Saskatoon Strategic Trends 2015 AN OVERVIEW OF DEMOGRAPHIC, DEVELOPMENT, ECONOMIC, ENVIRONMENTAL, AND SOCIAL ISSUES & TRENDS

Photo courtesy Tourism Saskatoon

JULY 2002 | 202,804

JULY 2004 | 205,617

JULY 2006 | 208,218

JULY 2008 | 214,944

JULY 2010 | 225,137

JULY 2012 | 239,420

JULY 2014 | 254,569

225577,,330000

JULY 2015 - forecast 260,900

DEC 2015 - forecast 263,900

Estimated population as of December 2014

2014 SSaasskkaattoooonn PPrrooffiillee

139

2114

5355

INTERPROVINCIAL

INTRAPROVINCIAL

INTERNATIONAL

Saskatoon CMA Net Migration

5.1% é in disposable income

7.6% é in retail sales

6.1% é in GDP

)

2.63% éé Property Crime

3,531 housing starts in 2014 $341,061 average house price $1,094 average 2 bedroom rent 3.4% vacancy rate for rental housing

l

i 811 new

home-based businesses

439 new commercial/industrial businesses

+ The Saskatoon CMA has the lowest median age at 34.5 of any Canadian CMA

Source: Conference Board of Canada, Statistics Canada, and the City of Saskatoon Planning & Development Division and Asset and Financial Management Division

2.95% ê Violent Crime

1

DDeemmooggrraapphhiicc Saskatoon CSD Population, 2002-2018(f) 3 Saskatoon CSD Population Growth Rate, July 2014 3 Saskatoon CMA Population Growth Rate, July 2014 3 Annual Population Growth Saskatoon CMA, 2009-2014 4 Net Migration to the Saskatoon CMA, 2009-2014 4 Saskatoon CMA Natural Increase in Population, 2008-2014 4 Net International Migration Western Canada, 2011-2014 5 Saskatoon CMA Distribution of Population by age group, 2014 5 Aboriginal Identity by Geography, 2011 (as % of total population) 5

DDeevveellooppmmeenntt Saskatoon CMA Housing Starts, 2010-2017(f) 6 City of Saskatoon Building Permits, 2005-2014 6 Annual Increase of Greenfield & Infill Residential Units, 2005-14 6 Saskatoon CMA Residential Units Sold vs Price Increases, 2011-2016(f) 7 Saskatoon Average Residential Sale Price & Units Sold by type, 2014 7 Average House Price by CMA (dollars), 2014-2016(f) 7 Saskatoon CMA Average Rent & Annual Increase (%) 1994-2014 8 New Attainable Housing Units, 2009-2014 8 Housing Affordability Measure by City and Dwelling Type, 2014 8

EEccoonnoommyy Saskatoon CMA Real GDP Growth (% change), 2008-2016(f) 9 Percentage of GDP by Industry, 2014 9 Saskatoon Total Employment & Employment by Industry, 2010-2016(f) 9 Unemployment Rate by Census Metropolitan Area, 2013-2014 10 City of Saskatoon Business Licenses Issued, 2014 10 New Business Licenses Issued, 2010-2014 10 Saskatoon CMA Disposable Income per Capita, 2008-2016(f) 11 Consumer Price Index, 2013-2014 11 Retail Sales Growth (%) in Saskatoon, 2009-2016(f) 11 EEnnvviirroonnmmeenntt Residential Daily Water Consumption per Capita, 2010-2014 12 Saskatoon Waste Diversion Rate, 2010-2014 12 Historical Air Quality Index (AQI) Measures in Saskatoon, 2004-2014 12 SSoocciiaall Saskatoon Transit Ridership (Rides per Capita), 2011-2014 13 Kilometres of Cycling-Specific Infrastructure (Paths and Bike Lanes), 2011-2014 13 Mode of Transportation to Work, 2011 13 Total Saskatoon Criminal Code Violations (excluding traffic) per 100,000 population, 2010-2014 14 Total Criminal Code Violations (excluding traffic) per 100,000 population by City, 2014 14 Crime Severity Index (weighted), 2014 14 Incidence of Low-Income Among Saskatoon Families, (1996, 2001, 2006, 2011) 15 Saskatoon Voter Turn-out by Level of Government and Year 15 Cultural Program Attendance (per 1,000 population) 2010-2014 15

GGlloossssaarryy 16-19

Table of Contents

2

Statistics Canada estimates that the population of Saskatoon Census Subdivision was 254,569 as of July 1, 2014. Based on Statistics Canada population estimates and other sources, the City of Saskatoon estimated that the population was 260,900 as of July 1, 2015.

0.7% 0.5% 0.8%

0.5% 0.8%

1.3% 1.9%

2.4% 2.3% 2.4%

3.9% 3.2% 3.0%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Saskatoon CSD Population Growth Rate, July 2014

Sour

ce: S

tatis

tics C

anad

a, A

nnua

l pop

ulatio

n es

timat

es b

y sex

, Ju

ly 1,

200

1 to

201

4, S

aska

toon

CSD

Saskatoon has experienced substantial growth over the last few years. Since 2009, the average annual population growth rate in the Saskatoon Census Subdivision was 2.9%. Projections indicate that Saskatoon's population growth rates will moderate over the next few years. More specifically, according to various economic and housing indicators, Saskatoon's population growth rate is projected to be between 2 and 2.75%.

