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Technological innovations: a framework forcommunicating diffusion effects
Franklin J. Carter Jr.a,1, Thani Jambulingama, Vipul K. Guptaa,*, Nancy Meloneb
aErivan K. Haub School of Business, St. Joseph's University, 5600 City Ave, Philadelphia, PA 19131, USAbJohn F. Donahue Graduate School of Business, Duquesne University, 600 Forbes Avenue, Pittsburgh, PA 15282, USA
Received 21 June 1999; accepted 23 July 2000
Abstract
The paper investigates the impact of the institutional aspects of the innovation±adoption process on the success of its
implementation. More speci®cally, we concentrate on the adoption of ®ve information technologies using a data set from the
aerospace and defense industries. We investigate such factors as advocacy, breadth of support, time of adoption, and intra-
organizational communications. Several hypotheses are formulated and empirically tested. We ®nd that advocacy by middle
management does not have a positive effect on the success of implementation. # 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights
reserved.
Keywords: Diffusion of information technologies; Aerospace industry; Software engineering; Technological innovations; Target organization
group; Management advocacy; Communication mechanisms
1. Introduction
The diffusion of an innovation is conceived as the
process by which knowledge of an innovation spreads
throughout a population, eventually to be adopted or
not adopted by a decision-making unit in the organi-
zation [29]. The degree of acceptance and the rate at
which this process takes place is contingent upon the
characteristics of the innovation, networks used to
communicate the information about the innovation,
characteristics of those who adopt the innovation, and
the actions and characteristics of the agents of change.
This concept of innovation diffusion has been applied
to innovations ranging from new ideas to new machine
[3,30,32].
In the last few years, understanding the diffusion of
information technologies (ITs) has been important to
both practitioners and researchers. Nilakanta and Sca-
mell [25], for example, deal with the effects of com-
munications on the diffusion of data base design tools.
Grover et al. [15] addressed the issue of IT diffusion
and organizational productivity as perceived by senior
information systems (IS) executives. A study by Lai
and Guynes [20] investigated the adoption behavior
between IT adopters and nonadopters at the organiza-
tional level. The IS research community started focus-
ing on diffusion of innovation research in mid-1980s
and Prescott and Conger [26] summarized this stream
of research from the mid-1980s to the mid-1990s. In
spite of the substantial number of studies and reviews,
the IS innovation literature remains underdeveloped
due to the complex and context-sensitive nature of the
Information & Management 38 (2001) 277±287
* Corresponding author. Tel.: �1-610-660-1622;
fax: �1-610-660-1229.
E-mail addresses: [email protected] (F.J. Carter Jr.),
[email protected] (T. Jambulingam), [email protected] (V.K. Gupta).1 Tel.: �1-610-660-1463.
0378-7206/01/$ ± see front matter # 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
PII: S 0 3 7 8 - 7 2 0 6 ( 0 0 ) 0 0 0 6 5 - 3
phenomenon. It appears that there can be no single all
encompassing theory of IT innovation, as the ever
changing nature of IT will keep `the whole' beyond
our grasp. Few will argue, however, that IT innovation
cannot be understood without careful attention to the
personal, organizational, technological, and environ-
mental context within which it takes place.
This paper focuses on three issues. First, we look at
the properties of ITs that affect adoption. A framework
is presented in which ITs are characterized in terms of
level of abstraction and of target user. We consider
innovations that are either predominately methodolo-
gical or tool-based. Tool-based innovations are more
concrete and typically require a front-end ®nancial
commitment on the part of the adopting organization.
Methodologies are primarily abstract; while they do
not have to be `purchased,' they often require ®rms to
devote substantial resources to learning how to use the
innovation in order for the adoption to be successful.
In addition, ITs can be described in terms of their
target user in the organization. We studied innovations
that are targeted either to administrative levels in the
organization or to technical staff. We examined both
methodological and tool-based innovations with
respect to their compatibility with innovation advo-
cacy and their effect on the speed and probability of
the adoption.
The second issue is the process by which IT diffu-
sion occurs. Diffusion of innovations has been char-
acterized as a three-stage process involving initiation,
adoption, and implementation. In this study, we con-
centrate on adoption and implementation, looking at
the factors that affect each stage as well as the con-
nection between stages.
