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Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 - Yole

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Page 1: Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 - Yole

From Technologies to Markets

© 2020© 2020

From Technologies to Markets

Status of the CMOS Image

Sensor Industry 2020

Market and Technology

Report 2020

Sample

Page 2: Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 - Yole

2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Players & rankings 70

2019 CIS revenue rankings, by player

2019 CIS production rankings TOP 10, by foundry

2019 CIS player activity breakdown

2019 CIS mobile market revenue breakdown, by player

2019 CIS consumer photography market revenue breakdown, by player

2019 CIS consumer home market revenue breakdown, by player

2019 CIS consumer computing market revenue breakdown, by player

2019 CIS automotive market revenue breakdown, by player

2019 CIS medical market revenue breakdown, by player

2019 CIS security & surveillance market revenue breakdown, by player

2019 CIS industry market revenue breakdown, by player

2019 CIS Defense & Aerospace market revenue breakdown, by player

Ecosystem 84

2019 M&A activity in CIS

CMOS image sensor – M&A historical timeline

CMOS image sensor – noteworthy news of the last 2 years

CMOS image sensor – ecosystem

CMOS image sensor - supplychain

CMOS image sensor - competitive landscape

CIS foundries - geographic mapping

Glossary 2

Companies cited in this report 5

Report methodology & definitions 7

What we got right, what we got wrong 8

Executive Summary 14

Context 33

o Historical perspective and global market

o CIS market segmentation

o Huawei ban timeline

o Global CO2 emission intensity

o CMOS image sensor landscape, by player(2019)

o CMOS image sensor landscape, by application (2019-2025)

o CMOS image sensor technology shift - CMOS vs. CCD

o CMOS image sensor technology shift - BSI vs. FSI

o CMOS image sensor technology shift - 300mm vs. 200m

CIS market forecast 53

o 2019 CIS revenue breakdown, by market, by player

o CIS volume shipment forecast 2015 - 2025

o CIS revenue forecast 2015 - 2025

o CIS average selling price forecast 2015 - 2025

o CIS wafer production forecast 2015 - 2025

Part 1/2

Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020

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3

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Automotive market trends 134

o Automotive market dynamics

o Automotive imaging trends

o Automotive camera volume forecast and market trend

o Robotic vehicle trends

Other high-end market trends 149

Medical CIS market trends 146

Security & surveillance CIS market rend 164

Industry CIS market trends 173

Defense & aerospace CIS market trend 181

Technology trends 187

o Pixel/resolution/optical format

o BSI opened the way to 3D semiconductor

o In-pixel hybrid stack technology

o In-pixel hybrid stack technology

o 3D imaging & sensing

o Other technology trends

o High dynamic range (HDR) with LED flicker mitigation (LFM)

o NIR IMAGING and sensing

Conclusions 220

Company profiles 224

Yole Group of companies 239

Mobile market trends 93

o Mobile market dynamics

o Mobile market volume forecast, by player

o Market drivers

o Mobile phone market trend

o Mobile resolution mix - forecast

o 3D camera applications

o Mobile 3D sensing camera trend

o Mobile optical fingerprint market trend

Consumer market trends 120

o Consumer market dynamics

o Consumer photography volume forecast

o Consumer home IOT volume forecast

o Consumer market trend

Computing market trends 129

o Computing market dynamics

o Computing volume forecast

o Computing market trends

Part 2/2

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Page 4: Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 - Yole

44

Pierre CAMBOU

Pierre Cambou MSc, MBA, is a Principal analyst in the Photonic and Display Division. Pierre has authored more than 15 Yole Market & Technology

reports. Pierre hold an Engineering degree from Université de Technologie de Compiègne (France) and a Master of Science fromVirginia Tech. (VA,

USA), Pierre also graduated with an MBA from Grenoble Ecole de Management (France).

Contact: [email protected]

Chenmeijing LIANG

Chenmeijing Liang works as a Technology & Market Analyst within the Photonics & Sensor division. As part of the Imaging team, Chenmeijing contributes to analyses of CIS markets, related technologies and market strategies as well as the quarterly Monitor. Chenmeijing Liang holds a Master’s Degree in the field of Applied physics and Optical engineering from Paris-Saclay University and University Pierre and Marie Curie UPMC (Paris, France).

