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-----BEGIN PRIVACY-ENHANCED MESSAGE-----Proc-Type: 2001,MIC-CLEAROriginator-Name: [email protected]: MFgwCgYEVQgBAQICAf8DSgAwRwJAW2sNKK9AVtBzYZmr6aGjlWyK3XmZv3dTINen TWSM7vrzLADbmYQaionwg5sDW3P6oaM5D3tdezXMm7z1T+B+twIDAQABMIC-Info: RSA-MD5,RSA, NZseYwmuSbE1lCXbSigNlEuUYXLRLw1MAn02BlV45pdgsasLWTr/FIje4T1EzQBk sDa75Q7ZFzGCKRaKbd93XQ==
0000930413-07-004881.txt : 200705300000930413-07-004881.hdr.sgml : 2007053020070530170654ACCESSION NUMBER:0000930413-07-004881CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE:8-KPUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT:32CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT:20070530ITEM INFORMATION:Regulation FD DisclosureITEM INFORMATION:Financial Statements and ExhibitsFILED AS OF DATE:20070530DATE AS OF CHANGE:20070530
FILER:
COMPANY DATA:COMPANY CONFORMED NAME:PSEG ENERGY HOLDINGS LLCCENTRAL INDEX KEY:0001089206STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION:ELECTRIC SERVICES [4911]IRS NUMBER:222983750STATE OF INCORPORATION:NJFISCAL YEAR END:1231
FILING VALUES:FORM TYPE:8-KSEC ACT:1934 ActSEC FILE NUMBER:000-32503FILM NUMBER:07888216
BUSINESS ADDRESS:STREET 1:80 PARK PLAZASTREET 2:22ND FLOORCITY:NEWARKSTATE:NJZIP:07102-4194BUSINESS PHONE:973-456-3581
MAIL ADDRESS:STREET 1:80 PARK PLAZASTREET 2:22ND FLOORCITY:NEWARKSTATE:NJZIP:07102-4194
FORMER COMPANY:FORMER CONFORMED NAME:PSEG ENERGY HOLDINGS INCDATE OF NAME CHANGE:19990621
FILER:
COMPANY DATA:COMPANY CONFORMED NAME:PSEG POWER LLCCENTRAL INDEX KEY:0001158659STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION:ELECTRIC SERVICES [4911]IRS NUMBER:223663480STATE OF INCORPORATION:DEFISCAL YEAR END:1231
FILING VALUES:FORM TYPE:8-KSEC ACT:1934 ActSEC FILE NUMBER:000-49614FILM NUMBER:07888217
BUSINESS ADDRESS:STREET 1:80 PARK PLAZA T-6STREET 2:`CITY:NEWARKSTATE:NJZIP:07111BUSINESS PHONE:9734307000
MAIL ADDRESS:STREET 1:80 PARK PLAZA T-6CITY:NEWARKSTATE:NJZIP:07111
FILER:
COMPANY DATA:COMPANY CONFORMED NAME:PUBLIC SERVICE ELECTRIC & GAS COCENTRAL INDEX KEY:0000081033STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION:ELECTRIC & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED [4931]IRS NUMBER:221212800STATE OF INCORPORATION:NJFISCAL YEAR END:0717
FILING VALUES:FORM TYPE:8-KSEC ACT:1934 ActSEC FILE NUMBER:001-00973FILM NUMBER:07888218
BUSINESS ADDRESS:STREET 1:CORPORATE ACCOUNTING SERVICESSTREET 2:80 PARK PLAZA, 9TH FLOORCITY:NEWARKSTATE:NJZIP:07102-4194BUSINESS PHONE:973-430-7000
MAIL ADDRESS:STREET 1:CORPORATE ACCOUTNING SERVICESSTREET 2:80 PARK PLAZA, 9TH FLOORCITY:NEWARKSTATE:NJZIP:07102-4194
FILER:
COMPANY DATA:COMPANY CONFORMED NAME:PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INCCENTRAL INDEX KEY:0000788784STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION:ELECTRIC & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED [4931]IRS NUMBER:222625848STATE OF INCORPORATION:NJFISCAL YEAR END:1231
FILING VALUES:FORM TYPE:8-KSEC ACT:1934 ActSEC FILE NUMBER:001-09120FILM NUMBER:07888219
BUSINESS ADDRESS:STREET 1:CORPORATE ACCOUNTING SERVICESSTREET 2:80 PARK PLAZA, 9TH FLOORCITY:NEWARKSTATE:NJZIP:07102-4194BUSINESS PHONE:973-430-7000
MAIL ADDRESS:STREET 1:CORPORATE ACCOUNTING SERVICESSTREET 2:80 PARK PLAZA, 9TH FLOORCITY:NEWARKSTATE:NJZIP:07102-4194
8-K1c48768_8-k.htm
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) May 30, 2007
PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INCORPORATED
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
New Jersey
001-09120
22-2625848
(State or other
(Commission File Number)
(I.R.S. Employer
jurisdiction of incorporation)
Identification No.)