Third, we investigate the effects of various types of
communication on the adoption of IT. Communica-
tions are examined with respect to the differential
effectiveness of distinct types of mechanisms, which
are characterized on two levels: organizational
resources required for use and the formalism of their
use. For example, developing training programs
requires relatively high resources. Ad hoc consultation
is an informal mechanism. We also examine commo-
nalties in communication effectiveness across the
adoption process and multiple ITs.
This paper focuses speci®cally on software engi-
neering innovations. Software engineering is the
technological and managerial discipline concerned
with the systematic production and maintenance of
software products developed and modi®ed on
time, according to speci®cation, and within cost esti-
mates [11,27]. Software engineering innovations
may be primarily methodological (e.g. step-wise
re®nement, data hiding) or tool-based (e.g. program
design languages). In some instances, they are a
combination of both. A large portion of an organiza-
tion's software budget is often devoted to maintaining
and developing of systems containing routines similar
to code developed for other systems. For this reason,
innovations that facilitate reusability and mainte-
nance, or which speed development time or help
control costs, are potentially valuable. Although this
potential value is well known, diffusion of software
engineering tools and methods is often slow and
imperfect [28].
2. Research framework
Adoption of technology proceeds as follows:
1. Initiation: The stage during which the adopting unit
acquires information about the innovation and
goes through an approval process for using the
innovation.
2. Adoption: Developing capabilities for using the
innovation, such as training and/or hiring person-
nel, or physically acquiring the innovation.
3. Implementation: Using the innovation in produc-
tion for any complete software development
projects.
The level of abstraction of a particular innovation is
expected to affect the diffusion process. It has been
suggested that intangible innovations, such as new
software development philosophies, because they are
more abstract with less observable outcomes, are
adopted more slowly than more concrete innovations,
such as hardware-based ones. Those in IT also tend to
have large, unobservable, components: Methodolo-
gies, in particular.
An important characteristic is the innovation's tar-
get organization group (TOG). Some are primarily
targeted at technical staff while others are at admin-
istrative staff. The TOG for an IT innovation could be
individual software engineers (SEs): to provide soft-
ware reusability, facilitate the software production
278 F.J. Carter Jr. et al. / Information & Management 38 (2001) 277±287
process, and increase the quality and standardization
of the software.
Previous studies of innovation transfer [18,24,35]
have stressed the top management championship as a
precursor to the successful introduction of innovation:
the higher the level of advocacy, the more likely it will
be successfully adopted [10,12,14,17]. Champions
from other organizational levels, however, also have
a role in diffusion [22].
Earlier research often failed to address the possible
impact of `intermediate-level' advocacy on the adop-
tion of innovations. An exception is a study by Daft
[8], who suggests that top-management sets an overall
goal of organizational responsiveness to innovation,
while lower organizational members then champion
innovations consistent with their own area of exper-
tise. Informal communication networks tend to be
used extensively to promote innovations. It is easier
for intermediate-level members to use them.
It is useful to look at the possible effects of `inter-
mediate-level' advocacy by considering whether a
potential advocate may have different effects on adop-
tion depending on the target group. This leads to the
following hypotheses:
H1a: Middle management primary advocacy will
have a signi®cant positive impact on the adoption of
innovations with an administrative TOG.
H1b: Technical staff primary advocacy will have a
signi®cant, positive impact on adoption of innovations
with a software engineering TOG.
Research on opinion leadership provides evidence
that opinion leaders are generally fairly close in out-
look and social class to the population they lead.
Howell and Higgins [16] suggest why this principle
may apply to advocacy as well; interaction with
similar people leads to building coalitions of support
for the innovation among peers and others in the
organization.
Other research, however, suggests an alternative
hypothesis. In a study of the adoption of technological
versus administrative innovations by hospitals, char-
acteristics of the chief of medicine and hospital
administrator were analyzed with respect to the adop-
tion of innovations [19]. It was assumed that the chief
of medicine would be more likely to champion tech-
nological innovations and the hospital administrator
would be more likely to support administrative inno-
vations. The authors hypothesized, however, that the
advocacy of an innovation was associated with
broader involvement in the hospital and would be
positively associated with adoption. This hypothesis
was somewhat supported in the case of chief of
medicine's involvement with administrative activities.