Contact: [email protected]

Biographies & contacts

ABOUT THE AUHTORS

Richard LIU

Richard Liu is a Technology and Market Analyst in the Photonics & Sensing division. Based in Shenzhen (China), Richard focuses on imaging activity as well as the development of technology & market reports. Richard has over 12 years post graduate experience in both the imaging semiconductor and camera module industries. Richard graduated from Wuhan University (China) and holds an Electronics Engineering Degree.

Contact: [email protected]

Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020

Page 5: Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 - Yole

5

OBJECTIVES & SCOPE OF THIS REPORT

The objectives of this report are to provide:

o A global view about the future of CIS

o An understanding of the CIS markets and applications (Mobile, consumer, computing, automotive, industrial, medical, security, and Aerospace/Defense)

o CIS players’ rankings, dynamics and market shares

o CIS market data in $M, units, and wafers for 2019 - 2025

o A presentation of CIS market and technology trends

Markets CIS devices Forecasts Players Trends

Forecasts

Units

$US dollar

Players and ranking Market trends

Defense & aerospace

Industrial

Medical

Mobile

Automotive

Technology trendsMarket shares

Smartphone camera

Feature phones camera

DSLR/DSC

Camcorder

Action Cam

Consumer drones camera

AR, VR headset camera

Webcam

Laptop camera

Tablet camera

Viewing cameras

ADAS cameras

Capsule endoscopy camera

X-ray FPD

PET detectors

Security camera

Machine vision camera

Are your needs

outside the scope

of this report?

Contact us for a customized report:

Security

Computing

Consumer

12’’8’’

Wafers

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Page 6: Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 - Yole

66Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020

A COMPLETE SET OF PRODUCTS & SERVICES TO ANSWER YOUR NEEDS

WEEKLY

TRACKS

Insight

› Teardowns of phones, smart

home, wearables and automotive

modules and systems

› Bill-of-Materials

› Block diagrams

Format

› Web access

› PDF and Excel files

› High-resolution photos

Topics

› Consumer: Smartphones, smart

home, wearables

› Automotive: Infotainment, ADAS,

Connectivity

175+ teardowns per year125+ reports per year

YEARLY

REPORTS

Insight

› Yearly reports

› Market, technology and strategy

analysis

› Supply chain changes analysis

› Reverse costing and reverse

engineering

Format

› PDF files with analyses

› Excel files with graphics and data

Topics

› Photonics, Imaging & Sensing

› Lighting & Displays

› Power Electronics & Battery

› Compound Semiconductors

› Semiconductor Manufacturing and

Packaging

› Computing & Memory

115+ reports per year

SERVICES

QUARTERLY

MONITORS

Insight› Quarterly updated market data and

technology trends in units, value

and wafer

› Direct access to the analyst

Format› Excel files with data

› PDF files with analyses graphs and

key facts

› Web access (to be available soon)

Topics› Advanced Packaging

› Application Processor

› DRAM

› NAND

› Compound Semiconductor

› CMOS Image Sensors

› Smartphones

7 different monitors

quarterly updated

CUSTOM

SERVICE

Insight

› Specific and dedicated projects

› Strategic, financial, technical, supply

chain, market and other

semiconductor-related fields

› Reverse costing and reverse

engineering

Format

› PDF files with analyses

› Excel files with graphics and data

Topics

› Photonics, Imaging & Sensing

› Lighting & Displays

› Power Electronics & Battery

› Compound Semiconductors

› Semiconductor Manufacturing and

Packaging

› Computing & Memory

190 custom projects

per year

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7

METHODOLOGY & DEFINITIONS

Market segmentation

volume (in Munits),

ASP (in $),

revenue (in $M)

Yole’s market forecast model is based on matching heterogeneous sources:

Information

aggregation

Preexisting

information

Forecast

Reconciliation

END SYSTEM SEMICONDUCTOR DEVICE

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8

Almalence, Ambarella, Apple, Ams, Arm, Axis, Basler, Bosch, Brigates, BYD, Caeleste, Canon, Clairpixel, Cmosis, Cognex, Continental, Core Photonics, CSEM, Dahua, DB

