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Massachusetts Institute of Technology Department of Electrical Engineering & Computer Science 6.041/6.431: Probabilistic Systems Analysis (a) Consider the derivation of the Markov inequality on page 265 of the text. For the inequality to be tight, we require that E[Y a ]= E[X]. Since Y a X, this can happen only if Y a = X. (To see this, consider E[X Y a ]. It is a weighted sum of the values that X Y a can take, where the weights are the corresponding probabilities, and therefore at least one weight is positive. But X Y a can take only non-negative values, since Y a X. If this weighted sum has to be 0, then X Y a cannot take any positive value, and must be 0.) This implies that X = Y a = 0, if X<a, a, if X a. This simply means X takes only two values: 0 and a. Now, E[X]= aP (X = a)= μ. Hence, P (X = a)= μ a . This gives the followi ng PMF for X: p X (x)= 1 μ a ,x =0 μ a , x = a (b) As shown in pages 266-267 of the textbook, the Chebyshev bound for a random variable Y is derived by applying the Markov bou nd for the random variable Z (Y μ Y ) 2 . Hence, for the Chebyshev bound to be tight for Y , the Markov bound has to be tight for Z . We now use the result of part (a). Since E[Z ]= E[(Y μ Y ) 2 ] is given to be σ 2 Y , this means Z must have the following PMF: p Z (z)= 1 σ 2 Y b 2 ,z =0 σ 2 Y b 2 , z = b 2 If Z = 0, then Y = μ Y and this happens with probability 1 σ 2 Y b 2 . However, if Z = b 2 , then Y can take the va lue of (μ Y + b) or (μ Y b). For the mean to be μ Y , both these values have to be equally likely. This gives the following PMF for Y : p Y (y)= 1 σ 2 Y b 2 y = μ Y 1 2 σ 2 Y b 2 , y =(μ Y b) 1 2 σ 2 Y b 2 , y =(μ Y + b) (c) Markov upper bound: For z>E[Z ] = 10, P (Z z) E[Z ] z = 10 z Chebyshev upper bound: P (Z z)= P (Z 10 z 10) P (|Z 10|≥ z 10) σ 2 Z (z 10) 2 = 4 (z 10) 2 where the first inequality follows from the fact that the event {Z 10 z 10} is a subset of the event {|Z 10|≥ z 10}, and the second inequality is an application of the Chebyshev bound. The figure shows the plot of both bounds as a function of z.

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  • Massachusetts Institute of Technology

    Department of Electrical Engineering & Computer Science6.041/6.431: Probabilistic Systems Analysis

    (a) Consider the derivation of the Markov inequality on page 265 of the text. For the inequalityto be tight, we require that E[Ya] = E[X]. Since Ya X, this can happen only if Ya = X.(To see this, consider E[X Ya]. It is a weighted sum of the values that X Ya can take,where the weights are the corresponding probabilities, and therefore at least one weight ispositive. But XYa can take only non-negative values, since Ya X. If this weighted sumhas to be 0, then X Ya cannot take any positive value, and must be 0.)This implies that

    X = Ya =

    {0, if X < a,a, if X a.

    This simply means X takes only two values: 0 and a. Now, E[X] = aP (X = a) = . Hence,P (X = a) = a . This gives the followi ng PMF for X:

    pX(x) =

    {1 a , x = 0a , x = a

    (b) As shown in pages 266-267 of the textbook, the Chebyshev bound for a random variable Yis derived by applying the Markov bou nd for the random variable Z , (Y Y )2. Hence,for the Chebyshev bound to be tight for Y , the Markov bound has to be tight for Z. Wenow use the result of part (a). Since E[Z] = E[(Y Y )2] is given to be 2Y , this means Zmust have the following PMF:

    pZ(z) =

    {1 2Y

    b2, z = 0

    2Yb2 , z = b

    2

    If Z = 0, then Y = Y and this happens with probability 1 2Yb2 . However, if Z = b

    2, thenY can take the va lue of (Y + b) or (Y b). For the mean to be Y , both these valueshave to be equally likely. This gives the following PMF for Y :

    pY (y) =

    1 2Y

    b2y = Y

    122Yb2, y = (Y b)

    122Yb2, y = (Y + b)

    (c) Markov upper bound: For z > E[Z] = 10,

    P (Z z) E[Z]z

    =10

    z

    Chebyshev upper bound:

    P (Z z) = P (Z 10 z 10) P (|Z 10| z 10) 2Z

    (z 10)2 =4

    (z 10)2

    where the first inequality follows from the fact that the event {Z10 z10} is a subset ofthe event {|Z 10| z 10}, and the second inequality is an application of the Chebyshevbound.

    The figure shows the plot of both bounds as a function of z.

  • Massachusetts Institute of Technology

    Department of Electrical Engineering & Computer Science6.041/6.431: Probabilistic Systems Analysis

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    Figure for Problem G2 (c)

    Markov boundChebyshev bound