Demographic

260,900

Saskatoon CSD Population, 2002-2018(f)

Statistics Canada, July Annual Estimate Population Projection - 2.0% growth rate Population Projection - 2.5% growth rate Population Projection - 3.0% growth rate

Sour

ce: S

tatis

tics C

anad

a, Ju

ly An

nual

Popu

lation

Esti

mat

es,

(bas

ed o

n 20

11 C

ensu

s dat

a) C

ity o

f Sas

kato

on P

opula

tion

Proje

ction

JULY 2015 POPULATION

ESTIMATE

0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 0.9%

1.5% 2.3%

2.6% 2.6% 2.8%

4.1% 3.4% 3.3%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Saskatoon CMA Population Growth Rate, July 2014

Sou

rce:

Sta

tistic

s C

anad

a. T

able

051

-005

6

The Saskatoon Census Metropolitan Area (CMA), which includes the rural municipality of Corman Park, the cities of Martensville and Warman, and other smaller communities within the Saskatoon region, has experienced significant growth. Since 2008, the population growth rate has varied between 2.3% and 4.1%.

3

Statistics Canada estimates that the Saskatoon CMA reached a population of 300,634 as of July 1, 2014.

Over the past six years, the annual net population growth exceeded 7,000 people per a year in the Saskatoon CMA. There was a 9,562 increase in 2014, which is slightly higher than the previous year.

2,962 2,346

6,212 5,700 5,355 1,118

499

930 1,001 139

1,295 2,074

2,258 2,258

2,114

2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Net Migration to the Saskatoon CMA, 2009-2014

Intraprovincial Interprovincial International

Sour

ce: S

tatis

tics C

anad

a An

nual

Dem

ogra

phic

Estim

ates

: Su

b pr

ovinc

ial A

rea,

201

4

7,147 7,033 7,631

11,237

8,588 9,562

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Sour

ce: S

tatis

tics C

anad

a An

nual

Dem

ogra

phic

Estim

ates

: Su

bpro

vincia

l Are

a, 2

014

Annual Population Growth Saskatoon CMA, 2009-2014

1,636 1,732 1,785 1,795 1,883 1,954

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/2014

Sour

ce: S

tatis

tics C

anad

a An

nual

Dem

ogra

phic

Estim

ates

: Su

bpro

vincia

l Are

a, 2

014

Saskatoon CMA Natural Increase in Population, 2008-2014

Over the past five years, the largest component of annual growth is net international migration. Over this period, the largest increase was between 2011 and 2012. Since this time international migration has slightly decreased, but still continues to be above 5,000 annually. In 2013-2014 net interprovincial migration decreased to 139.

Over the next three years, the Conference Board of Canada (CBOC) is forecasting a reduction in net migration in the Saskatoon CMA due to a decline in intraprovincial and international net migration, and negative interprovincial net migration.

Natural increase (births minus deaths) in the Saskatoon CMA has been increasing over the past ten years. Over the past 20 years, the average natural increase is 1,400. Natural increase in the Saskatoon CMA has been above 1,600 since 2008/09. The CBOC is forecasting natural increase to surpass 2,300 annually for the next couple years. Natural Increase has not been above 2000 since 1992.

Demographic

4

Net international migration in Saskatchewan has decreased slightly over the last couple years; however, numbers still remain well above historical averages: between 1994 and 2010 the average net international migration was approximately 2,600.

According to Statistics Canada, "In 2013/2014, the net international migration rate was above the national average in five provinces: Manitoba (+1.2%), Saskatchewan (+1.1%), Prince Edward Island (+1.1%), Alberta (+1.0%) and British Columbia (+0.8%).”

Over the past 20, years net international migration has been the main source of population growth for Canada.

15,49

6

14,03

7

40,04

3

14,31

5

13,11

3

48,11

6

15,78

2

12,27

1

42,47

8

Manitoba Saskatchewan Alberta

2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014

Sour

ce: S

tatis

tics C

anad

a An

nual

Dem

ogra

phic

Estim

ates

: Ca

nada

, Pro

vince

s and

Ter

ritor

ies, 2

014

Net International Migration Western Canada, 2011-2014

17.5% 70.8%

11.7%

Saskatoon CMA Distribution of Population by age group, 2014

0-14 years

15-64 years

65+ years

Sour

ce: S

tatis

tics C

anad

a An

nual

Dem

ogra

phic

Estim

ates

: Su

bpro

vincia

l Are

a, 2

014

2.7% 5.3%

9.9% 9.8%

11.1% 4.3%

Calgary Edmonton

Regina Saskatoon

Winnipeg Canada

Aboriginal Identity by Geography, 2011 (as % of total population)

Sour

ce: S

tatis

tics C

anad

a: N

ation

al Ho

useh

old S

urve

y 201

1

Over the past 10 years, the median age in Canada has increased from 38.3 to 40.4. Saskatoon and Regina are the only CMAs to have a slight decrease in median age over this same period. Saskatoon has the lowest median age in the country at 34.5 years of age.