80 Park Plaza, P.O. Box 1171
Newark, New Jersey 07101-1171
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
973-430-7000
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
http://www.pseg.com
PUBLIC SERVICE ELECTRIC AND GAS COMPANY
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
New Jersey
001-00973
22-1212800
(State or other
(Commission File Number)
(I.R.S. Employer
jurisdiction of incorporation)
Identification No.)
80 Park Plaza, P.O. Box 570
Newark, New Jersey 07101-0570
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
973-430-7000
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
http://www.pseg.com
PSEG POWER LLC
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware
000-49614
22-3663480
(State or other
(Commission File Number)
(I.R.S. Employer
jurisdiction of incorporation)
Identification No.)
80 Park Plaza, T-25
Newark, New Jersey 07102-4194
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
973-430-7000
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
http://www.pseg.com
PSEG ENERGY HOLDINGS L.L.C.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
New Jersey
000-32503
42-1544079
(State or other
(Commission File Number)
(I.R.S. Employer
jurisdiction of incorporation)
Identification No.)
80 Park Plaza, T-20
Newark, New Jersey 07102-4194
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
973-430-7000
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
http://www.pseg.com
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):
[ ]
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
[ ]
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
[ ]
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
[ ]
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Theinformation contained in Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure in this combinedForm 8-K is separately furnished, as noted, by Public Service Enterprise GroupIncorporated (PSEG), Public Service Electric and Gas Company (PSE&G), PSEGPower LLC (Power) and PSEG Energy Holdings L.L.C. (Energy Holdings).Information contained herein relating to any individual company is provided by suchcompany on its own behalf and in connection with its respective Form 8-K.PSE&G, Power and Energy Holdings each makes representations only as toitself and makes no other representations whatsoever as to any other company.
Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure
On May 30,2007, PSEG participated in the Deutsche Bank Conference in Miami, Florida. Acopy of the discussion materials used at the meeting is furnished as Exhibit 99to this Form 8-K.
Item9.01 Financial Statements andExhibits
Exhibit 99
Discussion Materials for the Deutsche Bank Conference.
2
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements ofthe Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this reportto be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. The signatureof the undersigned company shall be deemed to relate only to matters havingreference to such company and any subsidiaries thereof.
PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUPINCORPORATED
(Registrant)
By:
/s/ Derek M. DiRisio
Derek M. DiRisio
Vice President and Controller
(Principal Accounting Officer)
Date: May 30, 2007
3
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements ofthe Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this reportto be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. Thesignature of the undersigned company shall be deemed to relate only to mattershaving reference to such company and any subsidiaries thereof.