Finally, Daft suggests that technological innovations
supported by administrative personnel and adminis-
trative innovations supported by technical staff will
tend to be `out of synchronization with perceived
needs and are less likely to be acceptable'. Based
on the above, we suggest the following hypotheses:
H1c: Advocacy by an inconsistent level will have a
signi®cant negative impact on adoption.
H1d: Top management primary advocacy will have
a signi®cant positive, impact on adoption.
Innovations that require large capital commitments
may have to be adopted in a top-down fashion, with
the championship of top management. Smaller scale
tangible and intangible innovations or those where a
high degree of learning is necessary seem to have
greater potential for a bottom-up adoption in which
there is broad-based support for the innovation, rather
than single primary advocate.
Organizations that experience dif®culty in adopting
an innovation during an early stage of the process may
hesitate to continue. For example, it is dif®cult to
install a tool or train personnel to use a methodology
then the probability of implementation may be
reduced or slowed [21]. Different actions may in¯u-
ence the diffusion process at different stages, in part
because requirements vary [34]. We propose, then, the
following hypotheses:
H2a: The smoothness of the process during the
adoption stage of the diffusion will affect the prob-
ability and timing of implementation.
H2b: The earlier that an innovation is adopted, the
earlier will it pass through the implementation stage
and the greater the probability it will be implemented.
Information moves from a source informed about
the innovation, through such channels, such as tech-
nical journals, or interpersonal channels such as ven-
dors, consultants or electronic bulletin boards, to an
individual or organization. The importance of using
various communication channels has been studied
[1,4,9,13,30]. Few researchers, however, have expli-
citly studied the timing of the communication [5].
Research has shown that a successful innova-
tion process is often characterized by extensive
F.J. Carter Jr. et al. / Information & Management 38 (2001) 277±287 279
communication. Transition support mechanisms differ
from communications in various ways. First they tend
to be more proactive. Next, they usually require at
least some commitment of ®nancial resources, which
may be substantial. Also, the intent of providing
transition support is to facilitate adoption, and clearly
this is not always the intent of communication, indeed
negative communication is possible.
We identi®ed several types of representative transi-
tional support mechanisms through interviews with
software engineering experts. Mechanism's can gen-
erally be characterized as either low resource level,
requiring relatively little commitment of resources, or
high resource level, personal mechanisms. We, there-
fore, state the following hypothesis:
H3a: There is a signi®cant difference in the use of
high resource communication mechanisms between
adopters and nonadopters.
Informal mechanisms are unstructured or loose.
Examples include: providing written documentation
about the technology and articles about the technology
from technical or scholarly journals as well as provid-
ing pre-packaged technical information. Formal tran-
sition mechanisms, on the other hand, may re¯ect a
more organized approach. This leads to an additional
hypothesis as follows:
H3b: There is a signi®cant difference in the use of
formal communication mechanisms between adopters
and nonadopters.
Low commitment, personal, transition mechanisms
include site visits to other organizations using the
technology and sending personnel to seminars or
conferences. Either internal or external personnel,
offsite or onsite, can provide high commitment sup-
port. External, high commitment mechanisms are
training by outside personnel and assistance in the
form of expert consultation at the vendor's or devel-
oper's facilities. Internal, high commitment mechan-
isms considered are training prepared by in-house
personnel, providing on-site ad hoc consultation and
on-site regular consultation. Training programs gen-
erally represent the most formal mechanisms. Regular
forms of consultation are also relatively formal.
Bayer and Melone [6] have a more complete dis-
cussion of an adaptation of the diffusion framework.
3. Empirical study
3.1. ITs as innovations
The IT innovations examined here were selected as
examples of the innovation types. They are software
cost models (SCM), complexity metrics (CM), struc-
tured programming (SP), and program design
language (PDL). SCM are estimation tools for devel-
opment projects. CM are algorithms that can be used
to estimate the complexity of software code. SP is a
methodology used to modularize software code. PDLs
are tools that assist a SE in translating a system design
into executable code.
As shown in Fig. 1, the ®ve innovations were chosen
with different levels of abstraction and TOG. SP and
PDLs are targeted to individual SEs, SCM and CM are
administrative aids, PDL and SCM are tool-based, and
SP and CM are primarily methodologies.
