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Task Force on Modelling and Task Force on Modelling and measurement activity : measurement activity : synergies with FAIRMODEsynergies with FAIRMODE
Laurence Rouïl (INERIS) Co-chair of the TFMM
The TFMM within the CLRTAP set The TFMM within the CLRTAP set upup
Measurement and modelling as a whole Measurement and modelling as a whole Support the implementation of the protocols of the
Convention on Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution: Gothenburg, HM, POPs
Assessment of the impact of the protocols: impact of the reduction of the emissions of air pollutants◦ Long term monitoring according to the EMEP monitoring strategy
(NILU/CCC)◦ Spatialized air concentration and deposition fields in the EMEP
area computed with the EMEP models : O3, PM (met.no/MSC-W) , POPs, HM (MSC-E)
◦ Input data for TFIAM : source/receptor matrices for the RAINS/GAINS model
◦ EMEP assessment Report ; EMEP PM assessment report (2007)◦ EMEP-unified model review (2004); EURODELTA 1 project
Main ions in precip PM10 and/or PM2.5 TC, OC or OM
Heavy metals POP VOC
Status 2006, incl intensive dataStatus 2006, incl intensive data
83
67 16 17
29 12
Level 1 sites
Level2 supersites
Level 1 sites
The modelling activity The modelling activity Added-value brought by the common work joining
measurement and modelling communities
Yearly production of trends analyses country by country and source/receptor relationships (transboundary contributions to “national” air pollution)
Support to the development and the evaluation of the EMEP models (/www.emep.int/OpenSource/index.html )
Exchange of experience with the modelling teams in the Parties; support for the development of modelling capacities in the Parties
Current prioritiesCurrent priorities PM modelling : realisation of EMEP field campaigns (2006-2007 and
2008-2009) dedicated to PM speciation ◦ Natural contributions◦ EC/OC
Nitrogen issues : according to the revised EMEP strategy and considering and the current initiatives
Improvement of the model accuracy (resolution?) Urban scale : how to better account for the urban scale in regional
air quality assessment : City-Delta Follow-up Inconsistencies between emissions, measurement and modelling
for some pollutants : heavy metals first Use of the new generation of observation data :
◦ Research monitoring networks (EUSAAR, EUCAARi, EARLINET...)◦ Earth Observation data
Nitrate, PM25
0
0,05
0,1
0,15
0,2
0,25
0,3
0,35
0,4
DE44 ES17 FI17 IT01 IT04 NO01 GB36 GB48 NL11
OBS
MOD
Nitrate, PM10
00,1
0,20,30,40,5
0,60,70,8
0,91
CH02 DE44 ES17 FI17 IT01 NO01 GB48 IT04 NL11
OBS
MOD
Nitrate, PM coarse
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1
1,2
1,4
1,6
DE44 ES17 FI17 IT04 NO01 NL11 IT01 GB36 GB48
OBS
MOD
HNO3
0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
AT02 IT01 GB36 GB48 IT04 NL11
OBS
MOD
June 2006- Evaluation of the EMEP-Unifed model -
Meteorologisk Institutt met.no
Example:
Improvement for Payerne
Current prioritiesCurrent priorities PM modelling : realisation of EMEP field campaigns (2006-2007 and 2008-
2009) dedicated to PM speciation Natural contributions EC/OC
Nitrogen issues : according to the revised EMEP strategy and considering and the current initiatives
Improvement of the model accuracy (resolution?) Urban scale : how to better account for the urban scale in regional air
quality assessment : City-Delta Follow-up Inconsistencies between emissions, measurement and modelling for
some pollutants : heavy metals, PM and even O3 (trends analysis) Use of the new generation of observation data :
◦ Research monitoring networks (EUSAAR, EUCAARi, EARLINET...)◦ Earth Observation data
Obvious cooperation with other on-going or emerging initiatives !
Identified areas for cooperationIdentified areas for cooperationTopics of interest for TFMM Potential collaborations
PM modelling -Research projects and networks- FAIRMODE
Nitrogen compounds Nitrogen initiatives
Urban scale - EC4MACS project- FAIRMODE- National initiatives
Inconsistency between emissions/modelling/measurement
CLRTAP bodies- FAIRMODE
New generation of observation data - Earth observation community- GMES projects
« Routine » tasks : model evaluation, trend analysis, S/R matrices
- To fulfil national needs- MACC/GMES – EURODELTA- FAIRMODE
Improvement of input data : emissions, BC, land cover ...
- CLRTAP task forces- GMES/MACC - EURODELTA – EC4MACS- FAIRMODE
Upcoming TFMM meetingsUpcoming TFMM meetings
TFMM workshop – November 2009, Ispra - back to back with the FAIRMODE plenary meeting◦ Identification of gaps to be filled in and future priorities for the
next EMEP field campaigns◦ Decision on the future modelling activities of the TFMM :
modelling objectives, national contribution, collaborations...
TFMM annual meeting– Spring 2010- Cyprus ; back to back with a joint day with the TFEIP annual meeting