There has been a gradual increase in the proportion of the population between the ages of 15 and 64 in the Saskatoon CMA. It is projected that the 65+ age group will increase gradually over the next 20 years.

In the 2011 National Household Survey, approximately 10% of the total population in Saskatoon and Regina identified as Aboriginal and 4.3% of the total population in Canada. Winnipeg had the highest percentage out of the prairie provinces at 11.1%.

Demographic

5

The CBOC is forecasting a decline in housing starts in the Saskatoon CMA over the next few years. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) supports these findings.

The CMHC Spring 2015 Housing Market Outlook indicated that housing starts will continue to decrease in the Saskatoon CMA region due to weakening economic conditions. Slower growth in employment is likely to contribute to a reduction in net migration and reduce the average MLS selling price throughout 2015.

In 2014, more multi-units were built than single-family units. This has only occurred two other times since 2000 (2002 & 2004). Over the past 20 years, on average, 58% of new residential construction has been single-family. The CBOC anticipates that multi-unit construction is likely to exceed single-family construction again within the next three years.

Over the past nine years, there has been an increase in the number of building permits issued and investments made in Saskatoon. Over the past two years, the number of building permits issued declined slightly and the value of the building permits decreased in 2014.

The number of residential units in established neighbourhoods has been increasing annually due to infill development. However, the ratio of infill to greenfield development has decreased. Over the past five years, an average of 16% of residential development was infill due to a significant increase of greenfield development.

$275

$323

$549

$605

$537

$666

$937

$1,08

2

$1,08

9

$878

2,444 2,709

3,672 3,516 3,550

4,100 4,651

5,196 5,020 4,996

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Millio

ns (V

alue o

f per

mits)

City of Saskatoon Building Permits, 2005-2014

Value of Permits Number of Permits

Sour

ce: C

ity o

f Sas

kato

on

743 1,386 1,728 1,322

1,954 1,442 1,561

1,638

1,608

2,025

1,658

1,577 1,627 1,554

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 (f) 2016 (f)

Single Unit Multi Unit

Sour

ce: C

onfe

renc

e Bo

ard

of C

anad

a, M

arch

201

5

Saskatoon CMA Housing Starts, 2010-2016(f)

79% 82%

72% 76%

87% 84% 83% 83%

87% 84%

21% 18%

28% 24%

13% 16% 17% 17%

13% 16%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Greenfield Infill

Sou

rce:

City

of S

aska

toon

Annual Increase of Greenfield & Infill Residential Units, 2005-14

Development

6

Single dwelling units make up 53% of the housing stock in Saskatoon. In 2014, 63% of sales were single-family homes or 3,887 units for an average price of $389,959.

In 2013 and 2014, comparable numbers of single-family dwellings, semi-detached and townhouses sold. Condo sales were down 200 units from 2013.

In 2014 the average selling price across all residential types in Saskatoon was $351,679.

CMHC projects that the number of residential units sold will decrease 8.3% in 2015 in the Saskatoon CMA. A decrease in sales and an increase in housing supply will apply downward pressure on sales prices. The average MLS price is forecast to decrease 0.7% in 2015.

According to CMHC the average price in the Saskatoon CMA was $341,061; which is less than Edmonton and more than Regina.

Development

$389,959 $375,665 $313,970

$251,231 3887

205 901 1192

Single-Family Dwelling Semi-detached Townhouse Apartment Condo

Average of Sale Price Number of units

Sour

ce: C

ity o

f Sas

kato

on A

sses

sors

, 201

4

Saskatoon Average Residential Sale Price & Units Sold by type, 2014

7

5,183 5,398

5,543

5,996

5,500 5,560

1.7%

6.1%

3.9% 2.7% -0.7%

1.5%

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015(f) 2016(f)

Saskatoon CMA Residential Units Sold vs Price Increases 2011-2016(f)

Sour

ce: C

MHC

Hou

sing

Mar

ket O

utloo

k – S

pring

201

5

460,5

84

448,0

00

453,0

00

362,6

57

359,0

00

362,0

00

341,0

61

338,7

00

343,8

00

314,8

99

304,0

00

307,0

00

273,3

63

227,0

00

281,0

00

2014 2015 (f) 2016 (f)

Average House Price by CMA, 2014-2016(f)

Calgary Edmonton Saskatoon Regina Winnipeg

Sour

ce: C

MHC

: Hou

sing

Mar

ket O

utloo

k - P

rairie

Reg

ion

High

light

s, Se

cond

Qua

rter 2

015

The average rent in the Saskatoon CMA continues to increase annually. The most significant increases occurred between 2007 and 2009. According to CMHC vacancy rates have been increasing in Saskatoon over the past year, suggesting the potential for rental prices to remain stable or decrease.