A set of communications mechanisms were chosen
to vary by resource needed (high or low), and structure
type (formal or informal). Low response communica-
tions depend on whether they are personal or mass-
communication mechanisms. Fig. 2 shows where each
®ts into the framework.
Fig. 1. Characteristics of the innovation.
280 F.J. Carter Jr. et al. / Information & Management 38 (2001) 277±287
Low response mass-communications mechanisms
selected for study are (1) providing written documen-
tation about the innovation or articles about the inno-
vation from technical or scholarly journals and (2)
providing pre-packaged technical information. These
can be distinguished in terms of degree of formalism;
written documentation and articles are relatively infor-
mal mechanisms.
Low response personal-communication mechan-
isms are (1) going on site visits to organizations where
the innovation is used and (2) sending personnel to
seminars or conferences. Site visits are typically less
formal. Nationally recognized experts are often in¯u-
ential option leaders in the adoption process. Inter-
personal interaction with these experts often takes
place at seminars and conferences. High response
communications include (1) training by outside per-
sonnel, (2) training by in-house personnel, (3) on-site
regular consultation, and (4) on-site ad hoc consulta-
tion. Of these mechanisms, ad hoc consultation is an
informal mechanism. Training programs generally
represent the most formal mechanism.
3.2. The population
Participants in the research program were indivi-
duals responding for major software developers and
consultants for the government. They knew about their
organization's adoption, postponement, or rejection of
the innovations. A screening criterion for including an
organization (or unit) for a particular IT innovation
was whether the ®rm had gone through initiation.
Most diffusion studies contain a pro-innovation bias
which is magni®ed by the grouping together of all
potential adopters.
Participants were informed of the study though a
letter sent by the two principle investigators to
National Security Industrial Association (NSIA)
members, who represent major defense contractors
in the US as well as small consulting ®rms and
developers. In the solicitation letter, the study was
described and individuals were asked to identify peo-
ple who had knowledge of the adopt, reject or post-
pone decisions about any of ®ve software engineering
innovations. The initial contacts returned a form indi-
cating who would participate in their unit, and for
which innovations. In some cases, the participant was
the addressee; in most cases, they were other people.
Each business unit was permitted only one participant
for each innovation; thus, a business unit could have a
maximum of ®ve participants. In most cases, a single
participant was knowledgeable about more than one
innovation.
3.3. The survey instrument
Data were collected using structured survey instru-
ments administered over the telephone. The 19-page
questionnaires included a broad range of issues related
to the adoption of innovations. Although different
survey instruments were developed for each innova-
tion, they shared a subset of questions.
Fig. 2. Communications types.
F.J. Carter Jr. et al. / Information & Management 38 (2001) 277±287 281
The survey asked questions requiring closed-form
responses. For example, participants were asked about
the extent to which they had used the transition
mechanisms at a particular stage of adoption. They
responded using a 7-point scale representing a range
from `1' (not at all) to `7' (very much). Similarly,
participants were asked to supply dates when these
activities were started.
It is well-known that phone surveys impose some
problems [23]. In our case, data were collected retro-
spectively, that is, after the event. For analysis pur-
poses, the data were assumed to approximate
longitudinal data. Causal implications of the research
cannot, however, be strongly asserted.
There were 230 interviews completed: 41 for com-
plexity metrics; 60 for program design languages; 61
for software cost models and 68 for structural pro-
gramming. The percentage of respondents passing
through each stage, for each innovation, is shown in
Fig. 3.
Primary advocacy for adopting the innovations
came from the following organizational levels: top
management 11.5%; middle management 36.5%;
technical staff 35.5% and broad-based support
16.5%. In approximately 95% of the cases, respon-
dents selected at least one level of primary advocate.
Characteristics of the innovation that have
received empirical support include relative advantage,
compatibility, and perceived complexity of the inno-
vation [33]. Beliefs about advantages and disadvan-
tages of the innovations were used as control variables.
Also, because use of ITs studied here are often
partially controlled be government mandates, we
included questions about the in¯uence of such
mandates.
3.4. Methodology
For each stage, two adoption dependent measures
were considered: movement and timing. Movement
was operationalized by the fact whether the organiza-
tion began a stage; e.g. for a production project.