PUBLIC SERVICE ELECTRIC AND GAS COMPANY
(Registrant)
By:
/s/ Derek M. DiRisio
Derek M. DiRisio
Vice President and Controller
(Principal Accounting Officer)
Date: May 30, 2007
4
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements ofthe Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this reportto be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. Thesignature of the undersigned company shall be deemed to relate only to mattershaving reference to such company and any subsidiaries thereof.
PSEG POWER LLC
(Registrant)
By:
/s/ Derek M. DiRisio
Derek M. DiRisio
Vice President and Controller
(Principal Accounting Officer)
Date: May 30, 2007
5
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements ofthe Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this reportto be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. Thesignature of the undersigned company shall be deemed to relate only to mattershaving reference to such company and any subsidiaries thereof.
PSEG ENERGY HOLDINGS L.L.C.
(Registrant)
By:
/s/ Derek M. DiRisio
Derek M. DiRisio
Vice President and Controller
(Principal Accounting Officer)
Date: May 30, 2007
6
EX-992c48768_ex99.htm
Exhibit 99
Public Service Enterprise Group
Deutsche Bank Conference
Miami, Florida
May 30, 2007
Forward-Looking Statement
The statements contained in this communication about our and our
subsidiaries
future performance, including, without limitation,future revenues,
earnings,
strategies, prospects and all other statements that are not purely
historical, are
forward-looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor
provisions under The
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.Althoughwe believe
that our
expectations are based on information currently available and on
reasonable
assumptions, we can give no assurance they will be achieved.There
are a
number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual resultsto
differ
materially from the forward-looking statements made herein. A
discussion of
some of these risks and uncertainties is contained in our Annual
Report on Form
10-K and subsequent reports on Form 10-Q and Form 8-K filed with
the
Securitiesand Exchange Commission (SEC), and available on our
website:
http://www.pseg.com. These documents addressin further detail our
business,
industry issues and other factors that could cause actual results
to differ
materially from those indicated in this communication. In addition,
any forward-
looking statements included herein represent our estimatesonly as
of today and
should not be relied upon as representing our estimates as of any
subsequent
date.While we may elect to update forward-looking statements from
time to time,
we specifically disclaim any obligation to do so, evenif our
estimates change,
unless otherwise required by applicable securities laws.
2
PSEG Overview
Electric Customers:2.1M
Gas Customers: 1.7M
Nuclear Capacity:3,500 MW
Total Capacity:13,600 MW
Traditional T&D
Leveraged
Leases
2007E Operating Earnings(4):$1,245M - $1,370M
2007 EPS Guidance(4): $4.90 - $5.30
Assets (as of 12/31/06):$28.6B
Market Capitalization (as of 5/24/07):$22.4B
Domestic/Intl
Energy
Regional
Wholesale Energy
Operating Earnings = Earnings Available and Excludes:
(1) Merger Costs of $1M
(2) Loss from Discontinued Operations of $239M
(3) Loss on Sale of RGE of $178M and Income from Discontinued Operations of $226M
Includes Operating Earnings from Global of $166M, Resources of $63M and Energy Holdings of($2M)
(4) Includes the parent impact of $(50)M $(40)M
2006 Operating Earnings:$262M(1)$515M(2)$227M(3)
2007 Guidance:$340M - $360M $825M - $905M$130M - $145M
3
Record production
Liquid markets structure and
stable NJ BGS model
Favorable energy and capacity
outlook
Strong
Operations
Constructive
Regulatory and
Business
Environment
Positive Market
Fundamentals
Growth
Opportunities
with Manageable
Risk
Tightening reserve margin and site
expansion opportunities
Positioned for growth in 2007 and beyond
4
Low-cost portfolio
Strong cash generator
Regional focus with
demonstrated BGS success
Assets favorably located
Many units east of PJM
constraint
Southern NEPOOL/ Connecticut
constraint
Near customers/load centers
Integrated generation and
portfolio management optimizes
asset-based revenues
which provides for risk mitigation and strong returns.