The City of Saskatoon has made great efforts to provide attainable housing through a wide range of programs that include ownership and rental opportunities.

The City of Saskatoon has achieved a rolling annual average target of adding 500 new attainable housing units.

The Affordability Measure is the percentage of a typical household’s pre-tax income used towards mortgage expenses (mortgage, taxes, and utilities). The higher the percentage the less affordable the home becomes. No more then 32% of gross income should go towards mortgage expenses.

Saskatoon measures higher than the other major prairie cities.

$402

$410

$430

$447

$459

$478

$485

$496

$508

$516

$515

$520

$538

$610

$727

$788

$824

$875

$892

$925

$968

1% 2% 5% 4% 3% 4%

2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 13%

19% 8% 5% 6%

2% 4% 5%

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Saskatoon CMA Average Rent & Annual Increase (%) 1994-2014

Average Rent Low High Percentage increase

Source: Table 027-0040 - Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, average rents for areas with a population of 10,000 and over, annual (dollars), CANSIM (database).

28.3

25.6

24.0

28.0

25.4

27.5

27.0

27.0

30.6

26.0

16.2

15.9

16.8

20.4

16.8

Calgary

Edmonton

Regina

Saskatoon

Winnipeg Area

Bungalow Two-Storey Condo

Housing Affordability Measure by City and Dwelling Type, 2014

Sour

ce: S

tatis

tics C

anad

a, R

oyal

LePa

ge,

and

RBC

Econ

omics

Res

earc

h.

Development

8

163 273

465

878 755

629 542

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

New Attainable Housing Units, 2009-2014

Annual Target Rolling Annual Average

Sour

ce: C

ity o

f Sas

kato

on

6.1

-1.9

6.3 6.2 5.1

6.4 6.1

1.8 2.2

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015f 2016f

Saskatoon CMA Real GDP Growth (% change), 2008-2016(f)

Sour

ce: C

onfe

renc

e Bo

ard

of C

anad

a, M

arch

201

5

The Saskatoon economy has experienced robust growth over the past few years. The Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew 6.1% from 2013 to 2014. However, the CBOC is forecasting that real GDP growth will slow to 1.8% this year because of weakness in the primary and utilities sector.

In 2014, 60% of the GDP was produced in the services-producing sector and 40% was produced in the goods-producing sector; this ratio has fluctuated marginally over the past 20 years.

The Saskatoon CMA has a diverse economy that spans over a variety of industries.

Employment growth in the Saskatoon CMA continued in 2014 and is likely to continue to grow marginally over the next three years. The majority of employment occurs in the non-commercial services sector (education services and health care & social assistance) follow by wholesale and retail trade, and personal service.

144.5 152.7 164.2 169.1 169.4 173.2

0 5

10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015(f) 2016(f)

Empl

oym

ent b

y ind

ustry

(Tho

usan

ds)

Non-Commercial Services Wholesale and Retail Trade Personal Services Construction Business Services Primary and Utilities Manufacturing Transportation and Warehousing Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Public Administration and Defence Information and Cultural Industries

Saskatoon CMA Total Employment & Employment by Industry (Thousands), 2011-2016(f)

Source: Conference Board of Canada - March 2015

Economy

9

Finance, Insurance and Real Estate

14%

Wholesale and Retail Trade 11%

Non-Commercial Services

11%

Transportation and Warehousing

6%

Business Services 5%

Personal Services 5%

Public Administration and Defence

4%

Information and Cultural Industries

2% Primary and Utilities

22% Construction

12%

Manufacturing 8%

Percentage of GDP by Industry, 2014

Sour

ce: C

onfe

renc

e Bo

ard

of C

anad

a, M

arch

201

5

According to Statistics Canada, in 2013 and 2014, Saskatoon had the second lowest unemployment rate in Canada at 4.1%; Regina led the country at 3.7%. Kelowna followed Saskatoon; the highest unemployment rates were in Saguenay, Windsor, and Peterborough.

According to Statistics Canada, in 2014, Saskatchewan had the lowest annual unemployment rate in Canada at a rate of 3.8%; the national average was 6.9%.

According to the 2014 City of Saskatoon Business Profile, the trade sector continues to be the largest services-producing sector, accounting for 20% of all licensed businesses. The top four sectors make up 63% of all businesses. The information, culture & recreation sector showed strong growth, increasing 8% over 2013. The construction sector makes up the largest component of the goods-producing sector and accounts for 19% of all licensed businesses.

According to the 2014 City of Saskatoon Business Profile, the total number of businesses has increased by 19% since 2009.

Annually, the majority of new businesses in Saskatoon are home-based businesses.

