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3/3/2016
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Suncor – FMCA PresentationFebruary 25, 2016
3/3/2016
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Canada’s largest integrated energy company
Growing oil sands business with complementary upstream & downstream operations
$63B enterprise valueDec 31, 2015
578mboe/d 99% oil production2015 Actuals
refining capacity462mb/d
liquiditycash & cash equivalents ($4.0B) plus available credit facilities as at Dec. 31, 2015
$11B
cash flow from operations2015 Actuals$6.8Bcapital expenditures2015 Actuals excluding capitalized interest$6.2B
35 years 2P reserve life indexas at December 31, 2014
EastCoast
NorthSea Stavanger
London
AberdeenBuzzardGolden Eagle
Denver
SarniaMontreal
St. John’s
HiberniaTerra Nova*HebronWhite RoseFort
McMurray
Base Plant& Mine*
Firebag*
SyncrudeMacKayRiver*
Fort Hills* Oil Sands
Head office
Calgary
Regional office
Upstream facility*operatedDownstream facility
Mississauga
Houston
Circles are scaled to relative net capacities in boe/d
Edmonton
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Oil sands portfolio
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Future opportunitiesLewis (SU WI 100%)Meadow Creek (SU WI 75%)
MacKay River38,000 b/d capacitySuncor working interest 100%542 mmbbls 2P reserves
Base Plant350,000 b/d capacitySuncor working interest 100%1,766 mmbbls 2P reserves
SyncrudeSyncrude operated42,000 b/d capacity (SU WI)Suncor working interest 12%525 mmbbls 2P reserves (SU WI)
Firebag203,000 b/d capacitySuncor working interest 100%2,634 mmbbls 2P reserves
Fort HillsSuncor operated91,000 b/d capacity (planned, SU WI)Suncor working interest 50.8%1,253 mmbbls 2P reserves (SU WI)
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SCO, dieseland bitumen
to market
Oil Sands production up to 600 mb/d before the end of the decade
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Fort Hills• Increased SU WI to 50.8%• Under construction• Capacity2: 91 mb/d (SU WI) PFT bitumen
Base Upgrading Operations• > 10 mb/d in potential reliability improvements• Capacity2: 350 mb/d SCO• 22% shrinkage factor
Firebag• 23 mb/d debottleneck completed in Q4 2015• Capacity2: 203 mb/d bitumen
LogisticsFuture growth projects will be integrated with existing logistics infrastructure
Syncrude• 12% SU WI• Capacity2: 42 mb/d (SU WI) SCO
MacKay River• 8 mb/d debottleneck reached in Q4 2015• Capacity2: 38 mb/d bitumen
Base Mine Extraction• Extraction debottleneck complete• Notional3 Capacity2: 325 to 350 mb/d bitumen
Debottlenecks, expansions and growth projects expected to raise total Oil Sands production from 463 mb/d (2015) up to 600mb/d.
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Market access strategy for inland oil production
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Suncor has over 600 mb/d of near-term access to globally priced markets
Current1
• Existing pipelines and hubs
• 80+ mb/d rail loading and offloading
• Suncor Refinery
• Marine opportunities for inland oil
• Line 9 to Montreal
Denver
Edmonton
Sarnia
Montreal
Upgrader Diesel
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0
20
40
60
80
100
12019
8519
8619
8719
8819
8919
9019
9119
9219
9319
9419
9519
9619
9719
9819
9920
0020
0120
0220
0320
0420
0520
0620
0720
0820
0920
1020
1120
1220
1320
1420
15
US$
/bbl
Oil price volatility
6
*
* Source EIA
Brent crude oil price: History of volatility
Gulf War 1
Asian financial
crisis
Financial crisis
9/11
OPEC Market Share
OPEC Market Share
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Disciplined capital and operating cost management
SuncorCapex & cash flow from operationsC$ billions
CFOPs1
Capital Expenditures2
Oil SandsPrices and cash operating costsC$/bbl
Oil Sands Average3
Sales Price
Cash Operating Costs1
per barrel
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39.05 37.05 37.00 33.8028.20
0
25
50
75
100
2011 2012 2013 2014 20152011 2012 2013 2014 2015
39.05 37.05 37.0033.80
27.85
6.3 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.2
9.7 9.7 9.49.1
6.8
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Oil Sands Cost Structure Per Barrel – End of 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Royalties
Reclamation
Capital Expenses
Operating Expenses
8
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Municipal Costs
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Municipal taxes have increased yearly for industry exacerbating the erosion of industry competitiveness
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Firebag Debottle Update
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Repurpose of Voyageur equipmentFirebag debottleneck - Produced water cooling unit
203mb/d Firebag plant capacity rerate
2.8 current field wide SOR
<$5k/bbl debottleneck cost
3 Years acceleration of debottleneck
95% expected plant reliability
Scope• debottleneck of produced water cooling facilities
• rerate of de-oiling and steam generation units
• reduced field wide SOR
• infill wells continue to outperform
Cost effective debottleneck supported 23 kbpd plant capacity expansion
Forward sustaining capital requirement• sub-surface: alignment of well pad development timing
with increased nameplate capacity
• surface: facility investment planned near 2020 to maintain production capacity at increasing SORs
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2016 Spring Planned Maintenance
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Key dates• Pre-execution: February 1 – March 25• Execution: March 31 – May 17• Post-execution: May 18 – July 31
Scope of workCore Upgrader 2 assets • Regulatory/inspections, catalyst renewal/
regeneration, necessary reliability repairs, and critical project scope
Workforce size • ~2,500 general and specialty contractors,
and maintenance support
Production impact• 250,000 barrels per day
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Fort Hills Development Update
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50.8% Suncor working interestadditional 10% working interest as at November 2015
91mb/dproduction capacitynet to Suncor
21M+ construction hourswithout environmental or regulatory enforcement action
96% engineering completeas at December 31, 2015
51% construction completeas at December 31, 2015
capital cost estimatenet to Suncor from project sanction to first oil$6.5B
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Suncor’s proposed acquisition of Canadian Oil Sands Limited
The Offer COS board supported offer of 0.28 SU shares per COS share. The transaction was valued at $6.6 B at the time of agreement.
Financial 19% net debt to capitalization on a pro-forma basis as at September 30, 2015. Suncor to issue ~136 M shares assuming 100% of COS shares are acquired.
Operating Suncor would increase it’s working interest in Syncrude (capacity 350 mb/d SCO) from 12% to 48.74%. 20% increase in 2P reserves to 9.1 billion barrels.
Synergies Explore regional synergies and efficiencies with respect to operations, capital investment and technology