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South Atlantic LCC Conservation Blueprint Hilary Morris, Blueprint User Support
• What is the Blueprint? • Progress on Version 1.0 • Plans for Version 2.0
Outline
What does the South Atlantic LCC do?
Mission: Create a shared blueprint for landscape conservation actions that sustain natural and cultural resources
• The idea is not new
Conservation Blueprints
National Ecological Framework
Georgia
So, what’s different from past efforts?
• Planning for the cooperative, not any one organization
So, what’s different from past efforts?
• Planning for the cooperative, not any one organization
• An adaptation strategy (incorporating climate change,
urban growth, and other future changes)
So, what’s different from past efforts?
• Planning for the cooperative, not any one organization
• An adaptation strategy (incorporating climate change,
urban growth, and other future changes)
• Bigger scope and scale
So, what’s different from past efforts?
How can the Blueprint be used?
Case 1: Finding the best places to use current resources
Case 2: Bringing in new conservation dollars
Case 3: Guiding infrastructure development
Case 4: Creating incentives as an alternative to regulation
Case 5: Bringing landscape perspectives for local adaptation efforts (how do I fit in?)
Case 6: Responding to major disasters
Blueprint 1.0: Progress so far
• Indicators and targets (shared metrics of success)
Blueprint 1.0: Progress so far
• Ecosystem integrity
• Cultural landscapes
Indicators and targets
• Indicators and targets (shared metrics of success)
– Ecosystem integrity
– Cultural landscapes
• Regional Blueprint workshops
Blueprint 1.0: Progress so far
Regional Blueprint workshops
• Indicators and targets (shared metrics of success)
– Ecosystem integrity
– Cultural landscapes
• Regional Blueprint workshops
• Integrated existing plans
Blueprint 1.0: Progress so far
Integrated existing plans
• Indicators and targets (shared metrics of success)
– Ecosystem integrity
– Cultural landscapes
• Regional Blueprint workshops
• Integrated existing plans
• Blueprint 1.0 now released!
Blueprint 1.0: Progress so far
South Atlantic Blueprint 1.0 – http://blueprint.southatlanticlcc.org
South Atlantic Blueprint 1.0 – http://blueprint.southatlanticlcc.org
Next steps Blueprint 2.0 by summer 2015!
Aleta Hohn NOAA Anna Toline NPS Ben Wigley NCASI Beth Stys FL FWC Beth Byrd NPS Billy Dukes SC DNR Breck Carmichael SC DNR Brian Watson VA DGIF Brian Yanchik DOT Charlotte Gillis NPS Chris Burkett VA DGIF Cynthia Walton NPS Darrell Echols NPS David Whitaker SC DNR Don Imm FWS Emrys Treasure USFS George Willson TCF Hervey McIver TNC Jan MacKinnon GA DNR Jason Bulluck VA DCR
John Ann Shearer FWS John Stanton FWS Jon Ambrose GA DNR Julie Elmore NRCS Kacy Cook NC WRC Lisa Perras-Gordon EPA Marella Buncick FWS Maria Whitehead TNC Mark Cantrell FWS Mark Scott SC DNR Mary Morrison USFS Pace Wilber NOAA Pam Wingrove FWS Randy Swilling NPS Reggie Thackston GA DNR Rick Durbrow EPA Roger Pugliese SAFMC Ryan Heise NC WRC Ryan Orndorff Marines Wilson Laney FWS
User team
• Mark Anderson TNC • Jim Fox University of NC – Chapel Hill • Will Allen The Conservation Fund • Paul Wagner Army Corps • Bob Cooper UGA • Mary Conley TNC • Barry Grand USGS • Nate Nibbelink UGA • Dean Urban Duke University • Lindsey Smart Albermarle-Pamlico Nat’l Estuary Prog. • Tim Jones Atlantic Coast Joint Venture • Mary Davis Southeast Aquatic Resources Partn.
Conservation design team
Building a better Blueprint
Content Presentation
• More explicitly connected
to the indicators – Finish revising and modelling
by the end of the year
Content
• More explicitly connected
to the indicators – Finish revising and modelling
by the end of the year
• Update Blueprint using a more data driven approach
Content
• More explicitly connected
to the indicators – Finish revising and modelling
by the end of the year
• Update Blueprint using a more data driven approach
• Finer resolution
Content
• Improved interface for accessing the Blueprint
Presentation
How do I filter?