396 368 472 451 439

838 798 827 866 811

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

New Business Licenses Issued, 2010-2014 New Home-Based Businesses New Commercial/Industrial Businesses

Sour

ce: C

ity o

f Sas

kato

on,

Busin

ess P

rofile

- An

nual

Repo

rt 20

14

2039 1957

1324 1265

787 668

553 485 471

329 270

233 51

12

Trade (wholesale & retail) Construction

Professional, scientific & technical services Other services

Business, building & other support services Accommodation & food services

Finance, insurance, real estate & leasing Health care & social assistance

Manufacturing Information, culture & recreation

Transportation & warehousing Educational services

Mining, oil & gas extraction Agriculture, forestry & fishing

City of Saskatoon Business Licenses Issued, 2014

█ Goods-producing sector █ Services-producing sector

Sour

ce: C

ity o

f Sas

kato

on, "

Busin

ess P

rofile

- An

nual

Repo

rt 20

14

Economy

10

3.7% 3.7% 4.3% 4.1%

6.6%

4.6% 4.8% 5.0% 4.8% 5.1% 5.9% 5.8%

2013 2014

Regina

Saskatoon

Kelowna

Calgary

Edmonton

Winnipeg

Sou

rce:

Sta

tistic

s C

anad

a, ta

ble

282-

0129

Unemployment rate by Census Metropolitan Area, 2013-2014

Personal disposable incomes have kept pace with the cost of living increases over the last few years. The disposable income (per capita) has increased annually since 2009. The CBOC is forecasting smaller increases in disposable income over the next couple years.

Like the majority of cities in Canada, Saskatoon’s CPI continues to increase annually. For the 2013 to 2014 period, Saskatoon’s CPI increased by 2.3%. Over the past 20 years the average increase in CPI was 2.1% in Saskatoon. The CBOC forecasts that the CPI will increase 1.5% between 2014 and 2015.

Calgary had the largest increase in CPI in Canada, followed by Toronto in 2014.

The CBOC has projected that the retail sector will see marginal growth in 2015, but show stronger growth in 2016 and 2017. This is a significant drop in retail sales growth compared to the last four years.

0.02%

4.5%

7.9% 8.1% 7.1% 7.6%

0.1%

2.8%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015(f) 2016(f)

Retail Sales Growth (%) in Saskatoon 2009-2016(f)

39,762 39,019 39,798 42,316 43,325

45,921 46,850 47,118 47,510

11.4%

-2.4%

2.3%

6.3%

1.9%

7.0%

1.8%

0.2% 0.6%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015f 2016f

Saskatoon CMA Disposable Income per Capita, 2008-2016(f)

Dollars per capita Disposable Income % change CPI % change

Sour

ce: C

onfe

renc

e Bo

ard

of C

anad

a - M

arch

201

5

128.8 129 126.7 125.7

122.6

132.7 131.8 129.7

128.6

124.9

3.0%

2.2% 2.4%

2.3%

1.9%

Calgary Edmonton Regina Saskatoon Winnipeg

Consumer Price Index, 2013-2014 (base year 2002)

2013 2014 2013-2014 % change

Sour

ce: S

aska

tchew

an B

urea

u of

Sta

tistic

s, "S

aska

tchew

an C

onsu

mer

Pric

e In

dex -

Ann

ual 2

014,

Sup

plem

enta

l Tab

les"

Sour

ce: C

onfe

renc

e Bo

ard

of C

anad

a, M

arch

201

5

Economy

11

Daily water consumption per capita decreased between 2013 and 2014.

Water consumption is greatly dependent on weather conditions. It is highly likely that water consumption will increase in 2015 due to a dry warm summer.

Saskatoon’s 2014 waste diversion rate remained at the same rate as 2013.

Waste is diverted from the landfill through a variety of programs including curbside recycling, multi-unit recycling, compost depot, and household hazardous waste days.

Air quality is collected hourly and monitored by the Saskatchewan Ministry of Environment using the Air Quality Index (AQI). The higher the number, the greater the health risk associated with air quality. A measure of less then 25 is good air quality and anything over 100 is considered poor. The average annual AQI rates Saskatoon as having good air quality.

19.6% 17.3% 18.4%

22.7% 22.5%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Sour

ce: C

ity o

f Sas

kato

on

Saskatoon Waste Diversion Rate, 2010-2014

230.1

242.7

229.9 233.5

214.8

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(L/C

apita

/day

)

Sour

ce: C

ity o

f Sas

kato

on

Residential Daily Water Consumption per Capita, 2010-2014

10.1 9.6 10.4 11.0

11.9 12.5 11.7

12.5 12.7

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Aver

age A

QI

Historical Air Quality Index (AQI) Measures in Saskatoon

Sour

ce: G

over

nmen

t of S

aska

tchew

an, M

inistr

y of E

nviro

nmen

t, Hi

storic

al Ai

r Qua

lity D

ata

Environment

12

The number of transit rides per capita in Saskatoon decreased by 5.9 due to an 11 month operating period.

Since 2011, the City of Saskatoon has increased cycling specific infrastructure by 21 Km. There is an average of 7 Km constructed annually.

According to the 2011 NHS Survey, 79.5% of the labour force drive to work and 12.6% take an alternative mode of transportation including transit, walking, or cycling. Of those, walking is the most common mode.

As indicated above, since 2011, there has been an increase in the amount of cycling-specific infrastructure; this supports an increase in cyclists.