Hitek, DXO Mark, Espros Photonics, Evg, Excelitas Technologies, Fairchild Imaging, Flir, Forza Silicon, Fotonic, Foxconn, Fraunhofer, Fujitsu, Fujifilm, GalaxyCore, GivenImaging, GoPro, Gpixel, Grass Valley, Hamamatsu, Hasselblad, Himax Imaging,

HikVision, Honeywell, Hoya, HTC, Huawei, Image Lab, IMEC, Infineon, Invisage, Kingpak, Konica Minolta, Lattice, Leap Motion, Leica, Lenovo, LG, Luxima, Magna,

Mantis Vision, Medigus, Melexis, Microsoft, Mobileye, Movidius, New Imaging Technologies, Nikon, NXP, Nvidia, Olympus, Omnivision, Omron, ON Semiconductor,

Panasonic, PerkinElmer, Philips, Pixart, PixelPlus, Pelco, PMD Technologies, Pyxalis, Raytrix, Rosnes, Red, Samsung, Sanei Hytech, Sharp, Silicon Optronics, Sirona, SK Hynix, SMIC, Siemens, Smartsens, Socionext, Soitec, Sony, STMicroelectronics,

SuperPix, Teledyne, Teradyne, Trixell, TSMC, TowerJazz, TPSCo, UMC, Valeo, Videantis, Viimagic, WLCSP, Xiaomi, X-Fab, Xintec, Xperi, ZTE, and more.

Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020

COMPANIES CITED IN THIS REPORT

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9

WHAT WE GOT RIGHT, WHAT WE GOT WRONG

Technology and market forecast - challenge

What we got right

o CIS’ industry double digit growth notimpacted by memory bubble burst

o Continuing investments in capacity

o Smartphone market increasing demand forhigh end cameras

o Emergence of the Chinese players

o Introduction of new CIS technology (GS, iToF,dToF)

What we got wrong

o Sanctions on Huawei exacerbated demand for CIS

o CIS’ under capacity bubble end of 2019

o Triple stack share of production did not pick up

o Smartphone market increasing demand for lowresolution cameras

o In 2020 COVID-19 crisis had limited impact on the CISmarket

Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020

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10

WHAT DOES OUR ANALYSIS COVER?

From wafer to the first packaged sensor

Analysis at the component level.

Courtesy of Omnivision

Courtesy of Valeo

Courtesy of Sony

Courtesy of Tesla

Camera

modules

SystemsImage

sensors

Courtesy of Xiaomi

CIS

dies

Courtesy of Sony

CIS

wafer

Courtesy of Apple

Market report focus Market analysis only

| Status of the CIS industry | www.yole.fr | ©2018 Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020

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11

WHAT WE GOT RIGHT, WHAT WE GOT WRONG

Yole’s CIS forecast over the years

CIS marketforecasting iterative approach.

In 2019 CIS revenuesfar exceeded ourforecast

On the short term2021 and 2022 weexpect be back onthe 2019’s predictionas the effect ofHuaweioverspendingdisappear.

On the longer termYole increases itsforecast for CMOSimage sensors toreach $27B by 2025

| Status of the CIS industry | www.yole.fr | ©2018 Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020

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12

2020 CMOS IMAGE SENSOR INDUSTRY STATUS REPORT

Well exceeding previous forecast in the “Status of CIS industry 2019” the CIS industry did end FY2019 up13.6% above previously estimated forecast. The CIS industry players exceptionally achieved 25% YoYgrowth rate amid a global semiconductor recession.

Globally the CMOS image sensors industry showed thriving growth. This performance is mainly due to thesustainability of the mobile camera market but also most of the high-end markets. In this context sanctionson Huawei exacerbated the demand for CIS having this player adding in the range of 2 quarters ofadditional inventory. As of 2019, the industry reached the $19.3B and Yole expectation is for 8.1% CAGRforecast for 2019 – 2025 timeframe, revenue should hit $27 B within five years. In 2020, security andautomotive have become the second and third largest CIS market segments.