Powers assets reflect a diverse blend of fuels and
technologies
18%
47 %
8 %
26 %
Fuel Diversity 2007
Coal
Gas
Oil
Nuclear
Pumped
Storage
1%
Energy Produced - 2006
55%
27%
16%
Oil 1%
Pumped
Storage
1%
Nuclear
Coal
Gas
Total GWh: 53,617
Total MW: 13,600
5
... which experience higher prices during periods of high demand.
Powers assets are located in attractive markets near
load
centers
Current plant locations,
site expansion capability
Bethlehem Energy Center
(Albany)
New Haven
Bergen
Kearny
Essex
Sewaren
Edison
Linden
Mercer
Burlington
National Park
Hudson
Conemaugh
Keystone
Bridgeport
Peach Bottom
Hope Creek
Salem
System Interface
6
Baseload units:
- Very low variable cost, low
bid price into the energy
market
- Always, or almost always
called upon to provide
power to serve load
Load following units:
- Primarily gas-fired,
higher variable cost
- Intermittently called
upon to provide power
to serve load
Peaking units:
- Gas- and oil-fired, high variable cost,
leading to high bid price into the
energy market
- Called upon to provide power only
during periods of peak demand to
serve load
Salem
Hope
Creek
Keystone
Conemaugh
Hudson 2
Linden 1,2
Burlington
Edison
Essex
Bergen 1
Sewaren
Hudson 1
Megawatts (MW)
Mercer1, 2
Bergen 2
position the company well to serve full requirement load contracts.
Sewaren
Kearny
Linden / Essex
Burlington 12/ Kearny 12
Peach
Bottom
Bridgeport
New
Haven
Nuclear
Coal
Combined Cycle
Steam
GT Peaking
Powers assets along the dispatch curve
BEC
Illustrative
7
Operated by PSEG Nuclear
PSEG Ownership: 100%
Technology:
Boiling Water Reactor
Total Capacity: 1,061MW*
Owned Capacity:1,061MW
License Expiration: 2026
Operated by PSEG Nuclear
Ownership: PSEG - 57%,
Exelon 43%
Technology:
Pressurized Water Reactor
Total Capacity: 2,304MW
Owned Capacity: 1,323MW
License Expiration: 2016 and
2020
Operated by Exelon
Ownership:PSEG 50%,
Exelon 50%
Technology:
Boiling Water Reactor
Total Capacity: 2,224MW
Owned Capacity: 1,112MW
License Expiration: 2033
and 2034
Hope Creek
Salem Units 1 and 2
Peach Bottom Units 2 and 3
Our five-unit nuclear fleet
is a critical element of Powers success.
*Uprate of 125MW scheduled for fall 2007
8
82.3%
65.6%
92.0%
82.8%
92.6%
97.2%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Salem
Hope Creek
Capacity Factor
6.5%
20.2%
0.9%
7.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0%
6%
12%
18%
24%
Salem
Hope Creek
Forced Loss Rate
81.0
64.8
95.2
65.0
99.2
91.4
60
70
80
90
100
Salem
Hope Creek
INPO Index
80.2%
97.4%
84.7%
99.9%
99.8%
100.0%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Salem
Hope Creek
Summer Capacity Factor
and corresponds directly with improved regulatory relations
and
financial outcomes.
Improvement in nuclear performance can be seen in
numerous measures of operations ...
2004
2005
2006
9
Complete Management Model
implementation
Maintain operational focus
Resume independent operation
Succession plan
Bill Levis appointed as President &
COO, PSEG Power; retains CNO
positon
Richard Lopriore appointed as
President, PSEG Fossil
Tom Joyce appointed as Senior VP
Operations for Salem Hope Creek
which will strengthen Powers results going forward.
