-Jin Paik Asia Specialist
Young-Hun Oh
Crisis Management
Specialist
Sinan Chu Foreign Relations
Specialist
An Alternative U.S. Strategy towards DPRK’s Nuclear Program:Solution “6–2–6”
Six •Six Party Talk
Two•Intermediate
Bilateral Negotiation with DPRK
Six•Continued Six Party
Talk
Keep DPRK engaged
Resume the Six Party Talk
Peaceful solution under SPT that eventually denuclearizes DPRK
Background Nuclear Crisis and
the Six-Party Talk North Korea’s “Plan B”
Outcome Analysis of Solution “6-2-6”
Economic Impact Political and
Diplomatic Consequence
Social Issues Conclusion
A satellite image of the North Korea nuclear facility
Content: Background, Policy Outcome and Conclusion
Background Information: Nuclear Crisis and the Six-Party Talk DPRK and Its
Nuclear Program Political regime and
foreign relations Nuclear Program Plan A and Plan B
Multilateralism The “Six-Party” Talk Five rounds from 2003 to
2007 Latest
Development DPRK’s withdrawal from
SPT in April 2009 Current events
Background Information (continued): DPRK’s Development of Nuclear Program
Background Information (continued): The “Six-Party” Multilateral Negotiation
U.S.A.
Russia
China
North Korea (DPRK)
South Korea (ROK)
Japan
Outcome Analysis I:
Economic Impact
Outcome Analysis I:
Economic Impact
Outcome Analysis I:
Economic Impact
Outcome Analysis I:
Economic Impact
North Korea’s Military Expense
Outcome Analysis I:
Economic Impact
Outcome Analysis II:Political and Diplomatic Consequence
US’s Position: NO Bilateral Talks
US alone cannot resolve the North Korean nuclear crisis
SPT: A better option than UN (General Assembly or Security Council)
New Administration: Fresh Impetus
Outcome Analysis II:
Political and Diplomatic Impact
Outcome Analysis II:
Political and Diplomatic Impact
Major Stakeholders in the “Six-Party” Talk
Outcome Analysis II:
Political and Diplomatic Impact
Outcome Analysis II:
Political and Diplomatic Impact
U.S.
China Political and Economic
Ties with DPRK – less security concern
Refugee Concern Imagine Building
South Korea and Japan Security Concern Refugee Concern Diplomatic
Normalization Russia
Limited Political Power Balance China and Japan
North
Korea
Outcome Analysis III:
Social Issues
Refugees
Humanitarian Aid
Social differences
Human rights
U.S. Strategy towards DPRK’s Nuclear Program:Solution “6–2–6”
•Six Party Talk
•Intermediate Bilateral Negotiation with DPRK
•Continued Six Party Talk
Questions? December 7th 2009
Maxwell School, Syracuse University
Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions (C.R.I.S.S.)Pedro Tichauer, Hyo-Jin Paik, Younghun Oh, Sinan Chu