38.3 39.2 37.8 31.9

2011 2012 2013 2014

Sour

ce: C

ity o

f Sas

kato

on, S

aska

toon

Tra

nsit

Saskatoon Transit Ridership (Rides per Capita), 2011-2014

150 156

162

171

2011 2012 2013 2014

Kilometres of Cycling-Specific Infrastructure (Paths and Bike Lanes), 2011-2014

Sour

ce: C

ity o

f Sas

kato

on, P

lannin

g &

Deve

lopm

ent

Social

13

Driver 79.5%

Other 1.9%

Passenger 6.0%

Transit 5.1%

Walking 5.3%

Cycling 2.2%

12.6%

Mode of Transportation to Work, 2011

Sour

ce: N

ation

al Ho

useh

old S

urve

y, 20

11

2,744 2,715 2,722 2,550 2,569

1,977 1,818 1,616 1,466 1,422

5,781 5,888 5,134 4,853 4,981

10,502 10,421 9,472 8,869 8,973

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Other Crime Violent Crime Property Crime Sour

ce: S

tatis

tics C

anad

a. T

able

252-

079

- Inc

ident

-bas

ed cr

ime

statis

tics,

by d

etail

ed vi

olatio

ns a

nd p

olice

serv

ices

Total Saskatoon Criminal Code Violations (excluding traffic) per 100,000 population, 2010-2014

The total number of criminal code violations per 100,000 population (excluding traffic) increased slightly between 2013 and 2014 in Saskatoon; however, there has been a 14.6% decrease in crime since 2010. Violent Crime has been decreasing annually since 2008.

In 2014 Saskatoon had a higher number of reported crime per 100,000 population (excluding traffic) than Regina, Edmonton, Winnipeg, and Calgary.

Crime Severity Index (CSI) measures the volume and severity of police-reported crime. In 2014, Statistics Canada reported that out of 33 CMAs, Saskatoon had the highest CSI. Saskatoon (+10%), Thunder Bay (+10%) and Guelph (+9%) recorded the largest increases in their CSI from 2013. Saskatoon's CSI was primarily driven by a large increase in break and enters. Prior to 2014, Regina had consistently recorded the highest CSI. The high CSI recorded in Saskatoon was followed by Regina, Vancouver and Thunder Bay.

Social

14

8,973 8,220

5,685

4,020

7,322

Saskatoon Regina Winnipeg Calgary Edmonton

2014 Total Criminal Code Violations (excluding traffic) per 100,000 population by City

Sour

ce: S

tatis

tics C

anad

a. T

able

252-

078,

252

-079

, 252

-080

–

Incid

ent-b

ased

crim

e sta

tistic

s, by

det

ailed

viola

tions

and

poli

ce se

rvice

s

109.69

102.82

87.12

80.73

59.86

Saskatoon

Regina

Edmonton

Winnipeg

Calgary

Crime Severity Index (weighted), 2014 (Base year, 2006)

Sour

ce: S

tatis

tics C

anad

a. T

able

252-

0052

- Cr

ime

seve

rity i

ndex

an

d we

ighte

d cle

aran

ce ra

tes

784 786 789 890

3,496

3,354 3,300

3,579

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Cultural Program Attendance (per 1,000 population) 2010-2014

Attendance at Activities of 17 Cultural Organizations Attendance per 1,000 Population

Thou

sand

s (t

otal a

ttend

ance

)

17.2% 14.4%

12.2% 14.0%

1996 2001 2006 2011

Sour

ce: S

tatis

tics C

anad

a, C

ensu

s 199

6-20

06;

Stat

istics

Can

ada:

Nat

ional

Hous

ehold

Sur

vey 2

011

Incidence of Low-Income Among Saskatoon Families, (1996, 2001, 2006, 2011)

Civic 52%

Civic 34% Civic

27%

Civic 37%

Provincial 58%

Provincial 82% Provincial

67%

Federal 50%

Federal 55%

Federal 58% Federal

54%

2003 2003 2004 2006 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011 2011 2012

Saskatoon Voter Turn-out by Level of Government and Year

The number of low-income families increased by 1.8% between 2006 and 2011. The percentage remains below the 14.3% average that occurred between 1996 and 2011.

Over the past four civic elections the average voter turn-out was 37.5%.

The average voter turn-out for the past four federal elections was 54.3%.

Provincial voter turn-out has been higher then federal and civic elections. The average over the past three elections was 69%.

Cultural program attendance (per 1,000 population) increased between the period of 2013/2014. This includes 17 major cultural organizations within Saskatoon.

Social

15

Attainable Housing is defined as housing that adequately meets the needs of a household and costs less than 30% of the household’s gross monthly income.

Census: Every five years, Statistics Canada conducts a census. The last census was taken in 2011. The census provides a statistical portrait of our country and its people. The census includes every man, woman and child living in Canada on Census day, as well as Canadians who are abroad.

Components of population growth are factors underlying population growth and changes in its age structure. They include: births, deaths, immigration, emigration, net non-permanent residents and, for regions in a given territory, internal migration.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures price movements in a basket of goods and services that a typical family buys. An arbitrary base year is chosen for which the index is assigned a value of 100 (presently 2002). Changes in the cost of the basket are tracked over time by comparing the index value to the base year. For example, an index number of 105 for a particular year indicates that prices have risen by 5% since the base year.

