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Southeast Galt School Closure Review
ARC Meeting #1January 18, 2012
Presentation Outline• Demographics & Enrolment• Funding• Southeast Galt• Goals
• Review Process
Demographics & Enrolment
• Population growth has two primary contributors:– Natural increase (births minus deaths); and– Net migration (immigration minus emigration)
Population Growth
Baby Boom
Baby BustBaby Bust Echo
Baby Boom Echo
Number of Births ‐ Canada
Population Projections ‐ Ontario
The composition of the immigrant population has changed over the past 30 years
Larger proportion of immigrants from traditionally non‐Catholic countries
Changing Composition of Immigrants ‐ Canada
Regional Population Projections
Source: Ministry of Finance, Ontario Population Projections Update, Spring 2011
Waterloo Region Population Projections
Entering JK in 2011
Source: Ontario Registrar
Live Births – Waterloo Region
Steady 5 Year Trend
Live Births vs. WCDSB JK Enrolment
Board‐wide Student Yields
0.3010.289
0.2660.256
0.2460.236
0.15
0.17
0.19
0.21
0.23
0.25
0.27
0.29
0.31
0.33
0.351991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
Stud
ent Y
ield
ProjectedHistoric
Board‐wide Elementary Enrolment
13000
13500
14000
14500
15000
15500
16000
16500
17000
17500
180001991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
Total Stude
nts
ProjectedHistoric
Funding
Funding Types• Capital
– New schools– Additions
• Operating– Staffing– Resources for students– Maintenance (custodial, utilities, minor repairs)– Transportation– Renewal (large maintenance/replacement projects)
• Separate funding envelope
Capital Funding• New schools & additions are funded on a case by case basis
(Capital Priorities).– School boards submit a business case to the Ministry of Education.
– Individual projects and funding is determined by the Ministry.
• Some capital projects can also be funded through the proceeds of the sale of properties (Proceeds of Disposition Reserve)
Operating Funding• Most of the funding is provided on a per pupil basis board‐
wide– Based on a school size of approx. 450 students– Median elementary enrolment is 296 students (266 FTE)– Median elementary school capacity is 325 pupil places
• Small schools, schools operating below capacity and inefficient schools are effectively funded by removing resources from other schools in the system
• A fixed amount of money is given for Renewal projects on a yearly basis.– Based on square footage per student
Southeast Galt
Existing Boundaries
Existing Schools: • Holy Spirit• St. Ambrose• St. Anne• St. Francis• St. Vincent de Paul
Future School Site:• Southeast Galt
Growth/Decline
‐50
‐53
‐2
+91
+65
• Comparison of 2006/07 enrolment vs. 2011/12
• St. Ambrose – New development east of Dundas has offset the decline on the west side.
Student Distribution
Higher concentration of students in newer housing at the south end of the Southeast Galt study area
Significant number of out of boundary students
Residential Development
Planned residential development
New community to be developed east of DundasStreetEarliest possible dates:• Housing starts 2014• WCDSB school 2015
Student Yields
0.000
0.100
0.200
0.300
0.400
0.500
0.600
0.700
0.800
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
HOLY SPIRIT
ST. AMBROSE
ST. ANNE, C
ST. FRANCIS, C
ST. VINCENT DE PAUL
Board Average
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020ST. VINCENT DE PAUL ST. FRANCIS ST. ANNE ST. AMBROSE HOLY SPIRIT Total Capacity
Enrolment vs. CapacityProjectedHistoric
Utilization
135%
83%
59% 95
%
161%
157%
94%
54% 81
%
191%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
HOLY SPIRIT ST. AMBROSE ST. ANNE ST. FRANCIS ST. VINCENT DEPAUL
Capacity 2011 Enroment 2016 Projected Enrolment
Walking Webs
• Walking distance:• JK‐Gr.3 = 0.8km• Gr.4‐Gr.8 = 1.6km (shown on map)
• Significant overlap in walking areas
Transportation
• Slightly over 50% of students in this area are deemed “walkers”
• Hazard means that students are within walking distance but are bussed due to a hazard such as a missing sidewalk, unsafe crossing of busy streets, etc.
Holy Spirit
• Enrolment projected to increase due to development east of Dundas Street
• 2 additional kindergarten rooms required for FDK
Region of Waterloo Air Photo: 2009
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Holy Spirit
St. Ambrose
• 2.7 acres with very little green play space
• Enrolment growth is related to development east of DundasStreet Region of Waterloo Air Photo: 2009
0
100
200
300
400
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
St. Ambrose
• Partnership with Dolson Pool (City of Cambridge) and St. Ambrose Parish
St. Anne
• Declining enrolment may impact curriculum delivery
• Partnership with Alison Park NeighbourhoodAssociation (City of Cambridge)
Region of Waterloo Air Photo: 2009
050
100150200250300
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
St. Anne (C)
St. Francis
• 1 additional kindergarten room required for FDK which is problematic due to:– Small site size– Open concept classrooms & building layout
Region of Waterloo Air Photo: 2010
0
100
200
300
400
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
St. Francis
• Insufficient Administrative and Special Education space
St. Vincent de Paul
• Approx. 100 out of boundary students
• 2 additional classrooms required for FDK
• Built in 1988 with modular construction (re‐locatable) Region of Waterloo Air Photo: 2009
0100200300400500
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
St. Vincent de Paul
Southeast Galt School
• WCDSB has an elementary school site reserved in the Southeast Galt subdivision (East of Dundas St.)
• Potential joint venture project with the City of Cambridge, Cambridge Libraries and Waterloo Region DSB
Goals
Goals of the Review• Determine the ideal long‐term location and size for each
Southeast Galt school.• Determine long‐term enrolment boundaries within the Southeast
Galt Planning Area to balance enrolment amongst the schools.• Explore the long‐term sustainability of the schools in Southeast
Galt with particular focus on the impact of small schools.• Establish the boundary and size of a new elementary school east
of Dundas Street.
Goals of the Review• Address site size and/or facility issues at St. Ambrose, St. Francis
and St. Vincent de Paul.• Determine how the full day kindergarten program can be fully
implemented by 2014.• Maximize the number of walkers.
Questions?
School Closure Review Process
Ministry• Board Policy APF008: Pupil Accommodation Review Process
– Part A – Boundary Review Process– Part B – School Closure Review Process
• Ministry Guideline– Pupil Accommodation Review Guideline – Oct 31, 2006– Revised Guideline – June 26, 2009– Administrative Review
Policy Requirements
Accommodation Review Committee (ARC)
Committee Composition:– School Superintendent (Chair)– Two parent representatives from each school in the review– Principal from each school included in the review– Chief Financial Officer (or designate)– Senior Manager of Capital Planning– Chief Managing Officer– Two Trustees (non‐voting members)– One business representative (where possible)– One municipal representative (where possible)– One parish representative (where possible)
Initiate Review & Form ARC
(Nov. 14/11)
School Information Profiles
Public Consultation #1
(End‐February)
Preliminary OptionsPublic Consultation
#2(Mid‐April)
Revise Options
Public Consultation #3
(Mid‐June)
Preferred Option & Recommendations
Public Consultation #4
(Mid‐October)
ARC Final Report to Director of Education
Director’s Report to Board
3 Board Meetings (Nov 2012‐Jan
2013)
Review Process