Within “all markets except mobile”, two end product segments are on a downward slope : consumerphotography (DSC, DSLR, action cameras, drone cameras) and computing (PC, laptop, tablets) but withpossible signs of recovery. All other sub-segments, automotive, medical, security, industrial and defense &aerospace, will outperform CIS market average in the next 5 years. CIS growth is currently dominated bymobile, this will eventually switch to high-end segments before 2025.

Having reached $19.3B in 2019 the CIS industry is showing thriving growth.

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13

2018$15.5B

2019 CIS REVENUE BREAKDOWN

by market (in $M)

2019CIS revenue breakdownby market.

Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020

2019$19.3B

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14

2018$15.5B

2019 CIS SEMICONDUCTOR MARKET SHARES

by player (in $M)

2018-2019CIS revenue breakdown by player.

Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020

2019$19.3B

2019 CIS semiconductor marketshare

by player (in % revenue)

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15

CIS WAFER PRODUCTION FORECAST 2015 - 2025

by stacking technology (in kW 12” eq.)

CIS is now mainly produced using stacked technology.

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16

CMOS IMAGE SENSOR LANDSCAPE

2019 market landscape, by application

Rear and front cameras for smartphones remain the key applications for CMOS image sensors.

Automotive ADAS image sensors have quickly established themselves as a dynamic application, along with surveillance camera. Medical imaging remain high ASP.

Mobile is king,but it is not alone.

Yole Développement © 2018

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17

CMOS IMAGE SENSOR - ECOSYSTEM (1/2)

CIS is a specialized semiconductor supply chain

Image processing sensors and software are gaining importance.

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1818

MOBILE MARKET DYNAMICS

2000

2007

2014

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1919

AUTOMOTIVE MARKET DYNAMICS

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2020

SECURITY & SURVEILLANCE MARKET TREND

Retail

Smart retail

Smart building

Smart city

Government

Transportation (industrial)

Borde

r /

defens

e

camer

a

border & coastal surveillance

homeland security

law enforcementInfrastructure

camera

Commercial

camera

Defense &

border

Security &

surveillance

camera

Doorbell

Indoor/outdoor

Home IOT (consumer)Consumer

camera

Smart city

Smart retail

Smart home

Smart

building

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21

INNOVATION PATH FOR THE CIS INDUSTRY

New technology

more data

New markets

open low end

Same markets

up-market race

Same technology

better data

High end excellence

Low end excellence

Low end disruption

High end incremental

Current

CIS market

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22

MOBILE TECHNOLOGY TREND

The market is asking for a smaller module and better image quality

Limitations to reducing module height:

o Light must enter the pixel in the corner ofthe array. CRA cannot increase.

o Focal length is a consequence of sensorarray size and maximum CRA.

Improvement could come from bendedsensor assembly process which will reducethe CRA and therefore ease the opticaldesign.

Due to optical limitations, module height cannot shrink as desired.

CRA

Se

nso

rarr

ay

Courtesy of System Plus

Shifted micro lens array (MLA)

Deep trench isolation (DTI)

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23

MOBILE TECHNOLOGY TREND

BSI opened the way to 3D semiconductor

→ Backside

illumination

will

enable ~

100% fill-

factor!

Front-side

illuminated

(FSI)

TSV

stack

Silicon bulk Silicon bulk

Backside

illuminated

(BSI)

Silicon bulk

2008 2010 2014

→ Backside

illumination

will

enable ~

100% fill-

factor!

Hybrid

stack

Silicon bulk

2016

→ Backside

illumination

will

enable ~

100% fill-

factor!

TSV

multi-stack

Silicon bulk

Silicon bulk

2018

→ Backside

illumination

will

enable ~

100% fill-

factor!

Hybrid-TSV

multi-stack ?

Silicon bulk

CIS

wafer

Logic

wafer

Memory

wafer

Computing

wafer

>2020?

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24

THREE-PAGE SUMMARY (1/3)

CIS market & players

• At the end of year 2019, the CMOS Image Sensor (CIS) market was overheated with a combination of highdemand and high prices due to capacity limitations.

• Despite Coiv-19 2020 should be a reenactment of 2019 with high CIS demand and growth lowered to 7%YoY.