Timing was measured as the year that the stage begins.
Using PROBIT models, we examine the effects of
IT properties and extensive use of communication
mechanisms on movement into the stages. To examine
the diffusion process for production, we also included
adoption history variables, such as ease and timing.
A manager trying to allocate resources ef®ciently
might reasonably ask whether resources allocated at
one stage have delayed impacts (e.g. increasing the
probability of successfully executing later stages). For
example, are certain forms of communication more
effective at accelerating adoption if provided at one
stage rather than another? We address questions of this
nature using `event-history' models2 [2].
The empirical evidence of diffusion research
strongly supports the assumption of an S-shaped
curve and there are right-censored data3. That is,
some organizations have not yet passed through the
adoption stage. An analysis which excludes these
observations from the estimated model would be
biased. A commonly used methodology for the ana-
lysis of longitudinal data where `censoring' can pro-
duce bias and loss of information is event history
analysis.
Typical mathematical diffusion theory models spe-
cify to some degree the rate at which innovations are
adopted. The function describing the cumulative rate
of adoption generally is an S-shaped curve. Estimation
of these S-shaped curves depends upon their speci®-
cation. If the adoption function is speci®ed explicitly,
parametric methods (e.g. maximum likelihood) can be
used for estimation and inference. If not speci®ed,
parametrically weaker statistical methods must be
used. The Cox proportional hazards model [7] is an
example of such a method. The Cox model allows for
right-censoring data. The nonparametric survivor
function permits a wide-range of adoption curves,
including an S-shaped curve. We, therefore, use pro-
portional hazard models to examine the in¯uence of IT
properties and communication mechanisms on timing
of adoption for the two stages. For timing of imple-
mentation, we also included adoption history vari-
ables.
2 Event-history analysis, also known by a variety of other names
including survival analysis, lifetime analysis, failure-time analysis,
reliability analysis, or hazard-rate analysis, is a class of models and
methods for dealing with situations in which the dependent variable
is categorical and the data are censored.3 Statisticians refer to data as `censored' if there is an outcome
but it occurs after the collection of data is discontinued. Use of
regression models rather that the more appropriate event-history
models in these situations can lead to seriously biased estimators.
282 F.J. Carter Jr. et al. / Information & Management 38 (2001) 277±287
3.5. Results
3.5.1. Properties which affect adoption
The probability of reaching the adoption stage, was
found to be a function of several factors: mandates,
perceived technical complexity and problems with the
innovation, and an innovation-speci®c variable (see
Table 1). Organizations that have developed capabil-
ities for using these innovations are more likely to bid
on contracts mandating use of the IT (MANDNT) in
the next year. They also, however, perceive the inno-
vation as being more technically complex than orga-
nizations which have not yet developed capabilities
(XCOMPLEX). Adopting organizations are less
likely to have `wait and see' attitude about technical
problems with the IT (TECHPROB). Technical pro-
blems are associated with lowering perceptions of
bene®ts of the innovation. In addition, organizations
are less likely to have developed capabilities for using
methods-based ITs, especially complexity metrics
(METHOD).
Table 2 shows the results of estimating Cox propor-
tional hazards models for timing of the adoption stage.
The output is evaluated with the score test of the
standard null hypothesis that all coef®cients are equal
to their zero start values. In all cases shown, the Chi-
squared statistic has a p-value of <0.001. (see Stein-
berg and Colla [31] for additional details about the
Score test).
Overall, organizations which bid on contracts man-
dating use of the innovation (MANDATE) develop
capabilities for using the IT earlier. Thus, perceived
technical problems and lack of economic advantages
(NOBENEFIT) are associated with later adoption.
Fig. 3. Percentage of organizations that have passed through each stage of diffusion.
Table 1
Probit analysis for adoption (develop capabilities)a
Parameter Non-adopt
(mean for
D � 0)
Adopt
(mean for
D � 0)
Estimate S.E.
Constant 1.00 1.00 1.12 0.41
MANDNXT 2.78 5.62 0.31 0.05
XCOMPLEX 3.66 2.78 ÿ0.14 0.07
TECHPROB 3.50 2.10 ±0.29 0.07
METHOD 0.60 0.32 ÿ0.53 0.23
a Log-likelihood � ÿ78:06; ÿ2 times log-likelihood ratio (Chi-
squared� � 89:12 (4 d.f.).
