24
Supporting Older People Conference B10: The future for housing association pensions Speakers: Derek Benstead Senior Housing Consultant First Actuarial James Beardmore Principal Actuary KPMG Chair: Rob Griffiths Director of Financial Services Longhurst Housing Group

Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Supporting Older

People Conference

B10: The future for housing association pensions

Speakers: Derek Benstead

Senior Housing Consultant First Actuarial

James Beardmore

Principal Actuary KPMG

Chair: Rob Griffiths

Director of Financial Services Longhurst Housing Group

Page 2: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

The Future for Housing Association Pensions

NHF Housing Finance Conference

20 March 2013

Derek Benstead

First Actuarial

0161 868 1721 [email protected]

James Beardmore

KPMG Pensions

0121 609 6038

[email protected]

Page 3: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Sector pension schemes

LSVTs MIXED Traditional RP

LGPS £2bn+

Own DB

scheme £1bn+

SHPS £2bn+

DC scheme

Cost pressures

LGPS March 2013

actuarial valuation

SHPS September 2011

actuarial valuation

Auto-enrolment

Own scheme

triennial

valuation

Page 4: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

■ 50% increase in deficit (lower gilt yields)

■ Future service cost increase despite reforms

■ Cost impact of reforms depends on membership profile

-3000

-1000

1000

3000

5000

7000

9000

Assets Liabilities Deficit

31/03/2010

30/09/2012

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

14.00%

16.00%

Current rate Updated to 2012 Post 2014 reforms

Past Service Future Service

11.6% 12.1%

13.8%

£’0

00

s

Emp

loye

r co

ntr

ibu

tio

n r

ate

Pension scheme cost pressures

Page 5: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Pension scheme membership (1)

60ths Final

salary

2013 by 2015

49ths CARE

LGPS

SHPS Final salary

CARE

DC

Page 6: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Source: Independent Public Service Pension Commission: Interim Report – 7 October 2010

Pension scheme membership (2)

Public sector: ¼ million

new members

Private sector: 6 million new members

Page 7: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Target retirement income (1)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

49thsCARE

60thsFinal

salary

80thsFinal

salary

80thsCARE

120thsCARE

DC20%

DC12%

DC8%

LGPSSHPS DBDC

Illustrative replacement income for employee with earnings £25,000 including state pension

Page 8: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Target retirement income (2)

Page 9: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Target retirement income (3)

Page 10: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

The Future of the State Pension (1)

– State Pension Age reviewed every 5 years

– Annual increases at least average earnings growth

– Full entitlement if 35 qualifying years (pro-rata if less)

1. Basic State Pension 2. State Additional Pension 3. Category D Pensions 4. Age Additions 5. Savings Credit

Single-tier pension

£144 per week (£7,488 per year)

April 2017

Page 11: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

The Future of the State Pension (2)

– Contracting-out of state pensions abolished

– Higher National Insurance contributions (3.4% from employers, 1.4% from members on earnings between £5,564 and £40,040)

– Statutory provision to recover extra employer cost?

Page 12: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Local Government Pension Scheme (1)

• Scheme design

– Final Salary Career Average

– 60ths accrual 49ths accrual with CPI revaluation

– Normal Pension Age of 65 State Pension Age

• Estimated scheme cost*

– Total: 21.7% 19.5%

– Employees: Average of 6.5% Average of 6.5%

– Employers: 15.2% 13.0%

*Source: LGA/LGPS paper with costings by GAD

Page 13: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Local Government Pension Scheme (2) Employer cost

• Employer future cost 13% plus deficit plus…?

• Does this include:

– protection for members within 10 years of age 65?

– a range of State Pension Ages?

• How and when will employer contributions be adjusted…..?

Page 14: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Local Government Pension Scheme (3) The Next Valuation

• The next actuarial valuation – As at 31st March 2013

– Implementation from 1st April 2014

• Cost to employers made up of – Future accrual of benefits

– Deficit recovery contributions

• Cost cap for employers – 2% buffer either side of a target future service cost

• If breached, benefits and/or members’ contributions may be adjusted

– To operate on a ‘model fund’ covering all LGPS funds

– Government considering proposals

Page 15: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Local Government Pension Scheme (4) Issues to Consider

• Admission Agreement (Guarantor?)