• Within the industry total revenue of $19.3B in 2019, Sony remains the biggest CIS player. With a market shareof 42%, Samsung 21% and Omnivision 10%, all focusing on mobile with high competition with Sony, STM owning6% has emerged as a competitor in the NIR sensing space.

• Mobile keep the most important role for CIS with 69% of market revenues, Security and Automotive haveemerged has significant market sub-segments with growth beyond 20% CAGR.

• Within consumer products photography has reached a bottom and similarly computing devices. Newmomentum from home and IoT products currently include cameras or will in the future.

• Yole Dévelopment envision a bright future for the CIS industry at 5.7% CAGR, with tighter links to the growthof semiconductor in general, it is expected to reach $27B in 2025.

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25

THREE-PAGE SUMMARY (2/3)

CIS technology trend

• Technology race remains a key aspect of CIS competition, driving developments in smaller pixels, 3Dsemiconductor technologies, and novel pixel designs.

• Over the years, significant improvements have been made to the CIS manufacturing process. The industry hastransitioned from FSI to BSI and now toward stacked BSI, where TSVs are used to make connections to thesensor array and the logic die. Now the standard technique has moved to hybrid stack using Cu-Cu connections.

• In the latest product in pixel connections are being made.

• New designs, namely GS and ToF technologies, have gained large market access.

• iToF arrays have become the standard approach for implementing 3D in Android phones. Apple strategy is to invest into breakthrough such as the “Lidar” it brough to market in 2020.

• Quantum and Neuromorphic approaches should bring a new generation of application to market.

• The next technology challenge should the integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) within CIS sensors.

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26

THREE-PAGE SUMMARY (3/3)

2020 conclusion

• Under COVID-19 situation, the CIS industry was little affected.

• The short-term impact for CIS will be slower growth this year with a 7%YoY and $20.7B expected end result.

• The impact of Huawei ban is much more important since large quantities of CIS inventory were added in 2019and 2020.This effect stopped the 15th September 2020.

• The expectation for 2021 is therefore the worse we have seen in recent times with a 2% YoY and $21.2Bexpected end result.

• On the medium term the CIS industry is expected to grow 5.7% on par with global semiconductor growth.

• A new cycle of growth is expected to come from the high-end markets (industrial, Security and Automotive) aswell as Consumer home and IoT products, alongside continuous growth of the mobile segments.

• The CIS industry has become a major sub-segment of the semiconductor industry. Beyond the US-CNgeopolitical difficulties new challenges such as the mandate to reduce CO2 emissions will come into play and bepart of the competition.

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27

Contact our

Sales Team

for more

information

CMOS Image Sensor Quarterly Market Monitor

3D Imaging & Sensing 2020CMOS Camera Module Industryfor Consumer & Automotive 2020

Imaging for Automotive 2019

Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020

YOLE GROUP OF COMPANIES RELATED REPORTS, MONITORS, TRACKS

Yole Développement

Page 28: Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 - Yole

28

Contact our

Sales Team

for more

information

28

Contact our

Sales Team

for more

information

Smartphone 3D Sensing Modules Comparison 2020

Mobile CMOS Image SensorComparison 2019

Consumer tracks

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YOLE GROUP OF COMPANIES RELATED REPORTS, MONITORS, TRACKS

System Plus Consulting

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29

Yole Group of Companies, including Yole Développement,

System Plus Consulting and PISEO, are pleased to provide

you a glimpse of our accumulated knowledge.

We invite you to share our data with your own network,

within your presentations, press releases, dedicated

articles and more, but you first need approval from Yole

Public Relations department.

If you are interested, feel free to contact us right now!

We will also be more than happy to give you updated data

and appropriate formats.

Your contact: Sandrine Leroy, Dir. Public Relations

Email: [email protected]

HOW TO USE OUR DATA?

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Page 30: Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 - Yole

30About Yole Développement | www.yole.fr | ©2020

CONTACTS

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+ 1 310 600 8267

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+1 919 607 9839

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+49 15 123 544 182

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Marine Wybranietz - [email protected]

+49 69 96 21 76 78

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› Camille Veyrier, Marketing & Communication

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