Table 2
Hazards model estimation for timing of adoptiona
Covariate Covariate
means
Estimate S.E. T-statistic
MANDATE 1.37 ÿ0.83 0.17 ÿ4.90
NOBENEFIT ÿ0.13 ÿ0.25 0.09 ÿ2.80
INHS-TRAIN-PA 3.60 0.08 0.03 2.62
PREPAK-PA-SE 1.72 0.12 0.03 3.70
a Log-likelihood � ÿ868:32.
F.J. Carter Jr. et al. / Information & Management 38 (2001) 277±287 283
Table 3 shows results of the analysis of the orga-
nizations' probability of reaching the implementation
stage. Organizations which were more likely to bid on
contract mandating use of the IT (MANDNXT) had
higher probability of reaching implementation. When
there was a belief that the innovation interfered with
current work (INTERFERE), the organization had a
lower probability of using the IT for production.
Interference with on-going projects is a type of reduc-
tion of perceived bene®ts. The CM innovations were
less likely to be implemented.
If all organizations are used in the analysis, we can
gain some additional insights into factors affecting
adoption. Perceived technical problems or lack of
economic bene®ts and technical staff resistance are
signi®cant in¯uences.
The positive in¯uence of middle management advo-
cacy on adoption of a wide range of ITs is not what
was expected. However, H1c is partially supported by
negative effect of middle management on Ada adop-
tion. Results of additional analyses show that organi-
zations with broad-based advocacy for the innovation
are more likely to develop capabilities (p < 0:1) and
implement the innovation (p < 0:001). There is no
support for H1d.
Table 4 shows the analysis of organization's timing
reaching the implementation stage. The results show
that innovations targeted to individual SEs tend to be
used in production earlier. The likelihood of bidding in
the next year on contracts mandating use of the IT
(MANDNXT) is associated with earlier implementa-
tion. The effort an organization must expend in using
an innovation impacts production use (EFFORT). The
less perceived effort involved in using the IT in a
production environment, the earlier the production use
of the IT.
We found that more observable innovations will not
be adopted more rapidly. More observable ITs were as
software cost models, and PDLs. Innovations targeted
to administrators (CM and SCM) were adopted sig-
ni®cantly later (p < 0:001) at both adoption and
implementation. Ada adoption was earlier for the
adoption stage (P < 0:001).
We did ®nd that organizations with broad-based
support for adoption develop capabilities earlier (p <0:01) and go through production earlier (p < 0:001).
H1a and H1b were not supported. Middle manage-
ment advocacy was hypothesized as having a positive
impact on adoption of administrative innovations.
In fact, there was a signi®cant negative impact on
timing of adoption (p < 0:01) and implementation
(p < 0:05). Technical staff advocacy had no signi®-
cant impact on timing for innovations targeted to SEs.
3.5.2. Process by which diffusion occurs
We hypothesized that early stages have an effect
on later stages. The process examined in this study
are smoothness and timing. Support was found for
H2b. Organizations that developed capabilities
earlier (TIME-DC) had a higher probability of moving
into the implementation stage. The time an organiza-
tion enters implementation is also highly dependent
on the timing (TIME-DC) and ease (EASE-DC)
of developing capabilities for using the innovation.
Earlier and smoother development of capabilities
is associated with earlier implementation of the
innovation. This provides some support for H2aand H2b.
Table 3
Binary probit analysis implementationa
Parameter Non-adopt
(mean for
D � 0)
Adopt
(mean for
D � 1)
Estimate S.E.
Constant 1.00 1.00 2.48 0.66
MANDNXT 4.83 5.70 0.11 0.06
INTERFERE 0.47 ÿ0.15 ÿ0.33 0.12
TIME-DC 12.37 11.02 ÿ0.13 0.03
CM 0.16 0.09 ÿ1.28 0.38
a Log-likelihood � ÿ87:48; ÿ2 times log-likelihood ratio (Chi-
squared� � ÿ58:37 (6 d.f.).