Continuing efforts are focused on sustaining the
improving trend
Maintain stakeholder
confidence
Preserve nuclear options
for Power
Ongoing Initiatives
Expected Results
10
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Coal
Combined Cycle
Peaking & Other
Total Fossil Output (GWh)
A Diverse 10,000 MW Fleet
2,400 MW coal
3,200 MW combined cycle
4,400 MW peaking and other
Strong Performance
Continued growth in output
Improved fleet performance
Achieved resolution regarding
Hudson / Mercer
contribute to a low-cost fossil portfolio in which two-thirds
of
fleet output is from coal facilities.
Strong Fossil operations
11
$490
$600 - $750
2007 2010 Total
($ million)
2010
Mercer**
2010
Hudson
Unit 2
Completion
Date
Environmental Capital Requirements
Emissions Control Technology Projects
- NOx control SCR
- SO2 control Scrubber
- Hg and particulate matter control -
Baghouse
Hudson Unit 2* (608 MW)
NOx control SCR installation complete
SO2 control Scrubbers
Hg and particulate matter control
Baghouse
Mercer (648 MW) Units 1&2
Our environmental strategy
will help preserve the availability of our fossil fleet.
*PSEG Fossil to notify USEPA and NJDEP by end of 2007 on
decision to install emissions controls at Hudson Unit 2
**Capital investment $40M above 2006 10-K disclosure -- EPC
Contract signed
Powers New Jersey coal units are
mid-merit, with capacity factors
averaging 50% to 60%
As markets tighten, increased
production is anticipated
12
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Est
2008
Fwd
2009
Fwd
$0
$3
$6
$9
$12
$/mmbtu
$/MWh
benefiting Powers coal and nuclear fleet.
(1)
Central Appalachian coal
(2)
Forward prices as of May 18, 2007
Increases in fossil fuels have driven up energy prices
Electricity
(left scale)
Coal(1)
(right
scale)
Natural Gas Henry Hub
(right scale)
(2)
(2)
(2)
13
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007 Est
2008
Fwd
2009
Fwd
PS Zone Basis
Historical spot basis
Forward basis
Large portion of sales are into forward market where forward basis has remained high.
Zonal prices in the eastern portions of PJM have
historically been higher than the Western Hub
allowing Power to realize higher prices due to its
favorable
location.
(1) Forward prices as of May 18, 2007
(1)
(1)
(1)
14
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Source: Data per PJMs State of the Market report March 2007
*Annualized payment required to make an investment
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
which may serve to tighten reserve margins.
Despite the recent run up, prices have not
consistently supported new capacity construction
Economic Dispatch Net Revenue
20-year Levelized Fixed Cost*
Combustion Turbine ($/KW-yr)
Combined Cycle ($/KW-yr)
Pulverized Coal ($/KW-yr)
15
Regional Generation Balance 2007 - 2011
(Percent above or below target Reserve Margin)
7%
5%
5%
4%
3%
5%
2%
-1%
-2%
-3%
-1%
-1%
-4%
-7%
0%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
PJM (RM Target = 115%)
NY ISO (116.5%)
NE ISO (114.5% implied)
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Data Source: PJM, NY ISO and NE ISO
Reserve margins in the key Power markets are expected
to continue to decline
which should sustain higher energy prices as heat rates expand.
16
More structured, forward-
looking, transparent pricing
model
Gives prospective
investors in new
generating facilities more
clarity on future value of
capacity
Sends locational pricing
signal to encourage
expansion of capacity
where needed for future
market demands
in which longer-term price signals are provided.
PJMs Reliability Pricing Model (RPM) reflects a change
in market design
$0
$20
$40
$60
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
$80
2008
2009
Settled @ $72/kw-yr
08 09 Market
Trading
@ $40 -$45/kw-yr
07 08 Auction
Capacity Prices
$45/KW-yr = $123/MW-day
@ 50% load factor $10/MWh
17
RPM Capacity Auction April Results and Schedule
2007- 2008 Capacity Auction Results
($/ MW-day)
N/A
N/A
$40.80
Rest of
Pool
$48.38
$140.16
$188.54
Southwest
MAAC
$20.16
$177.51
$197.67
Eastern
MAAC
CTR
Value*
Load
Price
Unit
Price
PJM released results on April 13 from its
first capacity auction under the Reliability
Pricing Model (RPM) for the 2007-2008
delivery year.