• Authority’s Funding Strategy Statement

• Termination debt

• 50/50 option for employees from 2014

• “25 year guarantee”

• Employer cost cap

Page 16: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Social Housing Pension Scheme (1) Employer cost

• Last SHPS valuation allowed short term brake on salary increases – expect 1.5% - 2.0% increase from April 2016

Total Future Service Contribution Rates as % of Salary From April 2013

Section of SHPS Current From

April 2013 Increase

1/3rd of cost (employee?)

2/3rds of cost (employer?)

1/60th Final Salary 17.8% 19.4% + 1.6% 6.5% 12.9%

1/70th Final Salary 15.4% 16.9% + 1.5% 5.6% 11.3%

1/80th Final Salary 13.5% 14.8% + 1.3% 4.9% 9.9%

1/60th CARE 14.9% 18.1% + 3.2% 6.0% 12.1%

1/80th CARE 11.9% 14.0% + 2.1% 4.7% 9.3%

1/120th CARE n/a 9.7% n/a 3.2% 6.5%

LGPS 6.5% 13.0%

Page 17: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Social Housing Pension Scheme (2) Issues

• Financial assessment of employers

• Reconsider appropriate defined benefit section

• Termination debt

• Closed employer surcharge of 2.5%

• Bulk transfer out to own scheme (Radian Group)

• SHPS considering NPA of 67 choice for members

Page 18: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Pensions tax changes Lifetime Allowance

• Lifetime Allowance reduces to £1.25 million from April 2014, subject to fixed/personalised protection

• Impact of possible freeze – maximum benefits to avoid charge on retirement at age 65

Age Max DC fund if 5% pa return

Max DC fund if 8.5% pa return

Max accrued pension if 2.5% pa revaluation

Max accrued pension if 5% pa revaluation

40 £369k £163k £34k £18k

50 £601k £368k £43k £30k

60 £980k £831k £55k £49k

Page 19: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Pensions tax changes Annual Allowance

• Annual Allowance reduces to £40,000 from April 2014

• Can now affect many more employees in an organisation particularly on promotion, eg:

(Figures exclude any carry forward, protections, or contributions/benefits in other arrangements)

Service in 60ths final salary scheme

Current pensionable earnings

Annual allowance charge if earnings increase by CPI + 20%

25y £50k £11k

25y £75k £24k

25y £100k £37k

Page 20: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Pension deficit funding option (1) Central Asset Reserve (CAR)

Fully funded Scheme

Assets

Ongoing liabilities

Partly

de-risked

ongoing

liabilities

Insured

benefits

Ongoing funding "gap”

Increased

Assets

“Insured

assets”

Route to self-sufficiency

Central Asset

Reserve

Better funding level enables buy-in or buy-out decision

CAR provides cash flexibility and enables

de-risking

Page 21: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Possible benefits ■ Immediate

reduction in deficit

■ Longer recovery

plan

■ Lower PPF levy

■ Brings forward tax relief

■ Mitigate departicipation debts

Pension deficit funding option (2) Central Asset Reserve (CAR)

Page 22: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

The Future for Housing Association Pensions Your questions

• Increasing pension costs

• Scheme membership

• Target retirement income

• The Future of the State Pension

• Local Government Pension Scheme

• Social Housing Pension Scheme

• Pensions tax changes

• Central Asset Reserve

Page 23: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

The Future for Housing Association Pensions

NHF Housing Finance Conference

20 March 2013

Derek Benstead

First Actuarial

0161 868 1721 [email protected]

James Beardmore

KPMG Pensions

0121 609 6038

[email protected]

Page 24: Supporting Older People Conferences3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/.../Finance_Conference_2013_(B10)_D… · NHF Housing Finance Conference 20 March 2013 Derek Benstead First Actuarial

Supporting Older

People Conference

B10: The future for housing association pensions

Speakers: Derek Benstead

Senior Housing Consultant First Actuarial

James Beardmore

Principal Actuary KPMG

Chair: Rob Griffiths

Director of Financial Services Longhurst Housing Group