Table 4
Hazards model for timing of implementationa
Covariate
means
Estimate S.E. T-statistic
TIME-DC 12.20 ÿ0.15 0.020 ÿ7.47
SE 0.45 0.52 0.178 2.95
EASE-DC 3.91 0.15 0.053 2.92
MANDNXT 5.62 0.11 0.046 2.53
EFFORT 3.12 0.14 0.066 2.24
ADHOC-SE ÿ0.01 ÿ0.26 0.122 ÿ2.18
a Log-likelihood � ÿ732:48.
284 F.J. Carter Jr. et al. / Information & Management 38 (2001) 277±287
3.5.3. Effects of communications on adoption
Overall, effects of communication mechanism use
on diffusion were mixed. There was some support for
H3b. When there is extensive use of training prepared
by in-house personnel during initiation (INHS-
TRAIN-PA), organizations develop capabilities for
using these innovations earlier. Also, during initiation,
use of prepackaged technical information (formal)
was associated with earlier implementation of Ada
(PREPAK-ADA). Ad hoc consultation at the organi-
zation's site (informal) is associated with later imple-
mentation of ITs targeted to individual SEs (ADHOC-
SE). However, there were no clear insights.
T-test results provide some support for H3a and
H3b. Using the categorization of communication, use
of communication mechanisms were aggregated to
combine high resource and formal mechanisms, low
resource and formal mechanisms, high resource and
informal mechanisms, and low resource and low
mechanisms. T-test analyses were performed using
development of capabilities (adoption) and production
use (implementation) as grouping variables in separate
analysis. Differences were signi®cant and in the
expected direction for high resource, formal mechan-
isms (p < 0:01) for both stages. Organizations which
passed through adoption and implementation made
more extensive use of these communications. Use of
low resource, formal communications was also more
extensive for organizations which developed capabil-
ities (p < 0:01). Based on these results, there is stron-
ger support for H3b, the effect of formalism of
communication mechanisms on adoption than for
H3a.
Additional proportional hazards analyses, using the
same communication mechanisms, also provide sup-
port for H3b. Using only the grouped variables as
covariates, both high and low commitment, formal
mechanisms had a signi®cant, positive association
with timing of developing capabilities (p � 0:001).
Only high commitment, formal mechanisms had a
signi®cant effect on timing of implementation
(p < 0:01).
4. Conclusion
This paper examined the adoption process of ®ve IT
innovations. These were because they varied in the
level of abstraction and the target organizational group
of innovation.
Organizations' adoption behavior was empirically
examined as a multi-stage process. Participants
responded to questions about the organization's adop-
tion decisions, the adoption process, communication
mechanisms used to facilitate adoption, and beliefs
about the innovations.
Several implications can be derived from the
results. First an organization develops capabilities
for using an innovation and the timing of that process
if the participants consider that there are advantages in
the innovation; beliefs are important to a successful
adoption process.
Top management advocacy generally had little
effect on adoption and that successful adoption of
these innovations can often be characterized as a
bottom-up, rather than top-down, process. However,
innovations often do not require large initial capital
outlays; they require highly professional `people
resources'.
Primary advocacy is also important. However,
depending on the stage and measure of adoption,
results were not consistent and there is still a great
deal to be learned about the effects of `intermediate-
level' advocacy on the adoption process.
The results of this research also have implementa-
tions for the use of communication mechanisms to
support the adoption process for an innovations.
Extensive use of communication mechanisms was
found to affect timing more than probability of adop-
tion. Training provided by the organization to its staff,
a high resource, formal mechanism, generally had
positive impact on speed of adoption. This is true
whether the training is developed by in-house person-
nel or outside personnel. Also, the effect of commu-
nication mechanisms may vary based on the type of
innovation being considered. Extensive use of formal
communication mechanisms have a signi®cant, posi-
tive, impact on adoption. Communication mechan-
isms requiring a high level of organizational
commitment tend to have a signi®cant, positive asso-
ciation with adoption. However, this effect is most
evident when the mechanism is both high in resource
commitment and formalism.
We also found that mandates work. Bidding on
contracts which mandate the use of the innovation
is associated with both higher probability of
F.J. Carter Jr. et al. / Information & Management 38 (2001) 277±287 285
movement through stages and earlier adoption. Note
that these results do not imply anything about whether
the innovation is used properly by the organization,
once it is adopted. However, mandates do provide
strong incentives for organizations to rapidly adopt
and implement an innovation.