Pricing in initial auction for Eastern MAAC
reflected Cost of New Entry: standard
simple cycle gas turbine adjusted for
location.
Future auction pricing could be influenced
by changes in demand and capacity
availability including transmission capability
between zones.
Market prices support our forecast year-
over-year improvement in capacity margin
of $125M - $175M in 2007 with further
improvement in 2008.
Auctions are scheduled throughout the
year to provide transition through the 2010-
2011 delivery year.
*CTR Value: Capacity Transfer Rights
Allocatedto Load Serving Entities (LSE) in constrained zones to
provide them with
access to supply from outside the zone.
May 2008
2011 2012
January 2008
2010 2011
Annual base auction in May of each subsequent year
October 2007
2009 2010
July 2007
2008 2009
Auction Date
Planning Year
(6/1 to 5/31)
Auction Schedule
18
Policymakers are looking to cap and trade for the power
industry to reduce CO2 emissions.
PSEGs generation carbon intensity is lower than many
competitors and benefits from a
cap and trade program comparably applied to all
competitors.
2004 CO2 Emission Rate Ranking
(25 Largest Generating Companies in PJM)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
(lbs/MWh
all sources)
$8-$12/MWh gas
$20/MWh coal
$20/ton
$4-$6/MWh gas
$10/MWh coal
$10/ton
$0.40-$0.60/MWh gas
$1/MWh coal
$1/ton
Generator Impact
CO2 Cost
Potential Impact of CO2 on
Power Plant Costs
Note: Ranking data compiled by NRDC, CERES and PSEG Power
19
as market fundamentals and regulatory policy impact
market
conditions.
Looking ahead, Power is well positioned to benefit from
generation value improvement
Tightening reserve margins should:
Put upward pressure on capacity prices, and
Drive heat rate expansion if baseload additions are insufficient
The implementation of carbon rules is becoming more likely
Anticipated to put upward pressure on prices
Nuclear generation stands to benefit from carbon constraints
20
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2007
2008
2009
2010
Nuclear / Pumped Storage
Coal
CC
Steam / CT
Existing Load + Hedges + Future BGS
Existing Load + Hedges
Existing Hedges
2007
2008
2009
2010
while preserving market growth opportunities.
Powers hedging strategy aims to balance stable
earnings
0 20%
35 50%
90 100%
~100%
Percent of Powers coal and nuclear energy output
hedged (total portfolio)*
2010
2009
2008
2007
PJMRTC (GWh)
*As of 1Q07
21
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
2007
2008
2009
2010
Year
Coal
Uranium
Contracted sales
is aligned with its low-cost generating output and our
hedging
strategies.
Power has contracted for 100% of its nuclear uranium fuel
through 2011 and
approximately 70% of its coal needs through 2009.
Coal and Nuclear Fuel
Powers hedging of coal and nuclear fuel
Gas supply secured
based on sales of output
Coal and Nuclear Output
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
2007
2008
2009
2010
Year
Nuclear and Coal output
Contracted sales
22
2003 Auction
2004 Auction
2005 Auction
2006 Auction
2007 Auction
Capacity
Load shape
Transmission
Congestion
Ancillary services
Risk premium
Full Requirements
Round the Clock
PJM West
Forward Energy
Price
$33 - $34
$36 - $37
$55
$55
$66
$44 - $46
~ $21
~ $18
~ $21
$102
$67 - $70
~ $32
Increase in Full Requirements Component Due to:
Increased Congestion (East/West Basis)
Increase in Capacity Markets/RPM
Volatility in Market Increases Risk Premium
$99
~ $41
$58-$60
Market Perspective BGS Auction Results
has enabled successful participation in each BGS auction.