Crimes against the person involve the use or threatened use of violence against a person, including homicide, attempted murder, assault, sexual assault and robbery. Robbery is considered a crime against the person because unlike other theft offences it involves the use, or threat of, violence.

Crimes against property involve unlawful acts to gain property, but do not involve the use or threat of violence against the person. They include offences such as break and enter, theft and fraud.

Crime rates are based on the number of incidents reported to police per 100,000 population. Rates are used to make comparisons over time and among geographic areas with different populations. The "crime rate" represents total Criminal Code incidents, excluding traffic incidents. It does not include other federal statutes such as drug offences.

Crime Severity Index (weighted) measures both the volume and severity of crimes reported to the police. To calculate the CSI, each violation is assigned a weight. CSI weights are based on the violation's incarceration rate, as well as the average length of prison sentence handed down by criminal courts. The more serious the average sentence, the higher the weight for that offence. To calculate the CSI, the weighted offences are summed and then divided by the population. As

with the other indexes, to simplify comparison, the CSI is then standardized to a base of "100" (for the CSI, the base year is 2006).

Cycling-Specific Infrastructure includes cycling suitable for novices including bike boulevards, paved off-road multi-use trails, walkways or park paths, and gravel or crusher dust off-road multi-use trails and intermediate on-road bike lanes.

Disposable Income is personal income minus personal income tax payments.

Economic growth is the change in real gross domestic product (GDP).

Employment Rate: The employment rate (formerly the employment/population ratio) is the number of persons employed expressed as a percentage of the population 15 years of age and over.

Good-producing industries: Includes agriculture, forestry, fishing, mining, and oil and gas extraction; utilities (electric power, gas and water); construction; and manufacturing.

Greenfield neighbourhoods used in the calculations include: Airport Business Area, Arbor Creek, Blairmore DA, Blairmore SC, Briarwood, Confederation Park, Dundonald, Evergreen, Hampton Village, Kensington, Lakeridge, Lakewood SC, North Industrial, Parkridge, Rosewood, Silverspring, South West Industrial, Stonebridge, The Willows, University Heights SC, Willowgrove.

Housing Affordability Measure The RBC Housing Affordability Measures show the proportion of median pre-tax household income that would be required to service the cost of mortgage payments (principal and interest), property taxes, and utilities on a detached bungalow, a standard two storey home and a standard condo (excluding maintenance fees) at the going market prices. The higher the reading, the less affordable is a home to a particular family. For example, a reading of 32 per cent means that homeownership costs, including mortgage payments, utilities and property taxes, would take up 32 per cent of a typical household’s monthly pre-tax income. (RBC Royal Bank)

Glossary

16

Industry Classification Categories used by the Conference Board of Canada:

Business Services Sector

•  Professional, Scientific and Technical Services includes activities in which human capital is the major input. The main components of this sector are legal services; accounting, tax preparation, bookkeeping and payroll services; architectural, engineering and related services; specialized design services; computer systems design and related services; management, scientific and technical consulting services; scientific research and development services; and advertising, public relations, and related services.

•  Management of Companies and Enterprises includes managing companies and enterprises and/or holding the securities or financial assets of companies and enterprises, for the purpose of owning a controlling interest in them and/or influencing their management decisions. They may undertake the function of management, or they may entrust the function of financial management to portfolio managers.

•  Administrative and Support, Waste Management and Remediation Services comprises establishments of two different types: those primarily engaged in activities that support the day-to-day operations of other organizations; and those primarily engaged in waste management activities.

Construction Sector includes constructing, repairing and renovating buildings and engineering works, and in subdividing and developing land.

Finance, Insurance & Real Estate Sector

•  Finance and Insurance includes financial transactions (that is, transactions involving the creation, liquidation, or change in ownership of financial assets) or in facilitating financial transactions.

•  Real Estate and Rental and Leasing includes renting, leasing or otherwise allowing the use of tangible or intangible assets. Establishments primarily engaged in managing real estate for others; selling, renting and/or buying of real estate for others; and appraising real estate, are also included.

Information and Cultural Industries Sector includes producing and distributing (except by wholesale and retail methods) information and cultural products. Establishments providing the means to transmit or distribute these products or providing access to equipment and expertise for processing data are also included.

Manufacturing Sector includes the chemical, mechanical or

physical transformation of materials or substances into new products.

Non-Commercial Services Sector

•  Educational Services includes providing instruction and training in a wide variety of subjects. This instruction and training is provided by specialized establishments, such as schools, colleges, universities and training centres.

•  Health Care and Social Assistance includes providing health care by diagnosis and treatment, providing residential care for medical and social reasons, and providing social assistance, such as counselling, welfare, child protection, community housing and food services, vocational rehabilitation and child care, to those requiring such assistance.

