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“Providing clean, renewable energy for the world” www.aventinerei.com
Surface Transportation BoardRETAC Meeting
Ethanol Discussion
June 12, 2008
“Providing clean, renewable energy for the world” www.aventinerei.com
“Providing clean, renewable energy for the world” www.aventinerei.com
“Providing clean, renewable energy for the world” www.aventinerei.com
Historical Ethanol Demand
175215350375430
610710830845870900950
1100120013501400
110013001400147016301770
21302810
34003900
49006500
9500
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
19801981198219831984198519861987198819891990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008
Year
Mill
ions
of g
allo
ns
2008 Projected
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Ethanol Industry Capacity
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022Y ear
BG
PY
Productio n Capac ity Tota l Renewable Fu els Standard R FS - E thano l
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Ethanol Modes of Transportation
• Trucks (8,000 Gallons)• Railcars (29,000 gallons)
– Single rail car– Unit Train (65, 75, or 95 railcars)– Major infrastructure build
• Barges (420,000 gallons)– 10,000 bbl capacity
• Pipeline
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100 Million Gal./ Year Plant Example
Transportation Impacts:3448 railcars of Fuel Ethanol per year
10 tank cars per day9867 railcars of Corn per year
60% by Rail, 17 railcars per day3048 railcars of DDGs per year
9 hopper cars per day
RFA7
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50-74% Penetration
Below 10% Penetration
10-50% Penetration
75-100% Penetration
Market Penetration By State(10% Ethanol Blends as Share of 2007 State Gasoline Sales)
100%
100%
95%
90%
90%
85%
80%
80%
80%75%
75%75%
70%
70%
65%
60%
60%
60%
55%
55%
55%
50%
55%
45%
42%
40%
40%
40%
25%
20%
9%
10%
9.5%
8%
7%
7%
5%
5%
3%
3%
3%
1%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
(6% blends)
Alaska – 10%Hawaii – 95%
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“Providing clean, renewable energy for the world” www.aventinerei.com
“Providing clean, renewable energy for the world” www.aventinerei.com
Ethanol Demand by PADD
2,400
2,800
1,200
200
1,400
5,300
4,200
2,100
500
2,500
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
PADD I (East Coast) PADD II (Midwest) PADD III (Gulf Coast) PADD IV (Rocky Mountain) PADD V (West Coast)
MM
Gal
lons
Current Ethanol Demand Projected Ethanol Demand 10%
Ethanol ProductionPADD II 7.9 MM
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Ethanol Railcar Shipments• 2004: 65,372 Loads• 2005: 72,677 Loads• 2006: 116,224 Loads
Ethanol Industry Projection• 2007: 156,900 est. Loads
– (6.5 BGY est. 70% Rail with 29,000 gal/ car)
• 2008: 217,250 est. Loads– (9.0 BGY est. 70% Rail with 29,000 gal/ car)
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Ethanol Logistics• Unit Train Facilities
– Lomita (Carson), CA, Sewaren, NJ,Albany, NY, Linden, NY, Dallas, TX,Providence, RI
• Additional Train Facilities being added• Ethanol Origination Facilities
– Manley Terminal
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June 2008