Finally, there is support for the assertion that diffu-
sion of innovations should be studied as a process
consisting of multiple stages and measures. Results
clearly show that the importance of adoption factors
varies by stage and by adoption measure considered.
Perceived advantage or disadvantages of the innova-
tion are especially important early in the adoption
process. Communication mechanisms have more
impact later in the process. The adoption history,
the smoothness and timing of the early stages, also
signi®cantly affects later stages. Overall, the results of
the research provide some general insights into the
adoption process of IT innovations.
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Thani Jambulingam is an Assistant
Professor in the Department of Pharma-
ceutical Marketing at Erivan K. Haub
School of Business, St. Joseph's Uni-
versity, Philadelphia, PA. He teaches
both Executive Pharmaceutical MBA
program and undergraduate program in
Pharmaceutical Marketing. He has
served as a consultant to several major
pharmaceutical and insurance compa-
nies. Thani did PhD work at the
University of Wisconsin, Madison. Thani's primary research areas
include role of technology in supply chain integration, alliances
and acquisitions, e-commerce and entrepreneurship in the health-
care industries. His work has been published in the Journal of
Research in Pharmaceutical Economics, Journal of Health Systems
Pharmacy, Journal of International Marketing, Journal of Business
Venturing, Journal of Social Administrative Pharmacy, Marketing
Educators Conference Proceedings, Society of Franchising Con-
ference Proceedings.
Franklin J. Carter Jr. (BS, 1978; MS,
1994; PhD, 1997 Ð Carnegie Mellon
University and MBA, 1982 Ð The
Wharton School at the University of
Pennsylvania) is an Assistant Professor
of Pharmaceutical Marketing at St.
Joseph's University. He received his
doctorate in marketing from Carnegie
Mellon University. In addition his work
experience include, general partner for
The Quaestus Group, regional sales
manager for Carnation Nutritional Products, group product
manager for IMS America, district sales manager for Princeton
Pharmaceuticals and manager of Product Planning and Research
and Product manager for Pfizer Pharmaceuticals. His primary areas
of research include business-to-business marketing, salesforce
management, and diffusion of innovation. His work will appear
in the Information and Management: An International Journal of
Information Technology and the Journal of Healthcare Manage-
ment Science.
Vipul K. Gupta is an Assistant Profes-
sor of Information Systems at the Erivan
K. Haub School of Business, St. Jo-
seph's University. He holds Bachelor's
degree from the Institute of Technology,
Varanasi, and Master's and PhD from
the University of Houston. Dr. Gupta's
areas of interest include strategic impact
of information technologies (IT), intel-
ligent decision support Systems, use of
Internet in supply-chain integration, and
customer relationship management. His previous work has
appeared in journals such as Omega, Interfaces, and International
Journal of Quality Science. He currently serves on the editorial
board of the Project Management Journal and is an active
consultant in financial services industry.
Dr. Nancy Paule Melone recently left
the security of her tenured faculty
position to pursue independently a
broader set of business and technology
interests, including the emerging areas
of electronic commerce and web-based
communications. Prior to her departure
from academia, she was on the faculties
of the University of Oregon and Carne-
gie Mellon University, where she spe-
cialized in information technology and
was integrally involved in the design of several interdisciplinary
programs, including CMU's M.S. in Software Engineering. Her
research has appeared in such journals as Management Science,
Journal of System Science, IHRIM Journal, Organization Science,
and Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. She
currently serves on the editorial boards of IHRIM Journal and
Journal of Information Technology Cases and Applications. Dr.
Melone's corporate experience includes professional positions in
the computer and financial industries in strategic planning,
planning and research, and human computer interaction. She
earned her MBA and Ph.D. in information systems from the
University of Minnesota, where she held an IBM Fellowship and
was affiliated with the Center for Research in Human Learning.
She received her MLS and MAIR from the University of Iowa. For
fun, she competes in the performance and show rings with her
Bernese Mountain Dogs and teaches a course in electronic
commerce at Duquesne University.
F.J. Carter Jr. et al. / Information & Management 38 (2001) 277±287 287