Personal Services Sector

•  Arts, Entertainment and Recreation includes operating facilities or providing services to meet the cultural, entertainment and recreational interests of their patrons.

•  Accommodation and Food Services includes providing short-term lodging and complementary services to travellers, vacationers and others. Also, this sector includes preparing meals, snacks and beverages, to customer orders, for immediate consumption on and off the premises.

•  Other Services (except public administration) comprises establishments, not classified to any other sector, primarily engaged in repairing, or performing general or routine maintenance, on motor vehicles, machinery, equipment and other products to ensure that they work efficiently; providing personal care services, funeral services, laundry services and other services to individuals, such as pet care services and photo finishing services; organizing and promoting religious activities; supporting various causes through grant-making, advocating (promoting) various social and political causes, and promoting and defending the interests of their members.

Primary & Utilities Sector •  Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting includes

growing crops, raising animals, harvesting timber, harvesting fish and other animals from their natural habitats and providing related support activities.

•  Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction includes extracting and or exploration of naturally occurring minerals.

•  Utilities includes operating electric, gas and water utilities.

Glossary

17

Public Administration Sector includes activities of a governmental nature, that is, the enactment and judicial interpretation of laws and their pursuant regulations, and the administration of programs based on them.

Transportation and Warehousing Sector includes transporting passengers and goods, warehousing and storing goods. The modes of transportation are road (trucking, transit and ground passenger), rail, water, air and pipeline.

Wholesale & Retail Trade Sector

•  Wholesale Trade includes wholesaling merchandise, generally without transformation, and rendering services incidental to the sale of merchandise. The wholesaling process is an intermediate step in the distribution of goods. Many wholesalers are organized to sell merchandise in large quantities to retailers, and business and institutional clients.

•  Retail trade includes retailing merchandise, generally without transformation, and rendering services incidental to the sale of merchandise. The retailing process is the final step in the distribution of merchandise; retailers are therefore organized to sell merchandise in small quantities to the general public. This sector comprises two main types of retailers, store and non-store retailers.

Infill neighbourhoods used in the calculations include: Adelaide/Churchill, Avalon, Brevoort Park, Buena Vista, Caswell Hill, Central Business District, Central Industrial, City Park, College Park, College Park East, Confederation SC, Eastview, Erindale, Exhibition, Fairhaven, Forest Grove, Greystone Heights, Grosvenor Park, Haultain, Holiday Park, Holliston, Hudson Bay Park, Kelsey - Woodlawn, King George, Lakeview, Lawson Heights, Lawson Heights SC, Massey Place, Mayfair, Meadowgreen, Montgomery Place, Mount Royal, North Park, Nutana, Nutana Park, Nutana SC, Pacific Heights, Pleasant Hill, Queen Elizabeth, Richmond Heights, River Heights, Riversdale, Silverwood Heights, Sutherland, U of S Lands South MA, University Heights DA, Varsity View, West Industrial, Westmount, Westview, Wildwood

Inflation is the percentage change in prices from one period to the next.

Labour Force is the sum of employed and unemployed persons aged 15 and up. Excludes those who are not employed and who are not looking for work.

National Household Survey (NHS): Information previously collected by the mandatory long-form census questionnaire will be collected as part of the new voluntary NHS. The information collected in the NHS will provide data to support government programs directed at target populations. Information from the NHS will also support provincial/territorial and local government

planning and program delivery.

Natural Increase is the variation in the population counts over a given period resulting from the difference between births and deaths.

Net international migration is the variation obtained according to the following formula: (Immigrants + returning emigrants + net non-permanent residents) – (emigrants + net temporary emigration).

Net Migration is the difference between immigration and emigration or difference between in and out-migrants.

Real Gross Domestic Product (Real GDP) is value of all final goods and services produced in a geographical region, adjusted for inflation.

Saskatoon Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) is a geographic area formed by one or more adjacent municipalities centred on a population centre (known as the core). A CMA must have a total population of at least 100,000 of which 50,000 or more must live in the core. The Saskatoon CMA includes the following census subdivisions: Allan, Asquith, Blucher No. 343, Bradwell, Clavet, Colonsay, Colonsay No. 342, Corman Park No. 344, Dalmeny, Delisle, Dundurn, Dundurn No. 314, Elstow, Langham, Martensville, Meacham, Osler, Saskatoon, Shields, Thode, Vanscoy, Vanscoy No. 345, Warman, Whitecap.

Saskatoon Census Subdivision is the area comprised of the municipality of Saskatoon.

Services-producing industries includes trade; transportation and warehousing; finance, insurance, real estate and leasing; professional, scientific and technical services; business, building and other support services, educational services; health care and social assistance; information, culture and recreation; accommodation and food services; other services; and public administration.

Statistics Canada is Canada’s central statistical agency. Statistics Canada is legislated to serve this function for the whole of Canada and each of the provinces.

Unemployment Rate Is the number of unemployed persons expressed as a percentage of the labour force.

Unemployment Is the number of people who are available for work and are actively looking for jobs, or have looked for work in the previous four weeks.

18

Glossary

saskatoon.ca

OCTOBER 2015