Powers fleet diversity and location ...
23
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
2005
2006
2007 Est
2008 Est
2009 Est
are expected to drive significant increases in Powers
gross
margin.
Operational improvements and recontracting in
current markets
Realized Gross Margin ($/MWh)
Energy
Capacity
(Energy prices based on recent forward markets;
Illustrative capacity prices based on recent market for 2007/2008 in all years)
24
Gas Asset Optimization
Large wholesale provider to PSE&G and others
Storage capacity of 80 Bcf (in the Gulf and market regions)
Firm transportation of 1.1 Bcf/Day (on ten pipelines)
Off-system sales margins shared with residential customers
Commercial & Industrial customers (C&I) sales priced monthly at market
Storage spreads capture Summer/Winter price differential on C&I sales
Weather and price volatility drive results
Colder than normal weather increases unitized fixed cost recovery
Ancillary Services
Emissions
to round out a robust portfolio.
In addition to energy and capacity, Power has other
attractive sources of revenues
25
drive the increase in PSEGs 2007 earnings guidance.
*Excludes Merger costs of $12M in 2005, Cumulative Effect of a
Change in Accounting Principle of $16M in 2005 and
Loss from Discontinued Operations of $226M and $239M in 2005 and
2006, respectively
2005 Operating
Earnings
2006 Operating
Earnings
Energy
Capacity
Other
2007 Guidance
$515M*
$446M*
$825M to
$905M
$15M - $25M
$220M - $260M
$75M - $105M
Improvements across the portfolio
26
2007 Guidance
Energy
Capacity
Other
2008
Expectations
2009
Expectations
drive PSEGs earnings expectations for 2008 and beyond.
Drivers of 2009 Earnings
Recontracting
Operational excellence
Free cash flow
Growth opportunities
Further improvements at Power
$825M to
$905M
27
Highest output ever from Nuclear
Highest output ever from Fossil
Balanced hedging strategy at ER&T
Strong, liquid markets
Sustainable BGS auction structure
Consent decree resolution
Rising energy prices
Favorable capacity market design
Diverse assets in constrained zones
Strong
Operations
Constructive
Regulatory and
Business
Environment
Positive Market
Fundamentals
Growth
Opportunities
with Manageable
Risk
Near term Hope Creek Uprate, RPM auctions
Longer term
Tightening reserve margins
CO2 benefit to low carbon portfolio
Site expansion opportunities
Surrounding market opportunities
New nuclear investment potential
Manageable risk
Enhanced operations
Balanced hedging strategy
Existing sites
Increasingly stable earnings base through
capacity market design
Positioned for growth in 2007 and beyond
28
Favorably Located Diverse Portfolio
Operational Improvements
Energy Market Improvements
Capacity Market Design Changes
Generation Value Improvement
Growth Opportunities
V
A
L
U
E
fuel Power as the growth engine for PSEG.
Fundamental strengths and growth drivers
29
196
227
347
262
446
515
130-145
130-145
340-360
330-350
825-905
770-850
(71)
(66)
(50)-(40)
(60)-(50)
2005
2006
2007 (Initial)
2007 (Revised)
2008
Strong earnings growth in 2007 for PSEG
a 37% increase over 2006 and expectations of 15% growth in 2008.
Holdings
Parent***
$5.60 - $6.10
$3.77*
$3.71**
$4.60 - $5.00
$4.90 - $5.30
PSE&G
Power
Operating Earnings by Subsidiary
37%
15%
68%
0
*Excludes ($.14) Merger Costs, ($.07) Cumulative Effect of an
Accounting Change and ($.85) Discontinued Operations
**Excludes ($.03) Merger Costs, ($.70) Loss on Sale of RGE and
($.05) Discontinued Operations
***Primarily including financing activities at the parent and intercompany elimination
30
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