I wish the CPA included better bathmetric data…
I want to use the Blueprint to decide what
land to acquire.
Did a 3-year-old design this zoom tool?
– Two full time staff to support Blueprint users and capture feedback to improve the interface
– Focused support for User Team members and additional support for
any interested user
What’s the plan for Blueprint 2?
Law and policy
Law and policy
Overall Approach
• Originally developed in 2004 and is regularly updated
• Used globally for diverse applications
- Terrestrial, freshwater, marine
- Climate resilience - Urban conservation
• Algorithm is easy to
understand
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
• Indicators represent overall ecosystem integrity
• Indicators are our shared measures of success
Overall Approach
Indicator models
Prioritization based on overlapping indicators and maximum utility of resources
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
• Ignoring the future, where are the highest priority places?
Overall Approach
• Start with all lands & waters included (clean slate)
• Iteratively remove cells that result in as little indicator loss as possible
Example using 3 landscape indicators
Overall Approach
• Start with all lands & waters included (clean slate)
• Iteratively remove cells that result in as little indicator loss as possible
Example using 3 landscape indicators Impact on one indicator as more and more of the landscape is removed from the Blueprint
Overall Approach
Indicator models
Prioritization based on overlapping indicators and maximum utility of resources
Threats: 1) Sea-level rise 2) Urbanization 3) Others?
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
• Now overlay threats from future changes
Overall Approach
Indicator models
Prioritization based on overlapping indicators and maximum utility of resources
Threats: 1) Sea-level rise 2) Urbanization 3) Others?
Strategy 1
Strategy 2
Strategy 3
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Evaluate strategies for responding to threats and implications for indicators (e.g., avoid or confront threats)
Overall Approach
Indicator models
Prioritization based on overlapping indicators and maximum utility of resources
Threats: 1) Sea-level rise 2) Urbanization 3) Others?
Strategy 1 (Blueprint 1.o)
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Strategy 2 (e.g., Avoid threats)
Strategy 3 (e.g., Confront threats)
Overall Approach
Indicator models
Prioritization based on overlapping indicators and maximum utility of resources
Threats: 1) Sea-level rise 2) Urbanization 3) Others?
Strategy 1 (Blueprint 1.0)
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
The data driven approach
Strategy 2 (e.g., Avoid threats)
Strategy 3 (e.g., Confront threats)
Overall Approach
Workshops
• Workshop participants discuss and weight the use of different strategies in Blueprint 2.0
Indicator models
Prioritization based on overlapping indicators and maximum utility of resources
Threats: 1) Sea-level rise 2) Urbanization 3) Others?
Strategy 1 (Blueprint 1.0)
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
The data driven approach
Strategy 2 (e.g., Avoid threats)
Strategy 3 (e.g., Confront threats)
Overall Approach
Workshops
• Workshop participants discuss and weight the use of different strategies in Blueprint 2.0
Indicator models
Prioritization based on overlapping indicators and maximum utility of resources
Threats: 1) Sea-level rise 2) Urbanization 3) Others?
Strategy 1 (Blueprint 1.0)
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
The data driven approach
Strategy 2 (e.g., Avoid threats)
Strategy 3 (e.g., Confront threats) The hybrid approach
Overall Approach
Blueprint 2.0
Workshops
Indicator models
Prioritization based on overlapping indicators and maximum utility of resources
Threats: 1) Sea-level rise 2) Urbanization 3) Others?
Strategy 1 (Blueprint 1.0)
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
Indicator models
The data driven approach
Strategy 2 (e.g., Avoid threats)
Strategy 3 (e.g., Confront threats) The hybrid approach
Overall Approach
QUESTIONS?
Landscape change
Overall ecosystem integrity
Conservation action in specific location?
Landscape change
Overall ecosystem integrity
Overall ecosystem integrity
Landscape change
Conservation action in specific location?
Landscape change
Overall ecosystem integrity
Overall ecosystem integrity
Landscape change
Conservation action in specific location? Overall impact
• Geographic Issues:
o Too much ‘Highest
Priority’ on the coast
o Too little in the
Piedmont
o Many private land
opportunities in SC are
in ‘Further
Investigation’
Blueprint Limitations
